Again "near zero": Kudrin gave a forecast on the economic growth of the Russian Federation for 2020

There are classic arguments as to why the Russian economy will not be able to reach the planned targets outlined by the president. And the plans, it is worth recalling, are economic growth at rates that are higher than the global average - that is, at least about 3,6% per year. In recent years, it has not been possible to achieve such indicators. According to the head of the Accounts Chamber, this year will not succeed. At the same time, Alexei Kudrin immediately offers an explanation.

According to Kudrin, according to the results of 2020, "economic growth will be about zero." It is noteworthy that earlier the interpretation of “near zero” was already proposed by representatives of the economic elites of Russia. And indeed, even under quite favorable conditions in the markets, including the hydrocarbon market, economic growth fell within the range of 1-1,8%.

Alexei Kudrin believes that this year the “near zero” regime will be associated with a fall in oil prices, a sharp depreciation of the national currency.

According to Kudrin, if the price of oil is about $ 35 per barrel at a dollar exchange rate of 72 rubles, the budget will receive less than 3 trillion “oil and gas revenues”.

At the same time, for some reason, among economic experts, they rarely talk about how much additional revenue the state received when oil prices were above $ 50, which they held for a long time and exceeded $ 65 per barrel.

Meanwhile, foreign economic experts believe that the rolling economic crisis can be more than serious, since, in their opinion, "numerous financial and credit bubbles may begin to burst in the Chinese economy and other markets."

Comments

[Mavrikiy]

Again "near zero": Kudrin gave a forecast on the economic growth of the Russian Federation for 2020
Today, 17: 22

Having the Kudrins in government, there will be (-).

[Svarog]

Again "near zero"

This is an accurate assessment of the effectiveness (according to the ten-point system) of both Kudrin himself and his patron-fairy-tale, as well as all all managers .. and Duma members ..

[Sarmat Sanych]

In fact, worldwide for more than 5 years, growth has been less than 0,5%, and in Russia for 4 years, annual growth has been more than 2% (4 times higher):
https://news-front.info/2020/02/10/aleksandr-rodzhers-problemy-ne-u-teh-u-kogo-rost-zamedlilsya-a-u-teh-u-kogo-reczessiya-uzhe-polgoda/
International market conditions, coronovirus and much more are objective factors affecting absolutely all economies. The problems are not for those whose growth has slowed down, but for those who have had a recession for half a year.

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

In fact, worldwide for more than 5 years, growth has been less than 0,5%, and in Russia for 4 years, annual growth has been more than 2%

Oh, the kids are rooting, like devils from incense (minus).

[Ingvar 72]

Quote: Mavrikiy

Oh, the kids are rooting, like devils from incense (minus).

"Korezhit" guys from goliy lies, and manipulation of numbers. Hammer in Google "Rating of countries in the world by industrial production", and make sure that Russia is far from the first place in terms of production growth. Yes, the growth of Russian industry is slightly higher than the EU countries, but this is because the EU industry is at its peak, and adds only a little in percentage terms, but (!) If you monetize this growth, you will see real numbers. And only then the comparison will be objective.

[Sarmat Sanych]

Inkgvar 72, and if you don’t whine on the Internet and think, you can remove the saucepan from your head.
Let it be known that per capita output per capita in Russia and the United States is Odinakov (go to Cia Cia Factbook website, subtract the share of services in each of the economies from the GDP per capita and are surprised).
In terms of industrial production (in $ PPP), Russia in 2018-2019 takes 4th place in the world (and 1st place in Europe).
In general, if we are not talking about industrial production but about gross product, then the GDP of most countries that occupy the top lines of world leadership has long been formed not due to the real sector, but due to price speculation. And this is very convenient, because thanks to such an assessment, it is completely unnecessary to admit that Russia in 2019 is ahead of Britain, Italy, France and the Federal Republic of Germany in terms of real production, and Canada is three times superior. It is much more pleasant to say that the GDP of the Russian Federation in current dollars (at face value) is comparable to the GDP of Canada and inferior to English, formed due to the wonders of virtual statistics.
With regards to the United States, 85% of their GDP consists of manipulation of company quotes on the stock exchange, plus a machine tool and a service sector. States in GDP statistics even include the estimated rental income from buildings built earlier in 2 centuries (official facts, I emphasize), while some of these buildings, facilities and structures are not rented by anyone. A barrel of oil in the United States, having reached refining, is bought up on the stock exchange a dozen times and each kaz the final figure is added to the GDP, even Bloomberg's analysts have already written about this, they were crazy about such "miracles"))). The real sector accounts for only about 15% of American GDP, while in Russia, in our PPP GDP of $ 4,3 trillion (5th in the world), the real sector accounts for about 90%. If you look at the Western "highs", take a look at the powerful American industry in your spare time ", you will find out that Caterpillar, Gm and Ford are on the brink of bankruptcy, coal and shale companies have collapsed and disappeared by 70%, Boeing suffers constant losses and is on the verge of extinction, Westinghouse went bankrupt and shrank to a small company for the production of Mox-fuel, etc. Meanwhile, Rosatom is building 68% of new nuclear power plants on the planet and controls 50% of the world uranium enrichment market.
It’s not even worth talking about the current British, French and Italian industry. Britain, in comparison with the 80s, has not produced nicherta for a long time.
Finally, only two numbers:
1). Production capacities of Russia over the past 10 years have been updated by 75%, data from leading international institutions in confirmation
2). In 1991, all ports of the 290 million Union with its 15 republics handled 800 million tons of products per year, and now only the ports of one 147 million Russia transship about 1 billion tons of products per year.

[IXION]

Everything is great ... That's just the country's population is getting poorer and neither hot nor cold is due to these facts.

