Military Review

US hegemony in numbers and dynamics: Trump's doctrine is quite rational

94
US hegemony in numbers and dynamics: Trump's doctrine is quite rational



So, Donald Trump actually voiced his foreign policy doctrine. Its main provisions, in fact, are as follows:

1. The collapse of globalization for the sake of globalization and the transition to quasi-protectionist policies (revision of trade agreements).

2. The search for a compromise with other major independent players - and the rejection of the tactics of "those who are not with us are against us."

3. Restriction of the practice of interventionism.

4. Disposal of “freeloaders” —that is, “clients” who passively “consume” American security.

5. Strengthening of American military power.

In general, this is a completely natural reaction to the “successes” of the American foreign policy of the last 13 years. For $ 807 billion only direct costs, not counting the comparable costs for social security of veterans, it was possible:

- bring the pro-Iranian regime to power in Iraq and create a “Shiite crescent” hanging over the Middle East,

- according to the results of the “Arab Spring” - to get a much less pro-American military regime in Egypt,

- chaos in Libya and Syria instead of increasing oil supplies and creating new transit opportunities.

Finally, as a result of conflicts, to get an army that is much weaker than it could have been - while strengthening its own competitors. In other words, the current policy — which the US intends to persevere — looks increasingly inadequate.

In general, Trump's “message” comes down to the fact that the States cannot play the role they are trying to assume. The fact that he is right, it is easy enough to make sure just by looking at the dynamics of the US share in world industrial production.

At the start of the era of its hegemony, in 1913, the US controlled, according to various estimates, from 32% to 35,8% of world industrial production. Before World War II, their share increased to 40%. The peak was reached around 1950-th - 54,5%, by 1960-th "weight" of the States fell to 46%. However, even within the American Twentieth Century 1940-60, US control over the world was by no means comprehensive. However, let us return to the dynamics of industrial production. In 1970, the share was more than impressive 29,3%, 1980 in 27,3%, in 2000 in 25%. However, by the 2013-m, it fell to 15,9%, moving to second place after China, which moved it to 23,9%, that is, almost a quarter.

Now back to 1913. The share of the then hegemon - Britain - in global industrial production was 13,6% - 14%, while in Germany it was more, reaching 14,8% - 15,7%. In other words, the “long twentieth century” - he, by and large, is American - has ended. One way or another, the world has "rolled down" in the era of the classic "concert of powers", and the United States technically cannot afford to behave as if they have 40% of global industrial production.

Unbridled interventionism and attempts to stifle any alternative centers of power simply because they exist are expensive. Moreover, in the first case, often there is not enough resources to consolidate the results, and the second is simply unrealistic. Finally, such a policy weakens its own instrument - the “empire”, which has taken an unbearable burden, sooner or later discovers problems with power potential. So, aviation the most actively fighting marine corps, is in a peculiar state: out of 276 F / A-18 Hornet fighters, only about 30% are ready to perform combat missions. Of the 147 CH-53E Super Stallion helicopters, only 42 are operational.

At the same time, the domination of the States, although disputed by the Soviet Union, since the 70s, was very much supported by the efforts of the allies. Thus, at the Central European Theater of Operations, the Bundeswehr units made up 50% of the ground forces, 30% of aviation. Now the free world as a whole still controls the order of 40% of industrial production, but the contribution of the “younger brothers” to the total military power is incomparable with the American one. So, the current EU is absolutely loyal to the USA - and almost absolutely useless for them. Until the signing of the Transatlantic Partnership Agreement - if it takes place in the “American” format - the European Union is not the most convenient facility for operation and at the same time an undoubted competitor.

As military allies, key EU countries have virtually declared an “Italian strike.” With GDP, even slightly larger than that of the United States, Europe contains one aircraft carrier. On land and in the air, the situation is approximately the same. As a typical example, from 400 thousand Bundeswehr with 2,1 thousand tanks 185 thousand left with 328 cars; Of the 119 new Typhoon fighters, as of December, only 55 were capable of completing combat missions.

Moreover, if the United States has the military budget in GDP of 3,3%, then France has 2,1%, Britain — 2%, Germany — 1,2% and Italy 1,3%. Allies in the east often do not behave better - for example, the share of the military budget in Japan’s GDP is 1%. Canada maintains roughly the same level of military spending. In other words, Trump's “stop feeding the EU” slogan is understandable.

Thus, the military-political part of the strategy of the US presidential candidate Donald Trump looks like this: to moderate military activity, to shift some of the security costs to the allies and to the released funds to reanimate absolute power superiority. The problem is that, in contrast to the “strategy” of the current elite, rushing into senseless and merciless battles, it is quite rational and able to consolidate American domination for a long time.
Author:
Originator:
https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2016/04/30/gegemoniya-ssha-v-cifrah-i-dinamike-doktrina-trampa-vpolne-racionalna
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  1. Andrey K
    Andrey K 4 May 2016 15: 55
    +7
    "US hegemony in numbers and dynamics: the Trump doctrine is quite rational" ...
    With their dynamics, they will be observed by a psychiatrist, dynamically registered ...
    1. oleg-gr
      oleg-gr 4 May 2016 15: 58
      +22
      The world gendarme is exhausted. It's time to return to national borders. Freeloaders, of course, will moan, for that they will learn to live independently. And brains will work.
      1. Teberii
        Teberii 4 May 2016 16: 08
        +4
        No one will refuse to print bucks no matter what. Trump himself is rich in dollars, so politics will not change.
        1. iConst
          iConst 4 May 2016 16: 18
          +17
          Quote: Teberii
          Trump himself is rich in dollars, so politics does not change.

