Military Review

Vectors Dushanbe - Russia will understand everything and forgive everything

38
Vectors Dushanbe - Russia will understand everything and forgive everything

What would it mean?



Against the background of the growing concern of the leadership of Tajikistan about the possibility of a Taliban "invasion" of this country, Dushanbe is initiating a more active participation of the CSTO and, above all, Russia in patrolling the southern borders of the country. Note that the Tajik side does not apply to the Ukrainian authorities with such requests.

On the other hand, Dushanbe, not at all hiding, at the same time actively develops relations not only with Ukraine, but also with NATO member Turkey. Moreover, in the latter case, even an agreement on military cooperation and on the abolition of the visa regime is implied.

Despite the fact that Ankara's position regarding the Russian Crimea and Ukraine's relations with the Russian Federation, we recall, remains unequivocally anti-Russian. This is evidenced, for example, by the information of the Tajik news agency Avesta.Tj dated October 13.10.2021, XNUMX:

“The Chairman of the Majlisi Namoyandagon (Parliament of Tajikistan) Mahmadtoir Zokirzoda, within the framework of his working visit to Turkey, met with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey Mevlut Cavusoglu.

(See photo).


According to the interlocutors, some draft agreements under consideration may serve to intensify Tajik-Turkish relations. Among them - an agreement between the governments of Tajikistan and Turkey on military cooperation, an intergovernmental memorandum on cooperation in the field of free economic zones, an agreement between the governments of the two countries on the withdrawal of visas ”.

The details of the agreement on military cooperation are still not officially disclosed by both sides.

But it is still unclear how this agreement fits into the CSTO system, in which Tajikistan initially participates?

And which his authorities are urging every day to defend the vast - almost 1 km - Tajik-Afghan border?

Meanwhile, on March 28-29, the head of Tajikistan E. Rahmon paid an official visit to Ankara. There is no detailed official information about the documents signed there (or about their projects), just as there was no press conference following these negotiations. But upon their completion, the same Mevlut Cavusoglu laconically and clearly stated to the media:

“Turkey attaches great importance to relations with Tajikistan. Security and stability of Tajikistan is our security and stability ”.


The brisk Cavusoglu managed to talk to Tajik President Emomali Rahmon long ago.

Turkish language, emphasis on mov


It is noteworthy that the aforementioned events in Turkish-Tajik relations coincided in time with the Ukrainian "accents" of Dushanbe's foreign policy. For example, here is the message of the Tajik news agency Avesta.Tj dated 15.10.2021/XNUMX/XNUMX:

“On October 14, the Sheraton Hotel in Dushanbe celebrated the 30th anniversary of Ukraine's independence, as well as the Day of Defenders and Defenders of Ukraine. The event was attended by representatives of ... a number of ministries and departments.
Ukraine celebrates its "Independence Day" on August 24. The situation with the COVID-19 pandemic did not allow us to mark this event in a timely manner. And we decided to celebrate this holiday today ”, - emphasized the Ambassador of Ukraine to Tajikistan Vasily Servatyuk. According to the ambassador, another holiday is also celebrated - the Day of Defenders and Defenders of Ukraine.
In honor of this Day, the Embassy of Ukraine organized an exhibition of 12 paintings by the Lithuanian artist Beata Kurkul, dedicated to the feat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the war. " This refers to the war in the east of Ukraine.

The epilogue of the report states that

“Such events have not been held in Tajikistan for a long time”, which is why “we and Tajikistan have lost a lot. Such exhibitions will help us to get closer and further develop our friendly relations ”,

- noted Vasily Servatyuk.

Developing the theme of bilateral friendship, Tajik Ambassador to Ukraine Davlatali Nazrizoda told Asia-Plus on October 26 that contacts within the framework of the intergovernmental commission - its Ukrainian co-chairman Igor Petrashko recently visited Dushanbe at a meeting of this commission - have been going on for many years.

At the same time, “in 2020, a Group of Friendship and Cooperation between the parliamentarians of the two countries was created in Dushanbe. The same group was created in January 2021 in the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine ”.

