Turkish analyst: US will lift sanctions against Ankara if Erdogan returns S-400 air defense system to Russia

In Turkey, before the start of the NATO summit (starts in Brussels), a possible easing of American sanctions is being discussed. As you know, the American side introduced these sanctions against Ankara for acquiring S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems from Russia with their subsequent deployment. The sanctions hit the Directorate of the Defense Industry, and Turkey was also withdrawn from the program to create fifth-generation F-35 fighters.

Turkey is now wondering whether Ankara will be able to convince Joe Biden that it would be worth lifting the previously imposed sanctions restrictions.

Turkish analyst Bulent Aliriza expressed his opinion on this matter. According to him, under current conditions, it is impossible to ease the sanctions imposed by the United States for the purchase of the S-400 from Russia. In fact, Aliriza broadcasts the American position, as she is the program director of the Washington Center for Strategic International Studies in Turkey.

According to him, the meeting between Erdogan and Biden in this regard will not solve anything, since Washington's position is tough. US sanctions will be lifted only if Turkey “deactivates the S-400 Triumph air defense systems purchased from Moscow.

Bulent Aliriza believes that Turkey will not be returned to the F-35 program, since the relevant laws were passed not by the US President, but by Congress. Therefore, even if Joe Biden personally is ready to make concessions to Erdogan, "nothing will come of it, since Biden has Congress behind him, and on the table in front of him is the decision of the Congressmen."

Aliriza:

Biden is unlikely to want to challenge Congress. That is why the sanctions against Turkey for the S-400 will not be lifted.

The Biden administration insists that the lifting of restrictive measures is only possible if Turkey does not use Russian air defense systems in its air defense system or returns them to Russia.

That is, the US will lift its sanctions if Erdogan returns the S-400 to Russia

Comments

[Thrifty]

Erdogad must understand that sometimes independence in thinking and actions is more expensive than an overseas "candy"! The Turks need to make their own fighter in order to abandon even f16 in any modernization and sell them to someone else. Once you have gone to confrontation, do not turn your back, hold your tail with a pistol, and develop your military aviation, most importantly, the desire to do it yourself and for yourself!

[Torins]

The Turks do not have the technological and industrial backlog to provide themselves with modern combat aviation.

[Peak]

Turkish analyst: US will lift sanctions against Ankara if Erdogan returns S-400 air defense system to Russia

Tell the analyst and all the Turks that if - They return the S-400 to us, then their tomatoes will return to them, in a fairly processed form

[Egoza]

Quote: PiK

Turkish analyst: US will lift sanctions against Ankara if Erdogan returns S-400 air defense system to Russia

The analyst said that. What will the United States say? And if they say, where is the guarantee that they will keep their word? I don't think Erdogan would give in on this issue

[Peak]

Quote: Egoza

What will the United States say? And if they say, where is the guarantee that they will keep their word?

What ? Warranties from the USA? You say that

[Shurik70]

Just after the imposition of US sanctions, Turkey's economy began to develop.
And this is despite the contribution of the coronavirus
Businessmen began to invest in their country, and not abroad

[venik]

Quote: Egoza

The analyst said that. What will the United States say? And if they say, where is the guarantee that they will keep their word? I don't think Erdogan would give in on this issue

========
Definitely not going to work! In addition to the S-400, there is also the Gülen problem! Getting his head for the Sultan is a matter of principle! For the Americans, the extradition of a fugitive oppositionist is also fundamentally impossible: they are from their own territory never и no one did not give out... According to the principle: "there is no issue from Don!" Everything. Dead end!
To give up the S-400 is also impossible! And the point here is not so much about the country's security (although this also has a place to be), but the main thing: to give up complexes under pressure means "tucking the tail" under pressure from outside. And for an extremely arrogant and proud sultan, this is worse than death!
So, you are right: most likely they will look for some "common points of contact", leaving the rest of the problems "outside the brackets"!

[Anachoret]

This is the USA)) they do not make promises to anyone, and if they do, they never hold back) The USA are the masters of their words, they themselves gave, they take the words themselves)

[antivirus]

then s400 must be given to Egypt in exchange for tour packages. it will be a camel move on a chessboard.

[Zaurbek]

At a minimum, the Turks can buy F16 counterparts from different countries. They make the weapons themselves ... quite modern. Ft17, J10, Su30, Su35 .... all the dimensions are on the market. It is quite possible to interrupt before the creation (together with someone) of the 5th or about 5th generation (15-20 years).

[knn54]

Give Yankee, a finger and he will bite off his whole hand

[Roman1970_1]

They will not be able to make their own fighter. There are many more developed and richer countries in Turkey, and fighters are only able to make a few. The fingers can be counted

[Torins]

That is, the US will lift its sanctions if Erdogan returns the S-400 to Russia

That is, the United States admits that it does not consider Turkey a sovereign state?

[Peak]

Quote: Torins

That is, the United States admits that it does not consider Turkey a sovereign state?

And who on the planet do they consider sovereign? Us? China?

Not at all ...
Frequently and persistently repeated statements by the United States regarding our domestic and foreign policy, bordering on interference in them, indicate that they do not consider and do not recognize us as sovereign ...

