Russia on the brink
In our country - under the influence of a whole complex of objective reasons - fundamental changes are emerging in almost all areas of life. From different geographical areas, the rumble of thunder peals of the approaching large-scale war is heard. It, in fact, is already going on in the Middle East - in Syria and Libya, in Central Asia - in Afghanistan, threatening to spread to the "post-Soviet" space and, of course, in Ukraine, where armed formations of the Neo-Bandera "euromaidannaya" junta bombard people's republics every day Donbass, and the Russian authorities, looking down, still - even after the terrorist attacks in the Crimea - are talking about some "partners" from the number of people who committed a coup in February 2014 of the year and have stained themselves with the blood of dozens, if not hundreds of thousands of people. Of course, it is possible on the screens of federal television channels to talk tirelessly about successes in agriculture or about the victories of our athletes, but the “moment of truth” is inevitable, it approaches like the steps of the Commander in the Pushkin tragedy Don Juan, so pretending that nothing is happening no longer possible. Willy-nilly, as if by themselves, spontaneously and haphazardly, some kind of response measures are being taken. And in them the main outlines of the "new course" are already visible. First of all, these are well-known personnel changes at all levels of the “power vertical”. But so far we have only the first symptoms of change, which are caused by both external factors and, to a certain extent, by the upcoming election campaign.
But the process of “cleansing” the elites, which is absolutely necessary for the survival of the country, is so far pointed and super-soft. We saw the arrests of two governors: Alexander Khoroshavin in the Sakhalin Region and Nikita Belykh in the Kirov Region. We saw the resignation of the head of the presidential administration Sergei Ivanov, who for a long time supported the pro-Western liberal financial and economic bloc led by Elvira Nabiullina and Anton Siluanov (removed from the leadership of United Russia), as well as the Minister of Education and Science of the Russian Federation Dmitry Livanov, responsible for devastating "reform" of the national school with the introduction of the Unified State Examination and the Academy of Sciences, subordinate to some FANO. Odious Mikhail Zurabov was recalled from Kiev, whose name is associated not only with the Ukrainian catastrophe, but also with the "monetization of social benefits", as well as the "pension reform" that turned the Pension Fund of the Russian Federation into a permanent recipient of budget aid ...
It is said that the chair also reeled under the mayor of the Russian capital, surprising Moscow with the endless shifting of curb stone and pavements, demolishing all the "stalls" in favor of large retail companies (and such monopolization threatens new artificial hunger in the "hour X"), which gave " green light "multiple increase in housing and communal expenses for Muscovites. Claims to the “successor of Luzhkov” are ripening not only from the bottom, but also from the top, in the closest circle of the Russian president.
These advances say a lot. The Kremlin apparently became increasingly aware of the ineffectiveness and futility of the liberal-monetarist model of the “Washington consensus”, as well as the growing unpopularity of these figures. And after the September 18 elections, we will inevitably see changes that more correspond to the characteristics of the moment and the mood of Russian society. So, the current idiocy of economic policy, when more than 100 billions of dollars in American banks are actually at a negative percentage, and the domestic industry and agriculture are choking without working capital, should become a thing of the past. And finances should be returned to the country, which, of course, requires the complete replacement of the financial and economic bloc of the government, those people who have supported the economy of Russia’s potential and now real military-political adversary for years. We admit that not only these factors influence the upcoming changes. Ultimately, in the pre-war situation, the country needs a mobilization version of economic management, and not a "liberal course" built into the structure of the enemy. Here, first of all, the mechanism of American pressure on Moscow and the Kremlin works.
The current Russian political and economic elite, if it were in her power, would undoubtedly leave everything in the same places. She is completely satisfied with the existing state mechanism and the level of income that she extracts with his help. Yes, and liberal recipes of the economy, which allowed to hope that they will be accepted into the world elite. But it was not there. And it is here that what we can call the "American external factor" comes into play. The US in recent years, especially under V. Putin, has steadily increased pressure on Russia. Moreover, the traditional spheres of Russian influence, such as Ukraine, Moldova, Transcaucasia, Central Asia and the Baltic states, were subjected to dismantling. Moreover, an attempt was made to "belolentochnogo" coup in the Holy See itself. The “collective Kremlin” had no choice but to start to snap (remember Putin's metaphor with a rat cornered?), Which led to an unprecedented surge of Russophobia in the ruling circles of America and the West as a whole. This is so vividly manifested now in the current election campaign for the presidency of the United States, in which Hillary Clinton’s flagship of “anti-Putinism” is ready to strike Russia in the framework of a “hybrid war” from the Caucasus, as well as two auxiliary areas - Ukraine and Central Asia. Clinton will clearly enter the White House in January 2017. And this new stage of the attack on Russia today is almost completely prepared.
