Erdogan's "Red Caliphate" under attack
Erdogan's “Red Caliphate” is under attack. Amid growing political and economic contradictions with the United States, a record fall in the value of the Turkish currency occurred.
Collapse of the Turkish currency, which forced the Turkish authorities to take emergency measures, occurred last week. On Friday, August 10, the ratio of the Turkish lira to the dollar fell to a historic low - the value of the dollar was 6,47 lira. The maximum drop since the opening of trading was 14%. August 13th historical the minimum was again updated: after the start of trading on Monday morning, the lira to the dollar reached 6,9 - the Turkish currency fell another 8%. Since the beginning of August 2018, the lira has lost about 40% of the value against the US dollar, and since the beginning of the year - more than 80%.
The record fall in the value of the Turkish currency occurred against the backdrop of growing political and economic contradictions with the United States. The next aggravation of relations with Washington occurred on August 1, when sanctions were imposed against two Turkish ministers. The reason for this was the detention of American pastor Andrew Brunson in Turkey, who was accused of involvement in the attempted coup d'etat 2016 of the year. In response, Ankara announced mirror measures, promising to arrest the assets of the heads of the Interior Ministry and the US Department of Justice, if they find any in Turkey. Following the exchange of harsh statements, Washington took economic measures, doubling the duties on aluminum and steel supplies from Turkey. “The duties on aluminum will be 20%, 50% - on steel. Our relations with Turkey are bad now! ”- American President Donald Trump announced the introduction of measures.
Following the start of fluctuations in the national currency Erdogan urged citizens to urgently buy the lira. Then he promised to get rid of the dollar in conducting foreign trade operations with a number of economic partners, including with Russia. According to him, Ankara can go into calculations in national currency also with Ukraine, China and Iran. In addition to financial measures to rescue the national currency, Turkish law enforcement agencies began to take measures to protect the financial stability of the country. According to the country's Interior Minister Suleiman Saul, who are led by Reuters, the security forces will take the "necessary measures" to combat accounts in social networks that spread "provocative" information that weakens the lira course.
August 14 Turkish leader boycotts American electronics: "They have an iPhone, but on the other hand, there is Samsung." He noted that Turkey will use the local brand of phones Venüs Vestel. According to Erdogan, the country is able to produce everything necessary: “Instead of ordering something abroad for money, we will do even better and offer it ourselves. Our people are capable of that. ”
Erdogan believes that the collapse of the lyre is associated with a "conspiracy" против Turkey Last Sunday, the Turkish president, during a meeting with members of the ruling Justice and Development Party in Trabzon, said: “The goal of this operation is to force Turkey to surrender in all spheres, from finance to politics. Once again we are dealing with a political insidious conspiracy. With God's permission, we can handle it. ” According to Erdogan, if the United States decided to sacrifice its relations with Ankara, then Turkey will give an answer to such a policy by finding "new markets, new partners and new allies." “We can only say goodbye to anyone who sacrifices strategic relations and a half-century alliance with a country with a population of 81 million people for the sake of relations with terrorist groups,” he said. Also, the Turkish president accused the United States of "conducting economic war against the whole world, including our country."
In addition, to divert the attention of the population from domestic problems, Erdogan announced the preparation of a new military operation in Syria. According to him, in the near future Turkey will free the Syrian territories from those whom it considers to be terrorists. The military operation called Olive Branch should create an 30-kilometer buffer zone along the Turkish border with Syria. In fact, this is a threat to Damascus and the Kurds.
The problems of Turkey, despite the machinations of the US State Department and the "internal enemies", are obviously of an internal nature. Ankara, led by Erdogan, who heads the country since 2003 of the year (2003-2014 - Prime Minister, then President), and the ruling political party - Justice and Development Party (AKP), are pursuing the creation of a "new Ottoman Empire" with ideology of neo-Ottomanism and Pan-Turkism. There was also a transition from secularism to Islamism. In the political system, there was a transition from parliamentary system to a presidential republic, contributing to the establishment of a strong centralized government, which was in the Ottoman Empire (Erdogan - "Turkish Sultan"). In foreign policy, neo-Ottomanism led Turkey to intervene in the affairs of Iraq and Syria. In fact, the Turks are waging two wars, not counting the confrontation with the Kurds.
After the failure and departure of the Black Caliphate (jihadists) in Iraq and Syria, there are three regional players left who can lead the Islamic civilization - Saudi Arabia (with the union of Arab monarchies and the "Arab NATO"), Iran - the Persian Caliphate ( “Shiite belt” from Iran, Yemen, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon) and Turkey with the project of the “Red Caliphate”, the heir to the Ottoman Empire and the Caliph of the Orthodox, with its capital in Istanbul and with a swing to the entire Turkic world.
All three projects have their own problems. The Saudis are mired in the war in Yemen, the confrontation with the "Shiite belt", have a lot of internal problems with the threat of social and political explosion and collapse. Tehran has serious problems - a project of the Islamic revolution in crisis, there is no development, stagnation and degradation. An attempt to solve internal problems at the expense of foreign expansion in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen ran into strong opposition (Saudi Arabia, Israel, and the United States) and a lack of resources. The population is dissatisfied with the deterioration of life, the waste of resources on three wars. At the same time, the United States is returning the sanctions regime, that is, at the root, they are undermining the main economic base of Iran. This leads to the failure of external expansion and internal explosion. The Islamic Republic of Iran is on the verge of very serious changes, perhaps a collapse of the theocratic regime.
Turkey has similar problems. Orientation to the West, the European Union and NATO has not justified itself. The West, as always, simply used Turkey to its advantage, in particular, against Russia. The model of soft Islamism, against the backdrop of the Kemalist crisis, initially yielded good results, but also exhausted itself. Ankara headed for the construction of the “Red Caliphate”. But the problem is that the country does not have the resources for this (as does Iran). Serious external support is needed (West or China). As well as serious reforms of the management system, relations between the government and society, economic restructuring, technological breakthrough.
In the meantime, Turkey has been mired in a “funnel of chaos” - Iraq and Syria (the Middle Eastern front of world war), and, apparently, Erdogan is ready to get into the Syrian war with his head. Inside the country, it is going to strengthen the personal dictatorship of Erdogan ("the sultanate"), the fight against all kinds of "terrorists and extremists." All this to the detriment of development. In this way, Turkey is inevitably waiting for the collapse and collapse. In general, it suits the global elite. One of the main tasks of “reloading the matrix” is the collapse, disintegration and disintegration of large states into smaller state entities that are easier to manipulate. At the same time, the zone of war and global turmoil is expanding, burning “excess population”, creating “living space” for a new world order.
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