[Sarmat Sanych]

IXION, where is "getting poorer"? Or on the principle "people are getting poorer - an uncle told me so on the Internet"?)) Guys, we are actually under total Western sanctions, oil has crashed 2014 times since 4 (the most powerful Union collapsed after only a two-fold fall), while the Russians annually they buy 90 million square meters of new housing alone and 1,8 million new cars alone (reports from the IMF, RCC and the Association of European Businesses in confirmation). Last year, 35 million Russians rested abroad (data from the International Union of Tour Operators), plus 6,5 million in Crimea and 14 million in Sochi, where you can see "impoverishment" here. According to Apple, the Russian market for its products (the most expensive in the mobile industry, by the way) is the 4th in terms of sales in the world. But there are also 1,4 billion China with India, the richest France, Japan, Germany, Britain, of course the super-rich States with their 340 million population - and after all, some 4 countries Russia has outstripped in purchases))

[CSKA]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

whether according to the principle "the people are getting poorer - the guy on the Internet told me so"?))

Dear him, you can provide figures and facts, unfortunately, there will not be much sense. As Professor Preobrazhensky used to say: "the devastation is not on the street, it is in the head."
You need to be completely headless to remember the 90s and see the current economic situation and at the same time shout that we are sliding into the abyss. They also learned the beautiful word "Stagnation" and are now shouting about the fact that we have low economic growth, while they do not particularly strain to see the growth of the economies of Great Britain, France and Germany. Everything is wrong for them, everything is wrong for them. Some have already agreed that they live in hell, in poverty, but they only write this on the forum from smartphones and laptops.

[IXION]

I am in love with your attempts to justify all this, hello to you from 2021, you can say whatever you want, salaries are not growing, and prices in stores are yes! I think you yourself have now seen everything

[Sarmat Sanych]

IXION, like, burned out? VO has long turned into a Gorlopan gathering of mourners, I come here once a year to have fun. For 9 months of this 2021, Russian citizens have already bought about 40 million square meters of new housing alone and 1 million new cars alone. According to experts' forecasts, this year Russians will buy about 65 million square meters of new housing and about one and a half million new cars alone. Smartphone sales for the first half of 2021 broke the Russian record for the entire history of domestic statistics, 9,3 million people rested in Crimea this year, about 15 million in Sochi, these are all official statistics, I can go on for a long time. If your salary is not indexed, then you are the only one and you need to contact the appropriate authorities. It’s already silent that in Russia 30% of the economy is in the shadows and every second salary is in an envelope.

[IXION]

Ahem ... Hey psss I'm from 2022. Well, you yourself see everything now.

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: IXION

Everything is great ... That's just the country's population is getting poorer and neither hot nor cold is due to these facts.

Population, imagine degradation declarations. I do not believe!

[Honest Citizen]

HSE named after E. Gaidara with honors?

[Sarmat Sanych]

Citizen, do you really think that the lousy HSE writes at least something non-Russophobic or at least 1% similar to what I said? Or are you just stamping the learned emissions automatically? I have recently begun to realize with horror that most commentators generally do not bother with the understanding of the text they are commenting on, and even less so trying to consciously analyze and verify. Pure reflection, not obscured by the work of the mind. Clip thinking in full growth. Many, in principle, do not even try to understand the difference between their personal perceptions (of their relatives, friends, acquaintances) and the statistics of the whole state, in which 147 million people live, on a huge part of the land and in completely different living conditions.

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: Honest Citizen

HSE named after E. Gaidara with honors?

Who are you and for what reason? Are you able to coordinate and poke articulate? We follow with enthusiasm. For a lamp.

[Ingvar 72]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

then you can remove the saucepan from your head.

Your example will not work for me, because from the very beginning I don’t put a saucepan on my head.

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

In terms of industrial production (in $ PPP), Russia in 2018-2019 takes 4th place in the world (and 1st place in Europe).

Again a lie with manipulation. According to the World Bank, the PPP of Rosiii at the end of 2018 amounted to 3986 billion. And this is the 6th place. By growth - on Wikipedia (List of countries by GDP growth rate) there is a list of countries by PPP by years, according to the World Bank. From 1990 to 2018. Read with a calculator. After that, find out the percentage of extractive industries in these countries.

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

. Russia's production capacity over the past 10 years has been updated by 75%, data from leading international institutions in support of

What institutions provide such data?

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

In 1991, all ports of the 290 millionth Union with its 15 republics handled 800 million tons of products per year, and now

Yes, because almost all of the country's supply consists of imports. and used to be here. Found something to brag about.

[Sarmat Sanych]

Ingvar 72, do you sometimes read what you answer? Do you understand the meaning of the phrase "shipped" and the difference between GDP and VOLUME OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION? For you, I will also repeat what I did to the previous one: lately I have begun to realize with horror that most commentators do not bother at all understanding the text that they comment on and, even more so, do not try to consciously analyze, check. Pure reflection, not clouded by the work of the mind. Clip thinking in full growth.
That is the volume of industrial production in Russia at PPP is the fourth in the world. And PPP GDP, by the way, is not the 6th but the 5th. Oil and gas exports to the GDP of the Russian Federation (80% of oil products and not net oil, I note, that is, added value) is 8% by the way, for comparison, in Saudi Arabia it is about 75%, in Norway 11%, in Australia 9%.
What the hell "supply consists of imports", if Russia has the 3rd largest foreign trade balance in the world, last year's exports were $ 453 billion, and imports were $ 270 billion. Comparing with the Union is generally ridiculous, the USSR from the beginning of the Kosygin reforms of the 60s to the 91st I imported more than exported, exported, by the way, 80% of raw materials, which is why it fell out after the fall in oil only 2 times, and now it has dropped 4 times since 2014 and nothing, financially became even more stable. "The Union produced itself"... That he "produced", even if ordinary grain and other food was bought, and now Russia is one of the world's largest producers and exporters of food, and domestic producers provided 99% of its market with basic types of products. A couple of figures, the production of poultry meat in comparison with the RSFSR on 91st increased by 2019 times in 3,5, pork production by one and a half times, the entire Union (with its 290 million population and 70% of arable land outside the RSFSR) collected grain per year on a maximum of 124 million tons, now Russia alone collects from 120 to 138 million tons per year. Think what you write.

