The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is considering the option of postponing the counteroffensive to a later date

The counteroffensive of the Ukrainian army, within which Kyiv hopes to radically change the situation on the battlefield, will take place in any case, but its timing may be changed. According to Ukrainian resources, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny is pushing through the postponement of the start of a large-scale operation to a later date.

The counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine scheduled for April may be postponed to a later date, presumably to May-June. This proposal was made by the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny. In his opinion, launching an offensive in a situation where the roads are impassable due to the spring thaw is the height of stupidity. As an example, he cites the impossibility of fulfilling the promise of General Syrsky, commander of the SV Armed Forces of Ukraine, to release Bakhmut in March, since spring and rain put an end to the ability to move around fields and dirt roads.

According to the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the best time for the offensive will be May or June, when the sun evaporates all the moisture from the ground and the roads become passable again. This will make it possible to carry out strikes in several directions at once and to advance on a broad front. It’s not entirely clear whether Zaluzhny will be listened to in the office of the President of Ukraine, the general is, as it were, in opposition. In turn, Zelensky insists on launching a counter-offensive in the near future, since Kyiv needs a bloody victory.

Meanwhile, as they say in Kyiv, the Biden administration is rushing Ukraine to launch an offensive. The Democrats urgently need a victory in Ukraine, in which Biden swelled many billions of dollars from the American budget. In the absence of any success, the Democrats will lose the 2024 presidential election to the Republicans. The victory of the Armed Forces of Ukraine gives them a good chance to stay at the helm for another four years.

So the counteroffensive will take place in any case, Zelensky also needs to show that it was not in vain that so much money was invested in him. And according to the deadlines, they call it April.

Comments

[tralflot1832]

There are only two options here: something will not grow together with the Armed Forces of Ukraine, something long-range and powerful is begging for, or simply DESA.

[svp67]

Quote: tralflot1832

or just DESA.

The so-called "information support of preparation for the offensive"

[ZhEK-Vodogrey]

Fake cloud technology.

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: svp67

Quote: tralflot1832

or just DESA.

The so-called "information support of preparation for the offensive"

The level of privacy is amazing!
So many people have already called about their "counterattack" that it remains only to agree on the terms with Moscow.

[aars]

What secrecy?
What are you talking about?
Everything flows like a sieve...
And our people know and they know about ours ...
People call former colleagues and warn...

[Egeny]

You are absolutely right; I suspect that there is an undercover agent in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine .... so many new things.))

[Rosemary]

Quote: aars

People call former colleagues and warn...

What kind of "former colleagues" are there? 30 years have passed since the collapse of the Soviet Army, all Soviet officers who did not rise to the rank of general retired long ago.
And those who rose to the rank of generals in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in the Soviet Army were at most a major like Muzhenko, and the rest were either senior lieutenants like Syrsky or lieutenants like Naev. Yes, and there are fewer and fewer of them - there has been a personnel purge in the Armed Forces of Ukraine since 2014, and since February 2022, according to Zaluzhny, he fired 10 generals because they could not cope.
In the Armed Forces of Ukraine, most of the senior officers have never served in the Soviet army and have not studied in Soviet military schools - war is the best condition for the career growth of a young, competent and successful officer.

[aars]

And there are acquaintances in SA
And according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, a lot of them remained in the Crimea, if anyone does not remember ...
Even the lieutenant general of the SBU lives there, although he is retired
Russian lieutenant general of the FSB

[Rosemary]

Quote: aars

in the Crimea, if anyone does not remember ...
Even the lieutenant general of the SBU lives there, although he is retired
Russian lieutenant general of the FSB

Who is this lieutenant general of the SBU, I wonder? Major General Totsky of the SBU, Major General of the SBU Kotovsky and Major General of the SBU Salva remained to live in Crimea (not to serve in the FSB, but to live as pensioners). But they're all major generals

[vladcub]

"Kotovsky" I wonder who Grigory Ivanovich Kotovsky brings him to?

[Rosemary]

Quote: vladcub

"Kotovsky" I wonder who Grigory Ivanovich Kotovsky brings him to?

