The situation in Syria: what future awaits this long-suffering country


Turkey announced the destruction of 76 Syrian troops. According to Turkish Minister of Defense Hulusi Akar, they were destroyed by return fire at positions of government troops loyal to Bashar al-Assad.


Relations between Ankara and Damascus have recently escalated to the limit. Moscow claims that the Turkish military accidentally came under fire from the Syrian forces. The fighters of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) fired on terrorists, and the Turks simply ended up in the wrong place at the wrong time. But this is far from the first armed clash between the Turkish and Syrian military.

But not only from the bullets and missiles of the Turkish military, the fighters of the Syrian government troops are dying. The Israeli Air Force regularly strikes air strikes on the positions of the Syrian Arab army. In the case of Turkey and in the case of Israel, Russia is in no hurry to officially side with Damascus, although Russian soldiers are fighting alongside Assad’s soldiers against terrorists. And they die too ...

The situation in Syria makes us think more deeply about further prospects for the existence of this country. The war involving foreign interventionists in Syria has been going on for the tenth year. Despite claims of victory over the terrorists, the world never came to Syrian soil. In Syria, there are foreign military personnel and mercenaries from various countries.

The interests of a number of countries of the world are interwoven in this ancient land. And, no less important, in fact, Syria still does not exist now as a single centralized state. Bashar al-Assad controls the capital and up to 60 percent of the country's territory, but significant territories are under the control of the opposition, Kurds, and the Turkish army. Not put an end to stories terrorist groups.


The sad fate of Syria is another bloody legacy of the postcolonial era. Once part of the Ottoman Empire, after the First World War, Syria came under the control of France, which allocated several territories that subsequently formed an independent state. Sunni Arabs and Alawite Arabs, Kurds and Turkoman, Assyrians, Armenians, Yezidis - they all ended up in the same country and all had their own interests, often conflicting with each other.

The ongoing war, with all due respect to Bashar al-Assad and his position, can be considered as evidence that the map of the Middle East, and long-suffering Syria, including, will be reformatted sooner or later. It is likely that Syria will no longer be able to exist in the previous format - as a unitary single state. It is clear that without Russian support for the rule of the Alawites in Damascus, an end would have come a long time ago.


Sunni Arabs, who make up the majority of the Syrian population, will ultimately still not positively perceive the power of the Alawite minority. It is unlikely that the Kurds of the northern part of Syria, who have gained many years of experience of independent existence, will soon be ready to submit to Assad, have acquired quite efficient Self-Defense Units and their own financial interests. The Russian leadership, apparently, does not see other possible options for the development of events for itself.

Issues arising in connection with the Kurdish population in Syria, Iraq and elsewhere (these are not the only countries where they live) should be resolved in accordance with the national legislation of the respective countries,

- Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said at a press conference a year ago.

But these words are the duty answer, but what is the reality? It is clear that the Kurdish issue will not be resolved in the format of the situation in Syria that we are currently observing. As will not be resolved, and all the other most important nodes of the contradictions. To keep Russian troops in Syria (outside the places of permanent basing) is endless - this is not an option either, and Bashar Assad is not eternal, and his withdrawal from the political scene is likely to be the end of the Alavite domination. All these circumstances leave more questions than answers. But the fact that Syria should be updated and, possibly, new state entities should appear in the Middle East, does not raise any doubts. How much this update will be in the interests of the Syrian people is the main question so far.
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  1. svp67 4 February 2020 16: 08 New
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    Yes, the situation there is very difficult and very difficult, but is this a reason to give up?
    1. Svarog 4 February 2020 16: 09 New
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      Quote: svp67
      Yes, the situation there is very difficult and very difficult, but is this a reason to give up?

      Moreover, the war in this region has no beginning .. and no end .. as long as there is oil, there will be war ..
      1. svp67 4 February 2020 16: 11 New
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        Quote: Svarog
        Moreover, the war in this region has no beginning .. and no end .. as long as there is oil, there will be war ..

        Unfortunately. There’s a piece of the world, it’s always been non-peaceful (((and still far from the discovery of oil fields there
      2. Mar.Tirah 4 February 2020 17: 18 New
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        Quote: Svarog
        as long as there is oil - there will be war ..

