Military Review

Reznikov: "There will be no freezing of the war in Ukraine, but a decrease in activity is possible"

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The next forecasts about the prospects for conducting hostilities, which are quite difficult to unambiguously interpret and even understand, were made by the Minister of Defense of Ukraine Oleksiy Reznikov. In his opinion, the scenario of "freezing" the war is impossible, but a decrease in its activity is not ruled out. What is the difference between these two scenarios Reznikov did not explain.


I don't think freezing is possible. It is possible to reduce activity depending on what season. Again, modern warfare is a war of resources. Resources are, of course, depleted on both sides. And, accordingly, each side requires time to recover.

- said the Ukrainian minister in an interview with the Voice of America radio station (recognized as a foreign agent in Russia), apparently hinting in such a way that the time has come for the West to replenish the depleted resources of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Continuing to describe the situation in the theater of operations in some special terms, apparently gleaned from some special military textbooks, the Ukrainian minister said that he considers it possible to "cool down the situation in terms of military clashes."

I don't see a "freeze" of what people want to call a "conflict" because it's not a conflict. This is war. War for survival. And we will protect ourselves to survive

Reznikov announced categorically.

After an incomprehensible reasoning in the style of meteorological forecasts and the definition of seasonal factors, the Minister of Defense of Ukraine moved on to what he undoubtedly considers to be “facts”. According to him, Russian troops, according to various sources, have lost at least a third of their combat potential, which was used during the invasion of Ukraine. This, as Reznikov assured, is 30% of the elite corps - paratroopers, marines, special forces, whose training took about 15 years. Where such statistics are taken from, Reznikov did not specify.

Earlier, another Kyiv spokesman, adviser to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Mikhail Podolyak, in an interview with the German edition Tagesspiegel said that Russia was going to “freeze” the conflict for six months. Such a scenario, Podolyak believes, is necessary for Moscow in order to "get a new North Korea with millions of hostages." Under the latter, the adviser to the head of the OPU means millions of people who are on the territory of Ukraine, controlled by the RF Armed Forces. In his delirium, Podolyak went further than Minister Reznikov and told the "terrible truth" about what is happening in the "occupied territories":

What does the Russian occupation of southern Ukraine look like? Filtration concentration camps. Mass arrests and torture. Limited distribution of products. Total control. No rights or freedoms.

Surprisingly, this sheer nonsense seems to be believed by many Western Ukrainians and the townsfolk in Europe and the United States.

In reality, all this apocalyptic propaganda is aimed at those Western politicians who are increasingly beginning to hint to Kyiv that it is time to stop the too protracted and destructive conflict in Ukraine. Such a “freeze” scenario is in no way included in the plans of the Kyiv leadership, nor in Washington’s aspirations to weaken Russia as much as possible through the hands of the Ukrainians. No wonder US Ambassador to NATO Julianne Smith recently stated that "the international community will stop any attempts by Russia to stop hostilities with the aim of annexing the occupied territories."

However, such aspirations of Kyiv and Washington, oddly enough, coincide with the plans of the Russian command, and with the public opinion not only of the residents of Donbass and other liberated territories of Ukraine, but also of the vast majority of citizens of the Russian Federation. After all, no one canceled the full achievement of the goals of the SVO, which means that no “freeze” of the special operation is expected at this stage.
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  1. GNM
    GNM 17 August 2022 15: 26
    +4
    This bearded bespectacled man looks like a scourge from the gateway - you pour a glass of port wine on him - he will tell such tales! recourse
    1. mitroha
      mitroha 17 August 2022 15: 42
      +2
      What does the Russian occupation of southern Ukraine look like? Filtration concentration camps. Mass arrests and torture. Limited distribution of products. Total control. No rights or freedoms.

      Do they really think that there is only Ukrainian Internet in the world? And can't find anything else?
      1. Sergei V
        Sergei V 17 August 2022 16: 21
        0
        What do you mean? And you see a lot on the Internet. Propaganda works badly with us
      2. Alexander Salenko
        Alexander Salenko 17 August 2022 17: 48
        0
        Here psychology, everyone sees what he wants. I don’t take trolls who scribble on non-Russian resources, run around VO and put minuses. Here I have a friend hooked on Strelkov, I can’t explain anything, although we have known each other since childhood, he recognizes my knowledge of military history. No, it whines that everything is lost, the Ukrainians will go on the offensive. Space is ruined, science is ruined, he himself defends the dissertation and can judge by science, far from everything is good with her, but can you explain where space is ruined if we produce the main thing - engines?
        And what do people say about Ukrainian relatives? They also have internet.
        1. mitroha
          mitroha 17 August 2022 18: 54
          -1
          It does not depend on the presence or absence of the Internet, if a person does not have the ability to logically evaluate information, a reasonable perception of reality or critical thinking, then there is nothing you can do to help, but I don’t think that in Ukraine the majority are like that ...... Although, perhaps I'm wrong
        2. Hamman
          Hamman 19 August 2022 07: 07
          0
          And I watch Strelkov, because it’s interesting) everything is simple about space, Rogozin was filmed, there are no satellites, we are only proud of what was in the USSR
          1. Alexander Salenko
            Alexander Salenko 19 August 2022 08: 35
            -1
            Simply, this is addition and subtraction, but the fact that in addition to Roskosmos there is a military space is not in the know, is it?
      3. Raven 95
        Raven 95 17 August 2022 17: 49
        +6
        Well, they believe that Russian soldiers first saw an electric kettle only in Ukraine.
  2. tihonmarine
    tihonmarine 17 August 2022 15: 27
    +7
    After all, no one canceled the full achievement of the goals of the SVO, which means that no “freeze” of the special operation is expected at this stage.

