The United States declares the rejection of the 4 th stage of the deployment of a missile defense system in Europe: a victory for Russia, or a reason to think?
Sensational information at the end of last week came from the United States of America. Representatives of the US military announced that the stars and stripes state is going to deploy additional interceptor missiles in East Asia because of the threat posed by the DPRK. But the sensation itself is not the case. Under Secretary of Defense James Miller announced that due to the reduced funding of US military programs, the 4 phase of the deployment of European missile defense would have to be abandoned, which meant that by the year 2021 Europe would have to completely modernize interceptors, which after modernization will be able to hit even intercontinental ballistic missiles.
It is worth recalling that the American authorities have been talking about the deployment of large-scale missile defense in Europe over the past few years. This program received approval from the White House in 2009, and the first stage of the deployment of the European missile defense system has already become a reality. This stage consisted in the commissioning of military ships equipped with antimissiles in the Mediterranean Sea on combat duty. The next stage of Washington’s plan should be completed in the 2015 year, when elements of a ground-based missile defense system will begin to operate in Romania. The end of the third phase of the implementation - 2018 year, when the next elements of the European missile defense system will appear in Poland and begin full operation.
About a month ago, the United States analyzed the situation with the strategy of deploying missile defense in Europe and came to the conclusion that this strategy initially had certain defects. In particular, a number of Pentagon experts expressed their opinion that it would be inexpedient to deploy missile defense elements in Romania at all, since the effectiveness of their actions precisely on the territory of this Eastern European country is close to zero. In addition, it was suggested that additional funds may be needed to implement the Polish segment of the European missile defense system, since this project also requires the most thorough refinement. In this regard, the very fact of the implementation of the fourth stage of the deployment of the US missile defense system in Europe looked somewhat doubtful due to the fact that the American authorities themselves cut back the level of funding for military programs. Budget sequestration in the US added even more questions.
And here, to the bitter American regret (and, perhaps, fortunately), an impulsive North Korean leader came to hand, who threatened the United States and their South Korean allies with a nuclear war, if they did not stop provocations against the DPRK.
The question of how obvious or not obvious these provocations were and has already been raised at the Military Review. Therefore, we will not return to it once again, but rather pay attention to the fact that Pyongyang, using the beyond suspiciousness of the “progressive democratic community”, in fact, forced the Americans to open a second front. After all, if the United States didn’t react to Kim Jong-un’s threats, it would be suspicious for both South Koreans and ordinary Americans: they say they are bribing money in Europe to build a shield against the Iranian ephemeral threat The White House and the Senate, and when an absolutely non-ephemeral nuclear threat arises in the East, Washington does not react to it ...
In general, I had to respond. However, so far everything is going on only at the level of statements that in the political world are not always translated into reality. However, suppose that this is the case - the Americans have indeed decided to revise their plans for European missile defense. What does this mean for the Americans themselves, for Europe and for Russia? For the Americans themselves, this can only mean one thing: the printing press is still not a panacea for economic problems. After all, if the US authorities were forced to cut the military budget for the first time in many years, it means that not everything is so rosy in a star-and-striped kingdom. The fact that “the king is naked” (judging by the frantic digits of public debt) was understood by many before, but at the same time they pretended that the “royal robes” were in fact rich and multilayered. But now the “big democratic monarch” himself, in fact, signs that the incarnation of ideas about the protection of all progressive humanity from the “hostile” manifestations of the “axis of evil” is simply “dumb penny” ...
It turns out that the bloated army, the savior of the world, together with the new patronizing cries of the US authorities, does not just cost the Americans a lot of money, but also every time makes them think about it. Unilateral armament under the pretext of saving world democracy seems to have led the United States to understand that the burden of world patron No. XXUMX is unbearable in the current economic situation.
So there was such a blow to the dirt with a democratic face. After the reports of the Pentagon representatives that the anti-missile forces need to be transferred to the Far East, and the embodiment of their plans in Europe to leave for better times, already worried about Europe itself ... The same Romanians are close to realizing that they can simply “throw” , Referring to the North Korean threat. The Poles began to stir too, having heard that new European funds are needed for their part of the European missile defense, the allocation of which the American treasury can afford for the time being with great difficulty. After that, the same representatives of the American military department had to come up with the assurances of their European "friends" that they did not need to worry. That we, they say, refused to stage 4, and the remaining stages, God willing, will realize - without panic, the Romanian brothers! without panic, brothers-poles! ..
