Russian expert: In China today there is a “wild combination” of internal problems

Russian expert: In China today there is a “wild combination” of internal problems

Lately there are more and more News about China's economic problems, primarily expressed by overproduction and the “financial bubble” in the mortgage market.

Meanwhile, according to Russian geostrategist Andrei Shkolnikov, the PRC still has a number of internal problems. Moreover, in his interview with Day TV, he stated that the “wild combination” of those same problems makes it unlikely that Beijing will resolve the current situation with the least losses.

The main mistake of the Chinese authorities, according to the expert, is precisely what leads to these same economic problems. As Shkolnikov put it, the world today is facing an economic catastrophe. At such moments, the best solution is to prioritize and “shed the excess.” China today is trying to “hold everything,” which is why colossal resources are wasted.

At the same time, according to the expert, due to the lack of priorities that would become a support, the Chinese economy today resembles a “crust of thin ice”, which, with any slight impact, can collapse entirely.

At the same time, as Shkolnikov put it, there is another problem - the PRC, despite the statements of the authorities, is not such an ethnically homogeneous country. According to the expert, there are at least 10 dialects on the territory of the state, which indicates the different origins of the so-called “Hines”. As a result, if serious economic or other shocks occur, China can expect disintegration.

In particular, the southern part of China - from Shanghai to Canton, in terms of dialect and some other nuances, is quite different from the northern one.

Finally, the geostrategist added that Chinese elites, who are rigidly tied to their provinces, are especially susceptible to separatism. Even in large corporations, when there is a change in leadership, each province tries to “push one of its own.” Thus, in the PRC economy there is a division “according to interests”, which does not benefit it.

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  1. +9
    9 October 2023 12: 54
    What kind of "Hines" are they? It seems to be customary to call representatives of the largest people Han.
  2. -2
    9 October 2023 12: 56
    Uzasny Uzas. Candidate for deletion, not the topic of the article.
    In case of obvious violations (mail, lists of the dead, etc.) of the US presidential elections, “the Russian Federation does not recognize the results and does not cooperate with attackers, usurpers, etc., etc.”
    What will happen to the world and China and the USA?
  3. -6
    9 October 2023 13: 01
    Absolutely fair comments. China is export-oriented like nothing else. Even in Russia it’s not so tied up. Conflicts in Africa and South America are flaring up enough to cut off Europe and Russia from China and that’s it. The colossal production capacities will simply stop. The domestic market will not accommodate such requests. They are used to saving money there. Where are the workers' resources? In general, they still have time, but America struck through Hamas, destroying southwest Asia. Apparently, Russia had already separated from China, so they thought, and went on an attack on China
    1. +5
      9 October 2023 13: 34
      Jack London. “Little Mistress of the Big House”: “By God, old man Diaz, although he was a robber, was a decent robber. I told this Arranzo: “If we stop work, five thousand Mexicans will end up on the street. Where will you put them?” Arranzo grinned and said: "Where are we going? Well, let's give them guns and lead them to Mexico City."
    2. 0
      10 October 2023 15: 33
      “Russia was separated from China” I would not say that.
      Putin is not yet out of his mind to quarrel with China. My husband says that the Chinese helped us a lot with the chips..
  4. +17
    9 October 2023 13: 02
    It looks as funny as if an “expert” from Nigeria started talking about problems in the United States. Of course, the PRC has its own problems, but it’s not from the modern Russian Federation to talk about it.
    It would be better if this “geostrategist” told us how to cope with the only “hero of Chechnya”, Kadyrov’s 15-year-old son, otherwise the state cannot cope with him.
    1. +4
      9 October 2023 13: 20
      We have a hell of a lot of such 15-year-old major “heroes” (sons of bosses and oligarchs)... And indeed, 15-year-olds are practically UNJUDGABLE!
    2. +2
      9 October 2023 13: 20
      Why tell us how many years billions have been going to Chechnya to create a structure like xir?
      1. -5
        9 October 2023 20: 51
        Quote: Brother Geographer
        how many years have billions been going to Chechnya to create a structure like xir

        Geographer! Sing from someone else's voice, kingpin!
        Chechnya does not get into the budget, but simply uses the proceeds from oil where it is produced. However, you, the waiters, cannot understand this: you stole everything into your pockets under Eltsin. Do you think that others are doing this according to your patterns. So this is in the dill bed, not the People's Republic of China. Everyone there remembers Tiananmen Square. This is not the shooting of our White House...
  5. +10
    9 October 2023 13: 23
    1. Russian geostrategist Andrey Shkolnikov,
    Having acquired professional experience, Andrei Yuryevich became interested in geostrategy, and then his interests were divided.  He earns money for himself as an analyst, but for the soul he is engaged in geostrategic analysis of what is happening today.

    2. “Recently, there has been more and more news about China’s economic problems, primarily expressed by overproduction and a “financial bubble” in the mortgage market.”
    Analyzing “whatever” on the basis of biased press stuffing and dubious sources from the Internet is truly an activity “for the soul.”
    ps The Chinese know how to keep their secrets.
    1. +1
      10 October 2023 12: 59
      Quote: Amateur
      ps The Chinese know how to keep their secrets.

      and the Chinese are very good at exaggerating their achievements; if you are weak, appear strong
  6. +14
    9 October 2023 13: 24
    What nonsense. Every economy has its problems. There are ups and downs. China, after decades of rapid growth, has now reached a plateau and different options are possible.
    The dialects are different, it’s funny for us in Russia to even talk about it.
    Over the past two years, Xi Jinping has “cleansed” the top, so any extraneous maneuvers are unlikely in the coming years.
    1. 0
      10 October 2023 13: 00
      Quote: Arkadich
      The dialects are different, it’s funny for us in Russia to even talk about it.

