Military Review

"Islamic State" on the way to Russia

43
Experts believe that Central Asia is threatened by destabilization due to the “aggravation” of Islamism - from the intensification of local radical movements to the real accession of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan to the powerful army of builders of the Islamic State Caliphate (IG). Representatives of the special services and analysts talked about the activities of militants in the territory of the former USSR.

"Islamic State" on the way to Russia


As reported the other day RIA News", the head of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), Usmon Gozi, announced his organization’s joining the IG fighters. This was reported to the Russian agency by an unnamed source in the law enforcement bodies of Uzbekistan.

“We have operational video and audio information about the support and participation of the IMU in joint military operations on the side of the IG units,” the source said.

He clarified that the IMU has stepped up recruitment and training of militants in the border areas of Pakistan and Afghanistan.

The security services of Uzbekistan have strengthened anti-terrorism measures, starting with improving the work of the agent network. “We have to work ahead of the curve, a few steps forward,” said the source.

About the decision of the IMU to join the IG it became known earlier, the newspaper said "Sight". On August 28, on the bridge in the Yunusabad district of Tashkent, unknown persons hung the flag of the Islamic State. The press service of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Uzbekistan said that the organizers of the rally did not achieve any results: for the majority of residents of the republic, this flag is a piece of cloth with incomprehensible letters. Few people can read Arabic here.

The newspaper cites expert opinion, according to which not only Uzbekistan is at risk. “For us, experts on Islam, it was a surprise that the speed with which instability in the Middle East spreads. There is also the threat of the return of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant fighters to Kyrgyzstan, ”said Kadyr Malikov, head of the analytical center“ Religion, Law and Politics. ” In late September, the same Malikov said at a conference in Bishkek that a concentration of IMU fighters was observed on the border of Afghanistan and the former Soviet Central Asia. “Kyrgyzstan may face destabilization,” Malikov said. According to him, the Fergana Valley of Uzbekistan is also under threat.

Concerned about the activities of the militants and the Turkmen special services. Interfax-Kazakhstan cites excerpts from the newspaper "Megapolis" from October 13. The quotes concern information about Islamists received by the Turkmen special services.

According to analysts, a local (independent) terrorist association may well appear in Central Asia - by analogy with the IG. This can happen if the change of power in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan will be accompanied by conflicts leading to the destabilization of the entire region, already known for its problem areas.

Turkmen secret services say that now the activity of the Uzbek Islamists and the Taliban near the Turkmen border is increasing. One of the possible areas of impact in the destabilization of the situation could be both the Tajik-Afghan and the Turkmen-Afghan borders. Behind it opens the road to the western regions of Kazakhstan. And in Kazakhstan, the source notes, in recent years there has been an activity of jihadists acting, including under the influence of the North Caucasian underground.

“In such a scenario, an attempt by dark forces to split oil and gas fields from Kazakhstan, by analogy with Iraq, may look quite realistic. In this case, several targets will be hit at once. First, on the West’s oil and gas interests in the Kazakhstan region. Secondly, there will be another base for Sunni radicals near Shiite Iran. Thirdly, the terrorist risks will increase throughout the Caspian region, including Russia, as the strong terrorist arc along the North Caucasus-Western Kazakhstan line will strengthen even more. ”


At the same time, there is another opinion concerning, first of all, the same IMU, which feeds the radical environment in Central Asia.

Site "Interfax-religion" cites the opinion of experts who believe that the "Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan" has entered into an alliance with the "Islamic State" because of its own weakness. Uzbek media write about this.

“The IMU has lost support in Afghanistan, as civilians suffer from its cruelty. Now the IMU is eyeing northern Afghanistan, where most of the country's ethnic Uzbeks live, ”said analysts of the National Security Service of Uzbekistan.

The material reason for consolidation was also named. According to experts, the IMU was forced to announce an “alliance” - due to the termination of the flow of funding from the “sponsors”. “They, in fact, have no leaders, and they are looking for someone to cling to.” But this alliance cannot guarantee them any gain, ”the experts said. They further recalled that the IMU was shaken with the destruction of its commanders: Tahir Yuldashev and Usmon Odil (killed respectively in 2009 and 2012).