For the United States, a total victory over Russia is also necessary because of the financial and economic crisis that they are experiencing. It is impossible to achieve the “defeat from within” of communist China as the main strategic rival in the struggle for world hegemony, since the communist bureaucracy and ideology do not allow to act within the country. But with Russia it is possible. And the main thing that spurs Washington is its own financial crisis.
World crisis and war
Indeed, today, human civilization is on the verge of a global systemic crisis, the scale of which is comparable only with the "Neolithic revolution", which we know only according to archeology and paleontology - then, about 12-10 thousands of years ago, scientists say, extinct 90% homo sapiens: due to the rapid depletion of food supply, which they tried to fill even with cannibalism. But survived, mostly those communities that have moved from hunting and gathering to farming and cattle breeding. It is possible that something similar - only at the level of states, and not communities - awaits all of us not in the very distant future. Moreover, Russia is extremely resource-rich (according to various estimates, from 25% to 35% of the world) and an extremely sparsely populated (less than 2% of humanity) country. Therefore, there are always more than enough people willing to use Russian resources for their own interests. And the present time is no exception. Quite the contrary.
The global economy under the auspices and control of the United States, exhausted by the beginning of the 70-s of the twentieth century, the limit of planetary space and its redistribution due to the creation of nuclear weapons, began intensively exploiting the time resource - through the issue of "fiat money" and financial derivatives. And if the era of the Great Geographical Discoveries lasted almost four and a half centuries (from the voyage of Columbus to the beginning of the First World War), the era of the Great Financial Emission (from the abolition of 36 President Richard Nixon of the “golden” dollar to the present day) would take a maximum of four half a decade. With global GDP around 84 trillion dollars, financial liabilities have already been issued by more than four quadrillion, that is, almost fifty years ahead. With such a "horizon of events", the economy cannot exist.
There is no gold, debt receipts, referred to as "money", and "good words" no one believes about indispensable in the future and the general prosperity - it means that the "bullish hour" comes. War has always gone hand in hand with a crisis, war is a crisis, crisis is a war, they are inseparable.
Again: the depth and scale of the current crisis are such that they have no visible analogues in human stories. Moreover, the crisis is experiencing a super-organized civilization, which has a huge economic, information and military potential, sufficient for complete and almost instantaneous self-destruction, "return" not just to the Stone Age, but to the Stone Age without its natural resources. This threat of the sword of Damocles hangs over modern humanity. Without it, everything would be completely different: the methods of “gunboat diplomacy”, and today no one has forgotten “aircraft carrier diplomacy”, they were used to the fullest extent against Yugoslavia, Iraq and Libya.
But to get out of the current crisis due to the destruction of the geopolitical "little things" and the redistribution of its potentials is impossible in principle. And in the open "big" you can not fight. Hence the widespread spread of "international terrorism", "color revolutions" and other "proxy wars", "proxy conflicts", "hybrid wars", etc. - "export of chaos", aimed at weakening and discrediting the potential enemy, its allies: real and even potential.
This is what we see in recent years on the world stage: the global conflict potential is growing almost exponentially, capturing one region of the world after another, extending literally to all spheres of human activity: from space to the Olympic Games, from computer networks to the show business, from financial transactions to mass media. And it is very likely that these processes, despite any precautions and safety measures, are about to get out of control, like an uncontrolled atomic "chain reaction" - their aggregate "mass" is too large and close to critical. Global geopolitical "Chernobyl" is getting closer.
A civil war provoked from outside in Ukraine is taking place, a civil war in Syria provoked from outside is expanding, a war in Yemen provoked from outside is intensifying, civil wars provoked from outside are intensifying in many African countries, the "migrant crisis" in Europe deepens, the conflict around the islands in the South China Sea is developing , the occupation of Afghanistan continues, the situation in Central Asia threatens to explode. But it is obvious that the main node of all these conflicts is tied around Russia: multinational and multi-religious, "to the eyeballs" filled with internal contradictions, by world standards, fabulously rich and seemingly, despite its gigantic military-strategic potential, "a colossus on clay feet." Is our country ready to defend its past, present and future in these difficult conditions?
