Military Review

Ratings "from the ceiling"

Perhaps nothing in the economic environment is so controversial as the assessment of published business ratings. Quite recently, it was these ratings that were published (according to the 2013 results of the year) - ratings that tinker the countries according to the ranking in accordance with the conditions of running a private business. The stormy discussion is usually due to the fact that international rating analytical agencies respected by many experts can present extremely different results. In this regard, you can immediately ask the question: who and for whom are these ratings drawn up, and how objective are they?

Before turning to the concrete ratings of the “business well-being” of the countries of the world, it is worth considering the following situation (in order, let's say, to plunge into the practical value (or lack thereof) of the ratings presented. Suppose that the group of “gentlemen” has a certain amount of money for which these gentlemen would like to launch a business in the Russian Federation. Gentlemen could build a business without an informational component, initially spitting on the Russian Federation’s rating positions, but imagine that they are pedantic businessmen, for whom all the reports of rating agencies are of very significant importance. For convenience, the designation pedantic businessman call him "Herr Schmidt."

So Harr Schmidt gets up from his bed and thinks whether he should open a business in Russia or not. To do this, he decides to use the data of a respected international analytic agency of an economic nature that he personally sees — he visits the Bloomberg website Whistling the tune “My dear Augustine”, he adds to the information that during the 2013 year, the Russian economy in terms of attractiveness of doing business has risen by as much as 13 points, having moved from 56 to 43-th place (from 157 economies counted by Blumberg ). The pace “My dear Augustine” from such positive information is accelerating, and Herr Schmidt, inspired by the success of the Russian business system, recorded in Bloomberg, calls his financial partner (let Herr Fisher) to rejoice together. Like, Herr Fisher, just look at how much the Russian economic system has jumped ahead in terms of its attractiveness for running a private business. Like, let's add your euros to my euros and start a business somewhere near Smolensk ...

However, Harr Fisher doesn’t understand Herr Schmidt’s inspiration, for Herr Fischer just saw with his own eyes a similar rating, but from an agency he respected. Harr Fisher respects only the World Bank analyst (Doing Bussines segment), which, according to 2013, gave Russia not 43-place, but 92 (though not from 157, but from 189 - the World Bank considered "Like Kosovo, Gaza and so on) ...

By the way, the WB Doing Bussines rating to Russia is simply implacable not only in terms of ease of doing business, but also in terms of providing information about what place the Russian Federation occupies in such an indicator as, for example, obtaining a building permit. And the place is as much as 180 ... Recall: from 189 possible, together with Kosovo and East Timor! Harr Fisher, having read this data, almost went into hysterics, having learned that getting permission to build on the West Bank is about one and a half times easier than in the regions of the Russian Federation ... Even more hysterics would cause both harras , if I had read in the published Doing Bussines rating that it is easiest in this world to get permission to build a private facility (office center), attention ... in Hong Kong! Maybe it is easier to get a building permit in Hong Kong exactly 180 times than in Russia, for the simple reason that in Hong Kong “go and find” where to build ... If only on the roof of another office center or by going deeper than the subway ...

In general, two herrs talked to each other, once again glanced at the figures in the ratings, scratched their heads and decided, and realized that without a pair of Bavarian mugs, there would be no consensus here.

And indeed, what kind of consensus can we talk about, when rating agencies, as they say, scum, who are in that much. Wanted Bloomberg - introduced Russia to the number of 50 countries with the most attractive business, wanted WB - cooled Bloomberg, giving Russia a line somewhere between Albania and Namibia (it should be noted that WB is very close to Russia and China - even slightly lower (96 place) - apparently, so it was not insulting). Such, in no way intertwined with each other, the values ​​of world analytical centers can only say that in most cases they take their data from the ceiling.

Did any business analyst of Bloomberg try not only to register a business, but at least a year and a half to stretch with this business somewhere in the Black Earth region without the obligatory “friendly contacts” with the vice-mayor or regional deputy minister? If after three months he does not rush from the bridge after the next inspection of the fire inspection, he will work with a twitching eye, but he will ... If, of course, it is not found that the land on which he built the office (farm, workshop) is strategically important for the company , unexpectedly open grand-nephew of the mentioned vice-mayor ...
And did the WB analyst try to build an office and open a business, for example, in Papua New Guinea, where, according to the rating compiled by the same WB analyst, obtaining permission to build problems is significantly less than in Russia or China (Russia - 180 place, China - 185, Papua New Guinea - 165) ...

Apparently, rating agencies live in some of their worlds. And sometimes even statesmen who rule the country's economy, looking at the ratings presented, are themselves surprised by the published data: oh! Look, we are already in the 43-th place, and these have sunk to the 70-th ...

