Military Review

Egyptian Gambit

23
Of course, the main theme of the week became offset by a military coup from the post of Egyptian President Mohammed Mursi. Mursi still continues to consider himself a legally elected presidentbut from the fate of Hosni Mubarak his now hardly something will save. In any case, the events that have happened within the framework of the Middle East, and indeed the entire geopolitical mosaic of the world, are important and ambiguous. So it makes sense to analyze them a bit.


Mohammed Mursi, who came with the support of the Muslim Brotherhood in power in Egypt as a result of the election of 17 on June 2012, for the year in power managed to “do” things for more than a few years and ten years. From the main you can remember Pharaoh's Egyptian Constitutionwhich Mursi lobbied and also the recent severance of relations with the official authorities of Syria. In fact, Mursi, convicted by the sole authority in Egypt's 85-ti million, with its policy, represented a "time bomb" for the entire Middle East. In addition to Mursi, the same "bombs" were Turkish Prime Minister Recep Erdogan, the Qatari dynasty of Al-Thani and the Saudi dynasty to KSA. As you know, after the protests in Turkey started in early June of this year, Erdogan was ready to coordinate actions on the Syrian issue, well, and Mursi ended his career this week. Both are largely due to certain forces inside these countries, who do not want to be drawn into the Middle Eastern adventure imposed from outside. So now, in essence, only Qatar continued to remain the core of the destabilization of the Middle East, which was recently headed by Emir Tamim bin-Hamad At-Thani, the young continuer of his father’s affairs, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, risking going into oblivion immediately after the death of current King Abdullah Ibn-Abdel Aziz Al Saud But back to Egypt ...

Often enough all sorts of "experts" make all sorts of conclusions regarding the factors of certain events in the Middle East. So now, in the Runet, the western “duck” is massively replicating that Qatar and Saudi Arabia are “merged” by Mursi, and indeed Qatar and KSA carry out different policies in Egypt. Qatar, they say, supports the Muslim Brotherhood, Mursi called for the overthrow of Assad. But they overthrew him ...and KSA - local Salafis. And they are not very friendly. First, it should be immediately noted that the Wahhabis are the same Salafis. In Egypt, the Wahhabis Muslim Brothers, who call for the creation of the Great Islamic Caliphate, are de facto (they themselves do not consider themselves to be the creation of the Great Islamic Caliphate), and the Salafis from Hizb al-Nur enjoy the support of both Qatar and KSA, while adhering to almost identical ideology and completely identical goals. So, the resignation of Mohammed Mursi for Qatar and KSA is the loss of a huge political and economic asset. The power in Egypt again took over the military. And this means the removal of all the Salafi-Wahhabi guardians of the "political Islam" of a radical nature from the internal politics of Egypt. Yes, Egypt will continue to conduct pro-American policies in the region. The United States regularly paid for the army of Egypt. 1,3 billion dollars a year. Egypt will continue to pursue a loyal policy towards Israel. But at the same time, Egypt will stop playing jihad on orders from Doha and Riyadh under the tacit approval of Washington. And it threatens to a great failure for the entire “Greater Middle East”.

In general, initially the coming of the Muslim Brotherhood to power in Egypt was like a gambit. The military on the basis of sentiment in Egyptian society allowed Egypt to "steer" representatives of this movement. And then, having waited for the right degree of discontent in society with the policies of Mursi and Co., they removed the Muslim Brotherhood from Egyptian politics in one fell swoop, and didn’t let them do real big "deeds." Now, a return to power in Egypt of radical Islamists is hardly possible even in the medium term, although the protests of the Muslim Brotherhood and Co. in Egypt will certainly continue. And that means that Egypt will cease active participation in all sorts of adventures in the Middle East. It is very happy. It’s only a pity that the military leadership in Turkey has become very relaxed since the days of Kemal Ataturk ...
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  1. Alexander Romanov
    Alexander Romanov 8 July 2013 05: 57
    +8
    One overthrew, another set .... did not like the overthrow of the next. The revolution has a beginning, the revolution has no end laughing
    With Qatar and the Saudis, and so everything is clear, everyone who dances to the tune of someone else does not finish very well. Question of time hi
    1. Tersky
      Tersky 8 July 2013 07: 33
      +6
      Quote: Alexander Romanov
      One overthrew, another set .... did not like overthrew the next