However, the Islamists are still dangerous. “According to our data, the number of IMU fighters is about five thousand people, and we can talk about the threat to the countries of Central Asia - Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan. However, we are confident that all their attempts to penetrate the territory of our country are doomed to failure, ”said a representative of the National Security Council of Uzbekistan.

He also said that Uzbekistan is ready to repel the threat, and support for the ideas of the “caliphate” in the republic is close to zero.

However, the discovery of new sources of funding could lead to an increase in the IMU.

As told the newspaper "Sight" Bakhtiyar Babajanov, a leading researcher at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Academy of Sciences of Uzbekistan, has been gathering IMU fighters in combat experience in the Middle East to apply it later in other places, including at home.

“It is known that part of the IMU militants in the 90s fought in Chechnya,” the political analyst told the publication. “Worst of all, financial sources are now open for them, this only increases their danger for Uzbekistan.”

True, according to Babadzhanov, in quantitative terms, the IMU is hardly seriously dangerous for Uzbekistan: if necessary, regular military units will come forward against the radicals. However, the militants "will be dangerous because of combat experience."

“This means that they will not have fear of shots, open combat with regular formations,” the expert noted. “In addition, they can go to Afghanistan anyway and threaten us from there.”

Babajanov questions the version that some external forces can use the IMU to overthrow the Karimov regime: “I don’t think that Islam Karimov is inconvenient to the Americans, because the president of Uzbekistan could find a common language with the United States. The fact is that not all foreign policy games are obvious and predictable with the move. ”

It should also be recalled that the IG thinks of almost a world caliphate. Iraq and Syria are only the first steps of a long staircase.

If we continue this list with other eastern regions, then the Caliphates intend to “liberate” Saudi Arabia: they don’t like the Saudi regime, and they are also interested in oil. Then they will invade Kuwait - there is also oil. Iran will have to be captured too - the regime is also bad there, and there is a lot of oil. The following goals are Turkey and Azerbaijan. And there, too, Central Asia, where you can also profit from something.

Consolidation of the United States with the oil eastern monarchies (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, etc.) speaks for itself: the threat of the IG, which is rich and has provided itself with the latest weapons, is considered one of the most serious.

Earlier, militants from the IG promised to drown in blood and the United States - this was done after the Americans inflicted the first air strikes on the territories seized by the Islamists in Iraq.

Finally, go to Russia.

October 13 on the site RIA "News - Ukraine" A material appeared by Vladimir Matveyev under the title "Islamic State" and the United States threatens the security of Russia. "

The author notes that the threat of one of the commanders of the "Islamic State" about a possible invasion of Russia, then replicated by the media, illustrates the mood of groups that dream of rejecting part of Russia’s territory in the Caucasus in order to create an Islamic state there. In addition, Matveyev points to the desire of the West to distract Moscow from Ukraine.

Not for nothing is the commander of one group of the IG Tarkhan Batirashvili (aka Omar-Chechenets), telling his father by phone that his group had defeated the Iraqi army and took Mosul, said that the next target would be Russia.

According to Batirashvili Sr., who spoke with reporters, his son said: “Do not worry, Dad, I will return home and show Russian. There are many thousands of people following me, and I will attract even more. We will revenge on Russia. "

We also recall that the extremists from the IS 18 months ago stated that they were planning to “liberate” Chechnya and the Caucasus with the “grace of Allah”. Militants have translated their video message, addressed to V. Putin, into Russian. An Islamist was broadcasting from the cockpit of a fighter standing at a captured military airfield in the region of Tabaka in the province of Rakka (Syria).

Here are the lines from the text of the appeal: “This is a message to you, O Vladimir Putin! These are your planes that you sent to Bashar, we will, by the will of Allah, send them to you, remember this! ”

Ramzan Kadyrov gave his response to the militants: “I declare with all responsibility that those who came to mind to threaten Russia and utter the name of our country's president, Vladimir Putin, will be destroyed where he did it. We will not wait until he sits at the helm of the aircraft; he will go where his brothers, the terrorists Khattab, Abu Walid and other ambassadors of the West are rotting. ”

The Russian leadership proceeds from the fact that the activities of militants united under the IS flag are the result of ill-considered forceful actions by the United States of America and their allies. Intervention in the affairs of other states led to the aggravation of confessional and national problems and the decline of the economy.

