Military Review

Paper barrels

79
As noted in the publication of The Wall Street Journal, the rise in oil prices in the world may exceed some expectations. It is believed that the main cause of falling oil prices is the imbalance of supply and demand: the second is greater than the first. However, now it turned out that almost half of the oil unclaimed by buyers is a statistical error, that is, these barrels can exist only on paper.


Paper barrels


Influential Edition "The Wall Street Journal" warns of the possibility of a major statistical error related to the volume of crude oil supplies to the world market. A daily “mistake” can be up to 800.000 barrels.

Where did these 800.000 go?

According to journalist Georgi Kantchev, the “unaccounted-for-oil” figures have reached the highest level in the last 17 years. Apparently, oil accounting is “a science that is far from perfect.” Somewhere in the very "heart" of the oversaturated world oil market there is a "mystery".

In the 2015, statistics “lost” on 800.000 oil barrels every day. These barrels are "missing". At least, this is indicated by data from the International Energy Agency (IEA), which monitors the crude oil market and collects data on supply and demand.

Are there any lost barrels? The observer believes that the answer to this question may be “the key to the oil market”, which “remains under pressure” due to the glut of oil.

Some analysts have suggested that barrels "may be located in China." Others believe that the claimed barrels are a product of “incorrect accounting”, and they “do not really exist.”

But if they do not exist, then the excess supply, due to which oil prices have reached a ten-year low, can recover, and much faster than expected so far.

The barrels “disappeared without a trace before,” reminds the journalist, but it was precisely last year that the “unaccounted-for-oil indicator” rose to the highest level in the last 17 years.

Managing Director of the investment bank "Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co." David Purcell says that if there are really no “missing barrels”, then it means that the oil market has “sank” too much, and oil prices may rise rapidly.

Last year, according to the estimates of the same IEA, on average in the world oil supply by about 1,9 million barrels per day exceeded demand. Of these raw materials, 770.000 barrels were located in onshore storage facilities, and some more 300.000 barrels were in transit to the sea or pumped through pipelines. It turns out that approximately 800.000 barrels every day "went missing" (in the data). World oil shipments at the same time amounted to about 96 million barrels per day.

In the fourth quarter, the number of “missing barrels” reached as much as 1,1 million barrels per day, or 43% of the estimated excess supply during the specified period.

The journalist recalls that the IEA compares data on supply and demand collected around the world, and its monthly reports often influence the movement of prices.

The last time the number of “missing barrels” was as high in 1998 year. The US Congress showed concern about the inconsistency of statistics with actual figures. Senators asked the government to contact the independent Accountability Office serving the Congress in order to examine the IEA data. The agency noted in its report that “statistical limitations can lead to errors in the data, although the magnitude and direction of these errors are not clear.”

“The most likely explanation for most of these missing barrels is that they simply do not exist,” said expert Paul Horsnell, Standard Chartered oil analyst.

Other analysts point out that collecting oil data is a pretty difficult matter. In addition, demand data is derived from the model, rather than from actually measured supply, and is often substantially revised. This is stated in the analytical note of the investment bank DNB Markets, the article says.

More than half of the global oil demand is provided by non-OECD countries, and there the statistical data collection is “not so well developed”. “We suspect that, thus, the demand in non-OECD countries is in fact significantly higher than the IEA reports,” experts say.

Petroleum statistics is an “imperfect science,” believes Rob Hayworth, a senior investment analyst at US Bank. In his opinion, regardless of whether these lost barrels are real or not, a global surplus of oil will still affect the market.

Meanwhile, the topic of rising oil prices in recent weeks has become very popular in the media. From 8 to 18 in March, the price of the Brent variety steadily keeps within 39-41 dollars per barrel. However, the “curvature” of statistics, about which it became known quite recently, could not affect the market in early March and even more so in late February.

The evening of March 16 on site RBC The opinion of Citigroup analysts, who explained the reasons for the recent price hike, was quoted.

The article states that from mid-February to mid-March 2016, the cost of a barrel of Brent crude oil rose from approximately 30 to 40 dollars. According to Citigroup, the price increase was not due to the decision of Russia and OPEC to freeze production and after the shutdown of pipelines in Iraq and Nigeria. According to analysts, these violations deprive the world market of at least 800 thousand barrels of oil every day (about 1% of world production).

The publication reminds that since mid-February, the operation of the oil pipeline from Kirkuk to Turkish Ceyhan has been practically stopped in Iraq. February 16 unknown persons undermined the pipeline, whose throughput is over 600 thousand barrels. per day.

