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According to the authors, the Kaliningrad region is a particular threat to the Baltic states.
“In the foreseeable future, the Kaliningrad region will not cease to be a kind of military fortress used (by Russia) against its neighbors from among the Baltic countries as an instrument of pressure or intimidation,” the report states.
Speaking about Crimea, analysts indicate that the reunification of the peninsula with Russia has changed the military balance in the region in favor of Moscow, and now the Black Sea states should be wary of the Russian fleet, troops and missile systems.
“The above actions give reason to believe that Russia on the territory of Crimea can begin to implement its concept of future war, as a result of which the region will turn into a bastion of opposition to NATO / EU. Subsequently, Russia will concentrate its military contingent on its southern flank, which by capabilities will significantly exceed the NATO forces deployed in the surrounding areas, which will threaten the security of the entire region, ”the EP believes.
The parliamentarians emphasized the unlikelihood of a full-scale war in these regions, however, they stated the possibility of an “undesirable and uncontrolled escalation” of the conflict in the regions of the Baltic and Black Seas.