Military Review

Plan B: Broken Trident

21
The Stratfor analytical center, which is also called the shadow CIA, somehow ceased to please us with its highly professional scenarios of possible hostilities in Ukraine, which have not yet taken place. Meanwhile, the topic needs to be continued, because everything is becoming hotter in Ukraine, and in many places at the same time.



The screensaver of Denis Seleznev’s transfer “The Chronicle of Diving Trident”


“Neo-Nazi punks”, in the words of Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, exterminates not only in the Donbas, but also in the mother of Russian cities, Kiev, right under the Verkhovna Rada, and this does not worry anyone officially, except for Sergey Lavrov. We will offer an informal scenario of the possible development of all these Bandera's Maidan, in order to compensate for the untimely loss of the Stratfor.

Filled with "neo-Nazi punks", the Bandera Ukraine, if desired, is rather simple to destabilize. The options are being considered: escalation of tensions in the Donbass or the third Saakashvili Maidan. Judging by the intensification of the shelling in the Donbas, the option of resuming the war in the Donbas, where the Nazi battalions are being deployed, has been chosen, away from the Maidan's sin. MikhoMaydan paused. In the Donbas they say that the new war has already begun, the Wehrmacht of the Armed Forces of Ukraine commemorated it for the 100 anniversary of the Russian revolution.

Perhaps this war should be the backdrop for the Volker-Surkov negotiations, a way to put pressure on Russia: to allow the Volker "peacekeepers" to occupy the Donbass in order to avoid the onset of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. These negotiations, obviously, will fail, and Volker will be able to say: I did everything to stop the war by "peacemakers", but I could not, Russia is to blame for this. Since Russia doesn’t care, according to Volker, to be guilty, it will find a way to deal once again with the APU, and Volker and the two floors of the CIA in the SBU probably understand this. What's next?

One way or another, tensions in Ukraine as a whole will increase, the “neo-Nazi punks” will raise their heads even higher, and, in such an environment, one more variant of the destabilization of Ukraine, about which the Bandera nations have long spoken, becomes possible.

The Nazis in the Rada have long demanded that all ties with Russia be severed. Everything! The most blatant such link is the supply of aggressive Russian gas through Ukraine to Europe, and the Nazis have long said that this should be stopped. Just blow up the GTS of Ukraine. In 2014, sabotage on gas pipelines was committed, but then the Kiev authorities managed to bring the situation under control. Today, strong Nazi bats can carry out their plans for a long time, especially if someone pushes them to this. By the way, the aggravation of Bandera’s relations with European nationalists and the end of the gas transit in the 2019 year, after which the GTS will turn into an unnecessary rusty pipe, is pushing this option.

However, the end of the GTS will also mean the beginning of the American Plan B for Ukraine “Broken Trident”. Many commentators believe that America will never allow destabilization of Bandera’s Ukraine, because it is their anti-Russian springboard. Why so? If America needs to break Russia's ties with Europe than weaken both, then Ukraine needs to be destabilized, for example, by destroying the CTA somehow. And then ... well, at least the grass does not grow, America is far away.

The law on “reintegration of Donbass” and “Russian aggression”, which has only one attainable goal - to bury the Minsk agreements, which are guarantors of Berlin, Paris and Moscow, is pushing towards such a development of events. Minsk separate peace between Europe and Russia will be finally broken.

Emergencies on the Ukrainian gas transport system will immediately lead to force majeure in Europe, in Turkey and in Russia. And in Ukraine - to a very large force majeure. Since the United States will remain without force majeure, Moscow can safely lay the blame on the United States and combat banderlog, which they have in “manual control”, according to Sergey Lavrov, despite the cries from the White House about the presumption of innocence and intrigue of Moscow.

After the cessation of gas transit, Moscow has nothing more to lose; its hands are completely untied. Moscow may declare the Bandera regime to have lost its legitimacy, and perhaps in this it will be joined by some European countries and Turkey. The next step, Moscow recognizes the DPR and the LPR, and will provide them with the necessary assistance in overcoming an emergency.

