Military Review

Incorrect oil, or forecasters - retire?

90
Forecasts of leading economists of the world have not come true for the second time since the beginning of the year. Initially it was reported that during 2018, the cost of Brent crude oil will be 60-65 dollars per barrel. When the oil broke the mark in 70 dollars, they began to say that the bar in $ 80 per barrel will exceed in June of this year. However, the barrel of oil of the mentioned brand 80-dollar line broke today - May 17. During the day, Brent was trading at 80-80,2 per barrel. This is the first time since the fall of 2014.


Incorrect oil, or forecasters - retire?


It is worth recalling that the budget of the Russian Federation on 2018 year was made up, based on the price of oil at around 40 dollars per barrel. Those windfalls, which are formed at the price of 50 dollars, go to foreign exchange reserves, more than 44% of which is the US dollar.

Today, even those economic experts, who can be called impassable pessimists, are confident that the day is near when oil will “punch” both 90 and 100 dollars per barrel. But at the same time, the budget rule in Russia does not change. Moreover, amid rising oil prices, the US currency continues to grow against the ruble. So, the dollar has grown by 0,16%.

In such conditions, a “new” Russian government will begin its work, which, in principle, can again be declared that “there is no money.” Indeed, with the current budgetary rule of free money, the state is not as much as it could be. The main part of the giant cake of super-profits is in reserve. Does this mean that we are preparing a new "airbag" for the next crisis?
Photos used:
24sibinfo.ru
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  1. Piramidon
    Piramidon 17 May 2018 15: 34
    +2
    the day is near when oil will “break through” both $ 90 and $ 100 per barrel.

    The stronger Trump runs into Iran, the more expensive the barrel will be.
    1. bazzbazz
      bazzbazz 17 May 2018 15: 40
      +15
      Everything is clear, our government needs a cheap ruble! on the one hand, such a ruble is + for the economy, but it is felt that all the profits will go the wrong way, or even settle in other people's pockets. No money, hold on there!
      1. MPN
        MPN 17 May 2018 15: 58
        +19
        Quote: bazzbazz
        Everything is clear, our government needs a cheap ruble! on the one hand, such a ruble is + for the economy, but it is felt that all the profits will go the wrong way, or even settle in other people's pockets. No money, hold on there!

        The bulk of the giant cake of superprofits is in reserve. Does this mean that we are preparing a new "airbag" for the next crisis?
        So the crisis will be ... if you don’t have to do it, for what is the pillow for.? A crisis and only a crisis will allow it (pillow) to be torn into feathers with impunity ...
        1. lis-ik
          lis-ik 17 May 2018 17: 41
          +2
          Quote: MPN
          Quote: bazzbazz
          Everything is clear, our government needs a cheap ruble! on the one hand, such a ruble is + for the economy, but it is felt that all the profits will go the wrong way, or even settle in other people's pockets. No money, hold on there!

          The bulk of the giant cake of superprofits is in reserve. Does this mean that we are preparing a new "airbag" for the next crisis?
          So the crisis will be ... if you don’t have to do it, for what is the pillow for.? A crisis and only a crisis will allow it (pillow) to be torn into feathers with impunity ...

          Most likely, reserves are prepared for themselves, so that when they dump the country there is something to live on, and with such a government course, it’s necessary to bring down precisely.
      2. Nikolai Grek
        Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 25
        +2
        Quote: bazzbazz
        Everything is clear, our government needs a cheap ruble! on the one hand, such a ruble is + for the economy, but it is felt that all the profits will go the wrong way, or even settle in other people's pockets. No money, hold on there!

        Nooo, everything is much easier !!! wink wassat wassat

        “The federal budget surplus in 2018 may amount to 440,6 billion rubles instead of the previously expected deficit of 1,27 trillion rubles.” This is stated in the draft amendments to the federal budget bill for 2018 published on Thursday.

        The document noted that the Ministry of Finance expects a budget surplus in 2018 at 0,45% of GDP instead of a deficit of 1,3% of GDP. One of the main reasons for this change may be a change in the situation in the oil market.
    2. vlad66
      vlad66 17 May 2018 16: 06
      +19
      Does this mean that we are preparing a new "airbag" for the next crisis?

      The dearest author of this publication, but you do not put off in your family budget for a rainy day? wink Or are you not living in Russia? You can eat everything quickly and today oil is at $ 80, tomorrow at $ 20 and then what, we will again in this dudu
      you can again declare that "there is no money."