Nobody. Kotovsky comes from the Dzhankoy region of Crimea, and was a colleague of Khodakovsky - he headed the Crimean "Alpha", which took part in the dispersal of the Maidan, so maybe he was afraid to return to Kiev. And he did not work for the FSB - he immediately left for the Russian general's pension.
And he was the only active SBU general who went over to the side of Russia. The rest - Major General Totsky and Major General Salva at the time of Russia's arrival in Crimea were already SBU pensioners who lived in Crimea.

[Aken]

At the current level of development of intelligence, war is obtained by playing open cards.
The main thing is logistics, the ability to maneuver. If a side can gather disparate units into one fist within a couple of days, it is possible to attack.
If you collect longer, the enemy will open the concentration and smash it into atoms.
This applies to both sides. Especially taking into account the fact that Bandera's followers operate through internal communications, and we operate through external ones.
Since the railway communication is not broken, in principle they can hit both Zaporozhye and Belgorod. Or, as they threatened, to surround and destroy Wagner in Artyomovsk.

[nik-mazur]

Quote from Aken

Bandera's people act on internal communications, and we on external

The joke is that our external communications are often shorter than Ukrainian internal ones - we can transfer reserves from the Crimea and the western regions, and Ukrainian logistics begin in Poland. Before the same Bakhmut from Rostov - about 250 kilometers, and from Rzeszow more than a thousand.

[Aken]

From Poland - deliveries. And the actual troops are located in the center. Not even located, but smeared.

[nik-mazur]

Quote from Aken

the actual troops are located in the center

Actually, our troops are also spread out from Ukraine to the Far East. But what is it about here? We are talking about the supply of hostilities, and the troops in the rear can sit without ammunition at all.

[vladcub]

"surround and destroy", and this is quite possible, for two reasons:
1) for "media": Prigozhin's gang was destroyed. Or "the end of Wagner". It will also give you a lot.
2) Naturally, the command will try: to release, and the diversion of limited reserves

[Alexey Lantukh]

Remember the Great Patriotic War. Our General Staff knew that the war would begin, but did not know when. But, the Germans still succeeded in operational surprise. The same is with Ukraine. They can achieve operational surprise given their internal convenient transport communications. It is enough for our scouts to let out of sight a couple of days.

[Blackbeard]

let's hope that our art and aviation will beat this fist from armored vehicles badly and by the time of the offensive it will not be impressive

[Vladislav_2]

As if before the appointed time, the state itself may cease to exist

[aars]

Quote: Vladislav_2

As if before the appointed time, the state itself may cease to exist

And again the bravura "Kyiv in three days"
Really - history does not teach fools

[Zaurbek]

This should be the end result of the CBO. Any remnants of the independent 404 will be an abscess and a source of shelling and sabotage of the territory of the Russian Federation. The only exception is the lack of a common border between 404 and the EU and the sea. The number of days is irrelevant.

[aars]

Who would argue
It won't happen until May.

[LMN]

It won't happen until May.

Why until May?
May-June ... then autumn .. and there you may not have to at all.

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: aars

And again bravura Kyiv in three days
Really - history does not teach fools

Particularly smart, taught by history, how many times it has already been said - would be "Kyiv in three days" if they fought like Americans

There are enough opportunities and desire to fight in the same way, interfering with the Armed Forces of Ukraine with grunt.
There is no order.

[aars]

To fight like Americans, you need to make as many sorties as Americans
And with this problem
And the problems are not in orders, but in air defense
Forget sweet dreams
We are in the real world

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: aars

To fight like Americans, you need to make as many sorties as Americans

But you can't change it to "rocket launches"? And to hit not with "Caliber" - why bother with trifles? ... And mix it with the city runt along with air defense and everything that is there. American tactics. Or is it only in America? Well then, it is clear...

[Zaurbek]

Well, compare this with Mariupol, Bakhmut, Avdiivka and other settlements on the line of contact. Are there gardens in bloom?

[aars]

So you yourself answered the same - on the line of contact!
And then what?

[Zaurbek]

And then, the line will move to the West ..... and we will get everything too.

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: Zaurbek

Well, compare this with Mariupol, Bakhmut, Avdiivka and other settlements on the line of contact. Are there gardens in bloom?

The difference is that in Artyomovsk and Mariupol, the same thing happens as a result of battles, as a result of the fact that you have to take meter by meter.
In Raqqa, the Americans did not bother with this. They just mixed the city with bombs with gr ... soil. Not knowing who is where. Until now, the corpses lie under the rubble. To bury, in everything, no one will, as well as restore the city. And why? The Americans have ALREADY buried safely under the rubble.