        There is oil there, of course, but this is not the main thing for the United States and its satellites. The Navy bases Tartus, Khmeimi, and Assad’s friendly attitude towards Russia, that was their core and will continue to be core. To knock Russia out of Syria was and is the main task. The voice of the Turkish mouthpiece about the large losses of the ATS was especially pleased, while Erdogan spoke of completely different ones.
    2. 1959ain 4 February 2020 16: 14 New
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      Victor Tsoi. Show me people confident in tomorrow
      Draw me portraits of the victims along the way.
      Show me the one who survived one of the regiment
      But someone must be the door
      And someone is a castle, and someone is the key to the castle.
      Land. Sky.
      Between Earth and Sky - War!
      And wherever you are
      Whatever you do -
      Between Earth and Sky - War!
      Somewhere there are people for whom there is day and there is night.
      Somewhere there are people who have a son and have a daughter.
      Somewhere there are people for whom the theorem is true.
      But someone will become a wall, and someone will be a shoulder
      Under which the wall flutters.
      Land. Sky.
      Between Earth and Sky -
      And wherever you are
      Whatever you do -
      Between Earth and Sky - War!
      1. Cowbra 4 February 2020 16: 38 New
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        Not at all loving Tsoi, but especially Tsoi ... Taki-I punk. and when they tell me. that you can’t go here. here we have a prayer book, a "stenocoy" - I start poking my finger at several churches, and "do not make yourself an idol," and that’s it. that on the same lane - Crooked call - mentura - slow them down. what are they?
        Choi was a talent. but he also had a decent shit) For the way he called himself punk - generally separately)
        1. 1959ain 4 February 2020 16: 41 New
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          Sorry in the article, Che is waiting for Syria, in Tsoi’s song the answer is, and it is waiting for Russia if we continue in this spirit. Between Earth and Sky - War!
          And wherever you are
          Whatever you do -
          Between Earth and Sky - War!
          1. Cowbra 4 February 2020 16: 42 New
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            Yes, I realized, and said - he is a talent
    3. Sergey39 4 February 2020 16: 56 New
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      As long as there is a threat of laying a gas pipeline from Qatar through Syria, a sluggish war will continue.
      1. protoss 5 February 2020 11: 56 New
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        such a project never existed, this is a myth of our propaganda, allegedly justifying our endless losses in Syria against the backdrop of a crisis in the economy.
    4. Romka 4 February 2020 19: 18 New
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      to give up
      The situation there is such that you can stretch your legs.
  2. Grandfather Crimea 4 February 2020 16: 14 New
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    After reading the sediments, it’s not good, so the new ruler can politely ask the two bases of the Russian Federation to collapse (((.. It seems that the UIP does not have a plan for Syria?
    1. Livonetc 4 February 2020 16: 27 New
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      The results of this plan we clearly see in Syria.
      Before the entry into force of this plan, Syrian statehood was in the balance of death.
      Well, turning to other planes about the GDP plans and their implementation, actually look at the implemented plan for the Crimea.
      Of course, you always want everything to happen as quickly as possible.
      However, as you know -
      "East is a delicate matter."
    2. Ros 56 4 February 2020 16: 56 New
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      You say you’ll collapse, okay, we’ll collapse, but we won’t talk to anyone yet.
    3. Tzar 5 February 2020 06: 27 New
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      Iraq politely asked the United States to curtail bases in Iraq. The US is not too politely refused.
  3. Loess 4 February 2020 16: 19 New
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    Despite claims of victory over the terrorists, the world never came to Syrian soil.
    They have been fighting against terrorists for a long time, more precisely, not only against them, but mainly against
    foreign interventionists

    Only these interventionists are too strong, so the process is so time-consuming.
  4. Shahno 4 February 2020 16: 54 New
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    Quote: svp67
    Yes, the situation there is very difficult and very difficult, but is this a reason to give up?

    Ha bieder ...
    1. Nyrobsky 4 February 2020 19: 37 New
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      Quote: Shahno
      Ha bieder ...

      You can’t swear on the site, as well as write comments in foreign gibberish. sad
    2. Xnumx vis 4 February 2020 21: 58 New
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      Quote: Shahno
      Ha bieder ...

      Tour tnche tusa ptersen joklar-joklar tet te: “Ma man pucheneh tchne tytas, ytttisem te terlenchchr. Paylas ku tchenchene, ”- ter tet. If it’s in the Chuvash language .. And it’s definitely not obscene or cursing ... hi
  5. Shahno 4 February 2020 16: 59 New
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    Quote: Livonetc
    The results of this plan we clearly see in Syria.
    Before the entry into force of this plan, Syrian statehood was in the balance of death.
    Well, turning to other planes about the GDP plans and their implementation, actually look at the implemented plan for the Crimea.
    Of course, you always want everything to happen as quickly as possible.
    However, as you know -
    "East is a delicate matter."