          There is a difference between the dollar as a global means of payment (this is non-cash) and the domestic currency of the United States - paper dollar.

          When they say that America prints dollars, it’s not literally railway trains stuffed with green paper.
          At best, bonds.

          With regard to the statements of Trump - there was already a very frisky president in the history of the United States by the name of Kennedy ...


          That is, as in that joke: to eat something, to eat, but to give him!
          1. cniza
            cniza 4 May 2016 16: 42
            +14
            They will not let Trump become president.
            1. Uncle
              Uncle 4 May 2016 17: 44
              +8
              Quote: cniza
              They will not let Trump become president.

              And if they give, then he will do what they say, like a Lamb.
              1. Homo
                Homo 4 May 2016 17: 55
                +1
                Quote: Uncle
                And if they give, then he will do what they say, like a Lamb.

                He himself is one of those who "command"!
          2. The comment was deleted.
          3. Zoldat_A
            Zoldat_A 4 May 2016 20: 20
            +12
            Quote: iConst
            With regard to the statements of Trump - there was already a very frisky president in the history of the United States by the name of Kennedy ...

            They will not shoot.

            The rape of a black-skinned maid at the hotel is being primed. And after the election, she will say that she only wanted to be raped, but in reality - alas ....

            In the light of his business, they could be credited with tax evasion — and in America it’s more terrible than raping a maid and killing Kennedy combined. Then they will sort it out, apologize. After the election.

            Well, quite frenzied can spread on Facebook the identity of the KGB Colonel D. Trump. Half of America will believe ...

            In general, they drag him from the presidency - not by the hair, but by the legs ...
          4. Nick
            Nick 5 May 2016 09: 02
            +1
            Quote: iConst
            With regard to the statements of Trump - there was already a very frisky president in the history of the United States by the name of Kennedy ...


            That is, as in that joke: to eat something, to eat, but to give him!

            Quote: cniza
            They will not let Trump become president.

            Judging by recent events, Trump has powerful support among the international financial oligarchy. Otherwise, Trump would not have become the leader of the Republican Party of the United States.
            The sanity of Trump supporters takes precedence over national ambitions. For us and for everyone, the positive is that under Trump, the likelihood of local conflicts will most likely decrease. Under Hilary, judging by her election statements, these threats increase, and the threat of global conflict will increase.
            Women politicians in the United States, since Madeleine Albright, are often much more militant than men, who, for the most part, take a more restrained, sober stance.
        2. Vend
          Vend 4 May 2016 16: 23
          +6
          Quote: Teberii
          No one will refuse to print bucks no matter what. Trump himself is rich in dollars, so politics will not change.

          Trump can afford to become rich in euros, and in yuan, and in rubles. So a change in US policy is entirely possible. After all, this is necessary to save the United States from themselves.
      2. CORNET
        CORNET 4 May 2016 16: 15
        +13
        The West cannot be trusted and no matter who their president is! The course of Russia should always be one: The Army and Navy are our main and reliable allies!
        Everything else is boltology and cheating ...
        This they understand immediately and begin to talk normally.
        MOSCOW, May 4 - RIA Novosti. Two new divisions will be created in the Western Military District and one in the South to counter NATO buildup at Russian borders, Russian Defense Minister Army General Sergei Shoigu said on Wednesday.
        1. g1v2
          g1v2 4 May 2016 19: 02
          +5
          I watched Trump's speeches here and frankly I don’t even know if he should be cheated. The fact is that he says really sound things and the United States can really strengthen and return to the path of strengthening. While previous US presidents only undermined his power and borrowed. Trump really is extremely sensible. But of course, the Clinton’s is Ales, and obviously there won’t be a good relationship with her, maybe it’s worth it to come to terms with Trump - xs?
          1. Nyrobsky
            Nyrobsky 4 May 2016 21: 51
            +3
            Quote: g1v2
            But of course, the Clinton’s is Ales, and obviously there won’t be a good relationship with her, maybe it’s worth it to come to terms with Trump - xs?

            Of the two evils, I would like that the lesser evil has fallen to the lot of humanity.
            With Clintonsha, everything is clear - demonic generation, and the world, with her coming to power, can forget about the WORLD, from the word, in general.
            Trump is a businessman and used to counting money, and therefore pointless spending is not his thing. But for NATO and the Pentagon, with their appetites for developing budget money, Trump’s initiative is like a red rag for a bull. So, they will not let him become president. The world is ruled by corporations that under no circumstances want to incur losses.
            So, in the bottom line, the president of the United States is likely to be this mad old woman.
            1. yehat
              yehat 5 May 2016 12: 18
              0
              and who is stopping millions of starving Africans from starting to work and feed themselves?
          2. Dam
            Dam 4 May 2016 22: 09
            0
            I absolutely agree with you. Rather, it is in our interests to have the old inadequate Clinton on the throne in America. So the agony of mattress will be faster. In the revelry of Yeltsin’s reign, everyone was sure that the arctic fox was already here. But Putin has changed the situation radically. We do not need a strong president in America.
        2. gladcu2
          gladcu2 9 May 2016 17: 30
          0
          CORNET

          The priority, the Army and the Navy, is always to put system education.
      3. Asadullah
        Asadullah 4 May 2016 17: 05
        +9
        The world gendarme is exhausted. It's time to return to national borders. Freeloaders, of course, will moan, for that they will learn to live independently. And brains will work.