Militants are just playing on the instability of the situation: they collect taxes, imitate hiring “civil servants” and paying them allowances. There is evidence that, if possible, the IS militants even distribute cash benefits to the unemployed. All this attracts into their ranks a mass of supporters, idealists, who believe in social justice and a bright future, built on the basis of Sharia.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
43 comments
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  1. Same lech
    Same lech 15 October 2014 09: 41
    +5
    Not for nothing is the commander of one group of the IG Tarkhan Batirashvili (aka Omar-Chechenets), telling his father by phone that his group had defeated the Iraqi army and took Mosul, said that the next target would be Russia.



    We are waiting ... we are certainly waiting for a visit ... dug up a grave 2x3 meters for such guests.

    I watched numerous videos with mass shootings of people by militants - Islamists ..... I can say only one treatment for this infection - a bullet in the forehead and preferably even where the militant threatens us.
    1. Argyn
      Argyn 15 October 2014 09: 50
      0
      I’m wondering how the army which is worse armed than the army of the same Nigeria threaten the SA?
      1. Vadivak
        Vadivak 15 October 2014 09: 55
        +6
        Quote: ...
        Don’t worry, Dad, I will return home and show the Russians.


        Of course you will. Like in 2008.
        1. Aaron Zawi
          Aaron Zawi 15 October 2014 17: 03
          0
          These will be safer.
      2. The comment was deleted.
    2. Konstantinpm
      Konstantinpm 15 October 2014 20: 24
      0
      I don’t wait to visit them, let them have a better shot in the forehead somewhere in Syria, Iran, and Uzbekistan.
      The desire for war is, to put it mildly, a strange desire ...
      1. Same lech
        Same lech 15 October 2014 21: 59
        0
        The desire for war is, to put it mildly, a strange desire ...


        There is no desire for war here ... it comes to us and we just need to be prepared for it.
  2. Vadiara
    Vadiara 15 October 2014 09: 46
    +5
    This plague is worse than the Ebola virus ...
    1. Argyn
      Argyn 15 October 2014 09: 51
      +8
      Worse than Ebola will be those who created her okay? And don’t do it, the disease is raging exactly where there is a lot of oil plus American help in the form of marines.
      1. Muadipus
        Muadipus 15 October 2014 11: 22
        +6
        Yankee - this is the plague! The Americans are the pathogenic bacillus of the planet. and Ebola and IG and other consequences.
        1. The comment was deleted.
  3. Evgen2x
    Evgen2x 15 October 2014 09: 49
    +5
    Oh, something seems to me more and more that ISIS is another striped project, and it’s never completed, despite all the statements by the balabama about the threat from them!
  4. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 15 October 2014 09: 52
    +2
    And again striped ears stick out from the dunes. Do mattress makers think that they will sit out "behind a puddle" plunging all of Eurasia and half of Africa into a fire?
  5. Leonidych
    Leonidych 15 October 2014 09: 53
    +1
    another blah blah blah ... and this will never happen, because more and more such news appears: Russia in 2016 will create an air base for fighters in Belarus
  6. Dibur
    Dibur 15 October 2014 09: 54
    +1
    Try off these giblets. Not scary even once. But if the Americans stop supplying them with weapons, then they will not crawl out of their current location on captured weapons.
  7. cafe
    cafe 15 October 2014 09: 57
    +7
    Radical Islam is fascism of the 21st century. Let's call everything by their proper names. History repeats itself. In the 20th century, Western Europe raised fascist Germany. In the 21st century, the United States grows radical Islam. Names change, but the essence remains.
    1. Argyn
      Argyn 15 October 2014 10: 05
      +3
      What is fascism? Nazism? The trouble is that Europeans are becoming Radical. It was just not necessary to bomb Iraq, Syria, Libya, Sudan to stir up. Then 100% would not be what was going on there, Arabs would live peacefully and Europeans would not climb to them with their help. Everyone would be happy except the USA
      Quote: kotofey
      Let's call everything by their proper names

