Military Review

Improvisation on Armageddon

32
The actions of the American administration on the Syrian-Russian direction cannot be described in terms of a consistent and well-thought-out policy and are more similar to the contradictory result of the bitter domestic political struggle in the United States.




While the Russian media space is filled with gossip about the “dramatic consequences” of the new American sanctions and a discussion of the chances of the Russian military in Syria to resist the “overwhelming power” of America (typical headlines: “The new American bill rolls the ruble into the floor” and “The Russian Air Force is powerless before Donald Cook ”), much less attention is paid to the situation in the opposite“ trench ”. And some people, it seems, generally proceed from the fact that we are faced with a sort of monolithic American force, which is systematically moving toward its clearly defined goal.

But is there any reason for such an excellent assessment of the state of a probable enemy? The facts of the last days say rather the opposite.

Firstly, it is absolutely clear that the course taken by Washington to maximize confrontation with Russia is in itself very dangerous for the United States itself and cannot but be the cause of the most serious concern both in American society and in its ruling elite. The complete unpredictability of the military-political situation is by no means the “business plan” in which practical Americans are willing to make real investments.

Therefore, it is not at all surprising that at the time of adoption of such “historical decisions ”at the Washington Olympus, an intensive personnel leapfrog continues, which in no way can be characteristic of a single and purposeful team. In the last month alone, three key persons responsible for shaping American foreign policy have already parted from their posts: Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, US President's National Security Advisor Herbert McMaster, and just yesterday the President's Adviser for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Thomas Bossert.

Moreover, it is far from a fact that these personnel replacements reflect a kind of common general line. If, for example, experts almost unanimously assessed McMaster's resignation and replacement of him by John Bolton as a sign of a tightening of the anti-Russian course of the White House, then the picture with Tom Bossert is not so clear. This politician is known as an ardent conservative and opponent of rapprochement between Washington and Moscow. In addition, attention is drawn to the fact that this resignation followed literally the next day after his statement that “the US administration allows any options for developments in Syria.” And although Donald Trump says about the same thing, the difference is that the president may not like the dominance of frank hawks in his administration.

Not less questions cause American actions in the military field. For example, many probably noticed that the attack of the Israeli F-15 heavy fighter-bomber on the Syrian airbase T-4 occurred at the very moment when the tension of the militaristic hysteria in Washington reached its peak. It is for this reason that many initially perceived this operation by Israel as an American attack.

There is no doubt that such extreme actions of the Israeli Air Force in such a tense moment could not possibly be their independent action. Moreover, they were supposed to be not only coordinated with the United States, but could take place only at their urgent request. The reason for such a “fire” could be only one: the American command immediately needed to open the enemy's air and missile defense system in Syria, in order to reconnoiter their own strike.

Moreover, the situation was so acute and the data was needed so urgently that Israeli pilots were ordered to take a chance at the very moment when the Syrians and the Russians were already waiting for the strike and were in a high degree of alert. Do not be in such a hurry, it was quite possible to carry out this reconnaissance raid after only a couple of days, and not at the very moment when Donald Trump announced that the strike was about to take place.

But it seems that in those hours, at a hectic pace, the US military command was preparing for an immediate missile attack if ordered by its president. Even despite the fact that the grouping of forces and means of the US Navy in this area for a massive rocket attack was clearly insufficient.

Ultimately, these blows have not yet taken place. Probably because of the latest zigzag of Washington's strategic thought, which suddenly realized that there was really nothing to fight in Syria at the moment.

What does this mean? Either that the American actions on the Syrian track is one continuous improvisation, or the resulting fierce internal struggle, which continues to this day.

A clear sign of the inconsistency and improvisational nature of the American military-political maneuvers is the complete absence of the main American strike forces in the area of ​​potential combat deployment described by us the day before. fleet - its carrier formations. Even today, despite yesterday’s reports that the Harry Truman aircraft carrier was urgently dispatched to the crisis area, there are not a single large US naval strike force in the seas adjacent to Syria, at a distance of up to 5 miles.

The picture is more than strange, if we proceed from the well-known fact of the critical dependence of the US overseas military operations on carrier strike groups, and also assuming that the Washington leadership consistently implements some long-conceived, phased plan for Syria.