Let us add here, by the way, that the anti-Russian theme was officially voiced by the Ukrainian embassy in Dushanbe and earlier, even before the complete victory of the Taliban in Afghanistan. This was the case, for example, on January 22, 2019 at an event in this embassy in connection with the 100th anniversary of the conciliarity of Ukraine.

According to the embassy itself, "Special attention in the speech of V. V. Semenov, Charge d'Affaires of Ukraine in Tajikistan, was paid to the current political and military-political situation in Ukraine in the context of the ongoing Russian aggression."

Do not speak to me for Crimea


By the way, Tajikistan, like most other "allies" of Russia, to this day does not recognize the Russian status of Crimea either. This was actually confirmed during the aforementioned negotiations with the Ukrainian side and the joint celebration in Dushanbe of the 30th anniversary of Ukraine's independence.


Ex-consul in St. Petersburg, Tajik Ambassador to Ukraine Davlatali Nazrizoda with Minister of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture of Ukraine Igor Petrashko, Dushanbe, October 26, 2021

According to Andrey Kazantsev, Director of the Analytical Center of the Institute for International Studies of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation,

“It is customary for us to regard Tajikistan as an ally: this is so in fact, for many reasons. But this country, dependent on foreign aid, is pursuing a multi-vector policy. And, being a partner of Russia, he tries not to spoil relations with the West, including the United States. "

In turn, the Tajik political scientist Rustam Gulov notes the ambiguity of Dushanbe's position on Crimea, urging it to be preserved:

“Can we go beyond the position of our“ older brother ”who tirelessly calls the new leadership of Ukraine“ nationalists ”,“ fascists ”,“ militants ”? But, at least on the issue of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, we kept silent. Maybe we will be able to keep silent this time too. "

Still, it is still difficult to explain why exactly the second half of October 2021 saw such a "breakthrough", or rather a "breakthrough" in relations between Dushanbe with Turkey and Ukraine. But, in any case, the synchronicity of such a "leap" is characteristic.

Most likely, this is due to the uncertainty of the ruling regime in Dushanbe in its stability against the background of the victory of the Taliban in Afghanistan and even despite the military-political support of the "Rakhmonov" regime from Moscow.

Therefore, it is necessary to enlist in advance, using the conventional thesis about the Taliban threat, the support of Ankara and Kiev. Moreover, it is obvious that to the detriment of the interests of Russia and the CSTO.

As for the role of the "Taliban threat" for Dushanbe, the assessment of the Carnegie Moscow Center on October 21, 2021 is noteworthy.

"... Recently, President Rahmon has returned to the topic of the misfortunes of Afghanistan under the Taliban in almost every speech - even those that are not related to foreign policy."
The regime in Dushanbe is indeed "going through hard times due to economic difficulties and general fatigue from its almost 30-year rule." Therefore, "playing as a radical nationalist and defender against the" Taliban threat "remains the only way for Rahmon to maintain his popularity."

What is the reason for such a demonstrative activity of Dushanbe in relations with political opponents of Russia?

Why is Tajikistan signaling to Russia's opponents that Moscow, even together with the CSTO, is now not the only military-political priority of the leadership of this country?

There is almost no doubt that the whole point is in the full confidence of official Dushanbe that Moscow is interested in the current Tajik regime. Among other things - due to the massive "export" to the Russian Federation of cheap labor, which is more and more profitable for Russian business.

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Author:
Photos used:
bigasia.ru, cdnuploads.aa.com.tr, avesta.tj, asiaplustj.info
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  1. Wedmak
    Wedmak 9 November 2021 11: 11
    +10
    And in Dushanbe, are they sure that their seat will withstand the races on so many horses? And do the star-striped ears stick out from all this tail wagging?
    1. tihonmarine
      tihonmarine 9 November 2021 12: 08
      +1
      Quote: Wedmak
      And in Dushanbe, are they sure that their seat will withstand the races on so many horses?