      Come on! US receiver 3 Reich, then Ukraine.
      1. cafe
        cafe 15 October 2014 10: 14
        +3
        I agree. Moreover, the USA during the Second World War supplied weapons not only to the countries of the anti-Hitler coalition, but also to Nazi Germany.
        And under Nazism, you can hide any exclusivity - national, religious. And intolerance.
        1. fzr1000
          fzr1000 15 October 2014 10: 44
          0
          Fuel was supplied until 1944.
      2. The comment was deleted.
    2. Wiruz
      Wiruz 15 October 2014 10: 07
      0
      After a couple of years, a kind of ISIS may form in Libya. Now almost all the power in this country belongs to disparate bandit groups. After a couple of years, they will unite and proclaim the Libyan Caliphate. 146%
      1. Argyn
        Argyn 15 October 2014 10: 11
        +2
        Quote: Wiruz
        After a couple of years, a kind of ISIS may form in Libya. Now almost all the power in this country belongs to disparate bandit groups. After a couple of years, they will unite and proclaim the Libyan Caliphate. 146%

        Well, who is to blame? There was a prosperous state, a peaceful sky and without tax life, with the dictator Gaddafi who did a lot for the good of the people. And the Jimahiriya movement became terrorist.
    3. derik1970
      derik1970 15 October 2014 11: 54
      +1
      unequivocally true said good
  8. Vladimirets
    Vladimirets 15 October 2014 10: 02
    0
    "The consolidation of the United States with the oil-based eastern monarchies (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, etc.) speaks for itself: the threat of IS, an organization rich and provided with the latest weapons, is considered one of the most serious."

    There and without IS, everything is tip-top, the most advanced "democracies" simply cannot but be friends with each other.
  9. tilovaykrisa
    tilovaykrisa 15 October 2014 10: 03
    +1
    The next millions of refugees from the SA will rush into the Russian Federation will they also give out citizenship and refugee status?
    1. Dormidont
      Dormidont 15 October 2014 10: 17
      +5
      And we will get under the guise of refugees, including trained terrorists right in our city streets! Longing for the Iron Curtain ..
  10. Mareman Vasilich
    Mareman Vasilich 15 October 2014 10: 15
    +3
    Do you know why ISIS is a threat? Because nobody does it. Do you know why they don’t do it? Because the Anglo-Saxons oversee them. Do you know what will happen to this gang of bandits if they seriously engage in them? That's right, mass graves. Terrorists naturally avoided the USSR, for they knew about retaliatory measures.
  11. Gardamir
    Gardamir 15 October 2014 10: 27
    0
    The Russian leadership believes that the activities of militants united under the flag of the Islamic State are the result of ill-conceived military actions by the United States of America and their allies

    So why is Russia going to cooperate with the USA? Oddly enough, the militants are not going to take revenge, neither the United States nor Europe.
  12. 3vs
    3vs 15 October 2014 10: 27
    0
    I feel that after a short time all these "independent countries" will again start asking
    into Russia.
    And we need it, what do you think?
    And I do not know.
    1. Drunya
      Drunya 15 October 2014 10: 58
      0
      Quote: 3vs
      I feel that after a short time all these "independent countries" will again start asking
      into Russia.

      no matter how the mass exodus from Europe began.
  13. Drunya
    Drunya 15 October 2014 10: 56
    -1
    Do not be lazy, look - it’s becoming more understandable.
    for example, I’m very uneasy (scary)
    Evgeny Satanovsky, Institute of the Middle East, Part 1 and Part 2

    1. Gorinich
      Gorinich 15 October 2014 12: 34
      0
      Satan’s bastard, he’s lying, contradicting himself, trying to powder people’s brains.
      1. cafe
        cafe 15 October 2014 15: 13
        0
        I do not agree with this assessment. I have been watching publications and articles by Satanovsky for quite some time. Unlike many so-called He is a very competent expert. I'm cynical, sorry, but politics is a dirty thing.
      2. The comment was deleted.
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. The comment was deleted.
  14. polkownik1
    polkownik1 15 October 2014 11: 00
    0
    Just do not try to look more white and fluffy in the eyes of the world pacifists. The adequacy of the responses to terror (you shot at us and we shoot at you too) ends badly. This is the same plague or ebola epidemic. Either destroy the entire infection at the first symptoms, or slowly wander into the cemetery ... And within the country, act exclusively in advance. The constitution requires it.
  15. Drunya
    Drunya 15 October 2014 11: 43
    +1
    Y. Kedmi: Americans have done it everywhere
    - Most modern Islamist terrorist groups are created by American strategists. - According to the military-political expert, the former head of the Israeli special service "Nativ" Yakov Kedmi. - American strategists should at least sometimes, no matter how hard it is, try to think ...