Putin and the ghost of the new Emergency Committee
Of particular relevance to this issue is the 25 incident that took place years ago, the “biggest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century” - the destruction of the Soviet Union. The USSR, as we know, was a superpower, really a second world economy, with its own "sphere of influence" all over the planet and military-strategic parity with the United States and its allies. But all this power crumbled, by historical standards, overnight: from the beginning of Gorbachev's “perestroika” until the descent of the red flag with a sickle and hammer over the Kremlin and in front of the UN headquarters in New York (25 December 1991), only six and a half years.
Is it possible to repeat the "Soviet" scenario 1991 of the year in modern Russia? After all, its potential is much less than the Soviet one, the level of social inequality within the country is simply overwhelming, ethnoconfessional contradictions are also extremely acute, and around our country - especially on its western borders - did the new “sanitary belt” emerge from the anti-Russian mindedrophe states, including Ukraine?
All this is true, but there are powerful factors that potentially impede the return of the "ghost of the Emergency Committee."
The first of these is the factor of social consciousness. Russian society, in so far as it is possible to talk about it as an integral unified system, does not at all see as its goal completely and unconditionally, “even with a carcass, even a stuffed animal” to integrate into a “civilized pro-American world”, as was the case with Soviet society 25 years ago. A quarter of a century of "perestroika" and "market reforms" have freed our compatriots, for the most part, from illusions and about the benefits of the "civilized world", and about the possible place in it. Do Russians want to "live as in America", "live as in Sweden" or live as anywhere else? Those who wanted it, have long lived in America, Sweden and anywhere else. And those who stayed want to live in Russia.
The second factor is the governing "elite" factor. If in the 1991 year they were interested in "converting power into ownership" with the export of assets abroad, then today they are interested, first of all, in the problem of the security of their foreign assets, therefore the "new Russian" Ostapans are urgently retraining to house managers, believing that "" of the collective West "are ready to take everything from them as soon as they feel the relative impunity of such a step. It is this circumstance that brought about the “Putin phenomenon” as the “assemblage points” of the interests of the “new Russian” elite.
The third factor is the media space factor. The Soviet Union was “strangled in its arms,” drawing a “new brave world” on the basis of “universal human values”, “liberal paradise”, “end of history” instead of “communist paradise”. Russia is threatened today, Russia is slandered today, Russia is under pressure today by sanctions and "proxy conflicts." A “hybrid war” was launched against Russia - and this is no secret to anyone. And war is war, everything is clear: who is the enemy, who is friend and who is a traitor.
The fourth factor is geopolitical. The Soviet Union did not have a single real ally abroad by the year 1991. Neither the political nor the ideological line. The rejection of the "red project", the surrender of the "social camp" in Europe and around the world - what could be the allies of a potential suicide? Today, Russia has restored a strategic alliance with China destroyed by Khrushchev in 1956, today the first economy of the planet, and an increasing number of countries around the world who don’t want to get their teeth in the mouth of the American comrade wolf and his jackals allies . Yes, and the US allies are becoming increasingly afraid of the same. The crisis is not an aunt, everyone is fighting. And with all.
Kremlin in domestic and foreign policy
"All is mine," said gold;
"Everything is mine," said damask.
“I'll buy everything,” said gold;
“I’ll take it all,” said damask.
In the noted great poet “the eternal dispute between gold and bulat”, clearly - and at the same time covertly, imperceptibly - there is another participant. The one who is mentioned by the famous American gangster Al Capone in his famous aphorism: "With a kind word and a revolver one can achieve much more than with one kind word." Yes, of course! But a good word and a revolver can do much more than with a single revolver, isn't it? The whole history of humanity testifies to this.
So what about modern Russia with bulat, gold and word?
