Scientists checked the system of assessing the reliability of weapons on the air conditioner

A promising model for the system for assessing the residual life of weapons and equipment of the Strategic Missile Forces based on a neural network has worked on the air conditioner, reports RIA News.

In this model, an autoregressive analysis method using a self-learning artificial neural network is applied. The simulation was carried out on the basis of the collected statistical data in the STATISTICA software package. As the object was selected air conditioning (one of the known),

says the theses of the report of scientists of the Military Academy of the Strategic Missile Forces named after Peter the Great.

It is reported that "the neural network will evaluate the residual resource of complex technical systems." According to scientists, a model based on this network can be applied to weapons and other equipment used in the Strategic Missile Forces.

The adequacy of the model is confirmed by a full-scale experiment, which allows us to conclude that it is advisable to use it for models of weapons, military and special equipment with similar principles of work, the developers noted.

Comments

[rotmistr60]

Air conditioning was selected as an object

Very informative, but for whom? And immediately, it was impossible to choose any type of weapons as an object. Or without leaving your workplace on the air conditioner in your office?

[Topotun]

So the responsibility is less, well, the air conditioning broke earlier and the fix with it .... But in general, more likely one of the journalists heard a ringing .... Well, he hastened to make the material ....

[Going]

To be honest, I didn’t understand anything about the conclusion in question.

[Topotun]

As I understand it, a software package has been developed that allows a model of the mechanism or product as a whole and its operation to be modeled under various conditions using a set of structural descriptions (How it is made, from which, product drawings, etc.). If so, this is really a good thing, well complementing (or rather, preceding) directly to field trials ....

[bouncyhunter]

Quote: Topotun

nice complementary (more precisely previous) directly to field tests ....

So far, no software simulation can fully replace real tests. But steps must be taken in this direction, so the news is good.

[the most important]

Quote: rotmistr60

Very informative, but for whom? And immediately, it was impossible to choose any type of weapons as an object.

Apparently, this text was found as a separate piece of paper in one well-known place and, just in case, was quickly published. A very strange publication ... does not pull on a doctoral ... the topic is not disclosed. Return the cons !!!

[alcor]

"to conclude the appropriateness of its use for weapons, military and special equipment with similar operating principles."
Forgive me pliz, and call it, by vskidku, a model of weapons, operating on the principle of air conditioning.

[Vasya Vassin]

Refrigeration bomb, frost rays, snow blizzard and general frost. And ... still homing sosli!

[dzuar saubarag]

This does not mean the principle of air conditioning, but a technically sophisticated device - any. The presentation of the material is controversial, but the point is that it will be possible to determine the residual resource quite accurately with less effort ... However, questions remain: how will non-linear impact factors be taken into account?

[Scoun]

Quote: alkor

Forgive me pliz, and call it, by vskidku, a model of weapons, operating on the principle of air conditioning.

In general, Kondeya also has a heating unit, refrigerators, maybe nuclear weapons have warheads that should be stored in the cold .... yes, there’s a lot to throw

[Igor V]

Quote: alkor

"to conclude the appropriateness of its use for weapons, military and special equipment with similar operating principles."
Forgive me pliz, and call it, by vskidku, a model of weapons, operating on the principle of air conditioning.

If we compare the elements of the air conditioner and the photo in the article, then you can come to some products located in mines, which already have a very long life. I think for their sake the system was developed.

[Terenin]

Quote: Vasya Vassin

Refrigeration bomb, frost rays, snow blizzard and general frost. And ... still homing sosli!

Once the Russian winter helped to defeat the armies of Napoleon and Hitler, and this year it attacked the USA on its own ...

[askort154]

Terenin ...... and this year already attacked the USA on its own ...

Not yet evening. Soon the United States will voice the culprit. But we already know who. .

[Terenin]

Is Putin dressed as Santa Claus?