        The world's gendarme suffers from poisoning with his own waste products. The national borders of the United States are the boundaries of the activities of transnational corporations that accumulate surplus assets and scatter them around the world. "Freeloaders" work out with their credit history and the welfare of citizens, because the owner is not so generous, he just knows how to wrap shit in candy wrappers. That is, the "freeloaders" will remain in the same status, only the next portion of shit will be received without a wrapper. But full spoons ... Brains? The brains there have already been removed by the art of lobotomy, the peripheral nervous system remains, and it will work as they say.

        That is, Trump will be Gauleiter, nothing will change, except for the restructuring of bureaucratic thickets. There will be no Trump, everything will remain the same. From that, the real struggle is for preserving the synecure of 8-10 thousand US bureaucrats. The rest is prose.
        1. Andrey Yuryevich
          Andrey Yuryevich 4 May 2016 17: 57
          +2
          Quote: Asadullah
          The brains there are already removed by the art of lobotomy,

          through ... open the skull is a small art. wink
          Quote: Asadullah
          the peripheral nervous system remains
          is it the spinal cord? or the sciatic nerve?
          lol
          1. Asadullah
            Asadullah 4 May 2016 20: 58
            +2
            through ... open the skull is a small art


            Nuuu ... you know, it’s one thing to pump up the poor fellow with drugs, and to go through the skull with a scraper from the inside, it’s another thing to create the conditions when, like normal people, without drugs, they give you everything and, in addition, the brain. Yes, they beg the Schaub took. There is probably something to it.

            But really, he doesn’t even smile. Fearfully. Small countries and large ones shove each other's asses for the right to be the first to abandon their statehood. What is it? The flashes of globalization with the ideology of a unipolar world? The desire to live your century in the matrix? Inability to build the future and respond to future generations? The question is so serious that the answer will take years ....
            1. Altona
              Altona 4 May 2016 21: 22
              +1
              Quote: Asadullah
              Small countries and large ones shove each other's asses for the right to be the first to abandon their statehood.

              -------------------
              Statehood, sat down to mean their own sovereignty is expensive. The maintenance of a full-fledged army and a developed economy is not for many.
              1. Asadullah
                Asadullah 4 May 2016 21: 41
                +1
                Statehood, sat down to mean their own sovereignty is expensive. The maintenance of a full-fledged army and a developed economy is not for many.


                As if. If we proceed about certain threats and measures to respond to threats. The example of Finland shows that neutrality can make a country not just successful, but a global benchmark for economic development. Today, the main threat is not a military invasion, but the economic expansion of trans-corporations.
      4. Altona
        Altona 4 May 2016 20: 01
        +3
        Quote: oleg-gr
        The world gendarme is exhausted. It's time to return to national borders. Freeloaders, of course, will moan, for that they will learn to live independently. And brains will work.

        --------------------
        They stumbled upon the same rake as the Soviet Union did in its time. The imperial burden overwhelmed the United States. An attempt to solve world problems with bayonets and garrisons in all parts of the world and part of its effect does not give. The army just fizzles out, and the enemy is simply reformatted, but not weakened. At the same time, the US military programs themselves are actively slipping. The publicized "golden plane" F-35 does not give the required characteristics. Of the 2,5 aircraft program for the rearmament of the US and NATO aviation itself, there are actually less than 200 vehicles in service (179). Tanks and self-propelled guns are supposedly being modernized, nevertheless, the latest versions of SEP2 burn no worse than the first M1A1. Attempts to create a single littoral ship also stumbled upon sky-high prices and scared off potential buyers. The hyped vaunted destroyers URO / ABM shoot down objects that follow in advance known orbits and trajectories and the launch time of which is known in advance. Even Donald's passage about "shooting down Russian fighters flying provocative flights near American ships" speaks of weakness rather than strength, the US military tools are exhausted. Yes, and they generally boiled down to waving a saber in any case. Neither Russia nor China are afraid of the US military tool and are ready to challenge the US naval biceps. The elephant is dead, figuratively speaking. Well, maybe he's still big, actively sucking with his proboscis, but his legs are already beating in convulsions, his heart is hardly pumping dollar blood.
        1. 34 region
          34 region 4 May 2016 20: 45
          +2
          Altona! 20.01/50. What rake did the US stumble upon? If the maximum of their industrial production occurred in the XNUMXth year. Lend-Lease product supplies, post-war supplies. Destroying the floor of the world, the United States received the maximum fat. Now they again want to crank out the same scenario. Stop feeding it means hi they die. The refugee corral to Europe is not just. Trump is already trying to get away from Europe, leaving her with US-created problems. Weak US Army? And why airplanes if the financial bombing of the leadership is more effective? The Arab conflict does not threaten the growth of industrial production in this region. In the event of conflicts in Europe, there will also be no time for production. Russia is not yet a competitor in industrial production. China? If there are conflicts around, the supply of raw materials will be apparently difficult. But in any case, China will have to solve the problems of supplying raw materials to itself and selling its products. Having created conflicts around the world, the United States attracts the best minds without spending money on their training. In countries subject to conflict, the technological base is falling. Is the USA profitable? Highly. Trump is not a stupid person. He simply suggests leaving people with problems that created the states. That's all. And while people fight each other in the struggle for existence, the United States will develop without competition. See how they suppress competition, for example in the nuclear field.
          1. Altona
            Altona 4 May 2016 21: 10
            +5
            Quote: Region 34
            . Destroying the floor of the world, the United States received the maximum fat. Now they again want to crank out the same scenario.

