Military Review

Syrian Idlib has lost the status of the most "hot spot" on the map of the world: about probable reasons

32

Syrian Idlib has lost its status as the most "hot spot" on the world map over the past few months. If not long ago the militants, whose concentration in Idlib was the highest among all the provinces of the Syrian Arab Republic, was distinguished by the constant reports of battles, skirmishes, offensives and counter-attacks, now the situation has changed dramatically.


Monitoring of armed activity shows that this very activity has decreased significantly in comparison with the spring months. By the number of victims - tenfold.

What are the reasons for this development of events?


Experts believe that, despite all the external "friction" between Moscow and Ankara, the agreements on Syria are generally being observed. And this observance has led to the fact that the situation in the most troubled province of the SAR has changed over the last couple of years. Certainly, individual provocations of militants in separate territories, sorties of small sabotage groups manifest themselves, but this is far from the scale that could be observed in Idlib a few months ago.

It is also worth noting that many militants have by now simply left the territory of Syrian Idlib. So, a significant part was moved to Libya. Turkey, as you know, sent groups of armed persons by transport planes and ships to the North African country "to help the government of national accord Fayez Sarraj." A large part of the militants in Libya remained. Someone from there moved to Mali, someone to Sudan. In general, there was a certain kind of dispersal.

Now reports are coming in about the appearance of militants from Syria on the territory of Azerbaijan. Official Baku is trying to refute these data.

Returning to Idlib, it is worth noting that in this Syrian province the demarcation line was finally formed in the direction of Kafranbel - Maaret al-Numan - Seraqib.

Syrian Idlib has lost the status of the most "hot spot" on the map of the world: about probable reasons

The Syrian government army does not make any accentuated attempts to advance further, the militants also do not differ in the activity that they had inherent six months ago.
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  1. opuonmed
    opuonmed 13 October 2020 13: 21
    +1
    from Syria, terrorists are being thrown into Nagorny, the stump is clear what has become quiet in Syria
    1. Asad
      Asad 13 October 2020 13: 26
      -7
      And what is your evidence?
      1. Insurgent
        Insurgent 13 October 2020 13: 40
        10
        Quote: opuonmed
        from Syria, terrorists are being thrown into Nagorny, the stump is clear what has become quiet in Syria

        Quote: ASAD
        And what is your evidence?

        We reaction for official information. Evidence at Naryshkin's ...

        But, proof-proof, but where is the diplomatic note of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation in relation to Azerbaijan in view of their step - the transfer of forces of terrorist organizations to the borders of the Russian Federation?

        Will Turkey-led Aliyev's "Pranks" Go Unnoticed?
        1. Woodman
          Woodman 13 October 2020 13: 48
          -2
          Quote: Insurgent
          but where is the diplomatic note of the Russian Foreign Ministry with regard to Azerbaijan in view of their step - the transfer of forces of terrorist organizations to the borders of the Russian Federation?

          So they are throwing it for disposal. Therefore, there is no sense in the note of our Foreign Ministry now. As soon as there is little, little settles, then the note will arrive in time.
          1. Insurgent
            Insurgent 13 October 2020 13: 55
            +6
            Quote: Lesovik

            So they are throwing it for disposal. Therefore, there is no sense in the note of our Foreign Ministry now. As soon as there is little, little settles, then the note will arrive in time.

            So, is Aliyev in cooperation with Turkey engaged in the disposal of militants from Idlib?
            And there should be no complaints against him regarding the transfer of terrorists to a region two hundred kilometers from the borders of the Russian Federation? belay
            1. Woodman
              Woodman 13 October 2020 14: 00
              0
              Quote: Insurgent
              And there should be no complaints against him regarding the transfer of terrorists to a region two hundred kilometers from the borders of the Russian Federation?

              Each claim has its own term! And "Aliyev, in cooperation with Turkey, is engaged in" transferring militants from Idlib to the disposal site.
              In this situation, everyone has their own interest. Except for Armenia. And utilizing the militants in the Karabakh zone by the Armenian forces is better than responding to their attacks where they can always go under the cover of the Turks.
              1. Orange bigg
                Orange bigg 13 October 2020 14: 34
                +3
                Quote: Lesovik
                Quote: Insurgent
                And there should be no complaints against him regarding the transfer of terrorists to a region two hundred kilometers from the borders of the Russian Federation?

