Military Review

The United States predicts a "gloomy" future for the Russian economy

39
The United States predicts a "gloomy" future for the Russian economy

According to US State Department Chief Economist Emily Blanchard, the state of the Russian economy in the near future can be described as "stable and gloomy."


Blanchard believes that the reason for this situation in the Russian economy is a special operation in Ukraine. According to Blanchard's "most optimistic forecasts", by 2030 Russia's economy will be 20% smaller than it could be in the absence of a special operation in Ukraine, Blanchard said.

The American economist also said that the growth of the Russian economy will depend on the effectiveness of the efforts of the Russian authorities aimed at reducing the negative consequences of sanctions. In addition, changes in demand in the global market, especially for energy resources, will also affect the situation in the economy, Blanchard said.

True, she says nothing about the deplorable situation in the American economy, which is experiencing unprecedented inflation.

With the start of the special operation in Ukraine, the West is increasingly trying to put pressure on the Russian economy, using all sorts of restrictions. However, the Russian economy is still holding up, and in Europe the situation is deteriorating.

Back in early 2015, US President Barack Obama said that thanks to the sanctions imposed after the annexation of Crimea to Russia, the Russian economy was "torn to shreds." However, this turned out to be far from the case.
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  1. Mikhail Sidorov
    Mikhail Sidorov 3 December 2022 09: 28
    +12
    Back in early 2015, US President Barack Obama said that thanks to the sanctions imposed after the annexation of Crimea to Russia, the Russian economy was "torn to shreds"

    Yes, it’s been almost 8 years now since “the economy has been torn to shreds”, with us, and we live quietly, work, give birth to children. request
    1. FoBoss_VM
      FoBoss_VM 3 December 2022 09: 34
      +8
      In fairness, it should also be noted about the "decaying west" about which I have been hearing since the 70s of the USSR. And which will not rot in any way ... We are waiting, we are waiting. We can't wait
      1. Mikhail Sidorov
        Mikhail Sidorov 3 December 2022 09: 37
        +6
        the rotting west "about which I have been hearing since the 70s of the USSR. And which still does not rot ... We are waiting. We will not wait

        Well, the changes in the West are obvious. The rotting intensified. Homosexuality, pederasty, bestiality and attempts to make it the norm.
        1. mitroha
          mitroha 3 December 2022 10: 32
          +4
          According to Blanchard's "most optimistic forecasts", by 2030 Russia's economy will be 20% smaller than it could be in the absence of a special operation in Ukraine, Blanchard said.

          Of course, I am not a chief economist, but I can assume that the EU economy by 2030 will be 45-50% smaller than it could be in the absence of anti-Russian sanctions. And all this thanks to Blanchard and her owners.
          Think about this EU...
          1. Shurik70
            Shurik70 3 December 2022 16: 03
            +1
            the growth of the Russian economy will depend on the effectiveness of the efforts of the Russian authorities aimed at reducing the negative consequences of sanctions

            Absolutely.
            And the negative consequences of sanctions are due to dependence on the NATO market
            That is, to reduce the negative consequences of sanctions is to generally cut off all economic relations with NATO countries
          2. bayard
            bayard 4 December 2022 06: 53
            0
            Quote: Mitroha
            Of course, I am not a chief economist, but I can assume that the EU economy by 2030 will be 45-50% smaller than it could be in the absence of anti-Russian sanctions.