February 14 unknown persons undermined a submarine oil pipeline in Nigeria, leading from the Vorkados field to the oil terminal. An oil slick formed along the coast. Shell, the production operator, decided to suspend production. Later, the Minister of Oil of Nigeria said that the restoration work could last until mid-May. In addition, until the beginning of March, a national strike of oil industry workers took place in the country, which also affected the level of production.

To summarize If the gentlemen of statistics from the International Energy Agency or their colleagues from some "independent agencies" serving the US Congress, do not detect the "missing" barrels of oil, market speculators can begin an active game to increase. This will lead to an increase in oil prices.

On the other hand, with the restoration of oil pipelines and the production of oil in Iraq and Nigeria (the latter is expected not earlier than May), the price of oil may drop.

The fact of the daily “loss” of 800.000 barrels of oil is very interesting not only on its own, but also because it came in the next crisis of the oil market, very similar to the one that was in 1998 year. That year, "observers" in the United States also reported an equally high number of "missing barrels."

Conspiracy therapists have good food for thought.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
79 comments
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  1. apro
    apro 21 March 2016 06: 30
    +5
    This time !!!! this is the reason for our troubles !!! they forgot where it lies !!! personally I believe I am so, I can lie. What more can I say? Or have the arguments ended to fool my head ?? there are no words, professionals damn, theorists.
    1. USSR 1971
      USSR 1971 21 March 2016 06: 40
      +40
      Just do not again make a cult of the prices of a barrel, liter, cube, etc.
      The economy must be deployed from the sale of raw materials to production. If everything that needs to be produced in Russia, then almost sneezes on how much they want for fuel abroad, 1 / 5 buys part of the sushi pencils with flash drives in China, and fish in Norway and in China. The Kudrins already have enough with their programs, it's time to move away from the role of a raw materials appendage.
      1. Sensatus
        Sensatus 21 March 2016 09: 05
        +5
        it's time to move away from the role of a raw materials appendage

        The only problem is that a system is built in Russia when specific decision-makers are completely drummed up for our economy. It is some residents who need salaries and the country in economic independence, and they don’t get money for it.

        Therefore, your slogans are good, but these are only slogans. And you need to start by changing the motivation of officials. So that they, s_ukam, had to answer their own skin in front of people. In the meantime, this will not happen, so will theft and commodity exports.
        1. shibi
          shibi 21 March 2016 09: 13
          +2
          This is the life!
          And suddenly, Bermuda ...
          Here are those times!
          You can’t do that! (V. Vysotsky.)
          1. Talgat
            Talgat 21 March 2016 10: 09
            +10
            In general, there is an opinion that "conspiracy theories" are spread by the "masters of the world" - the Fed and others like them

            Especially - so that the layman all mixed up and he did not see the unsightly truth

            There is a joke - one cow says - I suspect that we are bred for a reason - they steal our milk and kill for meat
            Another with skepticism: The whole herd is already laughing at your "conspiracy theories"

            In fact, in addition to printing out unsecured "FRS dollars" (which already gives full power over the world), there are other tools - this is total control of prices for oil, gold and all major strategic goods - no free market - all under dictate

            Gold is generally a brazen method - gold fixing has always been decades - they just set the price for everything here - now they have changed it for something - I strongly doubt that they lost control

            Oil preserves market visibility - such as supply and demand - complete deception as we all know or suspect

            The price in the world is determined by trading on 3 exchanges (London New York Singapore) where the volume is less than 1% of the world - comments are unnecessary. Add here a hunch to who owns or who influences brokers on exchanges - and generally the scam is clear

            So - the majority of transactions - these are futures - those are just intentions - are often not brought to the end. Therefore, their volume never coincides with real oil supplies.
            1. Corsair
              Corsair 21 March 2016 14: 52
              +3
              Quote: Talgat
              So - the majority of transactions - these are futures - those are just intentions - are often not brought to the end. Therefore, their volume never coincides with real oil supplies.

              How's the poker joke? One says I’m selling 100 million, the other I’m buying for two hundred, but as a result, none of them can have these goods and money?
              As far as I remember on exchange programs (online - such as quick and others) - for stocks, for example, you can trade with only 10 thousand in your pocket for amounts ten times larger.
              So the numbers go back and forth apparently - in my understanding of a simple layman, they drive the air back and forth.
              1. ssergn
                ssergn 22 March 2016 14: 08
                0
                Leverage is called.
            2. gladcu2
              gladcu2 21 March 2016 16: 58
              +1
              Talgat

              With the growth of the money supply, futures prices are rising. Futures are future gains. Those. with rising prices for futures, excess money is withdrawn. This is a control of the stable cost of real physically produced goods.

