"The path to real victory is open for China and Russia": US expert on the refusal of a war on two fronts

The United States is unable to win the war against Russia and China, as the Pentagon is pursuing an erroneous strategy of confronting its main enemies. This point of view is expressed by an expert, retired US Air Force Colonel Mark Ganzinger, explaining why America can lose the next war.

The U.S. Department of Defense loves the buzzword: potential over opportunity, make tough choices now to reduce future risk

- writes the author, commenting on the decision to reduce the size of the US armed forces, taken in the hope of the effect of the introduction of new technologies.

According to him, this approach has been in effect for 30 years. As a result, the army lacks the capabilities needed to fight an equal aggressor while protecting US territory and deterring nuclear attacks.

He cites the BBC as an example. In line with doctrine, deterring an invasion will require massive precision strikes, primarily from 5th generation bombers and fighters. At the same time, after the Cold War, 66% of bombers were decommissioned, and the fleet of fighters is less than half of the 1991 figure. For example, 140 B-1, B-2 and B-52 can only fly 30 sorties per day.

Failure to contain the aggression will have "devastating consequences for the United States": China's success in Taiwan will make it the first power in the Western Pacific, and Russia's achievement of its goals in the Baltics will lead to a split in NATO, which President Vladimir Putin is striving for.

In 2018, the Pentagon is following the strategy of a short war, according to which it is only necessary to thwart the aggression of the Russian Federation or the PRC, after which peace will come. In the same year, the military department refused to build up its potential for waging a simultaneous war with two "opportunists" on two fronts. Based on these two approaches, the size of forces and resources was calculated.

Combined spending by China and Russia on defense now exceeds the Pentagon's budget. Planning a war with one enemy - and a short one at that - opens a real path to victory for China and Russia

- the author considers.

Comments

[Sonmaster]

In general, as usual: "We need to print more money, otherwise we have a small army."

[Alex777]

In general, as usual: "We need to print more money, otherwise we have a small army."

You can interpret the colonel in a different way:

We need to think carefully before engaging in provocations because we will not pull the war.

[abrakadabre]

Unfortunately, they are pathologically incapable of the second option.

[Thrifty]

Soon a "saving thought" will be born in the heads of the US military - to immediately surrender to China and Russia, thereby saving ten trillion dollars in the war! And 350 million oglo-eaters will eat the winners to such a state that they themselves will be ready to surrender to America.

[Slobodskoy]

So far, it is in the United States that the goofy are eager to get a welfare and a social program that is not found either in Russia or in China.

[Albert1988]

Quote: Slobodskoy

So far, it is in the USA that the goofy are torn

Let the torn farther, the more, the better - the economy there will be torn faster ...

[Slobodskoy]

It's been overstraining for a year now and still not going to overstrain.

[Albert1988]

Quote: Slobodskoy

It's been overstraining for a year now and still not going to overstrain.

Why should this happen in a year? Slowly, slowly, gradually enough breaks will be loaded onto the camel to break its back ...

[sabakina]

Quote: Slobodskoy

So far, it is in the United States that the goofy are eager to get a welfare and a social program that is not found either in Russia or in China.

Slobodskoy, Thrifty called 350 million Americans! If you are a troll, then at least do it with feeling and disposition. Although, what kind of trolls are now ... So, look for a trifle in your pockets ...

[Slobodskoy]

Well, if you look like that, the Russians are more likely to be morbid, since even the concept of "beggar" is completely different.

[sabakina]

Quote: Slobodskoy

Well, if you look at it like that, the Russians are more likely to be mortified.

A. Einstein clearly disagrees with you! Will you remember or teach the theory of relativity?

[lucul]

So far, it is in the United States that the goofy are eager to get a welfare and a social program that is not found either in Russia or in China.

Even if they pay me a lot of money, I won't go to the West to live))))

[lelik613]

These are completely non-intersecting lines. But quite possible.

[SKVichyakow]

For these purposes, it is enough to hang Ukraine on them.

[svp67]

For example, 140 B-1, B-2 and B-52 can only fly 30 sorties per day.

And how many of them can the existing F-35 and F-15, with new high-precision missiles, make?

[Reserve buildbat]

Fu-35 can do a hundred. First day. Then they will stand for MOT for 4-5 weeks. F-15 for fifty sorties in a day will master)))

[Cat Alexandrovich]

"140 B-1, B-2 and B-52 can only fly 30 sorties a day" ... Clarification. First day.

[Mouse]

Have you surrendered? The battle ended before it began ...

[knn54]

Namesake, in addition to the national debt, people's debt is growing. And they don't know how to print money. The debt of the Americans is about $ 14,5 trillion. dollars.
The Yankees, alas, need "at least some sort of" war to get away from their problems. Otherwise, there will be a civil ...
“If the thoughts and forces of mankind stopped wasting on war, we could end poverty in the whole world in one generation.” (Bertrand Russell is a British philosopher).