With such an assumption, the naval vacuum off the coast of Syria at the very moment, when the hysteria of the American military threats against this country reached its climax, at least looks illogical. If all of you planned this in advance, why haven't aircraft carriers flown so far? Or at least the staff ship of the Sixth Fleet. who is now traveling somewhere off the coast of Africa. And the haste with which they send the same Truman there, which will take a lot of time just to get there and which, in the singular, still practically has no significant military weight, suggests that this improvisation continues in non-stop mode.

It must also be recalled that this is generally typical of the entire policy of the current Trump administration. The course of Washington towards North Korea is characterized by approximately the same inconsistent advances. Which he is going to "wipe out of the face of the earth", then suddenly he is exploring the possibility of a friendly solution of all questions during Trump's personal meeting with Kim Jong-un. And this is only the most vivid example of dizzying American somersaults, from which the whole world is already tired.

Of course, the danger in the case of such an inconsistent, impulsive policy on the part of the opponent only increases. As in the classic case of a not very smart monkey with a grenade.

However, on the other hand, such a nervous behavior of the American counterpart, his permanent swaying from side to side are unlikely to be bad. news for Moscow. Because the more ado the enemy makes, the more mistakes he makes and the sooner he will achieve fatal results for himself. Because anger is a bad adviser, and revenge is a dish that is always served cold.
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  1. Vard
    Vard April 12 2018 05: 39
    +8
    This is our complete reflection ... And they have everything according to plan ...
    1. Ravik
      Ravik April 12 2018 06: 36
      +1
      Russian maybe ... we all hope for the good.
      Bonaparte and Adolf also had plans ... the second one even failed to escape from the capital.
      1. Monster_Fat
        Monster_Fat April 12 2018 08: 08
        +2
        Modern missiles reach any capital ..... winked
        1. Vadim237
          Vadim237 April 12 2018 12: 41
          0
          Russia needs its own missile defense - more than 1000 missiles, but this is at least 2 trillion rubles and several years of work.
    2. populist
      populist April 12 2018 06: 40
      +6
      First, it’s clear that Washington’s policy of maximum confrontation with Russia is in itself very dangerous for the United States.

      This course is not dangerous for the United States, unless they are extremely impudent ... And yes, they have everything according to plan. sad
    3. yuriyselivanov
      April 12 2018 10: 56
      +2
      Do you have a candle there?
      1. Paranoid50
        Paranoid50 April 13 2018 01: 26
        +2
        Quote: yuriyselivanov
        Do you have a candle there?

        Well, here, it seems, a whole multi-candle candelabra - everything is just like a selection, in unison. yes Not otherwise, we went down the line. laughing
    4. Baby sitter
      Baby sitter April 14 2018 20: 46
      +1
      "- Do you have a plan, Mr. Fox?
      - I have 3 plans! I will kill this ......... "(c)
  2. aszzz888
    aszzz888 April 12 2018 06: 34
    +1
    and just yesterday, Thomas Bossert’s adviser to the president on internal security and counter-terrorism.

    This one seems to be voluntary, "of their own free will." But in principle, the mericatos inflated the situation to very great heights, they heat up and prepare their masses, in which case. angry
    1. Baby sitter
      Baby sitter April 14 2018 20: 52
      +1
      Quote: aszzz888
      But in principle, the mericatos inflated the situation to very high heights, they heat up and prepare their masses, in which case

      Come on! These masses are most afraid of losing their living conditions with cacao cola, fast food and other American dreams ..
  3. vlad-58
    vlad-58 April 12 2018 06: 55
    +4
    ... was already! Caribbean crisis, huh?
    But then there were Gromyko with a team of experienced and fearless diplomats who could not be prevented even by the reckless Zhiri ... oh, Khrushchev!
    ... and now we have a slurred Lavrov with a "clearly expressed concern" and a team of "drop-outs" who got to the far end "...
    _______________________________
    Today's politics - and always! - makes the team, not an “outstanding leader”! True, on the side of large battalions and large-caliber guns ...
    1. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov April 12 2018 06: 58
      +8
      Quote: vlad-58
      .and now we have slurred Lavrov

