Military Review

Russia's plan: Turkey and Iran are the leaders of the Muslim world, and Moscow controls them

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Russia's plan for the Middle East is simple and understandable to regional powers. That is why they not only supported him, but also take the initiative in this matter. Its secret is simple. It is beneficial to all except the United States and several other countries accustomed to fish in muddy Middle Eastern water.

Recently, Turkish President Recep Erdogan made a landmark statement. He warned that if Donald Trump recognizes Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, Ankara could break off relations with Israel:

“Jerusalem is a red line for Muslims. Such a decision will be a heavy blow for all mankind. We will not leave it. "


Erdogan’s logic is “flawless”: if the US does something, it will declare Israel “out of law.” Something like this was the logic of European politicians in the first days of August 1914, when Germany, declaring war on Russia, began to concentrate its troops (in accordance with the mobilization plan) on the French border.

We must understand that the US statement on the possible transfer of its diplomatic mission to Jerusalem is just a convenient reason for Ankara to declare itself the leader of the Sunni world. What for? And then, in order to build a new Middle East, Turkey should become just like Iran became the center of the Shiite world. And in this world, ideally, there will be no room for Washington and its intrigues.

US Strategy: Islam of Discord

If a hundred years ago someone had said what passions would be created in the Islamic world, no one would have believed him. Yes, Islam was split, but the heat of the theologians died long ago, and most importantly, for the local population there was no point in stirring up the past. The peoples of the Middle East from the center of civilization long ago turned into cooling relics, completely subordinate to external will.

Russia's plan: Turkey and Iran are the leaders of the Muslim world, and Moscow controls them


Everything changed when huge oil reserves were found in the region. And immediately the Arabs and Persians (and other peoples of the region) remembered their great past and that it was useless for the true believers to obey the wrong. The pumping of self-consciousness was going on throughout the twentieth century, and in the second half of the region the region turned into a real powder keg. Radical sects were born like mushrooms and replaced one another. Secular moderate regimes were either forced to radicalize themselves, or their “inexorable logic of events” demolished them.

And, oddly enough it looks at first glance, in all this chaos its own order and its regularity were noticeable. The main director of the production (at the beginning of Britain and then the USA) controlled everything and constantly took advantage of the region’s instability.

It was precisely discord in the Middle East that made it possible for it to be fully controlled by the “Anglo-Saxon democracies”. And it worked for decades. The disruptions began at a time when the remaining secular regimes in the region, having fought for many decades, came to the conclusion that it was necessary to negotiate among themselves and think about common interests and some kind of common strategy.

A great supporter and even the initiator of these ideas was the leader of Libya, Muammar Gaddafi.

It was a rash decision on their part, and it resulted in the “Arab Spring”, which Washington was supposed to completely reformat the region.



As a result, new formations should have appeared in the Middle East that would become points of instability for decades to come. At the same time, the United States should continue to “reconcile” them all and continue to receive its economic and political dividends.

Turkey and Saudi Arabia

It all started for Washington just fine. Regimes in Libya and Egypt were demolished, Iraq fell into complete state insanity, and Syria, it seemed, was about to fall at the feet of the victors and would be torn apart by them.

But in the "excellent" plan there was a big problem. And this first big problem was not called Russia.

The ideas of neo-Ottomanism, beginning with 1980, were increasingly captured by the political elites of Turkey. Gradually, her adherents entered the power, and already in the 2000's, the “new Ottomans” decided that the country was ready to regain its influence in the region. They were waiting for the right moment, and it seemed that the beginning chaos in the Middle East brought their hour closer.



If anyone forgot, the first victim of Turkish "imperialism" was not at all Syria, but Israel. It was Ankara that, before the Syrian civil war, sponsored the exacerbation of the situation in the occupied Palestinian lands, and it was she who was behind all the anti-Israeli actions of the Palestinians. Then, against the background of the wars in Syria, all this faded into the background, and now it has resurfaced.

In the third year of the Syrian war, Ankara suddenly found out for itself that its plans in the Middle East and the plans of the United States not only did not complement each other, but entered into a fundamental contradiction. And the name of this contradiction is Kurdistan.

This, in fact, was caught by Erdogan by Russian President Vladimir Putin, who offered his Turkish counterpart a completely different plan, which would take into account the interests of all. Rather, almost everyone.

