Military Review

Taiwan or Ukraine? Washington has finally made up its mind

Taiwan or Ukraine? Washington has finally made up its mind

Protest after protest

Beijing is angry again. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Celestial Empire on September 19 stated:

"The PRC will not tolerate any separatist actions and reserves the right to take all necessary measures."

The reason for such a loud statement was Joe Biden's press conference, at which he made it very clear that he was ready to fight China over Taiwan. Asked by a CBS correspondent about the potential for the use of military force on this issue, the US President replied:

"Yes, if attacked."

This answer has far-reaching implications. First of all, Biden's words were not disavowed by his administration. The old man had already raised this topic and threatened Beijing with a military response in the spring, but then White House officials hurried to refute his statements. Say, it’s nonsense, you don’t listen to it - America didn’t decide then: maybe it will allow China to finally return its own.

Now it's silent. So, the grandfather told the truth, there is no other way. Only here again he got confused in the traditional American rhetoric about the inviolability of a "united China" and Taiwan's independent decision on "sovereignty". Biden did not elaborate on how one could consider a de facto separate state to be part of another and still protect it from the rest of the country.

Here it is appropriate to talk about the extension of US jurisdiction to Taiwan, rather than the recognition of a "united China." To be fair, Joe is not the first president to speak directly about the defense of Taiwan by American soldiers. Back in 2001, George W. Bush said at a similar conference that the Chinese should understand the inevitability of a US military response to an attempt to retake Taiwan. But China was very different back then.

The imbalance of power on both sides of the Pacific Ocean was such that no one took Bush Jr.'s rhetoric seriously - Beijing had neither the desire nor the means even to force the Taiwan Strait. For twenty years, the People's Liberation Army of China has made a gigantic qualitative breakthrough, which Washington simply cannot ignore. Biden's words in this regard look very bold.

Simply because in the course of a hypothetical conflict between China, Taiwan and the United States, losses will be calculated, if not in the millions, then hundreds of thousands of lives for sure. For 36 thousand square meters. More than 25 million people live on the island. And in the event of a military turmoil, there will be nowhere to evacuate civilians - the island, after all, and no one has canceled the naval blockade.

The reason for such courage of Biden was the August visit of Pelosi to Taiwan, because of which the US military conflict with China almost broke out. A little, but not outburst. The Americans were emboldened, what to say. By the way, not all. On social networks, a flurry of criticism rained down on the president. Biden is accused of unleashing the third world war, dementia and manners of a tyrant. One commentator rightly noted:

“All US statesmen know that they will be accused of “weakness” if they do not threaten China. The political culture in the States is addicted to war!"

He was also reminded of a recent bill that provides for $4,5 billion in military assistance to Taiwan, as well as assigning the island the status of "the main US ally outside NATO." Paradoxically, this status gives reason to believe that the PRC is now an ally of the North Atlantic Alliance. Do you still remember the "one China" policy? But while the 4,5 billion tranche is going through bureaucratic procedures, the Americans have already allocated an ambulance.

In addition to the existing considerable Taiwanese arsenal, the United States plans to add to the islanders 60 AGM-84K Harpoon Block II anti-ship missiles and 100 AIM-9X Block II Sidewinder air-to-air missiles in the amount of $ 85,6 million. And this is only for the first time.


Despite all the confusion of political and diplomatic demands, the White House has a very clear position on Taiwan - it is a state under the strict military patronage of the United States. There are two main reasons. The first is the opportunity to flick Beijing in the nose from time to time, restrain its patriotic impulses and discredit it in the international arena. They will surrender Taiwan without a fight, what will the Americans operate on next? Most likely, South Korea will have to restrain, with which China now has a difficult relationship.

With such outrageous statements, Biden is definitely trying to raise the ratings of his party in the upcoming congressional elections in November. Even if they are intermediate, the Democrats, apparently, have not so many chances. Do not forget about the October Congress of the Communist Party of China, which should re-elect Xi Jinping for a third term. Or not to be re-elected, as they dream in the White House.

The second reason is America's technological dependence on Taiwan. The island companies UMC and TSMC produce more than 50% of the world's transistors, the lion's share of which is bought by the United States. If China decides to take back the island by force, manufacturers will certainly suffer, and then all the critical industries of the United States. Including defense giants.

Return of Taiwan by 2027

Surprisingly, the loud indignation of the Kyiv regime has not yet been voiced by this statement by Joe Biden. How is it that American soldiers are ready to defend Taiwan, and Ukraine only with Lend-Lease and mercenaries? Not a single American soldier so officially set foot on Ukrainian soil in half a year of the NVO. Everything is explained simply - the assets of the Americans in Ukraine cannot be compared with their interests in Taiwan (more on this a little higher).