[Ross xnumx]

Quote: knn54

.The debt of Americans is about 14,5 trillion. dollars.

Yes, more ... twice ...
http://fincan.ru/articles/13_gosdolg-ssha-v-realynom-vremeni/

This figure means that debt increases by about $ 2 million every minute. If the entire debt is divided among US citizens, then each of them will owe more than $ 50. This is not definitive data, as the value is constantly growing.

[Ross xnumx]

There is no need to speculate about the capabilities of the armies of China, Russia and the United States. Each has its own strengths and weaknesses. It is important to have combat experience, BUT:

The United States is unable to win the war against Russia and China

It remains to find those main braces, thanks to which the armies of China and Russia will stand shoulder to shoulder ... Something is not visible to the zealous Chinese agility in Syria. And Russia is not particularly trying to interfere in Chinese conflicts with or without reason.
Our countries are so different in terms of the level of development and mentality of citizens that the Americans are more likely to open a "second front" in the hope of regaining their former power.
In our world, rejoicing in the weakening of positions in the international arena of some countries and the strengthening of others is fraught with danger. As for China, it is in no hurry to share its secrets with anyone. The Americans, too, have already shown themselves in all the glory of sanctions and defamation.
You can and should only rely on yourself.

[nobody75]

It remains to find those main braces, thanks to the presence of which the armies of China and Russia will stand shoulder to shoulder

And they don't need to ... They will act at different theaters. Ours will seize the Baltic states, and the Chinese will seize Taiwan. If the start of operations is agreed upon, the Americans will not be able to oppose anything.
Sincerely

[bar]

Quote: nobody75

Ours will seize the Baltic states, and the Chinese will seize Taiwan.

Why do we need that Baltic, Ganzinger did not tell?

[nobody75]

This is their headache - NATO can neither deploy troops for cover in advance, nor transfer them in time.
Sincerely

[bar]

The problem of NATO in general and the striped ones in particular is that they, in the joy of the collapse of the USSR, bit off a piece more than they can chew. Now they start to choke on it. A bunch of naked NATO members to arm, hundreds of military bases around the globe to maintain. Not a single printing press can handle that.

[nobody75]

And Ukraine is on its way ...
Sincerely

[carstorm 11]

Why look for them?) They have been there for a long time. When one of us is destroyed, the other will also be destroyed. This means that neither Russia nor China makes sense to allow this. We have one enemy. This is always the main reason to stand up for someone else. In fact, the world has already begun to divide according to this principle, and this can no longer be stopped. NATO against Russia and China is already inevitable and will finally take shape in the next decade.

[Ross xnumx]

I am amazed all the time by your pseudo-childish naivety and feigned patriotism. Meehan (xorek) is more consistent and reasonable in this matter. I think straight down the list and let's go:

Quote: carstorm 11

Why look for them?) They have been there for a long time. When one of us is destroyed, the other will also be destroyed.

Wow, it turns out that there were clamps, to the joy of Xi Jinping, it was necessary to cut down half of the Siberian taiga, lay pipes for him, pumping out hydrocarbons from the depths, organize the delivery of scrap metal, ensure the "bottling" of Lake Baikal, give work to the Chinese industry and agriculture to meet the needs of Russian citizens , and transfer part of the territory (abundantly watered with the blood of Soviet soldiers). Let me ask you, when was the last time the United States confronted Russia in an open armed conflict?

Quote: carstorm 11

This means that neither Russia nor China makes sense to allow this. We have one enemy. This is always the main reason to stand up for someone else.

From what, excuse me, the hell? What, China sided with us in the Syrian campaign? Maybe he shared with Russia (as the USSR once shared with China) technologies in heavy engineering and electronics? Finally, recognized Crimea as Russian territory (in response to Taiwan's tacit recognition by the Chinese)? No, of course! This brotherhood is hatching completely understandable plans (which they even draw on maps): you need to place a population of one and a half billion somewhere, fortunately, there is a territory with a population density of 0 and horseradish along the length of 1 km².

Quote: carstorm 11

In fact, the world has already begun to divide according to this principle, and this can no longer be stopped.

In your opinion, our "most patriotic" Russians have transferred their capital from EU banks to Chinese banks? Or settled in the "Chinese Riviera", preferring all its charms to the European one? I have never heard of the Russian Federation selling or transporting gold to Beijing. And how many kilometers of the wall were built on the western border of the Russian Federation?

Quote: carstorm 11

NATO against Russia and China is already inevitable and will finally take shape in the next decade.