At the same time, in Russia, for the time being, the words of major US military officials are being evaluated. After all, these words actually confirm that Russia is winning in a big dispute over the fact of the intensity of development of the missile defense system in Europe. It is the ability of the European missile defense system to work on the interception of intercontinental ballistic missiles that caused Moscow the greatest concern. It turns out that for a long time Moscow itself failed, Pyongyang succeeded: until the threatening tirades of the North Korean authorities, the Americans against Russia gave only oral "guarantees" of the non-objectiveness of the European missile defense system in the Russian Federation. After the DPRK's demarche, the Americans had to generally curtail (in an application manner) European plans and switch the anti-missile defense policy switch to another region.
But the "North Korean threat" for Americans is, in fact, a way out. If it were not for the DPRK leader’s shaking with fists, then the Americans themselves deeper and deeper into the need to keep a powerful anti-missile group in Europe, which, according to a recent analysis done by the Americans themselves, none of the Europeans from a nuclear strike (certainly not Iranian) protects. So Washington raised the question: if all this European “armature” can turn into a senseless scarecrow for the crow, is it worth spending billions on its further build-up, is it not better to put an “effective” shield from several nuclear powers on some pretext that can "slap" from the East: China, Russia and the same North Korea (as a preposition). The US is trying to launder a face that they deigned to fall into the mud ...
Will this US move be a kind of harbinger of warming relations with Russia, which are pretty much frozen by a big political cold? Guessing is not necessary. Russia, even if the implementation of the 4 stage of the deployment of the European missile defense system by the States has ordered to live long, now it is worth assessing the state of things with a cool head. Yes - on the one hand, there is a lot of luck on the European beachhead - the United States outplays plans. On the other hand, the deployment of the US missile defense system in the Far East is clearly not a reason for great optimism, given the fact that the development of Russian Far Eastern territories leaves much to be desired. Obtaining excessive activity in the most poorly populated federal district is dubious luck, despite all the euphoria that the Russian authorities can embrace after US statements about the partial rejection of the development of the Eastern European antimissile direction.
In general, you should not relax. Moreover, until 2021, the year is still oh, how far, and the US authorities are still able to replay their decision once again. It remains to rely on the fact that they will not be given the same national debt, which already today makes Americans think of military economy for once ...
It is worth recalling that the American authorities have been talking about the deployment of large-scale missile defense in Europe over the past few years. This program received approval from the White House in 2009, and the first stage of the deployment of the European missile defense system has already become a reality. This stage consisted in the commissioning of military ships equipped with antimissiles in the Mediterranean Sea on combat duty. The next stage of Washington’s plan should be completed in the 2015 year, when elements of a ground-based missile defense system will begin to operate in Romania. The end of the third phase of the implementation - 2018 year, when the next elements of the European missile defense system will appear in Poland and begin full operation.
About a month ago, the United States analyzed the situation with the strategy of deploying missile defense in Europe and came to the conclusion that this strategy initially had certain defects. In particular, a number of Pentagon experts expressed their opinion that it would be inexpedient to deploy missile defense elements in Romania at all, since the effectiveness of their actions precisely on the territory of this Eastern European country is close to zero. In addition, it was suggested that additional funds may be needed to implement the Polish segment of the European missile defense system, since this project also requires the most thorough refinement. In this regard, the very fact of the implementation of the fourth stage of the deployment of the US missile defense system in Europe looked somewhat doubtful due to the fact that the American authorities themselves cut back the level of funding for military programs. Budget sequestration in the US added even more questions.
And here, to the bitter American regret (and, perhaps, fortunately), an impulsive North Korean leader came to hand, who threatened the United States and their South Korean allies with a nuclear war, if they did not stop provocations against the DPRK.
The question of how obvious or not obvious these provocations were and has already been raised at the Military Review. Therefore, we will not return to it once again, but rather pay attention to the fact that Pyongyang, using the beyond suspiciousness of the “progressive democratic community”, in fact, forced the Americans to open a second front. After all, if the United States didn’t react to Kim Jong-un’s threats, it would be suspicious for both South Koreans and ordinary Americans: they say they are bribing money in Europe to build a shield against the Iranian ephemeral threat The White House and the Senate, and when an absolutely non-ephemeral nuclear threat arises in the East, Washington does not react to it ...