      What such airbags are not needed? Remember 2008 and 2015, if there hadn’t been them, we would have been jumping on Red Square for a long time and there would have been no Crimean bridge, so I also need a pillow and I have the same one, only of course in rubles and not in such quantity. laughing Actually, Mr. Author, you need to think about tomorrow, and not just what to do today with your belly. wink
      1. saturn.mmm
        saturn.mmm 17 May 2018 17: 29
        +12
        Quote: vlad66
        You can eat everything quickly and today oil is at $ 80, tomorrow at $ 20 and then what, we will again in this dudu

        How much can you shove into this pillow? This pillow does not solve the problems, except that the pants support at the very least in difficult times, and for the last time, instead of a pillow, they used the accumulation of people devaluing money 2 times.
        Or maybe the economy will start lending at a low interest rate? Roads to build, planes, ships. And it turns out that the Americans lend at 1,5-2% and themselves at 10%.
        1. Geosun
          Geosun 17 May 2018 17: 53
          +8
          You are right, in order to credit the economy at low rates you need a low inflation rate. This is the primary goal of all government work. It is cheap loans that should saturate the country with products. And to reduce inflation, it is necessary that the economy has little money. Therefore, all income above the budget goes to a remote savings fund. If you invest money in the economy immediately, it will accelerate inflation and you will have to forget about cheap loans again for five years.
          You need to understand that investing is a temporary effect, and lowering the interest rate will reduce the cost of the entire economy for decades.
          1. saturn.mmm
            saturn.mmm 17 May 2018 21: 57
            +6
            Quote: Geosun
            And to reduce inflation, it is necessary that the economy has little money.

            When there is little money in the economy, there is no growth in production and we will always dance with a tambourine around inflation. Production growth can reduce inflation, the economy does not grow without money. Americans annually pour more than a trillion dollars into their economy and everything is fine with inflation.
          2. max702
            max702 18 May 2018 11: 10
            +1
            Quote: Geosun
            You are right, in order to credit the economy at low rates you need a low inflation rate. This is the primary goal of all government work

            That’s not why! Everything is much simpler, in the West, loans were taken at 3-4%, we were given at 13-20%, and if God forbid inflation grows, it will gobble up the entire profit of borrowed money in the West, and even drive it to losses .. So how much oil did not cost our country not to see cheap long loans, and with it the economic recovery, as there is NO money for projects! This is where the feet of the holy cow of low inflation in the country grow ..
        2. Vadim237
          Vadim237 17 May 2018 18: 10
          +2
          Actually, the money will go to the reserve fund - it’s a piggy bank for rainy days.
          1. moskowit
            moskowit 17 May 2018 18: 33
            +3
            Apparently the fed crap GorMikhSerom and ElBonikom never get drunk. And I sincerely wish future pensioners who are unlikely to wait for a decent reward for their many years of work. Yes, and we, current, pensioners are living on beggarly allowance ...
          2. free
            free 17 May 2018 20: 00
            +5
            Quote: Vadim237
            Actually, the money will go to the reserve fund - it’s a piggy bank for rainy days.

            This piggy bank is needed, of course, but not on such a scale, because it does not bring money. And the real sector of the economy brings money, that is, factories, factories and further on the list, it is necessary to build in short, and not just put it in the piggy bank.
          3. Nikolai Grek
            Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 29
            +2
            Quote: Vadim237
            Actually, the money will go to the reserve fund - it’s a piggy bank for rainy days.

            I believe that part will go to ensure that the deficit budget becomes surplus !!! request request
            1. Vadim237
              Vadim237 17 May 2018 22: 53
              0
              No, they will lie and grow every year - wait for economic crises, natural disasters - like the summer of 2010 and possible hostilities on our territory. In fact, this is an all-Russian insurance fund.
        3. TermNachTer
          TermNachTer 17 May 2018 19: 25
          0
          It will be both $ 200 and $ 500, as it ends.
          1. Vadim237
            Vadim237 17 May 2018 22: 55
            +1
            Oil on planet Earth will never end when - this process is like a water cycle in nature.
            1. TermNachTer
              TermNachTer 18 May 2018 22: 39
              0
              Did you read it somewhere or did you decide that yourself?
      2. Nikolai Grek
        Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 27
        +2
        Quote: vlad66
        The dearest author of this publication, but you do not put off in your family budget for a rainy day? Or are you not living in Russia? You can eat everything quickly and today oil is at $ 80, tomorrow at $ 20 and then what, we will again in this dudu

