Military Review

Fighting inflation in Russia: so far everything is stable, but what to do next?

84

The topic of inflationary processes in the domestic economy and measures taken by the authorities to curb them has always been quite relevant and invariably controversial. Even statistics on this topic themselves invariably cause the most heated debates and contradictory judgments, not to mention assessments of the real effectiveness of the actions of one or another government. Where is the truth?


The term “inflation” (from the Latin inflatio - “bloating”) has become a part of the lexicon of financiers around the world since the beginning of the 50th century. It means an increase in the amount of paper money in circulation in the state. Multiplying, banknotes are depreciating, which inevitably leads to higher prices, a drop in the standard of living of the population, and at the macroeconomic level - to the disruption of the entire credit and financial system of the state. Hyperinflation (according to IMF estimates, this is considered to be a monthly rise in prices of XNUMX% or more) can completely kill the economy, leading to its collapse.

Unfortunately, our country has experienced such a disaster more than once over the past three decades. The inflation that "started" in 1991 from over 160%, a year later, stepped over the level of 2,5 thousand percent! In the next few years, its indicator was measured, albeit not so shocking, but still frightening numbers: 840% in 1993, 214% in 1994 ... Relative stabilization was achieved in 1996, when the inflation rate was only 21%. This was preceded by two monetary reforms (1991 and 1993), which were clearly of a confiscatory nature.

True, all these measures, as well as the 1998 denomination (which, in fact, was another monetary reform), did not help much against the background of the default that hit Russia in the same year. Unsurprisingly, the inflation rate skyrocketed to nearly 85% immediately. In subsequent years, it declined: first by half, then fourfold, but since 9 we can speak of a real stabilization of the country's financial system, when inflation indicators began to keep within the strict “limits” of 12-2003%. Further, this indicator was fixed at the level of 6-8%.

Some growth in inflation in Russia, quite predictably, occurred in 2014-2015, but by now it has again been reduced to 3-5% per year. At least, Rosstat data show just that. Some domestic experts argue that these figures do not correspond in any way to the real growth of prices and tariffs, citing various reasons and proposing their own calculation methods: in accordance with exchange rate fluctuations or changes in the value of the “consumer basket”. However, the official data is still the official data, and I will proceed from them.

What methods were used to carry out the anti-inflationary policy all this time? I have already mentioned about monetary reforms that sharply reduced the physical quantity of circulating banknotes. However, in the opinion of the absolute majority of economists (with the exception of those who adhere to radically monetarist views), the causes of this disaster are far from being exhausted by the mere overabundance of banknotes in circulation.

As a rule, the state is forced to "turn on the printing press", throwing into the economy more and more portions of treasury notes that turn into colored cut paper when its economy is experiencing serious difficulties. Stimulating the production of goods and services in the country, improving its investment climate, and a balanced fiscal policy are invariably named as the most effective methods of combating non-monetary causes of inflation. In Russia, at the state level, as a rule, monetary instruments were used to a greater extent, with an emphasis on administrative-command methods.

For many years, the policy of price containment used by the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance of Russia was mainly reduced to the forced withdrawal from circulation of funds in the form of borrowing, which led to a reduction in liquidity and a decrease in the dollar exchange rate in the domestic financial market, which was largely artificial. However, it must be admitted that these measures were supplemented by others aimed at increasing the efficiency of the real sector of the economy, reducing the external public debt and other actions that served to achieve the same goal.

As recent events have shown, the creation in 2004 of the Stabilization Fund of Russia was a very prudent and thoughtful decision. As you know, it was formed primarily to "insure" the country in the event of a sharp drop in prices for energy resources, which form the basis of the domestic export potential. When, in connection with the coronavirus pandemic, oil prices fell to levels unseen in the past decade, many predicted a collapse in the domestic currency. It would seem that hyperinflation is on the verge again. However, this did not happen, primarily due to the use of funds from the Stabilization Fund. Its resources, by the way, helped to compensate for the blow inflicted on the country and its citizens by this year's quarantine measures.

We will survive the current crisis, I would like to believe, with minimal losses. However, the problem of inflation, common to the vast majority of the world's economies, will certainly not disappear anywhere. Obviously, in the future, the Russian government should focus on non-monetary methods of dealing with it. Of course, the dynamics of the exchange rate and price regulation should remain in the focus of attention of the Ministry of Economy, the Central Bank and other financial regulators. However, the most effective way is still more active stimulation of the growth of the domestic economy, reduction of the tax burden on it, stimulation of investments, primarily from exports, in the further development of the most advanced and promising sectors of the Russian economy.
Author:
Photos used:
Wikipedia / Monetary reform in Russia
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  1. lucul
    lucul 25 August 2020 15: 09
    12 th
    Unfortunately, our country has experienced such a disaster more than once over the past three decades. The inflation that "started" in 1991 from over 160%, a year later, stepped over the level of 2,5 thousand percent! In the next few years, its indicator was measured, albeit not so shocking, but still frightening numbers: 840% in 1993, 214% in 1994 ... Relative stabilization was achieved in 1996, when the inflation rate was only 21%. This was preceded by two monetary reforms (1991 and 1993), which were clearly of a confiscatory nature.

    Well, what are you writing this))))
    Russia can live badly only under "k'gov Putin", and under the liberals there were only "holy nineties" - never before has Russia lived so well as in the 90s, with democrats in power (for a handful of EU liberals) .....
    (sarcasm, if anything).
    1. Kronos
      Kronos 25 August 2020 15: 19
      17
      Putin is a friend and disciple of Yeltsin.
    2. TAMBU
      TAMBU 25 August 2020 15: 24
      13
      and that Putin, isn't he a liberal and not a democrat?
      1. Svarog
        Svarog 25 August 2020 15: 54
        13
        Fighting inflation in Russia: so far everything is stable, but what to do next?

