Military Review

Spring forecast: the ruble as a March hare

66

- You would have said, - picked up the Hare, -

“I learn what I don’t know” and “I know what I don’t learn” -
it's the same thing too!
Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland

No demand for the dollar


The ruble exchange rate, contrary to the expectations of the pessimists, did not at all rush to the exchange rate mark "2021" against the dollar at the beginning of 100. Even against the euro, such a ruble exchange rate is hardly possible now.

Judging by the activity of commentators, who regularly predict either devaluation, or default, or the global crisis, the ruble, like a March hare, really wants to be seen as "wildly insane." Or, at least, forced to constantly behave as if now is the time (no, not to drink tea, as in a fairy tale) to fall on the course.

Spring forecast: the ruble as a March hare

But in order to overcome such important (primarily from a psychological point of view) milestones as 100 rubles (no matter which currency), you need a reason stronger than the American elections or another portion of sanctions.

Even Nord Stream 2 now, by all indications, can only give rise to a decrease in the exchange rates of world currencies, but not the ruble. The ruble supports, among other things (but almost stronger than this other), the almost complete absence of demand for currency on the part of the population.

And the point here is not even the problems with tourism, but the fact that someone has no desire (and the majority of the population has no opportunity) to make foreign exchange savings. The standard of living, according to data that can be considered almost official, fell due to the pandemic in more than 60 percent of the population of Russia.

But, fortunately, in this respect we are by no means ahead of the rest of the world. Although the Russians, unlike Europeans or Americans, no one is really going to help financially.

Let this be justified by the need to avoid inflation, but for some reason they are silent about all other factors that stimulate inflation.

With no hope for oil


But the ruble is now in favor of oil, and large reserves, and a balanced budget, and relative political stability. But these are very general factors, and the tariffs are specific, like the enemy Tanks.

Therefore, we dare to assume that by the end of March the ruble will be quite small, but will decline against the euro and the dollar. Up to 91–92,5 rubles for the European currency and 74–76 rubles for the American currency.

Firstly, this will be facilitated by the rise in electricity prices almost throughout Russia. This is, alas, a fait accompli.

Secondly, the tariffs for housing and communal services have also increased. Alas, in most regions. Although not on all counts.

And finally, thirdly, there is no need to talk about gasoline prices (growing both before and after, and instead of).

Closer to summer, the gasoline factor will begin to affect even more, but it is unlikely to last for a long time. The growth of business activity in itself should level out the not too large, for now (which is already not bad) rise in the price of fuel.

And, first of all, due to the fact that it will also ensure the growth of consumer demand. And not only seasonal, but also the growth of receipts to the treasury. First of all, of course, tax, which, by definition, are not in currency, but in rubles.

So, the ruble should not be puffed up for oil, which has nowhere to go up especially. But, turning to the factor of banks, including the Central one, we note that a stable or at least slightly less weak than now in relation to the euro and the dollar, the ruble is still needed.

It could well become a good help for the economy. And not only - for citizens too. However, the general public is unlikely to pay attention to this now.

With an eye on the banks


We apologize for the repetition, but the steadily rising price of oil for almost a year did not help the Russian ruble. And the whole point here, of course, is not in oil itself, but in the position of the national regulator - the Central Bank.


Today, he is by no means in the spotlight, which suits his leadership, which continues to invest in anything but its own currency. And not even in real ruble assets, and even more so not in the well-being of citizens who provide the notorious consumer demand.

The Bank of Russia does not advertise too much, but neither does it overly refute its persistent adherence to the policy of a weak ruble. That is why we assumed some rollback of the ruble in March.

April for the ruble will be a time of slight growth due to the start of an active campaign of calculations with the budget. The only thing to worry about is the financial impact of the pandemic, with multiple bankruptcies pending pending.

However, neither the dollar nor the euro will go far from the final March exchange rate marks. In May 2021, there is also no reason for the ruble to fall or to jump up.

Unless, of course, something epoch-making happens. Like some kind of local conflict, and this is a negative scenario. Or the advance launch of Nord Stream-2, but this scenario is already more than positive.

By the way, this is also why, for fear of surprises, an excessively strong ruble is simply not needed neither only by the Central, but also by the commercial Russian banks. Moreover, as a credit, it is as expensive as few other currencies.

In this regard, a competitor could become, for example, the rapidly flowing downstream Turkish lira or the Saudi riyal personally regulated by the monarch. But both of them are hindered by the main thing - the strict standards of conducting financial affairs in Muslim countries.

