Military Review

Syrian results: oil monarchies want to be friends with Russia

25
Russia's influence in the Middle East is growing rapidly. When the Kremlin decided to fully and comprehensively, including military, support the legitimate power of Syria, a number of experts warned that such unequivocal support for Damascus would destroy Moscow’s relations with all its opponents: Turkey, Israel, the oil monarchies of the Persian Gulf, and Moscow would completely lose its importance region.




But today, as we see, everything turned out to be exactly the opposite. In just four years of very effective assistance to the SAR in solving its military and political problems, Russia's prestige in the Middle East has grown significantly. Good partnerships have developed with Iran, relations with Turkey have improved significantly, Tel Aviv comes in constant contact with Moscow. Moreover, the oil monarchies, which were the main sponsors of the Syrian rebels and terrorists, are now looking for interaction and cooperation with our country.

Syrian results: oil monarchies want to be friends with Russia


An important confirmation of this was the visit of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to the four countries of the Persian Gulf in the first days of the month: to Saudi Arabia, to Qatar, to the United Arab Emirates and to Kuwait. According to most observers, the blitz tour had the main purpose of preparing a visit to the region by Russian leader Vladimir Putin.

Recall that in the near future a visit by the Russian president to Riyadh will take place, to which he was invited to attend during the G20 summit. Also, Vladimir Putin has long received and accepted an invitation to come to Doha. They want to see him in the UAE, in Kuwait and in Bahrain. However, the intrigue about the format of the visit to the region and about what other countries besides Saudi Arabia the head of Russia will still be preserved. And in what sequence.

And this is an important moment, since in the summer of 2017, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Bahrain broke off relations with Qatar, and also stopped transport links with this country, declaring an economic blockade to it.

Recall that Riyadh accused the Qatari government of material support for the Islamic State terrorist organization banned in Russia.

Attempts to reconcile the parties undertaken by the United States did not succeed. It is also possible that Riyadh’s actions in Doha were linked to Trump’s visit there, shortly before the demarche of the Saudis who had avoided meeting with the Qataris.



Americans are so desperate in their peacemaking attempts that State Department spokesman Heather Nauert even expressed interest in Russia's participation in overcoming the conflict. “If Russia could play a role in facilitating the participation of the parties in the negotiations, I think we would welcome it,” she said in July of 2017.

At the beginning of this crisis, Moscow pointedly distanced itself from it. Sergey Lavrov noted that this problem is a matter of the Gulf states, as well as their bilateral relations, therefore Russia is not going to interfere in this situation and intends to maintain good relations with all the states of the Middle East, together with them to fight the threats that international terrorism bears today. .

However, at the end of August 2017, Russia took certain steps to overcome the conflict. And the foreign minister visited Kuwait, Qatar and the UAE. This voyage brought certain results: The UAE lifted the ban on visiting Qatari vessels of their ports. However, it should be noted that the reconciliation of Qatar with other Gulf States was not the main purpose of Lavrov’s trip.



During the trip, issues of cooperation in the investment, energy and military-technical fields were also discussed. And most importantly, negotiations were conducted on the Syrian issue, during which certain progress was achieved. Thus, the Russian and Kuwaiti parties stated that their positions on the Syrian settlement are close, and the head of the Qatari Foreign Ministry, Mohammed Al Tani, publicly supported not only Russia's efforts to create de-escalation zones in Syria, but also the actions taken by Moscow to institutionalize scattered opposition in this country and direction in a constructive direction.

Today it became obvious that the blockade of Qatar did not justify itself. In Riyadh and in the capitals of the allied countries they understand that it is time to resolve the protracted crisis, and in this sense, Russia's capabilities as an influential player in the Middle East should not be underestimated.

The United States has long played the role of mediator in the Middle East, but the times of the Camp David Peace Treaty have sunk into oblivion. The authority of Americans as good intermediaries has been lost, and not only because of the low level of professionalism of American diplomacy (which became especially noticeable under Barack Obama, whose team failed to conduct any successful foreign policy initiative) and obvious bias, but also because of unpredictability.