            With Europe, of course, it will be so. But with our fall by 20%, these are all the Anglo-Saxons' Wishlist, not confirmed by anything. On the contrary, I see potential for significant growth. Firstly, thanks to the sanctions in Russia, new industries are opening up, entire industries are being revived, and secondly, part of the economic potential from Europe will naturally flow to Russia (secretly, covertly, through gaskets) - where there are cheap energy carriers, unlimited resources and sales markets, there are already a lot of people who want to . Thirdly, the new territories of Russia are included in its composition with their own potential, and this will grow the economy of the Russian Federation. Already those incomplete 4 new areas, it is almost 8 million people, fertile lands, industrial enterprises, ports, infrastructure. All this will be a plus to the all-Russian potential.
            In addition, having lost Russia from its industrial cooperation, the US aircraft industry has seriously sank (without Russian titanium and aluminum), Airbus is still receiving it, but for now. Meanwhile, the Russian aircraft industry is already being launched - MS-21 and Superjet-Rus have already appeared in domestic configuration and their production will increase, gradually occupying not only the domestic market, but also external markets. The same Iran can safely be considered our client in this industry. But every new job in the aircraft industry naturally creates from 7 to 10 new jobs in related industries. Civil shipbuilding is developing, and this is also the production of the highest redistribution. Agriculture is also growing at a faster pace (outpacing the overall growth of the economy), Russia has become a leader in grain exports, and with the inclusion of new fertile territories, its potential will increase even more. Problems with mutual settlements for export / import will be overcome by the creation of a new international settlement system within the framework of the BRICS, which is already being created. And it will most likely work through a swap of national currencies, the rate of which will be tied to gold.
            Military spending and the buildup of the military-industrial complex can also become a driver of the economy, especially in the context of the Russian Federation's refusal from the "budget rule" and the decision to carry out the additional monetization of the economy from 40% to 70% ... with a nome of 100% (this is the potential for the future).
            And the arrest of Russian assets and the assets of the "Russian" oligarchs leads to the fact that they now cannot keep on offshore accounts and are unlikely to want to (for them, domestic offshore companies in Kaliningrad and Primorye were created ahead of time), and this already means that their capital is now will work for the Russian economy as credit and working capital.
            Only one thing can prevent all this - another betrayal of the elites and the surrender of the towers. And here the decision is only theirs ... if, of course, they are suicidal and completely insane. But there is a chance that everything will go according to the first scenario.
            And this will require Purges of the elites, which must be carried out by the towers themselves. For the sake of their own survival, the survival of the State and the People.
      2. Doccor18
        Doccor18 3 December 2022 10: 09
        +3
        Quote from: FoBoss_VM
        about the "decaying west" about which I have been hearing since the 70s of the USSR.

        And what's wrong? Doesn't it rot?
        Of course, if the USSR were alive, the situation there would be on the verge of collapse. And now they themselves are slowly slipping into the "gloomy Middle Ages" ...
        1. your1970
          your1970 3 December 2022 18: 38
          0
          Quote: Doccor18
          Of course, if the USSR were alive, the situation there would be on the verge of collapse.
          why all of a sudden? The USSR quite conscientiously drove them inexpensively exactly the same resources - as now ....
          1. Doccor18
            Doccor18 3 December 2022 21: 37
            0
            Quote: your1970
            why suddenly?

            In the 80s, another crisis of capitalism began in the USA and Europe. The only way out of it was to tighten the noose on their own population or another war for the redistribution of markets. But it was dangerous to put pressure on the non-population in the presence of a socialist bloc at hand, and to fight with the Union was suicide. And only the collapse and plunder of a huge power helped capitalism to last a few more decades. And now no one can stop them from squeezing everything out of the population and starting a war, because there is no longer a deterrent in the face of socialism.
            1. your1970
              your1970 4 December 2022 00: 03
              0
              Quote: Doccor18
              But it was dangerous to put pressure on the non-residential population in the presence of a socialist bloc at hand,
              - no way...
              And the students of the Sorbonne were driven with water cannons, and Northern Ulster was dying under plastic bullets, and the Basques swaggered, and the Walloons ...
              And all this continued regardless of the presence of the USSR - you exaggerate the influence of the USSR on the population of capitalist countries - 3/4 of which could hear about the USSR only in the Russophobic propaganda of their governments.
              1. Doccor18
                Doccor18 4 December 2022 10: 00
                0
                Quote: your1970
                you exaggerate the influence of the USSR on the population of capitalist countries - 3/4 of which could hear about the USSR only in the Russophobic propaganda of their governments

                Maybe I'm exaggerating, but ... the Western "middle class" flourished just at the time of the Union, but it began to disappear as a species precisely after its disappearance. (Today we are watching how he is finished off completely). Coincidence? I don't think.
      3. 4ekist
        4ekist 3 December 2022 11: 32
        +1
        In addition, changes in demand in the global market, especially for energy resources, will also affect the situation in the economy, Blanchard said.