        While everything is stable, everything is bad .. we are rolling downhill, gaining momentum .. Then it only gets worse .. there is no need to be a prophet, it is enough to have minimal analytical skills.
        1. TuM0305
          TuM0305 25 August 2020 20: 15
          -8
          What do you suggest sitting here scribbling comments cowardly? How will we organize ourselves against this ghoul?
          1. aybolyt678
            aybolyt678 26 August 2020 21: 16
            +2
            Quote: TuM0305
            What do you suggest sitting here scribbling comments cowardly? How will we organize ourselves against this ghoul?

            organize against? is that really the question? The question of questions: to organize for what? Any idea where to go?
            it's you, like Navalny, who knows the truth about everyone, but he can't suggest how to live on. So one-sided truth, not Truth
          2. Motorist
            Motorist 26 August 2020 22: 13
            -1
            Quote: TuM0305
            What do you suggest sitting here scribbling comments cowardly?

            "What city are you from? What do you work with?" (c)
    3. Civil
      Civil 26 August 2020 07: 06
      +3
      It was smooth on paper ... paper will endure everything ... but they start cleaning the fish from the tail.
  2. rocket757
    rocket757 25 August 2020 15: 14
    +6
    We will survive the current crisis, I want to believe

    I want to believe that they will clean the upper ones, who are irresponsible for the needs of OUR country, OUR people!
    Dreams Dreams ....
    1. Svarog
      Svarog 25 August 2020 15: 55
      10
      Quote: rocket757
      We will survive the current crisis, I want to believe

      I want to believe that they will clean the upper ones, who are irresponsible for the needs of OUR country, OUR people!
      Dreams Dreams ....

      The upper ones cannot clean themselves; they can only clean the “lower ones” and those close to them.
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 25 August 2020 17: 12
        +3
        Quote: Svarog
        The upper ones cannot clean themselves, they can only clean the "lower" and neighbors

        Obvious and probable .... but you want to eat something! Although, you have to work hard, Schaub change everything with us!
        Should I go re-read the "instruction" from the leader of the world proletariat, or what? Although I remember everything, there is nowhere to apply.
    2. Boris ⁣ Shaver
      Boris ⁣ Shaver 27 August 2020 00: 23
      0
      Quote: rocket757
      clean the top,

      Who will clean it?
      1. rocket757
        rocket757 27 August 2020 05: 12
        0
        Suddenly a magician will arrive, in a blue helicopter ... not in blue, so in khaki colors !!!
        1. Boris ⁣ Shaver
          Boris ⁣ Shaver 27 August 2020 12: 44
          0
          Quote: rocket757
          Suddenly a magician will arrive, in a blue helicopter ... not in blue, so in khaki colors !!!

          That's why Serdyukov is in charge of the helicopters: no helicopters - no wizards. Someone is playing ahead)
          1. rocket757
            rocket757 27 August 2020 13: 06
            -2
            Schaub did not say there ... not at the top are not complete fools! specialists in their field.
            1. Boris ⁣ Shaver
              Boris ⁣ Shaver 27 August 2020 13: 24
              0
              Quote: rocket757
              specialists in their field

              In the furniture trade, it is possible. And the question is for the purposes pursued.
              1. rocket757
                rocket757 27 August 2020 13: 31
                0
                From the outside it is better to know ... but those guys on all sides, except for their own ... do not care.
                1. Boris ⁣ Shaver
                  Boris ⁣ Shaver 27 August 2020 18: 46
                  0
                  Quote: rocket757
                  except for theirs / theirs ... don't care

                  Are you talking about furniture?

                  Quote: rocket757
                  From the side you know better

                  And how do you know what and for whom is the side?

                  And if your side is limited in the review (it’s not for nothing that it seems to you that a lot only seems to you from the outside), then why are you talking about some guys who are “experts”? You can't see anything of this from your side. Are you just composing?
                  1. rocket757
                    rocket757 27 August 2020 19: 49
                    0
                    A pun, nothing!
                    It's just not interesting to discuss anything and nothing ...
                    1. Boris ⁣ Shaver
                      Boris ⁣ Shaver 27 August 2020 20: 32
                      0
                      Quote: rocket757
                      Simple

                      Everything turned out to be really simple. Not even interesting
                      1. rocket757
                        rocket757 27 August 2020 20: 48
                        0
                        Quote: Boris ⁣Razor
                        Everything turned out to be really simple

                        Rejoice
                        Quote: Boris ⁣Razor
                        Not even interesting

                        Get used to
                      2. Boris ⁣ Shaver
                        Boris ⁣ Shaver 27 August 2020 20: 58
                        +1
                        Quote: rocket757
                        Rejoice

                        Looking at the processes taking place in the country and understanding what will be their result?
                      3. rocket757
                        rocket757 27 August 2020 21: 15
                        0
                        Okay, harder ...
                        Looking at the processes taking place in the WORLD, one can lose peace for a long time, if not forever. What we have is a small fraction of the total ... JUST a person is so arranged, he pays attention to what is happening around him, next to him, and everything else is very later.
                        We are just a part, from the general, large and isolated, we will not be able to isolate ourselves now.
                      4. Boris ⁣ Shaver
                        Boris ⁣ Shaver 27 August 2020 23: 07
                        0
                        Quote: rocket757
                        JUST a human being

                        Sorry, but this is how ostriches are arranged, not humans. A person has to either muster up the courage to calmly look reality in the eyes, or come up with something to not do this. Someone, for example, thumps. And you, for example, have come up with "guys" who will come and settle everything. The fact that you are sharing these "guys" with all those in need makes you look like Luka from Gorky's play "At the Bottom".
                      5. rocket757
                        rocket757 28 August 2020 05: 05
                        0
                        Clear ....
                        Quote: Boris ⁣Razor
                        but this is how ostriches work

                        around Africa, the country of ostriches
                        Quote: Boris ⁣Razor
                        And you, for example, have come up with "guys" for yourself who will come and settle everything

                        not guys, but a wizard! will not come, but will arrive ...
  • Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 25 August 2020 15: 15
    +6
    The main thing is that the fight against inflation does not finish off the Russian economy! And the policy of the Central Bank to stabilize the exchange rate ... but there is no policy there. Confusion and vacillation ...
  • ximkim
    ximkim 25 August 2020 15: 17
    14
    We will survive the current crisis, I would like to believe, with minimal losses.

