Military Review

Stability on fire. Why did Chile rebel?

44

Showcase of success at the edge of the world


It seems like something, but the protests do not surprise us. Even the recent “brothers,” who suddenly became non-brothers, their protests demanding to change some thieves for others, even more arrogant, were more perplexed and slightly squeamish than surprised. And if something that causes an observant person a slight shock and bewilderment is the geography of the protests and the reasons for which they might break out.




And now, watching what is happening in Chile, you involuntarily think about the fact that you can “bomb” absolutely everywhere, and no one can predict what exactly the accumulated critical mass of popular discontent will detonate from. And we also have a chic occasion to note some random coincidences between Chile and one large northern country, which is rightfully proud of its many years of stability, but has been undermined by various pests for several years now.

We will talk about the protests in Santiago and its surroundings a little later. In the meantime, a little about the "context", which will help us a little more fully understand what is happening.

For quite some time, Chile was considered one of the most prosperous countries in Latin America. She was cited as an example by all kinds of unreasonable Aborigines around the world - you see, they say, how well do those who obey the IMF and implement its recommendations live? The stability of this country was striking even against the background of relatively (by Latin American standards) prosperous Argentina and Brazil, and even against the background of some Colombia or Venezuela it seemed simply fantastic. In general, Chile was considered almost an island of prosperous Europe in a sea of ​​Latin American chaos, and until recently no one could have imagined that due to the increase in the cost of the metro ride on the 4 ruble, unrest would break out in the country, the result of which at the moment are fifteen dead, hundreds of wounded and thousands of detainees.

Of course, now a lot of experts have appeared, thoughtfully declaring that everything is obvious and everything has long gone to that. But somehow all this is doubtful, agree? After all, apart from the Chileans themselves, no one saw the prerequisites. And yet they were all the same ...

I don’t hint at anything!


First of all, it should be noted that Chile is a typical third world state in terms of income distribution. There are enough rich people, enough “middle class”, but obvious poverty and real poverty remained. It is she who now feeds street protests: for many young people without education and a chance of a successful job, the opportunity to rob shops, restaurants and car services with impunity seems to be a good alternative.

I don’t want to hint at anything, but some parallels with a large northern country can be traced, agree?

Another sudden parallel is the raw material orientation of the economy. True, Chile does not sit on an oil "needle", but on a polymetallic one - the export of copper and tin brings the lion's share of foreign exchange earnings to the country's budget. Of course, any instability in the commodity market throws Santiago now in the heat, then in the cold. But there is no need to explain anything to the northern country - it’s familiar to the pain, it itself goes through with unenviable regularity ...

The services sector, agriculture, winemaking, and tourism are also well developed in Chile. But all this, with the well-known correction for the considerable remoteness of the country, the difficulty and high cost of export deliveries of high-value products and the high cost of flying to Santiago from somewhere from Europe, Japan or China, which are the main suppliers of solvent tourists.



We add fishing and seafood production here, which is quite logical if there is a coastline of 6435 km in length. True, all the costs of the country's great remoteness from the main markets are felt here: you can extract much more than you manage to export at a decent price. Own needs with a population of approximately 18 million people are not so high as to ensure demand for all fish harvested.

In general, the Latin American showcase of the “free market” turned out to be rather fragile, as is often the case with display cases. There were problems, they accumulated, for many years they caused a dull irritation among the local population, and once, when the government took an careless step, this beautiful window was smashed to smithereens.

Notice, I'm not hinting at anything again. Just recently, our prime minister said that everything is normal in our economy. And sometimes it seems that he only has to announce a price increase for the metro ...

But there is still much in common ...


Actually, the protests themselves in Santiago (and the surrounding area) are not special. You probably all already know that they broke out due to higher prices for metro fares, first developed in the capital, and then spread to other regions of the country. An important component of the protest was the robbery and arson of shops, service enterprises, and restaurants. Moreover, the lion's share of the dead - the protesters themselves, caught in robbed supermarkets and unable to get out of them on time after the arson.