NATO shakes (out of habit) weapons at the borders of the Russian Federation only so that the US military-industrial corporations receive orders for weapons. Did Russian weapons instantly become unusable to such an extent that they can no longer fight? And in the next decade, NATO will face ... degradation. And only the policy of Russian "restraint" hinders her. Do you really imagine that the Russian anti-ship missiles and "Daggers" could not, on occasion, "overwhelm" the British destroyer "Defender" that had visited the Black Sea? If there was a desire, there could be a "nix" on the whole company of "students".
==========
And the last:

Quote: carstorm 11

When one of us is destroyed, the other will also be destroyed.

Since 1991, China's population has increased by (almost) 400 million, reaching 000.
Since 1991, the population of Russia has decreased by (according to official data) 2 people. And this is without the territories included in the composition.
So, in China, only the population growth amounted to 300% of the total population of Russia. I no longer know why people in our country “are recovering like flies”

[carstorm 11]

And was it worth scribbling such a footcloth?) I don't really want to convince you of something. These are empty attempts. You have some kind of mess in your head. Why does China need Syria? But politically he is on our side. What do banks have to do with it? They have their own economy. I didn’t come close to saying that they would give up the last shirt for us. I spoke only about the military alliance, which is now being formed and is becoming denser. And this can no longer be stopped.

[bar]

Quote: carstorm 11

When one of us is destroyed, the other will also be destroyed.

Rather, when one of us is destroyed, the second will happily finish off the striped ones. It is foolish not to take advantage of the situation and not finish off even a living, but already wounded enemy.

[xorek]

Combined spending by China and Russia on defense now exceeds the Pentagon's budget. Planning a war with one enemy - and a short one at that - opens a real path to victory for China and Russia

The United States began to become poor and this is alarming .. Something is clearly conceived!
Well, in fact, the Russia-China alliance is a powerful force! The main thing is that the Chinese do not think of themselves as a superior race .. Otherwise, they will have to break their backs, God forbid, of course.
Well, in the USA, the sunset is coming! Biden is stumbling, the blacks are given freedom and are on their knees in front of them, all sorts of LGBT people shout and arrange parades ..
In general, everything goes according to plan, the west rots hehe

[sabakina]

Vitalya, I am not a historian, and certainly not J.V. Stalin, although he also has a mustache. But I clearly see the situation in the first half of 1941, when the top leadership was confident that Hitler would attack Britain first. I would advise you to follow the radiogram of R. Sorge: "Keep your eyes open."

[nobody75]

It is a pity that you are not a historian, otherwise you would have known about Operation Ultra ... It is a pity that you are not a mathematician, otherwise you would have heard the name Turing ... By the way, Biden called the Darkest again .... And again about the hackers.
Sincerely

[sabakina]

Quote: nobody75

Biden, by the way, again called the Darkest ... And again about the hackers.
Sincerely

Why call the Darkest? I would call me, I would spread the cards and tell me where the truth is.

[nobody75]

Is the truth in wine? Or doing crossword puzzles? Thanks to them, the crossword lovers from Bletchley Park, Operation Sea Lion was doomed to failure, as the fleet of the mother country would have attacked the landing at the crossing. These bums won the Battle of Kursk ...
Sincerely

[xorek]

Quote: sabakina

Vitalya, I am not a historian, and certainly not J.V. Stalin, although he also has a mustache. But I clearly see the situation in the first half of 1941, when the top leadership was confident that Hitler would attack Britain first. I would advise you to follow the radiogram of R. Sorge: "Keep your eyes open."

Well, I'm not a historian either, and the situation is similar to 41st in some way ..
But whining "Katz offers to surrender" is not in my rules .. I know everything, I understand everything, but liberal whining will ruin Russia, even our Dostoevsky predicted all this
So you have to fight while your heart is beating
Let them read that in the provinces of Russia all is not yet lost and sold ...

[Ross xnumx]

Quote: xorek

Let them read that in the provinces of Russia all is not yet lost and sold ...

Let them remember that not all provincials sold out for mundials and festivals, forums and fireworks, Moscow allowances and crocodile tears of the EP.

[xorek]

Quote: ROSS 42

Quote: xorek

Let them read that in the provinces of Russia all is not yet lost and sold ...

Let them remember that not all provincials sold out for mundials and festivals, forums and fireworks, Moscow allowances and crocodile tears of the EP.

Well this too ..

[Gardamir]

The United States Cannot Win

Does anyone have an example when the United States won at least someone?

[Ross xnumx]

1983 - Grenada
1989 - Panama
1992-1998 - Iraq
1999 - Yugoslavia
Yes, there is not a single small country in the world that the United States would not show its teeth to ...

[Gardamir]

Well, with Egoslavia, you obviously got excited. There are bombing. So all the Gorbachev years television bombarded our brains. NATO is against Iraq, not just the United States. In Central America, mercenary coups.
I meant Victory, crap a bit similar, albeit 10%, from how the Soviet Union won.