              The market only moves if the consumer receives an influx of money, a salary. There are no ways to issue money to consumers' salaries. Since they do not have statistical processing. It is not clear how much and how.

              Until now, the situation was controlled by cheaper loans.
            3. Asadullah
              Asadullah 21 March 2016 17: 16
              +4
              "conspiracy theories" are spread by the "masters of the world"

              Easier than a steamed turnip, dear. Type in the search for "conspiracy theories", and you will be thrown out 90% of the information about reptilians and so on. That is, start for your health, voice what makes sense, and then introduce elements of horror films and cactus eater delusions there. That's it, an intelligent person begins to play associations, associating conspiracy theories with fantasies and delirium. Next, let's go bye.
              Given the nuances of my profession, you can not bother with theories, here is the quintessence of the article:
              declared barrels - the result of "incorrect accounting"

              In exchange trading, declared barrels exist for only a few minutes, after which they become sold. But who's stopping you from selling to yourself? Constantly reducing the price of a barrel? The gatekeeper program will not allow a third buyer to wedge into the system, and you are chasing your assets with small losses, reducing the price over and over again. This is the old Jewish method, it serves a good hundred years and is limited only by your financial situation and status in society. After all, no one will suspect St. Magdalena is in debauchery, despite her work experience as a prostitute. Any conspiracy theories rest on very, very large assets. Possessing such opportunities, you don’t have to work all your life on a mortgage, you just with light keystrokes, you can buy entire cities. And the only question is possessing such capabilities. What are they, you can estimate arithmetically how much money was freed up for the year the oil price fell. Where is the money? I can name about twenty banks that drive these trillions in a circle, so that, God forbid, they would not crash into the market. And the only salvation if prices begin to rise. So evaluate the possibilities ....
        2. gladcu2
          gladcu2 21 March 2016 16: 38
          +2
          There is a specific proposal that can lead (should) the domestic market out of crises and lead to a planned economy with a level of development of the state statistical instrument.

          Statistics, 25 years ago it was very expensive and required a laborious state apparatus. Currently, data entry and its stat processing has become hundreds of times cheaper and does not require the expansion of the state apparatus.

          The suggestion is as follows. Derive the salaries of absolutely all forms of wage laborers from the influence of the market. Create statistically controlled population incomes.

          It consists in the fact that the employer transfers the salary of the employee to the account of the state bank, and then the state gives the money directly to the employee.

          This will give a full account of the possibilities of the consumption market. Controlling the growth of population incomes with the growth of technology. Will give the opportunity to issue recommendations on the amount of production needed. Withdraw cash from salary.

          Entrepreneurs will still retain their rights in relation to subordinates, with the exception of the possibility of manipulating wages. Entrepreneurs will also receive at least a well-predictable factor. This is the planned demand for their goods and uniform conditions for paying employees for all participants in the competition.

          The state will also be able to plan the need for specialists of one or another specialty.

          No redistribution of property.

          As a result, stable business development conditions. Social protection of the population. Consumer market planning at 80%.
          1. Cat man null
            Cat man null 21 March 2016 17: 39
            +2
            Quote: gladcu2
            It consists in the fact that the employer transfers the salary of the employee to the account of the state bank, and then the state gives the money directly to the employee

            - wonderful. We look further:

            Quote: gladcu2
            Entrepreneurs will still retain their rights in relation to subordinates, with the exception of the possibility of manipulating wages

            - wait a minute ...

            Quote: gladcu2
            This ... Withdraw cash from salary

            - auto traffic laughing
            - a trading company, buys for cash, also sells for cash. With profit, essno
            - what in this case prevents part of the salary from still being paid "in the dark"? wink

            Quote: gladcu2
            As a result, stable business development conditions. Social protection of the population. 80% consumption market planning

            Non-tamper (s) request
            1. gladcu2
              gladcu2 21 March 2016 18: 05
              0
              Nothing wonderful.

              An entrepreneur conducts his business as he did before. But taking care of wage growth will go into the planning of state planning.

              Why is it wonderful?

              Goods for cash only at retail. Control, and the law.
              1. Cat man null
                Cat man null 21 March 2016 18: 25
                +1
                Quote: gladcu2
                Goods for cash only at retail. Control and law

                Yeah ... and only through the cashier, add it then, otherwise the scheme will not stick together laughing

                IMHO nonsense and unrealizable.

                I can give a dozen examples, if necessary. They really lie on the surface.
                1. gladcu2
                  gladcu2 21 March 2016 21: 54
                  0
                  Cat man

                  You make a shortcut. Lead a discussion.