      When the girths under the saddles are cut.
    2. Gardamir
      Gardamir 9 November 2021 12: 10
      +10
      Interestingly, we are being told that Lavrov is the best diplomat of the millennium. And where it is not so, others are to blame. Or is Lavrov the successor of Kozyrev-Shevardnadze.
      1. Wedmak
        Wedmak 9 November 2021 13: 27
        +1
        And where does Lavrov have to do with it? He cannot force them not to do that, but to do this? In fact, we can only set the terms of cooperation, if any.
        1. Gardamir
          Gardamir 9 November 2021 14: 18
          +7
          e can force them not to do that, but to do it?
          And we have the whole government. They can't do anything! But they manage to present it as successes. As an example, I suggest watching a movie. "Tass is authorized to declare." There were times when we could. And they could do a lot.
          1. Akuzenka
            Akuzenka 9 November 2021 15: 56
            +9
            And we have the whole government. They can't do anything!
            You are wrong, the government is capable of a lot, it is simply not said about it on TV and not very much on the Internet, but it feels good on its own skin. For example: Make a helpless gesture when prices rise and take part in removing the last shirt from the people (they are also capitalist ministers). Don't give a damn about social needs - to destroy education, production, shareware medicine and raise paid medicine to a high level. Monopolize the production of essential medicines and CPD (respiratory protection, masks). Yes, it is capable of EVERYTHING, which will heavily burden their pocket and empty ours. The rest does not interest them.
            1. Gardamir
              Gardamir 9 November 2021 16: 07
              +5
              Yes, it is capable of EVERYTHING, which will heavily burden their pocket and empty ours. The rest does not interest them.
              good I completely agree with this view.
            2. Wedmak
              Wedmak 10 November 2021 06: 41
              +1
              Before accusing the government of robbing your own people, you would think a little ... whether you are accusing the government. I'm not for the government if anything, they have enough stocks. And social needs are actually more than in some neighboring states.
          2. SKVichyakow
            SKVichyakow 10 November 2021 10: 49
            +2
            Quote: Gardamir
            e can force them not to do that, but to do it?
            And we have the whole government. They can't do anything! But they manage to present it as successes. As an example, I suggest watching a movie. "Tass is authorized to declare." There were times when we could. And they could do a lot.

            This suggests that in terms of foreign policy we are sailing according to the will of the wind. I think there are no plans, there are only wishes. Do you see our breakthrough in foreign policy anywhere, at least in any country? Me not.
        2. Old tanker
          Old tanker 9 November 2021 18: 19
          +5
          The author of the article must first recall our relations "with the NATO country" Turkey, and our visa-free travel with tomatoes, and Turkish construction firms in Russia. And then blame Dushanbe.
  2. Cowbra
    Cowbra 9 November 2021 11: 13
    +4
    The example of Karabakh and the Kurds did not reach. So Tajikistan will also lose land - it has always been like this when without Russia
  3. Daniil Konovalenko
    Daniil Konovalenko 9 November 2021 11: 13
    +9
    Russia is interested in Tajikistan, Tajikistan is not particularly interested in Russia (the CSTO has enough), so it is pursuing a "multi-vector" policy, an affectionate calf of all queens sucks. There is a penny, there are two ... he will not sit with his hand at the mosque.
    1. tihonmarine
      tihonmarine 9 November 2021 12: 09
      +2
      Quote: Daniil Konovalenko
      what for Rahmon to live abroad, with an outstretched hand at the mosque will not sit.

      Only at the mosque alms are not served.
      1. Daniil Konovalenko
        Daniil Konovalenko 9 November 2021 13: 31
        +2
        So what are we talking about
        1. tihonmarine
          tihonmarine 9 November 2021 13: 43
          0
          Quote: Daniil Konovalenko
          So what are we talking about

          And the Yankees too, only black is served.
  4. rocket757
    rocket757 9 November 2021 11: 15
    +3
    “Turkey attaches great importance to relations with Tajikistan. Security and stability of Tajikistan is our security and stability ”.
    ... Another multi-vector ...
    When their "janissaries" will riot or the local "skakuas" harness, they will start "whining" again .... big kind "brother", save, help?
    Everything as usual ....
    1. tihonmarine
      tihonmarine 9 November 2021 12: 11
      0
      Quote: rocket757
      will start to "whine" again .... big kind "brother", save, help?

