Military Review

The blockade of Kaliningrad. Unscientific science fiction

176
The frank exacerbation of the situation on our borders in the area of ​​the states of the border countries (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland) made us think over the perennial question "Who benefits?" It is clear to whom it is profitable, and so it is, but how and why? And, most importantly, what to expect from outright hysteria around Russia?



Reasonable people, even living in the above four (and there, no doubt, there are such), it is clear that Russia will not attack anyone. Due to the complete inappropriateness. However, the maneuvers are a series, and the maneuvers, you know, are not at all defensive in any way.

In general, it would be possible to say more in detail about this, but it suffices to ask one single question: who has defended NATO in recent years for 30? And that is all.

So, no one will be defended now. And if there is no defense ... Further, I think everything is clear and true.

But all these movements of the mighty Baltic armies, the deployment of military contingents and armored vehicles so far arouses on the Russian side only either laughter or concern. No more.

However, the increased pushing of Finland and Sweden into NATO makes us think very hard about the consequences.

One cannot argue that in NATO very often “dull” by Zadornov sit. Not. There are quite professionals who can draw conclusions from previous situations. And they are well aware of the current state of affairs in Russia.

And there is an opinion (and it is not only my personal one) that behind all these jumps and grimaces there can be more than a concern for the fate of the poor border countries, who are again threatened by Russian occupation. Namely, a far-reaching mnogohodovka, the purpose of which is our western enclave. Kaliningrad.

In general, Kaliningrad has a lot in common with the Crimea. Only the situation is much worse geographically. Russia is too far, anyway. The bridge is not laid, and the cable does not throw. And the environment is worse not to find, completely from galloping and "loving."

And then the unscientific nefi-fiction begins. Vangovanie if you want. Which, however, has a certain meaning. I will explain why.

Today it is already possible to say with confidence that the situation with the Crimea has almost settled down. And in fact, the whole world has come to terms (forgive my tautology) with the fact that Crimea is Russia. And that there is no way to cope with any blockades, if only because it is unrealistic to block the peninsula in the sea, where the Russian Navy is ruled by a ball. And in the Crimea itself there is enough power and technology to reach Kiev or Bucharest. And it will be enough - during the day you can throw.

With Kaliningrad everything is much more complicated and sad.

First, a few questions for overclocking.

1. Are sabotage actions in the territories of the above countries, directed towards the Kaliningrad region, modeled on the Crimea possible?

The answer is yes. Finding modern “forest brothers” in Lithuania is easy. And undermine a pair of power lines, too. Another thing is that, in contrast to the Crimea, Kaliningrad is energy independent, moreover, in 2014, it even exported electricity to the same Lithuania. But such actions on the "Crimean scenario" can affect, and significantly, the balance of the system, tied exactly to the Lithuanian networks.

2. Is land blockade of Kaliningrad possible?

The answer is yes. Moreover, spent by Poland. I do not mean the blockade of "Night Wolves", but perennial altercations about the cargo transit between Poland and Russia. As for Lithuania, then everything is transparent. Will order from above - the borders will be closed. And the reason ... the reason today is easy to find. And there, from where the order will be given, no doubt will find it.

3. Is a sea blockade of Kaliningrad possible?

Not at the moment. However, if Finland and Sweden decide to join NATO, any possible development of the situation is possible.

In general, if we speak about the naval blockade and all the consequences related to this issue, then difficulties may arise. The Gulf of Finland is still the gut in which you can quite easily arrange a provocation in terms of shipping. And there and before breaking the border of someone from the neighbors hand in hand.

Which of these can benefit, I do not dare to say yet. But according to the experience of the last century, I can say that Russia and the USSR were quite successfully blocked in the Gulf of Finland.

4. Is air blockade of Kaliningrad possible?

Obviously possible. Close to its airspace for Russian aircraft can any of the countries. How did Ukraine. Base? And who needs a foundation today, especially if there is a master's order?

Moreover, the practice of the Turkish incident showed that if you really want to shoot down someone's plane, then there are no particular problems. According to the Turkish scenario, issue a couple of protests, and then calmly slam a rocket around the plane. And not necessarily fighting. The main thing is to have a reason. For example, if an airplane wing on the 3 seconds goes beyond the line of the air border.

Proceeding from these, let's say, rather amateurish reasoning, I don’t strive to prove that tomorrow NATO will begin the blockade of Kaliningrad. I am only discussing a hypothetical possibility. It turns out that in the future this possibility may take place.

Moreover, pay attention to where the NATO soldiers have been maneuvering and learning lately? And where are the new forces introduced?

Not Romania. Not Hungary. Not Bulgaria. That is, not those who are relatively close to the Crimea. There is silence and grace. But in the north of hysteria and saber weapons. And full preparation for repelling aggression. And if in translation - then to the aggression itself.

Yes, it is possible that strangling Kaliningrad will not work. But in this case, NATO still does not mean nothing. Just because the main Russia will be forced to intercede for its enclave. It can't be otherwise. But there is complexity. Yes, if you block the train and auto-message, it is still flowers. But seriously take up the airspace and sea lanes?

With the air, everything is sad, because you have to fly around through the Baltic Sea. I am not an expert, therefore I will not seriously discuss this topic due to incompetence. But in any case, air transport is unrealistic to supply the million population of the region. Proved by Transnistria.

There is a sea route. And here there is a field plowed for various claims and provocations. The benefit of all this is more secure than disassembly in the air.

The list of claims that can be thought out and voiced has been developed for a long time and not by us. The list of those who can complicate navigation in the area is also. Lithuania in particular. "Sea Wars" with arrests, inspections, claims - all this is quite old.

It is clear that the main task of the Balts is to raise the maximum hype and demand once again protection from Russia, brazenly trampling on their maritime lines. It is clear that they can raise the noise. Besides noise, nothing else, since the naval forces of any of the Baltic countries are laughter. Poland looks a little better with its retired American corvettes and Danish submarines. But still funny.

But this can not be said about Germany. As well as the Swedish Navy. These are the two most serious forces in the region, especially the Germans.

Yes, you cannot discount our ground forces. But this is not about war, so far, at least. We are talking about possible pressure on us with the help of half-police sanctions. From which to confrontation at hand.

There is no fire without smoke. The increased activity of the countries of the NATO bloc in the Baltic Sea region is so far only smoke. And Kaliningrad is a pain point on which our potential opponents can easily strike.
Author:
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  1. Andrey Yuryevich
    Andrey Yuryevich 9 June 2016 06: 32
    +24
    Yesterday, a Polish journalist, Yakub Koreyba, (a sickly son of Shchukin) generally stated that Poland itself would develop and equip its formidable army with nuclear (atomic) weapons, and then Russia would be a kapets ... crying
    1. Simpsonian
      Simpsonian 9 June 2016 06: 34
      +6
      Pakistan and North Korea were able ...
      1. cth; fyn
        cth; fyn 9 June 2016 06: 40
        +26
        Nuclear weapons without delivery vehicles are almost nothing, but delivery vehicles, and even those that would have cracked the air defense, are too tough for Poland, even the United States has certain problems with this.
        1. Simpsonian
          Simpsonian 9 June 2016 07: 05
          +1
          Pakistan and North Korea and delivery vehicles could.
          1. cth; fyn
            cth; fyn 9 June 2016 08: 03
            +12
            And can they overcome the modern air defense shield? There are delivery vehicles at the level of the 60s of the last century. Is there a multi-head system with target simulators, shunting engines like on point missiles or iskander? Are there electronic warfare facilities and so on. The fact that they piled and s-75 knocked down.
            1. pol_ovnik
              pol_ovnik 9 June 2016 09: 58
              +7
              Comrade the little lieutenant does not quite own the sum of objective conditions. He operates with facts, but does not take into account their properties. (or hides)))
              1. Inok10
                Inok10 9 June 2016 11: 17
                +22
                Yes, it is possible that strangling Kaliningrad will not work. But in this case, NATO still does not mean nothing. Just because the main Russia will be forced to intercede for its enclave. It can't be otherwise. But there is complexity. Yes, if you block the train and auto-message, it is still flowers. But seriously take up the airspace and sea lanes?

                With the air, everything is sad, because you have to fly around through the Baltic Sea. I am not an expert, therefore I will not seriously discuss this topic due to incompetence. But in any case, air transport is unrealistic to supply the million population of the region. Proved by Transnistria.

                There is a sea route. And here there is a field plowed for various claims and provocations. The benefit of all this is more secure than disassembly in the air.

                The list of claims that can be thought out and voiced has been developed for a long time and not by us. The list of those who can complicate navigation in the area is also. Lithuania in particular. "Sea Wars" with arrests, inspections, claims - all this is quite old.

                ... my respect Roman Batkovich ... hi ... I’ve gotten into fear with the people ... let's figure it out ... an energy blockade, it can’t be because the Kaliningrad region does not have electricity supplies from Lithuania and Poland ... well, with the exception of Rybachy on the Curonian Spit and that’s all. .. CHP 2 completely covers the needs of the region and plus its own hydro generation for the balance of the power system, the power system of the Kaliningrad Region is separate ... further, when closing the airspace of Lithuania, flights will actually go through the Baltic Sea in international airspace, and will not be interrupted shipping in the same international waters, the Kaliningrad-St. Petersburg ferry will operate properly ... Roman Batkovich, you are a military man ... what happens if you try to detain or inspect a Russian ship in international waters ?! ... Russia has the right to use force ... DKBF from Baltiysk has not gone anywhere ... hi and a map for everyone, with the borders of the Baltic Sea states (purple lines) ... we have everywhere direct access to the international airspace and the international waters of the Baltic ... narrow for 12 km in the Gulf of Finland. everything, but there is ... hi
                P.S. ... well, it’s easy to leave all of Pridaldosia without electricity for at least two weeks, one cable comes by sea to Estonia from Finland, the second again through the sea to Lithuania from Sweden, the so-called Baltic Ring ... that's all .. Two KZ and Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania have been sitting without light for at least 2 weeks ... on how to mount a coupling, or rather an insert with two couplings on a submarine cable, this is not a joke, two inserts and four couplings, and for sure each line is also redundant , then 4 inserts and 8 couplings ... well, you also need to find the place of damage ... laughing
                1. alex-defensor
                  alex-defensor 9 June 2016 15: 07
                  +18
                  The blockade is an act of war. Therefore, an attempt to "block" Russia in the Gulf of Finland is a war. And in case of war, it is not a problem for us to "cut through" the land access to Kaliningrad. Won, from Belarus to Kaliningrad - 80 km in a straight line. Well, yes, through Lithuania, and a little Poland, nootk is the war!
                2. spravochnik
                  spravochnik 10 June 2016 15: 20
                  0
                  What is most outrageous in this situation is that during the times of the "insidious, terrible, totalitarian" USSR, West Berlin and the FRG were connected by ground corridors, and in modern "democratic" Europe there is only talk about any special conditions for transit to Kaliningrad cause hysterics. request
                3. MAD_SERGANT
                  MAD_SERGANT 11 June 2016 13: 32
                  0
                  Regarding the cable from estonia to pig, this cable is neither to the village nor to the city, it is mainly used as a backup, in case ... But if you just shut off the gas, then there will already be a problem. Because the Iru TPP, which is located near Tallinn, operates on it, and we have not yet built gas storage facilities))). So if you slap estonia, then just turn off the gas))), as in the "Brilliant hand"
                4. kuz363
                  kuz363 11 June 2016 14: 14
                  0
                  "Yes, narrowly in the Gulf of Finland 12 km. in total" I did not understand why so little? After all, territorial waters occupy 12 nautical miles from the coast. But if we take 2 miles from 12 sides of the Gulf of Finland and a narrow passage of 12 miles, then what, the width of the bay is only 36 nautical miles? Maybe you meant the economic zone of states? But it is not considered territorial!
              2. cth; fyn
                cth; fyn 9 June 2016 12: 03
                +4
                Well, give the facts that Poland will be able in the foreseeable future to create a tactical nuclear missile launcher that can overcome our defense, and strike, for example, at the Kremlin.
                I am generally silent about the strategist.
                In Korea, there was already an article on VO about their rockets and they didn’t push me their successes
            2. Simpsonian
              Simpsonian 9 June 2016 14: 45
              +2
              Airplanes overcome airplanes, the modern Patriots of the Scuda shoots down once.
              1. Svidetel 45
                Svidetel 45 10 June 2016 22: 29
                +1
                Exactly "every other time", and for these dwarfs only a few times it will be enough for the eyes to throw a few "pills" of 300-400 kilotons.
          2. pol_ovnik
            pol_ovnik 9 June 2016 09: 53
            +3
            For the next couple of decades, you don't have to worry about these "delivery vehicles". And then either the donkey dies or the emir.
            Do you at least a little bit (well, at least at the level of a secondary school) imagine the totality of all resources (including human resources) for building the first carrier of the first warhead capable of reaching Kaliningrad? I humbly keep silent about Moscow. And here is the crisis in the Poles to help.
            No, well, if you push, then everything can be done. And .. do the Poles want to push? they’re not Russians, they’re not used to pushing themselves to the bone.
            1. Simpsonian
              Simpsonian 9 June 2016 14: 53
              +2
              It was close somewhere in Poland, from there it flew 70 years ago. Do you think they are in terms of the head of the bones of those Pakistanis and North Koreans who succeeded?