In general, I had to respond. However, so far everything is going on only at the level of statements that in the political world are not always translated into reality. However, suppose that this is the case - the Americans have indeed decided to revise their plans for European missile defense. What does this mean for the Americans themselves, for Europe and for Russia? For the Americans themselves, this can only mean one thing: the printing press is still not a panacea for economic problems. After all, if the US authorities were forced to cut the military budget for the first time in many years, it means that not everything is so rosy in a star-and-striped kingdom. The fact that “the king is naked” (judging by the frantic digits of public debt) was understood by many before, but at the same time they pretended that the “royal robes” were in fact rich and multilayered. But now the “big democratic monarch” himself, in fact, signs that the incarnation of ideas about the protection of all progressive humanity from the “hostile” manifestations of the “axis of evil” is simply “dumb penny” ...
It turns out that the bloated army, the savior of the world, together with the new patronizing cries of the US authorities, does not just cost the Americans a lot of money, but also every time makes them think about it. Unilateral armament under the pretext of saving world democracy seems to have led the United States to understand that the burden of world patron No. XXUMX is unbearable in the current economic situation.
So there was such a blow to the dirt with a democratic face. After the reports of the Pentagon representatives that the anti-missile forces need to be transferred to the Far East, and the embodiment of their plans in Europe to leave for better times, already worried about Europe itself ... The same Romanians are close to realizing that they can simply “throw” , Referring to the North Korean threat. The Poles began to stir too, having heard that new European funds are needed for their part of the European missile defense, the allocation of which the American treasury can afford for the time being with great difficulty. After that, the same representatives of the American military department had to come up with the assurances of their European "friends" that they did not need to worry. That we, they say, refused to stage 4, and the remaining stages, God willing, will realize - without panic, the Romanian brothers! without panic, brothers-poles! ..
At the same time, in Russia, for the time being, the words of major US military officials are being evaluated. After all, these words actually confirm that Russia is winning in a big dispute over the fact of the intensity of development of the missile defense system in Europe. It is the ability of the European missile defense system to work on the interception of intercontinental ballistic missiles that caused Moscow the greatest concern. It turns out that for a long time Moscow itself failed, Pyongyang succeeded: until the threatening tirades of the North Korean authorities, the Americans against Russia gave only oral "guarantees" of the non-objectiveness of the European missile defense system in the Russian Federation. After the DPRK's demarche, the Americans had to generally curtail (in an application manner) European plans and switch the anti-missile defense policy switch to another region.
But the "North Korean threat" for Americans is, in fact, a way out. If it were not for the DPRK leader’s shaking with fists, then the Americans themselves deeper and deeper into the need to keep a powerful anti-missile group in Europe, which, according to a recent analysis done by the Americans themselves, none of the Europeans from a nuclear strike (certainly not Iranian) protects. So Washington raised the question: if all this European “armature” can turn into a senseless scarecrow for the crow, is it worth spending billions on its further build-up, is it not better to put an “effective” shield from several nuclear powers on some pretext that can "slap" from the East: China, Russia and the same North Korea (as a preposition). The US is trying to launder a face that they deigned to fall into the mud ...
Will this US move be a kind of harbinger of warming relations with Russia, which are pretty much frozen by a big political cold? Guessing is not necessary. Russia, even if the implementation of the 4 stage of the deployment of the European missile defense system by the States has ordered to live long, now it is worth assessing the state of things with a cool head. Yes - on the one hand, there is a lot of luck on the European beachhead - the United States outplays plans. On the other hand, the deployment of the US missile defense system in the Far East is clearly not a reason for great optimism, given the fact that the development of Russian Far Eastern territories leaves much to be desired. Obtaining excessive activity in the most poorly populated federal district is dubious luck, despite all the euphoria that the Russian authorities can embrace after US statements about the partial rejection of the development of the Eastern European antimissile direction.
In general, you should not relax. Moreover, until 2021, the year is still oh, how far, and the US authorities are still able to replay their decision once again. It remains to rely on the fact that they will not be given the same national debt, which already today makes Americans think of military economy for once ...
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