      And as always, the "younger brother" wags his tail like a gopher.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 9 November 2021 12: 22
        +6
        The younger, the more fraternal, will not be recognized in that direction ... local bai they are, they only know, give it to their nature.
        By the way, these are all costs, too, in the manner of our nonsense. ... skillful, build relationships on agreements with the local "elite"! and she's like that .... in general, those with the oldest profession, they don't even hold a candle.
        Alas, alas, it is repeated over and over again ONE AND THE SAME!
        1. tihonmarine
          tihonmarine 9 November 2021 12: 36
          +3
          Quote: rocket757
          Alas, alas, it is repeated over and over again ONE AND THE SAME!

          I have already sworn to write about Tajikistan, especially what happened there after the collapse. Although here I inserted a couple of words and immediately grabbed a couple of minuses.
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 9 November 2021 13: 38
            +5
            On such topics, if you write OBJECTIVELY, the minuses will fly from a couple of sides, at least .... from those who are independent and from those who are the current "smart guys" who are in charge.
            So it is, urya - they are the same patriots everywhere. True, they are like a sickle for that very tender beloved.
            1. tihonmarine
              tihonmarine 9 November 2021 13: 47
              +1
              Quote: rocket757
              On such topics, if you write OBJECTIVELY, the minuses will fly from a couple of sides,

              If I described everything that happened in Estonia before August 20, 1991, I would simply be crushed like a bug by my own and others ..
              1. rocket757
                rocket757 9 November 2021 13: 54
                +2
                And we have something different, or what?
                What period of our history you do not undertake to praise / criticize, it will immediately fly from those who are for and against.
                Discussion, however.
        2. Aviator_
          Aviator_ 9 November 2021 20: 35
          +1
          local bai they are, they only know, give it, and give it across to their nature.

          It seems that in the film "Nasreddin in Bukhara" Nasreddin took advantage of this feature, rescuing the usurer from the house (reservoir).
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 9 November 2021 23: 05
            +1
            Well, yes, the wartime film "Khoja Nasreddin in Bukhara". A very illustrative example from a wonderful film.
        3. boni592807
          boni592807 9 November 2021 23: 05
          +2
          rocket757 (Victor), Today, 12:22, - "... By the way, these are all costs, too, in the manner of our nonsense. ... Alas, alas, it is repeated over and over again ONE AND ALSO! ,,,"

          There is no Uncle Sam (USA) or a representative of the "Silk Road" on them. For a long time such "businessmen" would have been punished..
          These guys (USA, China) respect themselves and keep others in good shape, dAdut 5 kopecks, so the natives will have to, at least 3 generations. And if "deneg NET!" See recent history. Only at ....., debtors are rude, incl. away, and they still get paid (work, education, citizenship, capital and .. criminal pranks. in relation to the indigenous) and they still require "support" and "solutions" to their questions! As in the Karabakh conflict, which did not recognize its enclave ITSELF. She demanded that the Russian Federation enter into a confrontation with Azerbaijan (Turkey). Just one example ... hi
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 9 November 2021 23: 21
            +1
            It is unlikely that the upper illusions feed that their actions, decisions, cause delight / support, among the most active and thinking part of the population of our country ... rather, they believe that with all our activity, we have enough ... understanding that in at the moment, rocking the boat and changing the helmsman with the team is not the best way out of the situation, for objective reasons. That's what they expect.
            But we will have to rely only on ourselves !!!
  5. iouris
    iouris 9 November 2021 11: 32
    +2
    In Dushanbe, they swallowed the "Great Tajikistan" project (at the expense of Afghanistan). This is a dangerous course that can only be realized in conjunction with the Pashtunistan project, which envisages the division of nuclear Pakistan between Pashtunistan, India and Iran.
    1. NDR-791
      NDR-791 9 November 2021 11: 39
      0
      Quote: iouris
      This is a dangerous course that can only be implemented in conjunction with the Pashtunistan project, which assumes nuclear Pakistan section between Pashtunistan, India and Iran.