Nevertheless, one must understand that from a criminal point of view, Chile is also far from the worst country on the continent. This is not Colombia with its drug mafia, not Brazil with its thoroughly criminalized favelas, not Peru or Bolivia with their leftist "revolutionaries" - no, this is a completely safe country in terms of the criminal situation. In any case, it was considered such until recent events. And the statements of the local Ministry of Internal Affairs bonzes that criminals are opposed to them are only partially true: many of those who are now involved in robberies were recently considered quite law-abiding young people.

In this sense, Chile is somewhere even more calm state than some modern European countries, flooded with refugees, migrants and their descendants. Rather, you expect such manifestations of violence from France with its Arab and Negro underground. Rather, in Paris or Marseille, it is more familiar to see broken windows of looted shops and restaurants than in the once deanery and calm of Santiago.

And if you recall that the protests and civil unrest in Catalonia and Hong Kong are going on in parallel, you involuntarily think about whether the genies of the color revolutions got out of control, didn’t he even devour those who were not originally intended? Indeed, from the list only protests in Hong Kong are probably included in the plans of the State Department, the rest of the countries are allies, albeit not the highest ones. Or maybe we will make an unexpected, but logical conclusion: the US has weakened so much that it is no longer able to hold its own brainchild and now can only watch how it tries to devour faithful American allies?

All in all, the events in Chile can indeed provide some food for thought. And especially to the inhabitants of a large northern country, which has much in common with the distant Latin American window of stability and prosperity.
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  1. Aerodrome
    Aerodrome 23 October 2019 04: 28
    +25
    I do not want this, but I know that sooner or later we will "explode". the government is doing everything for this.
    1. Mussasi
      Mussasi 23 October 2019 04: 44
      +13
      Yes, all over the world it’s already starting to vomit ..., the capitalist system is starting to stagger because it is obvious to everyone!
      1. Evil echo
        Evil echo 23 October 2019 08: 40
        +6
        ... and the time comes when in the decaying world, where politicians and criminals rule, Leaders are born ...
        Recently, a phrase came across in Avramenko’s book, it goes straight to the line.
      2. Sergey1987
        Sergey1987 23 October 2019 13: 53
        +7
        Quote: Mussashi
        Yes, all over the world it’s already starting to vomit ..., the capitalist system is starting to stagger because it is obvious to everyone!

        It's obvious that? At the end of the 19th century, there was also a lot of cry that socialism would come everywhere and what? Where is your communism? And where does it vomit all over the world? If in a number of countries protests this does not mean that around the world. Moreover, nobody protests against capitalism in these protests.
    2. Constructor68
      Constructor68 23 October 2019 05: 42
      +6
      I do not want this, but I know that sooner or later we will "explode".

      "tears" usually not because there were reasonable prerequisites for this, but because some political parties manipulate public consciousness in their own interests, setting it against their political opponents. Not a single spontaneous popular indignation is truly spontaneous. And as a driving force, they, as usual, choose the easiest forces to suggest - young people and marginal lumpen. That usually don't see beyond a couple of slogans. Just as they do not see the objective laws of the end of these revolutionary events: the rich are getting richer, the poor even poorer. And the government can do whatever it wants. Look how progressive the Stolypin reforms were, but the reformer himself was killed and the reforms did not help him.
      1. mavrus
        mavrus 23 October 2019 07: 07
        +17
        Stolypin's reforms may have been progressive, but they were definitely anti-people. Probably nothing influenced the victory of the Reds in the civil war as much as the social injustice of the Stolypin agrarian reform. It stratified and destroyed the once relatively homogeneous "peasant world", leaving it to be torn apart and enslaved by rural usurers (kulaks-the world-eaters).
        1. bessmertniy
          bessmertniy 23 October 2019 08: 32
          +10
          But today, Russia is not less stratified by income than under Stolypin. But for the most part he is silent in a rag and is waiting for happiness or optimistically hopes that it will not get any worse. feel
          1. Monster_Fat
            Monster_Fat 23 October 2019 11: 26
            -4
            And sometimes it seems that he only has to announce a price increase for the metro ...