Now imagine the same as Raqqa, the center of Kyiv or Odessa...

[solar]

Look at the photos of Popasna, Marinka, Soledar, and even Mariupol - you won’t see any fundamental differences from the one you cited ...

[Gestas]

So there, too, thousands of civilian corpses rot? Or is it just the "picture" of destruction is the same?

[vladcub]

Captain Vladislav 2, wake up! This can only be a dream now. Or "after yesterday"

[dmi.pris1]

Why is it so? The strengths have dried up? The hunt has disappeared (recaptured)? No, I have no doubt that they have strength .. But it seems they are grinding away ..

[private person]

So the article explained why. I don’t want to drown tanks in the spring mud, and all these “nishtyaks donated by the West are not able to move around the muddy black soil. Well, the Americans are used to fighting in warm countries.

[Petr_Koldunov]

Well, Syrsky can already be written down as balabols: in March he promised a victorious "repulse of Bakhmut" ... today is March 29, but the chubaks have not recaptured Artemovsk. And for the remaining couple of days until April, there is little chance that something will change (considering how ukrozoldatens run out of there, and do not wait for help).

[svp67]

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is considering the option of postponing the counteroffensive to a later date

It's not worth buying into such news now. The Armed Forces of Ukraine have no "late deadlines", no ...
The nature of the fighting that is now going on in Ukraine does not give them them.

[vladcub]

Sergey, I do not agree that "late deadlines" are still available.
1) numerical advantage: 1200 "bayonets" + about 000 different mercenaries.
We have no more than 620-64000 (figures with "Reporter *)
2) advantage in space intelligence, + railways allow you to maneuver freely

[Andy_nsk]

Sergey, I do not agree that "late deadlines" are still available.
1) numerical advantage: 1200 "bayonets" + about 000 different mercenaries.
We have no more than 620-64000 (figures with "Reporter *)

You obviously have problems with arithmetic.

[fif21]

Quote: svp67

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have no "late deadlines", no ...

The timing does not depend on them, but on the supply of Western weapons. Back in winter, the NATO people said - go on the defensive, by spring you will receive heavy weapons, ammunition, trained soldiers and drang nah osten.

[Filibuster]

the Biden administration is rushing Ukraine to launch an offensive. The Democrats urgently need a victory in Ukraine, in which Biden swelled many billions of dollars from the American budget. In the absence of any success, the Democrats will lose the 2024 presidential election to the Republicans.

The United States may or may not write off Ukraine as it did Afghanistan.

Leaving Ukraine now will hit Biden and the Democrats harder than military aid to her.

In addition, the war in Ukraine so far costs only 0,5% of the US budget and does not cost the life of a single American soldier, except for mercenaries.

For the year of the NMD, the Ukrainian army has shown a good ability to resist Russia, so the United States will continue to pump weapons to Ukraine.

The war between Ukraine and Russia is a long-term US project for at least 10 years, and it will be stopped only if the Armed Forces of Ukraine are crushed and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation reach the Dnieper along its entire length.

[Andy_nsk]

Leaving Ukraine now will hit Biden and the Democrats harder than military aid to her.

I strongly doubt that overseas people will even remember about the outskirts during the election campaign, they have enough of their own domestic problems. It's as if the unrest in Syria suddenly became the main topic in our elections. However, Syria is much closer to us in every sense.

[opuonmed]

oh the general staff is still alive, it would be necessary to calibrate

[former soldier]

Spring came unexpectedly and it’s one thing to talk about mud in the spring, and it’s another thing to actually see dirt roads broken by caterpillars along the forest belts since last year.

[km-21]

The spread of such information noise can mean anything. But most likely, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are simply not able to organize an effective offensive without the risk of a catastrophic failure.

[Zaurbek]

It's getting colder in the south and it's raining. Dirty again.

[Ezekiel 25-17]

May is optimal; this, if a deep strategic operation is planned, June is already late, only tactical success is possible, remember their idol Adolf Hitler. In general, if we apply historical analogies, then the situation is more reminiscent of 1943, the Kursk Bulge, with the only difference being that Russia has superiority in aviation, artillery, better logistics, and so on throughout the list: Ukraine can theoretically inflict one painful blow, but She has already lost...