In the Gulf countries, they see perfectly well that Donald Trump cannot implement a significant part of his programs, fulfill his obligations and even protect his associates, some of whom have been tried on clearly contrived charges. What only cost ridiculous comedy with the "withdrawal-non-withdrawal" of American troops from Syria.

In this sense, Russia is much better suited as a mediator today, especially since the two main parties to the conflict today are grateful to our country. Doha - for support during the blockade, Riyadh for the neutral position of Moscow in such extremely difficult issues for him as the civil war in Yemen and the Khoshoggi case.

In addition, it should be noted that Russia has managed to maintain good working relations with all the countries of this extremely troubled region, allowing it to discuss and solve the most complex and sensitive issues. So one should not exclude the fact that Saudi Arabia views our country as a possible mediator for the normalization of relations with Iran, and not only with Qatar.

However, this time Sergey Lavrov arrived to prepare Vladimir Putin’s visit in the context of preliminary elaboration of the topics of economic cooperation, military-technical cooperation and the Syrian issue.



Syria is perhaps the most difficult thing in relations between Russia and the oil monarchies, however, there is some progress here: Doha and Riyadh no longer require Asad’s urgent departure, and Bahrain and the UAE open embassies in Damascus. But this is not enough: Moscow needs to achieve the return of Syria to the Arab League and the participation of the oil monarchies in rebuilding a shattered country (not without the participation of their “pets” of the country). And there are coming very difficult negotiations, since the Gulf countries will try to achieve maximum concessions from Damascus in exchange for its "recognition."

Significantly less problems in military-technical cooperation. Recall that an agreement has been reached with Qatar on the supply of Kalashnikov AK-12 assault rifles and Kornet-E anti-tank missile systems.

Doha’s hypothetical interest in acquiring the Triumph C-400 anti-aircraft missile systems is unlikely to be realized due to fears of US sanctions.



"We have no final understanding on the C-400 issue, there are technical teams, experts who discuss the prospects," said the head of the Qatari foreign affairs agency, Mohammed al-Thani.

But Riyadh may well acquire this complex, especially if the US Congress imposes sanctions against the Saudis in the context of the “Khashoggi case”. And the likelihood that congressmen will go to this to annoy Trump is quite high.

It is noteworthy that the British Arabic-language publication Al Arab, commenting on Sergey Lavrov’s trip, indicates that Riyadh does not attach much importance to Washington’s warnings about the inadmissibility of rapprochement with Moscow and possible consequences for “violators”.

And this is another problem of the White House’s foreign policy: he has no “gingerbread” left even for “friends”, and he is trying to preserve their loyalty only by “whip”.

Moscow, on the other hand, seeks to find a “hotel” even for the losers of yesterday’s opponents. After all, it is no secret that Russia and Iran “made” oil monarchies in Syria. However, Lavrov’s trip and Putin’s upcoming visit suggest that the Kremlin wants the interests of its recent rivals to be taken into account in the changed Middle East, seeing in it the key to peace and stability.



And such an approach in the Gulf countries is appreciated, as evidenced at least by the fact that the Russian Foreign Minister, in violation of the protocol, was honored to meet with the monarchs of Saudi Arabia and Qatar. This demonstrates a special respect for the country that the guest represents.
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  1. Pessimist22
    Pessimist22 13 March 2019 05: 25
    -1
    "Tel Aviv arrives in constant contact with Moscow."
    They extinguish Assad and ours and say Moscow is not what you thought.
    1. Mrrr meow
      Mrrr meow 13 March 2019 08: 29
      +4
      Children's article of some kind. These "Middle Eastern monarchies do not want to" be friends ", but want to fuck Russia, caught on the Syrian hook, to siphon out of it as many preferences as possible for themselves
  2. high
    high 13 March 2019 05: 38
    -7
    In the Gulf countries, they see very well that Donald Trump cannot realize a significant part of his programs, fulfill his obligations and even protect his associates, some of whom were put on trial on clearly far-fetched charges.