            Duc ... "already": http://www.sobaka.ru/city/city/95312
            http://vkrizis.ru/ceny/s-2020-goda-v-peterburge-vyrastet-stoimost-proezda-na-metro-i-avtobusah/ wink
          2. APES
            APES 23 October 2019 15: 32
            +3
            today, Russia is not less stratified by income


            much more ..... there is a garden ring and there is the rest of the mass
            and so, this is the law of dialectics, a counter-revolution has occurred, then the revolution will be again.
            everything changes - also the law
            Here is an example: the demand for gasoline has fallen, the fare is also going to increase - the National Demographics project is completely failed, and much more.
            "they don't have such people !!!!" - it won't stay here either soon ...
            and also, the number of "shooters" of cigarettes has grown 20 times, over the past 10 years - I don't like these comrades, "have it already been specific - but like, too, a protest mass
    3. Mcar
      Mcar 23 October 2019 10: 29
      +1
      Quote: Aerodrome
      I do not want this, but I know that sooner or later we will "explode". the government is doing everything for this.

      There ... a few more important ingredients are missing according to the "recipe": Bloody Sunday and a dozen and a half mass shootings, like Lensky. We will not be frightened by the increase in tariffs - the Kremlin thimblers in pension chess have got everyone on their own, and nothing. So we wait until the chef puts everything in the pan until the last cherry.
      1. Monster_Fat
        Monster_Fat 23 October 2019 11: 38
        +2
        So we wait until the chef puts everything in the pan until the last cherry.

        1. Mcar
          Mcar 23 October 2019 12: 06
          +3
          Quote: Monster_Fat
          So we wait until the chef puts everything in the pan until the last cherry.


          The ruling bourgeois class is swinging the Titanic.

          No matter how ridiculous it may sound, the main organizer and inspirer of the three Russian revolutions at the beginning of the last century was Nikolai the Bloody. History repeats itself. "I will only change the time and faces, I will not change the green color" (c).
    4. APES
      APES 23 October 2019 15: 26
      +2
      I want it, I know that sooner or later it will "explode"

      definitely said :)
    5. Tank hard
      Tank hard 24 October 2019 08: 50
      0
      Quote: Aerodrome
      I do not want it, but I know that sooner or later it will "explode". the government is doing everything for this.

      A good video about provocateurs, clearly tells who, why and why:
  2. Far B
    Far B 23 October 2019 04: 47
    +12
    Or can he draw a slightly different conclusion - the State Department did not have a hand in all the "color" revolutions, and some of them were also the result of popular discontent that gained a critical mass? And now (or soon) "off the beaten path" will happen? After all, history knows examples: Spring of Nations-1848, revolutionary squall-1917 ...
    Py.Sy. And about the relatively prosperous Argentina, where a year later defaults announced smiled, yes)
    1. mavrus
      mavrus 23 October 2019 06: 52
      +2
      "Colored"?
      If, by definition ... "Color revolutions are those to which the United States has had a hand," the protests in Chile and Catalonia have nothing to do with the "Colored revolution".
  3. Avior
    Avior 23 October 2019 04: 57
    +20
    The protests in Chile are related to the fact that living conditions are improving, not the quality of life.
    What is the use of building a new modern office if the salary remains the same, or even decreases?
    The metro rose in price after its reconstruction and upgrade from 800 pesos to 830 during peak hours. The rise in price is not very big.
    But the people were outraged that even for the renewed metro they had to pay.
    When landscaping and renovating the streets, building beautiful expensive buildings, there is nothing wrong with that.
    It’s bad if at the same time your personal standard of living does not grow, or even falls along with your salary.
    There is keenly perceived discord between the surrounding beautiful picture and your own life. What is the use of the fact that the sidewalk, lawns and facades of houses look perfect and wealth is outwardly visible if you personally have your salary reduced or your pension or some other problem created?
    And in return they gave a beautiful picture around ...
    1. Chaldon48
      Chaldon48 23 October 2019 05: 24
      +7
      Now in the cap. The situation is valid in the world: 80% of all benefits belong to 20% of the population and 20% of all benefits to 80% of the population. All power belongs to these, as well, by 20%. Using their power, these 20% do everything possible to maintain this imbalance without significant damage to their security.
      1. Avior
        Avior 23 October 2019 05: 38
        +5
        I think this is clearly a problem in the government’s inability to strike a balance between public consumption funds and everyone’s personal standard of living.
        A beautiful, well-groomed city is good, and you can show the picture to everyone - look at what the government has achieved.
        Only if at the same time the income level of the majority of the population will correspond to this picture. And a beautiful picture will not be provided from the pocket of the population.
        Otherwise, a social explosion is inevitable.
        And this is not only relevant for Chile
    2. Aerodrome
      Aerodrome 23 October 2019 13: 42
      +5
      Quote: Avior
      Protests in Chile