[Ross xnumx]

Quote: Gardamir

Well, with Yugoslavia, you obviously got excited.

It was not me who got excited, it was the EBN team that betrayed everyone and everything. As a result, there is no Yugoslavia.

Quote: Gardamir

I meant Victory, crap a bit similar, albeit 10%, from how the Soviet Union won.

Yes, the winners in the Great Patriotic War are turning over in their graves from the results that the country's leadership has led. Or should they be proud of how the memory of the heroes of the war is being swept away throughout the territory of the former USSR (and the countries of the socialist community)? Maybe they would be satisfied with the color of the national flag or the drapery of the Mausoleum? And what do the names of the Heroes of the Soviet Union and Heroes of Socialist Labor look like against the background of the well-known surnames of the new "heroes"?

[Gardamir]

EBN team betrayed everyone and everything.

I completely agree. But the point was that the American army had never defeated anyone. Therefore, it was bitter when the furniture maker began to remake the army in the American manner.

[Wolf]

Serbs 1999 they didn't win, IT'S FAR ONE! and there were no interpretations of the United States and 19 of them ZLOCHINTSOV !!!
If you wanted to say that they are 1999. STARTED TO MAKE THE GENOCIDE OF THE CIVIL POPULATION OF THE SERBIANS? , YES, THEY HAVE FOUND AND WELL !!! ...

[sabakina]

US expert on renouncing a war on two fronts

The only thing left is to find out which front is their priority.

[sabakina]

- writes the author, commenting on the decision to reduce the size of the US armed forces, taken in the hope of the effect of the introduction of new technologies.

Well, how can you not remember the good old general of the Wehrmacht on the train?

These boobs will be destroyed by their own equipment, they think that the war can be won only by bombing. They will build up their technical power and choke on it. She will decompose them like rust. They will decide that they can do anything.

[Prisoner]

China is not Afghanistan, and even more so Russia. They were kicked out of Afgan, Kim shows them a goat, and they still figure out how to defeat Russia and China. Everything is puffed up so that the vassals would not start thinking about the true capabilities of the overlord.

[Ros 56]

Oddly enough, but the striped ones deflate right before our eyes. Afghan - this is the first swallow, followed by Libya and further on the rise, and like the sword of Damocles, the debt hangs far beyond 20 trillion. China and Russia don't even need to fight.

[voyaka uh]

Afghan has been America's long-standing problem.
They got rid of this problem roughly.
Now Afghanistan is Russia's problem.

[decimalegio]

I read an article in the Huffington Post that talks about China's direct interest in Afghanistan. Not a military, but an economic interest to tame the country

[voyaka uh]

It's right. Through a slice of Afghanistan, China is going to build a new railroad
to the south of Pakistan. Where the Chinese have already built a deep-sea trading port.
"Sea gates to the Persian Gulf". All this is part of the ramified
"Silk Road 2".
But China has strained relations with the Islamists. Because of the Muslim Uyghurs who are being held
in a black body in China. "Islamic State", before its defeat, resettled
Uyghur families to Syria and Iraq.

[Ross xnumx]

Quote: voyaka uh

Now Afghanistan is Russia's problem.

Russia does not have a problem called "Afghanistan" and it should not be imposed. Russia should be engaged in its own development, and there is an army against encroachments.

[Ross xnumx]

Quote: Ros 56

and like the sword of Damocles, the debt hangs well over 20 trillion. China and Russia don't even need to fight.

The sword of Damocles exceeded $ 28.
And the United States can quite calmly watch the world economy collapse under the collapse of the dollar.
Or would you argue that Russian oil and gas are traded on exchanges in rubles?

[Ross xnumx]

Quote: ROSS 42

The sword of Damocles exceeded $ 28.

Typo - $ 28.

[Ros 56]

Yes, at least in what, we can take the subsoil and resources from the debtors.

[Slavenin82]

Why America might lose the next war. As if one of the previous ones won.

[skif8013]

This point of view is expressed by an expert, retired US Air Force Colonel Mark Ganzinger, explaining why America can lose the next war.
And let me ask you what kind of war they won ?!

[Slavenin82]

Just about, look at my comment just above yours.

[Avior]

... Combined spending by China and Russia on defense now exceeds the Pentagon's budget.

It would be good if the author of the figure would give

[Vladislav Handriga]

If someone thinks that WW3 will be someone on 2-3 fronts, then he is mistaken. The war will not be fought by conventional means; it will be a full-scale nuclear war with all the ensuing consequences. Many countries will not even have time to understand who is fighting whom. But the US leadership flies in the clouds in vain and thinks that it will sit out overseas. Then everyone will be a complete khan ...

[decimalegio]

I have seen the dire consequences of American one-sidedness. I do not want to discover the horrors of Chinese one-sidedness