    Alas, it’s time for the journalist to understand: in democratic countries, the courts are independent,
    The President cannot influence judges, if he does, he will go to court and receive a term
    Syrian results: oil monarchies want to be friends with Russia
    The price of such friendship: 101 place in the world in terms of living standards.
    https://gotoroad.ru/best/indexlife
  3. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 13 March 2019 05: 48
    0
    When the Kremlin decided to fully and comprehensively, including military, support the legitimate authority of Syria, a number of experts warned that such unambiguous support for Damascus would ruin Moscow’s relations with all its opponents: Turkey, Israel, the oil monarchies of the Persian Gulf, and Moscow would completely lose its significance in region.

    Do we need such experts?
  4. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 13 March 2019 06: 23
    +4
    In Soviet times, they said: "All flags are visiting us." Today, amid the continuous screams of the West about the isolation of Russia, Moscow does not have time to receive not at all ordinary guests and, of course, Middle Easterners are frequenting. Let's hope that this will ultimately benefit the country.
    1. Chertt
      Chertt 13 March 2019 08: 49
      +4
      In just four years of very effective assistance to the ATS in solving its military-political problems, Russia's authority in the Middle East has grown significantly.

      No one does not consider weaklings. Respect those who are not afraid to defend the interests of their country. If necessary, and by military means.
    2. skrabplus.ru
      skrabplus.ru 18 March 2019 23: 54
      0
      The main thing is that people are not forgotten when the benefits will begin to be shared
  5. jonht
    jonht 13 March 2019 06: 29
    +1
    Eh, it would be nice to close the BV issues, but the east is a delicate matter, and where it is thin there it breaks. They will not "brew" one thing like that.
    1. Chertt
      Chertt 13 March 2019 08: 51
      +2
      Quote: jonht
      Oh, well, close BV issues

      What is it like ? Stop the region?
      1. jonht
        jonht 13 March 2019 10: 26
        +1
        Why so cardinally ...
        I think it will be enough to become an "arbiter" and through that control the Middle East. hi
        1. Chertt
          Chertt 13 March 2019 11: 42
          +1
          We understand that if Russia becomes the world arbiter, it will be the best option. But will our overseas, yellow-faced, elite and other "partners" laughing
          1. jonht
            jonht 13 March 2019 12: 27
            0
            And here you don’t need consent, here who will turn to and who will be able to resolve
        2. skrabplus.ru
          skrabplus.ru 18 March 2019 23: 56
          0
          What you need, hence the preferences will be mattresses in the bummer
  6. parusnik
    parusnik 13 March 2019 06: 35
    0
    It’s too early to draw conclusions. Let's see how the president’s visit to these countries will end and what statements will be made during the visit and what agreements are reached ...
  7. Boris55
    Boris55 13 March 2019 08: 11
    +4
    Off topic, but very interesting:

    "Gazprom Export" successfully completed the first gas sale transaction on its electronic trading platform for export to Western Europe at the price set in rubles. The transaction was completed on a “till the end of the month” basis with delivery to the NCG point. The volume of gas sold amounted to about 80 million cubic meters. m
    “Today's trial transaction has not only commercial, but also truly symbolic significance. Perhaps, for the first time in the history of Gazprom Export, a Western European company buys gas from us and pays for it in rubles. It is too early to give far-reaching forecasts. But we plan to further develop sales in rubles through the domestic electronic trading platform", - noted the General Director of Gazprom Export LLC E. V. Burmistrova." http://www.gazpromexport.ru/presscenter/press/2306/

    I recall that the attempt to trade for their currency of Hussein and Gaddafi ended not only in their death, but also in the destruction of countries. Russia is too tough for them. Hegemon - blown away.
    1. Mrrr meow
      Mrrr meow 13 March 2019 08: 44
      -5
      "OOO Gazprom export has successfully completed the first transaction on its electronic trading platform with the sale of gas for export to Western Europe at a price set in rubles

      You yourself go, sold ?. . wink http://k-politika.ru/prodavali-sami-sebe-rekordnyj-eksport-gazproma-okazalsya-fikciej/?utm_source=finobzor.ru
      1. Boris55
        Boris55 13 March 2019 08: 50
        +2
        Quote: Moore Meow
        Themselves - go and sell yourself?