        you should have invited them to live on credit, like everyone is digitalized !! wink yes laughing laughing
    3. Gardamir
      Gardamir 17 May 2018 17: 03
      0
      the more expensive the barrel will be
      р
      nafik
    4. mishaia_23
      mishaia_23 17 May 2018 20: 51
      +2
      It is necessary to buy gold from Russian producers for super-profits from the sale of OIL.
      And not like our deputy prime ministers WANT US debts ...
      1. Nikolai Grek
        Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 32
        +2
        Quote: mishaia_23
        It is necessary to buy gold from Russian producers for super-profits from the sale of OIL.
        And not like our deputy prime ministers WANT US debts ...

        recourse recourse so Russia has long been ahead of everyone in buying gold !!! wassat wassat

        The amount of gold in international reserves of the Bank of Russia has quadrupled over the past ten years from 451 tons to 1838 tons. The Bank of Russia maintains first place in the world in gold purchases for the sixth consecutive year.
        www.vestifinance.ru/articles/96723
        1. Fkjydjckfrgh
          Fkjydjckfrgh 20 May 2018 01: 06
          0
          Quote: Nikolai Grek
          Quote: mishaia_23
          It is necessary to buy gold from Russian producers for super-profits from the sale of OIL.
          And not like our deputy prime ministers WANT US debts ...

          recourse recourse so Russia has long been ahead of everyone in buying gold !!! wassat wassat

          The amount of gold in international reserves of the Bank of Russia has quadrupled over the past ten years from 451 tons to 1838 tons. The Bank of Russia maintains first place in the world in gold purchases for the sixth consecutive year.
          www.vestifinance.ru/articles/96723

          not gold, but papers with promises of that gold. At any moment, a “constructive and arrogant” may receive a constructive proposal to wipe them off.
          1. Nikolai Grek
            Nikolai Grek 20 May 2018 03: 56
            +2
            Quote: Fkjydjckfrgh
            Quote: Nikolai Grek
            Quote: mishaia_23
            It is necessary to buy gold from Russian producers for super-profits from the sale of OIL.
            And not like our deputy prime ministers WANT US debts ...

            recourse recourse so Russia has long been ahead of everyone in buying gold !!! wassat wassat

            The amount of gold in international reserves of the Bank of Russia has quadrupled over the past ten years from 451 tons to 1838 tons. The Bank of Russia maintains first place in the world in gold purchases for the sixth consecutive year.
            www.vestifinance.ru/articles/96723

            not gold, but papers with promises of that gold. At any moment, a “constructive and arrogant” may receive a constructive proposal to wipe them off.

            Well, wipe !!! laughing laughing You have neither gold nor promising papers !!! lol lol lol
  2. solzh
    solzh 17 May 2018 15: 36
    +12
    Forecasts of leading economists of the world have not come true for the second time since the beginning of the year.

    Economists correctly predicted everything. The thing is most likely that on Wall Street they are tired of cheap oil, which could not break the Russian economy.
    In such circumstances, the "new" Russian government will begin its work, which, in principle, can again be declared that there is "no money."

    The news today published the results of a sociological survey according to which:
    Dmitry Medvedev’s cabinet received positive assessments from 54% of respondents.
    Medvedev’s rating turned out to be higher than that of his government: 71% of respondents agreed with the statement that he was “rather competent, intelligent”
    I wonder where they conduct polls?
    1. Igor V
      Igor V 17 May 2018 15: 44
      +8
      Quote: solzh

      I wonder where they conduct polls?

      At the HSE, probably.
    2. Semen1972
      Semen1972 17 May 2018 15: 49
      +2
      Quote: solzh
      that Wall Street is tired of cheap oil, which was unable to tear Russia's economy.

      You do not understand, but the world does not revolve around the Kremlin. And Wall Street doesn't give a damn about Putin. And certainly, they cannot "get tired". Why are we not getting tired, but are they getting tired? Forum of adults, and children write here ... deplorably.
    3. Tatar 174
      Tatar 174 17 May 2018 15: 50
      +3
      Quote: solzh
      I wonder where they conduct polls?