[voyaka uh]

"that Russia has superiority in aviation, artillery, better logistics" ///
---
Only the point about aviation is correct.
Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine received much more modern than the one that Russia has.
They are hindered by shell hunger.
But almost every projectile is an accurate hit.
The Americans built first-class logistics for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Equipment, ammunition, fuel are delivered regularly.
Aerial reconnaissance in Ukraine with the help of NATO is a cut above that of Russia.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine lack modern mechanized brigades.
They are in the process of formation. The tech has just arrived.

[vladcub]

Warrior, good health. Haven't seen you for a long time.
On the whole, I agree with you, but about artillery, I hesitate a little, yesterday in "Armament" there was an article by Ryabov about 100mm KS 19, which were removed from storage and are beginning to be restored.
If with artillery they had a type of top, what the hell, remember these guns ?.
I agree about aerial reconnaissance.
I remember, according to the stories of front-line soldiers, they could not stand the German plane - the spotter FW-189 "frame", "he was called" foreman "and a bitter joke" appeared "foreman" wait for trouble: everything is in tatters.
And the current means of aerial reconnaissance, many times, surpass the "frame".
Mechanized brigades, NATO standard, are also not a "pound of raisins".
Although we are "ahead of the planet" in terms of tanks, but 2/3 of them are long outdated, and against modern anti-tank weapons ...

[nik-mazur]

Quote: voyaka uh

Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine received much more modern ... They are hindered by shell hunger ... almost every shell is an accurate hit

A rhetorical question: what is better - modern artillery without shells or not very modern, but with a heap of shells?
And I’m embarrassed to ask, this is the statement that almost every projectile is right on target - how do you know? Moreover, getting where you aimed does not mean getting where you need to ...

Quote: voyaka uh

The Americans built first-class logistics for the Armed Forces of Ukraine

To Rzeszow, maybe first-class, and then more than a thousand kilometers across the whole of Ukraine.

Quote: voyaka uh

Aerial reconnaissance in Ukraine with the help of NATO - a cut above

Aerial reconnaissance sees a maximum of four hundred kilometers. That is, Kherson and the western Crimea even more or less, Melitopol and Zaporozhye are at the limit of their capabilities, and the Donbass and Kharkov, as well as Kyiv, are completely out of sight.

[Rosemary]

Quote from: nik-mazur

A rhetorical question: what is better - modern artillery without shells or not very modern, but with a heap of shells?

Are you comparing Ukrainian artillery with Russian? This is in the Russian army, perhaps the artillery is not very modern, but there are heaps of shells?

[nik-mazur]

Quote: Rosemary

Are you comparing Ukrainian artillery with Russian?

This voyaka uh claims and compares.

[Repellent]

Quote from: nik-mazur

A rhetorical question

Asking questions to an Israeli bot is an idea ... for an amateur, IMHO.

Quote from: nik-mazur

getting where you aim doesn't mean getting where you need to...

But this is on point! Plus

[nik-mazur]

Quote: Repellent

But to the point!

This is the main reason machine gun fire overrides sniper fire. If it is impossible to aim, then a sniper rifle is no better than a club, but a machine gun burst has a chance ...

[solar]

we read the same thing last year. The offensive then dragged on, because the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not want to take risks and are preparing in earnest, then there were Kharkov and Kherson. Probably, this year the offensive will be only after full preparation and receipt of all the equipment promised by the West.

the Biden administration is rushing Ukraine to launch an offensive. Democrats urgently need a victory in Ukraine

It looks like the author's fantasy. The Americans don't care if the attack is in April or May, it's more important for them to see the result. Anyway, the war will not end this year.

[Kostadinov]

It is better to reschedule after surrender. If you read the memoirs of Hitler's generals, everything is ready for a victorious offensive with the new wunfervafe, but they postponed the deadline to May 10 and got ahead of the surrender.

[voyaka uh]

Numerous armored vehicles have already been received. But there were no battles yet.
In order to get effective mechanized brigades on Bradley, Marders, Strykers, exercises are needed. Field and team.

[Repellent]

Quote: voyaka uh

In order to get effective mechanized brigades on Bradley, Marders, Strykers, exercises are needed. Field and team

Yes Yes. "I bought the rights, I didn't buy the driving license"...