      You can’t compare it with Russia; it’s a different story and a completely different mentality.
  7. +12
    9 October 2023 13: 35
    India has a much more complex ethno-linguistic situation compared to China.
    1. -5
      9 October 2023 13: 37
      Are you serious? India generally has castes, strict subordination, and they don’t blather there. And in China, Tibet and the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region were putting pressure. At least take an interest
      1. +6
        9 October 2023 18: 04
        Indian Muslims, Sikhs, Christians, and Buddhists have no castes. And the Constitution of India does not recognize caste division. By the way, there are separatists in India not only among some Sikhs and Muslims, but also among peoples who are Hindus, but who are not ethnically Hindustani. However, their influence should not be exaggerated. I am aware of the situation in the XUAR and TAR. In general, in the PRC there is much greater state control over society compared to India.
        1. 0
          10 October 2023 13: 01
          Quote: Sergej1972
          And the Constitution of India does not recognize caste division.

          society recognizes it for this
          1. +1
            10 October 2023 14: 54
            There is "positive discrimination" against members of lower castes and so-called scheduled tribes. Their representatives have guaranteed representation in educational institutions, in the civil service, etc. Sometimes, given equal business qualities, preference is given to representatives of these segments of the population. Somewhat reminiscent of “positive discrimination” of “colored” people in the USA.
      2. +1
        10 October 2023 12: 52
        Brother Geographer:Are you serious?
        Darkness is a friend of youth, but not as much.
        Modi is the "Indian" Mussolini. The renaming of India also entails ignoring the small nationalities of the country. The banning of both Communist Parties (one Marxist, the other Maoist) and the ideology of socialism in general, persecution of Muslims and Christians. It is clear that the PRC and Pakistan will “strain themselves.”
        There will be about a dozen “liberation fronts”, especially the Ismailis controlled by the British in Kashmir.
        The Indians still have good prospects.
        1. +1
          10 October 2023 13: 57
          Modi's party is also multi-ethnic. India is truly a multinational country. Modi never set out to make India a mono-ethnic country; it is simply impossible. He is a “Hindu nationalist,” but, strange as it may sound, this nationalism is based on the multinationality and multilingualism of Hindus. India's largest people, the Hindustanis, make up approximately 35 percent of the country's population, and they numerically dominate only part of the country, albeit a significant one. And there are such peoples as Bengalis, Telugus, Marathas, Tamils ​​and so on, each with several tens of millions of people. And most languages ​​have a lot of dialects, ethnic groups are divided into subethnic groups. Plus, many peoples do not have religious unity.
  8. +2
    10 October 2023 07: 22
    some kind of nonsense.... the communist Celestial Empire has a rigid vertical of power... and no crusts or extra weights... China pumps its muscles at a fairly high rate... and all sorts of schoolboy verbiage are worthless
  9. 0
    10 October 2023 08: 07
    Someone is advertising this IT specialist, maybe the 5th column? This is his thinking;

    His statements
    Andrey Yuryevich is sure that the modern global world is like a dying ecosystem. It is impossible to save it; the most logical thing is to save the most important parts of the system. This is what Russia is doing now.

    The conflict with Ukraine makes it possible to sharply and aggressively change the usual global agenda and destroy the usual principles. Only by abruptly falling out of the global world, having gone through an economic blockade, will Russia have a chance for revival.

    Ukraine has become a catalyst for the confrontation between the West and Russia; such a tough position of our country seems illogical, but it takes time to understand why this happened; we probably just don’t know the true reasons.
  10. +2
    10 October 2023 08: 56
    Each expert gives his own opinion, which other experts do not consider to be an opinion at all. The main thing in such an expert opinion is to throw in more general phrases.
  11. Jyt
    10 October 2023 11: 12
    Yes. Let them have problems, the main thing is that they have a bright future, they have communists in power. And this means, unlike in the Russian Federation, pensions will definitely not be taken away from the elderly.
    1. 0
      10 October 2023 11: 27
      There is no pension at all!!!!!! So they've already taken it!!! winked laughing
      1. 0
        10 October 2023 13: 20
        At least half of China's pensioners still receive a pension.
        1. +1
          10 October 2023 14: 55
          If you put a minus, do you have other information?
  12. +1
    10 October 2023 11: 23
    Something geostrategist, that the channel is worth each other!!! Complete jaundice!!! wink
  13. +1
    10 October 2023 19: 17
    Shkolnikov is not an expert yet. .......................
    1. +1
      10 October 2023 20: 54
      The liberal revolution led to the optimization of not only schools, but also education itself. And this is understandable, because liberals were shouting on all corners about the revival of Russia. Namely, in tsarist Russia, the autocracy adhered to the principle that drunken and dark people are easy to control. That's why the liberals first got them drunk, gave freedom to prostitution, etc., and then they took up the crimes. As a result, we have what we have, in particular, Shkolnikov.
  14. 0
    10 October 2023 20: 26
    We have three such experts around every corner.
  15. +1
    10 October 2023 22: 25
    Geostrategist? Maybe a gig-economist? And solar regulator.
    This is probably the “brain” of the World Masonic Government on the planet.
    So this is what it is... Strong alcohol.