It was unexpectedly revealed through the “bulat line” that the defense reform announced by President Putin back in 2001 was successfully carried out: the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have received and continue to receive the latest and most “advanced” models of military equipment, which has been actively used in Syria for 11 months now. The revival of the power of the Russian army was an unpleasant surprise for the “Western partners”, who, in the conditions of the “unipolar world” of 1991-2015, considered their “defense” primarily from the point of view of “mastering” state budgets, believing that with the armies of the Third World states and “international terrorists”, if they get out of control, they will cope always and everywhere with virtually no loss due to their gigantic technological and organizational superiority. But suddenly it turned out that in the prospect of a direct military clash with the “Russian bear” they would have neither one nor the other: while in the West, the military-industrial complex corporations calmly and tastefully “sawed” the huge defense budgets, Russia - it is not yet clear at what expense ( where did it come from?) and by what forces did it carry out a qualitative reorganization and modernization of its army. And this applies not only to all its technical components: from Caliber to electronic warfare, from the latest submarines to strategic missiles, from tanks "Armata" to fifth-generation aircraft, by the way, are quite functional, unlike the American F-35 Lightning II, for the development of which the Pentagon will spend a total of 1,3 trillion. dollars. Of much greater importance is the willingness and ability of the Russian military to effectively use all this latest technology, which has been demonstrated to Western "partners" in Syria and the Crimea.
Just the other day, the fire tests of the remote control 99, the first stage engine of the heavy ICBM RS-28 Sarmat, the improved Russian counterpart of the Soviet ICBM RS-20 (Р-36М2) "Voivode", received the "saying" name "Satan" in the West .
That is, with “bulat” in our country, if not everything is in order, then, at least, at a level that practically does not allow the possibility of a first killing blow from a likely enemy or the successful conduct of massive fighting in the form of a non-nuclear conflict. Which, of course, does not cancel, but even increases the likelihood of using sabotage and terrorist actions against Russia, including those of a mass character, as well as the subversive work of the pro-Western and pro-American "agents of influence", the "fifth column" inside the country and the "sixth column" inside "power vertical".
However, speaking of "America", one should not forget that the policies of this country have long been firmly determined by the largest transnational corporations, first and foremost financial ones.
Externally, the “golden line” is also in order: despite the officially announced deficit of the consolidated budget of the Russian Federation and the close (by the end of 2017) exhaustion of reserve funds, the Central Bank of Russia is aggressively buying gold (84,9 tons in the first half of this year, first place in the world ), whose volume exceeded 1500 tons, amounting to 16,38% of the value of all gold reserves of the Russian Federation, defined in 394 billion dollars (at the beginning of the year, the figure was 13,18% of 368,4 billion dollars).
Russia is actively investing in large-scale infrastructure projects abroad (construction of export gas pipelines Nord Stream-2, Turkish Stream, contracts for the construction of nuclear power plants, etc.) that are acquiring political significance. And Bloomberg even recognized the Russian ruble as one of the most successful currencies in "emerging markets."
At the same time, the volume of foreign trade in the first half of the current year amounted to 2016 210,29 billion in January-June, having decreased by 22,3% compared to the same period last year. At the same time, exports amounted to 130,39 billion dollars (-28,7%), and imports - 79,9 billion dollars (-8,9%), the trade surplus decreased from 95,3 billion dollars to 50,49 billion dollars, i.e. 47%, while the physical volume of Russian exports grew by 5,2%.
According to Mikhail Delyagin, in the federal budget today "stuck" over 10 trillion. "saved" by officials at all levels of the "power vertical" rubles. Where and how this money “turns”, which are, in essence, undone investments and unpaid wages, no one is particularly interested: apparently, this is the “price of loyalty” to the Kremlin of the state apparatus in the federal center and in the provinces. Rather, only part of this price. The second and not the least part is the rampant of the actually imperious "lawlessness".
It should be recognized that the actions of this bloc led to such "squeezing" of money from the country's population, that the ground for an ambitious "color revolution" in Russia is objectively ready. The introduction of new taxes on real estate, galloping prices for essential goods and stopping the domestic industry with the help of predatory lending rates - all this causes growing discontent in society, which can hardly be kept for a long time even by sublimation of the most patriotic slogans.
