US intelligence called the timing of the fall of the Afghan government after the withdrawal of US and NATO troops
American intelligence gives the Afghan government no more than a year in power after the final withdrawal of the US and NATO military contingent from the country. The Wall Street Journal writes about this with reference to intelligence data.
According to American intelligence, the Afghan government headed by President Ashraf Ghani could finally collapse a year after the withdrawal of the US and NATO military. Moreover, this is a good option, given a bad Kabul will not hold out even six months under the onslaught of the Taliban * militants (prohibited in Russia). There is an even darker forecast, where government forces are given only three months.
The actions of the Taliban break all forecasts of American analysts. If literally a month ago, the Afghan government was predicted to have at least two "calm" years after the withdrawal of American forces, today they are allotted three to six months, judging by the latest data.
The rapid Taliban offensive, which began in May, is in no hurry to stop. During this time, the Taliban captured 50 districts of Afghanistan, where with battles, and where just by negotiating. At the same time, local authorities accuse Kabul of inaction and failure to provide assistance.
Meanwhile, there is information that the White House administration is trying to slow down the withdrawal of the American military from Afghanistan, while half of the 3,5 contingent has already been withdrawn. What Washington is trying to achieve by this is not clear, since the decision on the final withdrawal of troops from the territory of Afghanistan has been made and they will be withdrawn. With its delays, the United States will only prolong the agony of the country's government forces, since the Taliban do not make any compromises, demanding the final withdrawal of foreign military contingents from Afghanistan.
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