              Akuzenka on this page is right ...
            2. The comment was deleted.
          3. kos2910
            kos2910 9 June 2016 10: 31
            +3
            Pakistan and North Korea and delivery vehicles could.

            What they have goes astray S-300/400 at max. Their development at the level of 60-70s
            1. Simpsonian
              Simpsonian 9 June 2016 14: 48
              +2
              S-300 mid 70s, works on such ballistic only in catch-up.
            2. The comment was deleted.
      2. USSR 1971
        USSR 1971 9 June 2016 06: 47
        +46
        Russia has one way out of the situation. To be a strong power with a modern and combat-ready army, normal power at the helm. Then let them at least obtyafkayutsya.
      3. Andrey Yuryevich
        Andrey Yuryevich 9 June 2016 07: 28
        +10
        Quote: Simpsonian
        Pakistan and North Korea were able ...

        Poland, unlike them, is not independent, it is a dwarf spitz in a purse of Europe, who will allow it?
        1. AK64
          AK64 9 June 2016 10: 14
          +11
          Poland, unlike them, is not independent, it’s a dwarf spitz in a purse of Europe,


          Rather, the United States. And the Polish government acts objectively to the collapse of Europe.

          Once this government has already hinted that "it would not be necessary" (the Europeans hinted, not ours) --- but the Poles are surprisingly narrow-minded people. (A Pole in Britain is a Chukchi of Soviet jokes)
          1. Andrey Yuryevich
            Andrey Yuryevich 9 June 2016 13: 31
            +2
            Quote: AK64
            Rather, the United States.
            I don’t think ... it’s one thing to escalate, another to deal with nuclear weapons. Europe is certainly stupid, but the instinct for self-preservation, I think it will work.
            1. AK64
              AK64 9 June 2016 18: 27
              +4
              Quote: AK64
              Rather, the United States.

              I don’t think ...

              /shrugged/

              one thing is to escalate, another is to deal with nuclear weapons.

              Who will give the Poles nuclear weapons? Yourself? Oh well...

              Europe is certainly stupid, but the instinct for self-preservation, I think it will work.

              The EU isn’t stupid at all - don’t think people are dumber than themselves.
              I personally reason like this: If I don’t understand something, then you just need to dig deeper.

              Today there is an economic confrontation between the EU and the USA - this is a fact.
              Putin und Ko seeks integration with the EU ("Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok"). The US is driving a wedge between the two in the fight against the EU

              Well, Poland ... And Poland is a US Trojan horse in the EU. The EU believes (not without reason) that they will gradually digest the horse. But slight indigestion in the process is still observed
          2. Persistent
            Persistent 9 June 2016 21: 20
            0
            Pole in Britain - this is the Chukchi Sovetsky jokes

            Respect !!!! good laughing
          3. Svidetel 45
            Svidetel 45 10 June 2016 22: 36
            +2
            These Poles, in their Russophobia and anti-Russian anger, rely on the help of the West, they are sure that the West is ready to go to a nuclear war with Russia for them, for whom history really does not teach anything, they have forgotten how the West threw them in 1939, uses and will throw this time, if it comes to "fried".
      4. Achilles
        Achilles 9 June 2016 08: 30
        +5
        Yesterday, a Polish journalist, Yakub Koreyba, (a sickly son of Shchukin) generally stated that Poland itself would develop and equip its formidable army with nuclear (atomic) weapons, and then Russia would be a kapets ...

        Pakistan and North Korea were able ...

        You want to say Simpsonian, it is possible that the Poles will be able to develop and equip nuclear weapons with weapons? If you do not know, according to the rules and norms of the UN, all the development of nuclear weapons is prohibited by new states, as soon as they begin, they will immediately apply sanctions against them and the West will not be able to abandon sanctions against Poland, which means that they will not succeed
      5. pol_ovnik
        pol_ovnik 9 June 2016 09: 46
        +2
        and who (Poland) will allow her?
      6. Pitot
        Pitot 9 June 2016 12: 11
        +3
        The Psheks talk a lot, make a snout, but this is where their possibilities end. They are not Koreans or Arabs. Just the descendants of at least robbers eurofederastov .....
      7. fzr1000
        fzr1000 9 June 2016 17: 05
        +1
        Without the help of the USSR and the USA, they could not b.
      8. kenig1
        kenig1 9 June 2016 21: 35
        +1
        But not yourself ....
      9. alexmach
        alexmach 9 June 2016 23: 37
        +1
        Well .. there are opinions that there is a Chinese trace behind them. For Korea, that's for sure.
        1. AK64
          AK64 9 June 2016 23: 48
          0
          Well .. there are opinions that there is a Chinese trace behind them. For Korea, that's for sure.


          And behind the Chinese bomb, in turn, the British. (This is if presented against the United States.)
          Or American - if the gift was against the USSR
      10. Uncle Murzik
        Uncle Murzik 10 June 2016 09: 32
        +1
        so Pakistan and North Korea will probably be smarter, if only because North Korea has an independent policy!
      11. tilovaykrisa
        tilovaykrisa 14 June 2016 14: 56
        0
        for 50 years)) ??
    2. Enot-poloskun
      Enot-poloskun 9 June 2016 06: 47
      +2
      Finish out.

      I think that if Russia responds to possible provocations by sending troops to the Baltic states, no one will harness for the Baltic states ...
      1. Simpsonian
        Simpsonian 9 June 2016 07: 09
        +3
        Well, yes, we didn’t attack them, we just introduced troops wink

        there will be a war between Lithuania and Poland over Vilna - you still have to intervene in order to eliminate the source of tension near our borders ...
      2. The comment was deleted.
      3. baudolino
        baudolino 9 June 2016 09: 53
        +5
        Why so hard? Turning off the gas and the light will be much easier and more effective.
      4. APASUS
        APASUS 9 June 2016 21: 41
        +1
        Quote: Enot-poloskun
        I think that if Russia responds to possible provocations by sending troops to the Baltic states, no one will harness for the Baltic states ...

        This is the main goal, then you can justify any deployment of troops, missiles, bombs and even chemical weapons, any blockades and sanctions, everything will be in response to Russian actions.
        I'm not saying that we will be appointed guilty of everything, almost like in Ukraine.
        There is one unaccounted moment in this material, this is the position of Finland, its capital is too vulnerable on the sea side. Even if NATO can draw in Suomi, I don’t think that the Finns will really support this idea from the shell-shocked Baltic
    3. siberalt
      siberalt 9 June 2016 08: 22
      +5
      It’s all done! belay It would not hurt the author to look at the map of the Scandinavian Peninsula and think about whether Russia can leave three (not at all limotrophic) EU states without land borders? laughing
    4. shchukin
      shchukin 9 June 2016 10: 01
      +12
      Yakub Koreyba, (a sickly son of a schukin. This is not my son, thank God.
      1. Andrey Yuryevich
        Andrey Yuryevich 9 June 2016 13: 33
        +3
        Quote: shchukin
        Yakub Koreyba, (a sickly son of a schukin. This is not my son, thank God.

        Where is the genetic examination data? society requires! am
        1. shchukin
          shchukin 9 June 2016 17: 35
          +5
          Pole did not touch, honestly.
    5. Vasiliev Yu
      Vasiliev Yu 9 June 2016 10: 18
      +2
      You yourself answered:
      Schizophrenic fantasies usually have a lot of things. But this is no reason for a schizophrenic to prove that he is a schizoid. Ungrateful and stupid is an occupation.
    6. Akuzenka
      Akuzenka 9 June 2016 10: 34
      +3
      The sexual partner will not allow them to have a vigorous bonbu.
    7. Rus2012
      Rus2012 9 June 2016 12: 42
      +6
      Quote: Andrey Yurievich
      Russian Kapets

      Quote: Author Roman Skomorokhov

      2. Is land blockade of Kaliningrad possible?
      3. Is a sea blockade of Kaliningrad possible?
      4. Is air blockade of Kaliningrad possible?

      And Kaliningrad is a pain point on which our potential opponents may well strike.


      /// blockade attempts are possible ...

      BUT, according to the same international rights - any of these actions are recognized as AGGRESSION and ANTI-HUMAN and ANTI-HUMAN and GIVE the RIGHT of the metropolis to ELIMINATE the causes by MILITARY METHOD, i.e. PUNCHING THE CORRIDOR!

      And as they say - inna ...
      It will be like this and not otherwise!
      Russian Buryat with a machine gun on the road Tskhinval-Tiflis. If anyone forgot - 08.08.08
      1. 33 Watcher
        33 Watcher 9 June 2016 13: 16
        +3
        Quote: Rus2012
        Quote: Andrey Yurievich
        Russian Kapets

        Quote: Author Roman Skomorokhov

        2. Is land blockade of Kaliningrad possible?
        3. Is a sea blockade of Kaliningrad possible?
        4. Is air blockade of Kaliningrad possible?

        And Kaliningrad is a pain point on which our potential opponents may well strike.


        /// blockade attempts are possible ...

        BUT, according to the same international rights - any of these actions are recognized as AGGRESSION and ANTI-HUMAN and ANTI-HUMAN and GIVE the RIGHT of the metropolis to ELIMINATE the causes by MILITARY METHOD, i.e. PUNCHING THE CORRIDOR!