      If China is not dragged into a real war with the Americans, then the Chinese will never allow such a division. And if it is tightened then everyone will not be up to it - "the whole world is in dust", so the section is like that - someone's dreams and that's it.
      1. Basarev
        Basarev 9 November 2021 12: 42
        0
        Divide, so on to the end. India itself is also not a monolith, which means that it will not be shameful to divide it. And then we will start working on China. And also the idea of ​​a nuclear-free Asia fits perfectly here - nuclear weapons are allowed only to Caucasians as the most civilized and responsible people.
  6. ODERVIT
    ODERVIT 9 November 2021 12: 47
    +2
    The creator was clearly too clever with neighbors, "allies" and other "partners".
    Tough pragmatism in relationships, otherwise it is impossible with them. Pseudo-brothers got bored.
    Maybe I'm wrong?
  7. The comment was deleted.
  8. Vladimir61
    Vladimir61 9 November 2021 16: 12
    +2
    What would it mean?
    Himself thinking when he looked at the photo !?
    From the stories of the cognitive channels, I know that in the east, very often, the phalos is presented in the form of architectural monuments. But I did not understand what this building means.
    1. aslan balayev
      aslan balayev 10 November 2021 13: 31
      0
      Probably a control tower. Provided personally by Imomoli Rahmon. On the right, Sam's private plane is flying.
  9. faterdom
    faterdom 9 November 2021 18: 40
    0
    It is a shame that we are not acting like the United States.
    Rakhmonov rattled - they changed it to their own man, and all the problems melted away like fog.
  10. ximkim
    ximkim 9 November 2021 18: 52
    +3
    That's right, Moscow is interested ..
    Only the interests of the capital are at odds with the interests of the country.
  11. ximkim
    ximkim 9 November 2021 19: 05
    0
    Quote: Wedmak
    And in Dushanbe, are they sure that their seat will withstand the races on so many horses? And do the star-striped ears stick out from all this tail wagging?

    We are sure to hike, since Hollywood ears are far away.
    Dushanbe has its own interests, and they voice them.
  12. Karabin
    Karabin 9 November 2021 22: 07
    +2
    The successes of the foreign policy of the Russian Federation are evident. Along the entire perimeter of borders. The most powerful structure is the CSTO.! Loyal allies! Bravo Lavrov! Ave Putin!
  13. dub0vitsky
    dub0vitsky 10 November 2021 12: 37
    0
    Quote: Gardamir
    e can force them not to do that, but to do it?
    And we have the whole government. They can't do anything! But they manage to present it as successes. As an example, I suggest watching a movie. "Tass is authorized to declare." There were times when we could. And they could do a lot.

    You looked at the Soviet militants. , you measure relations between states by films.
  14. Eroma
    Eroma 10 November 2021 21: 43
    0
    In fact, "liberties" are provided for by the policy of Russia itself, which officially does not demand anything in return, for nothing at all. The defense of Tajikistan is beneficial to Russia itself, the presence of Russian troops and their key role in the security of Tajikistan, a guarantee of Russia's dominance in the region. In addition, our forces in Central Asia are the security of the entire region. This is a serious position, but what benefits do we have for this, besides our own safety? They don't write about it, but they think there is.
    Tajiks are ready to shake hands with everyone who holds out, this is NORMAL! they have no personal reasons to condemn Ukraine, we do not demand this and do not try to buy support, why should they suddenly spoil relations with Ukraine?
    Turkey is now pushing its weapons, which, by the way, have shown their effectiveness, why should they be abandoned? Again, we do not demand this! So it doesn't bother us.
    The position of Russia in Tajikistan is not yet shaken, especially in the face of the danger in the form of the Taliban, the movement of Tajiks does not threaten us and our interests yet, and maybe what interesting results it will give, like any movement, so we are silent, we are looking at what happens and maybe something interesting for us