[Golovan Jack]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

Think what you write

Not a horse. Hopelessly

[CSKA]

Quote: Golovan Jack

Not a horse. Hopelessly

Comrade crushed them in numbers.

[Ingvar 72]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

The meaning of the phrase "ship"

Meaning i understand only this phrase in your comment I have not seen. There was a phrase "overload". Once again you are for yours. Around on the roads, the number of imported equipment is increasing, in houses all household appliances are imported, the construction tool is the same, and you are talking about the mythical development of production. There is no light industry at all, the food industry is almost entirely dependent on imported components, corn seeds for more than half of imports, broiler eggs for more than half of imports. Large pig farms are completely dependent on imported feed additives. What kind of development are you talking about ???!
Here you are "drowning" for power and imaginary achievements, but I am sure that you cannot fail to notice the growing tension in society at an everyday level. Only the blind cannot see this. And this is not only the machinations of the State Department, this Putin government is taking the Yanukovych path by leaps and bounds.

[Sarmat Sanych]

Ingvar 72, even though you understand for economists what you are commenting on - is it like a clown in the circus arena speaking and everyone is laughing at you?)) How many percent of the cars you find on the roads will find non-Russian production? Dozens of factories of GM, Volkswagen, Renault, Kia, BMW, Hyundai, Mazda, Skoda, Sanyong, Peugeot, Volvo, Mercedes, Mazda, Toyota and so on have long been operating in Russia. If you think that this is just an assembly, then you are deeply mistaken, the degree of localization is from 30 to 80% up to engines and electronics. The situation is similar for household appliances, one Samsung factory of household appliances in the Kaluga Region is worth one of the largest manufactures of the Korean corporation outside of Korea. By the way, many do not even suspect that a number of well-known brands of household appliances are Russian, and not by the citizenship of the plant, but by the citizenship of the brand. Go to the MVideo, read the nameplates from the back and make sure. It goes without saying that the assembly part is still assembled in China, well, so you can go to any home appliance store in Europe and the United States - and you will see the same picture, after all, there are 1,4 billion people in China and they are the assembly world.
About light industry is generally ridiculous, as of mid-2019, 60% of the Russian light industry market is domestic products.
But this zvizdezh about "dependence of seeds, broiler eggs, feed additives" is already tired of refuting even. For feed and additives for animals, Russia already provides 75% of its market, for embryos - almost 65%, for seeds, if in general without separate categories - for almost 80% of our market, for some categories they completely refused to import.
And yes, with leaps and bounds you are walking along the paths of pot-pan-headed maydauns, whining on the Internet from the couch, trying to rock something there, while assenting to your ideological leaders, gorlopans, typical Trotskyists. Only with annoyance do you realize that no fig comes out of this.

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

In 1991, all ports of the 290 million Union with its 15 republics handled 800 million tons of products per year, and now only the ports of one 147 million Russia transship about 1 billion tons of products per year.

Let's think stupidly. Baltic ports, whose cargo ... is understandable. Ports Ruins then yes. But we tensed up, digging up the Far East, so he would shut it up at a time, but it requires investment ....

[Sarmat Sanych]

Mavrikiy, not just DV. The main thing is the new Arctic port in the Murmansk region, the Arctic port of Sabetta, the largest Taman in the Black Sea, and most importantly the second largest European Ust-Luga in Europe, this port can become the third largest in the world more than Rotterdam in 2 years, the largest gas chemical cluster on the planet is being built next , a whole small city of 5 thousand with all infrastructure was built for employees in the field.

[CSKA]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

Mavrikiy, not just DV. The main thing is the new Arctic port in the Murmansk region, the Arctic port of Sabetta, the largest Taman in the Black Sea, and most importantly the second largest European Ust-Luga in Europe, this port can become the third largest in the world more than Rotterdam in 2 years, the largest gas chemical cluster on the planet is being built next , a whole small city of 5 thousand with all infrastructure was built for employees in the field.

There are many examples of new productions, only those such as Ingvar 72 do not tire of shouting that everything has been destroyed and Putin has deliberately intentionally destroyed all production. And at the same time they will certainly remember ZIL. about the Star on the Far East, about the petrochemical in Tobolsk and much more. Of course they don’t want to remember.

[Fishery]

just why I ordered a wheelbarrow from the USA)) and not from the Russian Federation, they can have the same products and the same shaft)) but not at all in quality)

[Keyser soze]

that according to ppc output per capita

Go and buy yourself a Toyota. And tell me that the price was at PPP.

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: Ingvar 72

Russia is far from first in production growth

Drive in Google and see where I put Russia in first place in terms of production growth. As for the relative numbers, then understand which flight to the bottom will be 10%. Who has the ruble, and who has a million. From my 15000, I’ll sacrifice 10000 so that you will be strangled by resentment. We survive, it is the liberals who will come out .

[CSKA]

Quote: Ingvar 72

"Rating of the countries of the world in industrial production", and make sure that Russia is far from the first place in terms of production growth. Yes, the growth of Russian industry is slightly higher than the EU countries, but this is because the EU industry is at its peak, and adds only a little in percentage terms, but (!) If you monetize this growth, you will see real numbers. And only then will the comparison be objective.

