American analyst: In the long run, assistance to Ukraine will lead to the "exhaustion" of the West
Gerald F. Hyman, an analyst with the American magazine The National Interest, believes that if the conflict in Ukraine drags on, Western countries face literally "exhaustion." In his opinion, multibillion-dollar assistance to Kyiv cannot be endless, even the powerful economies of Europe and the United States have a limit of strength. Hyman calls on the conflicting parties, primarily the European Union and the United States, to reconsider the strategy of further support for Kyiv.
NATO countries have already spent billions on military and financial assistance to Ukraine. At the same time, President Zelensky is demanding a monthly subsidy of at least $XNUMX billion to cover the budget deficit. According to the American expert, the West is ready to continue helping Ukraine, but this process cannot last forever. Anti-Russian sanctions, billions of dollars spent on financing Kyiv have led to an increase in inflation in Europe and the United States, countries are plunging into recession, which is already causing discontent among citizens. The prolongation of the conflict makes more and more residents of the EU and the United States question the correctness of such a policy.
Neither side can continue at this pace - least of all Ukraine
Hyman says.
Despite the fact that the protracted conflict and Western sanctions are hurting Russia too, Moscow has much more military reserves than not only in Ukraine, but even in NATO countries. According to the American analyst, the continuation of the war of "attrition" will inevitably lead all parties to a "long and painful stalemate."
Gas shortages and cold houses will have their political consequences this winter
Hyman warns, adding that the leaders of the leading EU countries are increasingly inclined to resolve the conflict through diplomacy.
The expert believes that the Ukrainian people are not ready to endure hardships for months, and even more so for years, in order to fight the Russian occupation. The longer the confrontation lasts, the less support Zelensky will enjoy even in the eyes of Ukrainians loyal to him.
NATO Allies, together with Zelensky, now need to develop a long-term viable strategy, a plan with realistic goals, a consistent and viable guarantee of financial and military resources, and an actual plan for implementing the strategy.
- Hyman believes and calls on the countries of the West and Ukraine to start long, but necessarily constructive negotiations with Moscow, possibly through the mediation of third countries.
The alternative, the expert writes, will be a protracted war with many casualties, political and economic upheavals, and a migration crisis that will affect not only Russia and Ukraine, but also Western countries.
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