The situation along the line of the "good word" looks even less definite. Yes, aggravated by the global systemic crisis by the United States and its military-political allies is inevitably accompanied by total lies and attempts at direct coups and color revolutions. Against this background, our country looks like a source of more and more reliable information and a reliable ally. In the first half of 2016, it was precisely this that created the contours of unprecedented, even allied, relations within the framework of the Russian Federation, Turkey, Iran and Azerbaijan. And to this it is worth adding new aspects to the PRC’s Middle East policy, which for the first time officially sent its military specialists to help the Syrian government. These circumstances, as well as the Kremlin’s foreign policy sequence, are attracting an increasing number of allies to Russia, which makes it possible to respond adequately to emerging threats without excessive expenditures: the recent normalization of relations with Turkey after an unsuccessful attempt at the July July 15-16 coup directed against President Recep Erdogan, and the formation of The Moscow-Ankara-Tehran-Baku regional geopolitical configuration is a good example. Moreover, in Azerbaijan, as it became known, an attempt at a coup d'état was also revealed - it was only prepared by the forces of not the army, but the special services, which on this occasion joined in with the American "colleagues."
But no ideological and, moreover, ideological alternative to the aggressive globalism of the "collective West" on the part of Russia has not yet been sounded either inside or outside the country, since it is impossible to seriously demand justice in international relations if it is not inside its own state.
This "balance of interests" dictates a completely specific style of behavior of the Kremlin, which combines opposition to major external threats and a retreat in those areas where it is impossible or impractical. A typical example is the reunification of the Crimea - and the non-recognition of the people's republics of Donbass, a strange position regarding the collapse of the Malaysian Boeing; more recently, maneuvers around the Olympic "doping scandal" and attempts of a Ukrainian terrorist act in the Crimea.
Finally, we see this in the example of the American election campaign, where the “Russian factor” became perhaps the decisive theme in the presidential race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, when Madame Clinton won (in any way: through falsification or through propaganda total pressure) , with its frankly disturbed psyche, declares its readiness to deliver direct attacks on Russia, not to mention the new "hybrid wars" and "color revolutions". With this in mind, it is understandable why the very deep and intelligent people of the American high elite — such as Buffett, Soros, the Rockefellers, Goldmans, and other “Wall Street sharks” - are being promoted in 45 by US President Madame Clinton. It should, apparently, play the role of the instigator of some huge anti-Russian provocation, and then it can be written off: for example, due to poor health, according to the same scheme that Slobodan Milosevic’s innocence recognized today, Saddam Hussein’s lack of weapons mass destruction or unsubstantiated "anti-Russian" report WADA.
Today, the need for large transnational capital to pre-empt a global financial collapse through military-political schemes to suppress Russia is obvious. Moreover, otherwise the further strengthening of the strategic alliance between Russia and communist China will make the possibility of such a “suppression” purely hypothetical. More recently, Beijing has finally decided to send detachments of its commandos to Syria to fight the Uyghur Islamic radicals. And the beginning of the construction of a powerful Chinese military base in Djibouti, "locking" the Red Sea and the Suez Canal, only completes this picture. Time is not on the American side and not on the side of the Russian Westernizers-liberals who are upholding the interests of Washington. Therefore, they are forced to rush and hurry. And who is in a hurry, certainly stumbles.
Understanding the power of the American propaganda apparatus both on the world stage and in our country, it is easy to understand that Washington can and even should adopt the most left-wing socialist ideas in order to maximally shift the social discontent of the Russian masses into the political protest process, which should lead to street sacrifices and to the widespread emergence of an increasing number of "Far Eastern partisans." And to keep this process will be extremely difficult.
Therefore, an adequate solution in the current situation, the Kremlin, by and large, only one. This is, firstly, a cardinal change in the socio-economic course with the expulsion of the “sixth” and “fifth columns” from government departments and institutions, including educational institutions and the mass media. Secondly, it is the transfer of all state foreign assets and assets of Russian residents (while it is still possible) back to their homeland. Thirdly, it is a turn towards a real struggle against corruption at all levels of the “power vertical”, from top to bottom. Fourth, this is a new strategy for long-term planning for the systemic modernization of the domestic economy. Finally, fifthly, this is a new approach to Ukraine, when appropriate attacks are launched against shelling from territories controlled by the Kiev junta, and the policy of the Russian Federal Migration Service regarding Ukrainian immigration will cease to be prohibitive - of course, filtered by the "Neander" underground.
Russia has every reason to withstand and win in the conditions of the global crisis and growing conflicts. But without the above mentioned changes, our defeat may become inevitable.
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