This is not our method.


Both in secular Turkey and in deeply religious Arab countries, dirty business with interest is shifted onto other people's shoulders and on operations with dollars and euros. A loan is piously given not at interest, but with the condition of subsequent participation in the profits from the business.


In Russia, the institution of lending has for many years turned into a kind of self-sufficient financial pyramids. And not only the trivial withdrawal of funds abroad is periodically used as a lifeline for the organizers who have played too much.

The most dangerous trend is the funding of multistage credit schemes from the budget. Moreover, this is carried out, as a rule, not directly, but through the placement and regular redemption of securities, not necessarily state ones.

Just a colossal margin, when consumer credit goes off scale for 20% per annum. And coupon payments never exceed the Central Bank's discount rate and guarantee profits that no one outside of the Russian Federation even dreamed of.

In addition, any more or less acceptable credit interest, as in the same mortgage or in car loans, is invariably accompanied by many loads, primarily insurance ones.

Almost all sectors of the domestic economy are now operating according to the pyramid principle, which are capable of generating significant profits.

Along with the IT sector and trade, banks have long successfully pulled up the construction and agricultural sectors, as well as the notorious screwdriver production, to the construction of credit pyramids.
Author:
Photos used:
ru.investing.com, mycurrencytransfer.com
66 comments
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  1. New Year day
    New Year day 3 March 2021 15: 08
    +26
    No matter how much oil costs, the ruble will slowly creep down. A strong ruble requires a developed economy and high-tech imports. This will not threaten us in the foreseeable future.
    1. WHAT IS
      WHAT IS 3 March 2021 15: 22
      +21
      And when the dollar fell in price here, I don’t remember anything like that. Like gasoline, it’s constantly growing, it’s good who has a "cutlet" under the pillow of these very Mirian rubles, they sleep sweeter and calmer, unlike the bulk of the people ..
      the excessively strong ruble is simply not needed by either the Central Bank, but also by the commercial Russian banks.

      That's the point, even if the Central Bank of the country does not need a stable and strong ruble, orphan.
      1. Malyuta
        Malyuta 3 March 2021 19: 58
        +28
        Quote: WHAT IS
        That's the point, even if the Central Bank of the country does not need a stable and strong ruble, orphan.

        A stable and strong ruble is not needed not only by the Central Bank, but even by “His Majesty” the president himself.
        and in our country, since March 1, public transport has risen in price by 25%, and this is at the request of the workers.
        1. Maki Avellevich
          Maki Avellevich 4 March 2021 18: 27
          +1
          Quote: Malyuta
          A stable and strong ruble is not needed not only by the Central Bank, but even by “His Majesty” the president himself.
          and in our country, since March 1, public transport has risen in price by 25%, and this is at the request of the workers.

          Putin explained on his fingers how inflation is done.
          well, the high rate of course is also a factor.
    2. Ilya-spb
      Ilya-spb 3 March 2021 15: 28
      +15
      My question is: when will the Central Bank of Russia be returned to the state?

      When will we regain financial independence?
      1. Svarog
        Svarog 3 March 2021 15: 34
        +18
        Quote: Ilya-spb
        My question is: when will the Central Bank of Russia be returned to the state?

        When will we regain financial independence?

        Only with the coming of the socialists to power .. In any other case, capital will not be able to get out of the Anglo-Saxon paradigm ..
        1. WHAT IS
          WHAT IS 3 March 2021 15: 42
          +17
          when will the Central Bank of Russia be returned to the state?

          This is an interesting question, many would like to hear the answer to it. One may doubt that the Central Bank is generally a state structure. The main reason is its independence from state authorities. And this is legally enshrined in the law on the Central Bank in the second article, which says that the Central Bank is not responsible for the state's debts. For lawyers of any country, this means complete independence of this body from the state. For property relations in this matter are decisive. The Central Bank does not belong to the state, since the state cannot dispose of the property of the Central Bank. Yes, this is not the State Bank of the USSR, with which everything was extremely clear and understandable - the State Bank of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, and don't get it.
          1. Lannan Shi
            Lannan Shi 3 March 2021 17: 13
            +24
            Quote: WHAT IS
            The main reason is its independence from state authorities.