Russia's strategy: search for points of unification of the Islamic world

The essence of the plan of Russia was as follows. Moscow was well aware that it did not have and would not have the strength to closely control the Middle East. So, it should be controlled by those who, in turn, could be controlled by Russia.



And the most important point here was that the cooperation of the countries was to be mutually beneficial. It was this moment that played the most important role after the provocation with the downed Russian Su-24 aircraft. If the relations between Moscow and Ankara were vassal, Turkey would never have returned to the “paws of Moscow”, but mutual interests turned out to be much stronger than even the strongest negative emotions.

Remember that hysteria that rose in Russia in November 2015 of the year? How easy it was then to succumb to her own harm! And, of course, the leadership of Russia did not go for it.

For the region to be stable and predictable, a single understanding between Moscow and Ankara was not enough. Moscow proved and convinced Erdogan that without Iran a new strong Middle East cannot be built. At the same time, Turkey, as she wanted before the Syrian war, was to become the formal leader of the Sunni world, and Iran would control the Shiites. At the same time, Moscow in the region was to become an arbitrator and a balancer for those who wanted to break this status quo.

Today we see that the new system is almost formed and its internal content is being implemented. And in this regard, the statement of the Turkish leadership, which at first glance looks strange, looks very logical. We are waiting for a new Middle East, peaceful and predictable. Yes, it is difficult, unusually difficult after the “Anglo-Saxons” have sowed discord here for decades. I am sure that, as in the case of Ukraine, there will be opponents who will say that Russia, they say, has nothing to do in the Middle East. This is not its territory, and Russian guys should not die in this war. Yes, they should not. And they should not die in other wars. And so that these wars did not exist on the southern border of Russia, Russia should (not someone, but on the basis of its interests) not go with the flow, but build itself a convenient structure for itself, using all the possibilities it has.

The security of the southern borders of Russia is the world in the Islamic world. And this world is quite real and achievable.
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  1. zzdimk
    zzdimk 8 December 2017 06: 25
    +3
    The game has not been won yet. But the strategy is good ... True, there is always one who throws a pebble into the calm water, and he will sit not far away.
    1. Chertt
      Chertt 8 December 2017 06: 37
      +9
      Quote: zzdimk
      But the strategy is good

      Sunnis-Turks, Shiites-Iranians, Russia is watching over the order. Yes, this is not even naivety, but some kind of "spherical horse in a vacuum." Iran will not allow itself to be controlled, Erdogan is controlled by voices in his head. And tact players like China. USA. not poor, and very troubled Zalivniki, etc., as with them.
      1. Yurasumy
        8 December 2017 10: 34
        +4
        Will not give? What do we see today? Or are we not seeing anything? By the way, I remember. at the end of the 2015, they told me after the downed Sa-24 that partnership with Turkey was nonsense and that I was crazy. )))
      2. siberalt
        siberalt 8 December 2017 10: 37
        +1
        Two leaders in the BV will not get along. Someone must be breeder. And here are two options - Russia or the United States. The United States has a faithful ally of Israel, but it is also an irritant to the Muslim world. Russia has no one yet. But the situation leads to the fact that there will be more than one. hi
      3. KaPToC
        KaPToC 9 December 2017 12: 22
        0
        Quote: Chertt
        Sunnis-Turks, Shiites-Iranians, Russia is watching over the order. Yes, this is not even naivety, but some kind of "spherical horse in a vacuum."

        If Russia kept an eye - then why Iran and Turkey? These two countries will look closely, not Russia. Unlike Americans, Russian vassals are not looking. We have a different view of friendship between the Russians and the Atlanteans (so pathetically I named the countries of the North Atlantic alliance).
      4. Anyone
        Anyone 9 December 2017 23: 28
        0
        I agree. The utopian treatise "City of the Sun" Campanella in comparison with this article seems to be a goofy neorealism))
    2. MOSKVITYANIN
      MOSKVITYANIN 9 December 2017 17: 42
      0
      Quote: zzdimk
      there will always be someone who will throw a pebble in calm water, and he himself will sit nearby.

