Is China a superpower? What is your evidence?
Against the background of sharply aggravated trade and political relations between China and the United States, the discussion on the Internet about this trade and political conflict also revived. For some reason, we actively support China, actively sympathize with it and actively rely on it in the upcoming confrontation. And for some reason they are actively admired. Frankly, I don’t know what it’s all about, I don’t understand.
Russia and China - allies? Well, how to say, against the background of relations with the West, Russian-Chinese relations look very, very good, this is true, but precisely against the background of confrontation with the West, and nothing more. After all, what is the "plug" and a hitch: the US has repeatedly publicly accused that they are pushing Russia and China to each other. And "pushed" already after that, as was widely announced on the Russian-Chinese partnership.
Well, what should be the result of these "convergence" and "pushing"? How do you think? At least, a fairly close military-political alliance. What the author constantly read both in the "zero" and in the "tenth". Russia and China. China and Russia. And what should they do against America and how to resist it ... moreover, they wrote about this rather categorically and rather intelligent people. Well, it seemed to be quite sure about it. Because it was logical, reasonable, and completely connected with the reality around us.
Then a “crisis decade” of 2008-2018 and everything connected with it happened, and the “optimism” diminished. You can simply engage in “discourse” long and beautifully, but real politics very quickly puts everything in its place. So I would just like to take a quick look at the very "foreign policy of China." About the economic achievements of the Celestial Empire, we did not write only lazy, so they wrote with admiration. It is also an incomprehensible moment: how did the West put in gigantic money (without which there would be no miracle) in the country under the rule of ... the communist party?
We (and especially Ukrainians) were so frightened by “decommunization” for so long that this moment of gigantic investments in the openly communist regime cannot but cause serious questions: “But what about ideology?” Ukraine carried out a complete and final decommunization, but did not receive investments there is such “freedom”. Russia 90-s also did not receive any "investments", despite the frank denial of the ideology of communism. Why?
Something somehow does not fit in, in the sense of real life does not fit in with Western propaganda. The recipe for the Chinese economic miracle (and before it the Japanese one) is quite simple: serious investments from abroad plus the opening of rich US markets. Well, they got flooded ... Our “grief reformers” tried to portray something like this at the end of 80, in 90. But they "are not flooded." And the markets they did not open, and investment is not given. As for what, all 90-e continued political conflicts between Russia and the West. “Where are the investments?” Asked the comrades from the Kremlin (already fully “de-communized”). “And this is a purely commercial matter, and business makes such decisions absolutely independently.” So it was accepted to answer "from there."
But in China, the same Westerners were very actively invested, which led to quite obvious results - the creation of a giant factory that produces goods for rich western markets. On this (at one time) Japan rose. At the same rose and China. And following the results of many years, it has been customary to describe the achievements of the Middle Kingdom in admiring tones. It is what it is. It was possible to create a giant factory (as it used to be in Japan), it is a fact.
But as for the political achievements of the Celestial Empire, then everything is not as simple as many would like. Whether someone likes it or not, but after 1945 and until 1991, we lived in a “bipolar” world. And it manifested itself literally in all spheres: in culture, sport, science, economics, not to mention politics. But we must understand that the USSR (especially 40-x / 50-x) was a rather poor country. He did not even have that money close to the USA. Nevertheless, the bipolar system took place, and no one doubted it. The USSR, having much less economic resources than the United States, managed to create its own world on planet Earth. And it was, and no one asked questions.
The wars in Korea, Vietnam, the victory of Mao in China before. The widest opposition of the two systems on all continents (including the Antarctic!) Was the place to be. All story 1945 th to 1991 th can be described in the confrontation of the two systems ...
But with modern China, things are not so simple, not so simple. Of course, in the field of economics, his achievements are indisputable (at first glance). And it seems that the Chinese "globally penetrate" wherever possible in the economic sphere (and in Europe, and in Africa, and in Latin America). However, not everything is so simple, not everything is so positive. De facto, China does not offer alternatives to the United States. Yes exactly.
What was the "trick" even if a poor USSR after WWII? He was not tied to Western decision-making centers. He spent independent foreign policy. He was ideologically, politically, culturally independent. That is why he was hated in the West. That is why he tried in every way to "szhit with light." And China? And what about China? China does not offer anything to anyone. China does not put forward any "alternatives" to Western political (global) ideas.