    Of course we will survive, but the losses will be maximum and classified .. But inflation in the Russian Federation is simply fantastic, since there is money or not, prices always rise.
  • sunzhenets
    sunzhenets 25 August 2020 15: 17
    16
    Continuously rising fuel and utility prices are a strange way to fight inflation.
    And since the time when Rosstat was repaired by the Ministry of Economic Development, there is no faith in its data.
  • Jack O'Neill
    Jack O'Neill 25 August 2020 15: 21
    16
    Fighting inflation in Russia: so far everything is stable, but what to do next?

    We are steadily going to the bottom. Stability...
  • iConst
    iConst 25 August 2020 15: 26
    +5
    However, the problem of inflation, common to the vast majority of the world's economies, of course, will not disappear anywhere.
    With the existing model, yes.

    However, the most effective way is still more active stimulation of the growth of the domestic economy, reduction of the tax burden on it, stimulation of investments, primarily from exports, in the further development of the most advanced and promising sectors of the Russian economy.
    What are you talking about? Do you know that all central banks are prohibited from investing in national currencies? Only through the Fed.
  • Keyser soze
    Keyser soze 25 August 2020 15: 27
    0
    6-8% inflation per year is normal for the economy (growing). Because deflation is also not ice, but stagflation (rising prices with stagnation of the economy / income) is already like death.
    1. Mordvin 3
      Mordvin 3 25 August 2020 15: 39
      +9
      Quote: Keyser Soze
      6-8% inflation per year is normal for the economy (growing).

      This is nonsense from our Rosstat (6-8%).
    2. Svarog
      Svarog 25 August 2020 15: 57
      14
      Quote: Keyser Soze
      6-8% inflation per year is normal for the economy (growing)

      The numbers are drawn, real inflation is at least 20% .. Three years ago, 500 rubles were enough to go to the store for groceries, now 1000 rubles ..
      1. Asad
        Asad 25 August 2020 16: 12
        12
        Today FM, not the opposition, calculated that it costs 25% more to get a child to school than in the past!
        1. Svarog
          Svarog 25 August 2020 16: 16
          13
          Quote: ASAD
          Today FM, not the opposition, calculated that it costs 25% more to get a child to school than in the past!

          About that and speech and so every year. The dollar at the beginning of the year was worth 60 rubles. Now 75 rubles .. 25% growth .. So much for inflation.
  • Stirbjorn
    Stirbjorn 25 August 2020 15: 30
    +9
    When, in connection with the coronavirus pandemic, oil prices fell to a level unseen in the past decade, many predicted a collapse in the domestic currency. It would seem that hyperinflation is on the verge again.
    It would not hurt to explain this using examples from other countries. I honestly have not heard that hyperinflation has swept the whole world. At the same time, it is forgotten that the rates on deposits have fallen sharply, and even the tax on deposits has been introduced above mln. And the dollar is growing steadily
  • tatra
    tatra 25 August 2020 15: 30
    +6
    With defective owners in Russia, there will always be
    big inflation. For a year in Moscow, the price of apples, both in stores and in markets, has doubled. And from what? After all, apples are a primordially Russian product.
    1. zadorin1974
      zadorin1974 25 August 2020 15: 47
      +3
      Good afternoon Irina. You gave an example that is not correct. Just look at the apple yield in the Krasnodar Territory. Now harvesting has begun in the central regions, the price will land a little))))) But there is still a point in this! For the frequent -50%, then a decrease occurs by 100-10%, no more (even taking into account a good harvest - Marx also wrote about capitalism and 20%)))))
      1. tatra
        tatra 25 August 2020 15: 52
        +6
        And what, in the past years, all this was not? There was, but there was no such a sharp rise in apple prices. The main "work" of the enemies of the Communists who have seized Russia is embezzlement and speculation. Therefore, even 30 years after their seizure of Russia, they boast of how much they got, and the responsibility for the results of their work, which they got their large and huge incomes and salaries, cowardly dump on the Soviet communists, including Putin with his "galoshes" ...
        1. zadorin1974
          zadorin1974 25 August 2020 16: 08
          +2
          Irina, did I write somewhere about the Communists or Putin? The seasonal increase in food prices is a common thing. Now apples, last year tangerines took off, the year before last we (in the Urals) had problems with potatoes. We are dominated by outbidding in the markets and large trading companies, that's the whole problem.
          1. tatra
            tatra 25 August 2020 16: 15
            +4
            Yes, the communists and Putin with all this. If under the Communists there was practically zero inflation, then under the power imposed by the enemies of the Communists, there will always be high inflation. And again nonsense about the seasonal. Apples rose in price almost a year ago, and prices have been holding in winter, spring, and now. What does seasonality have to do with it?
            1. your1970
              your1970 29 August 2020 22: 29
              0
              Quote: tatra
              If under the Communists there was practically zero inflation, then under the power imposed by the enemies of the Communists, there will always be high inflation.
              -Yes you sho ??? !!! belay
              2 post-war reforms are out of love for printing new money, apparently ... Yes?
              3% on deposits in Savings Banks and 5-6% on loans - is this also not inflation?
              Volga was sold for 8 rubles. in 500, "Zhiguli" - for 1970 rubles. With an average salary of 5 rubles. the car cost 620–121,2 salaries. By 24, cars had risen in price: "Volga" cost 70 rubles., "Zhiguli" from 1980 to 9 rubles. " not inflation??

              However, you, as an old expert on "enemies of the communists" - say anything to no purpose
        2. IS-80_RVGK2
          IS-80_RVGK2 25 August 2020 21: 27
          0
          Soon I will have heartburn from your - "enemies of the communists". Maybe it's time to change the record?
  • Sergey Valov
    Sergey Valov 25 August 2020 15: 32
    +9
    The author has no idea what inflation is and where it comes from. The number of banknotes in circulation has not the slightest relation to inflation, and so does the printing press. Inflation occurs only when more is paid for the labor produced than it is worth. And the second point is when the state spends more money than collects taxes. It is then that the population has money unsecured by the commodity. Everything else is from the evil one and from illiteracy.
    1. pmkemcity
      pmkemcity 25 August 2020 18: 44
      +2
      Quote: Sergey Valov
      The author has no idea what inflation is and where it comes from.

