Military Review

Deputy Minister of Economy of Ukraine: the country's GDP in 2023 will grow if the active phase of the fighting ends in summer

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Deputy Minister of Economy of Ukraine: the country's GDP in 2023 will grow if the active phase of the fighting ends in summer

In Ukraine, three weeks before the end of 2022, attempts are being made to calculate the dynamics of the country's GDP. Deputy Minister of Economy Denis Kudin presented his version of changes in Ukraine's GDP. According to him, the Ukrainian economy experienced the largest drop in October-November 2022. And this is connected, in his opinion, with Russian strikes on the energy infrastructure.


Kudin:

Compared to November last year, the economy could shrink by 41 percent. According to the results of all 2022, the reduction, I believe, will be 33,2%.

The Ukrainian official believes that if there were no attacks on infrastructure facilities in October-November, then the fall would be less - about 32%. How, in this case, this is consistent with his own words that it was the strikes on energy facilities that caused the greatest decline in GDP (if the difference is only 1,2%), it is difficult to say.

According to Kudin, the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine expects that in 2023 the country's GDP will go up.

Kudin:

Growth, according to our estimates, will be somewhere around 3,2%. But here it must be taken into account that this growth forecast will work if the active phase of the fighting ends in the summer of 2023.

According to the Deputy Minister of the Ukrainian Economy, if the hostilities continue later, "this will affect the economic dynamics."

Another forecast of the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine is the forecast for a further weakening of the hryvnia - to UAH 42,2 per dollar in 2023.
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  1. Alexga
    Alexga 9 December 2022 17: 41
    +3
    The Ministry of Economy of Ukraine expects that in 2023 the country's GDP will go up.

    It would be better if they hoped that by the summer they would have remained a state. I don't think they will succeed.
    1. dauria
      dauria 9 December 2022 18: 03
      -2
      that by the summer they would have remained a state. I don't think they will succeed.

      What will happen? Will the US and Europe go broke? Enough for the Baltic States and Poland. For 30 years they have been kept at a quite decent level. And here even this is not required. Moreover, it does not seem that our rulers and money bags are "rushing into battle". Rather, on the contrary, they would be happy to turn amicably, but they are billed indecently large.
      Most likely they will stir up something neither war nor peace ... Like the Jews with Syria. They will stand and quarrel and shoot. Not forgetting to bargain who is rich in what. Ukraine - its own. Russia is its own.
      1. Alexga
        Alexga 9 December 2022 18: 12
        +3
        What will happen?

        In my opinion, the United States is solving its strategic task of strengthening its position in the world. They perfectly understand that it is impossible to defeat a nuclear power. Therefore, in my opinion, the question is the global collapse of the economies of the Western countries, to carry out the Marshall Plan-2 to save these economies and the dollar. That is, to repeat everything that happened after WWII. Ukraine is just a tool here. And if it collapses, then few will have regrets about it.
        1. Shurik70
          Shurik70 9 December 2022 18: 21
          +6
          Russia will not annex ALL of Ukraine.
          As near any city, it is necessary to allocate territory for sewage ponds, so when assimilating the Russian people in Ukraine, it is necessary to allocate territory for boiling shit.
          The western part will be taken by Poland.
          But Kyiv will remain Ukrainian.
          So that the Vlasovites had a place to emigrate (it would be nice for the Fifth Column to go there, but they won’t go on their own!)
          About raising the economy - no doubt. Compared to zero, any digit will be greater than zero.
          I believe that NWO in NATO is seen as a LOCAL conflict between NATO and Russia. Decide who is tougher. The opinion of Ukrainians does not solve anything here.
          1. Alexga
            Alexga 9 December 2022 18: 35
            0
            The western part will be taken by Poland.

            It's a war in the near future
            But Kyiv will remain Ukrainian.

            It's a war in the near future
            For the world in the future, the concept of the Ukrainian state must disappear from history for a significantly long period.
        2. solar
          solar 10 December 2022 02: 31
          -1
          In my opinion, the United States is solving its strategic task of strengthening its position in the world. They perfectly understand that it is impossible to defeat a nuclear power.

          Did you tell the Vietnamese?
      2. Myths
        Myths 9 December 2022 18: 31
        0
        But this is precisely what cannot be done, we must go further. Freezing now is much more blood on.
        The country's GDP in 2023 will grow if the active phase of the fighting ends in the summer
        GDP will grow if they stop stealing, but this is unlikely.
        1. cat Rusich
          cat Rusich 9 December 2022 23: 58
          +1
          Quote from Mitos

          The country's GDP in 2023 will grow if the active phase of the fighting ends in the summer
          GDP will grow if they stop stealing, but this is unlikely.
          Advice for the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine...
          To increase GDP indicators, count stolen from the treasury of Ukraine as income of the "population" bully
          wassat
    2. 4ekist
      4ekist 9 December 2022 20: 00
      +1
      According to Kudin, the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine expects ... the country's GDP will grow.