            ----------------------
            Markets on planet Earth are unfortunately finite, and Mars is still far from colonization. The scenario is now somewhat different. The financial stranglehold has already outlived its usefulness, the United States wants to return to the concept of neo-colonialism. That is, stupidly one metropolis, a shining city on a hill, this wonderful wonderful world, surrounded by the bayonets of the praetorian guardsmen, the light elves of the empire. And the rest of the world is dark Mordor, immersed in chaos and civil strife between all sorts of leaders and princelings, but who are under the control of the empire and paying tribute to it with resources and products of low redistribution for cheap. But consuming high-tech products of the Light Empire are expensive. In general, the maximum primitivization of the rest of the world's population, or at least the primitivization of relations in trade. Speaking about the USSR, I meant some redundancy in its military component. By the mid-1980s, thanks to Brezhnev's extensive military reform (see materials of the 25th Congress), we had achieved parity in many components. That is, the parity was such that we did not just inflict unacceptable damage to the United States and NATO, but erased them to zero. There were lags in electronics, which were presented to us as "lag forever", but after 25 years it is clear that much was a myth. However, this already refers to the eternal dispute "Were the USSR good? And if it was good, then why did it fall?" In general, it is partly true that the empire could not keep within those borders and partially (temporarily) shrank. I hope this is temporary, because the empire is in the heads, and not in the borders on the ground. If the fragments of the empire are reformatted morally, then it will not be the same.
            1. 34 region
              34 region 5 May 2016 01: 38
              +3
              Altona! 21.10. So, in my opinion, the Shtatovs did not leave the politics of the colonies! Only colonization is on a more modern level. Initially, the colonialists lived in colonies. Then, after the war, the colonization of loans. Today, lowering countries and regions to a low technological level. And so everything is true. With regard to the USSR, the issue is debatable. There were many military products or few civilian ones !? Maybe a crisis of moral relations and, as a result, surrender (betrayal) of the country. Why do we have to tear ourselves up and do it ourselves if you can buy there! So they came to the bare economy today. And we were not expected there then, and today. hi
            2. BARKHAN
              BARKHAN 5 May 2016 14: 48
              +2
              Quote: Altona
              In general, it is partially true that the empire could not keep within those borders and partially (temporarily) contracted. I hope it’s temporary, because the empire is in the heads, not in the borders

              Thank you for these words. It's beautiful. I subscribe to every word. I hope and believe.
      5. GSH-18
        GSH-18 4 May 2016 20: 59
        +1
        US hegemony in numbers and dynamics: Trump's doctrine is quite rational

        Whoever won there, the main thing is that not just this damn woman of a clintonsha!
      6. el coyote
        el coyote 5 May 2016 11: 50
        +1
        The gendarme was exhausted, but there was still no fight.
        While they are there calculating how much it costs them to maintain "cannon fodder" on our borders, we have tanks "glued" (a joke about cardboard "Armata"). Even Clintons, no matter what she shouts there, understands that the US, even together with the EU, will not take out wars with Russia financially, because with our territories, forests and fat partisans it will cost a lot of money.
        What can we say about Trump who is still a businessman and he knows how to count money.
    2. Stalker.1977
      Stalker.1977 4 May 2016 16: 08
      +8
      Any empire will sooner or later collapse.
      1. Major Yurik
        Major Yurik 4 May 2016 16: 11
        +18
        Something like this will look like the distribution of Yankee parasites over new holes! laughing
    3. vlad66
      vlad66 4 May 2016 16: 25
      +12
      But whoever wins, the mattress policy will not change, whether it be a black-headed talking head or a gray-haired or generally female Clintons, these are just the talking heads of the magnates of the military industrial and banking lobby, but what they say now, so before the election, all are sour banks with milk rivers promise.
      1. APASUS
        APASUS 4 May 2016 18: 46
        +1
        Quote: vlad66
        But whoever wins, the mattress policy will not change, whether it be a black-headed talking head or a gray-haired or generally female Clintons, these are just the talking heads of the magnates of the military industrial and banking lobby, but what they say now, so before the election, all are sour banks with milk rivers promise.

        In the course of the crisis in the United States takes on certain shape, what exactly did Trump say?
        Of course, the policy of the United States will not change in general terms, the President of the United States is just a zits-chairman. But politics can change mainly in relation to allies and hangers-on. Here you can see the whole background of the allies, especially those who have nothing to pay. efforts on the US economy, money will be invested in the real sector, not in paper.
        In any case, the United States will try to maintain a leading position in the world, if not thanks to weapons - thanks to the economy!
    4. Denis Obukhov
      Denis Obukhov 4 May 2016 16: 29
      +4
      For $ 807 billion of direct costs only ...
      This is my personal opinion, but for only a hint of an attempt to block such a stream of money, any president of any country will be turned into a national hero, and posthumously.
      1. 34 region
        34 region 4 May 2016 20: 56
        +1
        Denis Obukhov! 16.29. A total of 807 billion to eliminate competitors worldwide. Is it a lot or a little? In terms of expenses, it seems a lot. And in terms of income? After all, they are driving everyone into poverty. And how can this poverty develop modern technology? Therefore, do not be malicious about this. The money allocated to eliminate competitors reached the goal.
        1. yehat
          yehat 5 May 2016 12: 24
          +1
          they reached the goal, it turned out that one target was hit, and 2 new ones appeared.
    5. Denis Obukhov
      Denis Obukhov 4 May 2016 16: 30
      0
      The competition between the us and the eu is like a competition between Coca-Cola and Pepsi, when the shares of both belong to the same owners.