                Each claim has its own term! And "Aliyev, in cooperation with Turkey, is engaged in" transferring militants from Idlib to the disposal site.
                In this situation, everyone has their own interest. Except for Armenia. And utilizing the militants in the Karabakh zone by the Armenian forces is better than responding to their attacks where they can always go under the cover of the Turks.


                But not only by the forces of Armenia militants are being disposed of. Iran is connected.
                Iran struck for the first time on the territory of Azerbaijan.

                A few hours ago, in response to the incessant shelling of Iranian territory, as well as because of the violation of the state borders of the Islamic Republic of Iran by Azerbaijani forces, the Iranian military launched a series of missile and artillery strikes on the territory of Azerbaijan, which ended in very serious consequences for Baku, since a large-scale offensive operation at the position of the Artsakh army was thwarted.



                At the moment, it is known that several rocket and artillery strikes were carried out on the territory of Azerbaijan, and after the Azerbaijani military tried to use a kamikaze drone, sending it across the border with Iran, the drone was hit with air defense systems.


                "The air defense of Iran discovered and shot down an Azerbaijani strike UAV of Israeli production IAI Harop in the morning," Re: public of Artsakh reported on Telegram.

                It is known that due to the suppression of areas with Azerbaijani forces, the offensive on the positions of the NKR forces was disrupted, and although the Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan does not report losses, this direction was completely unprotected, and therefore, losses in equipment and and in manpower.

                https://avia.pro/news/iran-nanyos-moshchnye-udary-po-territorii-azerbaydzhana-sorvav-nastuplenie-na-karabah
            2. Asad
              Asad 13 October 2020 17: 12
              -1
              Coached, experienced fighters for, utilization? Yes, this is Erdogan's main trump card!
        2. seti
          seti 13 October 2020 13: 49
          0
          Is it so bad that some of these militants were transferred from Idlib to Nagorno-Karabakh?

          After all, you need to understand that there they are - a consumable that is fighting an ash stump not for an idea but for a lot of money. Except for individual individuals. And no one will feel sorry for them there - there are already enough videos with their participation in the internet. But there will hardly be more than a few hundred of them. Again, they would have appeared there in the form of mercenaries / instructors of PMCs or something else ... That's why there is a war .. Yes, there is a risk that some of them may find their way to the countries of the former USSR, but this concerns almost all of them only those who come from there. And they, having earned money, will return there sooner or later. But in Idlib it will be quieter and this gives the CAA a chance, with our help, to gradually regain control over this very important region, squeezing out the influence of Turkey from there.
          I am sure the FSB has its finger on the pulse.
          1. Same lech
            Same lech 13 October 2020 14: 37
            +1
            Is it so bad that some of these militants were transferred from Idlib to Nagorno-Karabakh?

            Too bad ... foreign fighters of unknown origin appeared in Grozny ... Thank God they managed to eliminate them ... maybe they arrived from Turkey in transit through Azerbaijan. what
        3. kapitan92
          kapitan92 13 October 2020 14: 51
          0
          Quote: Insurgent
          but where is the diplomatic note of the Russian Foreign Ministry with regard to Azerbaijan in view of their step - the transfer of forces of terrorist organizations to the borders of the Russian Federation?


          What is the note to "friends and partners"? Enough concern.
        4. Asad
          Asad 13 October 2020 16: 59
          -1
          What evidence other than words?
        5. Paul Siebert
          Paul Siebert 14 October 2020 12: 43
          0
          Quote: Insurgent
          We have a reaction to official information. Naryshkin's evidence ...

          Yes, I am also inclined to believe our intelligence, not the howling of the liberals.
          While the villains have dispersal, you need to finish them off in Idlib.
          Ruthlessly.
          The same Naryshkin told about our strike with "calibers" on the concentration of barmaley for sending to Karabakh.
          Keep it up!
          Finish off the reptile! Give me a full-scale SAA offensive on Idlib! am
          1. Insurgent
            Insurgent 14 October 2020 12: 50
            +1
            Quote: Paul Siebert
            Finish off the reptile! Give me a full-scale SAA offensive on Idlib!