        Good point. I think the more we pump resources over the hill, the worse the situation will be in our economy (in production and consumption), regardless of the demand for raw materials on the world market.
      4. Kotofeich
        Kotofeich 3 December 2022 11: 59
        +1
        Quote from: FoBoss_VM
        "decaying west"

        In my youth there was a joke "The West rots, but the smell is delicious" wink
      5. svp67
        svp67 3 December 2022 13: 05
        0
        Quote from: FoBoss_VM
        And which will never rot.

        But now, the fact that it already "stinks" is a fact ... What's the point of beautiful houses and cars if they don't have children ...
  2. Aaron Zawi
    Aaron Zawi 3 December 2022 09: 31
    +2
    Stability is an economic indicator.
    And the emotional state is a psychological indicator.
    How is it combined in one forecast?
    1. mitroha
      mitroha 3 December 2022 10: 37
      -1
      Quote: Aaron Zawi
      Stability is an economic indicator.
      And the emotional state is a psychological indicator.
      How is it combined in one forecast?

      The chief economist, the absence of superiors discourages laughing
  3. Arkady007
    Arkady007 3 December 2022 09: 33
    +3
    In this case, our economy will be more invested in military production, which in the end always gives a by-product of new, more modern products to the civilian market.
    The process of production of means of production has begun, and this is much more important for the state's economy in the future. This is exactly what the US is afraid of.
  4. nellyjuri
    nellyjuri 3 December 2022 09: 35
    +1
    How is it in advertising? "A terrible thing happened!" or in our case something gloomy happened.
  5. your vsr 66-67
    your vsr 66-67 3 December 2022 09: 35
    +2
    Develop all your own, and the forecasters of the State Department will be with their predictions in a deep ass...garbage dump!
  6. zsdk
    zsdk 3 December 2022 09: 43
    0
    About the "torn to shreds" Russian economy, Obama was still crucifying, so what?
  7. Metallurg_2
    Metallurg_2 3 December 2022 09: 45
    0
    Oh those fairy tales.
    Oh, these storytellers.
  8. yuliatreb
    yuliatreb 3 December 2022 09: 45
    0
    Gtyljcfv only remains to be engaged in predictions, and fortune-telling on everything that is possible, of course they put so much effort, and not small funds, so that we develop our industry and do not invest in our economy, partly they succeeded, at first they lured us into giving us all our “nishtyaks” our trap, and then we suddenly became bad and Khan came to all the nishtyaks, since the realization came that it was necessary to develop everything of our own, but did it come at all and was it too late already, that is the question.
  9. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 3 December 2022 09: 46
    +1
    the state of the Russian economy in the near future can be described as "stable and gloomy".
    Even focusing on the forecast of an American, the main thing in this definition is the word "stable". She added gloomy for imagery and automatically, because. for an American in Russia, everything is gloomy. But just speaking about the NWO and the economy, for some reason, she missed such an important fact as the work and further development of the Russian military-industrial complex, which in Soviet times was a tractor in industry, science and technology.
  10. rocket757
    rocket757 3 December 2022 09: 47
    0
    According to US State Department Chief Economist Emily Blanchard, the state of the Russian economy in the near future can be described as "stable and gloomy."
    Everything is known in comparison and ... but let's wait and see who will have what, really.
  11. Artyom1979
    Artyom1979 3 December 2022 09: 55
    -4
    Oh those predictors. How many percent will the US economy shrink by 2030?
  12. common man
    common man 3 December 2022 09: 56
    0
    Russia's economy by 2030 will be 20% smaller than what it could have been in the absence of a special operation in Ukraine,
    With the implementation of the NWO, the economy "will be", and in its absence, "could be". Feel the difference.
    We want to be independent, we will live as we will. We will stand in front of the amers in a "kneeling position", we will live as we are allowed. Maybe better, maybe worse. As the master will allow.
  13. Jean Baptiste
    Jean Baptiste 3 December 2022 10: 19
    +1
    If, apart from jokes, guys, now is the time to take out a loan for the perspective of + - 5 years, inflation will gobble up interest, the government will keep the price of gasoline for the duration of the operation, and if you fall under mobilization, you will get a deferment, and then try to collect debts from the war hero. and that Nissan Patrol that you buy will only rise in price
    1. your1970
      your1970 3 December 2022 18: 53
      0
      Quote: Jean Baptiste
      take a loan for the future + - 5 years, inflation will gobble up interest, p

