Russia is doomed. The country will die because of Putin's mistake
Paul Craig Roberts - American economist, former Deputy Secretary of the Treasury at the time of Reagan. He was awarded the Ministry of Finance Prize with the wording "For outstanding contribution to the development of the economic policy of the United States."
He is now working with the American media, including an alternative direction. It stands against the confrontational course of the “neocons” (hawks) and against the new world war, which the neocons are trying to unleash. Roberts cannot be called either an “anti-American” figure, or “pro-Russian”, or, perhaps, even an ardent Republican. His main desire in recent years - pacifism and peace on Earth.
Paul Craig Roberts (photo: hannenabintuherland.com)
A fresh article by Dr. Roberts has been published. "The Herland Report". If Roberts had been at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum (24 — 26 took place in May), he would say one thing: among those economists that set the tone for Russia, they have been brainwashed by American imperialism. Today the assistance of the West in the collapse of Russia is not required: the "washed" plunder the country and crush from the inside. You just have to wait!
If American neocons had “restraint,” says Roberts, they would simply lie back in their chairs and “allow the fifth column,” that is, the American neoliberal economy, to “finish off” Russia for them.
Next, the scientist explains his words.
The neoliberal economy has “brainwashed” the Russian central bank (Neo-liberal economics has also brainwashed the Russian central bank), the economist believes. The Central Bank believes that Russia's economic development depends on foreign investment. This “erroneous faith threatens Russia's sovereignty itself,” says Mr. Roberts. Putin’s partial impotence in front of Washington is due precisely to the control of the neoliberal economy over the Russian government.
Roberts reminds: he is “not pro-Russian” activist, but not “anti-American” either. He is, in his words, "anti-war." And especially opposed to nuclear war. His concern is that the Russian government is unable to abandon the conviction that Russia's development, despite all the talk about the Eurasian partnership and the Silk Road, depends "on integration with the West."
Such a conviction is declared by an economist to be "completely erroneous." This belief “does not allow the Russian government” to make a decisive break with the West. As a result of this mistake, Putin "continues to accept provocations in order to avoid the decisive gap that would cut Russia off from the West."
Vladimir Putin and IMF Managing Director Christine Lagard. Encounter at the SPIEF margins
If the Russian government did not believe that it needs the West, it could give a more decisive response to the provocations and thus would make it clear that there is a limit to Russian patience. This would make Europe realize that its existence may be in question. But Putin cannot give such an answer, because he mistakenly believes that Russia needs the West. "The American fifth column will destroy Russia" (America's Fifth Column Will Destroy Russia), the publicist insists.
Russia is doomed because its economists have been brainwashed since Yeltsin’s time. The washing was done by American neoliberal economists. It was easy enough for the Americans to do this: the communist economy collapsed, the Russian economy collapsed, the Russians experienced major difficulties, and prosperous America extended a helping hand to them, the author recalls.
In fact, the hand did not come to help, but to grasp what is badly lying!
In the privatization process, the American oligarchy gained the control it needed. After all, Russian economists and notions had no way in which “financial capitalism in the neoliberal guise” deprived the economy of its assets, sticking to it at the same time a debt yoke.
There is something worse: Russian economists have been brainwashed so that they have changed the very way of economic thinking. And today this thinking "serves Western imperialism," says Roberts.
The neoliberal economy mocks the Russian ruble. The national currency is dominated by speculation and manipulation, which makes it unstable. Washington has always used such manipulations to solve the problem of "destabilizing the government."
The neoliberal economy has brainwashed the Russian central bank. Russia's economic development depends on foreign investment? This belief is wrong; moreover, it “threatens the very sovereignty of Russia”!
Michael Hudson and Paul Craig Roberts two years ago explained to the Russians that if Russia borrows from the West, for example, from the United States, in dollars, then Russia "falls into the hands of its enemies." After all, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation simply creates the ruble equivalent of borrowed (and inactive) dollars and finances projects. But then why take these dollars? The only possible reason is that the US can use dollar debt to control Russia's decision making!
The absence of Moscow’s reaction to provocations by the West will ultimately lead to the Russian government losing the support of “nationalist elements in Russia,” Mr. Roberts said.
And explains why this is exactly what will happen.