      This is not the point, the essence in EURO, which is alternative to the dollar, in fact undermines the global monopoly on the title of world currency. Those. in the EU, the dollar is not a HODOK.

      So, I think that on the path of world domination of the United States, from the point of view of the economy, the Euro needs to be squeezed out of circulation. How? I can’t even imagine how you can bend all of Europe.

      Just imagine the Countries of V. Europe ... while they were outside the EU, they used the dollar and its share was significant, and now the countries switched to EURO and the dollar left these countries ... it ceased to be necessary for them! The USA, on the other hand, has the main export commodity - DOLLAR; to them this EU independence is like a bone in the throat.
    6. Portolan
      Portolan 4 May 2016 17: 02
      +8


      why does the west look prosperous? The answer is simple - WEST LIVES FOR DEBT.
      Debts constantly exceed revenues, debt accumulates, but it should someday end. China and Saudi Arabia no longer even hint, but directly openly say that the American securities that America pays for oil and goods have already got and are not much different from plain paper.
      So Trumper gets a problem economy and living within his means is the right slogan, but probably it’s not enough done.
    7. Finches
      Finches 4 May 2016 17: 59
      +10
      The thing is that really America is ruled by the clans of the Anglo-Saxons Zionists or the Zionists Anglo-Saxons, and not the president, not the State Department, not the Pentagon ..., unlike Russia, about which Field Marshal Munnich said back in the days, as apt expression Klyuchevsky - "the era of palace coups", the 18th century (not literally) - "Russia is apparently ruled by God himself, and not by kings and emperors, because it is very surprising that it still exists!"

      As a result of this, either the president pursues the policy of the above clans, or he repeats the fate of Kennedy!
      1. Dembel77
        Dembel77 4 May 2016 19: 58
        +2
        Zyablitsov (3) RU Today, 17:59 ↑
        As a result of this, either the president pursues the policy of the above clans, or he repeats the fate of Kennedy!
        I agree. This is for us Trump - a billionaire, a rich man. But not for those whose will he will have to fulfill as president of the United States.
        In order to understand the scale of the capital controlled by the OP-cartel, I inform you that the general state, for example, of the Rothschild clan (enterprises, real estate, resource reserves) is THREE TRILLION in dollar terms. Now you understand that the Forbes Billionaire List is actually a leaflet on the wall of their office with the headline "Our Best Managers", and the Bilderberg meeting is a seminar of these managers on the topic "How can we better accomplish the tasks planned by management for the next year." ... https://cont.ws/post/177768
    8. Ratmir_Ryazan
      Ratmir_Ryazan 4 May 2016 21: 18
      +2
      They are not such fools as it sometimes seems to us ... They calculated almost everything ... In the USA, at the existing rate of oil production, there are only 6-8 years left ... You can check yourself by dividing the explored reserves in the USA by the rate of their production ... And the USA consumes about 20-25% of oil from world consumption! And at the same time there is only 5% of the world’s population ... the United States is more dependent on oil than any other country in the world - this is also the peculiarity of urban development, where there is almost no public transport even in cities with a population of more than 1 people and the movement of goods to the United States is mainly by road ...
      So, what the USA came up with - they organized a provocation on September 11, killed more than 3 of their citizens, they got a reason to send troops to any country under the pretext of fighting terrorism and countries that allegedly have weapons of mass destruction ... So they overthrew the leaders of the oil-producing countries of Iraq , Libya, and almost succeeded in Syria, in the future, planned and Iran ...
      Then they created, prepared and armed ISIS and with their hands captured oil production in Iraq, Syria, possibly already in Libya, and in the future they also planned Iran ...
      And calmly through Turkey they bought oil from ISIS at a price that is several times lower than the market - it’s even more profitable than to get it ourselves ... Therefore, Turkey behaves so brazenly and behaves, they know too much about the United States and are sure that they will not abandon them ... Our VKS of course greatly upset the US plans, but did not stop ...
      And the presidents in the USA practically do not decide anything, they all get money from the sponsors before the elections, a lot of money for their election campaigns, and then they just work out that money for their entire term ... Elections in the USA are like races, rich in The United States puts on horseback - presidential candidates, and if their horse won - get bonuses))) ...
      Trump here is a little exception to the rule, and therefore allows himself to say a little more than the others ... But even if he wins, I think that essentially nothing will change in US politics ... But if Clinton wins, it will be even worse than now ... How much worse, I don’t even know, I don’t exclude the possibility of a world war ...
  2. aszzz888
    aszzz888 4 May 2016 15: 59
    +1
    They will not give Trump the chair of the president. Instead, a gray (dark) horse will appear.
    1. krops777
      krops777 4 May 2016 16: 12
      +9
      They will not give Trump the chair of the president. Instead, a gray (dark) horse will appear.


      The horse there is one H. Clinton
      1. black
        black 4 May 2016 16: 15
        +2
        Not a horse, but a typical mare.
        1. Homo
          Homo 4 May 2016 17: 57
          +4
          Quote: black
          Not a horse, but a typical mare.

          You overestimate it. She is an old nag.
        2. V.ic
          V.ic 4 May 2016 18: 04
          +1
          Quote: black
          Not a horse, but a typical mare.

          I will add: a donkey. By the way, if the stallion "covers" the donkey, then there will be no offspring?
          1. Dry_T-50
            Dry_T-50 5 May 2016 20: 23
            0
            Quote: V.ic
            Quote: black
            Not a horse, but a typical mare.