            The head of the Central Bank is nominated by the president. What independence can there be if the Central Bank is ruled by a completely loyal appointee? Children's tales, about a good king, and an evil treasurer who is not subject to anyone. Do not stand nabiulin at attention, in front of the Kremlin, she would have been thrown out like a shitty kitten, upon the expiration of her term of office, back in March 2017, those. 4 years ago. Or they could have found a full trunk of heroin at her place earlier, or heels of RPGs under the couch. Tea is not living in a fairy tale. yes
          2. clerk
            clerk 3 March 2021 19: 50
            +2
            ... when will the Central Bank of Russia be returned to the state? /////////

            This is an interesting question, many would like to hear the answer to it. One may doubt that the Central Bank is generally a state structure. The main reason is its independence from state authorities. And this is legally enshrined in the law on the Central Bank in the second article, which says that the Central Bank is not responsible for the state's debts. For lawyers of any country, this means complete independence of this body from the state. For property relations in this matter are decisive. The Central Bank does not belong to the state, since the state cannot dispose of the property of the Central Bank. Yes, this is not the State Bank of the USSR, with which everything was extremely clear and understandable - the State Bank of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, and don't get it.
            I explain again on the fingers. According to the law, the Central Bank is not liable for the obligations of states so that in the event of the loss of the Russian Federation in court cases in international courts, the plaintiffs could not lay their hands on the funds of the Central Bank. As for the so-called. "Property of the Central Bank", then the state does not need to directly dispose of this property. Despite its formal independence, the Central Bank works in one team with the executive branch. Therefore, all the screams about the "nationalization of the Central Bank" is not only illiteracy in form, but also complete nonsense in essence.
        2. nikvic46
          nikvic46 4 March 2021 06: 41
          +1
          Vladimir: The status of the Central Bank is spelled out in the Constitution of the Russian Federation and was not included in the amendments.
        3. Per se.
          Per se. 4 March 2021 11: 42
          +1
          Quote: Svarog
          Only with the coming of the socialists to power ..
          Socialists, especially communists, will not be admitted to power. Here one of two things, either the masters of capitalism themselves, in the person of the United States, will collapse, or a national shame should happen in Russia, on the basis of a complete discrediting of the current government. It may be a military conflict in which the current government will bail out, fail. Then a military coup, with a trial of traitors, could change anything.
      2. Revival
        Revival 3 March 2021 16: 34
        +8
        When will they return to the state?
        As it will be, so it will be returned
    3. Gardamir
      Gardamir 3 March 2021 15: 48
      +8
      This will not threaten us in the foreseeable future.
      I strongly disagree. And that's why. Some for some reason persistently say that the people at the referendum voted for the preservation of the Union. You can vote as you like. But everyone dreamed of living under market socialism, under a market economy. Still smart, everyone will have Mercedes and yachts. And dreams always come true. So what if a neighbor's Mercedes and yachts dreamed together.
      You say there is no threat. So it will come true. In the last presidential election, even ardent anti-Putin people said they would still elect him. The dream came true. You need to dream about the good, and if you assume the bad, it is better to keep silent.
      1. dSK
        dSK 3 March 2021 16: 38
        +1
        Quote: Gardamir
        if you assume something bad it is better to be silent.

        That's all right. But it's a fact - just like another "crisis", so $$ and prices jump up.
        The Ukrainian Armed Forces delivers shells to Donbas in wagons and prepares openly for an assault in the summer. Russia will react. Everyone remembers what happened with $$ in 2014 ...
    4. smart ass
      smart ass 3 March 2021 17: 48
      +5
      I did not understand why the author is happy, he apparently does not go to the store. Since the beginning of the year, the price of plastic, metal, all household goods has risen, since I myself sign all invoices in the course of events
    5. Sergey Averchenkov
      Sergey Averchenkov 3 March 2021 22: 30
      -3
      Yes, nothing threatens us at all - we need to flee to America, everything is fine there. I know for sure that it is developed there, so you will like it there.
      1. The comment was deleted.
  2. WHAT IS
    WHAT IS 3 March 2021 15: 10
    +11
    In foreign currency and would be glad to have a stash, but that's how it is
    there is no (the majority of the population has the opportunity) to make foreign exchange savings.

    utility rates have also increased

    Yes, not bad, but income has not increased.
    1. Lannan Shi
      Lannan Shi 3 March 2021 17: 18
      +12
      Quote: WHAT IS
      Yes, not bad, but income has not increased.