Biden made it clear to Zelensky that he views him solely as a tool to contain Russia and, if possible, bleed him. After all, in essence, what is the difference between Taiwan and Ukraine? On both territories there are “democratic” regimes that, as best they can, oppose “totalitarian aggressors”. The population in Ukraine alone is twice as large.

Both opponents of Taiwan and Ukraine have nuclear capabilities, and considerable. China, of course, is much more modest in this sense, but what is available there is quite enough to inflict unacceptable damage on the United States. If not the Americans, then you can hit their closest allies to China - South Korea and Japan are excellent for this purpose.

An oil painting is emerging - the United States, by all logic, should promise the same human resources to protect Ukraine as it promised to Taiwan. But they do not give up, and therefore they consider the Kyiv regime as a convenient buffer between Washington and Moscow. Let it cost billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of lives of Ukrainian soldiers.

China seems to be holding a grudge. For a long time. Many said that Xi Jinping would not let Taiwan live in peace after Pelosi's visit, but nothing tragic happened. A little blockade and a little political maneuvering so as not to lose face on the world stage. Moreover, Washington recently issued a peace-loving statement that it does not welcome independent steps towards Taiwan's independence.

But then the CIA reports on preparations for a Chinese landing on Taiwan by 2027. Allegedly, Xi Jinping instructed to plan a forceful return of the island in the event that a third country crosses the notorious red line. Indeed, in early August, in the wake of Pelosi's visit, the State Council warned that the Chinese side would use "non-peaceful means" as a "last resort." There is not a word about the fact that extreme measures are planned by 2027.

Probably, the words of the CIA chief about the start date of the Chinese special operation are just another attempt to capitalize on the escalation, but perhaps Beijing really expects to accumulate enough forces for the first disarming strike in five years. Moreover, Xi Jinping has everything for this. And the Zelensky team can only sympathize with the fact that they did not come out in person to meet the strict standards of the United States: for whom the Americans will fight and for whom they will not.

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  1. Dmitry Karabanov
    Dmitry Karabanov 22 September 2022 16: 01
    In my opinion, the answer is simple: for the United States, it is necessary that the conflict smolder in both Ukraine and Taiwan. And they are very successful in fanning the fire of war. Business, nothing personal...
    1. lopvlad
      lopvlad 22 September 2022 17: 03
      Quote: Dmitry Karabanov
      for the United States, it is necessary that the conflict smolder in both Ukraine and Taiwan.

      you never know what the United States wants, and these two conflicts are smoldering until they decide in Russia or China that the existence of Taiwan and the existence of Ukraine are dangerous for themselves. And then China simply demolishes Taiwan with the help of tiao to the state of a deserted island, and demolishes several cities in Western Ukraine .And note that the United States will not be able to intercept these strikes, because Russia and China have hypersonic missiles in order to guarantee this strike.
      1. Tatar 174
        Tatar 174 22 September 2022 19: 14
        Quote: Dmitry Karabanov
        ... And they are very successful in fanning the fire of war. Business, nothing personal...

        Because the states are ruled not by the US president, but by the US military-industrial complex.
      2. asd qwe
        asd qwe 23 September 2022 08: 20
        who needs people soaked through with Amerz poison? Xi, like Putin on the outskirts, wants to get the chip factories safe and sound
      3. Ryusei
        Ryusei 26 September 2022 16: 40
        There are no brains, consider a cripple. in response, China is deprived of its shipbuilding base and hydroelectric station system.
    2. Thorvlobnor IV
      Thorvlobnor IV 22 September 2022 21: 25
      They inflate, and Russia is at war.
      The United States earns on the supply of liquefied gas to Europe, ousting Russia as a supplier, and Russia is going to grow with the scorched territory of Ukraine with a hostile population, paying with mobilized Russians who had completely different plans for life.
      Was this mnogohodovka exactly conceived in this form? I just can’t understand the cunning plan of the Russian authorities, help me figure it out, please.
      1. Vasilich2217
        Vasilich2217 26 September 2022 14: 16
        Everything has been clear to everyone for a long time. Americans fight only for money, but we fight to survive.
  2. Tagan
    Tagan 22 September 2022 16: 14
    Quote: Dmitry Karabanov
    In my opinion, the answer is simple: for the United States, it is necessary that the conflict smolder in both Ukraine and Taiwan. And they are very successful in fanning the fire of war. Business, nothing personal...