Everything is extremely similar to weather forecasts, only the opposite - in retrospect ... Yesterday in Moscow it was -25-27 degrees Celsius. Yes? .. And the Muscovites' thermometers showed frost 5 ...
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  1. Vladimirets
    Vladimirets 7 February 2014 08: 31
    "Apparently, the rating agencies live in their own worlds."

    The world in which they live is the world of business, well, and a little politics, because politics in the West is a business tool. With the help of the published rating of a "respected" agency, you can either lower someone or raise a simple company or any state. But everything looks honest and true.
    1. Igor39
      Igor39 7 February 2014 08: 37
      This is not the world of business but the world of speculative securities.
      1. Romn
        Romn 7 February 2014 08: 41
        Everything is bought, paid for and politicized. What can we say about Western ratings when we have enough "patriots" inside the country who are ready to humiliate their country with foam at the mouth.
        The stronger and more independent Russia will be, the more "good" we will hear about our country ...
        1. Papakiko
          Papakiko 7 February 2014 09: 24
          Quote: Romn
          The stronger and more independent Russia will be, the more "good" we will hear about our country ...

          Yes, you are an optimist.
          Regardless of the state of affairs in the state, "friends" will always pour slop on us.
          The latter can be excluded only when day "3,14" occurs:
        2. kris
          kris 7 February 2014 11: 39
          Quote: Romn
          we have enough "patriots" inside the country
      2. Vladimirets
        Vladimirets 7 February 2014 09: 40
        Quote: Igor39
        This is not the world of business but the world of speculative securities.

        Oddly enough, but this is their business. Ce la vie.
        1. siberalt
          siberalt 7 February 2014 11: 26
          Igor 39

          They took it off the tongue. Now everything is business from contract killings to the collapse of states. Moral boundaries are being erased. Kurginyan has this in the "sense of the game -51".
        2. siberalt
          siberalt 7 February 2014 11: 26
          Igor 39

          They took it off the tongue. Now everything is business from contract killings to the collapse of states. Moral boundaries are being erased. Kurginyan has this in the "sense of the game -51".
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. Cherdak
      Cherdak 7 February 2014 18: 11
      Quote: Vladimirets
      The world they live in is a business world, well, some politics,

      It always touches me, especially the liberals and statistics "according to Illarion".

      Explain to me in Russian how to understand this from the data of the Federal State Statistics Service

      Summary indicators # Gross domestic product # GDP, billion rubles
      2012 618112
      2013 666893

      growth of 7,9%

      however right there on the line in % to the corresponding period of the previous year

      2013 101,33%

      Do you think everything? No, it turns out that "Industrial production in Russia grew in 2013 compared to 2012 by 0,3%. This is reported by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). "Http://

      Believe that Inflation in Russia in 2013 amounted to 6,5%

      And then, like a joke?

      There are two classmates.
      One at school was an excellent pupil, the second - an inveterate lap-dog.
      Now the first is clearly in poverty, and the second is clearly on the money.
      And here is one who is a former d-league student, and now a successful person, tells his schoolmate:
      - Understand, I take a container with beer apiece of Baku, then I throw off the caskets for three. Here on these two percent I live
  2. treskoed
    treskoed 7 February 2014 08: 40
    Ratings, horoscopes, polls, forecasts - their results are determined in advance by ordering them !!! As they say, who pays the girl, he dances her !!!
    1. Sid.74
      Sid.74 7 February 2014 09: 02
      Quote: treskoed
      As they say, whoever pays a girl, he dances her !!!