            I will add: a donkey. By the way, if the stallion "covers" the donkey, then there will be no offspring?

            Mule will be.
    2. aleksfill
      aleksfill 4 May 2016 18: 46
      +1
      Trump, himself, that still gelding, his extravagant antics and escapades - a game,
      well thought out and distracting from its main intentions and interests.
      Trump is a red hell in a snuff-box and, like this red-haired beast, jumping out,
      behave in the future - a big mystery.
  3. pavelty
    pavelty 4 May 2016 15: 59
    +3
    Well, it is more difficult to pursue a foreign policy than the current dark little helmsman, especially since Trump is by no means stupid. A stupid person could not earn lards. Although we have such an option quite passes ...
  4. GDV
    GDV 4 May 2016 16: 01
    +1
    It doesn’t matter who wins the presidential race in the United States, it is more important who will be the president with us, whom the GDP will leave behind.
    1. pavelty
      pavelty 4 May 2016 16: 04
      +1
      And where do you want to send him in the near future?))
    2. The comment was deleted.
  5. avvg
    avvg 4 May 2016 16: 01
    +8
    In politics, Washington will not change anything, even if Trump is the president. Regardless, who did not win the US candidate, for sure, nothing will change for Russia.
    1. Berber
      Berber 4 May 2016 16: 35
      +1
      I think that you are not completely right. There is no doubt that Trump will be under pressure. But you need to consider that he is more independent than other candidates. The financial basis of his election race is his money, unlike other candidates. Yes, and he has more charisma. In general, politics will be different if another candidate is at the head of state.
      1. Vadim237
        Vadim237 4 May 2016 17: 43
        +1
        And who will put pressure on Trump, all the rich of America and the industrialists for him.
        1. Dry_T-50
          Dry_T-50 5 May 2016 20: 37
          0
          Quote: Vadim237
          And who will put pressure on Trump, all the rich of America and the industrialists for him.

          This is from what, do not hesitate to ask, then?
    2. yehat
      yehat 5 May 2016 13: 59
      0
      I think you are not just wrong, you are completely wrong.
      If the strategic goals of the policy as a whole remain the same, this does not mean that the means to achieve them will not change. Trump is talking about this. Those tactical tools that are now being used are not adequate.
  6. Frigate
    Frigate 4 May 2016 16: 06
    +7
    Quote: avvg
    Nothing will change in Washington’s politics, even if Trump is the president.

    You could even say that nothing will change in Washington’s politics, even if there is no president there.)))
    1. krops777
      krops777 4 May 2016 16: 13
      +5
      You could even say that nothing will change in Washington’s politics, even if there is no president there.)))


      and even if the president is Psaki, nothing will change either. lol
  7. igorek4515
    igorek4515 4 May 2016 16: 11
    +1
    Trump, of course, says a lot of things ... However, even if he becomes the President of the United States, which I doubt very much, it’s not a fact that he will do everything he says now .. In all countries, they always say a lot of things during election campaigns, but usually never keep their campaign promises ..
  8. x.andvlad
    x.andvlad 4 May 2016 16: 17
    +2
    Any self-sufficient system is capable of adapting to its environment. It would be strange if the United States did not think about it. And there they know how to play "for a long time."
    So the decay and disintegration of the "hegemon" can be delayed if this is not helped. And one should start with the collapse of the existing international financial system based on the "green wrapper".
  9. raid14
    raid14 4 May 2016 16: 19
    0
    It is too early to write off the US from the shits, because in order to cheer up their decrepit economy, they are not in vain rushing about TTIP and TTOP projects, and the dollar is the leading world currency, so the "decline of the empire" will be quite long.
  10. Alexander 3
    Alexander 3 4 May 2016 16: 21
    0
    Is Trump adequate? Adequate are urging people to shoot at airplanes, which by virtue of their duties should intercept and escort foreigners from our borders? Theses are adequate, I won’t say anything against them. Let them poke around at themselves and do not climb into others.
  11. Yarik76
    Yarik76 4 May 2016 16: 29
    0
    It doesn't matter who becomes president 'foreign policy won't change much! You need to develop your power and economy!
  12. Mountain shooter
    Mountain shooter 4 May 2016 16: 46
    0
    Trump is a completely sane person, but he is an American to the core, self-confident to the point of arrogance, overwhelming everyone with a sense of superiority, sincerely believing that there are only two opinions - his and his wrong ...
    Yes, they are all like that.
  13. andrew42
    andrew42 4 May 2016 16: 56
    0
    Trump's plan for the United States looks like a good move, but in essence, it is an "operational pause." So? - if the dollar starts losing ground, then the "Trump plan" will become poultices for the dead. In the protocols of chess games, such moves are assigned first an exclamation mark, and then a question mark.
    1. Vadim237
      Vadim237 4 May 2016 17: 39
      0
      He won’t - Trump can restructure US debt and no one will refuse him.
  14. Mama_Cholli
    Mama_Cholli 4 May 2016 17: 07
    +2
    It would also be time for us to finish feeding Ukraine gas, especially in light of Poroshenko’s recent statements about an indefinite moratorium on paying off Russia's debt.
    Although, of course, this will not happen, as there will be no payment for the minister and deputy comparable to the handouts for the work of an ordinary Russian person.
  15. t118an
    t118an 4 May 2016 18: 09
    0
    Quote: raid14
    It is too early to write off the US from the shits, because in order to cheer up their decrepit economy, they are not in vain rushing about TTIP and TTOP projects, and the dollar is the leading world currency, so the "decline of the empire" will be quite long.