      Holy simplicity ... A long time ago, apparently, they took a loan?
      Now banks have the right to change the percentage ONE-SIDE by the amount of official inflation and the refinancing rate
      1. Jean Baptiste
        Jean Baptiste 3 December 2022 23: 28
        0
        From the age of 13 he took loans and changed the currency only on time. Re-read, I specifically outlined the deadlines. What follows is up to you...
  14. Denis812
    Denis812 3 December 2022 10: 20
    -3
    Russia's economy by 2030 will be 20% smaller than what it could have been in the absence of a special operation in Ukraine

    That's right. Because all new regions, such as LDNR, Zaporozhye, Kyiv region, and so on, all this will require investment.
    And in the end, temporarily the economy of the new RF < the economy of the former RF + the former Ukraine.
    But as we rebuild, it will be normal.
    Is that what this lady wanted to say? :)
    1. Petr_Koldunov
      Petr_Koldunov 3 December 2022 10: 43
      0
      Quote: Denis812
      Is that what this lady wanted to say?

      Who knows what she wanted to say. You look at YouTube, this is her performance: she does not take her eyes off a piece of paper with a pre-written text ... moreover, the text may not have been written by her at all. I got the impression that she constantly holds back laughter, looking at a piece of paper - but a wry grin still constantly slips through.
  15. Petr_Koldunov
    Petr_Koldunov 3 December 2022 10: 40
    +1
    According to Blanchard's "most optimistic forecasts", by 2030 Russia's economy will be 20% smaller than it could be in the absence of a special operation in Ukraine, Blanchard said.

    An interesting statement from an official. In other words, Russia's GDP will fall by 2030% by 20.
    I'm just curious: how old is this aunt? Perhaps this is just a grandmother who is not afraid to make predictions for decades to come - knowing for sure that she will definitely not be at that moment ...

    But no! This is quite a young woman, about 50 years old at the most... but she carries such a blizzard that her ears wither (I listened to her speech in the original). As a selective example: in addition to the crap about the decline in Russia's GDP by 20%, she also carried the game that the Russians, literally from small to large, voted against the war - leaving the territory of Russia simply by hundreds of thousands. And this undoubtedly leads to a decrease in the working capacity and investment opportunities of the country.
    The fact that most of the migrants not only have nothing to do with the real people of Russia, but have never been locomotives of labor, innovation, or investment, but simply pampered sybarites and glamorists burning their easy money - this aunt forgot to mention (perhaps and never knew). If they ever invested anywhere, it was in dollars and euros. And the loss of such ballast is only good for Russia!
  16. Corrosion inhibitor
    Corrosion inhibitor 3 December 2022 11: 09
    -3
    The United States predicts a "gloomy" future for the Russian economy.