      Lavrov is just intelligible, or else what you wrote is the slurred hysteria of the sofa rambo.
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                      1. Oprychnik2
                        Oprychnik2 April 12 2018 13: 39
                        0
                        Shurik! You are not from our paradise! Especially not from our entrance!
    2. Baby sitter
      Baby sitter April 14 2018 20: 55
      0
      You yourself said that the communists were evil. The USSR collapsed. And their whole politics was shit. Remember ...
  4. Rurikovich
    Rurikovich April 12 2018 06: 58
    +4
    Plus for the last line fellow In terms of philosophy repeat
    Personally, by and large, to a bulb of somersault SESheA bully If you look from the side, then the best adviser for us becomes time - the more you sit and do nothing, look at the wonders of the "diplomacy" of the West, the stronger the belief that a higher penalty from above is a deprivation of the mind lol At the same time, in order not to fall to the level of opponents, it is necessary that our words do not diverge. And all request Revenge must be cold hi
    1. vlad-58
      vlad-58 April 12 2018 07: 43
      +2
      Quote: Rurikovich
      If you look from the side, then the best adviser for us is time - the more you sit and do nothing

      Vanga in her last prophecies (and they are known to be completely disapproved of by Christianity and Islam!) Said - "in Syria, Vladimir will have a choice: take the side of hundreds of super-rich, or the side of many hundreds of thousands of poor; and it would be better for him to go with the poor - for they will not betray. "
      Come on, estimate - what choice did “Vladimir” ALREADY make? being guided by cabinet decisions, supporting the "banned" Russian oligarchs, comprehensive support and approval of the policies of the Central Bank and Nabiullina, approval of Gref, Kudrin, Siluanov and others ... rushed, you know, to "rake" Kemerovo! The president?! when there should be a prime minister and economic ministers ...
      1. Glory1974
        Glory1974 April 12 2018 16: 37
        +2
        in Syria, Vladimir will have a choice: take the side of hundreds of super-rich, or the side of many hundreds of thousands of poor; and it would be better for him to go with the poor - for they will not betray. "

        did not hear such a prophecy. About the fact that the war will begin in Syria, it will fall at the feet of the winner, but the winner will be different.
    2. Akuzenka
      Akuzenka April 12 2018 13: 13
      +1
      You see, colleague. They are in a hurry, not because they are stupid and stupid, but because at the present time the window of opportunity is narrowing for them. We are rising, China has already risen, the failure of their "economy" robbery .. yes many factors. If they do not have time to "resolve the issue" with Russia, then it is not known when it will again be possible to do so with impunity. And their economy is rattling, the vassals also want to solve something in their countries, the deterioration of infrastructure, and so on. In the meantime, they think they can break us through a panic among "our elite." They do not hope by military means, this is unrealistic. But how else to threaten "our elite" ?! Only war and confiscation of money. Moreover, the second for "our elite" is the worst. They can pass it.
  5. andrej-shironov
    andrej-shironov April 12 2018 09: 05
    +1
    Yuri, my goodness! Yes, the US is acting clearly and according to plan! There are no throwings in their actions. This is a clear and verified tactics subordinate to their strategy. If you are unable to understand this, I am sorry for you! The United States is well aware of all the weaknesses of our comprador power, the state of the economy, tensions in society, the lack of a leader and an idea. Yuri, excuse me, but what you have is that the article is either past or into urapatriotism.
    1. yuriyselivanov
      April 12 2018 10: 58
      +1
      You need to be advisers to Trump. You are clearly better than him versed in the situation.
      1. andrej-shironov
        andrej-shironov April 12 2018 16: 41
        0
        smile Yuri, I’m probably not going to tell you a secret if I say that Trump has half of our elite in advisers. I'm clearly superfluous there.
        1. yuriyselivanov
          April 12 2018 17: 38
          +1
          In this case, the US course cannot be thought out and consistent by definition. To trade this dense redneck, which you call "our elite" seeds on Privoz, and not to develop military-strategic plans.
          1. andrej-shironov
            andrej-shironov April 12 2018 18: 46
            0
            smile Yuri, do not forget, they are only advisers there wink And do not play the main violin. Tell me, do you attribute Putin to our elite?
  6. sib.ataman
    sib.ataman April 12 2018 09: 09
    0
    Quote: Vard
    This is our complete reflection ... And they have everything according to plan ...