      Probably among state employees and open voting.
    4. Semen1972
      Semen1972 17 May 2018 15: 54
      +9
      Quote: solzh
      The news today published the results of a sociological survey according to which:
      Dmitry Medvedev’s cabinet received positive assessments from 54% of respondents.

      People voted for Putin, that is, for stability, and Medvedev provides stability in the country. I don’t see any contradictions in the poll .. on the contrary, more than 70% of the elections said they were satisfied with Brezhnev’s ... sorry ... Putin’s stagnation.
      And yet ... if the opponents of Putin's politics are furious here, then BB does everything right !!!! And you, gentlemen of the enemy (and the enemy of Putin, for me my Enemy !!!) I wish to envy silently.
      1. solzh
        solzh 17 May 2018 16: 14
        +5
        At first, opponents of Gorbachev's policy were enraged. Then the opponents of Yeltsin. Does this mean that they, too, did everything right?
        Quote: Semen1972
        And you, gentlemen of the enemy, and the enemy of Putin, for me my Enemy !!!)

        This can be answered with aphorisms:
        Friends come and go, and enemies tend to accumulate.
        Thomas jones
        As close friends, I choose for myself beautiful people, as friends, people with a good reputation, I only make smart enemies.
        Oscar Wilde
        Enemies always tell the truth, friends never.
        Cicero
        1. Semen1972
          Semen1972 17 May 2018 16: 34
          +1
          Quote: solzh
          At first, opponents of Gorbachev's policy were enraged. Then the opponents of Yeltsin. Does this mean that they, too, did everything right?

          That's right. They laid the road to transforming the country into what Russia has become. This is freedom of movement and freedom of entrepreneurship and freedom of speech. Yes, they beat, but Putin took the best and made Russia a superpower .. And what was hard when they broke the communist system .. yes, but we survived .. "Moscow was not built right away ..."
          But there were whiners under Gorbachev and under Yeltsin and under Putin (often the same people) .. For me personally, the 90s is a great time - I got up normally and now I am happy! What I wish you.
          1. solzh
            solzh 17 May 2018 16: 37
            0
            Thank you for the honest answer. respectfully hi
          2. Doliva63
            Doliva63 17 May 2018 17: 00
            +7
            "Putin took the best and made Russia a superpower"
            Shaw, already ?! laughing laughing laughing
            You would have a four-thread sedative drink drinks
        2. Dart2027
          Dart2027 17 May 2018 16: 47
          0
          Quote: solzh
          Enemies always tell the truth, friends never.

          Speak only the truth, but not all.
          (Goebbels)
        3. Nikolai Grek
          Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 35
          +2
          Quote: solzh
          At first, opponents of Gorbachev's policy were enraged. Then the opponents of Yeltsin. Does this mean that they, too, did everything right?

          so yes ... the opponents of the humpbacker screwed up the current and we lost the USSR ... it turned out to be a better fight ... there, you see, another year or two of it would be taxied by the country and Russia would have been lost !!! fool request request request
    5. gukoyan
      gukoyan 17 May 2018 16: 01
      +4
      "I wonder where they do the polls?"
      In parallel reality, probably ...
    6. Piramidon
      Piramidon 17 May 2018 16: 13
      +4
      Quote: solzh
      I wonder where they conduct polls?

      In the house where the government is sitting.
    7. Evil543
      Evil543 17 May 2018 16: 28
      +2
      Where where, in our white house, but among the subordinates a riot has been outlined? laughing even
  3. ANCIENT
    ANCIENT 17 May 2018 15: 37
    +4
    This means only one thing - in the government it is not strange, there are simply no economists! hi Kudrin is anyone, but he is more a populist, and a protege of foreign TNCs! Verily, there is no prophet in his own country! hi
    1. rocket757
      rocket757 17 May 2018 15: 51
      +7
      There are no economists, there are no add patriots, honest, competent, reliable ... and then on the list so necessary for us, the country! And then who will remain, who is there?
      This, of course, I exaggerate, but the truth, looking at our life, our being, at the processes, the actual processes taking place in the country, the question is not idle itself arises. Who runs the country?
  4. assa67
    assa67 17 May 2018 15: 39
    +2
    tramlin momog. ........ let’s take care ==== \\\\\\\\\\\\












    trump helped ..... take care, "sad" ... and put the money in your pocket








    =============
  5. Mihail55
    Mihail55 17 May 2018 15: 40
    0
    It would be better if the currency column on Yandex were not hanging! Only growing oil ... why should people be put into stress? smile
  6. Igor V
    Igor V 17 May 2018 15: 41
    +5
    What should we do? With every jump in oil prices, in any direction, we are raising prices for everything. And at the same time, economists explain everything reasonably, you can’t find fault. what
    1. voffchik7691
      voffchik7691 18 May 2018 11: 18
      0
      "And what should we do? At each jump in oil prices, in any direction, prices for everything are rising. And at the same time, economists explain everything reasonably, you won’t find fault."

