Analytical program "However" with Mikhail Leontiev, July 24 2016
Taking advantage of the failed rebellion, Erdogan consolidates his power, having received on that the obvious grounds and newly discovered opportunities. The freedom-loving western, and behind it the corresponding public of us for this Erdogan is a nightmare imagining him either paranoid, or Islamist, or both.
However, hello!
It is reported that the total number of thousands of military personnel detained in the 10000, 7,5 area, of which, it is true, 1200 has already been released, is mainly an ordinary force. As for the generals, at least one third have been cleaned. The purges in areas such as justice and education can be judged by the following figures: 3000 of the justice system are suspended, of which half are judges, 15000 officials of the Ministry of Education, 21000 private school teachers are denied a license, and thousands of university deans are dismissed by 1,5. Total cleansing affected about 60000 people.
Representatives of the European Union officially called the actions of Erdogan after the coup "unacceptable". The Washington Post complains that “after such coups, populist leaders such as Erdogan, as a rule, are responding with tougher repression and paranoid policies.
The lists were drawn up in advance, human rights activists are indignant. He knew, he knew! He clearly knew, but could not do anything. For example, Erdogan ordered the closure of all Gülen schools in the country, and the court overturned his decision. In general, it is necessary to understand that it was the Gülen schools that were the source of manpower, with the help of which Erdogan together with his then ally Gülen forced out the Kemalists. And first of all, it concerned justice, education and media. When Erdogan calls it parallel power and cancer, he is not far from the truth. Generally, such a semantic module is being introduced: here, a certain army, white and fluffy, the guarantor of a secular state, modernization and all sorts of rights and freedoms, and evil and savage Islamist Erdogan, paranoidly pursuing non-existent enemies. But agree, as long as the enemies really exist, to pursue them, perhaps this is not very Christian, but it’s definitely not paranoid. As for the fluffiness of the Turkish army.
After the coup of 80, the last year, when the army openly used force, up to 650 thousands were arrested. More than one and a half million were blacklisted, about 400 journalists were convicted, more than 500 people were executed.
That is, Erdogan is a boy, compared to his army opponents, at least for now. What do you think? Why did not any of the opposition parties, including the Kemalists, support the coup? Because anyone who knows today's Turkey understands that the victory of the military is repression incomparable in scale to Erdoganov, if not just a bloody civil war. And, finally, from our bell tower: after the coup of 60, the Turkish secular military elite is absolutely pro-American and pro-NATO. This is the guarantor of even non-so much secularism as Turkey’s following in the wake of Washington. What is this joy to us?
“Already now, it can be said that about 25% of the Turkish officer corps has been arrested, and this is mainly the top generals, these are the commanders of individual units, the chiefs of staff, the commanders of military bases - those who, as a rule, conduct military planning, in the coming months and maybe even the years the Turkish army will be greatly weakened. The officers, officers will be demoralized and depressed and, of course, it will be difficult to expect any initiative from the army. This is likely to affect Turkey’s foreign policy. In addition, recently there is a lot of evidence that high-ranking commanders of the Turkish special forces - one of the strongest special forces within NATO - were directly involved in the coup. In addition to the officers, the blow of repression will have to be on special forces, to one degree or another, and this, of course, will weaken Turkish capabilities in Syria, ”said Alexander Vasilyev, senior researcher at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
That's fine. To date, the strengthening of Erdogan in Turkish politics is directly proportional to the weakening of the Turkish army. Let me assume that if we have common interests with Erdogan, then we definitely have no common interests with the Turkish army. As for Islamization. There is such a problem.
“Erdogan’s call to take to the streets against the coup was answered by quite a lot of Syrian refugees, quite a lot of religious radicals responded, and recently there are more and more facts that these people took an active part in the opposition to the military. It was these people who lynched the innocent military and privates on the bridge over the Bosphorus. And, apparently, these same people will be able to become a kind of power resource for Erdogan in domestic and even in foreign policy for a period of weakening the army, ”said Alexander Vasiliev.
Nothing good can be expected from this public, but I would like to look at alternatives. Here, they say that the version of Islam Erdogan is tougher and more fundamentalist than the "version of Gülen." The fact is that the "version of Gülen" is more adapted to the interests of the CIA. As outside of Turkey, which is essential for us, and within Turkey, as it turned out now.
"For Erdogan, personally defeating the military is a great success. Therefore, he was absolutely right and obviously completely sincere when he declared to the crowd of his comrades-in-arms that it was a gift of God, this coup, which would allow him to significantly strengthen his own power", notes Alexander Vasilyev.
Erdogan is not shy of luck and smashing his own army. Out of intelligence, we should be embarrassed by the fact that Erdogan is being driven to our side and undermines, by the way, the southern flank of NATO.
From the film “Turkish Gambit”:
- You give a pawn, Efendi, but the laws of hospitality do not allow you to take advantage of your mistake.
- Yusuf Pasha, chess is a war, and there is no law in a war.
In matters of national security there are no laws of politeness.
However, goodbye!
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