    It’s not for nothing that they say to whom the war is and to whom the mother is dear .. it's about them ..
  16. vobels
    vobels 4 May 2016 18: 17
    0
    ".. to shift part of the security costs to the allies and to the freed up funds to reanimate unconditional military superiority .." And they do not want to give up superiority. "Leaders" striped, damn it.
  17. Verdun
    Verdun 4 May 2016 18: 48
    0
    Most of the slogans voiced by Trump are likely to remain so. US presidents - it doesn’t matter who is in this post - only embody, albeit with some adjustments, the policies of the ruling financial elite. Having a huge US government debt simply can not abandon the economic, and possibly military, expansion of other countries. Otherwise, their economy will fall apart like a house of cards. Alas, hoping that with the advent of Trump will undergo serious changes is quite naive.
  18. demiurg
    demiurg 4 May 2016 18: 49
    0
    By the way, few people paid attention to the numbers. But during the war it was not the producers of services who won, but the producers of the means of production. America in relation to China is not even England against Germany in 1914. And in spite of everything, he continues to live on credit. The budget deficit has become the norm. Why is this the norm? The norm is a surplus when part of the funds is accumulated for unforeseen expenses. And the healthy optimism of people who say that debt will grow to 20-30-40-100 trillion and that nothing will change is deeply mistaken. The masters of the world do not live in America. They can live even in Antarctica, and moreover, comfortably, the money allows. And sooner or later this project will be closed as unprofitable. In principle, the matter is small. Take out Hollywood and Silicon Valley (which I certainly exaggerate a little) and move the nuclear weapons to a new race / nation that will guard them. And hordes of managers and lawyers, along with hairdressers and anus bleaches, let them survive as they want, selling their services to each other.
  19. Baloo
    Baloo 4 May 2016 19: 01
    +1
    Trump seems to have a stronger team of political strategists than the home dog of a friend of EBN, Bill Clinton.
    The amers had four presidents — Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt, and Kennedy. Will there be a fifth?
    It's hard for me to introduce Trump as president. It will be Reagan 2. If it does, then it will forget everything.
  20. nrex
    nrex 4 May 2016 19: 26
    +1
    Honestly, this is less sensible reasoning compared to other candidates. There is generally complete Russophobia.
  21. Grandfather Eugene
    Grandfather Eugene 4 May 2016 19: 58
    0
    Here is intelligence soldier reports that interesting details about the Donald Trump project have come to light:


    Donald (Lord of the World from Proto-Celtic)
    Trump (Trump with English)

    Lord of the worlds, take out the Trumps ... what
  22. Rumata
    Rumata 4 May 2016 20: 35
    -2
    Shiza mows down our ranks. I went to VO, read the comments, cheered me up. You read and do not know how to cry or laugh. Compared to the number of cockroaches in the heads of many of those who unsubscribed above, I am still surrounded by adequate people ... There is no better prevention from a bad mood than reading comments on the "new VO"
  23. Vlad5307
    Vlad5307 4 May 2016 20: 42
    0
    Yes, the SGA policy has long been determined not by the population of the SGA, and not even by state organizations, but by Amerian TNCs using state bodies of the country as an instrument for promoting their ambitions and goods in other countries. And they are moving the whole world towards the creation of a global fascist type of society. Hence the whole aggressive policy of the SGA, which subjugated Europe and multiplied all kinds of conflicts around the world to weaken the emerging competitors in Asia and Africa. Here is the background of their political and military actions! And world domination is needed only for this, and not for the establishment of supposedly democracy in these regions. Democracy is an ideological chewing gum for ordinary people who do not see beyond their nose. hi
  24. rubidiy
    rubidiy 4 May 2016 22: 06
    -1
    Read the comments, so America was blown away. Drained the water. What address should I send the wreath to? good
    bleat, the tradition of throwing hats blossoms and smells ... fool

    And according to the article, I can only make a reservation that the EU countries have not one aircraft carrier, but a couple, but tiny ones. wink This is if you do not take into account England. She is building two full-size modern aircraft carriers.
    Regarding the shifting of military expenditures: how does the author imagine this? I do not contradict, I am really interested. The United States has a multi-billion dollar military industry. All these wars allow this industry to be fed with orders. Reduce the contingent - you will get unemployment among the military and a cut in military orders, which means unemployment among the workers of military factories. The USA must fight. The fact that NATO countries do not spend money on defense does not mean that they are ready to pay for "US security services" for a great life. This market does not really exist. It can appear with the complete loss of any sovereignty of the European solvent powers.
  25. pvv113
    pvv113 4 May 2016 22: 08
    +2
    States cannot play the role they are trying to take on

    Once again the difference between impressive superiority and excellent suggestion is confirmed. wink
  26. imugn
    imugn 4 May 2016 22: 14
    0
    1. Curtailing globalization for the sake of globalization and transition to a quasi-protectionist policy (revision of trade agreements)

