Over the course of 2012, the oil price will not fall below 100 dollars per barrel.

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"Despite the three-digit oil price held during 2010 of the year, the US economy was able to withstand," writes The New York Times. "These lessons, according to economists, can be useful in the future, as these prices are likely to remain on this same level. "

Iran threatens to block approximately 20% of world oil supplies, blocking the passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz, if western countries attempt to prevent oil exports from Iran in an attempt to hinder Iran’s nuclear program. In addition, instability in Iraq threatens the prospects for increased production of Iraqi oil.

According to some investment banks, prices for benchmark oil at New York auction in 2012 will average $ 110 per barrel, while Brent oil, which affects the price of oil in most parts of the world, will be about $ 115 per barrel, write the article authors Rick Gladstone and Dayan Cardwell.

“The possibility of interruptions in the supply of oil in 2012 due to Iran’s countermeasures, I think, added to the cost of oil 10-20 dollars on an ongoing basis,” said Bernard Baumol, the main global economist at Economic Outlook Group. There is a danger that oil will move to 130-dollar mark or even higher. This can happen in the event of increased confrontation. Then we can talk about the prospect of immersion of European countries and the United States in recession. The global economy can expect a significant recession. "

According to economists, prices will remain high, despite the relative weakness of the European and American economies, since the global demand for various petroleum products, primarily diesel fuel, is constantly growing.

"There is an opinion that the high cost of oil will continue throughout the 2012 year. This is due to the premise that the developing economies of the rest of the world will increase fuel consumption," said Tom Clause, who is the main oil analyst at Oil Price Information Service.

At the same time, there is uncertainty in the forecasts - according to some analysts, the cost will eventually drop much lower due to increased production in North America and Libya, or even sharply fall in the event of an economic collapse in Europe.
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    1. wk
      0
      3 January 2012 07: 37
      All these fortune-telling on coffee grounds is nothing, it’s hard to predict the unpredictable, but you can guess!
      1. Lech e-mine
        0
        3 January 2012 08: 40
        The World Bank (WB) in its next report worsened the forecast for the development of the Russian economy and did not exclude “shock” scenarios for the Russian Federation. As the correspondent of RIA "New Region", in the worst case scenario - a "severe shock", which was prepared by WB experts, amid the crisis of the world's leading economies, oil prices could fall to $ 2012 per barrel in 60, resulting in the Russian economy will enter a recession and demonstrate negative growth rates (-1,5%).




    2. rysich
      +2
      3 January 2012 07: 45
      For oil-producing countries, the outlook is good. There is no longer a former dependence on the state of the economy of the USA and Europe. Now the situation in developing countries, especially in China, is affecting the price of oil.
    3. 0
      3 January 2012 07: 47
      It is difficult to guess what the price is today, what tomorrow, the time will come, we will all see.
    4. +1
      3 January 2012 08: 51
      And our leadership (even when the "great" Kudrin was in it) does not have a coherent program on how to get off the oil needle. While the price is high, we still need to develop structures, transport, for example.
    5. petor41
      0
      3 January 2012 09: 42
      On December 29, there was an article from the video of Mikhail Leontyev's program "The Big American Hole", there was a conversation in part 4 of the program that there is some shale oil, which is everywhere, in all countries, but it is difficult to extract, and the Americans found a way to cheap production and that its cost by 2015 will be $ 10-20 per barrel !!! I am not an expert in this area, but these words somehow made me uncomfortable !!
      1. Lech e-mine
        0
        3 January 2012 10: 20
        THIS is pure advertising of Pindos. One of them is dangerous for the environment. Two is still expensive compared to traditional gas production.
        1. 0
          3 January 2012 11: 04
          The technology of shale gas extraction, voiced in Leontyev's film "The Big American Hole", in general, is not new. This is a conventional directional (horizontal, along the formation) drilling, followed by hydraulic fracturing. This method has been used for a very long time in our country on marginal and depleted oil and gas fields. This is with regard to gas, and yes, somewhere I came across information that the United States is reducing imports of natural gas, in particular from Qatar and Egypt, which in turn will compete with Gazprom in Europe, since these importers are reoriented to the European market.
    6. dred
      +1
      3 January 2012 11: 08
      Good news.
    7. 0
      3 January 2012 11: 17
      With it, the price of oil will drop, what are the prerequisites ??? Is the USA out of the crisis? Here, as the Law of Contradictions, the worse things are in the US economy, the greater is the instability in the world, as it is necessary to maintain the value of the dollar with virtually unsecured paper .
    8. 0
      3 January 2012 17: 21
      Do not go to a fortuneteller to catch up to 200 $. Yes, and Iran is not Libya .... Now everyone in Europe is wondering ... Why did it carry us to Libya ... And why does it carry them to Iran and Syria .... I think that it could not do without ours .. .
    9. 0
      3 January 2012 19: 56
      Oil is not endless and everyone wants to drive cars, so it will not get cheaper.

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