China stupidly trades and simply invests. So this is great! But how to say ... For some reason, Japan 80-x is remembered, about which they spoke as about "an economic giant and a political dwarf." Then she “covered herself with a copper basin” of the recession for 25 years. Just pick up and read the 80's newspapers / books and what they wrote about Japan's megasuper. And what "prospects" painted. But all sadly covered with a copper basin, alas. One of the reasons - Japan was not politically independent and was very limited in choosing national development strategies.
The “Japanese economic miracle” has ended, and today the country is in a deep economic, political, resource and semantic impasse. No one says that China is obliged to repeat the fate of Japan, but somehow "they are plagued by vague doubts." Doubts about the ability of the Chinese leadership to build a sustainable development model. All that China had was a quarter of a century of accelerated economic development (as was once the case with Japan). And today, in fact, the potential of this accelerated development (from a low base) has been exhausted.
Wages in China have grown, the market has been saturated with Chinese-made goods, and the economic crisis has been raging on the planet for almost 10 for years. That is, the very “model” in which the Chinese have built their economic “paradise” is dying right before our eyes. Here, many people like to remember about the trillions of dollars of US Treasury bills, the happy owner of which is the People's Republic of China. You still do not feel the humor of the situation? And what, strictly speaking, provided these debt receipts? An honest American word?
De facto, the Chinese throughout the country worked like Papa Carlo to earn the trillionth of a thousand. And the Americans ... it was just printed. But after all they are obliged to redeem these same receipts? But how to say ... if gentlemen stop winning by the old rules ... For some reason, most observers believe that this "trillion" is a powerful means of pressure on China by the PRC. Again, this is how to look. If you owe a bank ten thousand dollars and you cannot pay - these are your problems, if ten million are rather bank problems.
Strangely enough, Russia, which had debt receipts to the maximum of 150 billions, already has practically none (more expensive). But "great China" is still waiting for something ... What? In principle, China in this regard already lost The Chinese leadership has missed time. America delivered a "preemptive strike." Today, for Beijing, "dumping" the US Treasury bills is a bit late. War to China (solid American debt holder) has already been declared! Attempt today to start “throwing off” those very receipts will no longer lead to success - this will be regarded as an “act of aggression”, with all that follows.
Just for the United States today, those very receipts serve as an argument for blackmail and pressure - it will be very difficult for China to accept the loss of this money. And, as we all understand, it is in fact inevitable today. But the Chinese do not want to come to terms with this. Acknowledge the fact that the Chinese leadership so pummeled - more expensive. And if one of the readers persists in having to pay as a pledge of confidence in American financial instruments, today the Trump administration openly declared a trade war to the whole world, and you talk about some funny trillion in receipts.
And in general, the time is alarming today, there are Arab terrorists and Russian hackers all around ... there’s no time for sentiment. De facto China to this day does not hold independent foreign policy. This was most vividly and vividly demonstrated after the pretentious military exercises "Vostok-2018", where PLA representatives took part and where Putin met with Chinese politicians. Everything was loud and pompous, and then it became known that Celestial banks suspended payments by Russian counterparties on "American sanctions lists." Such is the Chinese "superpower".
For some reason, everyone considers this offensive fact only from the point of view of Russian-Chinese relations. But here we must look in a global sense. Even 10 years ago, all Russian analysts were absolutely convinced that for China, independence in the sphere of finance is the cornerstone of statehood and sovereignty (the notorious “Adventurer” from Omsk built his reasoning on this). And “on you” ... For some reason, most analysts today view this decision of Chinese banks as a blow to the prestige of Russia. I would look at the situation a little differently ...
China is actually “surrounded”: Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, India ... With all these countries, China has serious “territorial fists”. American politicians don’t eat bread and know their stuff. Calling the strategic position of overpopulated China, surrounded by "non-friends", does not turn its language brilliant. China has a lot of problems. And most of them are "American partners." But even “great China” is “not ready” to cooperate in the financial sphere with Russia (it seems like an ally!) Without the permission of the Americans.
"Brilliant isolation number two." And, by the way, the problem of Tibet and the problem of Uigurs, too, has not been canceled ... And behind them (for several generations), there are also American "partners". By the way, at one time the USSR recognized Tibet and Taiwan as Chinese, without question, but Crimea, from the point of view of Beijing, is Ukrainian today ... Such is the “superpower”. Moreover, the degree of influence of Americans on Chinese the inner the policy is such that they are able to allow and prohibit payments to Chinese banks, that is, for Chinese bankers, Washington is more authoritative than Beijing. "My cry."
