Russian plan of "Asian U-turn"

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Foreign experts believe that an economically slowing Russia does not intend to abandon the implementation of the “Asian U-turn” plan. According to some analysts, the Pacific Fleet of the Russian Federation with the newest submarines in the future will be the leading naval force in Asia. The basis of the "turn" will be the nuclear submarine class "Borey".



This writes in the publication "China Topix" Arthur Vilyasanta (Arthur Dominic Villasanta).

According to the analyst, the basis of "Pivot to Asia" will become the submarines of the class "Borey". The Russians are planning to deploy twelve such submarines, and three have already been put into service. The boats will be based at the Rybachy base (Kamchatka Peninsula).

The Russian Navy intends to place 6 boats in the North navy, the other six are in the Pacific Fleet.

The analyst recalls that the Borey-class submarine is capable of carrying up to two dozen nuclear missiles on board. And each of these missiles is equipped with ten individual-guided, split-off warheads. In addition, these submarines are extremely low noise.

Submarines will join the new Yasen class submarines with 4-made cruise missiles. The first submarine of the corresponding class entered service with the Russian fleet back in the 2014 year (K-329 "Severodvinsk"). Total Russia plans to build 12 boats. Seven of these submarines will be commissioned by 2017 year.

As a result, the “Asian U-turn” will make the Pacific Fleet the largest Russian navy. And this will happen in the next decade.

Political scientist, former diplomat M. Bhadrakumar in the publication Asia Times reminds that recently the Russians made it clear to the Chinese that Moscow is not eager to openly support Beijing in its territorial disputes (it was about the South China Sea). It was stated that Moscow is not going to intervene in the conflict. But a little later in the press there were reports of an agreement between the PRC and the Russian Federation on holding joint naval exercises - and just in the South China Sea. Contradiction? The expert does not think so.

First, these maneuvers were negotiated almost a year ago. Secondly, in recent years, Chinese-Russian exercises have become commonplace: maneuvers were held in the Black Sea and in the Mediterranean Sea and in the Far East. The maneuvers, the analyst notes, testify to the strengthening of the strategic partnership between the Kremlin and the Middle Kingdom. Third, exercises in the South China Sea may have nothing more than a symbolic effect.

The “Asian U-turn” mentioned above represents, in the opinion of the former diplomat, a certain “by-product” at the same time of the deterioration of relations with the West and the result of Moscow’s awareness of a simple fact: now Asia is becoming the center of world economic growth.

There is one more thing: the Russian geopolitical maneuver cannot be considered a “turn” only to China.

And most importantly. The analyst is convinced that the likelihood of the Russian Navy suddenly starting to conduct exercises with the Chinese in the area of ​​the disputed waters of the South China Sea should be completely excluded. This is clear already from the fact that the Kremlin has established long-term relations with Vietnam: this country has recently signed a free trade agreement with the EAEU, and this was the first such agreement. And another important thing: among the armaments supplied by Russia to Vietnam, there are submarines, cruise missiles, large anti-submarine ships, patrol ships and more. All of this is part of China’s Vietnamese strategic deterrence in relation to its operations in the South China Sea. In general, Moscow will not conduct exercises with China in the waters that Vietnam considers its own.

M. Bhadrakumar believes that Putin’s tactics are “infallible.” The results of the Russia-ASEAN summit (May 2016, Sochi) confirm the intentions of all participants to adhere to the strategy of mutually beneficial strategic partnership. Here we must understand that we are talking about the field of security. In addition, the Sochi document states that Moscow proposes to create a free trade zone for the EAEU and ASEAN, and such a zone could be the basis for a new common market, where states with a total GDP of four trillion dollars would operate. Finally, such a zone would be a Russian response to the initiative of the Trans-Pacific Partnership promoted by the Americans.

The analyst also notes that several ASEAN states at a summit in Sochi expressed the hope that Russia would take a neutral position regarding disputes over territories in the South China Sea.