    They may need it, but you can easily disperse in twine. They may not be able to pull this off.
  3. Leshak
    Leshak 22 September 2022 16: 16
    The United States is escalating the situation not only in Ukraine and Taiwan. Interventions in the affairs of countries are going on, practically, all over the world. Offhand - Iran, Syria, Libya, etc. America's military-industrial complex must be profitable.
    1. Mavrikiy
      Mavrikiy 22 September 2022 16: 47
      Quote: Leshak
      America's military-industrial complex must be profitable.

      Yes Yes. That's just the supply of weapons on credit ... request
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Ryusei
        Ryusei 26 September 2022 16: 41
        They know how to collect debts, unlike us.
  4. rocket757
    rocket757 22 September 2022 16: 16
    Taiwan or Ukraine? Washington has finally made up its mind
    . So for the support of the Kukuevskys, and so many are tied / tied ...
    Uncle Sam organized everything, appointed cousins ​​to look after and ...
    In general, they will restore strength, otherwise the Chinese will be able to bypass them, at their pace, with the resources of military construction.
    And now the question is ... will it be easier for us from that ???
    1. Egoza
      Egoza 22 September 2022 16: 23
      Quote: rocket757
      And now the question is ... will it be easier for us from that ???

      I think it will. Less and less weapons will be sent to Ukraine
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 22 September 2022 17: 05
        A weapon is just a business ... there are more nuances than just one.
        So the foreign "ate" stocks of Soviet-made weapons, and they already gave their own, NATO, with an eye to their Wishlist, opportunities.
        The rates of reproduction, as in wartime, are not yet launched, which means that everything will be produced slowly / not enough to how the Kukuevskis lose them ...
        Maybe it will, we'll see.
        1. Burma6
          Burma6 23 September 2022 04: 46
          The Ministry of Defense began to replenish stocks of ammunition that were depleted as a result of shipments to Ukraine.

          But they don't seem to want to supply American weapons systems like the M60, obsolete Abrams or Bradley IFV tanks that are stored in large numbers in warehouses like SIAD. And unless the US starts shipping MBT tanks to Ukraine first, it is doubtful that the rest of NATO will send their own irreplaceable stocks. They don't seem to want unnecessary escalation while Russia is shedding manpower and weakening itself at the right pace.
    2. Ryaruav
      Ryaruav 22 September 2022 17: 08
      Victor, it’s already easier for us, because part of the American potential is aimed at China, and as China’s power grows, this part increases, but it decreases accordingly for us, the states will tear their navel on two fronts, provided that this state is maintained in the world
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 22 September 2022 17: 27
        Welcome soldier
        In general, the feeling that winter can turn something around, correct something, BUT, we don’t know everything, it’s difficult to calculate ...
        If the minke whales are busy somewhere else, it seems like gay European affairs should go by the wayside for them ... this is encouraging, because they CAN do a lot, unlike the gay European ones, who spread rot on themselves, undermine economic power!
        In general, further events will show who, why and why.
        WINTER IS COMING, and this is a serious test for everyone who has changed everything for the sake of Uncle Sam's well-being.
        We will see.
  5. Mikhail Maslov
    Mikhail Maslov 22 September 2022 16: 19
    It's time for us to join forces in the political and economic confrontation with the United States. Not in words, but in deeds. Squeeze out these Yankees everywhere around the world.
  6. Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov
    Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov 22 September 2022 16: 22
    Washington has finally made up its mind

    It's time for Beijing to decide...

    1. Flooding
      Flooding 22 September 2022 16: 30
      Quote: Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov
      It's time for Beijing to decide

      It has long been decided on the principle of one China.
      And pushing China is pointless.
      They will begin to act when they consider it necessary, and in the way they consider it necessary.
      1. Yura
        Yura 22 September 2022 20: 16
        Quote: Flood
        And pushing China is pointless.
        They will begin to act when they consider it necessary, and in the way they consider it necessary.