    Sounds like ABRACADABRA
  27. samoletil18
    samoletil18 4 May 2016 22: 54
    0
    Either they do not consider the election to be in favor of Trump (Gore), or they will kill, like Kennedy. Although, there is another example: they will tolerate one term, then they will merge dirt on the elections (Nixon).
    Or they can all immediately before the election, Clintonha will unleash a bunch of wars. And babosiks will flow through the pockets of interested parties
    .
  28. Forever so
    Forever so 4 May 2016 22: 54
    +2
    But still, do not forget about the degradation of American science, the basis of which were immigrants. Today, this is not yesterday, and even having selected the founder, as was the case with Brown, it gave a sense for the short term. The LIE Empire eats itself.
  29. shinobi
    shinobi 5 May 2016 04: 00
    0
    Clinton can arrange a nuclear crematorium for everyone. So that there will be more unambiguous wars. Trump is a businessman who will continue financial wars. For us there is no difference.
  30. Ros 56
    Ros 56 5 May 2016 06: 08
    +1
    Dear, to honor you, at least half are in the shadow cabinet of the state corporations. It is complete for you, in order to make any forecasts, you must at least have information, and with this strain. After all, in the states, too, not to shove the brown, these gentlemen are calculating everything, but even having almost all the information is sometimes mistaken. For example, at least with regard to Russia, here they loused to the fullest, and now they scratch turnips - Duc, but how did it happen that the Russians circled us around the finger? So wait and see, and guessing is not serious.
  31. 1536
    1536 5 May 2016 06: 21
    +1
    Surprisingly, especially on the eve of Victory Day, how interested are the candidates for the presidency of the United States. It is as if someone from the Russian governors wants to take a chair in the White House. What does not give rest?
    What do we care about them? Even in America they cause only regret and, at best, various positive, negative emotions among the population. There, only 5-10% of citizens vote there, the rest don't care about this whole show. Plant a dog, or opossum, in the White House, and if American life does not change for the worse, these animals will sit for two or even three 4-year terms. And the rest of the world community will discuss with them the issues of "war and peace" and globalization in all seriousness. Alas, the world has sunk to this point in the more than twenty years that there is complete hegemony of the United States. What's in the "new thinking" about it?
  32. Zomanus
    Zomanus 5 May 2016 08: 09
    0
    The main thing for us is that Russia is strong.
    And what kind of America will be there, the tenth thing.
    And to hope that the West will treat us better than now ... well, we did it in 90's.
  33. sa-ag
    sa-ag 5 May 2016 08: 27
    0
    Trump pursues not only his personal policy, his party members, so to speak, do not prevent him from doing what he is doing, therefore the exclamations "if he becomes president, he will do what they tell him" are somewhat inappropriate, because he is already doing it now, another matter that he speaks from another group, he is terribly inconvenient for the authorities of the Russian Federation, because they are used to dealing with partners on the financial line, and here Trump is an opponent of globalization, in which case it will be necessary to change the leadership of the Central Bank and adjust the policy in general
  34. Volzhanin
    Volzhanin 5 May 2016 09: 09
    0
    Quote: 1536
    Surprisingly, especially on the eve of Victory Day, how interested are the candidates for the presidency of the United States. It is as if someone from the Russian governors wants to take a chair in the White House. What does not give rest?
    What do we care about them?

    So all SMDs are only teeming with information about it. Inevitably, you will be aware of how these filthy striped ghouls arrange a farce all over the world. I would also like to hear on the news about life and problems in the Russian outback and villages, and how these problems are solved. But for some reason, 90% of our SMDs belong to TNCs, and therefore broadcast what they need, i.e. all abomination.
  35. Urgen
    Urgen 5 May 2016 11: 09
    0
    The USA now reminds me of Nazi Germany in 1942. It seems to be a lot of strength, but the point of no return is passed. (In Stalingrad, the ridge is broken).
    In my opinion, the intense tugging of the decrepit United States under Hillary will only accelerate the process of final degradation.
    In general, Hillary for president! Woof! lol
    1. yehat
      yehat 5 May 2016 12: 59
      0
      Lord, well, nonsense ...
      Well, how much can these propaganda stamps carry?
      is the ridge broken? in Stalingrad, the Wehrmacht lost about 3% of its strength. Ponder: 3% !!!
      Germany still had very, very much strength. The problem was different - firstly, the USSR showed that it could stop the Germans by spending adequate resources on this. Secondly, Stalingrad drew up a lot of strategic resources - equipping the most combat-ready units, fuel, the Germans lost a lot of transport aircraft, many veterans who were trained for 5-10 years were lost. And these were all factors of excellence, that’s what really was done.
  36. Besmaster
    Besmaster 5 May 2016 12: 20
    0
    In general, the conclusions from the triumphal procession of Trump are very unpleasant. If he still becomes president, it will demonstrate that American society is healthy and immune. In the conditions of decline and the disease that is increasingly manifesting itself, the American elite squeezed out inside itself a medicine - Trump. Through force - but squeezed.
  37. yehat
    yehat 5 May 2016 12: 28
    0
    For me, Trump is more desirable than Clinton. It makes no difference to us - the US will become stronger or weaker, it is more important for us that the US creates less problems. Under Trump, this is more real.
  38. cedar
    cedar 5 May 2016 13: 00
    +1
    Trump on this show can promise and criticize what he wants and whom, but will only do that if he becomes a present (which I doubt very much) what the owners of the money will order, to which it does not apply.
    1. Weyland
      Weyland 6 May 2016 01: 25
      0
      Quote: cedar
      will only do that if it becomes a present (which I strongly doubt) what the owners of the money will order, to which he does not belong.


      Maybe not, because he himself is a billionaire. How it will end is understandable: one such billionaire president (Kennedy) has already tried not to obey the rest of the billionaires.
  39. Weyland
    Weyland 6 May 2016 01: 23
    0
    Then someone compared Trump with Kennedy. An interesting comparison in the sense that Kennedy was also a billionaire and that’s why I decided that since he himself is cool enough, he can lead its politics, not the one that other billionaires like. The result is known ...