As for the growing role of Russia in the field of regional security, the analyst does not attach much importance to it. In his opinion, the role of Russia "in the structure of Asian security" is minimal. Yes, the “Asian reversal” is like a certain cornerstone of strategic intentions, and yet hope is one thing, and reality is another. Russia's implementation of her hopes in life causes doubts in Bhadrakumar.

Disputes over the territories of the South China Sea do not constitute the leitmotif of the partnership between Moscow and Beijing. The main mission of the alliance of Russians and Chinese, the author admits, is to create the basis for changing the world order and achieving multipolarity. Yes, there are controversial issues: 1) did the Russian Federation express support for the PRC in territorial disputes; 2) whether Beijing recognized the annexation of Crimea to Russia. However, it is important here that both states adhere to the principle neutrality and at the same time resist the spread of American world hegemony.

So, as can be seen from the comments of experts, the “Asian U-turn” of Russia is not built on the recognition of anyone's interests (for example, Chinese) in Asia prevailing. The Kremlin takes into account the interests of all Asian partners and does not intend to play up to Beijing. Some speculations about sea maneuvers are more profitable for Americans than for Chinese: it is the appearance of the “hegemon” in any region that promises destabilization and disintegration. Proven historically. On the other hand, we must not forget that the United States will continue to play along with all those who challenge the islands in China.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
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    1. Dam
      +16
      August 8 2016
      The big game continues. Just like in a highlander: there will be only one. Russia is looking for allies, is friends with everyone who is ready not to be afraid of a shout from overseas. The truth is with us, we will win
      1. +15
        August 8 2016
        The highlander will be left alone and turn into a dragon - does he need this? You can’t even imagine for three.
        And about the allies, everything was already expressed by Alexander III.
        1. +7
          August 8 2016
          Quote: Holsten
          The highlander will be left alone and turn into a dragon - does he need this? You can’t even imagine for three.
          Well, if not into a dragon, but into our native Serpent-Gorynych it will turn, then "figure out for three" will be with someone - three heads smile
          In fact: Russia really should not go into local squabbles regarding the disputed islands - the Chinese are able to figure it out themselves. And they would have long ago resolved the situation peacefully had it not been for the active intervention of the Americans and the active arming of all the parties to the conflict by the States.
          1. +2
            August 8 2016
            [quote = Holsten] will turn into a dragon [/ quote]
            You somehow do not optimistically prophesy dear. Dragon symbol of the Middle Kingdom.

            [= Ami du peuple] Serpent-Gorynych will turn, then "figure out for three" will be with someone - three heads [/ quote]
            The serpent Gorynych is sleeping ...
            One head wakes up, the bubble pulls out, just gathered ...
            Here is the second "Whose are you, alone decided?" ...
            The first "shh, let's go quietly together"
            Well, they missed a glass, the third woke up
            "Aaaa, how to drink so together, but how so in three ..."
            1. 0
              August 8 2016
              To be honest, I thought that we all still remember the old Chinese tales: the tale of the dragon is a classic. And if I suddenly remember Mikhalkov's fable "The Lion and the Fly", will you drag the British Empire here?
          2. 0
            August 8 2016
            the Chinese are able to figure it out themselves.


            They are capable, and not only with the islands, but the Chinese need international support. This is much more significant than helping the physically weak. And it turns out that Russia and China are mutually covering each other on the international field.
        2. Dam
          -3
          August 8 2016
          Yes, what did you remember? Errors of diplomacy led to the first defense of Sevastopol
          1. 0
            August 8 2016
            This is when Alexander III defended Sevastopol? belay
        3. 0
          August 8 2016
          Otherwise, no one, unfortunately, never succeeded. Too tasty and fun to be a dragon. sad
          Let us hope that success will not turn our heads. To master the whole universe!
      2. +8
        August 8 2016
        Submarines will join the new Yasen class submarines with 4-made cruise missiles. The first submarine of the corresponding class entered service with the Russian fleet back in the 2014 year (K-329 "Severodvinsk"). Total Russia plans to build 12 boats. Seven of these submarines will be commissioned by 2017 year.


