"Fast maidan." Black tags for Zelensky
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“Upright” patriots, they still call their Nazis in Ukraine, Zelensky understood this and threatened both personally and the new “fast Maidan”. In general, the elections to the parliament themselves-this is a good reason for the Maidan. So far nothing seems to foretell, but the recent events in Georgia show that the new Maidan, after a successful old one, can be organized by extremists for any reason and really very quickly: the experience is already there. This past experience also says that external players should be interested in Independence.
In this sense, the US Democratic Party, led by presidential candidate ex-vice president Joe Biden, may be interested in the “fast Independence” in Ukraine. He is personally involved in “Ukrainian affairs” and has a great influence on his former wards of Kiev leaders. In the election race, Democrats may submit new Ukrainian events as a result of Trump's “betrayal,” who surrenders Ukraine to Putin.
European force majeure
If the “fast maidan” goes wildly, the work of the Ukrainian GTS may be terminated as a result of some force majeure, which will create tension in the energy sector of Europe, and will give the US additional trumps to promote its liquefied gas to the European market. Naturally, Russia and Putin personally will be to blame for everything that happened, so we can expect a new wave of sanctions.
Such an exacerbation of the international situation could disrupt the so-called “respite” in the growth of tensions between the United States and Russia, complicate Trump’s pre-election position, making his “deliberate” visit to Moscow for the celebration of Victory Day 9 in May 2020 impossible. In general, the United States is vindictive for any reason, and here they have just actually “lost” Turkey, which has purchased the Russian C-400 air defense system. And promises to buy from Russia more and the latest fighters.
Thus, external forces interested in the “fast maidan” are available, internal forces and resources are available, it’s up to someone’s political decision somewhere, and this will not be Donald Trump.
Somewhere in America
In general, it seems that the US has created a center for decision-making in post-Soviet foreign policy that is parallel to Trump. Maybe even with the tacit consent of Trump himself: he seemed to give the Democrats the opportunity to clean up their own Augean stables, which they so enthusiastically built into the presidency of Barack Obama.
The Atlantic Council of the United States in its narrow composition can very well be such a parallel mini-Department of State. Poroshenko, when he entered the presidential office, spoke in this Council and, as it were, received a blessing. Members of this Council, Kurt Volker and John Khorbst, have long and deeply engaged in Ukraine, and Trump looks at it through his fingers. For some reason. The fact that the provocation in the Kerch Strait became unpleasant for Trump news, that is, he did not give sanctions to it.
Right to call
The telephone call from Zelensky to Moscow personally to Putin sounded unexpectedly to everyone. He, too, as if nothing foretold. Zelensky said a lot after all that he would negotiate with Vladimir Putin only in the presence of western partners, in an extended format, and then suddenly took and called Putin.
A telephone conversation is a one-on-one conversation, without witnesses, prompters and prompts, no matter what they say. I called Putin once, the other one would call, undoubtedly, all those uninterested in such telephone conversations noted.
In the political sense, the reason for Zelensky’s conversation with Putin does not interest anyone; the very fact of these telephone conversations is important. It can serve as a trigger for the "upset" patriots in their making "quick" decisions.
The Nazi militants in Ukraine are very well organized, it is obvious that among them there is a strong discipline: murder (like Oles Buzin) and provocations are carried out only by order “from above”. This explains the security of Viktor Medvedchuk and other prominent opposition leaders: for the time being, there is no order. Therefore, for the "fast Maidan" one order will be enough.
Geopolitical nuance
Given such perspectives, it becomes dangerous to continue to treat the nationalist regime in Ukraine as a formally independent one. We need to call things by their proper names: he was originally conceived and is really an American semi-colony and a military springboard against Russia. Otherwise, Russia can be abstractly blamed for the destabilization of the “young Ukrainian democracy”, no matter how much it contradicts the facts. And the “world media” will not miss this chance.
Russia will find itself in a weak position against the background of new chaos in Ukraine: the word of Russia will be against the word of the West on this issue, because this “young democracy” is recognized by us to be formally independent and, it turns out, independent from the USA, but it is located on the borders of Russia, and not USA. If Russia declares that “young Ukrainian democracy” is a territory dependent on the USA, then from this position, everything that happens on it is primarily the responsibility of the United States.
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