It's crackling everywhere. How Kyiv organizes defense in conditions of shortage of personnel and weapons
I look at the map of military operations, and for some reason Lenin’s words pop up in my head. “The workers’ and peasants’ revolution, which the Bolsheviks talked about for so long, has come true.” Such a short but meaningful phrase. The bourgeois revolution failed successfully, but the workers' and peasants' revolution was accomplished.
And she was remembered simply because she somehow got involved with the counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which successfully failed and led to the situation where the “Germans” are now. The “counterattack,” according to an established tradition, is slowly turning into an offensive by Russian troops. “Peremoga” is equal to “zrada”.
Probably, many have noticed how the rhetoric of Ukrainian politicians has changed recently. Critics of Zelensky appeared from somewhere, which could not be found even in the summer. Even the most ardent patriots of Ukraine suddenly started talking about “chosen the wrong side,” about traitors from NATO and the USA, about the stupidity of Ukrainian politicians. They even remembered how exactly Kyiv refused Moscow’s quite worthy proposals at the last negotiations.
Approximately the same situation is observed with military strategists.
Remember how just a couple of months ago, every deputy, every official, every political scientist or analyst in Ukraine knew perfectly well how and when the Ukrainian Armed Forces would win. There was so much talk about the people’s determination to destroy Russia as a state. How many plans have been announced for punishing residents of Donbass, Crimea, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions.
And in the West, what a misfortune it is, as it turned out, there is a dominance of Putin’s agents masquerading as allies of Ukraine. Wherever you spit, you'll hit an agent. Probably, only the Baltic extinctions remain the territory of those whom it takes a long time to reach. But these dying people are of no use to Kyiv. Except for the yapping from behind the fence towards Belarus. Even the Poles remembered the crimes of those they revered in the territory of the former Ukraine.
So what's the deal?
Shall we believe that Ukrainians have begun to see the light? Sorry, but I can’t believe it.
Ukrainian politicians are to blame, Zelensky turned out to be a bastard?.. And who elected them and idolized them back in the spring? Who considered Zelensky the best president of Ukraine in stories? Who agreed that any agreements are just pieces of paper if they do not in some way correspond to the wishes of the Ukrainians?
Yes, that's all. We see the guilty every day on TV screens and on the Internet. These are the same men and women who are now dismantling the security forces, who took Marinka and so on. Ordinary soldiers and officers of the Russian army, known and unknown heroes who do their difficult and dangerous work every day. And they do it well.
Russian heroism horrifies the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces
What is happening on the fronts of the Northern Military District now? What changed the mood so dramatically in the West and in Kyiv?
Let's try to figure it out in more detail. Directly according to directions. So, I think it will be more clear. Let me clarify that I agree with the conclusion of the officer from Donetsk, which he voiced at the beginning of the material. So everything that is written below is a detailing of this conclusion.
I’ll start, perhaps, with the Donetsk direction, because it was there that yesterday the fighters committed another “impossibility”, from the point of view of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Russian army liberated Marinka, where one of the largest fortifications of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was created. I don’t know, however, whether the last fortification inside the city, which yesterday was still in the hands of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, has been taken or has not yet been taken.
What would you like to focus the attention of readers on?
Usually, after capturing a populated area, troops begin methodically clearing it out. It will be the same with Marinka. But this city has a special flavor. Namely, the 110th Separate Guards Brigade of the Russian Army, which was previously part of the People's Militia of the DPR. The brigade was created by Alexander Zakharchenko in 2015. And the fighters of this brigade stomped on their own across the entire territory of Donbass from Peski to Marinka.
So, the capture of Marinka (if it’s important to anyone, the liberation) automatically created a hole in the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. It was small, 3–5 km wide, but it was created. Well, who can stop the Donetsk men, many of whom have been fighting for many years? It was the fighters of the 110th Guards. The OMBR literally on the shoulders of the retreating troops did not just walk down the corridor. They immediately captured Georgievka and some positions already within sight of Kurakovo!
Alas, it didn’t work out any further “on the fly.” Kurakovo is a large city for Donbass; it once had a population of about 20 thousand. And fortifications there were built in parallel with Marinka. And taking into account the fact that it was there that the headquarters of the Donetsk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was located, the main artillery positions for shelling Donetsk are located there, the main supply base of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is located there, etc., the city is fortified, according to experts, in approximately the same way as Avdievka.