      Yes, they will hand over bottles and cans to non-ferrous metals and GDP will explode into growth.
  2. Mouse
    Mouse 9 December 2022 17: 42
    +5
    Well... a foreign country that will help you will chip in....... smile
    Give me a dose.......
    1. Romario_Argo
      Romario_Argo 9 December 2022 18: 09
      +1
      Give me a dose.......

      so Ukraine will then need to give the dose with%
      frozen reserves of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation found only $ 100 billion
      but they are all in securities and loaned to other banks and companies
      acting as security already legalized and withdrawn from sanctions
      and, Accounts receivable is an asset (!)
      1. alexoff
        alexoff 9 December 2022 22: 10
        0
        This is a problem of a different government and population, this is the very essence of Reaganomics, which led the world to the inadequacy that it is now
  3. Fedor Sokolov
    Fedor Sokolov 9 December 2022 17: 44
    +5
    Just wondering how it (Ukrainian GDP) will grow? Industry has been reduced to dust, a huge part of the arable land has become part of Russia and is under our control. Perhaps this "economic growth" will be provided by the EU and the US by launching their own printing presses.
    1. ANB
      ANB 9 December 2022 18: 02
      +4
      So in Ukraine, tranches of loans and free transfers are included in GDP. There may not be an economy at all, but there will be GDP.
    2. sedoj
      sedoj 9 December 2022 18: 05
      +2
      Quote: Fyodor Sokolov
      Just wondering how it (Ukrainian GDP) will grow?

      Well, how about what. Since the majority of working-age men will be on the front line, the tax on Ukrainian prostitutes in the West will compensate for the loss of industry.
  4. Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov
    Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov 9 December 2022 17: 45
    +6
    Deputy Minister of Economy of Ukraine: the country's GDP will grow in 2023

    ***
    - Funny joke ...
    ***
  5. Battle Toads
    Battle Toads 9 December 2022 17: 46
    +1
    It won’t grow anymore, according to the results of the NWO, there will be one solid Russia all the way to Poland hi
  6. Ulan.1812
    Ulan.1812 9 December 2022 17: 46
    +3
    What makes him grow? Will Old Hottabych help?
    Again hope for a freebie?
    1. Chronos
      Chronos 9 December 2022 21: 54
      +2
      Quote: Ulan.1812
      What makes him grow? Will Old Hottabych help?
      Again hope for a freebie?

      It doesn't take much to grow 3% after falling 30%.
      1. Ulan.1812
        Ulan.1812 9 December 2022 22: 32
        +1
        Quote: Chronos
        Quote: Ulan.1812
        What makes him grow? Will Old Hottabych help?
        Again hope for a freebie?

        It doesn't take much to grow 3% after falling 30%.

        Exactly, I just didn’t write it, because it’s not known from what limit to count. Especially since the decline is likely to continue.
        And of course you are right. As in a joke, we increased the production of tractors by 100%. Last year we made one, this year we made two.
  7. tralflot1832
    tralflot1832 9 December 2022 17: 52
    +2
    Why be surprised, Klitschko's aphorisms are a contagious thing !? lol
  8. iouris
    iouris 9 December 2022 17: 55
    +2
    If the "active phase of battles" (!!!) ends. What's in their heads???
    1. Ulan.1812
      Ulan.1812 9 December 2022 22: 34
      +1
      Quote: iouris
      If the "active phase of battles" (!!!) ends. What's in their heads???

      The active phase probably excites.
  9. digger
    digger 9 December 2022 18: 49
    +2
    Shmyga and Co. consider all transactions and transfers from one pocket to another as part of the country's GDP, all corruption schemes of all tranches issued by the United States and Europe. Let's say the owners gave 3 lard - now they added 3 lard to GDP. Then, from these three lards, they bit off two lards according to their egg-pods .. here they still add several hundred million each to their own pocket by transfer, and this also goes to the country's GDP, and so on everywhere. In short, what is stolen from above will go down in miserable crumbs to ordinary consumables, for now the amount to GDP appears several times more than originally given.
  10. opposite28
    opposite28 9 December 2022 19: 03
    +1
    Growth, according to our estimates, will be somewhere around 3,2%. But here it must be taken into account that this growth forecast will work if the active phase of the fighting ends in the summer of 2023.
    The personal economy of interested parties will undoubtedly increase, "our" assessment will not leave any of the relaxed brown (fascist) circles without attention. Dementia will certainly ask for a "demobilization gift."
  11. Fangaro
    Fangaro 9 December 2022 22: 09
    +1
    -27%
    + 12 %
    Economic growth.
    Politicians constantly write how some have everything on the floor of the second, while others have it on the floor of the eighth.
    But everywhere ordinary people do something, go to work... They do what they can.
    To raise GDP by 23% is a big deal!
    Does GDP know about this?
  12. Carlos Hall
    Carlos Hall 9 December 2022 22: 57
    0
    This shows that the total destruction of the Ukrainian energy system is a decisive factor in achieving goals in Ukraine.
  13. The comment was deleted.
  14. olimpiada15
    olimpiada15 10 December 2022 09: 47
    0
    In the spring of 2023 "What is Ukraine?"