        And as they say - inna ...
        It will be like this and not otherwise!
        Russian Buryat with a machine gun on the road Tskhinval-Tiflis. If anyone forgot - 08.08.08

        Perfectly true. And as a result of this, someone will lose part of the already small territories.
        1. Andrey Yuryevich
          Andrey Yuryevich 9 June 2016 13: 43
          +4
          Quote: Observer 33
          Perfectly true. And as a result of this, someone will lose part of the already small territories.

          no, he just politely sent them tries ..... that is, a detour ... so ... not far, 30 km in the mountains ...
      2. The comment was deleted.
      3. Andrey Yuryevich
        Andrey Yuryevich 9 June 2016 13: 41
        +11
        Quote: Rus2012
        Russian Buryat with a machine gun on the road Tskhinval-Tiflis. If anyone forgot - 08.08.08

        hell with two, such a thing you forget! And so that children do not forget, I have it printed in color ...
      4. Roman 11
        Roman 11 9 June 2016 22: 01
        +2
        Quote: Rus2012
        Russian Buryat with a machine gun on the road Tskhinval-Tiflis

        And where are the torn to pieces Georgian tanks on the sidelines? laughing
        1. Svidetel 45
          Svidetel 45 10 June 2016 22: 42
          +1
          Already removed for scrap.
    8. The comment was deleted.
    9. RUSS
      RUSS 9 June 2016 12: 50
      -3
      It would be nice for Roman Skomorokhov to write scripts for computer games or write fantastic books for middle school age.
      1. Simpsonian
        Simpsonian 10 June 2016 03: 51
        +1
        There is a plan to destroy the Russia bound in Transnistria and Syria by the blockade of Kaliningrad, at the same time changing the regime in Belarus, and now the United States is following it.
        In this, he guessed in terms of the blockade, otherwise - no ...
        Having provoked this blockade in the Baltics, they are preparing to arrange a war similar to the Finnish one in 1939, in which, after heavy losses after 2 weeks or 2 months of fighting, Russia does not dare to use tactical.
        No kidding ... in vain ground forces are being pulled into the Baltics, missile defense (aka air defense) is being deployed in Poland and Romania, Transnistria and Russian troops in it are blockaded, a Turkish F-16 shot down our plane in Syria, US AB, accompanied by destroyers from " Izhdis "left their bases (and this is a threatened period) and for the most part a rod in the Mediterranean?
        Something is planned like the second Livonian-Crimean war at the same time ...

        Not everything is so simple, everything is much simpler ... therefore, if it flares up, you simply do not need to regret them when lifting the blockade and breaking through the artillery corridor, having previously allowed civilians to evacuate from the territory for some time. If they leave "non-citizens" hostage, then do not give them, or it is better to immediately take up the cities where there are fewer non-citizens and Alaska, by the way, it is located somewhere in the Arctic.
        Let the United States, then, with its crib already be hesitant ...
        1. Simpsonian
          Simpsonian 10 June 2016 04: 08
          +1
          By the way, even the old Skuds from the Crimea to Ukrovsky S-300 will fly to Odessa, and they will not have enough missile interceptors ...
        2. Svidetel 45
          Svidetel 45 10 June 2016 22: 45
          +1
          There is only one way out, to put our partners "cancer", that is, on the brink of nuclear war, otherwise it remains only to capitulate.
          1. Simpsonian
            Simpsonian 11 June 2016 10: 24
            0
            They now have exactly this (and at least one other) plan for Russia.
          2. The comment was deleted.
    10. Svidetel 45
      Svidetel 45 10 June 2016 22: 23
      +1
      He, this journalist, is just an idiot, let him look at the map and compare the territory of Poland and Russia, population density, a lot of intelligence is needed. to understand who will be in the first place "kapets".
  2. Simpsonian
    Simpsonian 9 June 2016 06: 32
    +12
    sea ​​blockade - Kaliningrad is not Cuba, it is not far away

    so far unscientificly blocked Transnistria
    1. code54
      code54 9 June 2016 12: 26
      +8
      Novel Big man! I did a lot for VO, a lot of work with the help of the LPR and DPR to people! But sometimes articles drive him into a stupor. Very controversial!
      1. Simpsonian
        Simpsonian 10 June 2016 10: 37
        +1
        my answer from 03:51 for RUSS look a little higher ...

        he is generally right, only still more categorical and worse - Kaliningrad is not a goal but a means
        The goal is the collapse and destruction of Russia as a state and as a people, they believe that they have never been so close to this.

        There are no problems for the naval blockade and there is no need to look for reasons, they have introduced everything, they dared to start "speaking with Russia in the language of sanctions."
        Even without the Germans and Swedes - the Gulf of Finland is blocked even by a network like in 1943-45, Danish things are even simpler, and swim from Kaliningrad "wherever you want." Even - just like that.
        That is why the main base of the Baltic Fleet is in Baltiysk and not in Kronstadt.
        Some dimitrophs will cope quite well, and the terrible phase of breaking through the corridor will begin - a trap is prepared there, because even some Limitrophic armed forces are very saturated with porotivotank mediums. Do not forget how the front moved there in 1943-45. WWII and with what losses. And the Kurdyady boiler in Latvia surrendered later than Berlin and Prague.

        I write that I know ...
        1. spravochnik
          spravochnik 10 June 2016 15: 30
          0
          Well, what kind of anti-tank weapons are very saturated with Limitrophs. Swedish anti-tank guns of the 50s with the same ancient tractors? Enlighten.
          1. Simpsonian
            Simpsonian 10 June 2016 16: 43
            0
            ATGM TOW, Milan a lot on the M113
            1. Simpsonian
              Simpsonian 10 June 2016 16: 48
              0
              BILL, Javelin recently added
        2. Svidetel 45
          Svidetel 45 10 June 2016 22: 53
          +1
          All these measures that you have listed mean the actual start of a real war against Russia, and according to our military doctrine, if there is real security for Russia, we have the right to be the first to use nuclear weapons to sweep away all these ATGMs and other means and build a "corridor "This will become a necessity, given the ratio of conventional weapons between Russia and NATO.
          1. Simpsonian
            Simpsonian 11 June 2016 10: 19
            0
            Therefore, there are only one stuffing in the media that the Baltic armies, and all NATO (whose officers themselves admitted it) will last three days in the Baltic against the Russian army, we’ll throw all the hats like dates, and all that ...
            1. Simpsonian
              Simpsonian 11 June 2016 10: 28
              0
              ... and then after heavy losses and a minimum of advancement or even loss of part of the territory from their counterattacks and NATO attacks: "Well, how can it be, using nuclear is not in the European way, and the allied Belarus will be unhappy, which got radiation 30 years ago" - have you thought about her? This is also a component of this plan that fetters Russia ...
              1. Simpsonian
                Simpsonian 11 June 2016 10: 35
                0
                And the calculation of anti-tank systems even inside the M-113 from thermobaric weapons is pretty well protected ...
      2. The comment was deleted.
  3. cth; fyn
    cth; fyn 9 June 2016 06: 37
    +10
    The blockade of the Kaliningrad region is a too rude step, in the spirit of the Caribbean crisis, no one will decide.
    1. razmik72
      razmik72 9 June 2016 06: 56
      +18
      Quote: cth; fyn
      The blockade of the Kaliningrad region is a too rude step, in the spirit of the Caribbean crisis, no one will decide.

      The author of the article, most importantly, has already decided. The danger is not in the hypothetical blockade of the Kaliningrad region, but in the fact that the economic situation in Russia, and in the Kaliningrad region in particular, if it worsens, people will be unhappy with the central government, and this may lead to paradoxical as it sounds, to the separatist sentiments in this Russian enclave. I recently visited Kaliningrad, I really liked the city, but the economic situation of the people was not encouraging.
      1. CONTROL
        CONTROL 9 June 2016 07: 04
        +10
        Quote: razmik72
        I recently visited Kaliningrad, I really liked the city, but the economic situation of people was not encouraging.

        ... concerns the whole Baltic!
        I haven’t had a chance to visit recently, but I talked with visitors from there! And - conversations at the level of "Vasya-Vasya" ... All as one voice - return us the USSR!
        1. razmik72
          razmik72 9 June 2016 07: 23
          +2
          Quote: CONTROL
          Quote: razmik72
          I recently visited Kaliningrad, I really liked the city, but the economic situation of people was not encouraging.

          ... concerns the whole Baltic!
          I haven’t had a chance to visit recently, but I talked with visitors from there! And - conversations at the level of "Vasya-Vasya" ... All as one voice - return us the USSR!

          I was not in the Baltic states, I was in Kaliningrad, and honestly I’ll say that any of the situations described in the author’s scenario, only one, will lead to disastrous consequences for the population of the region, because judging by my observations, the region lives in tourism. Armenia has such a parable:
          The little cowherd boy shouted so much:
          "Wolves, wolves !!", he deceived and made fun of his friends so much that when the wolves really attacked his flock, no one responded to his cries for help and the shepherd boy and his sheep were eaten by wolves. then it can attract trouble.
      2. Rokossovsky
        Rokossovsky 9 June 2016 07: 08
        +10
        , and this can lead, if not paradoxically, to separatist sentiments in this Russian enclave

        Nonsense! Apparently you were in some other region!
        but the economic situation of people was not rosy

        No better and no worse than the country as a whole. Now everyone has difficulties
        Minus, for "separatist sentiments" ... negative
        1. razmik72
          razmik72 9 June 2016 07: 45
          +3
          Quote: Rokossovsky
          , and this can lead, if not paradoxically, to separatist sentiments in this Russian enclave

          Nonsense! Apparently you were in some other region!
          but the economic situation of people was not rosy

          No better and no worse than the country as a whole. Now everyone has difficulties
          Minus, for "separatist sentiments" ... negative

          You can put the cons, I don’t care, I expressed my point of view, and I came to Kaliningrad to put my business there, I carefully and biasedly studied the business opportunities in Kaliningrad, so I write quite competently about the economic situation in Kaliningrad, I there is nothing to compare. In addition, I would not want at least one hair to fall from the heads of such beautiful girls as I saw in Kaliningrad. smile
          1. Rokossovsky
            Rokossovsky 9 June 2016 07: 51
            +12
            For girls I agree
            From your point of view in general - no!
            Good luck in business hi
            1. Aroma77
              Aroma77 9 June 2016 11: 28
              +6
              I will support the famous marshal. In Kaliningrad, the overall situation is economical, as in most regions of Russia. The average salary of 20-30 thousand rubles. This does not take into account the military and sailors. Not much, and not really too little. Business, I won’t say anything about business. But new homes are rising and apartment prices will say not cheap. Regarding the separatist moods ... everything is in the realm of science fiction, it’s the frontier vanguard of Russia and it’s easy to guess who is driving what.
              Therefore, if such will appear, then they will still be strangled into the embryos.
              1. spravochnik
                spravochnik 10 June 2016 15: 48
                +1
                At one time there was a party of 4 people, yelling about the European path of Kaliningrad. She regularly received in the face from the Kaliningraders themselves. Now I have not heard about it for a long time. Worse, the central authorities have not played enough with the economic policy regarding Kaliningrad.
          2. Chisayna
            Chisayna 9 June 2016 09: 12
            +4
            That is why all hot "horsemen" begin to salivate profusely at the sight of Russian girls.
            1. razmik72
              razmik72 9 June 2016 09: 36
              +12
              Quote: Chisain
              That is why all hot "horsemen" begin to salivate profusely at the sight of Russian girls.