      It depends on who ... Here's Potanin, for example, in January 2021 alone, it "went up" by 0.7 billion.
  3. Svarog
    Svarog 3 March 2021 15: 10
    +20
    The ruble exchange rate, contrary to the expectations of the pessimists, did not at all rush to the exchange rate mark "2021" against the dollar at the beginning of 100. Even against the euro, such a ruble exchange rate is hardly possible now.

    Here I am alarmed that too often articles began to appear explaining the reasons why $ 100 per ruble is impossible this year.
    When I hear something like that, I begin to be even more inclined to believe that it is just possible .. In our state, everything is possible, and history will not let you lie .. I remember Yeltsin said that there will be no default! And the next day, it turned out to be ..
    In general, if oil continues to grow, it is unlikely that $ 100 will cost, about 80 ... and if oil falls, then 100 will definitely be.
    1. WHAT IS
      WHAT IS 3 March 2021 15: 13
      +18
      Well, yes, as the conversations "there will be no default" and "there will be no pension reform" begin, somehow everyone around them is alarmed at once, such conversations are usually not good.
    2. The leader of the Redskins
      The leader of the Redskins 3 March 2021 16: 46
      +6
      In fact, these articles are more likely to prepare the public - they say, you see - it did not immediately collapse ... not up to 100 ... and it is not so scary ...
    3. Sotskiy
      Sotskiy 3 March 2021 20: 20
      +1
      Quote: Svarog
      Here I am alarmed that too often articles began to appear explaining the reasons why $ 100 per ruble is impossible this year.

      $ 100 per ruble is definitely impossible in the Russian Federation, but on the contrary, in full wink
      In the late USSR (1985), I remember the official exchange rate of the US dollar to the Soviet ruble was 1 to 0,6. The "exchange" rate on the black market was 1 to 10-15 in favor of the dollar, that is, 15 times. Now the exchange rate of the ruble for the dollar is 1 to 73, that is, 73 times ...
      Can anyone explain this breakthrough or breakthrough in the commodity market economy of the Russian Federation? laughing laughing laughing
    4. ANB
      ANB 4 March 2021 03: 30
      +1
      ... I remember Yeltsin said, there will be no default! And the next day, it turned out to be ..

      No, what are you. There was no such thing. As many as 3 days passed from this statement of Yeltsin to the default. :)
  4. rocket757
    rocket757 3 March 2021 15: 31
    +2
    Without ... a ruble, no tuda, no syuda!
    Until the top ones leap, there will be a humpty, talk back and forth .... we are definitely extras at that "celebration of life"!
    1. apro
      apro 3 March 2021 15: 56
      +5
      Quote: rocket757
      we are definitely extras at that "celebration of life"!

      Which is constantly ... pockets inside out.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 3 March 2021 16: 10
        +2
        This is yes ... although, for so many tons, there is NOTHING to turn out there!
        It has long been a hole, even a conscientious, zealous, mistress cannot patch it up!
  5. svoit
    svoit 3 March 2021 15: 36
    +6
    the excessively strong ruble is simply not needed by either the Central Bank, but also by the commercial Russian banks.
    I wonder if anyone knows a more depreciated currency than the big ruble? They say even the hryvnia is a little better
    1. WHAT IS
      WHAT IS 3 March 2021 15: 46
      +16
      1 Ukrainian Hryvnia 0,036 US Dollar
      1 Russian ruble 0,014 US dollar
      1 Russian ruble 0,38 Ukrainian hryvnia
    2. Nastia makarova
      Nastia makarova 3 March 2021 15: 50
      +8
      the ruble is not depreciated but underestimated)))) the real price is 50-55 rubles per dollar, it was the Central Bank that set such a rate to make it easier to pay the population
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 3 March 2021 16: 12
        +8
        Well, yes, not for the sake of the population, we understand fool that's just better from who? we certainly don't.
      2. smart ass
        smart ass 3 March 2021 17: 50
        +4
        To make it easier for the population to pay for everything)
  6. apro
    apro 3 March 2021 15: 36
    +3
    Predicting the rate jumps based on what seemed to be objective factors, the price of the barrel, the statements of the American Central Bank and other psychics, is not a grateful and senseless decision to be taken without publicity in a narrow circle.
  7. tralflot1832
    tralflot1832 3 March 2021 15: 40
    -11%
    Now the ruble is influenced by oil and the dollar. There is a tendency for all the treasury obligations of foreign holders to be dumped. The foreign hands already have less than 25% of the debt. The rest has to be bought by the domestic financial institutions of the United States. In 2005, the total US debt was $ 7 trillion, and in 2021, $ 27 trillion. How they will deflate this money bubble is not clear. Either make the dollar cheaper or a small victorious war. Only China is confidently moving forward, despite the crisis with covid. 21 may turn out to be even steeper than 20 years. the world economy is not foreseen. There should be a strengthening of the ruble, but we have the Central Bank of Russia, and you can expect anything from them! what
    1. New Year day
      New Year day 3 March 2021 17: 41
      +7
      Quote: tralflot1832
      Now the ruble is influenced by oil and the dollar