      Unfortunately, you are also far from the truth. Inflation is a tax. Governments are almost always net debtors (that is, most of the time the government owes more money than others owe it). Inflation reduces the relative importance of previous borrowing, and at the same time it increases tax revenues. So it follows that the government can improve the debt-to-income ratio through inflation. An inflation tax is the economic damage to which holders of money and other value equivalents are exposed. Such damage is caused by the decrease in the value of the currency due to inflation, while at the same time the appropriation of the benefit by the emission center that caused the inflation. If part of the income of the emission center goes to the budget, as for example, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation pays 75% of its profits to the budget (50% before January 1, 2016), this part can be conventionally considered a hidden tax collected from money holders. The rich are less prone to inflation and the poor and the middle class are more prone to inflation, since they tend to keep most of their income in cash. In addition, the poor and middle class receive most of their income in a fixed form: salaries, pensions and benefits, which leads to the impossibility of timely indexation.
      Talking about "sent from above" inflation is ridiculous. It is always generated by the government.
      1. Sergey Valov
        Sergey Valov 25 August 2020 22: 40
        -1
        I almost completely agree with you. You just opened the topic, and I did not go into details. However, inflation is not a tax; it is the result of the excess of expenses over income. It's just that the government benefits from a reasonable inflation rate. I will only clarify that, in principle, the absence of inflation is also possible, this is when the state spends exactly as much as it collects taxes, and deflation is also possible.
    2. aybolyt678
      aybolyt678 26 August 2020 21: 22
      0
      Quote: Sergey Valov
      Inflation occurs only when more is paid for the labor produced than it is worth.

      Well, who do we pay so much that apples rise in price by 30% every year ??? the wording is incorrect
  • RUnnm
    RUnnm 25 August 2020 15: 44
    +3
    The Central Bank will never go to non-monitary methods. This is his bread, moreover, with a thick layer of black caviar due to insider information. This is the exclusive prerogative of the government, and it is in no hurry. Until now, instead of developing industry, it prefers to accumulate in the stabilization fund, and then successfully consume it.
  • Virus-free crown
    Virus-free crown 25 August 2020 15: 50
    0
    However, the most effective way is still more active stimulation of the growth of the domestic economy, reduction of the tax burden on it, stimulation of investments, primarily from exports, in the further development of the most advanced and promising sectors of the Russian economy. from the article

    Especially after the "pandemic" - very important !!! good

    Do not stupidly interfere with business development - (I'm not talking about the pro-Kremlin structures of oil, gas and mineral resources) repeat

    At least I'm talking about the IT industry, which is 35 years old bully

    There is no need to close production facilities ... no need to jam them with taxes and inspections 10 times a month ... just do not interfere !!! (the cry of one crying in the wilderness laughing )

    And then ... even now ... in a crisis ... we will get out !!! good drinks
    1. your1970
      your1970 29 August 2020 22: 38
      0
      Quote: Corona without virus
      and checks 10 times a month ...
      -and who checks you? !! and even 10 times a month belay ??
      It was not enough 249-FZ with 3 summer test holidays - so this year it was also forbidden by a government decree to carry out inspections of legal entities until the end of the year ...
      Taking into account the fact that the functions of coordinating unscheduled inspections have gone to the regional prosecutor's offices from local ones - and the region is almost never coordinated ...

      If there is no "threat to life and health" and the out-of-plan is not agreed with the regional prosecutor's office - drive such inspectors wet to the steppe lol rags
      1. Virus-free crown
        Virus-free crown 29 August 2020 22: 52
        0
        Quote: your1970
        Quote: Corona without virus
        and checks 10 times a month ...
        -and who checks you? !! and even 10 times a month belay ??
        It was not enough 249-FZ with 3 summer test holidays - so this year it was also forbidden by a government decree to carry out inspections of legal entities until the end of the year ...
        Taking into account the fact that the functions of coordinating unscheduled inspections have gone to the regional prosecutor's offices from local ones - and the region is almost never coordinated ...

        If there is no "threat to life and health" and the extra plan is not agreed with the regional prosecutor's office - drive such inspectors to the steppe wet lol rags

        You will be very surprised, but if a business has a turnover of more than evergreens per month and there is no "roof" - at least 30 checks per month will be a continuous stream wassat
        1. your1970
          your1970 29 August 2020 23: 11
          0
          Quote: Corona without virus
          business turnover is more than evergreens per month
          -then, all the more, drive ... you have a whole legal department for this - at least ... which, with such grandmas in circulation - MUST be able to endure brains ALL Now the government agency has to spit out the brains - ugh, it's not even interesting ... violation of the procedure for organizing the inspection, requesting unnecessary information documents, violation of the sequence of verification, weak evidence base ( lol lol lol - generally lovely) ..
          And he is sure to sue every inspector - they love the state agency for the cancellation of resolutions so that the smoke stands and the feathers fly
          If your lawyers cannot do this, then
          Quote: your1970
          drive such lawyers to the steppe with wet rags


          Naturally, all this is provided - that you not crooks repeat with an inoperative fire-prevention system producing non-convenient products on faulty equipment with environmental emissions on unformed land overgrown with weeds and other weeds with unlicensed software ... well, pay taxes ...
          1. Virus-free crown
            Virus-free crown 29 August 2020 23: 13
            0
            Quote: your1970
            Quote: Corona without virus
            business turnover is more than evergreens per month
            -then, all the more, drive ... you have a whole legal department for this - at least ... which, with such grandmas in circulation - MUST be able to endure brains ALL Now the government agency has to spit out the brains - ugh, it's not even interesting ... violation of the procedure for organizing the inspection, requesting unnecessary information documents, violation of the sequence of verification, weak evidence base ( lol lol lol - generally lovely) ..
            And he is sure to sue every inspector - they love the state agency for the cancellation of resolutions so that the smoke stands and the feathers fly
            If your lawyers cannot do this, then
            Quote: your1970
            drive such lawyers to the steppe with wet rags


            Naturally, all this is provided - that you not crooks repeat with an inoperative fire-prevention system producing non-convenient products on faulty equipment with environmental emissions on unformed land overgrown with weeds and other weeds with unlicensed software ... well, pay taxes ...

