Who is more effective in the Ukrainian inter-round
The roles are all painted, each participant has his own place in this political performance, but some indulge in improvisation. Now Poroshenko has become a bigger clown than Zelensky, on the move changing the basic concept of his election campaign.
In the wake of the euphoria of a breakthrough into the second round, and in fact of his failure, not understanding the depth of his fall, he immediately set forth his demands with the rhetoric of Ukraine’s leading politician. He publicly insulted Zelensky, calling him a puppet of Kolomoisky and the Kremlin, hinted about his drug addiction and, in an ultimatum, began to insist on debate, hoping that Zelensky would refuse them. A video produced by the team of the guarantor appeared in the network in which Zelensky allegedly confesses to drug use.
For Poroshenko, it was a cold shower of Zelensky’s response, which demanded respect for himself and apologies for the insults and agreed to a public debate not in a television studio, but in the stadium. In addition, he proposed to pass tests for alcohol and drug addiction. By his actions, Zelensky knocked out Poroshenko’s trump card about his opponent’s fear of going to a debate.
Poroshenko made a mistake and accepted all the conditions of the opponent, thus he began to lead the campaign not according to his own scenario, but rather unsuccessfully responding to Zelensky’s well-thought-out steps. His tone has changed, now he respectfully called his opponent by name and patronymic, and the guarantor’s election campaign began to slip and give up.
Zelensky, having achieved his first success, humiliated Poroshenko, who did not appear at the appointed time at the stadium for testing, and conducted this procedure at another medical center. The guarantor for television cameras had to be tested and with a sour expression on his face to regret that his young rival did not appear at the appointed time.
In the actions of Poroshenko and his team began to fail. He publicly stated that he did not consider his rival to be drug addicts, despite the fact that the video launched by his team was vigorously discussed in the network, and the "gunpowder" demanded that Zelensky’s candidacy be withdrawn, since the drug addict cannot lead the state.
Poroshenko’s change in the concept of his election campaign, which was focused on the nationalist electorate and was built on Russophobia, Bandera nationalism and the rhetoric of war to the bitter end, was a complete surprise to everyone. His electorate resided mainly in Galicia, and it is unclear what his political consultants were counting on, pushing away such messages from the majority of voters in the Center and Southeast. The first round showed the fallacy of such a strategy, and Zelensky almost doubled around the guarantor. Poroshenko, as was to be expected, was the leader only in Galicia, the rest of the country, except for Donbass, who gave up Boyko, seized Zelensky and became the undisputed leader there.
Between the rounds, the guarantor decided to play the “peacemaker” out of himself and reach the largest possible audience of voters. The slogan “faith, army, language” separating the country disappeared from his vocabulary, which he considered to be the cementing foundation of the nation, and statements about reconciliation of different parts of the country, taking their interests into account, refusing from oppressing the Russian language, fell down, he even spoke Russian Russian, which had never been observed before. Such a somersault in the election campaign was carried out so clumsily that it caused only a wave of humiliation and ridicule over the attempts of the guarantor to appear peacemaker.
Then the guarantor violated the basic rule of public policy: never to make excuses and never go over to the rhetoric of the enemy, because it immediately puts in a losing position. He began to publicly admit his mistakes in personnel appointments, the oppression of the Russian language, the ineffectiveness of the fight against corruption and the readiness to correct the mistakes made. Trying to intercept the electorate from Zelensky, the guarantor significantly changed the ideological content of the concept of his program, softened the promises of nationalism, suggested speeding up the adoption of the law on the impeachment of the president and looking for ways of reconciliation in the Donbas.
A sharp change in the concept and rhetoric of the campaign cannot fundamentally change its course, there is too little time left to attract new voters, and the majority of the population does not believe in Poroshenko, since these statements diverge from his actions on the issues raised during his reign. A part of the nationalist electorate, on the contrary, may turn away from the guarantor due to the betrayal of their ideological postulates.