        What did I just read?))) The article is heavily seasoned with delirium.
        1. +3
          August 8 2016
          Quote: Su24
          What did I just read?))) The article is heavily seasoned with delirium.

          with Boreas, similarly - according to plan, 8 Boreans and 7 Ash-trees, and all for now ... God forbid, by year 25
        2. +1
          August 8 2016
          Quote: Su24
          The article is heavily seasoned with delirium.

          Well, about the boats - this is well-known to everyone. But where did the article come from that:
          Among the weapons supplied by Russia to Vietnam, there are submarines, cruise missiles, large anti-submarine ships, patrol ships and more.

          After all, we did not supply anything to the SRV larger than the Gepard-type SKR (displacement of 2100 tons). Yes, the boat is good for BMZ, but it clearly does not pull on the BOD!
    2. +9
      August 8 2016
      "In his opinion, the role of Russia 'in the structure of Asian security' is minimal."
      Even if the astronomer does not see the planet yet, he is able to guess its existence by the motion of celestial bodies, which it affects. Analysts can write anything, but Russia still exists and influences.
    3. +2
      August 8 2016
      Support China ?!
      He didn’t support us a lot ?! Especially after the announcement of the sanctions.
      1. +5
        August 8 2016
        Quote: Valery Valery
        Support China ?!
        He didn’t support us a lot ?! Especially after the announcement of the sanctions.

        Politically? Yes! And he supported us and we did it. But no more. We don’t need to climb into the South China Sea, it will cost more. In words, anything can be promised and supported, including by declarations, but not by troops.
    4. +2
      August 8 2016
      As a result, the “Asian U-turn” will make Pacific fleet by the largest Russian navy. And this will happen in the next decade.

      Hopefully that will be so. So that some Western and Japanese heads no longer want to pump their rights, especially Russia, in this region.
      1. +1
        August 8 2016
        Quote: rotmistr60
        As a result, the “Asian U-turn” will make the Pacific Fleet the largest Russian navy. And this will happen in the next decade.
        It is to be hoped that this will be the case.

        Life (layout on the arena) will force us to engage in Far East and Pacific Fleet. The US has already climbed into the Asia-Pacific region, having redirected 60% of its fleet to this region.
        Analysts unanimously say that the center of world development is moving to the Asia-Pacific region. Therefore, for at least 2 reasons, we will seriously deal with this issue:
        1. It is necessary, together with the PRC, to resist the hegemony of the States, and, on the other hand, to balance China by supporting India and Vietnam
        2. Pacific Fleet is one of our strategic fleets with open access to the Ocean. (Amov do not have a stationary GAS system similar to SOSUS in the Atlantic. SURTASS is quickly identified by the location of NK carriers.) And this facilitates the exit of our rpcSN / plasma systems into the open ocean.
        And then, we are far from indifferent to beneficial economic ties with Asian "tigers" and "dragons"!
    5. +3
      August 8 2016
      With China only at a distance, in the arms - in no case.
      1. 0
        August 8 2016
        Quote: Viktor fm
        With China only at a distance, in the arms - in no case.