            You are here about "Russia of the future" (c) Navalny write? bully

            but in Russia the real thing is as I wrote repeat
            1. your1970
              your1970 29 August 2020 23: 21
              0
              I'll tell you a secret - I'm a civil servant and state inspector...
              So I know how things are at the present time .... kick your law department in the neck ...

              I can't fine an unfortunate person for an existing real violation of an IP specialist - the regional prosecutor's office does not agree with the check, and planned YURs are quite easily disengaged from me, so I am squeezed from all sides ...

              ZY re-register as an extreme and no one will be able to check you for three years
              1. Virus-free crown
                Virus-free crown 29 August 2020 23: 40
                0
                Quote: your1970
                I'll tell you a secret - I'm a civil servant and state inspector...
                So I know how things are at the present time .... kick your law department in the neck ...

                I can't fine an unfortunate person for an existing real violation of an IP specialist - the regional prosecutor's office does not agree with the check, and planned YURs are quite easily disengaged from me, so I am squeezed from all sides ...

                ZY re-register as an extreme and no one will be able to check you for three years

                I will tell you purely in confidence - you do not live in Moscow and you are HONEST drinks civil servant ... good

                And if according to the Laws ... yes, I can puzzle ANY firm with an unscheduled check - purely according to the law repeat wink there would be interest ... laughing
                1. your1970
                  your1970 30 August 2020 00: 10
                  -1
                  Quote: Corona without virus
                  And if, according to the Laws ... yes, I can puzzle ANY company with an unscheduled check - purely by law, there would be interest ...
                  - I will not believe you ..... the law is too on the side of legal entities ...

                  Quote: Corona without virus
                  it turned out that according to the norms from the entrance, the fire extinguishing device is 1,5 cm farther than necessary
                  -measured by what? measurement error? verification? from which control point? training for the use of this measuring equipment and its frequency? time and place of violation how was recorded?

                  ZY how painful they kicked their
                  Quote: Corona without virus
                  paid officially in white for the services of a full-time fire inspector
                  ?
                  1. Virus-free crown
                    Virus-free crown 30 August 2020 10: 23
                    0
                    Quote: your1970
                    Quote: Corona without virus
                    And if, according to the Laws ... yes, I can puzzle ANY company with an unscheduled check - purely by law, there would be interest ...
                    - I will not believe you ..... the law is too on the side of legal entities ...

                    Quote: Corona without virus
                    it turned out that according to the norms from the entrance, the fire extinguishing device is 1,5 cm farther than necessary
                    -measured by what? measurement error? verification? from which control point? training for the use of this measuring equipment and its frequency? time and place of violation how was recorded?

                    ZY how painful they kicked their
                    Quote: Corona without virus
                    paid officially in white for the services of a full-time fire inspector
                    ?

                    I'll start from the end hi

                    a full-time fire inspector of an office building - a grandfather of 70+ years with 40+ years of experience in commercials in his specialty - the Chief never kicked when our "staff" came to repent after checking ... with cognac (a cognac cost about one and a half times more than a month's salary + his pension)

                    Although our chief is a beast, he understands in this life good

                    Who is to blame that, according to the planned check of our office building, they had a plan for shortcomings - they would not have dug 1,5 cm - they found that the thread would be different laughing the plan is the plan)))

                    about the laws on checks of legal entities ... lol

                    there is a law (s) where the "informants" are paid interest ... repeat

                    write in a personal any company that even you will start checking according to the plan - and I will work out my "percentages" in full laughing we divide so - 15 percent to me - 85 percent to you for checking any company drinks
                    1. your1970
                      your1970 30 August 2020 18: 25
                      0
                      Quote: Corona without virus
                      with cognac (cognac cost about one and a half times more than the monthly salary + his pension)

                      Although our chief is a beast, he understands in this life

                      That is, the boss understands that your inspector, having brought cognac worth at least 30 k (10 pensions (they have small pensions) + 10 salary at least * 1, 5 = 30 000), almost officially confirmed that he:
                      - either steals
                      - either twists scams with kickbacks when purchasing and servicing from "their" firms
                      - either sits on the staff of all firms in your office building
                      2 and 3 - most likely, and then he does not need fame - level "And ours screwed up and we were fined"

                      Z. Y. In my direction of supervision - informants can only get a feeling of deep moral satisfaction ... Alas, no more ... repeat
                      1. Virus-free crown
                        Virus-free crown 31 August 2020 13: 38
                        0
                        Quote: your1970
                        Quote: Corona without virus
                        with cognac (cognac cost about one and a half times more than the monthly salary + his pension)

                        Although our chief is a beast, he understands in this life

                        That is, the boss understands that your inspector, having brought cognac worth at least 30 k (10 pensions (they have small pensions) + 10 salary at least * 1, 5 = 30 000), almost officially confirmed that he:
                        - either steals
                        - either twists scams with kickbacks when purchasing and servicing from "their" firms
                        - either sits on the staff of all firms in your office building
                        2 and 3 - most likely, and then he does not need fame - level "And ours screwed up and we were fined"

                        Z. Y. In my direction of supervision - informants can only get a feeling of deep moral satisfaction ... Alas, no more ... repeat

                        yes, our grandpa didn’t steal anything laughing
                        it was the local locksmith's hands that turned out to be crooked and he nailed the device for holding fire extinguishing 1,5 further from the entrance than the grandpa indicated bully
                      2. your1970
                        your1970 1 September 2020 00: 13
                        0
                        you have a strange office, I swear ... the boss was shod with 30-50-100 thousand - this cognac brought, his hands are crooked ..... he is compassionate with you, take care of him .....