Something, you know, "I am tormented by vague doubts" in the brilliant prospects of "great China." And you say, they shoot the stolen officials? Let them shoot. Well, if there is no more worthy classes.
Russia and China - allies? Well, how to say, against the background of relations with the West, Russian-Chinese relations look very, very good, this is true, but precisely against the background of confrontation with the West, and nothing more. After all, what is the "plug" and a hitch: the US has repeatedly publicly accused that they are pushing Russia and China to each other. And "pushed" already after that, as was widely announced on the Russian-Chinese partnership.
Well, what should be the result of these "convergence" and "pushing"? How do you think? At least, a fairly close military-political alliance. What the author constantly read both in the "zero" and in the "tenth". Russia and China. China and Russia. And what should they do against America and how to resist it ... moreover, they wrote about this rather categorically and rather intelligent people. Well, it seemed to be quite sure about it. Because it was logical, reasonable, and completely connected with the reality around us.
Then a “crisis decade” of 2008-2018 and everything connected with it happened, and the “optimism” diminished. You can simply engage in “discourse” long and beautifully, but real politics very quickly puts everything in its place. So I would just like to take a quick look at the very "foreign policy of China." About the economic achievements of the Celestial Empire, we did not write only lazy, so they wrote with admiration. It is also an incomprehensible moment: how did the West put in gigantic money (without which there would be no miracle) in the country under the rule of ... the communist party?
We (and especially Ukrainians) were so frightened by “decommunization” for so long that this moment of gigantic investments in the openly communist regime cannot but cause serious questions: “But what about ideology?” Ukraine carried out a complete and final decommunization, but did not receive investments there is such “freedom”. Russia 90-s also did not receive any "investments", despite the frank denial of the ideology of communism. Why?
Something somehow does not fit in, in the sense of real life does not fit in with Western propaganda. The recipe for the Chinese economic miracle (and before it the Japanese one) is quite simple: serious investments from abroad plus the opening of rich US markets. Well, they got flooded ... Our “grief reformers” tried to portray something like this at the end of 80, in 90. But they "are not flooded." And the markets they did not open, and investment is not given. As for what, all 90-e continued political conflicts between Russia and the West. “Where are the investments?” Asked the comrades from the Kremlin (already fully “de-communized”). “And this is a purely commercial matter, and business makes such decisions absolutely independently.” So it was accepted to answer "from there."
But in China, the same Westerners were very actively invested, which led to quite obvious results - the creation of a giant factory that produces goods for rich western markets. On this (at one time) Japan rose. At the same rose and China. And following the results of many years, it has been customary to describe the achievements of the Middle Kingdom in admiring tones. It is what it is. It was possible to create a giant factory (as it used to be in Japan), it is a fact.
But as for the political achievements of the Celestial Empire, then everything is not as simple as many would like. Whether someone likes it or not, but after 1945 and until 1991, we lived in a “bipolar” world. And it manifested itself literally in all spheres: in culture, sport, science, economics, not to mention politics. But we must understand that the USSR (especially 40-x / 50-x) was a rather poor country. He did not even have that money close to the USA. Nevertheless, the bipolar system took place, and no one doubted it. The USSR, having much less economic resources than the United States, managed to create its own world on planet Earth. And it was, and no one asked questions.
The wars in Korea, Vietnam, the victory of Mao in China before. The widest opposition of the two systems on all continents (including the Antarctic!) Was the place to be. All story 1945 th to 1991 th can be described in the confrontation of the two systems ...
But with modern China, things are not so simple, not so simple. Of course, in the field of economics, his achievements are indisputable (at first glance). And it seems that the Chinese "globally penetrate" wherever possible in the economic sphere (and in Europe, and in Africa, and in Latin America). However, not everything is so simple, not everything is so positive. De facto, China does not offer alternatives to the United States. Yes exactly.
What was the "trick" even if a poor USSR after WWII? He was not tied to Western decision-making centers. He spent independent foreign policy. He was ideologically, politically, culturally independent. That is why he was hated in the West. That is why he tried in every way to "szhit with light." And China? And what about China? China does not offer anything to anyone. China does not put forward any "alternatives" to Western political (global) ideas.
China stupidly trades and simply invests. So this is great! But how to say ... For some reason, Japan 80-x is remembered, about which they spoke as about "an economic giant and a political dwarf." Then she “covered herself with a copper basin” of the recession for 25 years. Just pick up and read the 80's newspapers / books and what they wrote about Japan's megasuper. And what "prospects" painted. But all sadly covered with a copper basin, alas. One of the reasons - Japan was not politically independent and was very limited in choosing national development strategies.