            And I am FOR. But ... Russia has so confused the cards in Idlib with its agreements with Turkey, which actually legitimized their presence there, that the Syrians will have to actually fight with Turkey. And obviously without the support of the Russian Aerospace Forces, because then it will be an open clash between Turkey and Russia ...

            Diplomats have done a lot ... And Putin, as the curator of foreign policy, too ...
      2. Same lech
        Same lech 13 October 2020 13: 46
        +3
        А
        What is your evidence?

        There are plenty of them in the internet.


        https://diana-mihailova.livejournal.com/5548792.html
        1. Asad
          Asad 13 October 2020 17: 07
          -2
          So what? Syria was divided in a gentlemanly way, a little Turkey, a little US, something for the Kurds! The war is over, the scumbags remained, but they will slowly strangle me.
        2. Flagman
          Flagman 13 October 2020 18: 28
          +1
          Quote: The same Lech
          А
          What is your evidence?

          There are plenty of them in the internet.


          https://diana-mihailova.livejournal.com/5548792.html

          In Chechnya, they recently appeared .. Glory to Allah soaked them! How long are they waiting for the signal?
      3. 1976AG
        1976AG 13 October 2020 13: 51
        +4
        Quote: ASAD
        And what is your evidence?

        Refer to the head of the SVR, he will provide.
        1. Asad
          Asad 13 October 2020 17: 01
          -3
          The head of the SVR is the ultimate truth? He can't lie? Putin promised not to raise the retirement age!
      4. alma
        alma 13 October 2020 16: 02
        14
        Quote: ASAD
        And what is your evidence?

        There is evidence, only they are secret
    2. Civil
      Civil 13 October 2020 13: 41
      0
      No money - no war, puppeteers have lost interest.
  2. Doccor18
    Doccor18 13 October 2020 13: 21
    -1
    What has died down does not mean that it has gone out. The wind of politics will change and again fan the flames of the eternal civil war, in which there are so many outsiders ...
    1. Deniska999
      Deniska999 13 October 2020 14: 32
      +2
      It became quiet, as the Turks fulfilled their goal - they created a buffer zone near the borders.
  3. bessmertniy
    bessmertniy 13 October 2020 13: 22
    +2
    Still, the Turks left there, then there would be no problem for the Syrian army to restore sovereignty over this territory.
  4. Livonetc
    Livonetc 13 October 2020 13: 23
    0
    "Syrian Idlib has lost its status of the most" hot spot "on the map of the world: on probable reasons"
    Russian diplomats, military advisers, the Aerospace Forces, the Special Operations Forces and other units of the Russian army worked perfectly.
    1. Paragraph Epitafievich Y.
      Paragraph Epitafievich Y. 13 October 2020 16: 01
      -1
      Quote: Livonetc
      Russian diplomats, military advisers, the Aerospace Forces, the Special Operations Forces and other units of the Russian army worked perfectly.

      and how are all of the above related to the transfer of militants to Azerbaijan?
  5. Eldorado
    Eldorado 13 October 2020 13: 27
    -6
    All the militants were transferred to Karabakh. That's the whole answer.
  6. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 13 October 2020 13: 49
    0
    The fighters left to fight in Azerbaijan. So it has calmed down ... If they are IMMEDIATED from there back, they will move again ... the spider's nest ...
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  8. opuonmed
    opuonmed 13 October 2020 14: 38
    +2
    statistically not only in the mountainous Ish and the North Caucasus along the way (
  9. Alien From
    Alien From 13 October 2020 15: 02
    +1
    I would say that he cooled down a bit, not lost. The puppeteers are not asleep.
  10. Vitaly Tsymbal
    Vitaly Tsymbal 13 October 2020 15: 17
    0
    While the West is "boiling" around Karabakh, Kyrgyzstan, Belarus and the "newcomer" somehow uncomfortable topics cannot be raised.
  11. Daniil Konovalenko
    Daniil Konovalenko 13 October 2020 15: 17
    +1
    Barmaleevs became smaller, the Turks remained in Idlib ...
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