      Elementary Watson! The nipple system works in Russia - blow it there, nothing comes from there! Therefore, with the jump in oil prices, the price of gasoline only rises! Well, behind it, prices are rising for everything
  7. rpuropuu
    rpuropuu 17 May 2018 15: 43
    0
    Quote: ANCIENT
    This means only one thing - in the government it is not strange, there are simply no economists! hi Kudrin is anyone, but he is more a populist, and a protege of foreign TNCs! Verily, there is no prophet in his own country! hi

    Read carefully -
    Forecasts of leading economists of the world have not come true for the second time since the beginning of the year.

    The Keyword Here - Forecasts and World Economistswink
    1. ANCIENT
      ANCIENT 17 May 2018 15: 48
      +1
      So, these economists bought diplomas am since their forecasts do not correspond to reality!
      1. Cube123
        Cube123 17 May 2018 16: 47
        +3
        Quote: ANCIENT
        So, these economists bought diplomas am since their forecasts do not correspond to reality!

        Ask a little about this question. And you may find out that an accurate long-term forecast in the economy is generally fundamentally impossible. It’s the same as the weather forecast: for three days - please, and then with a “finger to the sky” (at the level it will be warm in summer and cold in winter lol ) One thing I can say is that someone who learns to accurately predict oil prices or currencies will very quickly become a dollar billionaire due to speculation on exchanges.
        1. a housewife
          a housewife 18 May 2018 02: 29
          0
          Here in the 15th year, with a “finger to the sky”, I wrote that in 2018, oil will be 70-80 dollars. Have a good laugh? laughing
          1. Cube123
            Cube123 18 May 2018 07: 40
            +2
            Quote: housewife
            Here in the 15th year, with a “finger to the sky”, I wrote that in 2018, oil will be 70-80 dollars. Have a good laugh? laughing

            Try yourself on the stock exchange. What if you are a brilliant trader.

            A joke, of course. Before poking there, you need to be very well prepared. This is a very highly competitive environment. 95% of traders go broke during the first year.
            Those remaining like a rooster in Bremen’s musicians are “pretty plucked, but not defeated” laughing
            1. a housewife
              a housewife 18 May 2018 10: 41
              +1
              No way! I am a financially illiterate person, just intuition. laughing
              1. Cube123
                Cube123 18 May 2018 14: 05
                +1
                Quote: housewife
                No way! I am a financially illiterate person, just intuition. laughing

                The main thing is not to succumb to illusions. In fact, in the first transaction, the probability of guessing is one second. Guess two deals in a row - one fourth. Guessing three is one-eighth ... This is the difference between a professional and an amateur - to have a slightly higher probability of winning and a slightly smaller loss. At the amateur, they are both - one second.
                I came across statistics, as far as the forecasts of financial gurus on Wall Street are confirmed. None of those who are considered recognized gurus, the probability of guessing during the year did not exceed 68% in the best case.
                1. a housewife
                  a housewife 18 May 2018 16: 09
                  0
                  My intuition does not work often, but with high quality. lol
  8. rpuropuu
    rpuropuu 17 May 2018 15: 45
    +2
    Quote: Michael55
    It would be better if the currency column on Yandex were not hanging! Only growing oil ... why should people be put into stress? smile

    That's right, but for example, I’m more stressed because the well-being of a huge country depends on the fact that people who recently came down from the camels "decide" there belay
    Let it fall or grow, this is normal, but why are we so dependent on it request
    1. Cube123
      Cube123 17 May 2018 16: 56
      +2
      Quote: rpuropuu
      but why are we so dependent on this request

      Because they have done currency debts. Pay off and pay great attention to the influx of currency into the country we will stop.
      1. Antares
        Antares 17 May 2018 21: 19
        0
        Quote: Cube123
        Pay off and pay great attention to the influx of currency into the country we will stop.