              I have nothing to object to the beauty of your women, but I was an intelligent person and did not bother Russian girls, I didn’t bother with vulgarities and decent offers, it was enough for me that the girls were very friendly to a stranger and obviously not a Russian person and kindly explained the way to a stranger the city.
              1. PPD
                PPD 9 June 2016 10: 33
                +4
                If you
                Quote: razmik72
                a stranger and obviously not a Russian person

                maybe you shouldn’t draw conclusions about
                Quote: razmik72
                . the economic situation of people was not rosy.

                And in Moscow there are economic problems, especially among state employees. Do not everyone know businessmen and oligarchs. Here, just imagine, just people live.
                1. razmik72
                  razmik72 9 June 2016 11: 00
                  +1
                  Quote: PPD
                  If you
                  Quote: razmik72
                  a stranger and obviously not a Russian person

                  maybe you shouldn’t draw conclusions about
                  Quote: razmik72
                  . the economic situation of people was not rosy.

                  And in Moscow there are economic problems, especially among state employees. Do not everyone know businessmen and oligarchs. Here, just imagine, just people live.

                  I made conclusions based on my research on the prospects of starting a business in Kaliningrad at the moment, in addition, I talked with people and asked them about their lives, I am a sociable and cheerful person, I don’t look at everything through black glasses.
                  1. Chisayna
                    Chisayna 9 June 2016 11: 49
                    +5
                    Why do you need a business in Kaliningrad, if you yourself put it. Your country has a very poor economic situation. And where did the money come from? Did Armenia really drop off on your business.
                    1. razmik72
                      razmik72 9 June 2016 12: 20
                      +2
                      Quote: Chisain
                      Why do you need a business in Kaliningrad, if you yourself put it. Your country has a very poor economic situation. And where did the money come from? Did Armenia really drop off on your business.

                      If my homeland has a poor economic situation, this does not mean that I am poor smile .Yes, my brother, who lives in Russia, would certainly help me, at least he provided his cottage in Kaliningrad to my location, he happens to be there on a monthly basis a year.
                    2. spravochnik
                      spravochnik 10 June 2016 15: 53
                      0
                      Different people live in Armenia. I knew one (and now governing) Kaliningrad businessman of Armenian origin. His dad is one of the richest businessmen in Armenia and regularly fed the Kaliningrad business of his son with sickly grandmothers (i.e., invested in the economy of the region)
      3. Alexander Romanov
        Alexander Romanov 9 June 2016 07: 11
        +22
        Quote: razmik72
        , people will be dissatisfied with the central government, and this may lead, if not paradoxically, to separatist sentiments in this Russian enclave.

        Kaliningrad did not escape to Germany in the 90s, when the country really had an awesome life. Do not invent nonsense. A Russian person can hate his government, but he loves his homeland.
        1. razmik72
          razmik72 9 June 2016 07: 35
          +1
          Quote: Alexander Romanov
          Quote: razmik72
          , people will be dissatisfied with the central government, and this may lead, if not paradoxically, to separatist sentiments in this Russian enclave.

          Kaliningrad did not escape to Germany in the 90s, when the country really had an awesome life. Do not invent nonsense. A Russian person can hate his government, but he loves his homeland.

          I don’t come up with nonsense, in the 90s I personally had a feeling that something was about to change, something was going to work out well, although the surrounding reality did not have this. And what kind of hopes might arise for Russian people living in Kaliningrad, opening their computer in the morning and reading this kind of article.
          1. Alexander Romanov
            Alexander Romanov 9 June 2016 07: 44
            +12
            Quote: razmik72
            And what hopes can arise for Russian people living in Kaliningrad, opening their computer in the morning and reading this kind of article.

            None! It seems that it’s with us, the brains work differently and we perceive reality differently.
            Quote: razmik72
            in the 90s I personally had a feeling that something was about to change,

            And I had a feeling that we were in complete ****.
          2. Rokossovsky
            Rokossovsky 9 June 2016 07: 49
            +6
            And what are the hopes

            Are there people dying of hunger? What kind of "hope" ?!
            may occur in Russian people living in Kaliningrad

            People of different nationalities live there, including your countrymen, and believe me, everyone is quite optimistic about the future!
            and reading this kind of article

            They read and chuckle. By the level of patriotism, the city and the region as a whole will give odds to many!
            1. Alexander Romanov
              Alexander Romanov 9 June 2016 07: 55
              +6
              Quote: Rokossovsky
              By the level of patriotism the city will give odds to many!

              It’s not clear how such an idea occurs to the Armenian.
              Although we have one such Mr. Kabardin, who, after the arrest of the mayor of Vladivostok, wrote that now the elite of Vladivostok can ask for protection from China.
              1. Vasiliev Yu
                Vasiliev Yu 9 June 2016 10: 36
                +1
                Some ... (I can’t say the word) Mr. Kabardin, Honduras is undeservedly forgotten. Here he would defend so defended. Only after one call to Honduras for help will everyone immediately be scared.
              2. Svidetel 45
                Svidetel 45 10 June 2016 23: 00
                +1
                Lavrenty Pavlovich would be raised for such an "elite", and Sudoplatov would be for those who have already "made their legs".
            2. fennekRUS
              fennekRUS 9 June 2016 09: 23
              +4
              Quote: Rokossovsky
              By the level of patriotism, the city and region

              The bottom line, the Kaliningrad region is one large military base :) Let them dare to block.
              And by the way, yes! They have oil, so the region is at risk for "demoralization" But the teeth are sharp. That's why I screech to heaven.
              1. razmik72
                razmik72 9 June 2016 10: 37
                +4
                Quote: fennekRUS
                Quote: Rokossovsky
                By the level of patriotism, the city and region

                The bottom line, the Kaliningrad region is one large military base :) Let them dare to block.
                And by the way, yes! They have oil, so the region is at risk for "demoralization" But the teeth are sharp. That's why I screech to heaven.

                In the Kaliningrad region, if there is oil, it is not in large quantities and no one will start a war for its sake. There is a lot of amber, it is full there, I bought several jewelry for my wife and acquaintances.
                1. fennekRUS
                  fennekRUS 10 June 2016 00: 14
                  0
                  About "democrat", of course, a joke. As for the quantity of oil, it is clear that it is less than in the Emirates, but Norway was enough for a long time.
            3. Idiot
              Idiot 10 June 2016 14: 11
              0
              I was in Kaliningrad in 1988. Then Razmikov was NOT there at all. Only Russians, Belarusians and Ukrainians lived. Therefore, the girls were beautiful ... were.
              1. Chisayna
                Chisayna 10 June 2016 14: 32
                0
                In November 1992, in the Kaliningrad region, in the 1 Moscow Minsk Proletarian Division, military service began. And in May 1993 continued on the Southern Frontiers of the CIS. Yes, and then Razmikov, Garnikov and Aslanov and Magomed were few in the Kaliningrad region. Yes, I already wrote that he saw Armenians in Kyzyl. And where is Kyzyl and where is Armenia? You can’t drive a Tuvan into Armenia with a stick. Moreover, let them try to open a business in Armenia.
            4. Idiot
              Idiot 10 June 2016 14: 11
              0
              I was in Kaliningrad in 1988. Then Razmikov was NOT there at all. Only Russians, Belarusians and Ukrainians lived. Therefore, the girls were beautiful ... were.
          3. Chisayna
            Chisayna 9 June 2016 07: 54
            +9
            Armenians are such travelers. Armenians in Kaliningrad and Armenians all over Russia. I have recently seen Armenians in Kyzyl. I will soon go to Ulangom-Mongolia. And suddenly there are Armenians.
            1. razmik72
              razmik72 9 June 2016 08: 22
              +4
              Quote: Chisain
              Armenians are such travelers. Armenians in Kaliningrad and Armenians all over Russia. I have recently seen Armenians in Kyzyl. I will soon go to Ulangom-Mongolia. And suddenly there are Armenians.

              Many Armenians became "travelers" not of their own free will, Germany recently qualified the massacre of Armenians as genocide, but recently, due to the very poor economic situation in their homeland, Armenians have become really travelers smile .
          4. spravochnik
            spravochnik 10 June 2016 15: 59
            0
            About separatism. Such a case is known in the 90s. There are enough Lithuanians living in Kaliningrad. To one of them, a territorially preoccupied tribesman podgёb and offered to participate in the noble cause of the reunification of "Lithuania Minor" with the "big one. The champion is over, do you think? Ogёb tribesman at the very least, and more in the" small homeland "did not appear.
        2. The comment was deleted.
      4. Sharky
        Sharky 9 June 2016 08: 20
        +22
        Oh well, you visited, and I live there. And our economic situation is not the worst.
        I would like to note from the article: border traffic has been established between the residents of the Kaliningrad region and Poland. This means that without a visa you can drive to Poland to a depth of 70 km for shopping. There are still zlotys, not euros, and the prices are quite profitable ... Lithuanians are already chasing purchases to Poland, since the euro was introduced in Lithuania and prices were pulled up to European ones ... And the Lithuanians counted (figured h ... r to nose) and went to stock up with the Poles. Yes, and do not forget about the long columns of the same Poles / Lithuanians on our border, who drive their VW trade winds (with inflated 100L tanks) for almost free gasoline to us. The business is set up so to speak ... And hardly anyone wants to interrupt this traffic from both sides. Everyone benefits. Note that the same Poles with dill are in no hurry to organize border traffic. So no matter what the "talking heads" of their governments say, no one will give up the profit. It is actually beneficial to all parties. There can be no talk of any blockade at the moment and in the near future. A resident of Kaliningrad can issue a visa, either to Poland or to Lithuania, without any problems (I have Schengen permanently pasted in my passport). Well, who does not know, a nuclear power plant has been built in the Kaliningrad region (it is not being commissioned yet, and it is not necessary now, but it will come in handy for a rainy day), so it will be difficult for us to cut off the electricity. And the last thing. Over the past few years, a lot of military equipment has been brought to the Kaliningrad Region and an increased activity has been noticed among the warriors. What and how, I don't know for sure (who will tell me to a mere mortal that the warriors are stirring up there, but delivery from big Russia is in large quantities), but from a military point of view, our place is prepared and our enclave will be a "tough nut to crack" for anyone who wants to encroach on the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation.
        1. razmik72
          razmik72 9 June 2016 09: 05
          +3
          Quote: Sharky
          Oh well, you visited, and I live there. And our economic situation is not the worst.
          I would like to note from the article: border traffic has been established between the residents of the Kaliningrad region and Poland. This means that without a visa you can drive to Poland to a depth of 70 km for shopping. There are still zlotys, not euros, and the prices are quite profitable ... Lithuanians are already chasing purchases to Poland, since the euro was introduced in Lithuania and prices were pulled up to European ones ... And the Lithuanians counted (figured h ... r to nose) and went to stock up with the Poles. Yes, and do not forget about the long columns of the same Poles / Lithuanians on our border, who drive their VW trade winds (with inflated 100L tanks) for almost free gasoline to us. The business is set up so to speak ... And hardly anyone wants to interrupt this traffic from both sides. Everyone benefits. Note that the same Poles with dill are in no hurry to organize border traffic. So no matter what the "talking heads" of their governments say, no one will give up the profit. It is actually beneficial to all parties. There can be no talk of any blockade at the moment and in the near future. A resident of Kaliningrad can issue a visa, either to Poland or to Lithuania, without any problems (I have Schengen permanently pasted in my passport). Well, who does not know, a nuclear power plant has been built in the Kaliningrad region (it is not being commissioned yet, and it is not necessary now, but it will come in handy for a rainy day), so it will be difficult for us to cut off the electricity. And the last thing. Over the past few years, a lot of military equipment has been brought to the Kaliningrad Region and an increased activity has been noticed among the warriors. What and how, I don't know for sure (who will tell me to a mere mortal that the warriors are stirring up there, but delivery from big Russia is in large quantities), but from a military point of view, our place is prepared and our enclave will be a "tough nut to crack" for anyone who wants to encroach on the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation.