      it seems that the Chileans are smarter than us .... and we are terpils.
      1. Pivot
        Pivot 23 October 2019 14: 22
        -8
        It develops, a provocateur was wound up here. Be the first to go to the barricades if you couldn’t bear it.
        1. Aerodrome
          Aerodrome 23 October 2019 14: 23
          +7
          Quote: Pivot
          It develops, a provocateur was wound up here. Be the first to go to the barricades if you couldn’t bear it.

          develops, here kremlebot-hawaii that give up.
          1. Pivot
            Pivot 23 October 2019 14: 26
            -7
            Have you already eaten a pack of cookies and a jar of jam?
  4. MY THOUGHT
    MY THOUGHT 23 October 2019 06: 03
    +16
    First, they crush for decades with taxes, fines, propaganda and inveterate scammers,)) and then they wonder how-because of 3 cents it exploded ((
    1. bessmertniy
      bessmertniy 23 October 2019 08: 29
      +4
      Where it is thin, there it breaks. It’s just that once, another price increase results in a riot. And not Chile, nor the USA, nor Russia are safe from this.
      1. Aerodrome
        Aerodrome 23 October 2019 13: 43
        +7
        Quote: bessmertniy
        And not Chile, nor the USA, nor Russia are safe from this

        just not Russia .. we all seem to give a damn about it.
  5. nikvic46
    nikvic46 23 October 2019 06: 23
    +5
    And how this pro-American model was touted in Chile. I have no doubt that one of our mentors will call the "boozeters" hicks. As it was more than once. Americans never go back to where they imposed ..
  6. parusnik
    parusnik 23 October 2019 06: 24
    +4
    We were taught at school from childhood, -
    There is no country more wonderful than Chile.
    As the poet said, as the poet said ...

    There are deserts and volcanoes
    Islands and oceans.
    Only there is no life, only there is no life ...

    Like silver bastards
    Waterfalls snake from the mountains.
    As the poet said, as the poet said ...

    There is a wine of all wines
    But it is for fertilizers.
    Only there is no life, only there is no life ...
    1. Aerodrome
      Aerodrome 23 October 2019 13: 45
      +1
      We ask the mercies of Madame with the gentlemen,
      Twenty cents - and go away stunned!
      Come in, who is a fan of the unprecedented:
      Murieta's head and hand of Three-Fingered.

      Bully hands that itch
      They look at the three-fingered and amuse themselves.
      Meet the brethren, I’ll catch my head
      It is not known how long it will have to wait fresh.

      After us, you will see life in a new way.
      Big-headed, please visit the headless!

      This story is about the furious heart of the Chilean.
      About a simple and brave guy
      And his memory is like an ax.
      It’s time to open the grave,
      Where is Murieta lurking.
      To get into the tomb of oblivion
      Where his dust is hidden from the world.
      Let’s remember in moments of calm these
      About rage, about pain, about tenderness - about Joaquin Muriet.
  7. Professor
    Professor 23 October 2019 06: 43
    +4
    And now, watching what is happening in Chile, you involuntarily think about the fact that you can “bomb” absolutely everywhere, and no one can predict what exactly the accumulated critical mass of popular discontent will detonate from.

