BP gives the installation on the economic ills of Russia
The next portion of forecasts about the future of Russia came from the West. Now, among the full-time forecasters, the CIA and a group of other “experts” on the situation in Russia, in addition to the “well-trained” in this business, also decided to join the company British Petroleum. Based on the analysis of information over the past few years, BP predicted, on the basis of their own analysis, that Russia had only a short time to be among the world leaders in terms of indicators such as production and production of liquid hydrocarbons. The first place already in the current (2013) year, according to BP, will be occupied by the United States on this indicator. However, this “trouble” for Russia, again according to the version of the same forecasters, will not end. By the year 2035 (not a year earlier, not a year later), Russia will give the United States a palm in terms of annual natural gas production. With the help of some amazing calculation mechanisms, which, in addition to everything else, could give a glimpse into the future for a quarter of a century, Western experts were able to determine that in the 2035 year, the US would produce 821 a billion cubic meters of gas per year (which is amazing, however, the accuracy ...) , but Russia will be content with only 784 billions of cubes. In order to get acquainted with the predictions of Western "soothsayers", then, for the faint of heart readers, it is better to stock up with drops of valerian and validol tablets. Because further - the darkness is complete (for Russia, of course) ...
In addition, 2035 year (well, just a year of the Apocalypse of some kind), the share of Russia together with the countries of the Middle East in world gas trade is reduced by as much as 10%. Guess who will take on this “liberated” segment of the world market? That's right - Western companies that will be integrated by a new energy leader - the United States of America. After that, there may be a decrease in energy prices, which will lead to the fall of the Russian economy literally into pieces ...
At the same time, British Petroleum, with obvious regret, states that by the beginning of the 30-s of the 21-th century Europe will continue to significantly depend on the supply of Russian gas. Apparently, the forecasters realized here: if we point out that Europe will also get out of the energy dependence of Russia and some countries of the Middle East, and in addition will turn into a “fraternal” gas dependence on the US, then this forecast will look ridiculous. That is what stopped the authors of the forecasts from further winding up the situation. But it could easily publish information in which it would appear that by the year 2035 Russia, for example, in general will extract everything that is in its depths, and with an outstretched hand will go around the world ...
It is obvious that all these forecasts, which, as it were, open up the future to us, are aimed at the complacency of the West itself. They say you do not need to pay attention to the growing power of China, you do not need to believe that dozens of gas and oil fields have been discovered in Russia in recent years (for example, in Yakutia), you don’t need to be especially sad about the fact that the largest field in the United States occupies in terms of the volume of oil and gas deposits, only 20 is in the world, and the production of hydrocarbons in the Gulf of Mexico is the same BP, in fact, turned into a “Russian roulette”.
By the way, it is very interesting that such specific forecasts from British Petroleum arose at the very moment when In-Amenas oil and gas complex was seized by terrorists in Algeria. This complex was developed not only by Algerians themselves, but also by representatives of foreign companies. One of these companies was British BP.
As soon as the world has flown around news that In-Amenas was captured by terrorists, British Petroleum’s shares sank directly to 10 points (that's about 2,3%). At the same time, the tendency was such that the Algerian direction of BP’s work would lose its attractiveness for a long time, and existing projects would either be curtailed or substantially revised. At the same time, an increasing number of private shareholders of the company could well begin to get rid of them (shares). Realizing that the terrorist attack on the oil and gas facility in Algeria, coupled with talks about the low security of BP projects (including events in the Gulf of Mexico), could play against the company's prestige, and therefore cause irreparable damage to it, managers decided not to go for economic, but several in other ways to translate the situation into a positive course for themselves.
And this path is a classic antiPR move against its, let's say, ideological competitors. This move consisted in the immediate publication of data that only the western system of extraction and processing of hydrocarbons in the future has the right to life and seems unshakable, but the same Russia, in fact, having huge reserves of energy resources will only lose its positions. This is not just a peculiar message to its current investors, but also a move on those who are going to invest in the Russian oil and gas sector.
It is noteworthy that the forecasts about the “troubled” future of Russian mining companies and the entire Russian economy came from British Petroleum even a few days before the start of the International Economic Forum in Davos. In this case, the following strategy is traced by the forecasters: they say, you do not need to take seriously what these Russians will say to you at the forum; no positive Russian economy is not able to demonstrate, and therefore do not withdraw their capital from our projects and in no case do not convert them into projects of competitors - to Russia, for example.
For obvious reasons, BP representatives could not afford to talk about this openly, but they quickly concocted another “disappointing” forecast for Russia. It seems that these anti-Russian financial and economic horror stories are turning into one of the tools for maintaining a fairly active struggle for investors and sales markets. The era of fair economic competition is long over, and therefore, the same British Petroleum understands that all means are good for eliminating competitors and getting new bonuses in their address.
How ready is Russia to take this clearly provocative blow? Obviously, if it is missed again, then British Petroleum can achieve its goal. After all, it is obvious that her forecast is not a forecast at all, but an attempt at the very present programming of the future, an attempt to influence not only public opinion, but also the preferences of investors. As one well-known person said: I give the installation to ... and so on ... And, after all, by manipulating the delusions and phobias of millions of people, he achieved his goal. BP, and indeed the entire Western economic system, seems to be going the same way.
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