          In my comment I wrote that the Kaliningrad region lives mainly due to tourism and any of the scenarios described by the author of the article will lead to serious consequences for the region. You yourself have confirmed that the inhabitants of the region often travel to Poland and Lithuania almost unhindered, that is you supported my conclusions about a very large dependence on these countries. Now, hypothetically, imagine that Lithuania and Poland closed their consulates in Kaliningrad and do not issue visas to residents of the region again. In this case, Russia has no leverage on these countries, except for a symmetrical answer , but the deprivation of Polish and Lithuanian citizens on visa-free travel to the Kaliningrad region is not critical for them, which I can not say about Russian citizens living in Kaliningrad.
          1. Sharky
            Sharky 9 June 2016 09: 52
            +9
            Quote: razmik72
            Now hypothetically imagine that Lithuania and Poland closed their consulates in Kaliningrad and do not issue visas to residents of the region anymore.

            And so, Poland and Lithuania no longer issue visas to residents of Kaliningrad. And, at the same time, they leave the Schengen area (this is so that the cunning Kaliningraders would not receive Schengen visas from other states and would not enter their territory). And every 10 meters, a submachine gunner was placed at the border so that they would not run across and pretend to be refugees. While the world community is sending these (Poland / Lithuania) countries notes of protest for the blockade of our enclave and the trampling on democracy, we are calmly watching this all. We eat "Baltpticeprom" products, snack on sausage from "KD" (Kaliningrad Delicacy) and wash down with milk from JSC "Milk". Meanwhile, the Lithuanian farmers, having lost their last foreign sales market, with a pitchfork go out to the central streets of Vilnius and arrange their "Maidanas" with black jack and ... with tires wassat ... Dear Dalia Grybauskaite declares them all to be Putin's agents and, relying on a small army and "forest brothers", is bringing troops into the center of the capital of a prosperous European power am !
            The situation is heating up ... and turning into a hot phase. Dale has to quickly leave his country, due to the current situation, which has already got out of control and take refuge in Poland. In Brussels, a council is urgently convened with the participation of all the heads of the EU (no one needs Maidanas in the center of Europe) and a decision is made to open the borders and not pet the bear against the grain. good
            Purely hypothetically ... as you said hi
            And I can come up with a lot of such stories, so there is no need to invent what is not.
            And tourism is far from the main source of income for our region.
            1. razmik72
              razmik72 9 June 2016 10: 51
              -1
              Quote: Sharky
              Quote: razmik72
              Now hypothetically imagine that Lithuania and Poland closed their consulates in Kaliningrad and do not issue visas to residents of the region anymore.

              And so, Poland and Lithuania no longer issue visas to residents of Kaliningrad. And, at the same time, they leave the Schengen area (this is so that the cunning Kaliningraders would not receive Schengen visas from other states and would not enter their territory). And every 10 meters, a submachine gunner was placed at the border so that they would not run across and pretend to be refugees. While the world community is sending these (Poland / Lithuania) countries notes of protest for the blockade of our enclave and the trampling on democracy, we are calmly watching this all. We eat "Baltpticeprom" products, snack on sausage from "KD" (Kaliningrad Delicacy) and wash down with milk from JSC "Milk". Meanwhile, the Lithuanian farmers, having lost their last foreign sales market, with a pitchfork go out to the central streets of Vilnius and arrange their "Maidanas" with black jack and ... with tires wassat ... Dear Dalia Grybauskaite declares them all to be Putin's agents and, relying on a small army and "forest brothers", is bringing troops into the center of the capital of a prosperous European power am !
              The situation is heating up ... and turning into a hot phase. Dale has to quickly leave his country, due to the current situation, which has already got out of control and take refuge in Poland. In Brussels, a council is urgently convened with the participation of all the heads of the EU (no one needs Maidanas in the center of Europe) and a decision is made to open the borders and not pet the bear against the grain. good
              Purely hypothetically ... as you said hi
              And I can come up with a lot of such stories, so there is no need to invent what is not.
              And tourism is far from the main source of income for our region.

              You are "at war" with the wrong person, dear, the author of the article has provided for you, Kaliningraders, a scenario more abruptly than mine.
              And what about your prediction, then you can brainwash any person so that people themselves will demand the closure of borders with Russia and no "World Community" will shout for the residents of the Kaliningrad region, if they cancel the visa-free regime with the Kaliningrad region, then Lithuania and Poland will do it with the knowledge of the same "World Community", if it comes to that, it is not difficult to put submachine gunners on the border, there would be a desire. Such a scenario can take place much easier than the apocalyptic scenario of the author of the article.
              1. Sharky
                Sharky 9 June 2016 18: 19
                +1
                In my fairy tale, I deliberately did not include the military component, which is the case. There is a Russian-speaking population in Lithuania and not a small part of it. You can also work with him (the population). In light of the current events in / in Ukraine, for example, it is safe to say that it is not a problem to start a mess (a hybrid war, if you like). So it all depends on our special services and foreign intelligence. You can arrange any "inconveniences", there would be a desire or reason. If the borders are closed, "Maidanas" will be activated. Why do you think that all Lithuanians are happy with their power? I communicate with them often and I know what I'm talking about. And adding fuel to the fire is not difficult ...
          2. NyeMoNik70
            NyeMoNik70 9 June 2016 14: 09
            +2
            Dear friend, I fully support you. Excellent analysis of the situation. I can add on the white-tape mood in Kaliningrad, there are already ripe maydanut ready to kill. They are just a little push. Citizens it turns out, you are not ready to accept uncomfortable information, this is a very dangerous way. Man writes so clearly because he is from a besieged and blocked country. The situation around the enclave is dangerous.
            1. Koshak
              Koshak 9 June 2016 19: 18
              +4
              Quote: NyeMoNik70
              Man writes so clearly ...

              Throughout the article, the author's thread runs like this: "I don't know much about this, but I will speak out."
            2. spravochnik
              spravochnik 10 June 2016 16: 13
              0
              I can add on the white-tape mood in Kaliningrad, there are already ripe maydanut ready to kill.

              Are you in the subject? Where did the firewood come from?
          3. spravochnik
            spravochnik 10 June 2016 16: 08
            0
            In my comment I wrote that the Kaliningrad region lives mainly due to tourism

            Who told you this? Have you been told anything about agriculture and industry?
      5. Skif83
        Skif83 9 June 2016 09: 01
        +13
        The author is generally inclined towards such a "generalized" analysis.
        And send sabotage - two fingers ..., and the sea blockade - ..., and the air - ...
        Being a journalist and being a military personnel are two different things. Be able to write something, i.e. more or less folding (tautology!) words into sentences does not mean that you need to lay claim to a strategic analysis of the situation in one of the possible theater scenes.
        It is the economic situation in the country and government policies that have led us to, for example, Poland.
        It is necessary to raise the economy, the army did not need to be thrown, sometimes to turn your "Kremlin" look at the people, maybe there would be fewer problems from all sides!
        And so, 15 years as GDP in power, and so ...? Where are the jelly rivers and milk shores? What, dispossessed of the oligarchs? Retired fat burst? But are schoolchildren all, as for selection, participants of various kinds of Olympics (except for the Unified State Examination)? And our hospitals are free, and clean, and the staff is very polite, and most importantly, pros !?
        WHEN YOU ARE STRONG, YOU WILL RESPECT (read Fear) EVERYTHING!
        WHEN YOU LAME ON ONE FEET, THE SECOND YOU WILL ATTEMPT TO BURN EVERYONE TO YOURSELF! angry
        1. razmik72
          razmik72 9 June 2016 09: 25
          +3
          Quote: Skif83
          The author is generally inclined towards such a "generalized" analysis.
          And send sabotage - two fingers ..., and the sea blockade - ..., and the air - ...
          Being a journalist and being a military personnel are two different things. Be able to write something, i.e. more or less folding (tautology!) words into sentences does not mean that you need to lay claim to a strategic analysis of the situation in one of the possible theater scenes.
          It is the economic situation in the country and government policies that have led us to, for example, Poland.
          It is necessary to raise the economy, the army did not need to be thrown, sometimes to turn your "Kremlin" look at the people, maybe there would be fewer problems from all sides!
          And so, 15 years as GDP in power, and so ...? Where are the jelly rivers and milk shores? What, dispossessed of the oligarchs? Retired fat burst? But are schoolchildren all, as for selection, participants of various kinds of Olympics (except for the Unified State Examination)? And our hospitals are free, and clean, and the staff is very polite, and most importantly, pros !?
          WHEN YOU ARE STRONG, YOU WILL RESPECT (read Fear) EVERYTHING!
          WHEN YOU LAME ON ONE FEET, THE SECOND YOU WILL ATTEMPT TO BURN EVERYONE TO YOURSELF! angry

          I completely agree with your comment, there is a parable in Armenia:
          "A line of people with knives is going to the fallen lion."
          This is just a parable, I translated it almost verbatim, but the meaning is generally clear - the neighbor is impudent, seeing that you are weak primarily economically.
          1. Awaz
            Awaz 14 June 2016 22: 13
            0
            here is a bit different, here jackals are sent to slaughter, so that to exhaust the lion ...
        2. fennekRUS
          fennekRUS 9 June 2016 09: 43
          +8
          Quote: Skif83
          And so, 15 years as GDP in power, and so ...? Where are the jelly rivers and milk shores? What, dispossessed of the oligarchs? Retired fat burst? But are schoolchildren all, as for selection, participants of various kinds of Olympics (except for the Unified State Examination)? And our hospitals are free, and clean, and the staff is very polite, and most importantly, pros !?

          show me the place on the map exactly as you wrote it. He lived and worked in several countries, there are many friends all over the world. And nowhere have they "dispossessed the oligarchs" Pensioners are not fed at all while driving at the expense of the state, and in such a way as to "burst with fat", so only some kind of super bureaucrats. Hospitals ... have you tried to be treated abroad? Especially not in some famous center, but in an ordinary public hospital? Have you seen the bill for the prescribed paracetomol? Where does this belief in "heaven on earth" come from? The world is the way we make it.
        3. Vasiliev Yu
          Vasiliev Yu 9 June 2016 10: 55
          +3
          Quote: Skif83
          The author is generally inclined towards such a "generalized" analysis.
          And send sabotage - two fingers ..., and the sea blockade - ..., and the air - ...
          Being a journalist and being a military personnel are two different things. Be able to write something, i.e. more or less folding (tautology!) words into sentences does not mean that you need to lay claim to a strategic analysis of the situation in one of the possible theater scenes.
          It is the economic situation in the country and government policies that have led us to, for example, Poland.
          It is necessary to raise the economy, the army did not need to be thrown, sometimes to turn your "Kremlin" look at the people, maybe there would be fewer problems from all sides!
          And so, 15 years as GDP in power, and so ...? Where are the jelly rivers and milk shores? What, dispossessed of the oligarchs? Retired fat burst? But are schoolchildren all, as for selection, participants of various kinds of Olympics (except for the Unified State Examination)? And our hospitals are free, and clean, and the staff is very polite, and most importantly, pros !?
          WHEN YOU ARE STRONG, YOU WILL RESPECT (read Fear) EVERYTHING!
          WHEN YOU LAME ON ONE FEET, THE SECOND YOU WILL ATTEMPT TO BURN EVERYONE TO YOURSELF! angry