    No, not everywhere. Only where there is no other way to influence the authorities.

    Rather, you expect such manifestations of violence from France with its Arab and Negro underground.

    The Islamic underground of Chile is not inferior to the European, and in terms of penetration into power it surpasses the European by 3 heads.

    Indeed, from the list only protests in Hong Kong are probably included in the plans of the State Department, the rest of the countries are allies, albeit not the highest ones

    Waited for the mention of the State Department and finally waited.
  8. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 23 October 2019 07: 12
    +3
    no one could have imagined that due to the increase in the cost of the metro ride on the 4 ruble, unrest would break out in the country
    You might think that indeed because of the fare, riots arose. For such a buoy, a reason is needed, besides any - from increasing the cost of travel to losing the opposition candidate in the elections. And the unrest escalating into a color revolution is no longer such news in our time. Those interested in them overthrow the legitimate authority, change laws, and economically destroy the country. As in a classic detective story - look for someone who benefits. So this phenomenon will only grow.
    1. AU Ivanov.
      AU Ivanov. 23 October 2019 09: 38
      -8
      For buchi, losing your favorite football team is enough. And there are plenty of people who want to smash the Sharikovs everywhere.
  9. EvilLion
    EvilLion 23 October 2019 08: 05
    -4
    The author obviously used something with his analogies.
  10. TochkaY
    TochkaY 23 October 2019 08: 40
    +2
    Why are the poor and poor, homeless and homeless in the US consider this as their own inability to go up?
    Why do not they blame the state and government for their troubles?
    Maybe the Americans don’t have such a concept like power owes me something. The authorities must create equal conditions and clear laws. The rest is up to himself.
    There was an experiment in America on the relocation of homeless people into comfortable apartments, moreover, with a full range of furniture and appliances. It ended sadly - homeless people and beggars turned everything into trash and sold things. It is easier for a beggar to live than to work. And the worker is not anyhow where, but managed to make himself a good professional and found a decent job. Naturally, displacing a competitor.
    Then from the authorities what might be needed? Probably stability.
    1. Aerodrome
      Aerodrome 23 October 2019 13: 51
      +2
      Quote: TochkaY
      Why are the poor and poor, homeless and homeless in the US consider this as their own inability to go up?

      because from childhood like a nail in the head: "a country of equal opportunities."
      Quote: TochkaY
      Why do not they blame the state and government for their troubles?

      for this there is Russia, Iran, Iraq, China ....
      Quote: TochkaY
      The authorities must create equal conditions and clear laws. The rest is up to himself.

      where did you see it?
      Quote: TochkaY
      There was an experiment in America on the relocation of homeless people into comfortable apartments, moreover, with a full range of furniture and appliances. It ended sadly - homeless people and beggars turned everything into trash and sold things.

      illuminate these things in more detail.
      Quote: TochkaY
      It is easier for a beggar to live than to work.

      yes ... no rents, no taxes ... beauty!
      Quote: TochkaY
      working not anyhow where, but who managed to make himself a good professional and found a decent job. Naturally, displacing a competitor.

      such a worker is clearly better than a bum.
      Quote: TochkaY
      Then from the authorities what might be needed? Probably stability.

      and adequacy can?
  11. Stalnov I.P.
    Stalnov I.P. 23 October 2019 09: 52
    +2
    And these people sitting in large armchairs do not care, they are well-fed, dressed. shod, children abroad, tanned, dumb and not skillful. The state of domestic politics, the economy and personnel, the social sphere only confirms this.
  12. Anton Yu
    Anton Yu 23 October 2019 10: 08
    +3
    I also know a large northern country, which is destroyed by internal enemies. And it is they who are in power: thieves, bandits, corrupt officials and others.
  13. Mikhail Drabkin
    Mikhail Drabkin 23 October 2019 10: 39
    0
    You Avior write
    The protests in Chile are related to the fact that living conditions are improving, not the quality of life.
    What is the use of building a new modern office if the salary remains the same, or even decreases?
    ... But the people were indignant that even for the renewed metro they should pay.

