The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine announced another change in Russia's tactics of delivering missile strikes

Russian troops have again changed the tactics of using missiles for strikes on the territory of Ukraine. This statement was made by the representative of the Ukrainian military intelligence Andrey Chernyak.

The Air Command and the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine alternately report a change in Russia's tactics for delivering missile strikes. This happens the next day after the delivery of these same strikes, and regardless of whether the missiles were on the raid. As soon as something changes during the impact, for example, the time of day or the number of missiles, a corresponding statement is immediately made.

This time, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine commented on the strike drones-kamikaze "Geran" on the night from Sunday to Monday in Brovary and Khmelnitsky. The absence of missiles upon impact was called a "change of tactics", linking this with a "deficit" of missiles and the fact that the Russian troops, after a year of the SVO, began to learn from their mistakes.

First, they really learn from their mistakes. Secondly, they are running out of not only high-precision missiles, but missile weapons in general.

- said Chernyak.

According to Ukrainian military intelligence, Russia has fewer than a hundred precision-guided cruise missiles in service, most commonly used in strikes against Ukraine's critical infrastructure. We are talking about "Caliber", X-101, X-555.

They can now produce no more than 30-40 missiles per month. Those old missiles that they have in service either do not reach due to a malfunction, or have a limited radius of destruction

Chernyak added.

Comments

[Adrian28]

According to Ukrainian military intelligence, less than a hundred precision-guided cruise missiles remain in service with Russia.

It's like we can repeat forever with red lines.

[Sergey Averchenkov]

I would like to know from you... At least one example where our state leaders talk about red lines, please tell me. I'm waiting.

[acetophenone]

Well, let's suppose he doesn't ignore you, he finds something about the red lines (our leaders have talked so much that they themselves have already forgotten what). AND? And what? What will you do then? Will you shut up forever?

[Sergey Averchenkov]

And so, I see the attitude to my statement. There are two options here, either hoohly appeared in the evening, or people really cannot answer me, but their degree of obstinacy does not allow us to accept the obvious - the GDP never said anything about red lines. It seems to me that this is one of the victories of the cisso - a phrase that is easily accepted and, in principle, corresponds to our mentality.

[Adrian28]

I didn't search long. Opened the first link. In this case, the term "red lines" was attributed to the press. But an empty promise is an empty promise.

[Sergey Averchenkov]

I checked - the phrase of journalists. And you? Do you protect Hoohlov? My contempt for you. Go to the Kremlin website, everything is word for word. If NTV is your god, then you will be NTV.

[Adrian28]

I didn't say a word in defense of the Ukrainians

[Adrian28]

Wow here Khokhls are automatically replaced by Ukrainians

[seregatara1969]

This time they are absolutely right!
Firstly, they, we, our military learn from our mistakes !!!
Secondly, all missiles have a limited radius of destruction !!! But the range of all missiles is different, from several kilometers to several thousand kilometers!
It is so indecent for the military to confuse concepts and terms!

[voice of reason]

Well, that is, now the missiles are certainly almost over. It's funny, of course, but they say it over and over again.
And I personally will hope that they will concentrate the carriers and the supply of missiles if it is necessary to launch a massive missile attack on the advancing enemy units, in the event of a provocation and an invasion of Transnistria. To smash everything there to ... Zelensky's mother, let's say so ....

[Orange Bigg]

Russia began to apply new technologies in its X-101 in Ukraine. Ukrainians contradict themselves. Either they say that they are running out of missiles, or they talk about missiles produced in Russia in 2023. How can what is produced end?

During the attack, the Russian military reportedly used Kh-101 ALCMs manufactured in the first quarter of 2023, according to Ukraine. Ukrainian air defense in the Vinnitsa region on January 101.

Images of a crashed X-101 in the Vinnytsia region that emerged in late January showed a camera behind what appeared to be a round window. It was assumed that this camera was part of the Otblesk-U guidance system. At his recent briefing, Colonel Danilyuk said that the camera found in the downed Kh-101 missiles is new, with three fixed lenses that observe the surface from different angles . In contrast, the old camera had a single pivoting lens.