          I agree. Only in the army now they have begun to pay well, in the Ministry of Internal Affairs and other law enforcement agencies, but whoever pays for it is just hard workers in industries, in comparison with the military, they live beggarly. Again, it is the hard workers who pay for the army, and the spread in the salaries of the military, especially officials and hard workers, is shamefully not in favor of the hard workers, who fill the country's budget. And I can say that it already annoys many hard workers.
          1. Vasiliev Yu
            Vasiliev Yu 9 June 2016 11: 22
            +4
            I didn’t add for those who don’t get it right the first time:
            Military, government officials, state employees can of course be assigned large salaries, salaries. But initially, hard workers pay for everything (they take taxes from them, only they produce something) and taxes from production enterprises (the state gains only from the production of something). If hard workers get a penny, then taxes are penny, it remains to take only with our nouveau riche, and they do not give so much taxes.
            Salaries have already been determined by the military, officials (no one will reduce them), but where can I get the money for this? So the government is rushing around, trying to put on a stronger shoe for someone who can give them money, hard workers, but not nouveau riche, they are untouchable.
        4. cap
          cap 9 June 2016 11: 44
          +1
          Quote: Skif83
          WHEN YOU ARE STRONG, YOU WILL RESPECT (read Fear) EVERYTHING!
          WHEN YOU LAME ON ONE FEET, THE SECOND YOU WILL ATTEMPT TO BURN EVERYONE TO YOURSELF! angry


          + + + good hi
        5. kuz363
          kuz363 11 June 2016 14: 25
          0
          Quite true. For 12 years (after the war!) The USSR launched a satellite and had a nuclear bomb! And now they want to bring the heavy "Angara" to mind in many years.
      6. oborzevatel
        oborzevatel 9 June 2016 09: 43
        +7
        Quote: razmik72
        I recently visited Kaliningrad, I really liked the city, but the economic situation of people was not encouraging.

        What are you saying!?
        I go there twice a year, I have a father, sisters and a bunch of relatives there.
        And about the economic situation, I’ll enlighten you a little.
        Salary level - as elsewhere in Russia.
        Prices in stores are similar.
        But!
        When there was an opportunity to bring food products from Poland (this is before the imposition of sanctions), it was naturally profitable to go there - prices are lower, despite the fact that the trip is farther (in comparison with a trip to the same "Victoria", etc.). Naturally, everyone was happy about it.
        And when the channel was covered - sadness, sadness.
        But this is for those who wound up in Poland with a frequency of 2-3 times a month, like many families in Russia wound up in hypermarkets for large purchases. and this is only a part of the population of the region.
        The other part (those who did not consider it necessary to do this, because the distances to the checkpoints significantly exceed the distances to the aforementioned hypermarkets, wholesale stores, etc., or do not have transport facilities) both lived and still live.
        And they don’t particularly complain about prices (although prices are jumping, as elsewhere in Russia).
        At least, to my father, a pensioner, there is enough pension for normal life.
    2. Nyrobsky
      Nyrobsky 9 June 2016 10: 40
      +2
      Quote: cth; fyn
      The blockade of the Kaliningrad region is a too rude step, in the spirit of the Caribbean crisis, no one will decide.

      Hm. Nothing can be ruled out.
      The author, in general, raised a very difficult question.
      Kaliningrad, nevertheless, can be used to provoke Russia to "aggression", which the US and NATO lack so much in order to finally tear Europe away from Russia.
      Only here they also probably understand that the blockade itself can be regarded as a declaration of war and Russia will have no other choice but to cut a new land corridor along with the delegitimization of state formations of the aggressor countries participating in the blockade. Is NATO prepared to take such risks and call into question its own well-being?
    3. Simpsonian
      Simpsonian 10 June 2016 04: 09
      0
      In the Caribbean, with a powerful USSR in Europe, did not dare?
  4. Rokossovsky
    Rokossovsky 9 June 2016 06: 44
    +3
    whom has 30 been defending by NATO in recent years? And that is all

    No, not all ...
    And the reason ... the reason today is not difficult to find. And there, from where the order will be given, no doubt they will find it

    ... but this could be done!
    In general, the topic that was raised by Roman is now more relevant than ever, but the main thing is missing in the article - what to do in the worst case scenario ?!
    Let's hope that the country's leadership knows the answer to this question.
    Thanks to the author. Article + hi
    1. berezin1987
      berezin1987 9 June 2016 06: 54
      0
      What to do Fell of course. Germany, for example, arranged a blockade, launched several old unarmed ships through neutral waters. If they don’t attack, the blockade failed, if they shoot to kill, we beat the crusher at the German Navy bases. We crossed the Kaliningrad border — a limited nuclear strike on the advancing troops, didn’t retreat — a total blow by the Strategic Missile Forces or the Navy against the Germans.
      1. sa-ag
        sa-ag 9 June 2016 07: 10
        +5
        Quote: berezin1987
        Crossed Kaliningrad border - limited nuclear strike on advancing troops

        Oh, they already wrote here after the downed Su-24 about fifty tactical nuclear attacks on Turkey :-)
      2. demos1111
        demos1111 9 June 2016 07: 55
        0
        Vova, is that you?
    2. novel66
      novel66 9 June 2016 09: 06
      +5
      in the most unfavorable scenario (are we theorizing?) we are breaking through a land corridor wide in the Kaliningrad region. and bullshit !?
  5. Rurikovich
    Rurikovich 9 June 2016 06: 46
    +5
    This is just one person's reasoning. winked
    Personally, I think that in the headquarters, the Foreign Ministry, there are quite sane people and for a long time who should have been given a hint about the consequences of such steps (blockade of the territory of Russia). Therefore, such a step is possible if the relationship is already a "war" after the fact. request Whatever one may say, even the Dodiks in Fashington understand that it is dangerous to argue with a nuclear power by this method - it will be enough if the distance does not save the faq. Because sanctions, blathering of various officials are safer and more method lol
    hi
  6. samoletil18
    samoletil18 9 June 2016 06: 47
    +1
    I can not disagree with the author. The first thing that, after the return of the Crimea to us, was the liberoine mass, was: what about Germany ?. She needs East Prussia back! Those. there are reasons for a long time and through the fifth column and Western guests all sorts of wonderful life in Europe in talk shows broadcast. When the Kaliningrad population, or rather the traitors there, will be prepared (bought out), stirring will begin about rights and referenda, and about a sweet life outside the Russian Federation. And the current Poles, if ordered, will lay the Danzig corridor for the Germans themselves.
    1. Corsair
      Corsair 9 June 2016 09: 55
      +1
      Quote: samoletil18
      When the Kaliningrad population, or rather the traitors there, will be prepared (bought out), stirring will begin about rights and referenda, and about a sweet life outside the Russian Federation. And the current Poles, if ordered, will lay the Danzig corridor for the Germans themselves.

      what Something I can’t believe that the FSB in Kaliningrad is sunbathing somewhere, like the GRU itself, and the MP that is standing there is doubtful that Ukrainians will chew snot like in Crimea. And what a sweet life outside the Russian Federation the Kaliningraders probably know from the life of the Baltic states, for some reason there is no population growth at all, as if in a couple of hundred years there weren’t left.
  7. VeterS
    VeterS 9 June 2016 06: 54
    +6
    The list of claims that can be invented and voiced was developed long ago and not by us .... "Sea wars" with arrests, searches, claims - all this is quite old.
    A naval flag (auxiliary equipment of the Russian Navy) rises above the bulk carrier and anyone who tries to enter the territory of the Russian Federation into the sea is escorted by a caravan! If you pay attention to the claims and howls of Europe, it is better to strangle yourself right away. The mighty Armed Forces and the Navy of the Russian Federation will only make all kinds of Poland and Lithuania yap from the gateway of Europe, nothing more.
  8. parusnik
    parusnik 9 June 2016 06: 59
    +1
    Kaliningrad is a pain point on which our potential opponents may well strike...Can therefore, and fuss ..
  9. inkass_98
    inkass_98 9 June 2016 07: 00
    +4
    The picture on the splash screen is not quite correct. "Iskander", of course, is an excellent thing, but you need to dance from the range of the sea-based "Caliber", which, as practice has shown, can be crammed into any more or less suitable container like MRK. Or a watchdog, of which there are also enough. And then the picture will be completely different.
    As for provocations at the borders and on the territory of the region itself, I agree that with the general frostbite of the neighbors everything is possible, even to the detriment of oneself and with very painful consequences for them. But such is today's reality, and it will remain so for a long time. We must continue to strengthen the Armed Forces and the fleet to the extent of delivering a guaranteed retaliatory strike with unacceptable damage to the enemy, so that there is reason to think seven times before deciding on any action.
    1. CONTROL
      CONTROL 9 June 2016 07: 13
      0
      Quote: inkass_98
      with the general frostbite of neighbors everything is possible, even to the detriment of oneself and with very painful consequences for them.

      Well I do not know...
      Top officials - yes, and that is not all! ...
      But the population ... and "armed beyond any measure of strength"? ... There were a lot of Russian military bases, the population remembers it well - how many people were fed from them! Many people want the return of the Union, even among the youth (which the USSR did not find because of their age)!
    2. Nforce
      Nforce 9 June 2016 19: 24
      -2
      There will be no blow, but the orange scenario is quite possible. People live near Europe, the standard of living in the Baltic countries, in Poland is clearly higher than the Russian they see it - this can serve as a trigger.
      1. spravochnik
        spravochnik 10 June 2016 16: 27
        0
        Don't screw up nonsense. What Maidan sentiments. And about the standard of living in the Baltic States, so generally funny. Local people are from their "high" level and bring down from their countries abroad like lemmings during seasonal migrations.
  10. Moore
    Moore 9 June 2016 07: 02
    +2
    The blockade of the Kaliningrad region is itself a casus belli.
    The only answer before the start of an armed conflict in this case can only be the disconnection of Europe from "nishtyaks" such as gas, for which it is necessary to have eggs made of alloy steel.
    Because it is also in itself casus belli.
  11. Alexander Romanov
    Alexander Romanov 9 June 2016 07: 13
    +5
    The blockade of our region is nonsense! Nothing more can be written.
    1. Vladimir61
      Vladimir61 9 June 2016 07: 44
      +2
      + Horror stories in the spirit of the West, now in vogue!
  12. mihalych
    mihalych 9 June 2016 07: 14
    +3
    Roma, what is the article about? About what if my grandmother had ***, would she be a grandfather? Minus article, big and fat.
  13. Dave36
    Dave36 9 June 2016 07: 15
    +1
    So far it's just a fantasy. A demonstration of forces is already underway in Syria, not being afraid of slipping into war. Trying to block Keniksberg ... should be scary.
  14. sergeyzzz
    sergeyzzz 9 June 2016 07: 16
    +2
    Quote: Enot-poloskun
    I think that if Russia responds to possible provocations by sending troops to the Baltic states, no one will harness for the Baltic states ...