    The goal of the West, talking about a "freeze", is obvious - to start negotiations now, before winter, until its positions have sank even more and more territories of historical Russia have not been liberated from the Nazis. If the enemies had at least some hope, there would be no talk of any negotiations.
    Napoleon from the burned and plundered Moscow sent parliamentarians to Kutuzov in Tarutino to start peace negotiations. He really hoped that he would be able to achieve a "ceasefire", pull up reinforcements from Europe and complete what he had begun. However, Kutuzov responded to the proposal of General Loriston to conclude a truce: “Forgive me, what a truce, we have just begun to fight!”.
    1. private person
      private person 17 August 2022 16: 00
      +2
      If the enemies had at least some hope, there would be no talk of any negotiations.

      So, somehow, they don’t stutter about negotiations about their campaign, the war suits them to the last. And freezing is beneficial primarily to the kaklams themselves as a time to get even more weapons and train personnel.
  3. Heaven
    Heaven 17 August 2022 15: 28
    -4
    Well, how soon it will be autumn rains, then winter and then spring thaw. It is logical that the activity of hostilities for this period will decrease.
    1. max702
      max702 17 August 2022 15: 39
      +4
      As soon as the brilliant green comes down and the temperature drops, the 404th karachun will come .. You won’t really sit in the trenches in the forest, with camouflage it’s an order of magnitude worse, and the reconnaissance heat packs will work more efficiently, so there won’t be anything good for the VFU in the winter and they understand it ..
      1. Denistutswoy
        Denistutswoy 17 August 2022 15: 43
        -3
        As you already got it, how everything freezes there. Neither Ukraine nor Europe will freeze, I'm ready to bet on any amount. And next. year, you will again make excuses why we have not yet liberated the DPR.
        1. max702
          max702 17 August 2022 16: 03
          +2
          And we haven't even started yet! In the fall, power lines from the Crimea will be pulled up to the Zaporizhzhya NPP and the end of the freebie, this nuclear power plant will work for Russia, and not as it is now free of charge to the ruin, the gas valve will also be closed due to the uselessness of sales to Europe, coal is already in the liberated territories .. And how will the ruinda winter? There, and so about in the communal apartment, everything was kept on snot, and nothing was done at all this year, how did you prepare for the heating season? And how much more difficult it is to maintain a database in winter conditions and there is no need to say .. So you get ready for the land there, as your wise mayor Zlatoust bequeathed ..
          1. Denistutswoy
            Denistutswoy 17 August 2022 16: 38
            -5
            In the spring of 23, I am waiting for your excuses, the plague you described above did not materialize. And I'm from Russia if that.
            1. max702
              max702 17 August 2022 16: 44
              +1
              You are all from Russia, if anything, we'll see ..
        2. evgen1221
          evgen1221 17 August 2022 16: 21
          -2
          Europe will definitely winter, not without losses, but 404 is not only everything and everything, to be exact, not only everyone and a few, for sure, but not all. Yes, and the Russian Federation is a kind soul, as the Europeans squeal about the estimates of a couple of dozen homeless people who are obese from overeating and who died from an overdose of cannabis, so they will immediately throw gas and oil into Europe for sp2 for cheap. And it doesn’t matter that we will be destroyed next spring, the main loot is taxes, and we don’t want Europe to die, but Europe wants our death, literally, and so that we provide them with comfortable conditions for shooting these Russians.
        3. maksbazhin
          maksbazhin 17 August 2022 16: 48
          +1
          so the 404th karachun will come ..

          Rather, it means that it will become easier for us to fight, since it will be more difficult for them to hide.
        4. Alexander Salenko
          Alexander Salenko 17 August 2022 17: 51
          0
          Ukraine did not freeze due to the fact that the industry sank, read how many factories were closed, which were quite profitable, how many farms went bankrupt, having lost the Crimean market, for example.
      2. Egoza
        Egoza 17 August 2022 15: 48
        +2
        Quote: max702
        As soon as the brilliant green comes off and the temperature drops, the 404th karachun will come.