        funny as it sounds, but in relations with the Chinese, on their part, personal relations and sympathies play a large role.
        those. at some points, no one is looking at the contract, and the actions and time taken to make the right decision are evaluated.
        Well, yes, you need to be extremely correct with them and preferably without emotions, but about trust, there is no 100% speech.
    6. +2
      August 8 2016
      By teaming up with China and maybe even with India, we can destroy the dictatorship of the United States. We must move in this direction. And then we will be able to agree with everyone about the new equal and fair order of the world order. Conflicts, and even more so the military, never brought anyone to good.
      1. +1
        August 8 2016
        Between modern China and India, there is an insoluble territorial dispute and two military conflicts (1962, 1967), which no one has forgotten in India. Therefore, the presence of these two states in one "union" (of any type) is unlikely. China itself does not seek any alliances either, considering itself God's chosen one.
        1. +1
          August 8 2016
          In September 2014 there was a visit comrade Xi to India (Modi only became Prime Minister of India). In May 2015, a return visit. They have a turnover of 13g. was 70 billion .. In short, China wants to take a good part in the development of India, only to develop transp. infrastructure and ports in India wants to lay out over 100 billion .. And this is only two hundred. visits. And at the last meeting on the sidelines of the SCO (the entry of India and Pakistan into the organization), Modi said that he wants to finally resolve all issues with the PRC in order to move forward without barriers. So on the contrary, integration in Asia is gaining momentum. By the way, they talk about trade in nat. currencies.
          Both countries are nuclear powers and I think they also have an understanding that war is unacceptable. They are not brainless. Valery, if you are not aware, then Comrade. On July 1 of this year, Xi made an interesting statement about a military-political alliance with the Russian Federation (EAEU, CSTO). Further, Lavrov confirmed that work is "in full swing" to unite the EAEU projects with the Silk Road (read the Customs Union with the PRC - this is already slipping through).
          I agree that for all the time thousands. the history of China such statements by the leaders of the Middle Kingdom did not make the more serious should be taken. And see for yourself who at the Army Games speaks in all disciplines and even planned to conduct joint naval exercises in the South China Sea (this is where the Beijing islands are being built)? The Chinese even remember that they came to the Black Sea to take part in joint exercises (what to write about the Mediterranean). Then, from whom are the Chinese buying advanced weapons and with whom are they planning to build a plane with a helicopter? And you write that does not seek anywhere. hi
    7. 0
      August 8 2016
      On the other hand, do not forget that the United States will continue to play along with all those who dispute the islands with China.

      The most correct policy to support in the framework of international norms and rules. Well, then China itself will cope.
    8. +4
      August 8 2016
      Yes, the Sino-Indian conflict occurred during Khrushchev, who incidentally insulted Mao by the fact that instead of a trip to the celebration of the decade of the PRC, he wandered the fields of Iowa and was friends with Jawaharlar Nehru ...
      Then, after twenty years, I, a little bit, but took part in servicing our war with China that had almost begun because of their conflict with Vietnam.
      So there is just a bag of cobras: Japan, the USA, both Korea, Thailand, China, the Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam, India, Indonesia, Malaysia. In China, on the border with Kazakhstan Igilovtsy rustle.
      Any careless movement can cost a lot.
      Because respectful neutrality of Russia is very, very justified ...
    9. +1
      August 8 2016
      Hi!! All this was. As you quickly forgot. In the 20th century, the USSR also created such a movement after 1945. In fact, the collapse of the Empires began in those years. And we supported the young states. In Asia, the colonies collapsed before. Reading the story is only for that. Now it’s as if they were silent about it, and since the year 60, the liberation of African countries has begun. The movement of non-aligned countries. The USSR stood at the origins of the movement.
      1. +1
        August 8 2016
        At the origins of the Non-Aligned Movement were Tito, Nehru and Nasser.
    10. 0
      August 8 2016
      the article is full of inaccuracies and conjectures, the author exaggerated by the number of missiles and rockets, if over time we can rivet 12, then no one will build as many ash trees as it is, it’s not without reason that they call it a goldfish, and modernized 3rd generation pl can partially replace them
      1. +1
        August 8 2016
        Quote: _NortoN_
        ash trees certainly will not be built as much, it is not without reason that they call it a goldfish, and upgraded 3rd generation pl can partially replace them