      The other day, Biden took on the Saudis. The goal is to "adjust" the oil price. Do you think it will become cheaper or more expensive?
      1. tralflot1832
        tralflot1832 3 March 2021 18: 12
        -2
        Our Urals differs from Saudi oil. There was already a period when the Saudis were getting cheaper and ours was getting more expensive. The main consumer is Europe. Since the Soviet era, we have put Europe on our needle. Factories are sharpened under a certain brand of oil. To stop buying our oil in Europe, they need invest billions in modernization. And so Biden's bnz will continue to grow. The magical ten missiles on the American base have done their job. Spikulants are waiting for the US response to Iran. and Iran is dragging its oil to Venezuela, to dilute the oil produced by Venezuela. The US quietly, abandoning Venezuelan oil, bought from us $ 2,5 billion of oil so that refineries would not stand up. Everything is so complicated and interconnected there. That is why such toothless sanctions. Although the Russian official is scared. Where to put the money?
        1. Keyser soze
          Keyser soze 3 March 2021 18: 55
          +7
          In order for Europe to stop buying our oil, they need to invest billions in modernization.


          Billions will be invested, but in green projects. From 2025-30, a skiff for all cars with internal combustion engines. Most of the big companies - Volvo, Renault, Toyota, etc., no longer develop internal combustion engines. They will not be trite on sale. And people in the EU change their car in 4-5 years.

          By the way ... electric carriages are already inexpensive, recently Dacia started up an electric train for 11000 euros. I will buy it in two years when I change the car.

          Last year, British Petroleum's analysis was released that oil is running out and it will never rise in price significantly. Royal Duch Shell had a similar analysis.

          So consumption will only decline for the foreseeable future.
          1. tralflot1832
            tralflot1832 3 March 2021 19: 06
            -1
            I'm only "for."! We transfer cars to batteries, then sea vessels and finally airplanes. Then we'll take on the army tanks, airplanes, armored personnel carriers, and most importantly gunpowder. Everything on batteries. That's who will recycle the batteries will be enriched. By the way, there are technologies Or, as usual, to Africa, I don’t remember the country as a world dump or in the old fashioned way into the ocean. They don’t swim below. Like an adult, but you believe mad Gretta.
            1. Keyser soze
              Keyser soze 3 March 2021 19: 36
              +3
              We convert cars to batteries, then ships and finally airplanes.


              laughing Well, cars for sure. And this is the lion's share of consumption.

              By the way, is there a technology for recycling batteries?


              A long time ago. Everything is disposed of. This is money ...

              It seems like an adult, but you believe mad Gretta.


              What does Greta have to do with the green energy transition? It's just a sick child, with porridge instead of brains. Happens. But these processes did not start today, they have been going on for at least 30 years and I like some aspects. I hate ecologists, but they are a necessary evil that stops greedy business and corrupt local authorities. This world is not in black and white and has many nuances. And I personally want clean cities, pedestrian areas, no cars and parks.
              1. tralflot1832
                tralflot1832 3 March 2021 20: 02
                +2
                The increase in the utilization of batteries will be tenfold. Remember my word, all this dregs with green energy are paid for by oil companies. It will be like with freons, one will be banned and the other will cost several times more in return. $ 900 per ton, a good deal for oil refining With wind turbines and solar panels, an ambush awaits. The wind does not always blow and the sun goes to sleep at night.
                1. Keyser soze
                  Keyser soze 3 March 2021 23: 50
                  +2
                  It will be like with freons, one will be banned and the other in return will cost several times more.