                  What confused you? Cash register!
                  There are countries where cash is not needed at all.
            2. Asadullah
              Asadullah 21 March 2016 18: 28
              +4
              Non-tamper (s)


              But it will not drown. Similar methods are similar to re-sticking a stamp on an envelope, from the right to the left. In the hope that they will deliver faster. Market poisoned themselves market relations. Rather, their evolution. So, you can buy Colgate toothpaste anywhere in the world. Anywhere in the world, this trademark represents competition with its subsidiaries. And the appearance of new products meets the calendar dates of the inhabitant of the earth. Chinese Chinese, Arab Arab, Russian Russian, in short, all sisters by earrings. That is, the economy has become the most sinister model of planned economics. When, according to the rules of economic thermodynamics, global players staked out a certain part of their assets and support each other with cluster trust agreements. From this, the development of commodity-money relations goes only in line with these cluster inter-parties, where there are banks, the banks of this channel.

              Here is a living example, I have lived in China for almost ten years, I watched as individual products unique in properties and purpose disappeared from the market. Let me dwell on the example of shampoo, in 2003 in the markets of southern China there were about two hundred types of shampoo, based on the traditions of traditional medicine, used one with a unique property of hair restoration. He was convinced on his own experience, drove to relatives and friends. Everyone was amazed at the properties and always asked to bring more. It seems that there is no reason to conquer the market? However, for more than a year I had to live in another part of the world, upon return I did not find this product in the trade. He calculated the manufacturer and met him in Foshan. It turned out that the owner of a large furniture factory produced this shampoo out of a love of folk tradition, selling it almost at cost, but even in this case it could not compete with global brands that flooded the Celestial Empire with its products. And this happens in all areas of life. Ecosystem self-poisoning.
              1. Cat man null
                Cat man null 21 March 2016 18: 52
                +1
                Quote: Asadullah
                global players staked out a certain part of their assets and support each other with cluster trust agreements. From this, the development of commodity-money relations goes only in line with these cluster inter-parties, where there are banks, the banks of this channel

                This is clear..

                Quote: Asadullah
                He calculated the manufacturer and met him in Foshan. It turned out that the owner of a large furniture factory produced this shampoo out of a love of folk tradition, selling it almost at cost, but even in this case it could not compete with global brands that flooded the Celestial Empire with its products

                IMHO there is also a Chinese mentality. They are disciplined (controlled) .. outrageously simple, and, in the presence of massive advertising, some thread of patented shit will go to him. Despite the fact that its own is better, and not much more expensive.

                I have not yet understood one thing: how to connect your thoughts with the idea of ​​a respected gladcu2 and my answer to him?
                1. Asadullah
                  Asadullah 21 March 2016 21: 24
                  +1
                  I have not yet understood one thing: how can you connect your thoughts with the idea of ​​the respected gladcu2 and my answer to it?


                  smile Well then, dear gladcu2 expressed the simple idea of ​​a recipe for economic salvation:

                  There is a specific proposal that can lead (should) the domestic market out of crises and lead to a planned economy with a level of development of the state statistical instrument.


                  You, dear, doubted its successful implementation. And I expressed the suspicion that none of the recipes will work, either utopian or constructive, because the system has developed into a global method of dominating supercorporations. Anti-trust laws do not work, because the initiators of the creation of supercorporations are banks that have their own method of preserving capital and profits, this is global planning economics. There is no place for capitalist competition in this planning, the search for better and smaller market segmentation. In this scheme, even bankruptcy is planned, something like when the left hand becomes more agile than the right, until the right one proves the opposite. But from the laws of the market in the classical sense of those, there is nothing here. Simply put, not a single recipe will help a dying man. And not because the recipe is poor in composition, but because nothing will help the dying. The economy began to live its supranational life. The life of the allocated assets and the global game of those same assets.
                  1. Cat man null
                    Cat man null 21 March 2016 21: 39
                    +1
                    Quote: Asadullah
                    And I expressed the suspicion that none of the recipes will work, neither utopian nor constructive, because the system has developed into a global method of dominating supercorporations

                    Now I understand, thanks.

                    Quote: Asadullah
                    The economy began to live its supranational life. The life of the allocated assets and the global game of those same assets.

                    So here you are, reindeer world backstage ...