      Sasha hi ! So how many pluses and what variety, fellow... In Egypt, the frequency of revolutions gradually grew into a regular cycle, lived under the Salafis, the next five years under the military, then under the Sunnis, and so on in a circle and to infinity. Well, they do not like the insipid monotonous life, bread and circuses are not enough for them. Well, if on the topic, guys are great - less than a year of coming to power of Mursi, having scored everything. removed this political trash and jackals calling themselves "brothers" away from the helm of Egypt.
      One can only guess how it will all end.
      1. Alexander Romanov
        Alexander Romanov 8 July 2013 07: 51
        +1
        Quote: Tersky
        So how many pluses and what variety

        Hello Vit! Judging by the demos you sell tours to Egypt wink
        1. Tersky
          Tersky 8 July 2013 13: 25
          +2
          Quote: Alexander Romanov
          Judging by the demos you sell tours to Egypt

          Yeah .., yes , family business. And only for extreme lovers and only last minute. The range is wide: Somalia, Congo, Uganda, Iraq, Afghanistan, South Sudan, Colombia, Burma ...
    2. nokki
      nokki 8 July 2013 08: 41
      +3
      "The revolution devours its children," the words spoken before his execution by the famous leader of the Great French Revolution Georges Jacques Danton (1759-1794) are still relevant today. The meaning of the expression: the logic of post-revolutionary events is such that the struggle between the revolutionaries themselves becomes inevitable, and usually people who are elevated to the top of state power by the revolution are the first to die.

      It is naive to think that such a process is taking place in Egypt spontaneously. As it was rightly noted here, a "Syrian scenario" has been prepared for her. Western puppeteers are preparing such a "number" against practically all the countries of Eurasia. Anyone who has carefully studied history knows where the legs of these revolutions and chaos come from. You can sneer and mock the "Protocols of the Elders of Zion" ... But, open them, and you will see how the tasks defined by this seemingly "falsified" document are being systematically carried out.

      It’s also amazing (excuse me!) That the truly donkey stubbornness of some Arab politicians and spiritual leaders of the Islamists, with whom they destroy the unique Arab civilization!

      Well, and a joke about Egypt.

      Hodja Nasreddin forgot that only the bridle was stolen from him

      An elegant bridle was stolen from the hoxha. He took the donkey by the ear and led him home. A few days later, having seen this bridle on a huge Egyptian donkey, he, in amazement looking at the donkey, its head and all its constitution, said: "The head is like that of my donkey, but in the body it has changed a lot."
    3. host
      host 8 July 2013 11: 24
      +1
      The USA is driving this whole mess, and I must say they are doing well.
      The United States has only one problem: how now to send all revolutionaries to the North, closer to Russia.
      1. Mikhail3
        Mikhail3 8 July 2013 12: 48
        0
        Well, not really like that. If they clearly steered the SGA, Mursi wouldn’t have trampled ... The military, on the one hand, receive 4 lard per year from the Americans, and they love this money very much. On the other hand ... the Americans want to bring down the country, that's obvious. And the military is investing these 4 favorite green bag is far from the army. And then you will retire, so what? Proud of new army tanks in service? Not for that they go to Egypt as generals ...
        CSKA own property. Hotels that are bent without tourists. Shops, markets, bakeries, and so on and so forth ... And now they are against the SGA for their own. Even they will most likely refuse subsidies, because it is clearly visible what will happen to them. Libya taught very well. Another thing is whether they succeed in resisting. Stupidly the question - where to get money for cartridges? Their property now and spit is not worth it, long-term allies betrayed and strangled, where to go? To contact us? Question...
        1. Che
          Che 8 July 2013 18: 54
          0
          For amers that Mursi that Mubarak, no difference. The main thing is to wreak havoc. Puppeteers are bad.
  2. sergey72
    sergey72 8 July 2013 05: 58
    +7
    Down and Out trouble started! Who likes to live next to "Alla I'm in a bar" and so they vote with their feet (kick in the ass as in the case of Mursi), Erdogan swaggers but one more wrong move and he will follow.
  3. Andrew 121
    Andrew 121 8 July 2013 05: 59
    +4
    What is still not clear. The resistance of the Islamists is growing and there may well be a scenario in Syria or a real civil war.
    1. Thunderbolt
      Thunderbolt 8 July 2013 06: 25
      +4
      Well, I say, the economy of Egypt is undermined, the resignation of the Mursi prologue to the great massacre, in the final, Egypt will lose the Suez Canal.
  4. VadimSt
    VadimSt 8 July 2013 06: 13
    +3
    The only pity is that in Turkey the military leadership has really relaxed since the time of Kemal Ataturk ...