The termination of the supply of "European" gas to Ukraine will lead to chaos, and not the best way affect the APU in the Donbas. Military intervention from outside Ukraine becomes inevitable "to end a humanitarian catastrophe." For Russia, two converging blows from the Crimea and from the Belgorod-Kursk region, along the Dnieper, with access to Odessa and Kiev, suggest themselves. The APU in the Donbas fall into a huge cauldron, and surrender according to the Crimean scenario.

The sudden and sharp deterioration of its relations with Kiev by Warsaw suggests that it is preparing for Operation Broken Trident, that is, to destabilize Ukraine. This is the only serious argument for such a dramatic change by Warsaw of its Ukrainian policy. Therefore, Warsaw suddenly noticed the faces of Bandera and the banner of the OUN-UPA on the “revolution of hydration”: a weighty excuse was needed for the campaign of Warsaw to Kiev. The Polish army, and so by the way, the American units that arrived recently in Poland, in the active phase of the crisis, will advance to Galicia and the whole of Western Ukraine with access to Kiev.

It is clear why Polish Foreign Minister Witold Vashchikovsky does not cease to lament the lack of contacts with Moscow at the highest level. What are you going to talk about? About the dividing lines in Ukraine?

... The FIFA World Cup in Russia in 2018 may not take place, but for good reason. Although, judging by the intensity of the hybrid war in the sport, which covered the winter Olympics in South Korea with the anti-Russian offensive, it will not take place in Russia anyway.
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  1. Rey_ka
    Rey_ka 16 November 2017 15: 12
    +4
    And how to drive gas to Europe without the Ukrainian GTS? Nord Stream is a fake!
    1. Vend
      Vend 16 November 2017 15: 25
      10
      Quote: Rey_ka
      And how to drive gas to Europe without the Ukrainian GTS? Nord Stream is a fake!

      Fake you in another place laughing Fakes are not blocked at the highest level laughing
    2. solzh
      solzh 16 November 2017 15: 36
      +7
      The Nord Stream gas pipeline is the longest underwater route in the world, its length is 1224 km. On November 8, 2011, gas supplies began along the first line of the pipeline. On April 18, 2012, the second thread was completed. On October 8, 2012, gas supplies began along two lines of the gas pipeline. We’ll finish the construction of Nord Stream 2 and transit through Ukraine will become irrelevant. And you say fake.
      1. dSK
        dSK 16 November 2017 16: 03
        +3
        Quote: “For Russia, two convergent attacks are coming from the Crimea and from the Belgorod-Kursk region, along the Dnieper, with access to Odessa and Kiev. APU in the Donbass fall into a huge cauldron, and capitulate according to the Crimean scenario."
        In the DPR, they announced the development of weapons capable of disrupting the offensive of the Armed Forces. The fact that the work on its creation is already underway and, most importantly, that this weapon will be very powerful and unique, said the head of the DPR, Alexander Zakharchenko. “During the conflict, the Donetsk defense industry developed and manufactured unique weapons,” said Zakharchenko. “They allow you to destroy the enemy at high speed.” According to the head of the DPR, this time the offensive of the Ukrainian armed forces will end before they start, RIA Novosti reports.
        Probably we are talking about multiple launch rocket systems. hi
        1. dSK
          dSK 16 November 2017 16: 11
          +4
          15.11.2017 For the first time, President Vladimir Putin held telephone conversations with leaders of the self-proclaimed republics of Donbass, Alexander Zakharchenko and Igor Plotnitsky. “After Victor Medvedchuk’s appeal today and taking into account the support of this initiative by the Patriarch of Moscow and All Russia Kirill (during a joint visit to the New Jerusalem Monastery), Vladimir Putin spoke on the phone with the leaders of the DPR and LPR Zakharchenko and Plotnitsky in the evening ... Putin told his interlocutors that he supported Medvedchuk’s proposal for a large-scale exchange of persons held on both sides, ”RIA Novosti quotes Peskov. According to Peskov, the leaders of the DPR and LPR “generally supported this initiative” hi
    3. Victor Kamenev
      16 November 2017 16: 12
      +6
      With 2014, the essence of Russian policy is to make Ukrainians fake GTS, but to minimize their losses.
      1. DanSabaka
        DanSabaka 17 November 2017 07: 13
        0
        Waiting for 2019? .... Long ....
    4. Vasilenko Vladimir
      Vasilenko Vladimir 16 November 2017 19: 58
      +1
      Quote: Rey_ka
      Nord Stream is a fake!