    -Not the people as such, but the capacious groups united by the clear cry on Facebook and Twitter, even flash mobs ... they are simply AGAINST, DO NOT WANT AND EVERYTHING!
    —- Protests, revolutions now begin not only because "the lower classes cannot live the old way ...". Now it is necessary that the young, loud (on the Internet) group DON’T WANT TO LIVE AS OLD ... MAYBE, BUT DOESN’T WANT ....
    —- And so that there was a resonant and resonating reason not to want.
    -You write that the patience pier supposedly burst due to an increase in the cost of travel by less than 4%. This is not a reason for public confusion and awareness of the deterioration in the quality of life. This is an occasion to declare oneself, about “do not want”
    —- Recall the youngster Greta Thunberg and children under 20 years old who decided, wound up ... without knowledge, not to mention awareness, that "... how DARE (generation of parents) to deprive me of childhood ..". They can, but they don’t want ... a resonant case ...
    —- And of course, without the Internet, this And endless fair of popularity and idle talk, opinions and drawn out meaningless facts .... activists couldn’t raise excitement ... wave ... tide ... surf ... tsunami NOT WANTED. And with 5G - all this will only accelerate - from excitement to the tsunami, time will fly faster, especially with the hooliganism of adolescents - "Mom Don't Cry .."
    —- Therefore, too, the northern country is building an isolated Runet .. and so her neighbor, with a population of 1.3 billion, dug a moat around her ... NO. Just in case, like Hong Kong ...
    —- I DO NOT WANT in the western countries of “democracy” - it is now much more powerful than “I can not” - because it is easy to find a reason not to want. For example - “I do not want plastic bags ... I do not want to be a boy or a girl, but I want to be“ them ”(them)”
    —— Same in the countries of soft autocracy - “I don't want to” is a very low bar that unites quickly into a situation like Chile.
  14. Alex Fox
    Alex Fox 23 October 2019 12: 09
    +2
    Quote: TochkaY
    homeless and homeless people consider this as their own inability to go up?
    Why do not they blame the state and government for their troubles?

    Who told you this nonsense? did you live there chatted with these people? no, they told you so ...
    THERE all this caste does not have a word, will shoot her buzit ...
    1. siemens7774
      siemens7774 23 October 2019 14: 22
      0
      Well, if they shoot. So it’s lucky. They just set fire in the boxes and houses where they live.
  15. Li17
    Li17 25 October 2019 06: 51
    0
    Here about Chile with hot lads ... But France in this matter in my opinion gave a head start! So, of course, the realities are interesting and scare the average man, but still there is some kind of public virus. This is what history teaches!
  16. Varyag71
    Varyag71 25 October 2019 12: 29
    +1
    I want in Chile
  17. Basarev
    Basarev 26 October 2019 15: 16
    -2
    In Russia, such rebellions will definitely not happen. The people are completely exhausted, they already want nothing, only to die in the familiar world. This is the whole difference: people in the rest of the world want change, they want updates, but with us, they want to leave everything as it is and even return it as it was. The rest of the countries, when a critical mass of passionaries were born, directed this energy outward, into expansion and colonial conquests for the benefit of their people and country, but we go inward, in great blood, to grief for our people. The world is actually bipolar: the right pole of the world order is directed to the future and to the outside. We are at the other extreme, looking into the past and inward.
  18. yehat
    yehat 28 October 2019 12: 47
    0
    I don’t understand the problem of supplies from Chile - they can sell any amount of seafood to the Japanese.
    and as for the situation, everything is simple - Augusto Pinochet with his advisers from the USA laid a mine in the form of a huge and growing stratification of the population by income and a social explosion was simply inevitable.