        Here immediately "karachun"! Let's be more elegant...))) The Armed Forces of Ukraine will fall into suspended animation and will wait for the warmth and kiss of the handsome prince. (Do not offer Biden!))))
      3. NikolayDS
        NikolayDS 17 August 2022 16: 20
        +1
        Quote: max702
        As soon as the green comes off

        Gotta make it before winter. As soon as the US congressional elections are held, negotiations will begin.
      4. Sergei V
        Sergei V 17 August 2022 16: 23
        0
        And ours, then, will not freeze, especially the militias who are collected for equipment by the whole world
        1. max702
          max702 17 August 2022 16: 40
          0
          The whole world mainly collects butter and caviar for those who organized these gatherings ..
      5. Romario_Argo
        Romario_Argo 17 August 2022 17: 17
        +1
        As soon as the brilliant green comes down and the temperature drops

        I don’t envy the Armed Forces of Ukraine - they will no longer have to work with a shovel, but with a crowbar - over the trenches
        In winter - it's longer, the trenches will be recumbent - the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will increase
        - we will take the fortifications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine faster
        1. Alexander Salenko
          Alexander Salenko 17 August 2022 17: 53
          0
          It’s also not sugar to work on the muddy soil.
      6. tihonmarine
        tihonmarine 18 August 2022 09: 14
        0
        Quote: max702
        As soon as the brilliant green comes down and the temperature drops, the 404th karachun will come ..

        Winter is an ally of the Russian army, as it was near Moscow in the winter of 1941 and near Stalingrad in the winter of 1943.
    2. Horon
      Horon 17 August 2022 15: 45
      +1
      The battles are mainly positional, how can mudslide affect this?
      1. Sergei V
        Sergei V 17 August 2022 16: 26
        -3
        I agree completely. Positional and local. Even in the Donbass. This is for a long time
    3. Alexander Salenko
      Alexander Salenko 17 August 2022 17: 49
      0
      Guderian to help, on the subject of winter: as soon as the first frosts came, it became easier to fight.
  4. svp67
    svp67 17 August 2022 15: 29
    +2
    What does the Russian occupation of southern Ukraine look like? Filtration concentration camps. Mass arrests and torture. Limited distribution of products. Total control. No rights or freedoms.

    Let's see how it is there in the "filtration camp" Mariupol .. Without rights, freedoms, with arrests and torture ...
  5. Two
    Two 17 August 2022 15: 36
    +3
    hi As soon as something goes well with the Svidomites (sabotage, arson, etc.!) So the "Chorus of rabid prophets" immediately turns on and bursts incessantly! But as soon as the situation changes, then immediately the languages ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbare in "normal masonry" and explanations like - "give a penny, a lot and at once"!
  6. Alexey-74
    Alexey-74 17 August 2022 15: 42
    -3
    The dog barks - the caravan moves on ..... (Arabic proverb) So the NWO of Russia will slowly achieve its goal, but I think everything will accelerate after the liberation of Donbass.
  7. Uprun
    Uprun 17 August 2022 15: 46
    0
    So he is talking for his heroes, like we will reduce the activity and pace of the offensive .... depending on the season ...., but there was nothing for the allied forces ...
  8. House 25 Sq. 380
    House 25 Sq. 380 17 August 2022 15: 47
    +1
    All the most "interesting" is just beginning, and Reznikov is going to "freeze" something there ....
  9. Sedoy
    Sedoy 17 August 2022 15: 51
    -3
    There will be no freezing of the war in Ukraine, but a decrease in activity is possible


    well yes... :)
    before the liturgical sleep...
  10. rocket757
    rocket757 17 August 2022 15: 51
    0
    Reznikov: "There will be no freezing of the war in Ukraine, but a decrease in activity is possible"
    Whom to listen to, where to "run"?
    Although, you can not listen, such predictors are at least a dime a dozen.
  11. iouris
    iouris 17 August 2022 16: 05
    0
    I immediately remember: "Here they throw us ..."
    Something tells us that before the frosts ... until September 1 they will "throw" aircraft (F-16). At least one massive strike (air special operation) should be enough. Then "possible decrease in activity."
  12. evgen1221
    evgen1221 17 August 2022 16: 13
    0
    Freudian slips, a distinctive feature of the Western mentality and training in Western programs for the elites of the new colonies. In this case, a fool in an attempt to catch up with horror
    on Western hamsters to keep the flow of dough, he described what is happening on the Ukrainian side, or what will happen very soon.
  13. Sergey39
    Sergey39 17 August 2022 16: 25
    0
    Yes, not a storyteller!
  14. Corrosion inhibitor
    Corrosion inhibitor 17 August 2022 16: 38
    -2
    This bespectacled d.u.r.a.k still does not understand that he is not a military man AT ALL. He's not even a leader. He is a clown dressed as a lawyer.
  15. ISKANDER_61
    ISKANDER_61 17 August 2022 21: 42
    0
    It has been frozen since March. Woke up.
  16. DeGreen
    DeGreen 19 August 2022 06: 59
    -1
    That's right, let the Americans fight to the last Ukrainian