  16. parusnik
    parusnik 15 October 2014 11: 57
    0
    Or else it will be .. the United States let gin out of the bottle ...
    1. padded jacket
      padded jacket 15 October 2014 12: 37
      +1
      This monster was created by the USA, Israel and the "black" monarchies of P-Z to crush the remnants of the USSR and countries opposing their "cannibalistic" plans, to subjugate the world and provoke wars and chaos.
      Therefore, Russia must, with all its might, support Syria, Iran, Hezbollah and other progressive movements and countries that are in the forefront of the fight against terrorists, and at the same time struggle against all efforts, at all international venues, to destroy and destroy our country and other countries fighting with bandits and fanatics (if we are forced to do this, then by military means)
      1. padded jacket
        padded jacket 15 October 2014 15: 06
        +1
        Interesting opinion:
        Washington cannot avoid a ground operation against the IG.
  17. Not served
    Not served 15 October 2014 12: 51
    +2
    We can help them to move to Mexico and to Texas. There is also oil and drugs.
    1. Demon0n
      Demon0n 16 October 2014 03: 40
      0
      Quote: Not served
      We can help them to move to Mexico and to Texas. There is also oil and drugs.


      And to carry cash banknotes to them and back (maintenance and payment of resources) by supertankers and multi-kilometer columns of trucks. Or do you hope that the United States will approve such a fuss in spite of yourself, turning a blind eye to! ELECTRONIC! accounts and transactions? No ..., of course, there are such individuals (as elsewhere), only they are kept away from the relevant and generally significant powers. No need to fool around. Russia does not have a controlled global and uncontested financial system. No one in their right mind and sober memory exclusively with the military force method fights extremist army groups (as old as the world). They do exactly what is required of them. The rest is a performance for those who believe in self-propelled_ self-causal miracles (a new word in the understanding of the universe and the world around: a doctorate in philosophy, at least).
  18. korol yasheriz
    korol yasheriz 15 October 2014 14: 52
    +1
    the activities of militants united under the flag of the Islamic State are the result of ill-conceived military actions by the United States of America and their allies

    Well, how ill-conceived. Very thoughtful
  19. The comment was deleted.
  20. es.d
    es.d 15 October 2014 19: 20
    +1
    For those who have not seen recourse





    ... the thing is that I am a Muslim ... it is written in the Quran ... That's it, gentlemen liberals.
  21. Alex l
    Alex l 15 October 2014 20: 27
    0
    The teeth break off.
    1. strannik1985
      strannik1985 15 October 2014 20: 58
      0
      Most likely they will not be alone, really, something, our sworn friends are able to cook dirty tricks.
  22. xent
    xent 15 October 2014 21: 11
    0
    This is not a Muslim war for faith ... this is a war of religious fanatics against our civilization. And they should be fed with a hand that seems to be very far away from us ... September 11th did not become a lesson for them, everything will ultimately turn against those who created this infernal machine ...
  23. alone
    alone 15 October 2014 22: 02
    +1
    The Taliban, who declared themselves ISIS allies, can climb into Central Asia, and they can break into it only through Tajikistan. casualties, and the Taliban, as time has shown, have not yet completely lost their minds. And Turkmenistan is the same who comes to power in Afghanistan. They collaborated with both.
  24. Berezin alex
    Berezin alex 16 October 2014 00: 55
    +2
    We must act by Stalinist methods in relation to the enemies of the fatherland. Human rights activists protecting terrorists to the wall, and FSUs. to the opinion of the West. On provocations from either side, respond with heavy fire, the enemy must drown in an ocean of blood. And we must not forget about the presence of WMD in our arsenals, because this is our main trump card in the war
  25. Prager
    Prager 18 October 2014 17: 10
    0
    welcome - we’ll quickly send everyone to hell after many, many jihadists! Dudaev has been waiting for you in hell for a long time!