      The name is someone - Foreign Office, the British are lovers of various sophisticated combinations leading to a meat grinder .....
  2. Serge72
    Serge72 8 December 2017 06: 25
    17
    Turkey and Iran are leaders of the Muslim world, and Moscow controls them

    Is it possible the second ...
    East is a delicate matter...
    And slippery (yes people more and more unreliable, rotten)
    1. KaPToC
      KaPToC 9 December 2017 12: 25
      0
      Quote: Serge72
      And slippery (yes people more and more unreliable, rotten)

      Normal people, Persians, and Turks are better, more honest, and more decent than any Western European people, including North America.
  3. aszzz888
    aszzz888 8 December 2017 06: 39
    0
    Turkish President Recep Erdogan made a landmark statement. He warned that if Donald Trump recognizes Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, then Ankara may break off relations with Israel :.
    ... and he immediately had a telephone conversation with the Dark One ... Erdogan will do something, definitely ...
  4. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 8 December 2017 07: 02
    0
    In some ways, I agree with the author in some ways.
    The security of Russia's southern borders is a world in the Islamic world. And this world is quite real and achievable
    Here the author is too optimistic. Perhaps achievable, but not today and even tomorrow.
    1. Yurasumy
      8 December 2017 10: 34
      0
      The author does not believe that today and agrees that probably not tomorrow. Too many stones are scattered.
    2. jhltyjyjctw
      jhltyjyjctw 21 December 2017 02: 19
      0
      Quote: rotmistr60
      Here the author is too optimistic. Perhaps achievable, but not today and even tomorrow.


      Agreed. Let's get together the day after tomorrow.
  5. Humpty
    Humpty 8 December 2017 07: 07
    +6
    I think that Russia is agreeing with Turkey and Iran on the mutual observance of interests in the Middle East. And nothing more. Iran already controls most of the Shiites because they usually live in Iran. How can Turkey control Egypt? It’s better to keep quiet about Pakistan. But Turkey is eager to try to control Central Asia and to water the Caucasus and a number of other Russian regions with pan-Turkic surrogate. How effectively can Russia control Turkey and Iran? Answer yourself honestly.
    Something you Yury awkward saw.
    Sincerely .
    1. jhltyjyjctw
      jhltyjyjctw 21 December 2017 02: 24
      0
      Quote: Humpty
      How effectively can Russia control Turkey and Iran?


      As effective as it will effectively control energy traffic from the Middle East to Europe. The thing is the pipe. And they have already honestly divided the Caspian Sea. Whose ships there are the most shooting in the world. Where there is not a single mattress carrier?
      1. MOSKVITYANIN
        MOSKVITYANIN 21 December 2017 07: 16
        0
        Quote: jhltyjyjctw
        Whose ships there are the most shooting in the world. Where there is not a single mattress carrier?

        I have been watching you for a long time, are you here on a procedural issue or with specific thoughts for speaking? US AVMs are in great numbers in the Indian Ocean and the Persian Gulf, there is even the 5-th operational fleet of the US Navy ...
        Where to place the URO ships, without Ukrainians we will understand .....
  6. V. Ushakov
    V. Ushakov 8 December 2017 07: 19
    +2
    Good plan, however! ..
    1. Krasnodar
      Krasnodar 8 December 2017 08: 17
      +1
      Quote: V. Ushakov
      Good plan, however! ..

      Stavropol or Chuy?
    2. Stirbjorn
      Stirbjorn 8 December 2017 09: 05
      +2
      Quote: V. Ushakov
      Good plan, however! ..
      Definitely, the author of the article can be determined by the title laughing
      After blowing up three jambs, Maxim handed one to Nikita, armed himself with the second and struck a match.
      “Good,” he said, dragging on twice, “but still not Marshall's plan.” Closer to the secret plan of world Zionism, huh?
      “I would not say,” Nikita said. - Rather, the Leninist plan of armed insurrection.
      “Ah,” Maxim said in a shock, “like the one he raised at Razliv and gave the sailors?”
      - Well. There was also a GOELRO plan.
  7. basmach
    basmach 8 December 2017 09: 42
    +2
    Yeah, insanity grew stronger. One article title is enough, Parallel reality Russian control over Iran and Turkey. Strongly pushed.
    1. Yurasumy
      8 December 2017 10: 36
      +1
      2015 commented very similarly on the author in December, when he not only said that Russia and Turkey would still be partners, but that Moscow and Ankara would do everything to make it happen in the very near future. )))
      1. Antianglosax
        Antianglosax 8 December 2017 11: 17
        +2
        Quote: yurasumy
        2015 commented very similarly on the author in December, when he not only said that Russia and Turkey would still be partners, but that Moscow and Ankara would do everything to make it happen in the very near future. )))