[Volkov]

Well, yes, well, yes, NATO also should not have expanded eastward after the withdrawal of Soviet troops from the GDR. We have already seen these schemes, we know.

[Synoid]

In life, they will not give it up. The only systems effective against modern aircraft.

[prior]

"Minced meat cannot be turned back
And you can't restore meat from it .... "
If the Turks return the complexes, they will be Turks.
Even if the Turks return the complexes, who will return the money to them ?!

[cniza]

The Biden administration insists that the lifting of restrictive measures is only possible if Turkey does not use Russian air defense systems in its air defense system or returns them to Russia.

Let them put it in the shed and they won't know grief ...

[rocket757]

Hi
East is a delicate matter!
So let's see who and where will the curve lead?

[cniza]

Good time!

The US is looking for ways to push Erdogan ...

[xorek]

Quote: cniza

Good time!

The US is looking for ways to push Erdogan ...

Most likely to dunk, by the wrong hands and play off with Russia .. This is their main goal Victor!

[cniza]

They are working on several options, but they understand that they will not be able to agree with him ...

[xorek]

Quote: cniza

They are working on several options, but they understand that they will not be able to agree with him ...

Victor cannot, you are right! ... Having received the S-400 and Russia's support, Erdogan has become more confident in his actions and perfectly understands what will be done to him if the unofficial support of Russia stops ..

[cniza]

But the United States will continue to press, although until a certain point, they do not want to lose the bases in Turkey ...

[xorek]

Quote: cniza

But the United States will continue to press, although until a certain point, they do not want to lose the bases in Turkey ...

Turkey is the second country after the United States in NATO, in terms of the size of the Army and the equipment with weapons .. That's Victor rage! We will continue to push and drive this aggressive anti-Russian system into collapse.
This path is very dangerous, but there are results ..

[rocket757]

Turkish analyst: US will lift sanctions against Ankara if Erdogan returns S-400 air defense system to Russia

... Well, even then .... they will come right now! Straight straight away and forever.

[cniza]

Uh-huh, such a great happiness that you can't lift ...

[rocket757]

The Sultan, the child of the east ... to be wise, muddy the waters, he is supposed to by definition.
So thrash right between the eyes, otherwise they do not understand.

[Reptiloid]

good afternoon, Victor! This is not the first time the United States has tried with Erdogan on this topic! It didn't work before

[rocket757]

If you suffer for a long time .... the Yankees are stubborn guys, and buns, not small, they can offer! all the more so what the sultan can lose if he shows us a goat's face ... it still needs to be counted, and will it be noticeable and significant at all, this is a question ???
In general, not a boom to guess, a boom to see.

[Reptiloid]

Quote: rocket757

..... In general, not a boom to guess, to see a boom.

I think Erdogan will never forget or forgive the fact that Gulen lives in the United States. Who is considered a public figure

[rocket757]

If you can't forget something, then you can forget it for very specific babosiks ... more often than not, this is exactly what happens.

[cniza]

Quote: rocket757

The Sultan, the child of the east ... to be wise, muddy the waters, he is supposed to by definition.
So thrash right between the eyes, otherwise they do not understand.

And they sincerely believe that this is how it should be ...

[rocket757]

So it is necessary, to go where there is more profit, and losses ... will / will not, he knows it.
There is nothing surprising in that.

[cniza]

He opened his mouth painfully wide and spread his arms out ...

[Reptiloid]

Holds on to power tightly, with all his might

Quote: cniza

He opened his mouth painfully wide and spread his arms out ...

[rocket757]

He's not the only one. Now this is almost the norm!
Times of unbreakable agreements, obligations, honor and decency, this is not about modern politicians. Alas, alas, this is how it is now.

[rotmistr60]

US sanctions will be lifted only if Turkey "deactivates the S-400 Triumph air defense systems purchased from Moscow

And here, something tells, will find a scythe on a stone. Not for that Erdogan spent money and plans to spend more to make concessions to the United States on the S-400 right now. In this case, the advertising slogan is suitable - "Thirst is nothing, image is everything!"

[Azimuth]

Yes, it is losing allies of the United States, there are no sanctions alone. Give me a gingerbread, and then a cookie, because the Congress will chop it down, or Erdogan doesn't need less than Gulen. He sniffs with China, bribes a little from Russia, look with Iran they will start hugging and nominally remain in NATO like a black sheep.

[Revolver]

Have you already paid the money? Well then, okay, the complexes are Turkish, they want to - let them use them, they don't want to - let them return them, but even if they eat them with buckwheat porridge. As they write in such cases on the cashier's check in America, "All sales are final, no cash back, no store credit".

[xorek]

The United States will lift sanctions against Ankara if Erdogan returns the S-400 air defense system to Russia

And then they'll kill him as planned ..

[sen]

Why is the United States so rested on the S-400? Could it be Erdogan's obedience? Make Turkey kneel before the United States, otherwise it is pursuing an overly independent policy. The United States has always punished "presumptuous" dictators who began to pursue a policy independent of them.