      The consortium that owns the Nord Stream gas pipeline published a report for 2015. As Natural Gas Eurore informs, according to the report, the gas was pumped through the pipeline - 39,1 billion
  2. vasilkovichi
    vasilkovichi 16 November 2017 15: 18
    +6
    And why did the author take it that America doesn’t care whether the NTSs blow up the GTS or not? Just like it doesn’t matter! Just the same as they want it! If they are already boiling, selling Russian LNG to Europe, then imagine how they get rich , on Russian LNG, if the Ukrainian gas transportation system disappears, right now! Yes, they will send all their gas carriers, including road and rail to Russia! Yes, they’ll also be "rented" from half of the world and also packed in Russia, and then pushed into the trident of Europe, they will also poke their "merit" in helping the allies.
    1. Victor Kamenev
      16 November 2017 16: 15
      +1
      What's this? I said that the Americans will push the banderlogov to blow up the GTS, but so that they themselves remain in the shadows.
      1. The leader of the Redskins
        The leader of the Redskins 16 November 2017 23: 08
        0
        I have not heard about the agency you mentioned in the first paragraph, but I regularly observe the "scenarios" of the development of hostilities from the Kiev junta, voiced by a certain Eduard Basurin - a person who is much closer to the demarcation line than I, you or the agency you mentioned. And you know, in three years it has never come true! So do not wang - this is not a thankful thing nowadays ....
      2. iouris
        iouris 17 November 2017 02: 39
        0
        It is not necessary to blow up the GTS, because it is necessary to cover up the Nord Stream. A lot of money is buried there. "Nord Stream" will be re-opened after the victory. Not our victory. I think so. And further. The 2018 World Cup is likely to fail. Why was it worth paying millions of dollars for Messi? Honduras would be enough for our team.
  3. BAI
    BAI 16 November 2017 15: 33
    +2
    The next step Moscow recognizes the DNI and LC,

    Today (or yesterday) for the first time on the website of the President of the Russian Federation, the LPR and the DPR are not called "self-proclaimed republics", but simply "republics."
    1. Victor Kamenev
      16 November 2017 16: 19
      +1
      However, the process went, but more on that next time.
  4. avia12005
    avia12005 16 November 2017 15: 58
    +1
    States will force Kiev to hit on the eve of the presidential elections in Russia. Not earlier and not later. Perhaps even on the territory of Russia.
    1. Victor Kamenev
      16 November 2017 16: 22
      +4
      You can expect this from the “stupid”, but Putin’s authority will only increase, the “Crimea effect” proved this.
  5. Curious
    Curious 16 November 2017 17: 30
    +2
    Operation Broken Trident. The name is sonorous, capacious. Reminds "Union of the sword and screaming."
  6. Vasilenko Vladimir
    Vasilenko Vladimir 16 November 2017 19: 55
    +2
    The Nazis in the Rada have long been demanding to break all ties with Russia. All!

    and I absolutely support them in this, and what had to be done three years ago
    1. dSK
      dSK 16 November 2017 22: 24
      +2
      To begin with, introduce a visa regime (this is quickly done) that will stop the influx of "maydanutyh" into Russia. "Until the thunder strikes, the man will not cross himself." hi
  7. aba
    aba 18 November 2017 19: 03
    +2
    Somehow very optimistic ...
    And over the past few years, I personally have diminished optimism, I see that they primarily think about money and profits, about lifting the sanction, and the rest will supposedly resolve itself.
  8. intuzazist
    intuzazist 20 November 2017 09: 10
    0
    Quote: dsk
    Probably we are talking about multiple launch rocket systems.

    And most likely, with a long range of fire ...........