According to intelligence data, the main fortifications of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are located in the Roy microdistrict, which is located on the shore of the reservoir. According to my information, the engineering work of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was mainly carried out there, taking advantage of the fact that Roy is a private sector located along the dam.
In short, the 110th raid presented our headquarters with new tasks that must be solved. And depending on the solution to these problems, plan further actions.
The situation is approximately the same in the Artemovsk direction.
They took Khromovo and received, in strategic terms, the task that had already been set before. Remember, last summer we already set the goal of capturing this settlement. And here we go again... We need to take this damn Chasov Yar.
For now, we only control the roads. Advancing closer to a populated area will determine the direction of the further attack. Either “forward to the west” to Konstantinovka, or to Kramatorsk.
A little clarification is needed here regarding Kleshcheevka.
The dominant heights are already occupied by our troops. In fact, Kleshcheevka is completely controlled by our artillery. This allows our units to keep under surveillance almost all forest belts in the direction of Krasnoye. And this is the last position that prevents you from completely closing the ring.
With the fall of Krasny, the fate of the 5th separate assault Kyiv brigade will be decided. Western weapons and Western training will not help them. The commander will lose another “own” brigade. It seems to me that in the current situation the team will no longer be able to somehow rectify the situation. Even meat assaults won't help. All that remains is to “die heroically” or surrender.
Both directions, after successful completion of the assigned tasks, will provide the possibility of an attack on Chasov Yar.
Now about the “quiest section” of the front.
I mean the Kupyansk direction. I have already written about the new combined arms army that the Russian Armed Forces deployed there. A very smart move by our command. The Armed Forces of Ukraine were already shaking at the knees from this message. “Kupyansk is the direction of the main attack!”
In principle, I understand Ukrainian officers. The Ukrainian Armed Forces were preparing another “counter-offensive” in this place, and suddenly a whole army was in front of their noses. There is something to make your knees shake. Six months of fear, six months of constant pumping up the Kupyansk garrison and defending brigades with reinforcements. And at the same time, six months of methodical meat grinding of “German” units by Russian artillery and the Aerospace Forces.
It is clear that the generals of the Ukrainian Armed Forces had hope. We will lose people and equipment, but we will survive. And then there is yet another help from the West. New weapons and new soldiers. But something went wrong. There are no new ones!.. Some experts generally say that in the Kupyansk direction the Ukrainian Armed Forces simply will not physically be able to hold the defense. An offensive in the north is just a matter of weather and strategic necessity.
Well, very briefly about the Zaporozhye direction.
Not because there is no movement there. At first glance, nothing serious happens there. Russian units are methodically, without fuss, regaining positions lost during the Ukrainian “counter-offensive.” To put it bluntly, our troops are restoring the line of combat contact that existed before the start of the Ukrainian spring-summer campaign.
It is not difficult to assume that after the LBS is fully restored, the troops will be given another task. And most likely, it will not be defense. Moreover, I already wrote about this once, this direction was considered by the Ukrainian Armed Forces as a direction of counter-offensive, and therefore there are simply no serious defensive structures in the rear of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. There are support workers, but there are no engineered positions. So, in the event of our attack, the “Germans” will have to flee quite far...
Briefly summarize
The Russian army is slowly but steadily improving its position in all areas. Somewhere this is visible to everyone, somewhere it happens without unnecessary noise. It is not difficult to predict how events will develop further. It's not easy to predict where this will happen.
I specifically focused on the now Kurakov direction. It is very important to stop starting the day by reading reports about the latest shelling of Donetsk, Gorlovka and other Russian cities. I especially feel sorry for Gorlovka. If there is at least an illusion of security in Donetsk, then Gorlovka is being hit along the entire length of the city. We need to mix these killers into the ground as soon as possible.
In general, the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is dire. Wherever you throw it, there’s a wedge everywhere, as my sergeant-major once said, once again replacing the bayonet-knife that had been broken by the “thrower.”
It is still unclear where and when the Ukrainian defense will begin to break down. It’s unclear simply because it crackles almost everywhere. And this crackling, judging by what is happening there, is clearly audible in Kyiv, Brussels and even in Washington...
Information