Polish experts analyze the prospects for the "decisive battle" of the Ukrainian army for Kherson
The issue of the forthcoming counter-offensive of the Ukrainian army in the Kherson direction, widely advertised by Kyiv, has recently been actively discussed in the European media. The Polish edition of Wiadomosci wonders if a “decisive battle” will take place in southern Ukraine and what consequences it may lead to.
Kherson is located on the outskirts of the Crimea and is of strategic importance for Russia. After all, it is through the Kherson region that the land corridor to the peninsula passes, and it also plays a key role in providing Crimea with fresh water.
The Polish press emphasizes the importance of the Ukrainian army launching missile strikes on targets in the Kherson region. Naturally, if Russian troops are accused of destroying civilian infrastructure after each strike on a bridge, then here the Polish publication emphasizes the correctness of the strategy chosen by Kyiv to strike bridges in the Kherson region.
- says Colonel of the Polish Army Piotr Lewandowski, a veteran of military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan as part of the Polish mission to NATO.
Levandovsky believes that the Ukrainian counter-offensive will take place in the coming days. He emphasizes the importance of the HIMARS MLRS in the destruction of objects. Another interlocutor of the publication, military historian Slavek Zagursky, believes that the Ukrainian army sets the main goal at the first stage of the counteroffensive to cut off the paths to retreat and supply Russian troops. Then the classical offensive phase will begin, in which the Armed Forces of Ukraine will use mechanized columns, which will be covered by artillery.
Where were all these columns before, when the Russian army rapidly occupied the Kherson region and the entire south of Zaporozhye, neither Zagursky nor Levandovsky for some reason do not report. At the same time, the Polish edition fears that Russia will strengthen its military presence in the Kherson region. The interlocutors of the publication Levandovsky and Zagursky admit that Russia has human resources that can be transferred to Ukraine. But it is not very clear what kind of forces the Russian Federation is going to send to protect the Kherson region.
Levandovsky, for example, believes that the Russian army has a motivation to defend the Kherson region. Zagursky emphasizes that the capture of Kherson by Ukrainian troops, if it occurs, will demonstrate to NATO that the assistance was not in vain. In fact, both victorious Polish experts admit that the goal of the attack on Kherson for Kyiv is not even to re-establish control over this territory, but to demonstrate to NATO its determination to continue acting only with financial and military assistance.
Also, Polish analysts acknowledge that Kherson plays a crucial role in a possible Russian attempt to take over Odessa. If Ukraine loses Odessa, it will be an absolute disaster for Kyiv, Levandovsky believes.
However, the reasoning of Polish experts, as well as the loud statements of Kyiv, will not bring victory for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson direction. If Russia has already occupied this territory, taken it under control, if the inhabitants of the Kherson region are preparing for a referendum on joining the Russian Federation, then this is forever. An attempt to take over the Kherson region will only lead to a huge number of losses of the Ukrainian army. Which, however, does not scare the West at all, calling on Zelensky to fight "to the last Ukrainian."
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