Well, see for yourself. We are in 6th place.

[Ingvar 72]

Quote: CSKA

Well, see for yourself. We are in 6th place.

AND? The person said that "all over the world, for more than 5 years, industrial growth is less than 0,5%, and in Russia for 4 years the annual industrial growth is more than 2% (4 times higher)." Ie, Russia should be in the first place, according to his calculations, right? In fact, 6th place. Isn't that called a lie?

[CSKA]

Quote: Ingvar 72

AND? The man said that "worldwide, for more than 5 years, industrial growth is less than 0,5%

In this he was mistaken. Not all over the world, but mainly in Europe.

Quote: Ingvar 72

Ie Russia in the first place should be, according to his calculations, right?

Even according to his calculations, the percentage is taken from the volume of industrial output in dollars. Even if our growth rate is higher, the volume in money terms is less.

[DMB 75]

Quote: Mavrikiy

Having the Kudrins in government, there will be (-)

With such "friends" and enemies do not.

[Evgeny Ivanov_5]

Kudrin is the last bright head in the Kremlin.

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: DMB 75

With such "friends" and enemies do not.

I agree. I'm a Putinist. The GDP was taken over by the security forces and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and the restoration of the country's face began. But he put the economy and internal life of the country into the hands of the bureaucrats and the thieves. Stalin made the right choice in his time. The Bolshevik revolutionaries, along with their livers, spit out the numbers and codes of the Swiss banks. I hope that Putin will give each of his "friends" a corresponding proposal. And each of them should be rewarded according to his choice. For rivers of blood have already been shed. One "Kursk" is worth something. Yeltsin’s family, maybe, but satanic orgies in the EC are naughty. Fluff EC!

[UserGun]

Quote: Mavrikiy

GDP took power and the Foreign Ministry

Due to simple workers, i.e. people, having taken away part of their already small income, it would be necessary to add, turning them into beggars. After all, all those in power did not give n-h-e-g-oh of all their capital.

[16329]

Always, everything in the world is done “at the expense of simple workers” and it is they who suffer the most in the process of wars and revolutions, raise the economy, endure perestroika and reform, it doesn’t happen otherwise
The powers that be and their entourage under any regime have privileges that are far from always balanced by the responsibility that the world is not perfect

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: UserGun

having taken away part of their already small income, we should add by turning them into beggars.

Favorite principle of a liberalist is to distort. Cried over the fate of a little man.
Man, if you consider yourself a louse in the interpretation of a liberalist, then you will die.
"May Russia be exalted, may our names perish!" Who told whom? Probably not for you, and probably by mistake ... And I do not believe .... all sold?

[Icarus]

I agree. I am a Putinist. GDP took power and the Foreign Ministry, and the restoration of the country's face began. But he gave the economy and internal life of the country into the hands of friend-officials and grabbers. Stalin at one time made the right choice.

"Tell me who your friend is and I will tell you who you are" - says wisdom. If VVP is a thief hopuga in friends, then who is he? Their boss and leader?

[16329]

We continue our historical parallels, after the adoption of the Stalin Constitution in 1935, a couple of years later interesting events started in the USSR, is it worth recalling which ones.
Well, then there was the War.

[private person]

Having the Kudrins in government, there will be (-).

Well, if you listen to "someone", then we have a growth in the economy, and that Russia got off the oil needle. And when he was asked why salaries are not growing, he replied that oil prices are low. No matter how bad Kudrin was, he told the truth, it's another matter what he did to improve the situation.

[yang174]

Kudrin not only said, he and his students lowered the country into this pit for 20 years

[Sarmat Sanych]

yang174, yes-yes, in 99m we were at the "top", then we "went down into the pit"))) Liberasts-instead-left-Trotskyists, how long will you repeat the same chants on the Internet over the pot-heads?

[yang174]

why are you eating only in her, huh?

[Chaldon48]

There is no productivity growth, trade in raw materials, from here everything goes.

[Aerodrome]

Again "near zero": Kudrin gave a forecast on the economic growth of the Russian Federation for 2020

the main thing is "stability"! here we stand, jerk, victory ... just untie the laces between the boots.

[PavelM]

Quote: Chaldon48

There is no productivity growth, trade in raw materials, from here everything goes.

= That is, if a plant per unit number, instead of one hundred units of output, produces two hundred units, then this is a two-fold increase in productivity. Is this salvation for the country? You are mistaken, because if, with the indicated increase in production productivity, the state increases the number of officials, then all officials will eat up the entire increase in production.
The question of filling: what, when and how much have the Government reduced the cost of maintaining the State. apparatus? Therefore, calls for increased labor productivity are only annoying.

[Azis]

Quote: PavelM

if, with the indicated growth in production productivity, the state will increase the number of officials, then these officials will eat up the entire increase in production

The President with the administration, the institute of his plenipotentiary representatives with its own apparatus, the Government with all ministries, departments, agencies, services, Services, but subordinate to the president, the State Duma and the Federation Council with servants, Regional Administrations with ministries, departments, representative offices in other regions and abroad, representative offices of the above in international organizations, the All-Russian Popular Front, the Public Chamber, budgetary (Duma) parties with their own apparatus, all kinds of funds with state participation, state corporations, etc., etc. - a list of officials and those who can be counted among them. you can go on and on. An interesting definition of "official" in Google:

1. The civil servant with the rank, official rank. 2. The one who conducts his work with cold indifference, without interest, bureaucratically

You can put an equal sign.