                        Because of the 5 thousandth fine, my people reach the Supreme Court - they appeal ... and quite often - successfully ...
                        It's not even interesting to remember about such a trifle - like complaints to the Prosecutor General's Office, the Presidential Administration, my department
                      3. Virus-free crown
                        Virus-free crown 1 September 2020 11: 36
                        0
                        Quote: your1970
                        you have a strange office, I swear ... the boss was shod with 30-50-100 thousand - this cognac brought, his hands are crooked ..... he is compassionate with you, take care of him .....

                        Because of the 5 thousandth fine, my people reach the Supreme Court - they appeal ... and quite often - successfully ...
                        It's not even interesting to remember about such a trifle - like complaints to the Prosecutor General's Office, the Presidential Administration, my department

                        You just don't live in Moscow wassat
                        At the "strange offices" in the expenses for each month in advance, the amount for fines for any reason is laid down ... The inspectors are the same people ... they have the same plan ... bully But our company worked when we didn’t even work, we plowed ... we earned money in the IT sphere ... It’s cheaper to pay a hundred thousand fines a month - than to maintain a separate lawyer who would be busy with the inspectors laughing
                      4. your1970
                        your1970 1 September 2020 13: 38
                        0
                        well pay .. it's master's business ...

                        Quote: Corona without virus
                        Cheaper to pay a hundred thousand fine per month - how to maintain a separate lawyer who would mess with the inspectors

                        Spend on a lawyer (and pay him a salary of 100 per month, included in the fines) once - and three-quarters of the checking government agencies will go to the forest with pestles ...... and energetically and nervously looking around, are you catching up with them. ... even in Moscow ...
                        We have government agencies that can regularly to walk to you - fingers of one hand are enough ..
                        And if you have eliminated the identified violations - and they cannot identify new ones during the check of the prescription (yes, they cannot !!! the order for the check is limited by the check of the prescription) - they can come to you next time no earlier than through 3 (THREE !!!) year
                        And suing, suing, suing ...
                        And so ... he is a sucker, he has a lot of money and he doesn't appreciate it - so the "plan to fulfill" comes to you (which can only be done by 3 government agencies !!!) all and sundry ...

                        ZY At my previous job, a legal entity with contracts for 70-80 million dollars was sued for 120 rubles. From the principle - not a penny to anyone ... beat off ...
                        And yes - you can find a competent lawyer for 100k in Moscow, and it's quite easy ... just don't take Pashaev repeat
                      5. Virus-free crown
                        Virus-free crown 1 September 2020 13: 51
                        0
                        Quote: your1970
                        well pay .. it's master's business ...

                        Quote: Corona without virus
                        Cheaper to pay a hundred thousand fine per month - how to maintain a separate lawyer who would mess with the inspectors

                        Spend on a lawyer (and pay him a salary of 100 per month, included in the fines) once - and three-quarters of the checking government agencies will go to the forest with pestles ...... and energetically and nervously looking around, are you catching up with them. ... even in Moscow ...
                        We have government agencies that can regularly to walk to you - fingers of one hand are enough ..
                        And if you have eliminated the identified violations - and they cannot identify new ones during the check of the prescription (yes, they cannot !!! the order for the check is limited by the check of the prescription) - they can come to you next time no earlier than through 3 (THREE !!!) year
                        And suing, suing, suing ...
                        And so ... he is a sucker, he has a lot of money and he doesn't appreciate it - so the "plan to fulfill" comes to you (which can only be done by 3 government agencies !!!) all and sundry ...

                        ZY At my previous job, a legal entity with contracts for 70-80 million dollars was sued for 120 rubles. From the principle - not a penny to anyone ... beat off ...
                        And yes - you can find a competent lawyer for 100k in Moscow, and it's quite easy ... just don't take Pashaev repeat

                        We seem to live with you in different countries drinks
                        Yes, I, with an incomplete correspondence second legal education, paralyze the work of any company - even the Presidential Administration - give me only freedom ... repeat
      2. Virus-free crown
        Virus-free crown 29 August 2020 23: 57
        0
        Quote: your1970
        I'll tell you a secret - I'm a civil servant and state inspector...
        So I know how things are at the present time .... kick your law department in the neck ...

        I can't fine an unfortunate person for an existing real violation of an IP specialist - the regional prosecutor's office does not agree with the check, and planned YURs are quite easily disengaged from me, so I am squeezed from all sides ...

        ZY re-register as an extreme and no one will be able to check you for three years

        Well ... "control shot in the head" laughing

        it was like that 2 or three years ago ... In a week, the owner of the office building warned all tenants that in a week there would be a scheduled inspection by the fire inspection ... where necessary ...

        A check came ... it turned out that according to the norms from the entrance, the fire extinguishing device is 1,5 cm farther than necessary - according to the Law, it is necessary ... well, they soldered us a fine for "do not mess around" - because our chief did not even want a penny add it to the inspector - went "on principle" hi
  • Qwertyarion
    Qwertyarion 25 August 2020 15: 51
    +2
    However, the most effective way is still seen as more active stimulation of the growth of the domestic economy, reducing the tax burden on it.

    This is from the realm of fantasy, the reality is very unsightly.
    For example, the inflated prices of petroleum products that pull almost all food and transportation.
  • Old Horseradish
    Old Horseradish 25 August 2020 16: 03
    +4
    Author, this is "stable" for you, but our stability is like in a cemetery. The ruble is not money, it is sub and ersatz money.
  • 7,62h54
    7,62h54 25 August 2020 16: 30
    +6
    In Russia, there is a struggle with the welfare of citizens rather than with inflation.
  • U-58
    U-58 25 August 2020 16: 50
    +8
    Inflation is now such a beast that no one understands its essence. Vaughn America prints "kippuru" in 3 shifts and not a damn thing is done with it.
    On the other hand, according to the authorities, the machine is strictly under control, we do not draw too much, we keep the figure at the same 3-6% per year, but for the most part people live poorer and poorer.
    And the common man deeply does not give a damn about macroeconomic indicators and trends, because he sees the same thing: oil and gasoline prices have risen in price, oil and gasoline have fallen in price ...
    Milk is already at 50 rubles per liter, bread is growing by trembling, and we are broadcast on TV about maintaining stability ...
    No matter how the crisis, the government rushes to "save the banking system", pouring into it billions of money we earned.
    What does the "deep people" gain ?.
    Regular reports about preserved stability and ... another increase in prices and taxes.
    Something has gone wrong in our kingdom for the past 30 years. But they wanted to live like in America ..
  • demo
    demo 25 August 2020 16: 51
    +9
    - How do the authorities falsify statistics? Can you give any egregious examples?