                  Yes you are right. Well, let it be more expensive. Everything in this world is worth something. If you have enough money, why not pay dearly for everything? In fact, for the last 20 years I have been dealing with products of different companies. So all good things are worth a lot of money. Went somehow in Switzerland and everything was terribly expensive. And people do not care - they pay and do not bother. So cheap is the mother of misery.

                  The wind does not always blow and the sun goes to sleep at night.


                  Of course, there are so-called balanced powers.

                  By the way, green politicians are not only wind turbines and the sun. Our government has spent over the past 2-3 years 2 billion euros of gratuitous aid for the thermal insulation of old cooperatives, Khrushchevs, etc. So there the consumption of electricity falls by 60% .... that's the green policy.
                  1. tralflot1832
                    tralflot1832 4 March 2021 00: 20
                    0
                    It is a good investment of money for insulation of housing stock and communications, even in such a warm country as Bulgaria.
                  2. ANB
                    ANB 4 March 2021 03: 39
                    0
                    ... on the thermal insulation of old cooperatives, Khrushchevs, etc. So there the consumption of electricity falls by 60% .... that's the green policy.

                    Are you heating with electric heaters?
          2. Sotskiy
            Sotskiy 4 March 2021 00: 08
            +1
            Quote: Keyser Soze
            Last year, British Petroleum's analysis was released that oil is running out and it will never rise in price significantly. Royal Duch Shell had a similar analysis.

            And on all these "analyzes" put big and thick, this winter in Europe and the United States. laughing
            Let's see how long these "electric cars" have batteries, for example, at -15, -20 Celsius wink
            1. Keyser soze
              Keyser soze 4 March 2021 00: 20
              +2
              on all these "analyzes" put big and thick, this winter in Europe and the United States.


              I wonder .... what happened in Europe in winter? Didn't notice Armageddon outside the window.

              What do winter and oil have in common? Are you heating with oil or producing electricity?
              1. Sotskiy
                Sotskiy 4 March 2021 01: 01
                +2
                Quote: Keyser Soze
                What do winter and oil have in common?

                Have all of your thermal stations been liquidated, is there only alternative energy left? belay
                But I think that Europe has sharply increased the purchase of coal and oil products this winter. Probably with the help of coal in this way the windmills are untwisted? lol
                Specifically, in our country, 4 units of nuclear power plants generate electricity. hi
                1. Keyser soze
                  Keyser soze 4 March 2021 09: 36
                  0
                  all of you have been eliminated by thermal power plants, is there only alternative energy left?


                  No .... but for a long time now everything has been using gas and with co-generation to produce electricity. Nobody uses fuel oil for a long time, it is expensive and dirty coal.

                  Our consumption of petroleum products grows in the summer, when everyone goes on vacation.
                  1. Sotskiy
                    Sotskiy 4 March 2021 10: 28
                    +1
                    Quote: Keyser Soze
                    No ... but everything has been on gas for a long time

                    Gas - yes, the cleanest and cheapest fuel after a nuclear power plant. Only who then needed coal with fuel oil? Who is your environmental "dissident" in the EU? lol
          3. ANB
            ANB 4 March 2021 03: 36
            0
            ... Billions will be invested, but in green projects. From 2025-30 a skiff for all cars with internal combustion engines. Most of the big companies - Volvo, Renault, Toyota, etc., no longer develop internal combustion engines. They will not be trite on sale. And people in the EU change their car in 4-5 years.

            What is the connection between green energy and battery-powered cars?
            Batteries need to be charged with something.
            And their production is very environmentally friendly.
            1. Keyser soze
              Keyser soze 4 March 2021 09: 43
              +1
              What is the connection between green energy and battery-powered cars?
              Batteries need to be charged with something.


              Well, they answered themselves ... wink

              The share of environmentally friendly electricity is already 21% of the total production. And nothing, we live, have not died from the bills ... And in a dozen years and battery-powered cars will become widespread and the air in cities will become cleaner.
              1. ANB
                ANB 4 March 2021 12: 46
                0
                ... And in a dozen years, battery-powered cars will become widespread and the air in cities will become cleaner.

                So they will need more electricity. What will you charge with? Wind turbines?
                1. Keyser soze
                  Keyser soze 4 March 2021 14: 33
                  +1
                  So they will need more electricity. What will you charge with?