    A perfectly reasonable calculation. So far, everything is going according to their schedule, and not according to ours.
  17. Vasilyevich Pensioner
    Vasilyevich Pensioner 3 December 2022 11: 37
    +1
    The United States predicts a "gloomy" future for the Russian economy
    When Yeltsin kissed their president on the gums and the Americans talked about our wonderful future. We had terrible inflation, we received salaries in string bags, and then defaulted. Can their today's prediction start to be accepted as a good forecast?
  18. Fangaro
    Fangaro 3 December 2022 11: 39
    -1
    Let's take the curculator and click on the buttons...
    If our economy used to grow at 3 percent a year, but fell to 1 percent, then in 2030 we would have only 18 percent less than the forecast. But 8 percent more than in 2022.
    Americanism doesn't lie. Americanism does not tell the truth.
    Technologies, modern, with Artificial Intelligence (or Idiot), help in all areas of the economy and all countries.
    But AI cannot warm if there is no fuel, cannot feed if there is no grain, cannot protect a person, because. for AI, this is not a value.
    AI and the powerful of this world will not protect. Just clear the planet of people. If he becomes so Intellect, or an Idiot.
  19. iouris
    iouris 3 December 2022 13: 01
    0
    Good news. There is a future! The rest will follow. Does the EU economy have a future?
  20. Egor53
    Egor53 3 December 2022 18: 31
    0
    American economists are like English scientists. Only the mentally handicapped are taken there.
    By 2030, Russia's population will increase from 147 million (before the war) to at least 180 million, which is 20%. And GDP will grow by at least the same 20%. Russia's revenues for 2022 have grown, and very decently. Gazprom's revenues increased by 1,5 times. And they will continue to grow - the energy crisis is just beginning, and it will affect all EU countries, the USA, Canada, Australia, etc. And Russia only benefits from this crisis.
  21. odisey3000
    odisey3000 3 December 2022 18: 54
    0
    That's what's amazing, okay, sanctions are being pressed from all angles, but, let's start in order, what can move the Russian economy, these are global infrastructure projects - such as the construction of highways, highways from north to south, from west to east, the construction of high-speed railways , the construction of airfields, respectively, the development of small and large aviation, the rejection of Western aircraft, the construction of our long-haul, short-haul aircraft, why do we need electric cars, if we can and should convert everything to gas, we have a lot of it, to put it mildly. example of the GOERLO plan - electrification of the country, for those who are not in the know. Construction of a small and large fleet, laugh people, we have nothing to swim from Sevastopol to Yalta, build Rockets and hydrofoils so that they go like buses from sea stations. Connect finally, Sakhalin with the mainland, so that our citizens can get from Khabarovsk to Yuzhno-S with a breeze akhalinsk for 12 hours. Give interest-free loans and loans to our citizens for the construction of their homes. Develop resorts and tourism infrastructure, make it accessible to the citizens of our country in deed and not in words, so that he is a citizen, he can fly to any point in our country with his family and get there and it was affordable for him. Let the state invest in the construction in every city and village of modern diagnostic centers stuffed with the most modern equipment. Finally, take care of the village and create a normal social program in the village, no worse than in Moscow. I’m just silent about schools and pensioners. Pensioners in our country of the future are the drivers of the Russian economy, since they will simply have a lot of money. This is a small list of where they can our state to invest and pull the economy forward. And then some kind of hell, excuse me, from the USA tells us about a stable and gloomy situation with our economy. where to get people for this. Well, let our state think whether it will invite Chinese or Koreans with Uzbeks.
    1. Tommy Calhoun
      Tommy Calhoun 4 December 2022 14: 11
      0
      All this had to be done BEFORE the sanctions, and BEFORE the NWO. Now there will be nothing. I am surprised by people who think that it is necessary to build, then this, then that, there that, there that. Distribute loans, etc. Previously, it was necessary to grab hold of your head, distribute loans, ensure the implementation of laws for entrepreneurs, reduce the administrative burden, and ensure fair elections in the country. Now it is already too late to do it, because there are no technologies, no specialists, no conjuncture.