Putin "is trying to integrate Russia into the Western economic system, while preserving Russia's sovereignty," but this goal is "unrealistic." This goal itself was inspired by Putin by that part of the “Russian elite, which was more likely western than Russian.” This part of the elite believes that Russia's economic development depends on how well the country is integrated into the Western economy. Since the neoliberal economic elite "controls Russia's economic and financial policy," Putin believes that he should "either accept Western provocations, or lose his hopes for Russia's economic development." Russian economists, adds Paul Roberts, are so fixated on the neoliberal economy that they “cannot even look at America” and see how the “once great economy” has now completely destroyed neoliberal ideas.
Today, the United States has the largest public debt in the world stories. The United States has the largest trade and budget deficit in world history. Unemployment in the US is 22 percent, which are hidden, writes Roberts. “If the neoliberal economy does not work in America,” Roberts wonders, “why will it work in Russia?”
The neoliberal economy only works for oligarchs and their institutions like Goldman Sachs, an economist points out. And it is not for nothing that the aforementioned Michael Hudson calls the neoliberal economy "garbage economy".
John Bolton (National Security Advisor to the US President on 9 on April 2018, Republican, a man who made a number of harsh statements in the spirit of the notorious “exclusivity”, including the phrase “There is no such thing as the UN, there is only to lead only the world's only superpower, which is the United States. ”- O.Ch.) and other neo-cons, Mr. Roberts concludes, can finally“ relax ”. The neoliberal economy, which "holds the financial interests of Russia, the government of Russia and, apparently, Putin himself, with a dead hand," will destroy Russia "without war."
In another material published on the author's site, Paul Craig Roberts points out that “the Trump regime sabotaged Putin’s peace efforts in Syria, Iran, Ukraine and North Korea,” while Putin “in the interests of peace” avoided a response to American and Israeli provocations in Syria.
The United States “rewarded” Putin’s peace efforts by occupying part of Syria with France. Seeing the presence of American and French troops, Putin "stopped the offensive, aimed at clearing the whole of Syria from foreign invaders." The situation is such that if one of the Americans or the French dies in the war, then the demonization of Russia will reach a new high level, and Washington will use it to counteract the discontent of Europe. Putin knows this. And he found himself in a position in which the US attacks on Syrian military positions could continue.
In fact, Russia may lose the victory in Syria. Washington is already organizing jihadists, which at one time used against Gaddafi and Assad, to prepare an offensive against Russia (and also China) through the former Soviet Central Asian republics: Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. Putin, the analyst believes, is betting that Washington’s desire for hegemony in the Middle East will cost Washington hegemony in Europe. But if Putin does not win this bet, it is better for him to “prepare for war.”
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An economist of the old school Roberts advises Russia to develop without the West and even without the dollars that the Central Bank of the Russian Federation likes to operate on and in which, exactly according to financial policy Kudrin, stored currency savings of the state, adoring egg capsules. Mr. Roberts, in recent years inclined to artistic conspiracy (at least to hyperbolization), forgets that Russia sells oil for dollars, and it is not she who sets the rules of the market game. He forgets about how much the federal budget of the Russian Federation depends on petrodollars. There is also the burning issue of Western technology.
The question of peacemaking implies patience: where you can resist provocation, there is no need to succumb there. If Roberts really wasn’t a supporter of wars, especially a new world war, he should have taken this simple fact into account. A true pacifist will never do anything that leads to a skirmish and, in the long run, to war. And does Reagan's financier teach the planet to live in peace? After all, Reaganomics was built precisely on inflating the role of the military industrial complex, and the expenditures on “defense” under Reagan broke all records! The current president, Trump, is following exactly the Reagan way, promising to increase military spending. More than a year ago the desire was reported White House increase defense spending and achieve the most significant increase in the Pentagon’s budget since Ronald Reagan!
As for Putin, who is often mentioned in Roberts’s material, everything with his views on the United States is simple and clear. There can be no two opinions.
Two years ago, just at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, the Russian president called the United States the only superpower. “America is a great power. Today, probably the only superpower. We take it. ”- said Putin He also noted that Russia wants and is ready to work with the United States: “The world needs such a powerful country as the USA. And we need. But we do not need them to constantly interfere in our affairs, indicate how we live, hinder Europe from building relations with us. ”
Russia is not a superpower, and it does not need it. Earlier, in January 2016, V. Putin said that Russia does not claim the role of a superpower: "... it is expensive and to nothing."
If you go back to Roberts' theses, then, apparently, you should conclude: it’s really time for American neo-cons to lie back in their chairs and relax.
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