    Do we need it? The Baltic states have always been our enemies, so let them be abroad than to corrupt the country from the inside. In the Baltic states, the mentality itself is almost like that of the arrogant Saxons, and not like the Russians, so we will never understand each other.
  15. aszzz888
    aszzz888 9 June 2016 07: 20
    +2
    Namely, a far-reaching multi-path, the goal of which is our western enclave. Kaliningrad

    Indeed, this is one of the most likely versions from our enemies. And therefore, it is worthless for us to sleep on a baking sheet. Answer with reasonable and correct moves. And all the same, the air smells of uneasiness, for the western region of the country.
  16. Per se.
    Per se. 9 June 2016 07: 32
    +2
    In the USSR, geopolitics was considered something alien, if not a Charlottean bourgeois doctrine, in tsarist Russia, however, foreign agents of influence were too calm. All this gave rise to many of our today's problems, including the topic discussed in the article. We have generously endowed, after World War II, ungrateful pigs with the lands of East Prussia, the same Lithuanians were given Klaipeda ... Had more common sense, healthy imperial egoism, it would have been more logical to separate the Baltic states by a corridor from the Kaliningrad region and Belarus from the same Poland. However, “having lost their heads, they don’t cry for their hair,” if we had preserved the Soviet Union and our troops in Eastern Europe, there would have been no such problems. We were humiliated with Ukraine, the States brazenly climbed there, we wore off, already climb into Kazakhstan, and will climb, lay around, block all the "cranks" while agents of foreign influence are in power, while the entire powerhouse keeps its junk in dollars, looks to the West, having long had Russia only as a personal feeding trough. Let us solve the problem of our true independence from other people's influence, we will be happy, and the whole civilization, if a multipolar world and healthy competition appear again.
    1. rusmat73
      rusmat73 9 June 2016 09: 48
      +2
      SUPPORT !!! good I also consider this problem (the elimination of dependence on alien destructive influence) - a priority for the formation and prosperity of our Motherland! yes
    2. The comment was deleted.
  17. The comment was deleted.
  18. beer-youk
    beer-youk 9 June 2016 07: 50
    +3
    Quote: samoletil18
    When the Kaliningrad population, or rather, the traitors there will be prepared (bought up), stirring will begin about rights and referenda, and about a sweet life outside the Russian Federation.


    It was like that in the 90s. It quickly went out after the Germans explained that they would even "digest" East Germany, in the sense that they would fully integrate it, in 50 years, and they did not intend to hang on to Kaliningrad for purely economic reasons. This is 20 years ago. And now they have more problems. So all the fuss around Kaliningrad is aimed only at undermining the situation. And, besides, my fellow countrymen, visiting Europe much more often than in "big Russia", see its realities with their own eyes and, believe me, do not rush there.
  19. Kotost
    Kotost 9 June 2016 07: 58
    -1
    Do not underestimate the military capabilities of the Baltic republics. In the event of war, they will be able to set up several divisions, which is very much, given the help of the alliance, therefore, in case of war, the Baltic States must be withdrawn from the war in the first couple of days, otherwise we may lose the Kaliningrad Region.

    PS take me written as thoughts in the ear, nothing more hi
    1. spravochnik
      spravochnik 10 June 2016 16: 33
      0
      Do not tell my slippers. The number of armed forces, for example, Latvia, together with the reservists, is less than the size of one division.
  20. dobrovchic
    dobrovchic 9 June 2016 08: 15
    +1
    Fig you, not Kemsku volost and fiery greetings! Such issues are not resolved with the condachka! We will think and respond adequately, asymmetrically and thank God - there are possibilities. soldier
  21. Aleksander
    Aleksander 9 June 2016 08: 22
    +2
    Not Romania. Not Hungary. Not Bulgaria. That is, not those who are relatively close to the Crimea. There is silence and grace
    Alas, not so rosy. Romania-base missile defense has already been introduced. Bulgaria has signed an agreement with the United States to rent two airbases for strategists. NATO headquarters are also deployed there. Plans for the commissioning and storage of amer equipment. NATO destroyers-constantly in the Black Sea, exercises there.
    Even in Moldova, a NATO information center has been opened. For the first time, Americans drove military equipment to Moldova and conducted exercises. Over the past year, the secretary general and deputy were on several visits, promised to rearm the army (which sharply hit maneuvers) .....
  22. 31rus2
    31rus2 9 June 2016 08: 28
    +2
    Dear, the author correctly poses questions, and the answers should already be developed in the MO, in the appropriate structures. Kaliningrad fort post in the West itself, this has been said more than once, and that there would be no scenario described by the author, countermeasures are needed, not only military ones. I don’t know if NATO will decide to try to strangle the Kaliningrad region, but it will be more serious than Crimea and the same in terms of Russia's response. I don’t think that NATO does not understand the consequences of such attempts, and they will be quite tough
  23. 96423lom
    96423lom 9 June 2016 08: 38
    +1
    The Kaliningrad region is Russia and its complete blockade is a war. And then. that intensified in the Baltic nothing new surround.
  24. wanderer_032
    wanderer_032 9 June 2016 08: 40
    +1
    One cannot argue that in NATO very often “dull” by Zadornov sit. Not. There are quite professionals who can draw conclusions from previous situations. And they are well aware of the current state of affairs in Russia.

    There, of course, professionals are sitting. And that's exactly what - they are sitting. Only others are acting. Those to whom they give orders and print instructions do not differ in special intelligence.

    After all, they also have the right to stupidity. US Secretary of State John Kerry said this clearly:

    US Secretary of State John Kerry, speaking to German students, guaranteed the right of Americans to be brainless. If American citizens want this, then they have every right to do so, media say.

    “Our country lives on the idea of ​​freedom and tolerance, and this applies to everything: politics, religion and even mental abilities. If a person wants to be stupid, this is his choice, and we must accept him. This is America’s dignity, ”said Kerry.


    http://www.bagnet.org/news/world/208897

    US Secretary of State John Kerry said that Americans have the right to be stupid if they want. This was announced by the head of the foreign ministry at a meeting with German students in Berlin.

    Kerry is convinced that the right to stupidity is guaranteed to Americans by the US Constitution, namely the right to self-determination. And that is why, according to the Secretary of State, this right is worth fighting for.
    Link: http://novosti-n.org/ukraine/read/43821.html


    This is the main trouble. And so - all nishtyak. smile
    1. wanderer_032
      wanderer_032 9 June 2016 08: 47
      +1
      I will add that, unlike US citizens, citizens of the Russian Federation do not have the right to be stupid. And therefore:

      But all these movements of the mighty Baltic armies, the deployment of military contingents and armored vehicles so far arouses on the Russian side only either laughter or concern. No more.

      This is not at all consistent with the current geopolitical situation. And the threat that the author speaks of is the place to be. Those. she is very real.

      And given the fact that some people have the right to be extremely stupid - even more real.

      Fools, armed to the teeth, should be wary of any rational person.
  25. Kudrevkn
    Kudrevkn 9 June 2016 08: 40
    +2
    I completely and completely agree with the Author - there is logic in all this! As well as associations, for example, with the "unblocking" of the "Polish corridor" to German Danzig (Gdansk) as a pretext for the beginning of aggression against Poland on September 1, 1939! Now should we wait for a "liberal howl" on the topic "liberate the illegally occupied German lands of East Prussia - the mother of the Reich and German cities"? Therefore, VVP is again friends with the Old Man (not Makhno) against the "nasty Poles"! After all, our peoples are fraternal. and WE ARE THE ONE UNION STATE !!!
  26. Bakht
    Bakht 9 June 2016 08: 53
    +7
    The author considers the situation without war. Just a blockade of Kaliningrad in peaceful conditions. It is possible. But the author does not consider retaliatory measures. The blockade of the state means a complete blockade. You cannot block a specific area. For example, how can you trade with Ryazan and not trade with Kaliningrad? The blockade of Kaliningrad means a complete break in economic ties with Moscow. Even the States cannot go for it now.
    The second option is a blockade in war. It’s even easier. Land connection with Kaliningrad will be established within a maximum of a week. And in Kaliningrad itself there are enough forces and means to turn the three Baltic capitals (plus Warsaw to the heap) into a lunar landscape.
    The situation is not a fountain, but nothing terrible is yet to be seen.
  27. Bakht
    Bakht 9 June 2016 08: 58
    +5
    According to all international laws, the Kaliningrad region is the territory of Russia. About this there is a document signed by Germany in the 70s. Germany forever abandons the Kaliningrad region. And this territory belongs to the Russian Federation.
    At the same time, Germany never recognized the loss of its lands, which had ceded to Poland. Everyone can find flights to the cities of Danzig and Breslau on the Lufthansa website. So let any liberals first attend to the return of Germany to the original German Silesia.
    1. spravochnik
      spravochnik 10 June 2016 16: 38
      0
      As well as German Pomerania and Lithuania’s return to the Memel region of Russia.
  28. Wedmak
    Wedmak 9 June 2016 09: 00
    +2
    But would such a blockade not be a de facto declaration of war on Russia? Economic, trade, energy, call it what you want. In this situation, we can well turn off gas and oil supplies to the EU. As usual, waiting for the winter.
    Just do not say that the Balts themselves will create a blockade, not based on the decision of the EU. This is for them (like NATO) a shield and a big uncle behind them. But adults are responsible for the hooliganism of small children.
    They are now crying from counter-sanctions, saying that somehow, they wanted to punish Russia, and they flogged themselves. And what will happen if Russia tightens the knot?
    1. kuz363
      kuz363 9 June 2016 20: 26
      +1
      Yes, you can turn off gas and oil supplies. The Saudis who immediately occupy the empty trading niche will say thanks for the oil. At the same time, oil will immediately rise in price. But you have to think about gas. Because the gold reserves of Russia and all kinds of funds are located in the west and will be immediately arrested. Those. it must be assumed that Russia will have none of this! Not to mention the arrest of foreign accounts of all Russian companies!
  29. Volzhanin
    Volzhanin 9 June 2016 09: 00
    +2
    Striped vile animals will tear navel in Kaliningrad. On this their life will end.
  30. Tanya
    Tanya 9 June 2016 09: 40
    +8
    I have been in Kaliningrad since yesterday. The city is incomparable, the people are wonderful. So far I have not seen any "separatists". Everything works, the city shines with cleanliness. Nobody is going to give up here. (I did not find a crisis either). request
  31. andrew42
    andrew42 9 June 2016 10: 09
    +1
    Perhaps the supply of Kaliningrad by sea can be blocked, but this is in the event of a large-scale war in the Baltic. Any Baltic state that dares to sink our ships will immediately pay off by "torpedoing" its own ports, and most likely with the help of nuclear warheads. And Norway can lose ports up to Narvik during the land and landing operation. And therefore the Scandinavians will not get into the war, they will not simply survive without the Baltic puddle. All the dregs in the Baltic are only from 4 limitrophes. The Americans are unlikely to invest in these in full. But, of course, you need to prepare. Kaliningrad should become a fortress port (air defense, Bastions). And the very first provocation should be responded to as harshly as possible, on the brink of war, but without going over it. Then the jackals will be worried, and even the striped one will not be able to push them forward further.
  32. Operator
    Operator 9 June 2016 10: 16
    -1
    The article is about nothing - in the case of the sea blockade of Kaliningrad, we will release it overland through Lithuania, at the same time blocking the entire Baltic States from the rest of Europe.
  33. iouris
    iouris 9 June 2016 10: 37
    0
    Kaliningrad has been in blockade since 1989. Only we do not feel it.
  34. xomaNN
    xomaNN 9 June 2016 11: 19
    +1
    Once again, remember with the UNKIND word of Gorbachev and Shevardnadze, whether they are really simpletons with the letter "M", or something worse. So they believed at the word of their friends from NATO that they would not take our b. Balts, Poles, etc. "former social. friends". So, instead of a neutral belt, aggressive badass boys started up right on the border.