        however, large corporations are credited abroad. And there they spend credit.
      2. Nikolai Grek
        Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 38
        +4
        Quote: Cube123
        Because they have done currency debts.

        recourse where does the debt ??? what what the whole problem is that they are "integrated" into the "international" economy !!! am am am
        1. Cube123
          Cube123 17 May 2018 22: 15
          +1
          Quote: Nikolai Grek
          Quote: Cube123
          Because they have done currency debts.

          recourse where does the debt ??? what what the whole problem is that they are "integrated" into the "international" economy !!! am am am

          Despite the fact that today Russia owes about $ 150 billion more than it has in assets. And because of sanctions, payment schedules are constantly breaking. This is the main problem - they do not give normal credit. Under sanctions, they constantly reduce the maximum loan duration.

          "New sanctions halved the maximum loan terms by half
          Source: https://www.eg-online.ru/article/347666/ "
          "The project tightens restrictions on foreign currency financing for Russian state-owned banks and commodity companies that are under sanctions. The maximum loan term for state-owned banks has been reduced from 30 to 14 days, for companies - from three months to one.
          Source: https://www.eg-online.ru/article/347666/ "
          1. Nikolai Grek
            Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 22: 43
            +2
            firstly, do not confuse the public debt and total debt ... secondly, with serious upheavals since 2014, the total debt was reduced by 200 lard !! tongue tongue
            1. Cube123
              Cube123 18 May 2018 07: 28
              +2
              Quote: Nikolai Grek
              firstly, do not confuse the public debt and total debt ... secondly, with serious upheavals since 2014, the total debt was reduced by 200 lard !! tongue tongue

              Yes, but it has not yet been reduced to zero. When they cut it, then it will be possible to stop worrying about the influx of currency. In the meantime: there is a risk that if the West blocks the influx of foreign currency and requires an immediate repayment of debts, you will have to bankrupt and sell state property at the prices offered by the West. This is the meaning of the sanctioned scheme: first, "hook" on loans, then bring to bankruptcy and take away assets. This is almost a standard absolutely legal scheme.
              1. Nikolai Grek
                Nikolai Grek 18 May 2018 21: 46
                +2
                Quote: Cube123
                what if the West blocks the flow of foreign currency and demands an immediate repayment of debts

                recourse recourse if he completes the first, he will receive a "veto" to pay debts !!! wink yes laughing laughing laughing
  9. Severomor
    Severomor 17 May 2018 15: 50
    +5
    I forgot something.
    And under what conditions do we have getting cheaper petrol? When does oil rise or fall?
    Healing soon think !!!
    1. Imobile
      Imobile 17 May 2018 16: 07
      +2
      When it grows there, the rise in price explains - what do you want the market for!
      When it goes down there - what do you want, you need to compensate for the losses!
      When the price is in place - what do you want, you need to upgrade the plants!
      (about point 3 a little lower about cement)
    2. Semen1972
      Semen1972 17 May 2018 16: 36
      +1
      Quote: Severomor
      And under what conditions gasoline is getting cheaper? When does oil rise or fall?

      And the price of oil is not the most important component of the price of gasoline. Learn the materiel. We need to support pensioners and the army, because the enemies are on the borders. No time to talk about the decline. I’ll finish it, we will defeat America, then we will reduce it.
      1. Nix1986
        Nix1986 17 May 2018 16: 57
        +2
        “We will defeat America,” have you prepared to wash the kirzachi in the English Channel? as you damn it already got, like adults probably, but all as children ...
        1. Semen1972
          Semen1972 17 May 2018 17: 14
          0
          Quote: Nix1986
          “We will defeat America,” have you prepared to wash the kirzachi in the English Channel? as you damn already got, like adults probably, but all as children ..

          And you turn on the TV and look at what “adults” in ties say. And recently, an article here was about how many percent of people are preparing for the 3rd world .. So do not here la la about children. Everything for the front, everything for the victory !!!
          1. Nix1986
            Nix1986 17 May 2018 17: 35
            0
            Bold you troll laughing
      2. Severomor
        Severomor 17 May 2018 17: 00
        0
        Quote: Semen1972
        Learn the materiel. We need to support pensioners and the army,

        Here thanks, clarified. )) And then I live according to the slogans of the 90s - the market will regulate everything)).
        Although with inflation less than 3% in 2017, everything is fine))
        1. Semen1972
          Semen1972 17 May 2018 17: 15
          0
          Quote: Severomor
          And then I live according to the slogans of the 90s - the market will regulate everything)).