    Erdogan simply "cleaned" them like Khrushchev did in his time. In 2012 alone, he retired 56 generals and admirals with the official wording - "no vacancies for promotion." At the same time, among the dismissed there are 40 military leaders arrested on suspicion of preparing a coup d'etat in 2004 and 2008 (organization "Ergenekon"). Previously, those who took part in the military coups in 1980 and 1997 were brought to trial.
  5. bomg.77
    bomg.77 8 July 2013 06: 43
    +3
    In Egypt, everything goes to a civil war, and as Alexander Romanov said, there is no end in sight. Israel can sleep peacefully, all neighbors have a mess, there are no rivals.
  6. serge-68-68
    serge-68-68 8 July 2013 06: 55
    +4
    I don’t remember the participation of Egypt in adventures "in the Middle East" since the Arab-Israeli wars. Gambit in the chess sense of the word is possible, only it was not played by the Egyptian military. Recently, the Arabs have accumulated too much energy and too many youth, so some grandmasters have taken care that this potential was wasted in fratricidal showdowns with each other.
    1. bomg.77
      bomg.77 8 July 2013 07: 03
      +2
      Quote: serge-68-68
      So some grandmasters took care that this potential was wasted in fratricidal squabbles with each other.

      In the Middle East, Israel is a grandmaster, the rest are just chess players, no matter how they belonged to him.
  7. kartalovkolya
    kartalovkolya 8 July 2013 07: 01
    +3
    Everything is very simple, although confused: but who benefits from all this? Yes, pepper-amer is clear so as to prevent the collapse of its own with all means and means to destabilize the Arab world first and then the rest! Therefore, all their allies are just consumables, which they sacrifice without hesitation.
  8. individual
    individual 8 July 2013 07: 06
    +3
    The land of the pyramids is in a fever. The civil war in Egypt will be unleashed by the "bearded brothers" for revenge of their political Islam.
    Until there are forces capable of stopping the Saudis and Qatar in the Middle East will rule the ball of Satan under the leadership of the United States.
  9. pensioner
    pensioner 8 July 2013 07: 48
    +1
    The people are sorry. When everything is still going to work out ... And so they did not scandalize the bulk of them, and the war will be - so they’ll grab grief in general. And the country is fertile. Live and enjoy ...
    1. Mairos
      Mairos 8 July 2013 10: 34
      0
      Just not graceful. Deserts, mountains and irrigated agriculture. And the population of 85 lyamas - that’s where the effort of all these guardians to send the population reduction would be. No, I understand that Muslims have families with many children ... but why do people need brains ??! Or does everyone believe that everyone will fit in a geyrop? Or do we need arabian mulens for someone? On-fig .. their problems are higher than the roof.
      1. Basileus
        Basileus 8 July 2013 11: 04
        0
        And what, from Egypt a lot of people going to Europe? This is mainly the lot of the French colonies - in Britain with this stricter.

        Well, I hope the word "Nile" tells you something.
  10. serge-68-68
    serge-68-68 8 July 2013 08: 23
    +1
    Quote: bomg.77
    Quote: serge-68-68
    So some grandmasters took care that this potential was wasted in fratricidal squabbles with each other.

    In the Middle East, Israel is a grandmaster, the rest are just chess players, no matter how they belonged to him.

    We have one grandmaster - the United States, the rest move chess at best, and at worst go where they say.
    1. bomg.77
      bomg.77 8 July 2013 08: 51
      0
      Quote: serge-68-68
      We have one grandmaster - the United States, the rest move chess at best, and at worst go where they say.

      Maybe you are right. hi
  11. Muxauk
    Muxauk 8 July 2013 09: 44
    +1
    revolution is revolution, but Egypt will not run away from Tan, they know how to promote their people into power
  12. biglow
    biglow 8 July 2013 09: 55
    +1
    History always repeats itself and sooner or later another leader will leave the ranks of the army, who will repeat the path of Mubarak or Sadat, it remains only to wait
  13. Mairos
    Mairos 8 July 2013 10: 30
    +1
    We would still have all the guardians of political Islam "removed". Or, at least, it was released. extremely dangerous filth is born from the mixing of politics and religion - the experience of the crusaders in the Middle Ages is an example of this.
    1. Basileus
      Basileus 8 July 2013 11: 06
      +2
      Sobsno-not only the crusaders. Almost all medieval politics was determined by religion and vice versa. Only now, this is not going smoothly with us now, considering the position the church occupies and how the state media fight against attacks on it.