    - Actual inflation in Russia goes off scale at an average of 15 percent per year, while inflation for pensioners and the poor is over 20 percent. But according to published official data, in particular when indexing pensions, it is recorded two or even three times lower (in 2014 - 6 percent, in 2015 - 12,9 percent, in 2016 - 4 percent). Even retirees do not hesitate to cheat and rob. The authorities fix and adjust (in their language - target) inflation (in simple Russian - depreciation) of money only, without taking into account the growth of production costs and, accordingly, prices for goods and services, which are usually times higher. The substitution of one for another is falsification. The degree of depreciation (not to be confused with depreciation) of fixed assets exceeds 80 percent, and according to Rosstat, it is 48,6 percent, the level of utilization of available resources is 18 percent, the utilization rate of utilized production capacities is 43 percent, while the official estimate is 75 percent. The share of unprofitable enterprises exceeds 66 percent (according to Rosstat estimates - 35 percent), and enterprises with foreign capital participation - 70 percent (according to Rosstat data - 17,2 percent in industry and 33,6 percent - in trade), including offshore - 40 percent. Everywhere the difference in actual values ​​compared with official statistical estimates is two to three times or more.

    The actual growth rates of GDP, investments and a number of other key indicators have been in the red for several years now, the projected values ​​are revised many times and turn out to be lower than the actual ones. However, the state of affairs amid increasing stagflation and growing losses at all levels of power is assessed as supposedly quite satisfactory. You are told that the volume of economic growth fell by 2015 percent in 3,8. But here it would be necessary to clarify and from the very beginning to distinguish in Russia the growth or decline in the volume of enterprises of two different legal forms of ownership (jurisdictions). Last year (however, as in the previous three), the production volumes of enterprises of the Russian jurisdiction fell by all 30 percent, which account for hardly a third of Russia's total GDP in modern Russia. But the volume of the GDP of foreign and offshore jurisdictions produced in Russia did not fall at all, but, on the contrary, despite the crisis and sanctions, even increased last year. Two different jurisdictions, two Russia, two opposite vectors of development. What development and what kind of Russia does the current government take care of and urge the masses to love? Feel what is called the difference.
    More information on BUSINESS Online: https://www.business-gazeta.ru/article/306470

    And here is the statement of Anatoly Borisovich.
    Chubais called the level of the Russian economy the best over the past 28 years
    More details on BUSINESS Online: https://www.business-gazeta.ru/news/443528

    Professor Katasonov contradicts him: "All Russia is a big" Panama "
    More information on BUSINESS Online: https://www.business-gazeta.ru/article/447976

    The shocking truth about the true state of affairs in Russia is made public
    https://www.km.ru/v-rossii/2011/11/14/ekonomicheskaya-situatsiya-v-rossii/obnarodovana-shokiruyushchaya-pravda-ob-isti

    And here is the reaction of the authorities to the publication of the truth.
    http://blackhole.beeline.ru/?url=uainfo.org%2Fheading%2Fworld%2F122589-direktor-nii-statistiki-goskomstata-rossii-vasiliy-simchera-uvolilsya-so-slovami-nadoelo-vrat.html

    To whom is it not clear?
    1. your1970
      your1970 29 August 2020 22: 44
      0
      Quote: demo
      The share of unprofitable enterprises exceeds 66 percent (according to Rosstat estimates - 35 percent ),
      -I may not be right, but here unprofitable enterprises usually, sir, go bankrupt and close sooo quickly ... It seems that either economists are fooling around or companies are drawing losses so that taxes not pay ... no options ...
  • parusnik
    parusnik 25 August 2020 17: 30
    +2
    Obviously, in the future, the Russian government should focus on non-monetary methods of dealing with it.
    .... What kind of future is this? .. Which will be in four years? .. Or is there information about the change of the existing one ..?
  • A. Privalov
    A. Privalov 25 August 2020 17: 58
    +4
    Devaluation is underway: even if not 3-4 times, as in August 1998, but as anyone can see, even glancing at the bank statements, the scar has surrendered position by 10-15% over the past couple of months. In mid-June, the dollar was worth 68 rubles, and the euro - 77. Now the green goes over 74, and the European has reached 88.
    By the way, there is no need to nod at oil: just in recent months it has been holding at a relatively good level - above $ 40 per barrel.
    Why is the ruble going down?
    It's all about the general weakness of the ruble and the economy behind it.
    Investors and stock speculators who form the exchange rate on trading floors do not believe in the ruble, and if it happens in the world and in Russia, they prefer to quickly, just in case, take their feet out of ruble assets: even in dollars and euros, even in shares and bonds , even in oil or gold futures ... Here is the ruble and rolls downhill.


    The overwhelming majority of experts expect the ruble devaluation to intensify in the fall and give many arguments in favor of such a scenario. First, new attacks await him from abroad. Here and the growth of tension before the elections in the United States, and (do not go to the fortuneteller!) Toughening of the sanctions rhetoric against Russia, and likely misunderstandings with the OPEC + agreement before the new summit of the oil alliance, and the growing trade war between Washington and Beijing ... Second, internal factors also play against the ruble. Among them is the manifestation of the delayed economic consequences of the pandemic. This refers, for example, to the end of the deadline for the transfer of tax and other business payments, soft loans. In addition, demand for foreign currency for imports is higher in autumn. A further decrease in the key rate of the Central Bank to 4% is also likely at the next meeting, scheduled for September 18.
    In general, the most skeptical experts advise preparing for the dollar for 80 rubles and for the euro for 100 in the fall.