Danilyuk said the upgraded X-101 has had its guidance system changed, making it similar to the American DSMAC (Digital Scene Comparison Area Correlation) used in some Tomahawk modifications, which uses an internal database of relevant terrain images to help more accurately direct the weapon to the target. He also said the system could work simultaneously with the TERCOM (terrain contour matching) system, which compares radio altimeter data with reference terrain data. Further, Danilyuk spoke about the changes in the electronic computer of the type BAGET-62-04 of the missile, stating that this component of the Kh-101 cruise missile is direct evidence of the dependence of the Russian military-industrial complex on foreign components. He argued that Russia switched to new microcircuits from another manufacturer, as there was a difference in chip sizes used in the latest rockets and those used in older iterations of the rockets.

https://dzen.ru/a/Y_hhJPg8ijHjfoIJ

Trap block

[solar]

they write

They can now produce no more than 30-40 missiles per month.

30 rockets is 8 pieces per week, one rocket for the whole of Ukraine per day.

[Pankrat25]

And now multiply by the number of different models, because they are produced in parallel.

[Al manah]

But, for some reason (?!) there are times when these traps do not work, and the rocket falls into the Outskirts almost intact - oh how!

[Sergey Venediktov]

It's funny, of course, but they say it over and over again.

Have you noticed that our leaders actively do not refute their claims?

The Iranians, for example, will take and show their underground arsenals, while ours will only verbal interventions.

The reason?

If anyone watched the last episode of "Military Acceptance" with Chemezov, he said that some positions were increased 50 times, but did not say what and from what base. If we produced 50 LMUR missiles per year (the Federal Security Service of the RF Ministry of Defense refused them), then a 50-fold increase in their production is less than 1 missile per day.

But then the Nazis had a speech about "Caliber", X-101, X-555. Those. missiles with gas turbine engines. We write in Yandex

Engine for calibers

and get to the article in Zen

Engine for "Caliber": how the "heart" of cruise missiles is produced at the Rybinsk Motor Plant
https://dzen.ru/a/YmKQ5hjcyArMGswt

From there we learn that in the days of the USSR, engines were made in Ukraine, then after 1991 they were transferred to Saturn in the Russian Federation. Those. they are fully aware of everything, but are they telling the truth in numbers?

To check, ask Yandex:

how many engines does npo saturn produce

Yandex answers:

600 per year of all types and types. Therefore, for Calibers no more than 600 per year, even if they tried to raise their output for the year, because. Saturn will not be able to produce more than it produced without expanding production.

600/12=50 per month - upper estimate

As the saying goes:

Whoever gives the correct answer will receive 10 years.

But that's only INTRODUCTION.

And so, we realized that the resource of rockets with turbofan engines is really limited, because a turbofan engine is not a pipe with gunpowder (Poplar / Minuteman / Iskander, etc.), but a high-tech PIECE product and NOT 50 TIMES, NOR 10, AND EVEN NOT 3-4 TIMES in a year. do not increase output. Even a doubling of output is unlikely. Question:

What to do? Is there an easy way out?

Of course have.

The easiest way to reduce the need for Caliber-type CR is reduce the number of missiles required to destroy the assigned target

Those. multiply increase the power of the BATTLE PART.

(the combat unit of the Granit anti-ship missiles, they have not yet fired at the Nazis, because they are overly expensive and piece, but already decommissioned. So what are we waiting for ...)

Go to TNW? (tactical nukes)

NO.

Find out: What explosive does the Tomahawk warhead use?

We learned that it turned out to be 0,9 of the TNT equivalent. Naturally, we have the same in Caliber.

Why don't we use more advanced explosives in warheads of the Kyrgyz Republic?

Because a) their properties are not preserved for years and decades and b) they are an order of magnitude more expensive or even more.

Those. All we have the opportunity to increase the combat power of each Russian missile by 30-60 times (after all, they do not need to be stored for 10 years), but there is no agile military bureaucracy that would take the initiative and attend to this.

[Jafar]

some positions were increased by 50 times, but he did not say what and from what base. If we produced 50 LMUR missiles per year (the Federal Security Service of the RF Ministry of Defense refused them), then a 50-fold increase in their production is less than 1 missile per day.