        The NCG point is a central European gas hub in Baumgarten (Austria), one of the three largest gas distribution centers in Europe and is an international platform for gas trading.
        1. The comment was deleted.
  8. rocket757
    rocket757 13 March 2019 08: 25
    +2
    such an approach is appreciated in the Gulf countries, as evidenced even by the fact that the Russian Foreign Minister, in violation of the protocol, was honored with meetings with the monarchs of Saudi Arabia and Qatar. This demonstrates special respect for the country the guest represents.

    I hope at the top REMEMBER, there are no friends there and cannot be! There sales of fellow travelers, at least some reliable, NO!
    In short, God forbid us from such "friends". and we will deal with the enemies ourselves!
  9. Evkur
    Evkur 13 March 2019 09: 53
    0
    East is a delicate matter! And Lavrov is the grand master of such matters!
  10. Simferopol
    Simferopol 13 March 2019 10: 05
    +1
    If Russia also reconciles the Middle East, then it will be a topek. The only thing Iran’s war with Israel is almost inevitable
  11. Mikhail3
    Mikhail3 13 March 2019 15: 13
    0
    Results? Is it true that the United States is moving a tank army to Kuwait?
  12. NF68
    NF68 13 March 2019 15: 54
    +1
    All the same, the influence of the United States on its wards with BV is much greater and nothing can be done about it.
  13. high
    high 13 March 2019 20: 02
    +2
    Quote: jonht
    Why so cardinally ...
    I think it will be enough to become an "arbiter" and through that control the Middle East. hi

    To be an arbiter, you need to have funds (a strong economy), and Russia holds 11th place in the world in terms of economy and 101st in terms of living standards ..
    The USSR strove to become an “arbiter”, but there were not enough funds and overtaxed .... therefore Putin does not strive to become an arbiter, ...
  14. Antares
    Antares 13 March 2019 22: 24
    0
    in order to challenge the author’s statement, it is necessary to provide data on the volume of turnover between the United States and the oil monarchies. Especially in the military sphere. If the share of the Russian Federation is greater, then the author is right.
    True-leadership in the turnover confidently holds the United States. The fact that the Russian Federation has a share of orders is already good.
    Syrian adventure was not cheap. But unsuccessful (the Turks did not bend, even knocking down the dryer did not bend). In the gas issue.
  15. PavelT
    PavelT 14 March 2019 02: 45
    +2
    Quote: alta
    in democratic countries, the courts are independent

    Nonsense.
    Judges are dependent, not always on the president and the government, rather on the legal mafia and the elite, but dependent.

    A simple example: in the US, the Bush-classified pages (2016 of the shocking pages - https://28pages.org/the-declassified-28-pages/) of the special services report on the participation of Saudi diplomats and intelligence officers in the preparation of the September 28 attacks of 11. But before now, the US courts, under false pretexts, have denied a lawsuit against Saudi Arabia to the relatives of the victims of these terrorist acts. You can file such claims against Afghanistan, but you can’t bring them against Saudi Arabia ... https://lenta.ru/news/2001/2009/06/royals/ https://lenta.ru/news/29/2015/09/trial /

    Even the US Congress took the side of the relatives and helped them with the law about such claims: https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2016/09/09/kongress-ssha-prinyal-zakon-pozvolyayushchiy-predyavlyat-er-riyadu-sudebnye- iski-po-teraktam-11-sentyabrya - the people began to sue again: https://lenta.ru/news/2016/10/01/first_cause_saud_aravia_teracts/
    but it did not work on the courts, except for one thing:
    https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2018/03/29/sudya-manhettena-osnovaniy-dlya-otkloneniya-iskov-protiv-er-riyada-net

    Instead, other American courts independently put forward some retarded claims against Iran over the September 11 attacks. And even decisions are made: https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2018/05/02/sudya-ssha-obyazal-iran-vyplatit-6-mlrd-rodstvennikam-zhertv-teraktov-911
    And after that call such a court independent ???