    And so, for all the dislike for "candy wrappers", "cut paper", "the state debt of mattress makers", etc., etc. - kind and completely free(!) advice for the near future: receive a salary in rubles, but store it in dollars or euros.
    1. Nastia makarova
      Nastia makarova 27 August 2020 13: 30
      0
      we have been ready for a long time, even for 100 rubles
      1. A. Privalov
        A. Privalov 27 August 2020 14: 15
        -1
        Quote: Nastia Makarova
        we have been ready for a long time, even for 100 rubles

        I understand you, madam. But I'm from the sect of Witnesses_dollar_po_30.
        Kiss pens, madam! hi
        1. Nastia makarova
          Nastia makarova 27 August 2020 14: 29
          0
          no need for 30)))) I didn't buy them at 65
  • 123456789
    123456789 25 August 2020 18: 40
    +1
    Quote: 7,62x54
    In Russia, there is a struggle with the welfare of citizens rather than with inflation.

    Despite the market decline, the combined wealth of the ten richest families increased by $ 1,5 billion to $ 26,8 billion.
    https://www.forbes.ru/milliardery-photogallery/407493-10-bogateyshih-semeynyh-klanov-rossii-2020
  • Living7111972
    Living7111972 25 August 2020 23: 02
    +2
    Lexus ›RX› 350L AWD Exclusive - 5.5 million rubles, for the New Year - 4.5 was. Why do I know? Like
  • KSVK
    KSVK 26 August 2020 00: 05
    0
    Quote: pmkemcity
    Inflation is a tax. ...

    Sorry, but you're wrong. Inflation is a compensation for added value, which is the driving force behind the "market" economy. Taxes have ABSOLUTELY nothing to do with it.
    1. Ross xnumx
      Ross xnumx 27 August 2020 13: 52
      0
      Quote: KSVK
      Inflation is a compensation for added value, which is the driving force behind the "market" economy.

      Oba-na, corner-show ... wassat
      Inflation is an increase in the “artificial inflation” of the general level of prices for goods and services for a long time.
      This is not compensation, but an indicator of the presence of unproductive areas in production. The higher the inflation, the more “freeloaders” in the country per worker (producing goods).
      Economy - the economic activity of society, as well as the totality of relations that develop in the system production, distribution, exchange and consumption.
      And different epithets, such as: market, planned or natural exchange, are invented nuances. What other engine? And what about overproduction crises?
      For some reason, no one offers a mutually beneficial symbiosis. Or in half, or to smithereens? And this does not happen even in nature.
  • Tank jacket
    Tank jacket 26 August 2020 03: 18
    -1
    "However, the official data is still the official data, and I will proceed from them."
    ----------
    In Russia, as in the United States and Europe, the IMF methodology is used to calculate inflation. For the United States, this technique reduces inflation by 3,5-4%, for Europe it also underestimates. For Russia, it underestimates by about 10%, "the real dynamics of price growth can be checked through the GDP deflator - this is the official figure by which the same Rosstat calculates the change in inflation across the entire GDP, and not according to an artificial basket that changes continuously, from there those goods are thrown out, which have greatly increased in price, and those that have risen slightly are added.
    at the end of last 2019, it was 110,1% - that is, more than 10%. That is, this is almost twice as much as the notorious 4%, which is announced by the Central Bank.
  • Ross xnumx
    Ross xnumx 27 August 2020 13: 42
    0
    Fighting inflation in Russia: so far everything is stable, but what to do next?

    And the experience of the development of industrial production in the USSR taught nothing?
    Freeze domestic energy prices.
    Deal with personal income tax and VAT.
    Limit the withdrawal of capital from the country.
    Speculation in the form of a lined up link of dealers (intermediaries) should be unprofitable.
    Development of production and agriculture based on the experience of advanced enterprises (profitable).
    The main thing is that it would be time to put two or three friends in prison (with confiscation) ... yes
    Tighten the law against embezzlers and budget fraudsters.
    Link the salaries of civil servants to the minimum wage.
    But in general, the system of sweatshop labor with the extraction of profit for their own pleasure and the pleasures of private owners should be revised. She has outlived herself. It is impossible for the whole people to cultivate a group of the self-proclaimed "elite". It is fraught with danger for the country and the nation.
    hi
    1. your1970
      your1970 29 August 2020 22: 56
      +1
      Quote: ROSS 42
      And the experience of the development of industrial production in the USSR taught nothing?
      - taught ...
      The experience of the USSR says that a fixed worker is needed for one job, and it is absolutely unimportant how fixed it is - a large salary, a family, work after college, provision of housing, non-issuance of passports, a labor dynasty, a party conscription, a Komsomol ticket ... The main thing is to fix that the labor unit did not rush around the country ...
      But "I am tormented by vague doubts" (c) - that now it will not work.

      Quote: ROSS 42
      Link the salaries of civil servants to the minimum wage.
      - I support everything, and then the salaries of category specialists are less than 10 - and there are about 1/4 the entire civil service. How they pay - so they work ...
      Yes, and mine did not go far from them (17 with length of service and all the bonuses and allowances) ...
  • Aleks2000
    Aleks2000 29 August 2020 13: 29
    0
    Bullshit question. The answer is right in the title.

    Declare inflation at 4% stably. Prices are steadily increasing by 15%. And this stability can last indefinitely, until the next byaki. When the rate jumps from stable 70 to 76 + 30 = 105.

    But how much work for experts and observers, broadcasting about the undervalued ruble and the imminent collapse of the dollar !!!!.
  • KSVK
    KSVK 2 September 2020 14: 24
    0
    Quote: ROSS 42

    What other engine?

    What is the motive behind doing ... "business"? Isn't it making a profit as the difference between the cost price and the selling price.
    Quote: ROSS 42

    And what about overproduction crises?

    As a consequence of the value added removed from the economy.
    The product is there. Produced, but there is nothing to buy it.
    Quote: ROSS 42

    For some reason, no one offers a mutually beneficial symbiosis.

    Who with whom?