    // look at the implemented plan for the Crimea //
    Strongly these are different regions of Crimea and Syria, in all respects.
    A year or two ago I wrote here. Assad will not have peace ... It is necessary to win over key BV players to his side. Who will do this?
  6. Olya Tsako 4 February 2020 17: 09 New
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    Russia has the opportunity to resolve the issue with the Idlib zone in 3-5 days, but the gut is thin, liquid vapor and finally ...
    They gave loans to the Turkish fascist: S-400, Turkish Stream, South Stream, construction of a nuclear power plant, etc.
    All on credit.
    Again, Erdogan circled us "experienced" and became the OWNER of the SITUATION.
    1. Yuri 4 February 2020 21: 10 New
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      I don’t understand why for voicing the truth that you are talking about here they are minuscule. Indeed, Russia fell into almost enslaving dependence on Tayypich. Although any reasonable person understands the motives of GDP in the sale of S-400 and the laying of a gas pipeline. The only question is whether the benefits of these projects are worth the disastrous damage that Russia will bring to the defeat of Assad and the withdrawal from Syria. And at the moment it seems that everything is on track.
      I believe that relations with enemies whose goal is only to defeat Syria and expel Russia from there and no less could try to build in a constructive way if they were afraid for their vile tricks to get very, very much, up to complete destruction. How the whole world is afraid of amers. Whoever says anything, everything in this world rests on brute force or the threat of its use.
      I don’t know in what tone the Russian Foreign Ministry, the General Staff or the Defense Ministry resonate with the Turks and Israelis, but I don’t feel any fear for one's skin, neither one nor the other.
      And how do you imagine the denouement of all this nightmare in the Kremlin and on whose good will they hope, I can’t imagine
  7. Lamata 4 February 2020 17: 15 New
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    Afghanistan and Libya as an example. Where the mattresses are there grief and misfortune.
    1. protoss 5 February 2020 11: 59 New
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      So in Afghanistan, the USSR brought trouble
      1. Afghan1979 6 February 2020 13: 37 New
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        And you will talk with the Afghans and find out how today they interpret the "misfortune of the USSR." Then it will be possible to talk. In the meantime, a simple trolley turns out.
        1. protoss 6 February 2020 17: 06 New
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          you mean that with apricots it got even worse than with the Soviet invasion. comparing the bad with the worse does not make the bad good.
  8. Yrec 4 February 2020 17: 17 New
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    Just do not drag the Kurds here. They have the formation of the state at the stage of feudal fragmentation, with all the attributes: lords, vassals, castles, etc. If Assad "leaves", then Syria, in fact, will cease to be a state. On its territory there will be a “walk-field” and a hotbed of all kinds of terrorist and extremist groups. Lebanon will be next in line. And the Turks with the Jews will disentangle all this.
    1. Lamata 4 February 2020 17: 47 New
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      You can think right now in Lebanon quiet and grace. They all sit there and wait when they rush.
  9. fif21 4 February 2020 17: 55 New
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    How is ISIS different from Turks, Israelis, Americans? All are fighting against the LEGAL government of Syria. Russia's position "We are only at war with terrorists" is naive. Terrorists are supported and supported by the USA and Turkey, which means that clashes cannot be avoided. Perspective 1: Syria is losing its oil regions and becoming of no interest to anyone (the war is ending). 2. The territory of Syria will be divided by Turkey and Iran. 3. Russia will receive a second Afghanistan, the United States a second Vietnam. . 4 Syria, this is a prelude to the third world war. Being friends with Assad and Erdogan at the same time will not work for objective reasons (for this you need to be above the fight) hi
    1. protoss 5 February 2020 12: 06 New
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      the legitimate government of Syria brought the country to civil war and currently controls and represents less than half of the country's population. and the rest of the population of Syria is supported by Turkey, the states, Lebanon, etc.
      1. Afghan1979 6 February 2020 13: 34 New
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        Wake up and do not write rubbish. The war was launched not by Assad, but created by the West under the leadership of the Yankees and the support of the Turks from the organization of bearded men gathered from around the world. And all this is a bunch of countries and today they support bearded men. As soon as they began to be sent to a meeting with Allah, a cry and petitions to the UN began on the part of these sponsors.
  10. Shahno 4 February 2020 20: 14 New
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    Quote: Nyrobsky
    Quote: Shahno
    Ha bieder ...

    You can’t swear on the site, as well as write comments in foreign gibberish. sad

    Don’t be upset, this is a one-on-one quote from the President of the Russian Federation and mother Naoma Issakhar. I ask you to excuse me, I didn’t bother to put quotation marks- “Everything will be fine” - translation ..
  11. Nick Russ 4 February 2020 21: 41 New
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    I did not see news at the VO that the Defense Ministry reported that the Turkish air forces did not fly into Syria. And I did not see the Arabian news about the interception by our SU35 of Turkish F16.
    Maybe I missed something?
  12. Afghan1979 6 February 2020 13: 28 New
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    Mr. Polonsky never saw Syria before the start of the conflict between the West and the Turks.
    I have been there and I can say that the Syrians, regardless of nation and nationality, lived very friendly. This could be seen going into an ordinary cafe where, at one such place, while drinking coffee and playing backgammon, there were representatives of all nations and in a calm tone conducted their conversations about family, life and work.
    If we take our homeland, then, by analogy with author, you also need to divide everything into principalities with foreign princes and life will improve tenfold.
    But, the problem is that history proves the opposite. Any struggle in society always leads only to the deterioration of the state of this society in all plans. And as a rule, the drivers of this struggle find themselves at the graveyard.
    This is what we must proceed from.