          But the market has nothing to do with it, the market and liberals are bad, and the USSR and the planned economy are good. Here they say about it 100500 times a day. Here we are slowly learning to set prices and put them on the market “from above”. Everyone is happy and content.
      3. Vadim237
        Vadim237 17 May 2018 18: 04
        +1
        And most of all from the budget, the social network eats more than 5 trillion rubles.
  10. rpuropuu
    rpuropuu 17 May 2018 15: 52
    0
    Quote: Severomor
    I forgot something.
    And under what conditions do we have getting cheaper petrol? When does oil rise or fall?
    Healing soon think !!!

    Gasoline can't get cheaper here yes . The economic system of the Russian Federation by default implies inflation of 10-13% per year, that is, regardless of the price of oil, gasoline is still mimicking sad
    1. Severomor
      Severomor 17 May 2018 17: 59
      +3
      Quote: rpuropuu
      The economic system of the Russian Federation by default implies inflation of 10-13% per year

      Well, you do this ..... do not overstate so - for 17 years 2,5 percent.
      Even I do not understand, the training manual of the Gaidar is no longer working?
  11. Imobile
    Imobile 17 May 2018 16: 03
    +2
    To begin with, 100 can be predicted in the short term. Exactly until the shale deposits are launched at full capacity. As time will tell. As for me, gasoline at gas stations has grown, and will not decrease, even when oil will be at 1 dollar - and this is sad. There is no competition between gas producers (I recall cement plants under Luzhkov, cement took off 2 times - the FAS radio reported that everything was fine, there was nothing illegal, the plants were just being re-equipped and money was needed to buy equipment. Exactly a year later, prices skyrocketed 4 times and exactly on the same radio the FAS reports what you wanted, the equipment was old, it fell apart, nobody bought it, cement production decreased, you have to buy equipment - be patient)
    1. Nikolai Grek
      Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 43
      +2
      Quote: Imobile
      Exactly until the shale deposits are launched at full capacity.

      do not start, do not worry !! wink laughing laughing laughing

      US shale companies that managed to resist the crisis in the oil market are trying to regain their position. However, their optimism quickly wanes when faced with harsh reality.

      www.news-front.info/2018/04/03/optimizm-ameri
      kanskih-slantsevikov-shodit-na-net /
  12. Paranoid50
    Paranoid50 17 May 2018 16: 41
    +4
    Does this mean that we are preparing a new "airbag" for the next crisis?
    Another anonymous article ending with the question “into space”.laughing laughing laughing Apparently, the question is for the audience. Since the authors do not offer their own options, then the answer is yes, including the “pillow”. And yes, a stock pocket does not pull. hi
  13. Guru
    Guru 17 May 2018 16: 53
    +2
    Duck is simple, soon we will generally work for nothing, although now we are barely barely making ends meet. Therefore, the high price of oil or low, life goes up and up. A salary that 5 years ago, now.
  14. voyaka uh
    voyaka uh 17 May 2018 16: 58
    0
    Periodic take-offs are beneficial to all manufacturers.
    But American miners shale light oil paid
    on 70 dollars with debts on bank loans and can begin to dump
    up to 30-40 dollars. Oil prices are now controlled by America, not OPEC.
    How much Trump will be profitable for his friends, so much oil
    and will cost.
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 17 May 2018 18: 07
      +2
      No one will give up profits - oil prices will continue to rise.
    2. Nikolai Grek
      Nikolai Grek 17 May 2018 21: 45
      +3
      Quote: voyaka uh
      Periodic take-offs are beneficial to all manufacturers.
      But American miners shale light oil paid
      on 70 dollars with debts on bank loans and can begin to dump
      up to 30-40 dollars. Oil prices are now controlled by America, not OPEC.
      How much Trump will be profitable for his friends, so much oil
      and will cost.