Inspired yes

[nik-mazur]

Quote: voyaka uh

Numerous armored vehicles already received

Numerous - how many in numbers?

[aszzz888]

As an example, he cites the impossibility of fulfilling the promise of General Syrsky release Bakhmut in March,

Have they already prepared the gallows for this duck?

[boris ivanov]

Are they waiting until they receive everything that the "partners" promised them?

[Volunteer Marek]

Information support information cover. Apparently, preparations for the "unexpected" strike entered the final phase.
R. S. Remember, as Pushkin: "... our tsar was dozing ...".

[Ezekiel 25-17]

Quote: voyaka uh

"that Russia has superiority in aviation, artillery, better logistics" ///
---
Only the point about aviation is correct.
Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine received much more modern than the one that Russia has.
They are hindered by shell hunger.
But almost every projectile is an accurate hit.
The Americans built first-class logistics for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Equipment, ammunition, fuel are delivered regularly.
Aerial reconnaissance in Ukraine with the help of NATO is a cut above that of Russia.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine lack modern mechanized brigades.
They are in the process of formation. The tech has just arrived.

All this can be leveled, there are means for this.

[vladcub]

We have long said that the counteroffensive in May-June. By this time the fields will dry
, the whole "cat pack" will gather and forward, on a wide front.
Zaluzhny actually has the right thoughts.
But Zelensky and Biden have other plans.

[Ezekiel 25-17]

Quote: voyaka uh

"that Russia has superiority in aviation, artillery, better logistics" ///
---
Only the point about aviation is correct.
Artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine received much more modern than the one that Russia has.
They are hindered by shell hunger.
But almost every projectile is an accurate hit.
The Americans built first-class logistics for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Equipment, ammunition, fuel are delivered regularly.
Aerial reconnaissance in Ukraine with the help of NATO is a cut above that of Russia.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine lack modern mechanized brigades.
They are in the process of formation. The tech has just arrived.

I advise you to stop anti-Russian propaganda: we will be judged by the field or the Sun of Mhabharata

[kakvastam]

In any case, it is necessary to proceed from the worst case; the words of the enemy should not be believed.

[vbi007]

Soon the merchants at the Khokhlat bazaars will begin to secretly report on the "counterattack". The bazaar is the main means of disseminating information and disinformation in the territory 404. Although for the cisso soc. networks visited in Russia are also a good place to publish their "vysers". Even here it is full of yellow-blue evil spirits.

[km-21]

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is considering the option of postponing the counteroffensive to a later date

I twist, I twist, I want to confuse ...

[Beaver]

Doesn't look like a divorce. It's really messy there

[Andrey Dyakov]

The greater the political pressure, the greater the likelihood of critical errors. Frenzied Americans and an evil clown ... I hope these will be their last mistakes

[Tarasios]

Ha, no matter how the situation turns - the Ukrainian authorities make a wise face, they say, everything is as intended, that's the military trick, they say. And the West can be calm for its investments. Even an anecdote came to mind:
The commission is going to come to the construction site. The foreman instructs the workers:
“Whatever happens, act like it’s meant to be.”
The commission has arrived, inspects. Suddenly one wall collapsed. The worker, happily looking at his watch:
- Ten thirty-five. Right on schedule!

[kill the fascist]

There is logic in the zaluzhny's proposal. Their offensive will be without the right to make a mistake, and therefore every component is important - roads, recruits, their training, the supply of weapons, etc. Therefore, a month of other preparation will not be superfluous. I hope we will be ready for any turn of events.

[Tenebrosi]

There is an option. Never the best time

[PetrovBasharov]

Meteorologists need to be strained. Organize rain. It looks ridiculous, but it's cheaper than calibers.

[Pavel_Sh]

In amateurish terms, one should attack under two circumstances:
1 When you are ready
2 When the enemy is not ready
All these stories about mudslides have already been sucked a thousand times. If this prevents one from advancing, it prevents others from defending.
They will postpone it to June - vegetation will interfere with them. Rescheduled for December - snow and bad weather.
So, in my opinion, the zaluzhny is trying to hide the simplest truth - the All are simply not ready for the offensive, and on the contrary, they know that the RF Armed Forces are ready for it.

[Kirill Prozorovski]

In short, until the age of 35 there will definitely be an offensive, expect.