      S & P, Moody's, Fitch are all located in the USA!
    2. fennekRUS
      fennekRUS 7 February 2014 09: 40
      very precise definition-Ratings, horoscopes, polls, forecasts - all this, the essence is the same. the imposition of mid-ceiling textures on inflamed gyrus.
  3. mountain
    mountain 7 February 2014 08: 49
    Everyone notes crisis and politicians and economists, journalists, artists, musicians and singers. Only we ordinary people will not understand how to recognize this scourge among us. And they don’t give advice, only everyone in chorus sings a crisis, a crisis. You tell us friends, how it looks to attack, this crisis, what to save, where to run. What shall we do to the peasants, and indeed to our women. Maybe damn Bosko collapse, a terrible crisis. And here the rumors went on, but contagious, is it? Maybe all of us guys got infected. What should we do, how can we be, where can we catch the infection? The crisis is terrible.
  4. Horn
    Horn 7 February 2014 09: 07
    What do you want? Those who do not know how to write books go to literary critics, who do not know how to compose music - into musical ...
  5. Name
    Name 7 February 2014 09: 10
    Oh, this reiting ... there is one, that's for sure ... http: // do not be lazy, come in and assure you the crisis in Russia- it is directed on their part!
  6. Per se.
    Per se. 7 February 2014 10: 12
    In addition to ratings "from the ceiling", there are tariffs "from the bulldozer", and much more that is passed off as science in the murky swamp of business. All recently, people have been convinced that a planned economy is something not scientific, harmful to the development of the country, inappropriately leading to empty counters and stagnation. "Kind" uncles from across the hill have generously supplied us with economic "primers" and the "bible" of the market economy, where the main "metric" system of the world's economy is the dollar. At the same time, they did not forget to enlighten in the rules of the market game, which any casino will envy, and casinos, as you know, always win. So, figuratively speaking, with the "correct" organization of the state organism, the "right hand" can owe a debt to the "left leg", and the "heart" can turn out to be bankrupt in front of the "stomach". You can have everything and be due to everyone, sit on oil and gas, and have unprofitable production due to ridiculous tariffs, absurd bank interest, and much more, in this gambling game for money, for profit, in the magic casino of world capitalism, with banning from across the ocean. So they collect money on TV for children for operations, and bailiffs are breaking into neighbors, punishing people deceived by banks and cheated housing and communal services.
  7. svskor80
    svskor80 7 February 2014 10: 14
    It’s time for Russia to launch its rating agencies. And smart guys will talk about problems in the economies of the EEC and the USA. Russia also has a political order for economic stability.
  8. Sunjar
    Sunjar 7 February 2014 10: 24
    And here it is worth paying attention to the fact that as soon as Russia makes concessions to the West, our ratings on the research of their companies begin to grow and improve: in the social system, in the health care system, in education, etc. As soon as Russia sends them tries, so in Russia, democracy, freedom of speech disappears, but repression appears (and as everyone knows, they repress exclusively the innocent). As for education, why are our universities far from the first places, despite the fact that many specialists of the world scale have graduated from them? Yes, because in order to be in high positions it is necessary to observe their so-called "standards" (it is worth taking a closer look at them, as the eyes are already climbing from such madness). For example, a university in the Norwegian capital Oslo. This university is considered one of the best universities in the world. It's just that all the requirements and standards established by the West are observed there. And the fact that the average schoolchild in Norway by the age of 10 really can't read and write is so it should be.
  9. morpogr
    morpogr 7 February 2014 10: 31
    All these rating agencies play the role of professional gossipers, and this is done for one purpose by playing with securities and currencies on exchanges. It is mainly Anglo-Saxons who do this, so it is not surprising that all the main agencies are from the USA and England.
  10. Yaroslav
    Yaroslav 7 February 2014 10: 54
    The rankings were drained from Uncle Sam’s finger!
  11. konvalval
    konvalval 7 February 2014 10: 55
    Ratings are the same as come to the Maidan.
  12. Goldmitro
    Goldmitro 7 February 2014 12: 15
    <<< The heated discussion is usually due to the fact that international rating analytical agencies respected by many experts can present extremely different results. >>>
    And, perhaps, it should be, on the contrary, to discuss - are the specialists who are guided in making their decisions by these, it is no longer a secret for anyone, the venal offices for hanging NOODLES on their ears worthy of being called EXPERTS, "modestly" calling themselves "analolytic centers" !
  13. alicante11
    alicante11 7 February 2014 13: 25
    Hush, hush, gentlemen comrades. Don't spoil the holiday for people. Indeed, some gentlemen like Yarosvet use these forecasts to build their proofs of "pro-salipolymers".
  14. twviewer
    twviewer 7 February 2014 15: 30
    rating agencies are an important element of global swindle, without their participation the most grandiose scams, like the crisis of 2007-2008, would not have taken place.
    By the way, they not only assign ratings but also evaluate both assets and the risks of transactions, so these are seasoned crooks :) their activity is much wider than just speculation on the exchange
  15. Strashila
    Strashila 7 February 2014 15: 32
    There was an article about creating ratings ... a purely subjective opinion of a chela ... sometimes based on whether he liked coffee in a local cafe or not.
  16. Power
    Power 7 February 2014 22: 01
    Similarly, the president is our super duper influential and every now and then takes first places in the bourgeois ratings. Look better "with what to go to the Kremlin? Krestyanskaya Pravda" on Neuromir-TV with Vasily Melnichenko.
  17. alone
    alone 7 February 2014 22: 09
    ratings-shmeytingi. empty chatter. the best rating is the people who really know how they live. You won’t deceive people with interest and will not become well-fed.
  18. voliador
    voliador 7 February 2014 22: 32
    Yes, down to their ratings. They are all custom-made.
  19. dv-v
    dv-v 9 February 2014 08: 17
    a panopticon, a natural panopticon - the author, you, along with your commentators who did not smell the business, and therefore do not know the conditions for its conduct, still have the same nonsense to write about nuclear physics, chemistry and medicine - as evil schemers from the west feed the unfortunate Russian people are the same gmo products.

    The director general of Rostselmash already answered such impassable ignorant ignoramuses, why it is easier and more profitable for him to produce combines in Canada, and not in Russia.