[Lannan Shi]

Quote: PavelM

The question of filling: what, when and how much have the Government reduced the cost of maintaining the State. apparatus?

Abbreviated? Why would you? They only increase. This year at 150 yards, 3.28 trillion rubles for the maintenance of bureaucrats. The bureaucrats cost the country more than an army with a fleet. Yeah.

[Sarmat Sanych]

Chaldon, do you even know how to distinguish industrial production from trade and production? The growth of industrial production in Russia is at least 2% per year for 4 consecutive years, which is almost 5 times higher than the world average of 0,45%.
Whine all these nonsense about "raw materials" in your room, do not foul VO. https://youtu.be/t4keDCt65Rc
https://youtu.be/syH_zFAJ8ec
https://youtu.be/LFm7PyzPrMw

[Deniska999]

Now Kudrin does not personally lead politics. And given the current trends, his estimates are quite realistic.

[4ekist]

Thanks to Mr. Kudrin, otherwise we would be ignorant.

[Thrifty]

Drive such currenoids from ANY authority! They brought the country to a pen, and cling to power, remnants of the past! Do not give people to live humanly!

[Lannan Shi]

Quote: Mavrikiy

Having the Kudrins in government, there will be (-).

I’m not kudrin, I can count. So it’s obvious to me that the minus will be anyway. Export of oil, oil products and gas, tied to the price of oil, last year - 235 yards. A one-third drop in oil is minus 80 yards of GDP. About 5%. How I can compensate for this pit, in which industry there is such a jet take-off that you can even go to zero, I personally do not understand. For example, it needs to produce 8 million more cars. Or to collect grain for 400 million tons more. Already funny. Truth?

[Sarmat Sanych]

Lannan Shi, Yeah, divorced mother's ikanamists . Of the annual Russian exports of $ 450 billion (on average), oil, petroleum products, petrochemicals, gas, and gas processing account for only 35-37%. Separately, oil 28%. And the budget will not suffer from this ANYTHING, only the cut-off price in the eggplant will suffer. Well, for this, Russia has accumulated some of the world's largest gold reserves of $ 750 billion, so even with an oil price of $ 30 per barrel, we can survive at least 10 years in a row, absolutely not cutting back any budgetary obligations. Learn finance and macroeconomics and tie up clever about nifiga do not understand.

[Lannan Shi]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

Of the annual Russian exports of $ 450 billion (on average), oil, petroleum products, petrochemicals, gas, and gas processing account for only 35-37%.

Laponka. Would you be so kind as to proceed to .... No, not where you thought. And on the site of the Federal State Statistics Service. Everything is written in black in Russian. Do not suck the numbers out of your finger. Only oil, petroleum products and gas - 235 yards. And leave your fantasies about percentages.

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

And the budget from this will not suffer

You are our dreamer .... The MET rate is clearly tied to world oil prices. These citizens of Alekperosechin will not suffer in any way. Well, almost no harm. Until oil drops below 28. But all the costs of their exuberant imagination will fall solely on the budget, and not on anyone else. Learn Mlyn materiel, that is, the tax code.
But in general .. I did not engage in enlightenment of non-education. If you want to eliminate your illiteracy, then to the Internet, and study the legislation with statistics yourself
Or pay mlyn lessons.
Dixi.

[Sarmat Sanych]

Lannan Shi, did you give a shit? Take off your pants. Pull up your educational level to speak with me in an equal dialogue. You look at the development with export, you stop confusing and you look at the statistics for 2019. And what the hell MET, ate budgetary obligations and the size of the budget does not depend on them in any way? For this, there is a gigantic Reserve Fund and a cut-off price so that if it is less than $ 42, it should be taken from it, and if it is more, then put off. Stop bullshit about 28, Rosneft has a production cost of $ 11 per barrel, Tatneft $ 8, Lukoil in the region of $ 12. I tell you this as a person who has worked with leading Russian oil and gas builders for a decade and a half, he personally knows the genders of a number of companies.

[CSKA]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

Rosneft has a production cost of $ 11 per barrel

Sechin recently said that in some fields it seems even lower.

[Nikolay Ivanov_5]

Ukrainians in social networks are happy with the fall of the ruble and the collapse of oil prices, while Kudrin continues to drive the blizzard.

[Honest Citizen]

According to Kudrin, according to the results of 2020, "economic growth will be about zero."

Petrov, tell me about new production facilities and economic growth "for many months in a row"

[Aerodrome]

Quote: Honest Citizen

Petrov, tell me about new production facilities and economic growth "for many months in a row"

moves out with those.

[bondrostov]

Petrov is a man at whose sight the hand itself reaches for the gun

[Honest Citizen]

moves out with those.

Well, or not at all. Staying in your dreams next to the fabulous.

[Sarmat Sanych]

Citizen, finish whining, read below and not ... do squatting with the Airdrome

[Sarmat Sanych]

I’m airdrome, but I’m not leaving for the whiners whining from the couch, I can provide evidence of hundreds of new productions only in the last couple of years. Purely offhand, a list of the largest projects of the Russian Federation: https://ruxpert.ru/
https://cont.ws/@S1601V3006/1513172
https://youtu.be/GAZSb2qO9m0
https://youtu.be/H1JQgDr-oeE https://www.nasha-strana.info/archives/34054
https://youtu.be/Bnjd6IwCWMU
https://youtu.be/qiyGTbZEwZE
https://youtu.be/HiVzzdm5hX0

[Werwulf_1989]

Zero and the economy at the same time.)))

[Honest Citizen]

Burnt shed, burn and hut!

[Sarmat Sanych]

Werwulf_1989, the entire economy, all $ 4,3 trillion of PPP GDP, the fifth in the world?)) What kind of dull bots went, even climbed into VO

[Magog]

"Zero" is the name of a digit or a number? And then what is "zero"?