The “Japanese economic miracle” has ended, and today the country is in a deep economic, political, resource and semantic impasse. No one says that China is obliged to repeat the fate of Japan, but somehow "they are plagued by vague doubts." Doubts about the ability of the Chinese leadership to build a sustainable development model. All that China had was a quarter of a century of accelerated economic development (as was once the case with Japan). And today, in fact, the potential of this accelerated development (from a low base) has been exhausted.
Wages in China have grown, the market has been saturated with Chinese-made goods, and the economic crisis has been raging on the planet for almost 10 for years. That is, the very “model” in which the Chinese have built their economic “paradise” is dying right before our eyes. Here, many people like to remember about the trillions of dollars of US Treasury bills, the happy owner of which is the People's Republic of China. You still do not feel the humor of the situation? And what, strictly speaking, provided these debt receipts? An honest American word?
De facto, the Chinese throughout the country worked like Papa Carlo to earn the trillionth of a thousand. And the Americans ... it was just printed. But after all they are obliged to redeem these same receipts? But how to say ... if gentlemen stop winning by the old rules ... For some reason, most observers believe that this "trillion" is a powerful means of pressure on China by the PRC. Again, this is how to look. If you owe a bank ten thousand dollars and you cannot pay - these are your problems, if ten million are rather bank problems.
Strangely enough, Russia, which had debt receipts to the maximum of 150 billions, already has practically none (more expensive). But "great China" is still waiting for something ... What? In principle, China in this regard already lost The Chinese leadership has missed time. America delivered a "preemptive strike." Today, for Beijing, "dumping" the US Treasury bills is a bit late. War to China (solid American debt holder) has already been declared! Attempt today to start “throwing off” those very receipts will no longer lead to success - this will be regarded as an “act of aggression”, with all that follows.
Just for the United States today, those very receipts serve as an argument for blackmail and pressure - it will be very difficult for China to accept the loss of this money. And, as we all understand, it is in fact inevitable today. But the Chinese do not want to come to terms with this. Acknowledge the fact that the Chinese leadership so pummeled - more expensive. And if one of the readers persists in having to pay as a pledge of confidence in American financial instruments, today the Trump administration openly declared a trade war to the whole world, and you talk about some funny trillion in receipts.
And in general, the time is alarming today, there are Arab terrorists and Russian hackers all around ... there’s no time for sentiment. De facto China to this day does not hold independent foreign policy. This was most vividly and vividly demonstrated after the pretentious military exercises "Vostok-2018", where PLA representatives took part and where Putin met with Chinese politicians. Everything was loud and pompous, and then it became known that Celestial banks suspended payments by Russian counterparties on "American sanctions lists." Such is the Chinese "superpower".
For some reason, everyone considers this offensive fact only from the point of view of Russian-Chinese relations. But here we must look in a global sense. Even 10 years ago, all Russian analysts were absolutely convinced that for China, independence in the sphere of finance is the cornerstone of statehood and sovereignty (the notorious “Adventurer” from Omsk built his reasoning on this). And “on you” ... For some reason, most analysts today view this decision of Chinese banks as a blow to the prestige of Russia. I would look at the situation a little differently ...
China is actually “surrounded”: Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, India ... With all these countries, China has serious “territorial fists”. American politicians don’t eat bread and know their stuff. Calling the strategic position of overpopulated China, surrounded by "non-friends", does not turn its language brilliant. China has a lot of problems. And most of them are "American partners." But even “great China” is “not ready” to cooperate in the financial sphere with Russia (it seems like an ally!) Without the permission of the Americans.
"Brilliant isolation number two." And, by the way, the problem of Tibet and the problem of Uigurs, too, has not been canceled ... And behind them (for several generations), there are also American "partners". By the way, at one time the USSR recognized Tibet and Taiwan as Chinese, without question, but Crimea, from the point of view of Beijing, is Ukrainian today ... Such is the “superpower”. Moreover, the degree of influence of Americans on Chinese the inner the policy is such that they are able to allow and prohibit payments to Chinese banks, that is, for Chinese bankers, Washington is more authoritative than Beijing. "My cry."
Something, you know, "I am tormented by vague doubts" in the brilliant prospects of "great China." And you say, they shoot the stolen officials? Let them shoot. Well, if there is no more worthy classes.
Information