        In order for everything to be as in the article, it is necessary to lower the mattress below the plinth, and judging by the behavior of our authorities, they do not even allow such thoughts. In short, the owners of the USG will not allow our sub-mattress "ilites" to bargain.
      2. Nehist
        Nehist 8 December 2017 17: 16
        +2
        Dear author! Where do you see the partnership? Edrogan pursues exclusively his interests. He skillfully played a card with refugees to Europe. He also skillfully plays on the aggravated contradictions between Russia and the United States. Well, the fact that Turkey has long and tightly played its game in our most vulnerable underbelly and not really hiding this for a long time is a well-known fact. Well, he dreams of reviving the Ottoman Empire. Control Turkey and Iran? We do not control the former republics of the USSR, but you write about such a scale.
    2. jhltyjyjctw
      jhltyjyjctw 21 December 2017 02: 26
      0
      Quote: basmach
      Strongly pushed.

      Drink vodka. This drink will reconcile you with reality.
      1. MOSKVITYANIN
        MOSKVITYANIN 21 December 2017 07: 17
        0
        Quote: jhltyjyjctw
        Quote: basmach
        Strongly pushed.

        Drink vodka. This drink will reconcile you with reality.

        For a pensioner of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, this comment is forgiving and understandable to many ....
  8. Radikal
    Radikal 8 December 2017 13: 50
    +4
    Russia's plan: Turkey and Iran are the leaders of the Muslim world, and Moscow controls them
    A crazy headline, like the article itself ... sad
  9. Cartalon
    Cartalon 8 December 2017 14: 06
    +1
    The only thing that prevents the Turks and Persians from clutching each other's throats is the Kurds' claim to statehood, if the Kurds are pressed to the nail, it will immediately begin.
    1. Shahno
      Shahno 8 December 2017 14: 11
      0
      Thanks for the advice...
  10. Normal ok
    Normal ok 9 December 2017 00: 12
    0
    Turkey and Iran are leaders of the Muslim world, and Moscow controls them

    Does it control - that’s the question!
  11. Gonchar
    Gonchar 9 December 2017 04: 36
    0
    Well, Trump, of course, was scared, but announced, we are waiting for Erdogan and the break.
  12. MadCat
    MadCat 9 December 2017 06: 24
    +1
    in order to control something, you need to establish this control over anything. What real levers of influence do Russia have on Iran with Turkey? So I really do not understand.
  13. Cynic
    Cynic 9 December 2017 10: 01
    +1
    and Moscow controls them ...

    Maybe we’ll say more openly, roofs?
    Then everything is within reason ...
  14. victorrat
    victorrat 9 December 2017 11: 15
    0
    The direction is selected correctly. The chess player is good. And the gangster people raped four times, who grew up a helpman in a new world from the same scoundrels-slave owners, knows only rudeness and arrogance and recognizes only strength.
  15. Santor
    Santor 9 December 2017 11: 23
    +2
    Yura fantasized as always ... Moscow will never be able to control these countries, because they are independent players.

    Iran is our main adversary in this region. While the mess in Syria - he is our companion. But Iran, like the United States, will play the Kurdish party. And already plays it with enthusiasm. Turkey will stay closer to the Russian Federation, since Moscow has taken a neutral position on the Kurds so far.

    The Kurds are seeking their own state - which will absorb a third of Syria, a third of Iraq, almost half of Turkey, part of Armenia and Azerbaijan ...


    In short, as always, I flicked into the water and smelly circles ran to the sides :)))
  16. Sergey Cojocari
    Sergey Cojocari 9 December 2017 11: 25
    0
    Fresh tradition, but hard to believe. East, a delicate matter of Petruch! That the Turks, that the Persians swear a thousand times and still deceive. Those are bugs!
  17. andrew xnumx
    andrew xnumx 9 December 2017 12: 27
    0
    Great article! But the strategic goal is to oust the United States first from Asia as a whole, and then from Eurasia in general.
  18. NF68
    NF68 10 December 2017 17: 56
    +2
    It’s dangerous to drive round dances with these guys. You never know what they’d like.
  19. Black5Raven
    Black5Raven 10 December 2017 19: 46
    0
    Islamic civilizations have always been opponents of Europe (and us, respectively), do you think this has changed?
    They clearly have no desire to "obey" the infidels, but so far we are stronger. For now . So you can’t talk about cooperation and sharing the cake with Turkey, Iran and the CA. They have one task - to oust all opponents from the region and become an Islamic superpower, and Russia is a temporary and convenient travel companion.