[Aerodrome]

Quote: Magog

"Zero" is the name of a digit or a number? And then what is "zero"?

it's a zero ... the hole is shorter ...

[bondrostov]

It turns out we are in the hole

[Mavrikiy]

Quote: bondrostov

It turns out we are in the hole

Humor is bad, not ours.
However, sorry, if you are there (you know better), then I am here, which I am worried about (the trait of the collectivist, with the whole world).

[bondrostov]

And this is not humor, it is bitter sarcasm .. our country recalls a train that has no brakes, the bridge in front of it is destroyed, and there is a cliff. All passengers see this, but prefer to pretend that this is not naive, thinking that it will be. No. Will not manage!

[bk316]

I think Kudrin went wrong.
Given the coronavirus and the oil war, there will be a minus, 1-1.5%
If + 1%, I will be very happy.

[kjhg]

Quote: bk316

I think Kudrin went wrong.
Given the coronavirus and the oil war, there will be a minus, 1-1.5%

But it seems to me that there will be an even greater drop, minus 3-4%. Oil has fallen too much

[bk316]

too much oil has fallen

While it is not clear where to bounce ..... But maybe 4%

[Icarus]

I think Kudrin went wrong.
Given the coronavirus and the oil war, there will be a minus, 1-1.5%
If + 1%, I will be very happy.

No minus will be. You just don’t know how to count. Rosstat will better calculate and report as needed.

[bk316]

Rosstat will better calculate and report as needed.

Yes, you do not worry, for you the CIA will count ....

[Icarus]

Are you in touch with the CIA? Have you been informed? Or are you a believer? Believer in statistics. The believer does not need proof, because he simply believes in his ideals. I don’t believe either Kudrin or Rosstat. While Kudrin was the deputy prime minister in charge of the economic bloc, the military pension never increased to me, despite inflation. All the time he was an opponent of injecting money into the country's economy and was buying up US securities. He apparently has his own interests there.

[Ross xnumx]

In recent years, such indicators have not been achieved. According to the head of the Accounts Chamber, this year will not succeed.

Putin is our everything, Chubais is our always, Nabiullina is never ours, Kudrin is our nothing ...

[Ingvar 72]

Our Medvedev 4mo!

[Linxs]

- economic growth at rates that are higher than the world average - that is, at least about 3,6% per year


Kudrin has good jokes. Maybe someone will wake him and return to reality?

[Antidote]

Kudrin does not indicate planned indicators, read the text again. His boss needs to be returned to reality, possibly after 2036.

[faterdom]

Kudrin, okay, he is an amateur expert on this issue with a touch of professionalism. But when the Ministry of Economic Development year after year we set the bar at one percent, racing with the President, who promises 4-5 - I don’t understand! Do they have different countries? Or different economies?

[Magog]

Our President is a KGB lawyer. What do you want to hear from him about the economy? And the "Ministry of Economic Development" is a gateway ...

[UserGun]

Quote: Magog

What do you want to hear from him about the economy?

Yeah ... Only fairy tales, in the form of "Strategy 2020")))

[mark2]

They have different thinking.

[UserGun]

Well, as different ... Sobchak, he, his colleagues say, was very good at oil, metals and other liquidity)))

[Overlock]

... according to the results of 2020, "the growth of the economy will be about zero."

And Putin said that key sectors of the economy will come out of the crisis stronger.
Although, according to the railway workers and the Federal State Statistics Service, the freight turnover has been falling since last spring. It turns out that the economy is stagnating and can easily slide into a recession. Perhaps the virus and the Saudis are the recession trigger

[Incomprehensible]

How much is d ****, specifically in this thread. One is more beautiful than the other.

[Werwulf_1989]

Well, you should tell us .... now you’ll tell me what a tsarist mnogokhodovochka the Tsar and bad boyars will think!

[Incomprehensible]

I won’t even put you a minus, you will disappear myself!

[rocket757]

What will not be .... it's okay, but WHAT WILL BE ??? it is important.
What will happen to inflation? What will happen to industrial production? What will happen to employment ???
Most importantly, how will we live ..... or will we SURVIVE anyway? Matches and salt already stock up?
It is "ridiculous" to talk about it, although you may have to "cry". The COUNTRY is SELF-SUFFICIENT in most vital positions !!! We simply cannot live badly, but it remains only ghostly dreams .... but the smaller, most "valuable, important" part of the country's inhabitants is not living very badly and is going to live even better!
Is this a paradox or something else ???

[yang174]

what about employment? It’s approved the replacement by labor migrants of labor collectives for such a normal percentage. Look yourself online (litter that you, a habit)

[rocket757]

Not everything is so obvious .... we do not hire such people at all, because even garbage collection is largely mechanized. Is that in the summer, in the "shop" which is engaged in landscaping and other things on the street. And so at ALL factories in the city, where the salary is higher than that of the same private owner.
What remains, seasonal workers .... in the city, all the streets were repaired, that's for sure, the style and conversation are in a different way. Buildings, cottages, peasant affairs ... also seasonal, although there are a couple of farms where visitors are. But they really settled here, they bought houses and the children go to our school.
It turns out that they are going to a place where obviously there are not enough workers or the locals are not going very well because of low salaries.
In short, everything is not so simple, but they are definitely not competitors to the skilled workforce!

[rocket757]

PS ... I want to add. We have a young guy, with a diploma, went to work .... his qualifications, by our standards, are not much higher than the baseboard, he worked for us at the lowest level!
So there, in the north, he worked as a MASTER, led the teams of just those guys from the south .....
He earned money, but he came back and asked for it .... he said that he could no longer see them, and he wanted to learn some more, finally ... but they couldn’t force him before, raise his qualifications. Like this.