      US shale companies that managed to resist the crisis in the oil market are trying to regain their position. However, their optimism quickly wanes when faced with harsh reality.
      laughing laughing laughing

      https://news-front.info/2018/04/03/optimizm-ameri
      kanskih-slantsevikov-shodit-na-net /
  15. Nix1986
    Nix1986 17 May 2018 17: 01
    0
    For us, nothing changes at all, at least in the price of gasoline: the high price of oil - it is necessary to drive to the west, a deficit for the refinery; low price - you need to beat off profits here.
    1. Semen1972
      Semen1972 17 May 2018 17: 19
      +4
      Quote: Nix1986
      it is necessary to drive to the west, a deficit for refineries; low price - you need to beat off profits here.

      We have a share of taxes of almost 50% in the price. Well, enough about the West. America is driving? They have cheaper gasoline than ours. Enough to believe in fairy tales in the bourgeoisie, who, in spite of the Russian people, are all driven west. His, blood, God and people elected in the Kremlin and milk you .. and me.
  16. Vard
    Vard 17 May 2018 17: 18
    +2
    It’s interesting that the girls are dancing ... four in a row ... a cheap ruble is ... watch your hands ... they take out the one who works ... and ... give it to those who don't ... called social ... only now that something doesn’t work out ... the poor soup is thinner ... and the rich ... the rich cry that the pearls are small ...
  17. danan
    danan 17 May 2018 18: 58
    +2
    We must pray for Israel! Pray and bless!
    Who else has doubts about the wise leadership of GDP?
    1. Grandfather Makar
      Grandfather Makar 17 May 2018 21: 01
      +4
      Quote: danan
      We must pray for Israel! Pray and bless!
      Who else has doubts about the wise leadership of GDP?

      Do you propose the Jews again to enter into power in Russia (as in the 90s) ??? No more, no, we still lick the wounds, after their "reign in Russia" negative And now, there are a lot of secretive (boatmen))))
  18. Grandfather Makar
    Grandfather Makar 17 May 2018 20: 55
    +3
    The price of oil is just a fairy tale (no matter how it grows or decreases on the contrary ..))) one hell, prices rise for everything .. Rob Russia by any means!
    1. danan
      danan 17 May 2018 23: 41
      +1
      But let’s take it and make peace with Iran, and then oil will again return to 40 Baku. belay
      Pray to Grandfather Makar and bless the people of Israel! Day and night, until the end of time. laughing
      Amen.
  19. alex3075
    alex3075 18 May 2018 00: 05
    0
    With Trump, nothing can be predicted. He has seven Fridays a week. He does not know what he is doing.
  20. Zomanus
    Zomanus 18 May 2018 00: 20
    0
    I think that the "extra" money will be thrown into infrastructure and industrial projects.
    They always stand apart in plans.
    So more roads, bridges, factories will be built for this money.
    Personally, we won’t get anything from this.
    1. bk316
      bk316 18 May 2018 11: 31
      +3
      So more roads, bridges, factories will be built for this money.

      How many do not explain does not come .....
      Builders (road-bridges-factories) - metallurgists-machine tool builders - will receive the money. This is the first round.
      And then those who buy anything from these builders, metallurgists, machine tool builders.
      And just like that, nobody gives out directly.
  21. Berkut24
    Berkut24 18 May 2018 11: 35
    0
    1) Forecasts are made on the basis of the theory that the free market dictates prices and volumes. Everyone abides by the rules and agreements and is at hand like a baby’s tear, and speculators on exchanges completely refuse to stir up the market.
    But the real world is arranged differently. And some cannot resist the temptation of stirring sugar in a mug of tea with an oar from the boat. Therefore, do not read the forecasts. Live a real life and don't be surprised at anything.
    2)
    The bulk of the giant cake of superprofits is in reserve. Does this mean that we are preparing a new "airbag" for the next crisis?

    This means that the country is not preparing for a crisis, but for a real economic war of survival. Which is already underway, but so far in the "border zone". And the laws of peaceful financial and economic life, the tenets of which are driven into the heads of students, no longer apply. Now the law-taiga, in the face they beat without throwing any gloves and an official declaration of war.
  22. Nikolay Kuznetsov
    Nikolay Kuznetsov 18 May 2018 22: 29
    0
    If they continue to “hide”, I finally refuse to understand that we have created a STORY and work for someone .. I don’t see either economic logic or concern for people ... That is, they imagined themselves to be the owners of using public money at the discretion of the Government .. Well then, at least they justified it. It’s impossible to always put trust in us forever. People can explode. Moreover, the motives of this will no longer be important .....