50 × 50 = 2500 / 365 = 6.9
Don't show your incompetence to everyone.

[Revolver]

Yes, of course, turbofan engines are technologies and all that, but:
1. Who said that the output of high-tech products cannot be quickly increased significantly? How many aircraft and tank engines were produced in the USSR as of 1941-06-22? And by the middle of 1943? And this despite the fact that they lost the production capacities of the west of the country, where they were just poked thicker than anywhere else. The aircraft engine of high-precision machining went no less, and, as it were, no more than in the turbofan engine, and the tank diesel engines of the USSR were of aviation origin.
Say, this requires Stalin and the socialist system? Okay, here's an example of the opposite.
2. German cruise missile V-1. It was made practically from shit and sticks (steel sheet, plywood). Carried almost a ton of explosives. Despite the fact that in Germany there was a general shortage of all materials and regular bombing of factories, they were produced enough to shoot more than a hundred daily. The engine may be more complicated than a pipe stuffed with gunpowder, but it is also primitive, with practically no moving parts (except for valve shutters). Approximately half of the volume of the fuselage was occupied by the control system, which can be replaced by a modern one many times easier and smaller, and orders of magnitude more accurate. To organize production, an aircraft repair shop is needed (it will be much easier to rivet the fuselage and wings from aluminum instead of plywood), and an equally primitive mechanical workshop (there are some minimum parts that require machining). It can be arranged in a few months. It will cost about the same amount as a shahid moped. Ways to fight - either anti-aircraft guns (well, burn your anti-aircraft missiles, panov), or fighters (and Zelya doesn’t have them). To start, instead of a long ramp, you can spear a powder starting accelerator. All that is needed is to find those who want to produce and interest them financially.

[Fedor Sokolov]

Missiles run out again! Yes, how much can you already repeat the same mantra for almost a year.

[wandlitz]

They can now produce no more than 30-40 missiles in a month,” Chernyak added.[B] [/ b]
Here is an informed one .... Who leaked such information to him?

[Vlodek]

so he only received information from vocational school N14 ... and then only from Maly Mukhodrischensk. and how many exactly which missiles are riveted, not all stripes in the Moscow Region know

[AleksUkr]

OBHS. In the morning I got up, looked in the mirror and decided to googling about my dream. It turned out 30-40 missiles. Something like that.

[Wolfskin1993]

I believe that massive missile strikes will be delivered during the complete suppression of Ukrainian air defense, before a general offensive. Not earlier than the third decade of May.

[AleksUkr]

And who enlightened you? If so, then you are framing your informant, and yourself. Is there a knock on the door yet? Wait...

[Skif]

Recently "run out" of Geraniums. Since the Geraniums did not run out, it means that the rockets ran out. World history bank SBU.

[ivan1979nkl]

the old missiles that they have in service either do not reach due to a malfunction, or have a limited radius of destruction

Ukraine, presumably, has new missiles and has an unlimited radius of destruction

[Knell wardenheart]

Win-win tactics e-mine. They hit hard - you can say "this is a gesture of desperation! The enemy released his last reserves in vain attempts to force us to peace." They stumbled weakly - "the enemy has run out of almost all means of destruction, this is a gesture of desperation!" , stuck somewhere in an atypical place - "the enemy is blindly feeling our defense - his intelligence is incompetent and the means of destruction are running out!" etc.
You can always say that Pop's last wife, well, now it's definitely the last, or tomorrow it will be the last, but this is the very edge, "infa weaving"

[tralflot1832]

The weather is bad over Sevastopol, the satellite cannot see the pier where the Caliber ammunition is loaded? I sympathize! Surprise !!!

[Al manah]

Today, the inhabitants of the outskirts wrote that a ship with FOUR "Caliber" went on combat duty from Sevastopol. Where do they get this information from? Are these missiles being loaded openly? Is it really impossible to make a canopy near the pier, or at least tighten it with camouflage nets? Of course, if this is an insider, then it’s still sadder, then it’s not necessary to hang nets, but special officers.

[tralflot1832]

They posted pictures of the pier from a satellite, it is unrealistic to close this crane with a canopy, this is a whole complex.