[yang174]

))) in Chelyabinsk, minibuses drove and builders. janitors. here if there were no Gaster, decent wages and working conditions. and everything is clear, and not a finger to the sky. so they are not needed in Russia. and some, normally making of them the price tag is the same as the local ones, and already have citizenship and families transported. about your guy, he doesn’t get through his head, he’ll get through his hands

[The Siberian barber]

The value of the ruble ... Stock quotes ... Etc., etc. ..... "cute" abstruse wording ...
If only ONCE once they confessed honestly: "Well, I didn't do it!")))
... "in general, I consider the work of the government satisfactory" ©

[Andobor]

The world average of 3,6%, this year will definitely not be, and therefore 0 may turn out to be a good result.

[venik]

I just can't understand one thing: Well, why "vegetable" (horseradish in the sense) - VO gives comments on this "sorosenka" ??? On his forehead is written in large letters: "GRANT EATER" !!!!!
Well, WHY pull this whole "Soros gang" HERE?
Just so that the moderators can "ban" someone?
---
News ten "cons" !!!

[Alf]

Quote: venik

Well, WHY pull this whole "Soros gang" HERE?

Let’s write about how many percent of the growth the Russian economy gave last year. Just something tells me that instead of the article there will be an empty place.

[venik]

Quote: Alf

Let’s write about how many percent of the growth the Russian economy gave last year. Just something tells me that instead of the article there will be an empty place.

========
Well, if you take the per capita GDP of the Russian Federation in PPPs (if you certainly know what it is), then it turns out very interesting:

Source: IMF WEO date: January 2020

[Alf]

Of course, I understand that everything is growing, but for some reason even the Kremlin propagandists say which year it is about 1%, and how they said last year that this percentage appeared only because the Russians began to interfere in more loans.

[askort154]

Again "near zero". Kudrin gave a forecast for the growth of the Russian economy in 2020.

Alyoshenka, what a terrible pessimist you are. The country has been going strictly since 1991
according to your Gaidaro-Kudro-Yasinsky direction in a market economy. Even the United States awarded you the title of the best accountant in the world. And you groan every year, we are "near zero" again.
"Where is the money, Zin ?!"

[samarin1969]

Well, this is more likely not a forecast, but a report of a pathologist.
Mr. Kudrin would better write a diagnosis for himself: how to make a country with an educated population, rich in resources, completely dependent on "bubbles", viruses, global speculators and demand for fuels and lubricants? !! ​​... Why is this "accountant" necessary then. Any grandmother from the market can make a similar forecast.

It is necessary, as Celentano in the famous film, to save on economists. All they can do is explain solidly why their predictions did not come true.

[GABALIS]

Yesterday, millions of virologist experts worked on the network for wear, but today they are awakened by oil traders and experts in financial markets!

[PavelM]

"... Again" near zero ": Kudrin made a forecast ..."
= Actually, "near zero" sounds nicer!

[Honest Citizen]

Quote: samarin1969

It is necessary, as Celentano in the famous film, to save on economists. All they can do is explain solidly why their predictions did not come true.

You can’t save on Kudrin and Chubais. Partners do not understand, sir!

[New Year day]

Quote: Honest Citizen

You cannot save on Kudrin and Chubais

Just for them you can not worry - "does not abandon his own."
But we should think about how to survive the troubled times.

[fif21]

My forecast for the year 20 is -2-3%, this is still optimistic. Fall: consumer demand, bankruptcy of tour operators, curtailment of investment programs in the oil and gas sector, rising import prices, rising inflation .... the whole set of crisis in the economy. And this is not about personalities, but about the incurable disease of the capitalist model of the economy. Competition, overstock, crisis. The West is already used to these cycles, and we are still getting used to it.

[Hypatius]

Optimist! The global crisis is rolling, and we have already climbed into it. How many reserves did Medvedev burn for the US mortgage crisis? Half ?! Now pay more. Moreover, at the beginning of the crisis, the coronovirus and the greed of Russia, in the person of Sechin, will be blamed. I don’t give a damn that the stock markets are overheated and the bubble must be burst, political economy is not in honor.
PS If amendments are needed, it is only about the nationalization of the private Central Bank.

[yang174]

we have not climbed out of it .. since 2008 ..

[Hypatius]

we have not climbed out of it .. since 2008 ..

The people (we) may not have climbed out or crawled out. But the gold reserves of the NWF were filled up! We can pay for the next crisis of globalism (read here: the highest stage of capitalism).

[Xenofont]

The stabilizer crept up unnoticed ... Give in to Sechin's persuasion and drive the country into a "tailspin"! In the right way: the people will endure, but what a perspective!

[UserGun]

Quote: Xenofont

but what a perspective!

What? Again? Strategy 2040 ?! )))

[23424636]

I don’t know what to say. It is simply surprising why this animal is kept on the pulse of the economy. If your business is to be controlled so that it is not stolen. Then talk about yourself and not about the economy. Typically, when the price falls, the products sag and new opportunities open up for export. But this accountant has something wrong. In D N R, the Vneshtorservis group led by Kurchenko (cashier of Yanukovych) caused enormous damage to the entire industry where they trained leaving behind unpaid bills and unpaid salaries. The experiment with tax holidays that lasted with the death of Zakharchenko (he forbade Kurchenko to be free and taxed) did not lead Donbass to nothing. Now they are trying to do something. But the same people and their goal, the Driban, are not an objection to the glory of the industrial Donbass.

[businessv]

"numerous financial and credit bubbles in the Chinese economy and other markets could begin to burst."

