How the Turks and the Russians will create a military alliance and disintegrate NATO
As reported on August 9 RIA News", Foreign Minister of Germany Frank-Walter Steinmeier excludes the possibility of Russia and Turkey creating a military alliance.
“It’s good that after the Turkish fighter shot down a Russian bomber last year, a rapprochement again arose,” the minister said in an interview with the tabloid Bild. “But at the same time, I don’t think that relations between the countries will become so close that Russia and Turkey will create an alternative to the NATO partnership.” Turkey is an important partner of NATO, and should remain with them. ”
Earlier, 8 in August, the official representative of the German Foreign Ministry Savsan Chebli also mentioned the warming in relations between Turkey and Russia. "We do not think that the rapprochement of Moscow and Ankara will have consequences for security cooperation within the alliance," the diplomat said. "Lenta.ru" with reference to Reuters.
She also noted that it is very important that both states maintain bilateral relations, taking into account the roles that they play in resolving the crisis in Syria.
At the same time, in the West they write about the “sharp rise” of bilateral relations between Russia and Turkey. And they frankly ask themselves the question: “Are Russia and Turkey friends with?” It is precisely this question, for example, that is looking for an answer "BBC".
The presenter of the BBC program, Alexander Kan, believes in this connection that the most important issue is “still the relations between Turkey and the West”. The journalist refers to the Financial Times newspaper, which cites the opinion of an anonymous Turkish diplomat in Moscow. The latter said that Ankara’s relations with Washington are worse than ever in the last fifty years.
“Yes, this then makes an attractive prospect of becoming friends with Moscow, but doesn’t really contribute to overall geopolitical stability,” the facilitator notes. - At one time, the United States strongly pressured the European Union so that Brussels made concessions and accepted Turkey into the European Union. It did not happen, and now, apparently, in the foreseeable future, and it will not happen. ”
The removal of Turkey, the region’s largest power and a member of NATO, seems to the journalist to be a kind of “dangerous factor in the development of the future geopolitical situation in the world.” At least that's what Kahn asked from an expert.
He was answered by a senior researcher at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations named after Primakov of the Russian Academy of Sciences Victor Nadein-Rayevsky:
The expert of the Association of military political scientists Alexander Perendzhiev thinks the same way. He is convinced that the danger to NATO does not exist in any case.
“It seems to me,” he said in an interview. "Free Press", - you can put the question differently: will there be a danger to NATO if Turkey is in NATO. For some reason they do not raise this question, but it is more significant than the question of the danger of Turkey’s rapprochement with Russia. It seems to me that they misinterpret the essence of the problem, which is that today Turkey is becoming more and more non-NATO country. But this is not the worst for them. The worst thing would be if Turkey, being in NATO, becomes an anti-NATO country. ”
Regarding the rapprochement with Russia, which the West fears so much, the expert said that this rapprochement will take place. This will happen because Turkey will move away from NATO: Erdogan was pushed to this by the United States. “This is about countering the technology of state coups, including under the guise of“ color ”revolutions,” the expert recalled. - Both Russia, Azerbaijan, and Iran, and Turkey either enter into the risk zone of using such technologies, or they have already been used against them. I would call this rapprochement "anti-color." Here Turkey should raise the question: how dangerous is cooperation with the West for it? Moreover, Erdogan openly says that it was the United States who had a hand in an attempt to overthrow him. ”
“If we are talking about cooperation, then it is necessary to separate military and economic cooperation,” said Andrei Epifintsev, head of the analytical agency Alte et Certe. - The rapprochement of Moscow and Ankara will, in any case, be tensely perceived by the West, but no one will protest publicly. It would be strange if any of the representatives of European states declared that we are against Erdogan going to Russia, this is impossible, this is a bad tone, it does not happen like that. On the other hand, they will watch over this intensely, and they can put a spoke in the wheels of some specific projects, for example, along a gas pipeline. They will do this because, in any case, they are not interested in bringing Turkey and Russia closer together. ”
Meanwhile, we add, the convergence occurs. And it happens, of course, not in the military sphere, but in the economic sphere. The two states resume full-fledged cooperation, including the construction of the Turkish Stream gas pipeline.
The construction of its first string should be completed by December 2019, lead "Vesti" words of Energy Minister Alexander Novak.
The implementation of the Turkish Stream project will begin shortly. However, if Russia does not receive legal guarantees from the EU in the interest of gas supplies, this project will be limited to one string. Moscow has sent Turkey a “roadmap” of the project. It is known that Ankara confirmed the desire to speed up the review of the project.
In addition, trade relations are improving. "The volume of trade between our countries, which amounted to 35 billion dollars, fell to 27 billion due to recent events. Our goal is to bring the volume of trade to 100 billion, and for this we will do everything we can," the channel quotes "Euronews" Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
We should not forget about tourism - the industry is extremely profitable for Ankara.
Vladimir Putin considers the resumption of air links with Turkey a “matter of technology and the near future”. Moscow received guarantees from Ankara for the safety of tourists from Russia, give Putin’s words "Vedomosti".
The publication reminds that due to the reduction in tourist traffic only in the first half of 2016 of the year, Turkey lost 840 million dollars. This was announced by presidential aide Yury Ushakov. In 2015, Turkey was visited by 3,6 million people, and in January-June - a total of 183.800 people. This is evidenced by data from the Ministry of Culture and Tourism of Turkey.
We add, however, about the strategic relations between Russia and Turkey, and even more so about the military alliance that other Western analysts hint at, and even more so about the split in NATO because of Turkey, cannot be counted on. Such assumptions are nothing more than regular propaganda horror stories, to the detriment of the rapprochement between Ankara and Moscow.
Strategic rapprochement and in general to any promising union of Moscow and Ankara, as before, are hampered by the opposing positions of the parties on Syria. As a matter of fact, the dissimilarity of the positions caused the conflict and the cooling of relations between the two states. There can be no hope that Erdogan will change his views on the “butcher” Assad (his definition). As for tourists, gas and tomatoes, here the parties have the most common pragmatic interest: money.
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