        Two words.
        1. Price and dimensions led to the fact that "Seawulf" of 26 buildings was sold only in 3. Then they were replaced by "Virginia". A similar fate awaits the 885 project. It is not for nothing that there is already talk about "Husky".
        2. The boats of the 3rd generation are good for everyone. The modernized ones were equal in noise level to the Elks ... BUT! Moose are systematically being withdrawn from the AMS Navy! Investing in "yesterday"? And who will resist the Virginias?
    11. 0
      August 8 2016
      I agree, Norton, about the inaccuracies of the article.
      There will not only be a turn to the east, but I have already written, and I will write that in the future, it is the military-political alliance with the Celestial Empire that will be able to resist the hegemony of the USA and its satellites, the main one in the person of the EU.
      So "we want to do it, and with this, and eat a fish, and sit on something" - will not work. We'll have to write for China.
    12. -1
      August 8 2016
      In-in, the Japanese still have not answered us for Tsushima, and there, give them the Kuril Islands. Have a bite!
      1. 0
        August 9 2016
        To say where to put this minus, hiring ukrofashizma?
    13. -1
      August 8 2016
      Why are you all against supporting China? I think it’s better to show the mattresses and cross-eyed strength on paper and military rather than hide.
    14. +1
      August 8 2016
      Manjnamara was enough for us, now this Brahmudamar is also enough.
    15. +3
      August 8 2016
      Seven of these submarines will be commissioned by 2017.

      on this line could not stand it.
      right now, for the year, we’ll immediately accept 6 Ash-trees, and then 50 Tu-160M2 at once.
      What kind of vegetables do these articles write?
      And where does the figure of 12 Boreev come from? In addition, the Boreas by no means determine the power of the fleet, because are strategic missile carriers. It’s stupid to join them in battle. For this, there are just far more perfect 885 Ash trees for these tasks. Of which there is already one!
      Do not take it for pessimism, just facts and logic.
    16. The comment was deleted.
    17. +1
      August 8 2016
      Stupid article.
      To fight the Boreas, it’s like letting Poplars in battle formations near the tanks.
      But boats and ships from the Kyrgyz Republic to the Pacific Fleet would not hurt.
      Yes, just new ships ...
    18. +2
      August 8 2016
      According to some analysts, the Pacific Fleet of the Russian Federation with the latest submarines in the future will turn out to be the leading naval force in Asia.

      And in fact:
      (http://www.chinatopix.com/articles/96916/20160731/russia-s-powerful-new-submari



      nes-lead-russian-navy-pivot-asia.htm)
      Despite a gradually weakening economic foundation, Russia has embarked on its own "Pivot to Asia" gamble that will ultimately see the Russian Navy's Pacific Fleet become its strongest with the deployment of most of its newest nuclear attack and ballistic missile submarines to Asia.

      My translation:
      Despite the gradually weakening economic foundation, Russia is rising to its own "foothold in Asia", and is playing a game that will ultimately see the Russian Pacific fleet become the strongest compared to what it has ever been after after he will deploy most of his newest attack-type nuclear submarines and ballistic missiles.

      That is, nowhere is it said that he will be the strongest or "leading force" in Asia. I don't think it would even occur to reasonable people to say that because of the submarines any fleet has become the leading force. This is, in general, absurd. Both world wars, especially the second, have shown that there is nowhere else to go.
    19. Cat
      +1
      August 8 2016
      I’ll express my opinion, Russia, unlike the United States, which plays in the odds on the principle of divide and conquer, has chosen a completely different path. The road to compromise, friendship, alliances. Moreover, compromises that are extremely complex are sometimes a priori unsolvable, and friendships and alliances are on equal and worthy terms. This is our path and should be respected.
      The more stupid Western politicians look, whining about democracy, but melting at the origins of modern terrorism, talking about the rule of law, but living the principles of double standards. The list goes on .....
      Ps our sub-fleet is one of the factors that will make our "partners" respect our choice and follow their own path.
    20. +1
      August 9 2016
      What a beauty in the photo.

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