    As in the old yard fights - they provoke, and the bulls around the corner are waiting for a real fight wassat
  35. Tolik_74
    Tolik_74 9 June 2016 11: 22
    +1
    4. Is air blockade of Kaliningrad possible?

    Obviously possible. Any of the countries will be able to close its airspace for Russian aircraft. How Ukraine did it.
    And nothing, if Russia closes its airspace. All the geyropeyskie airlines will lie down and crawl on their knees with a request to open this space. That's definitely stupid, now Europeans
  36. Stas57
    Stas57 9 June 2016 11: 29
    +1
    It is ridiculous for me, as the lucky owner of a summer house on the Spit, to read this version of events.
    No, theoretically, there may be a conflict on the Sino-Finnish border, and complications are possible, but so far the "little war" is on the verge of fantasy.

    I believe in the distribution of EU passports more than in all these horror stories
    1. Stas57
      Stas57 9 June 2016 16: 21
      0
      oops.

      so who to believe then)))


      Russia could defeat NATO forces in less than 60 hours, writes The Weekly Standard. This was stated by US Deputy Secretary of Defense for Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia Michael Carpenter. According to him, Russian troops would need a maximum of 60 hours to reach the capitals of Estonia and Latvia.
    2. spravochnik
      spravochnik 10 June 2016 16: 43
      0
      And on which side?
  37. nnz226
    nnz226 9 June 2016 11: 36
    0
    The sprat-limitrophets won't understand in any way that "In the USSR they were the western face of the country, and in the EU they became the eastern Gayropes!" Who will fight for ZhoPu ?!
    1. spravochnik
      spravochnik 10 June 2016 16: 44
      0
      Actually, it’s human nature to save his asshole.
  38. surrozh
    surrozh 9 June 2016 11: 50
    0
    Hypothetically, a blockade is possible, in practice it is a declaration of war with an attempt at annexation. This is how the Japanese will arrange sea and air blockades around Kunashir. What will come of this is decided by the military-political leadership of the country (nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used because of the great loss of life).
  39. Haloperidol
    Haloperidol 9 June 2016 12: 47
    +1
    According to the international laws of the blockade, this is a war ... If the Finns, Poles, or Swedes are ready to die under the blows of the Strategic Rocket Forces of the Russian Federation, fulfilling the vagaries of Washington, so be it, and if the Germans forgot how all the wars that they started with the Russians ended for them, will have to be reminded ... I’m not crazy and I don’t want war at all, but I don’t want to give up somehow and if our enemies want war with us, let there be a war and prisoners we don’t need to ... Arrange as much Hiroshim as they need to in order to set their brains on them ... And I don’t need to write about a retaliatory strike against the Russian Federation, it won’t be ... These sixes are needed by the United States in order to fight Russia with their hands, and not to get involved in the war ...
  40. kunstkammer
    kunstkammer 9 June 2016 13: 01
    +1
    In the late 30s, the Poles, after they realized that Hitler was not going to attack the USSR with them, constantly provoked Germany. Like small mongrels constantly attacked the Germans, especially those living in territories controlled by the Poles.
    A somewhat similar situation is happening now against Russia.
    But why was this mongrel so confident?
    And then and now the Poles know that they themselves can not stand against Germany or Russia. But in those days, they had confidence that the British and French would die for them. It didn’t work out. For zheks nobody was going to die.
    Cleverly. They understood that the same situation could happen again now. And if Russia snaps at their constant provocations, no one will fit in with the Poles.
    It is another matter if there are NATO soldiers in Poland. The Poles will constantly substitute them, hide behind their backs. Yes, even if only one American or German - they will expose him under attack.
    And this is the main goal of the provocateurs - to tie the NATO "allies" in blood.
    The presence of NATO soldiers strengthens the unpunished provocations of Poland and the Baltic states. There is not far to great blood.
    In addition, the constant "exercises" on our borders can lead to clashes at any time. Not even intentional. Although this can be calculated. And it looks like this option suits the NATO members too.
    We will not be able to "resist provocations" as in 41. This version of our answer could lead to a catastrophe of more massive scale than in the summer of 1941.
    These are the "jokes" ...
  41. Lens
    Lens 9 June 2016 17: 19
    0
    Pumping Skomorokhov. I decided that this topic will be in demand, so let's calculate the options. But who will be the "first violin" in a possible science fiction-non-fiction? Poland? Germany? Balts? Not that level. Not in terms of military potential, not in terms of political capabilities. All these countries consider themselves to be civilized, therefore a forceful option of active action for them is the collapse of the values ​​of democracy.
  42. EDP
    EDP 9 June 2016 17: 24
    0
    The Psheks are trying to build a good face in a bad, even very bad game. They are well aware that Polska will disappear completely in half an hour if only it starts, so they are trying to hide behind the back of a strong uncle. The proballs are finally a misunderstanding, they must be strangled economically: stop transit, tourism and trade, and all of them will surrender. An asymmetric preventive strike must be inflicted on the uncle.
  43. Backfire
    Backfire 9 June 2016 17: 25
    +1
    It is unlikely that this will happen because it will mean the beginning of a direct conflict between NATO and Russia.
  44. high school student
    high school student 9 June 2016 18: 32
    +1
    Quote: Andrew Y.
    Yesterday, a Polish journalist, Yakub Koreyba, (a sickly son of Shchukin) generally stated that Poland itself would develop and equip its formidable army with nuclear (atomic) weapons, and then Russia would be a kapets ... crying

    Quote: cth; fyn
    Nuclear weapons without delivery vehicles are almost nothing, but delivery vehicles, and even those that would have cracked the air defense, are too tough for Poland, even the United States has certain problems with this.


    If you seriously consider such statements, it is likely that Poland will not and will not develop any nuclear weapons and delivery vehicles. And all the hype and whistle-blowing with large-scale NATO exercises are necessary to create public opinion, and most importantly, conviction - in the "present and inevitable threat" from Russia to all neighbors, and the entire "Western world". And under this "sauce" you can place American delivery vehicles and nuclear weapons in the same Poland. Treaties? And when they were "partners" were respected. Therefore, IMHO, the statements of the Polish journalist are not that nonsense, especially if you recall that the GDP about this and spoke in Greece, voicing concerns.
  45. 1536
    1536 9 June 2016 19: 14
    0
    If we do not protest against every fact of NATO "exercises", if states like Lithuania do not feel our strength, if we do not put the Germans in their place, if instead of tough diplomacy there is Kalinka and peregrine falcons on Instagram, then nothing good will happen. That way, in 10 years, in this case, the pro-fascist elements that have taken over the authorities in the European Union today will try to squeeze Kaliningrad out. And the leadership of this region in Russia is not at all.
  46. Strezhevchanin
    Strezhevchanin 9 June 2016 19: 30
    +1
    You won’t believe it! You go to Monetka boutiques and read meat delicacies in the department; Mikoyan, Chebarkul, smoke, Stoletsky ...... Guards meat processing plant, the city of Kaliningrad O_O, horseradish !!!! This is in Siberia, in the city of Strezhevoy KARL !!! Here I read and think who will die of hunger first, we or Kaliningrad)))
    Hi Romych. The judgments are true, but escalation is unnecessary.
  47. kon125
    kon125 9 June 2016 20: 03
    0
    Roman is a great clever man. He just talks about things that I often think about myself ... why in the Baltic proving grounds, armored vehicles are concentrated, combat coordination, rotation, NATO troops are underway, and logistics, aviation and sea cover for transportation routes are being worked out. development of the Baltic theater of operations. Why unprecedented NATO maneuvers.
    What we consider worthy of laughter, fantasies, too often lately has become reality.
    favor gentlemen.
    1Georgia attacks and kills Russian peacekeepers.
    2Ukrainian fraternal people proclaim Russia a strategic adversary, Ukrainian nationalists are killing civilians in Russian-speaking regions, and Russia does not attack the heirs of the Third Reich with all the might of its strategic forces.
    Turkey shots down a Russian military (!) Sic!) Plane, and does not receive a military response.
    Conclusion: The goal of NATO is the creation of a diplomatic, military situation of this nature, when the Russian Federation for some reason can not use nuclear weapons.
    For example, because of the threat of a great war. And such a threat is created precisely for the tasks of neutralizing Russia, blocking the full or partial Kaliningrad region, creating unacceptable conditions for the population, and the Russian group, control over all the actions of the Baltic Fleet, the air group.
    This is a skillful game of geopolitical chess.
    I served in the Airborne Forces in the Baltic states, I know how much was offered for the withdrawal of the landing units.
    Now, at the Kazlu Ore training ground, where we burst into the sand, practicing the offensive and the capture of objects, there are Abrams.
    A developed aerodrome structure is ready to accept NATO contingents.
    The novel is not .. We are preparing some kind of dirty trick. And he is a fine fellow because he knows the main rule - "The enemy is cunning and disgusting, be strong and daring!"
    The Baltics is a region from the military point of view is very complex, adapted to guerrilla warfare, the population is historically ill-disposed towards Russia, as a springboard for actions of various nature, it is close to the most important regions of Russia and is very pleased to work with different types of actions, namely sabotage, reconnaissance, the supply of the Kaliningrad enclave is limited, and in any scandal they can be subjected to pressure and blockade ... not complete but partial. In order to cause internal problems.
    What they conceived in one word, ssssuki.
  48. Rriv
    Rriv 9 June 2016 20: 06
    0
    Quote: Sharky
    built a nuclear power plant

    Well, you bent it ...
  49. kuz363
    kuz363 9 June 2016 20: 15
    +1
    Once again I am convinced that Gorbachev and Shevarnadze acted as traitors. Or at least short-sighted people. Why was there a land corridor of West Berlin with Germany during the Soviet era? And why with the unification of Germany it was impossible to make a condition for Lithuania on the land corridor from Russia to Kaliningrad, laid on the contract? Then this problem would not have arisen.
  50. KCA
    KCA 9 June 2016 20: 32
    0
    Apparently, the Balts also forgot that they were part of the USSR, and the Pshek forgot about the SGV, have they really lost maps in the Pskov Airborne Division and don’t know where to land the troops? 60 hours, which give us to conquer the Baltic states, is even a lot, polite people will take mail, telegraph and phone with airports and ports much faster, but cellular communication and the Internet will simply go out by chance, the Balts will not even have time to reach their breadwinners
    1. Simpsonian
      Simpsonian 11 June 2016 11: 07
      0
      Is there really little MANPADS and other anti-aircraft systems and anti-aircraft weapons?
    2. The comment was deleted.