        This is a correct remark, especially since in Taiwan itself, not everything is as smooth as it seems to the United States, there are quite influential supporters of China, both among military officials and among civilian politicians. A pro-Chinese future for Taiwan established peacefully is not such an unbelievable thing.
      2. Crane
        Crane 26 September 2022 05: 29
        They won’t start, the Chinese are officials and merchants, that’s all. Tomorrow they will sell everything, and they will be with those who are stronger. Until it’s us ...
  7. fiv
    fiv 22 September 2022 16: 29
    I think China is waiting to see what will happen after the end of Ukraine, whether it will be able to take such losses caused by sanctions. In the meantime, he will try to shake Taiwan from the inside in order to seep into the cracks of domestic politics.
  8. EvilCommunist
    EvilCommunist 22 September 2022 16: 35
    How old is education in Taiwan ? no one needed this question, in short, all these are just words, China will not risk 7 trillion dollars from trade with the USA, for the sake of this island piece of land
    1. Cartalon
      Cartalon 22 September 2022 16: 49
      On the one hand, it is true, but on the other hand, nationalism often leads to absurd actions.
    2. Flooding
      Flooding 22 September 2022 16: 53
      Quote: EvilCommunist
      no one wanted this question

      Well, yes, you can say that too.
      How can he not be needed if the entire Chinese opposition fled to Taiwan and dug in there.
      It's just that the question hasn't come up for the time being.
      And now China has felt its power and decided that the time is right.
      1. EvilCommunist
        EvilCommunist 22 September 2022 17: 04
        yes, they definitely felt confident that Russia understands them, that Russia, in the event of their aggression against Taiwan, will look at it with understanding, and this thought warms them up, that they don’t think now, but what will the Russian Federation say about this!
        Now they are saying, yes, the Russian Federation there themselves arranged be healthy, and maybe us? But at the same time, I want to and prick.
        But, the fact that they are now aware of what is in the Russian Federation, FOR Chinese Taiwan makes them happy. They read the news, they see how our topic with their Taiwan is ventilated, and they like that we share their point of view.
    3. Negruz
      Negruz 22 September 2022 18: 43
      What is 7 trillion bucks from trade with the US?
  9. Altmann
    Altmann 22 September 2022 17: 10
    I wish Mr. President a peaceful and quick death. Old Man is a warrior, but China is not Afghanistan and there are other countries. Russia will not stand by and watch. Is this grandfather a warrior? am
  10. Nikolay Malyugin
    Nikolay Malyugin 22 September 2022 17: 11
    When I look at Biden, I imagine such a scene. Advisors - "Mr. President. We have prepared your report for tomorrow here. Biden carefully reads -" And here you have noticed my thought well. "To himself -" How to remember it. "Whether there will be a war with Taiwan, there are big doubts. We can’t even imagine how China has changed in the past. And putting all this under the knife of war is not for China. China derives considerable benefit from the present. Its eyes are fixed on Ukraine, on Europe.
  11. faterdom
    faterdom 22 September 2022 17: 28
    Quote: EvilCommunist
    How old is education in Taiwan ? no one needed this question, in short, all these are just words, China will not risk 7 trillion dollars from trade with the USA, for the sake of this island piece of land

    And how much will these 7 trillion dollars cost by the year 27? It may well be less than one trillion today.
  12. TAMBU
    TAMBU 22 September 2022 17: 43
    To everyone who continues to believe in Biden's dementia, watch any of his interviews ... yes, an old grandfather, there are some nuances, but definitely not a demented one ... God forbid everyone boils his head ...
  13. Victor Leningradets
    Victor Leningradets 22 September 2022 19: 00
    The question of hatched eggs is not worth it. The United States should declare Taiwan an overseas territory, or rather a state (a state, after all). I think disagreements with the Taiwanese and Taiwanese are not expected.
  14. Victor Leningradets
    Victor Leningradets 22 September 2022 19: 14
    Having solved the problem of Taiwan, the US can tackle the Korean problem with the inclusion of Japan as a NUCLEAR POWER. This is where the moment of truth comes in. If China surrenders, they will dismantle it just as they dream of us, in Mongolia, Manchuria and other Tibets. But China, in reality, does not know how to fight, it hopes for a numerical superiority in technology and human resources. So the United States may well solve the problem of China with the help of the Koreans and the Japanese.
  15. Maks1995
    Maks1995 22 September 2022 21: 17
    All this with a pitchfork on the water.
    Their edita - like ours - today says one thing, tomorrow another.
    And all sorts of references about "hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians" are ridiculous.
    Capitalism in the yard. Local oligarchs do not want to lose power and money. And people ... "they will still bring Tajiks", Moreover, blame the amers - they say they should be sorry ... None of the authorities feel sorry - but they "should"

    Any references in the articles to some kind of "socialist concepts "should", "said", "promised" - Ridiculous.
  16. Lbvsushi
    Lbvsushi 25 September 2022 22: 51
    I propose simultaneously with China to start NWO Taiwan and deliver tactical strikes against NATO and see what the United States does)))
  17. Kim
    Kim 27 September 2022 04: 35
    about the "military method", as it turned out, China has been declaring for 5 years or more
    takshtaa their gut is rather weak, as Pelosi's visit showed