[Spook]

in assessing the reliability of technical systems, the main thing is the data on the time between failures for the elements, they are taken from the product passports, then simple arithmetic, and here I'm afraid to imagine neural networks. And the creation of a software package is advisable only from the point of view of convenience.
Adding to this Strategic Missile Forces - you can think of a cut, but it seems more commonplace, an elderly teacher for graduate students sucked a topic out of his finger for protection, the media sniffed about this topic and made a loud URA!

and if this is what I think, then it’s barely pulling on the course. Details are not disclosed for what a neural network was needed.

[Mestny]

This is not about reliability assessment, but about the residual life of complex technical systems.
This is different.
Any technical system has a resource of use - until the formation of critical failures that make it impossible for the system to perform its functions. The maximum such resource will be in operating conditions that fully comply with the prescribed developers.
In reality, this does not happen, the resource is usually less depending on various external conditions.
In such cases, it is just necessary to know in advance how close one or another technical device is to failure. Given that the lives of many people often directly depend on some of these devices, such information is extremely necessary.
I will give the simplest example.
In media projectors, a high-quality lamp with a significant luminous flux is used. However, its service life is limited to a certain number of hours. The manufacturer in this case uses a simple counter of the number of hours configured "with a margin", that is, after a certain time, the projector will stop working, and the lamp will need to be replaced, although in fact the lamp is working.
To determine exactly how much a particular lamp will serve too complicated and expensive task - it is necessary to take into account all operating factors, so the simplest option is chosen - disadvantageous to the consumer. But at the same time it somehow guarantees that the tasks performed with this device will be completed.

[Spook]

I'm not a welder, I just put on a mask))) but for the sake of educational program, is the residual resource directly not a kind of calculation in the discipline of reliability of technical systems? It seems to be obvious?

In this regard, my bewilderment was just that - what were the scientists so famous for, what did the students not do on the course? and what side is the neural network there?

Your example is very simple, let it be more complicated - for example, air conditioning !!! it has a compressor, a heat exchanger and an evaporator, each of them has an MTBF, the discipline “reliability of technical systems” just solves the problem of how much MTBF a particular device with these components will have.

[Igor V]

If you wake some commentators at night, the first word they say will be "cut."
And what you need to know how much life is still left for a complex system, whether the commentators do not understand whether it will fail at the right time, when and what to replace. But still Lefty said: "God forbid war, they will not shoot!". It turns out that Lefty is our first neural network that defines a resource.

[Mestny]

Here! This is what we are talking about.

[zzdimk]

I didn’t understand anything, but it's fun. And what else can you write at the bottom of such an article?

[BMP-2]

At the bottom of the article you can write: "For the accuracy of the information contained in the article, the author is not responsible"!

[Enoch]

Che did not find more space.

[Dedall]

I once used a static processing package with that name. I can notice that it required pre-compiled databases, which then should have been processed in the system almost manually. From this point of view, MATLAB is much more interesting, where it was possible to process using the built-in procedural programming language. One way or another, but both of these systems require qualified specialists in the field of statistics for the correct grouping of data and a clear explanation of the results. And with the statistics in Russia we have trouble and the situation is quite likely, which is observed by the publication of the average salary of health workers.
A regression analysis, in fact, refers to one of the simplest methods of statistical analysis, when the acting factors and objects of its influence are known. For example, dust level and percentage of engine power loss due to clogged air filters, cylinder wall wear, etc.

[bk316]

Why publish such articles? Based on this information, one can only guess on the coffee grounds.
It’s like “In one secret institute of Moscow Defense, the device showed ten!”

I only know that for a regression analysis, the nafig is not needed.

In a simple regression analysis, when you have a sequence of random numbers and you need to get an analytic function that will produce numbers that are closest to this sequence. Used by RA is clear matter for prediction. You can of course use a neural network for prediction, only then it will not be a regression analysis because the neural network is not an analytical function.

[andr327]

A set of beautiful, fashionable and obscure words for the simplest processing of statistical data. And the question is: where does this data come from? (the military will give all the data what you need: do you need lope?)