Brexit went to go: in the European Union are ready to leave Britain in their arms
Europe wants certainty ...
Recently in the United Kingdom, discussions about Brexit have been somewhat abated. Over the past three months after the referendum, the British authorities have updated the cabinet and began to frankly slow down the exit from the EU, hoping to bargain for acceptable conditions for themselves. The new British Premier Teresa May immediately after coming to power assured European leaders of her readiness to fulfill the will of the British.
At the same time, May made two significant observations: first, the British government will need time to start negotiations with the European Union. Secondly, May's cabinet will deal with Brexit on its own without unnecessary discussions with the parliament, since the local law on referendum does not oblige the government to take into account the opinion of the deputies.
The Europeans, after some hesitation, agreed with the position of the new British Prime Minister, but asked not to delay the preparations for leaving the EU. After all, uncertainty hits the joint market no less than Brexit itself. True, from time to time European politicians reminded May that there was a problem with leaving the EU. She has not gone away. And even painted their vision of its resolution.
It seemed that the current situation suited everyone except for the British currency itself, which since the beginning of the summer had begun to drift “downward”. More recently, the British pound was worth about $ 1,55. In recent days, his course has dropped to the level of $ 1,21, punching this figure in periods.
The reasons for the excitement of the financiers who operate the British currency lie not so much in the uncertainty created by Theresa May’s office, as in the hard signals emanating from the Brussels offices. There more than once or twice they made it clear to the British that they would have to pay a high price for the results of the referendum.
The President of the European Council, Pole Donald Tusk, for example, warned that after secession from the EU, the UK would not be able to maintain full access to the single European market of the European Union if it did not observe the main four freedoms of the EU - freedom of movement of goods, services, capital and labor.
Meanwhile, one of the main reasons for Brexit was the British discontent over simplified migration between EU countries. The islands have accumulated so much “labor” from Eastern Europe that the wits have already begun to call them “Waste Europe”. Dissatisfaction with the domination of migrant workers, coupled with the escalating problem of refugees, has reached an unprecedented intensity.
On the islands, attacks on migrants from the continent have become frequent. Particularly got compatriots head of the European Council. The Poles, whose diaspora has grown to nearly a million people and become the largest in the United Kingdom, have pretty much battered. It got even to the real tragedies with the victims.
Theresa May's Cabinet begins to retreat
In fact, street massacres are a quarrel in the sandbox compared to the battles that the new British cabinet has given the transnational business, especially the financial one. This is because of his distrust and with his participation, the pound sterling has now dropped below the 1985 levels of the year. The fourth largest reserve currency (as shown by the existing savings in the countries of the world) sharply approached the notes of developing countries.
A completely different rhetoric sounded from the offices of high authority. They began to talk about serious financial losses for the British housekeeper, to frighten the public. Representatives of major transnational corporations joined the topic and announced plans to move their headquarters from the islands to the mainland.
Nevertheless, supporters of Brexit in the British politician until recently hoped to sit on two chairs: to maintain preferential conditions for participation in the common European market, but to impose restrictions on the movement of labor from the Schengen countries and stop the influx of refugees.
At the recent congress of the British Conservative Party, for example, British Home Secretary Amber Rudd declared such an approach to cooperation with the EU. She proposed to create conditions in the country so that employers, when hiring staff, give priority to the queen's subjects.
With his statement, Rudd disrupted the applause of the congress participants. But over the British Isles new winds have already blown. It felt the mayor of London Sadiq Khan. In his public speeches, he increasingly began to talk about the fact that the UK’s exit from the EU single market would be a “very irresponsible” step. “If we exit the single market without an agreement on privileges for British business,” Sadik Khan told Sky News, “the consequences could be disastrous.”
Sadiq Khan was elected the mayor of the British capital, including those people who are now chasing the unfortunate Poles through the streets. But the main beneficiary of the elections here has always been considered the City. After all, London was and remains the most important global financial center. What ultimately is identical to the center of world wealth.
Financial Times counted in the British capital 68 resident billionaires. But she noted something else: in the time that has passed since the referendum, the number of billionaires in Britain has decreased by 18,5%, and the total capital of the rich has fallen from 395 billion US dollars to 295 billions. Experts explain this by the fall of the pound sterling.
It was not only the personalities who suffered. The international analytical agency Dealogic conducted a study that showed a catastrophic decline in the activity of investment funds in the UK. The volume of their transactions on the purchase of controlling stakes in local companies collapsed after the referendum 20 times - from $ 3,27 billion to $ 165 million, or by 95%. The activity of investment funds in mainland Europe has fallen - by 77%.
Such bleak figures forced the authorities to adjust their policies. Now, British Prime Minister Theresa May no longer wants to take full responsibility for Brexit, but is ready to share it with the country's parliament. The agency Bloomberg on Wednesday reported that May agreed to give lawmakers the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conditions for Britain’s exit from the European Union.
Teresa May, however, asked the parliament to make such a decision so that the cabinet of ministers would have a chance to continue negotiations with Brussels. The British pound reacted positively to the statement of May and pushed off from the bottom somewhat, rising to the already mentioned $ 1,21. This is the City of London has shown cautious optimism. He had a hope that a divorce from the European Union would go on his terms, and not in the way that the street, which is heated to a massacre, requires. And maybe the appeal to the parliament pursues completely different goals - to stop Brexit with the hands of the legislators?
This recently seemed fantastic scenario no longer seems so incredible. Even EU officials are ready for it. On Friday, the same European Council President, Donald Tusk, expressed the hope that the UK would change its mind to leave the European Union. Speaking at the European Political Center in Brussels, Tusk stated: “If you ask me if there is an alternative to this bad scenario, I would like to answer that yes, there is. In my opinion, the only real alternative to heavy Brexit is the abolition of Brexit. Even if today hardly anyone believes in such an opportunity. ”
One can argue for a long time about whether the democratic choice of the people today determines the political line of the European countries, or it depends on the wishes and intentions of the bureaucracy. Obviously another. The time that has elapsed since the British referendum showed that even the leading economies of the EU can no longer fully exist alone. They lose their stability and competitiveness. Because Brexit and went to skid ...
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