[Xnumx vis]

Quote: tralflot1832

The weather is bad over Sevastopol, the satellite cannot see the pier where the Caliber ammunition is loaded? I sympathize! Surprise !!!

Cloudy, gray mist. And the calibers are loaded in any weather, day and night .. And where? I am to you, damned bourgeois,

won't tell!!

[tralflot1832]

It seems that until 2014 there was a joint basing, so everything is known. Have they just stirred up a new one. Yes, and we stamped floating cranes for the Navy.

[RoTTor]

Instead of OWN sensible information, they quote either the Armed Forces of Ukraine, or British intelligence, or a private American "institute for the study of war", even Podolyak began to be listed as a "military expert".

Disgrace and complete professional helplessness.
But Basurin turned out to be of no use to anyone in the Russian Federation.

And due to the complete lack of conscience, the bullshit General Konashenkov will not shoot himself, he will not even leave the army for the front.

[former soldier]

Instead of OWN sensible information, they quote either the Armed Forces of Ukraine, or British intelligence, or a private American "institute for the study of war", even Podolyak began to be listed as a "military expert".

Hehe. Do you need a report from our arsenals with an exact indication of stocks? And why do you need it?

[Kerensky]

on the night from Sunday to Monday

Generally insidious and vile! Air defense cannot work in such conditions.

[Sergey Averchenkov]

What is the GUR of Ukraine? Didn't we live next to these GURs? Don't I know the Hoohls as flaky? Just like they me. I have lived my life with them and I know their greed and litigation. Ugh.

[vlad106]

Quote: Sergey Averchenkov

What is the GUR of Ukraine?

POWER STEERING.
Where does Rulit want to go?

[Sergey Averchenkov]

Funny. You are very right about something. Recently repaired - the return hose was frayed. Interestingly, Ukrainians have a return line? I don't think so, although maybe I'm too cruel. But until these creatures stop killing our guys, I will be cruel.

[Sebostyuan]

For ukropetikov two news. And both are bad. There are many more rockets. There are even more FABs and they grow wings.

[Fisher]

What is the point of discussing such statements? Interested in the effectiveness of strikes. There is light in Ukraine, trains run, factories work. That's what's depressing.

[Boniface]

Trouble
Hail!
Well, how is it? Why didn't they warn the "expensive" not comrades! you can not do it this way!
It is necessary to warn next time - and give the coordinates! And it is better to shoot at the range!

On business!

[former soldier]

They can now produce no more than 30-40 missiles per month.

According to open information, approximately this amount was produced a few years before the SVO. How much is produced now can only be assumed by multiplying by a certain coefficient.

[Nadezhda Guseva]

Before the SVO, the Rybinsk Saturn worked in 2 shifts, and now in 3. And all the weekend. And it's still recruiting and recruiting workers. It is possible to draw logical conclusions.

[Poplar]

Well, that's all right. In order for the treatment to be more effective and the patient does not develop addiction, it is necessary to periodically change the tactics of treatment.

[polynet]

Quote: wandlitz

They can now produce no more than 30-40 missiles in a month,” Chernyak added.[B] [/ b]
Here is an informed one .... Who leaked such information to him?

so they are all stoned and this is not foreseen, but what we do not know, we will invent.

[Petr_Koldunov]

Looks like when Budanov's arrival covers - he leaves reality. And when he lets go, he comes to his senses... and they report to him that the Russians are launching rockets. And every time for him - this is new information.
Hence the constant statements that the Russians have again done something new

[Andron78]

The cunning Russians are constantly changing tactics. Krivorukov Russians can not arrange the release of missiles. Stupid Russians used up all the missiles. Oh those Russians. And the Ukrainians are great, they managed to solve the riddles of the Russian mentality and are just stupidly waiting for the Russians to surrender. The key word is "stupid".

[nik-mazur]

According to Ukrainian military intelligence, less than a hundred precision-guided cruise missiles remain in service with Russia.

This has never happened, and here again ...

[Armen Sologyan]

Russia has no illusions and no shortage of means of response. As soon as leopards and other living creatures appear, constant raids of the Caliber swarm will begin. There are already plenty of calibers in warehouses, as well as "Zircon" and "Dagger", and "Geranium" as a wreath on the graves of Bandera and nationalists!