    I do not observe any convulsive actions on the part of the authorities. Only the sub-mattress reflexes. You, apparently, never had to be engaged in planning?
    1. Oprychnik2
      Oprychnik2 April 12 2018 14: 19
      +1
      Oops! Hey. Have you bought salt and matches? Or do you have Kalashnikov as a last resort? I have nothing but kitchen knives. Hatchets for chopping meat in stock. Full polar fox to aggressors. Yes, they will not turn up. Who is chopping firewood with their culinary hatchet? You can chop them off and Bosko ...
      If it turns up. That's all the planning. What did you want atomic missiles?
  7. To be or not to be
    To be or not to be April 12 2018 09: 38
    +1
    Quote: Monster_Fat
    Modern missiles reach any capital ..... winked

    Those who have them ..
    Napoleonchiki woke up. slept soundly after 1812 .. And they are not given rest by the flight of Russian Frontiers from the Caspian Sea to their targets in Syria on October 7, 2015
    Would you like to show them your greatness?
    Yesterday, the "modern" European power - FRANCE - represented by the President of the country said during dinner with the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman al-Saud.
    Macron said that “chemical objects” of the Syrian government could be attacked, and France’s decision would not depend on UN Security Council resolutions.
    “There are red lines defined by France. “These red lines shared by other powers have nothing to do with the discussions in the UN Security Council,” Macron explained.

    The French President noted that the decision will be made within a few days, following consultations with the United States and Britain. "
    https://regnum.ru/news/2402501.html
  8. nivander
    nivander April 12 2018 10: 49
    0
    doves of the world
  9. Proton
    Proton April 12 2018 14: 40
    +1
    If mattresses behave like this, they should know that we have only one plan for them. laughing
  10. turbris
    turbris April 12 2018 21: 14
    +1
    Quote: andrej-shironov
    Yuri, my goodness! Yes, the US is acting clearly and according to plan! There are no throwings in their actions. This is a clear and verified tactics subordinate to their strategy. If you are not able to understand this, I am sorry for you! The United States is well aware of all the weaknesses of our comprador power, the state of the economy, tensions in society, the lack of a leader and an idea.

    I didn’t want to comment on you, but you run up, where does this pathos come from? What do you yourself relate to what elite? And where does such deep knowledge about clear and well-defined tactics subordinate to their strategy come from? Are you good at it, or just about a little organ, along with comprador power? You began to fade, it was probably the election that affected you so much, I’m sure that you will be very happy if the war starts in Syria, and especially if there are losses among the Russian military, who are you an oppositionist or just an enemy?
  11. Sergey-8848
    Sergey-8848 April 12 2018 23: 45
    0
    I repeat once again: all new uneducated and undeterred cones (Europe, America, Jews, Iranians, Hindus, Pakistanis, well, ours and Chinese to heaps) must be gathered on the Atoll or Bikini atoll and put on a clip (let them later write in a tweet) 2-5 ct. After that, continue talking and negotiating again. After all, no one even understands what they are playing with.
  12. seacap
    seacap April 14 2018 16: 38
    0
    Quote: Ravik
    Bonaparte and Adolf also had plans ... the second one even failed to escape from the capital.

    And now we do not have the Russian Empire and not the USSR at all, but most importantly, the so-called Our self-appointed elite in terms of venality, greed and patriotism does not even reach the level of a deaf province.
  13. seacap
    seacap April 14 2018 17: 02
    0
    And these representatives of the human race are still cursing Stalin and Beria. Absolute unprofessionalism, venality and dependence from outside, inability and unwillingness to solve the issues of strategic development of the country, extreme infantilism and lack of initiative, contempt of our people and our homeland self-appointed elite is the main threat to the continued existence and development of the country, and not an external enemy. It was not the West that killed and destroyed the power, but its own leadership, its own, "home" partocracy, which completely lost its orientation, which had few privileges, which because of its greed and ambition wanted to adhere to the shoe of its overseas idols, to sit side by side, to let them stand nearby. The main danger in our comprador business, the corrupt, fraudulent, and the one that is based on various schemes and deceit, where everything from production to marketing and consumption is pervaded by lies and deceit, where lies and deceit, mutual responsibility and nepotism are kept and power and the so-called business, where all education from kindergarten to the very top is a lie and contempt for people around, where instead of democracy, permissiveness and licentiousness, where illiteracy is instilled, creativity and centuries-old culture are destroyed. The whole future of the country begins with a kindergarten and a school. Therefore, we have all the state’s policies situational, a response in fact, to work ahead of the curve you need to have the will, goals, great horizons, upbringing and education, to be a patriot, to love your people and country wholeheartedly.