Attempts from the “wheels” to change the concept of their campaign with the replacement of militaristic rhetoric with peacemaking did not bring anything good to the guarantor. Concessions to his rival, acceptance of his terms and procedure of the campaign showed helplessness of Poroshenko and his team, the lack of a coherent effective strategy and inevitably lead to defeat. No tricks to deceive all can not stop the fall of Poroshenko.
Zelensky's phenomenon is explained not only by his personality, several factors coincided here. Ukrainian society is tired of the insane propaganda of violence, nationalism, Russophobia, a catastrophic fall in the standard of living, does not trust the ruling elites and is eager to change the generation of the elites that have discredited themselves. The society has matured a request for a peaceful settlement of the war in the Donbass, establishing calm, stopping violence, and on adequate politicians who are ready to stop the destructive processes in the country. In Ukraine, there were no such politicians; a mass protest and a request for a "messiah" matured in society. Zelensky was quite fit for such an image, a new young face in the Ukrainian political field, while he was still not tarnished by himself, as a talented actor, knows how to behave intelligently in public and win her interest, promising what she wants to hear.
The curators from the United States also closely monitored trends in Ukrainian society, were well aware of the opposition to Poroshenko’s policies and were considering options for replacing him with a more convenient figure capable of defending their interests more effectively.
Zelensky, together with his associates, with the support of Kolomoisky, proposed the concept of satisfying an existing request, using for this the artistic image of “The Servant of the People”, which was played with skill by Zelensky. Having carefully worked out the concept of their actions, they conducted a non-standard election campaign, achieved phenomenal results with a minimum of financial expenses. Zelensky surfaced at the right time and place, the Americans picked him up and skillfully used for their own purposes the preservation of the pro-American regime in Ukraine.
I am not a supporter of Zelensky, but for the sake of objectivity it should be noted that he has achieved a lot. His creative team first took the protest electorate and, after winning the first round, began to bite off the electorate from Poroshenko. Skillfully playing to the interests of voters, they began to calmly talk about the need to reconcile citizens with different political views, end the war and the need for dialogue with Russia, stop the oppression of the Russian language. They talk about what the government forbade even stutter. At the same time, they play up to the interests of nationalists, stating the need to return Donbas and Crimea, make claims to Russia, thank the militants do-it-all and the military for defending the "territorial integrity" of Ukraine. All this is pre-election rhetoric, which may have nothing to do with the actions after the victory, but now it plays to increase the rating and brings victory to the election.
Zelensky team all the time plays the lead. Pushes unexpected conditions for the opponent and find ways to force him to fulfill them, remaining a winner in each episode. By their actions, they convinced the Ukrainian society, and most importantly, the Americans, of the possibility of their victory, and they relied on Zelensky. For the USA, it doesn’t matter who will lead Ukraine, the most important thing is that it executes commands and defends the interests of the USA. Poroshenko and the power system built up for him can bring confrontation in society to a boiling point and jeopardize the existence of a pro-American regime.
Americans need a peaceful and legitimate transfer of power, and Poroshenko’s team may not provide it. The United States is ready to launch in Ukraine the process of replacing elites and the rise of a new generation. To do this, they need moderate technocrats who can quietly quietly pursue pro-American policies in order to weaken Russia.
Zelensky in his views is quite ready for this role. He does not hide his anti-Russian views and is ready to defend them. The members of the present and future team announced by his headquarters consist of his friends and pro-American politicians of the second and third levels who worked in previous administrations and proved to be supporters of Ukraine’s Euro-Baltic integration and implacable opponents of rapprochement with Russia.
Ukrainian society is not yet in a position to push sane politicians into power to defend their interests, and American curators have taken the role of manager in the Ukrainian political field. Russian elites have no influence on the processes taking place in Ukraine, according to the established scheme they “interact” with Ukrainian politicians like Medvedchuk and Boyko who work out and come into circulation and wait for Ukraine to cease to exist.
In this political cycle in Ukraine, the lesser evil between Poroshenko and Zelensky is chosen from two evils. Zelensky’s election doesn’t mean cessation of the state’s degradation processes and the drop in living standards in Ukraine, but this choice gives a chance to change something in Ukrainian society, and how much it can be realized depends on many factors, much of which are determined outside Ukraine.
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