Is there currently a threat of the collapse of the Russian Federation?
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, 15 of new independent states was created, but after 20 years it is quite obvious that almost all of them did not pass the test of time, being completely artificial formations. Created only to weaken Great Russia - the core of the Russian civilization. Economically, the Baltic countries are bankrupt, people from there massively flee to other European countries. Politically, their only sense of existence is the various dirty tricks of the Russian Federation.
The countries of the South Caucasus also show their inconsistency, their citizens live and work in the Russian Federation to feed their relatives left at home. Georgia in general has already managed to fall apart, having lost South Ossetia and Abkhazia, on the turn Ajaria, which it attracts to Turkey. Azerbaijan has lost Nagorno-Karabakh, and there is no chance to return it, only by war and the universal deportation of Armenians from there, which is currently impossible to do. The world is not yet so destabilized. The fate of Baku is to become a “satellite” of Turkey, with a gradual loss of identity. Only Armenia in the South Caucasus has retained a certain understanding that only in union with Russia can it save itself. Apparently, the reason is that Armenians were so often slaughtered that they understood at the genetic level that they could not survive alone.
Central Asia, with a decrease in the percentage of the number of Russians, is slipping into medieval obscurantism and degrading more and more. Already in the medium term, it will face interethnic conflicts of great bloodshed and cruelty - for water, for pastures, for agricultural land, for mines, and so on. The same example of the Osh massacre is just a harbinger of future, even larger clashes. Moreover, this will not necessarily happen in 5-10 years, it can begin at any moment. All these countries, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, have a lot of socio-economic, national problems. Their fate is a further slide into the world of feudalism, with khans, beys, beys, slave trade, drug sales (the example of neighboring Afghanistan and the profits of local drug businessmen is more and more tempting); further deterioration of the infrastructure inherited from the Soviet Union, the degradation of education and medicine, and intellectual potential. Against the background of the introduction of Western disintegrating stereotypes of behavior, the radical currents of Islam will become even stronger, and the threat of an Islamic revolution will grow. As a result, the whole of Central Asia will fall into inferno, becoming like Afghanistan. This will not harm the interests of Western corporations and China; they can defend their economic investments with the help of military private companies. Against their modern communications, intelligence, drones, the mobile capabilities of neo-basmachi mercenaries will not be able to do anything.
With Moldova, everything is also clear - will be absorbed by Romania at the earliest opportunity, with further de-Russification of the population. Belarus turned out to be the most resistant to degradation, but it is not self-sufficient, therefore its outcome will be sad - Lukashenko will be eliminated sooner or later, the new pro-Western regime will arrange “privatization”, the Soviet industrial and agricultural enterprises will be ruined, the army will be “optimized”, the population will be die out even faster.
Small Russia is just a bunch of problems ready to blow up a country at any moment. It can be blown up with the help of the Crimea. Remember Syria, unlike a more stable regime than the Ukrainian one. And he was rocked up to the storming of cities with the help of artillery and armored vehicles. Turn Ukraine into ruins will be much easier. You can start in the Crimea, on the border with Romania, Hungary, Poland. You can play the card of Galicia, the radical sentiments of Western Ukrainians (many of them believe that the south-east of Ukraine is stopping them on their way to United Europe). Plus, the degradation of the army, the country's infrastructure, the mass of socio-economic problems.
It turns out that all the republics of the former USSR are artificial formations created after the defeat of the Red Empire in the Third World War, or, in a different way, in the “cold war”. And in Moscow it is already time to adopt a law “on a divided united Russian people” (Great Russians, Little Russians, Belarusians), “on a divided big Russia”. A new union of our peoples is needed, otherwise it is impossible, all nations alone are doomed to be victims of the globalization of the West or, as an option, of China or the Islamic world.
So, according to the latest Rosstat data, a bunch of anti-social, anti-people states were formed on the place of the USSR: “Almost three-quarters of the population of Russia are poor or most needy citizens. The situation is even worse in Kazakhstan, Ukraine and Azerbaijan, and a little better in Belarus. ”
And one more fact: during the conference “20 years after the USSR: what’s next?”, Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Security Committee Gennady Gudkov said that there was a threefold increase in the export of capital from the Russian Federation. That is, the modern "elite" cares only about their personal interests, it does not connect their future with the future of Russia and its peoples.
In such a situation, a social revolution is only a matter of time ...
The only thing that can save the peoples of the Russian Federation, the former Soviet Union from non-existence is a new global project, globalization in Russian, a new union. Taking into account the mistakes of the past, for example: no distortions in the development of the regions, so that the Baltic States or the regions of Central Asia are equipped at the expense of the central regions. And for this, Russia needs a new elite, ready to fight for its people, to defend only its interests.
Sources of:
http://svpressa.ru/economy/article/44482/
http://www.ng.ru/economics/2011-06-02/4_antisocial.html
Information