                  What is. We sell electricity wherever possible in the Balkans. There is excess power. So we'll add it.
  8. svoit
    svoit 3 March 2021 16: 08
    +1
    Quote: Nastia Makarova
    the real price is 50-55 rubles per dollar

    According to scientific data, less than 24 rubles
    https://yandex.ru/turbo/rbc.ru/s/finances/13/01/2021/5ffe9a4f9a7947b9c10bc68f
  9. Kildin
    Kildin 3 March 2021 16: 21
    +12
    I don’t know of those who have no desire to buy currency. Both me and all my friends after 2008 live by the rule: there is free money - buy bucks. Or oiro.
  10. Revival
    Revival 3 March 2021 16: 33
    +2
    And almost complete lack of demand for ........ from the population.
  11. dimz
    dimz 3 March 2021 16: 36
    +4
    The course is being kept artificially. Down, I would not particularly hope, 68-70 in the economic calm and not for long. Up to a maximum of 80 at the current position. The Central Bank has enough reserves to hold back. If something extraordinary happens like Crimea, and they understand that it is useless to burn the accumulated stabilization, it can break through as much as necessary. Navalny is definitely not from this opera.
  12. ximkim
    ximkim 3 March 2021 17: 41
    +3
    The ruble exchange rate in relation to currencies is like a tote .. the main thing is to put on that currency on time and ..
    1. agond
      agond 3 March 2021 18: 44
      +4
      The ruble exchange rate can be influenced in different ways, for example
      1 prohibit the import of used cars
      2 limit travel abroad for holidays due to coronavirus
      3 restrict the import of low-quality junk
      4 restrict food imports under the pretext of GMOs
      5 the introduction of a tax on excess profits, it will immediately hit prices
      As a result, the purchasing demand will decrease, the need for rubles will decrease, the aggregate price growth will slow down and the ruble exchange rate will stabilize, and without the participation of the central bank
      1. ximkim
        ximkim 4 March 2021 06: 28
        0
        Or create an environment so that the ruble is attractive ... you cannot raise it with such measures, because at least where you do not go, basic goods from abroad or foreign manufacturers on the territory of the Russian Federation ...
  13. clerk
    clerk 3 March 2021 19: 58
    -1
    ... Today, he is by no means in the spotlight, which suits his leadership, which continues to invest in anything but its own currency.
    I wonder what these illiterate clickers mean when they complain that the emission center of rubles is not invested in the result of this emission? A completely worthless article
  14. nikvic46
    nikvic46 4 March 2021 06: 54
    0
    Nowadays, few people listen to the recommendations of the HSE economists. They lagged behind economic development both in the world and in the country. They do not see that gold is being bought by wealthy citizens. They do not want to talk about why foreign currency deposits are being withdrawn en masse. As for any products, they are in abundance. if demand increases, then things will go much better, but there are so many obstacles that it requires serious government intervention. And above all by conspiracy of persons in trade.
  15. sir Galant
    sir Galant 4 March 2021 08: 27
    0
    it would be better if the prices for oil and gas collapsed to zero, maybe then they will stop driving people's goods abroad? not strong in the economy, but IMHO if energy resources in the Russian Federation will cost a penny, will the demand for domestic goods and the population's solvency increase by reducing the cost of goods? shouldn't this be the task of the government?
  16. evgen1221
    evgen1221 4 March 2021 09: 28
    -1
    The exchange rate in the country is an indicator of the amount of import-export and the quality of economic laws, plus the desire of the Federal Antimonopoly Service and the courts to apply these laws and punish the smart ones. There are no exports and a lot of imports, great jumps in your currency depending on other people's wishes.
  17. Pardus
    Pardus 11 March 2021 15: 43
    +12
    The ruble exchange rate, contrary to the expectations of the pessimists, did not at all rush to the exchange rate mark "2021" against the dollar at the beginning of 100

    Not yet evening. Our ruble has everything aheadyes
  18. Pardus
    Pardus 11 March 2021 15: 45
    +10
    But, fortunately, in this respect, we are by no means ahead of the rest of the planet.

    Fortunately?! Fortunately, the citizens of our country would not be poorer at all and would not be equal to other countries.
  19. Pardus
    Pardus 11 March 2021 15: 46
    +12
    for oil, which has nowhere to go up in particular, the ruble should not be puffed up

    laughing But somehow it's always blown away laughing
  20. Pardus
    Pardus 11 March 2021 15: 47
    +10
    Almost all sectors of the domestic economy are now operating according to the pyramid principle, which are capable of generating significant profits.

    Our entire economy is one continuous pyramid ?! belay Wow ...