This postulate can be used without the word "may"! They will surely burst due to the fact that the economy of the Middle Kingdom, according to experts' forecasts, will receive less than 1% only in the first quarter, which is $ 143,1 billion - a lot of money! It is not yet clear how the situevina with the virus will develop further.

[exo]

Don't worry. Rosstat will draw the "correct" figure. And he will indicate inflation, according to the order and the "new calculation method"

[bocman grek]

If the people at the top developed industry. And oil refining, the percentage would be 10

[bk316]

the percentage would be 10

Where does 10% come from? This year this planet Earth will not be anywhere ....

[evgen1221]

It seems that the concern for raising the country's gdp has been shifted by our authorities to our comrades, and probably someday, led by.

[Shahno]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

Inkgvar 72, and if you don’t whine on the Internet and think, you can remove the saucepan from your head.
Let it be known that per capita output per capita in Russia and the United States is Odinakov (go to Cia Cia Factbook website, subtract the share of services in each of the economies from the GDP per capita and are surprised).
In terms of industrial production (in $ PPP), Russia in 2018-2019 takes 4th place in the world (and 1st place in Europe).
In general, if we are not talking about industrial production but about gross product, then the GDP of most countries that occupy the top lines of world leadership has long been formed not due to the real sector, but due to price speculation. And this is very convenient, because thanks to such an assessment, it is completely unnecessary to admit that Russia in 2019 is ahead of Britain, Italy, France and the Federal Republic of Germany in terms of real production, and Canada is three times superior. It is much more pleasant to say that the GDP of the Russian Federation in current dollars (at face value) is comparable to the GDP of Canada and inferior to English, formed due to the wonders of virtual statistics.
With regards to the United States, 85% of their GDP consists of manipulation of company quotes on the stock exchange, plus a machine tool and a service sector. States in GDP statistics even include the estimated rental income from buildings built earlier in 2 centuries (official facts, I emphasize), while some of these buildings, facilities and structures are not rented by anyone. A barrel of oil in the United States, having reached refining, is bought up on the stock exchange a dozen times and each kaz the final figure is added to the GDP, even Bloomberg's analysts have already written about this, they were crazy about such "miracles"))). The real sector accounts for only about 15% of American GDP, while in Russia, in our PPP GDP of $ 4,3 trillion (5th in the world), the real sector accounts for about 90%. If you look at the Western "highs", take a look at the powerful American industry in your spare time ", you will find out that Caterpillar, Gm and Ford are on the brink of bankruptcy, coal and shale companies have collapsed and disappeared by 70%, Boeing suffers constant losses and is on the verge of extinction, Westinghouse went bankrupt and shrank to a small company for the production of Mox-fuel, etc. Meanwhile, Rosatom is building 68% of new nuclear power plants on the planet and controls 50% of the world uranium enrichment market.
It’s not even worth talking about the current British, French and Italian industry. Britain, in comparison with the 80s, has not produced nicherta for a long time.
Finally, only two numbers:
1). Production capacities of Russia over the past 10 years have been updated by 75%, data from leading international institutions in confirmation
2). In 1991, all ports of the 290 million Union with its 15 republics handled 800 million tons of products per year, and now only the ports of one 147 million Russia transship about 1 billion tons of products per year.

Well, the forecast is about zero. Once again, Russia does not develop production.

[Karaul73]

Quote: Mavrikiy

Again "near zero": Kudrin gave a forecast on the economic growth of the Russian Federation for 2020
Today, 17: 22

Having the Kudrins in government, there will be (-).

Drive more to Syria, Donbass, to the arms race, to cheers, and get an o-very large zero with a minus sign. And more in the management of effective managers. They will help everyone.

[bk316]

in an arms race

The arms race is developing promo, so you decide whether to develop industrial production or not.
About the conversion and production of titanium pans, you don’t need it, you will not find so much money in 404 to buy them. And nobody needs them anymore.

[Karaul73]

Quote: bk316

in an arms race

The arms race is developing promo, so you decide whether to develop industrial production or not.
About the conversion and production of titanium pans, you don’t need it, you will not find so much money in 404 to buy them. And nobody needs them anymore.

Russia has nuclear weapons. Nobody will get into trouble. Instead of titanium pans, pour titanium eggs to your leadership to defend the interests of the country and put thieves in jail.

[pepel]

Interesting. on this "cassandra" is there a "Roman legionnaire"?

[VLADIMIR VLADIVOSTOK]

What predictions can he give? Bandit- fool listen. And most importantly, what a foolish person publishes the statement of such morons.

[Kronos]

So he is part of the government

[Aleks2000]

And not for the first time ....
will change the director of Rosstat, and there will be 1,5% of GDP growth or something else ....

And a bunch of posts and videos "made by us" ...

[Alexey Polyakh]

Quote: Sarmat Sanych

IXION, where is "getting poorer"? Russians annually buy 90 million square meters of new housing alone and 1,8 million new cars alone (reports from the IMF, RCC and the Association of European Businesses in confirmation). ))

Buyers will "buy" in 15 years. And before that they will live on - Bread-Water, giving half of their salary for a loan, plus a communal apartment ...

[Ura Orlov]

And you can also allow democracy in Russia

[sanik2020]

But when did Kudrin's forecasts come true?

[ZVS]

So Putin puts the Russian economy in the top five.
Now it will again repeat, like a mantra, that the damned foreign partners are to blame for the fact that the Russian economy is ... opera. Again, everyone will be to blame, but not he and the government.

[sleeve]

But I don’t remember that the forecast of this respected person came true with some real meaningfulness at least once. Well, except for the phrases "something will happen in the spring" or "they will definitely steal" ...