                    Regrettably, if so sad
                    1. Asadullah
                      Asadullah 21 March 2016 22: 30
                      +2
                      Regrettably, if so


                      Probably more than unfortunate. For the fullness of the picture is hidden by very specific details. By the way, the alarm is sounded in the USA as well, the mother was alarmed for her Frankenstein. The first swallow came when they were looking for Putin's secret accounts. Even the Americans were shocked by what was happening offshore. By the way, then followed by the reduction of offshore zones and the "zeroing" of Cyprus. Not at all as a slap in the face of Russia, but because of the number of toxic assets in the banks of the island. Banks immediately invented another method of storage, the payment cycle. In general, - an ass, in the dirtiest sense of the word ...
              2. gladcu2
                gladcu2 21 March 2016 21: 56
                +1
                Asadullah.

                Such a system worked for 70 years of the existence of the USSR. The price tags on the goods were printed in the factory way. Only that under the USSR, profit does not belong to owners who simply did not exist.

                Your example with China did not understand.
                1. Asadullah
                  Asadullah 21 March 2016 22: 21
                  +1
                  Your example with China did not understand.


                  Yes. Most likely I am expressing myself incorrectly, a lot of languages ​​are annoying to the brain. I understand China very much, so to speak, from the depths of its national identity. They are very sensitive to everything new. From this and this copy mania. Not because they bow to the west or east (Japan), but because they are sure to do better. Much, by the way, is already being obtained. He cited the example of how multinational corporations are crushing the Chinese market, which seemed to me invulnerable precisely by its national tradition. They allow the Chinese to believe that they have copied and done better. Indeed, there is even McDonald's different, and better and tastier and more portions. The Chinese already consider him theirs, although he is franchised, but the profit goes to global players anyway. That is, your thought on planning, fully adopted by the leaders of the global economy. By the way, they are trying to fight this in Hong Kong, market areas are limited, and people are trying to avoid purchases by foreign companies, and provincial products are chosen from the mainland. Of course, in addition to premium goods. This is not to say that globalization is striking victoriously in China, but I hope that it is on it that it will break, if not jaw, then teeth. To simplify the idea, if in theory, then one should not go to the Procrustean bed of the planned economy, but return to the sources of capitalism, limiting capitalization to fiscal methods.
          2. Cap.Morgan
            Cap.Morgan 21 March 2016 18: 27
            +2
            Commersants will go into the shadows.
            This, my friend, voluntarism.
            1. gladcu2
              gladcu2 21 March 2016 21: 59
              -1
              Who cares about intermediaries? After all, are businessmen intermediaries?

              Traders are those people who can sell. With open state stat information, the role of intermediary will decrease dramatically.

              Nevertheless, a certain bufur period will allow merchants to adapt.
              1. Asadullah
                Asadullah 21 March 2016 22: 37
                +2
                After all, are businessmen intermediaries?


                No. Consider a merchant a messenger. It is important that the prices for services are real. And today, this messenger danced in front of you, then he danced with you, and he took the money for his legs, and for entertainment, and for dance lessons. Moreover, in the light of today, he does the same for the manufacturer. He also takes money from him for delivering his goods to you, for dancing in front of you and for teaching dance.
                1. gladcu2
                  gladcu2 22 March 2016 12: 56
                  0
                  Asadullah

                  With the state open to public access, properly organized statistics, the entrepreneur himself will be guided by what and how. Not sure intermediaries will play a big role.

                  In relation to countries, I would refrain from the term globalism. This is only suitable if the national elements of the economy, the national character is brought to a single interethnic character.

                  It makes sense to use the word integration.

                  But planning seems to be impossible to avoid. An unregulated market does not work for progress.
        3. derik1970
          derik1970 22 March 2016 12: 11
          0
          The age of the golden calf has come. Moral principles are all aside, laws are not enforced, and you are right with many slogans and nothing more. In Russia, there are no patriots among officials who care for their homeland. Any boss from the director of the enterprise, the measure of the city, the governor and further behaves like a fascist invader in a foreign land. And for example, it greatly surprises me, this slug lives in the same place as the whole people. An official of any rank, the main idea of ​​getting a responsible post is the main thing to grab a dough for yourself, and then the grass doesn’t grow ... I think until the laws are implemented, nothing will change in the country. And this is for a long time ... In our city, the former director of the WSS robbed the company for tens of millions, and went on living, living and making good ... This state of affairs is very close. This suits the supreme power because it appoints certain leaders and many connections go to Moscow, and even with the participation of the police and the FSB. Some employees of our company wrote letters about the ugliness of the director to Moscow, VV Putin, and the FSB returned these letters back to our director. As a result, the one who complained was left without work with a wolf ticket ... What can I say, if in order to enter the educational institution of the FSB, and subsequently become an officer, you need to stupidly pay grandmas and that’s it. By the way, the prices are known. You yourself understand for whom in the future such a purchased officer will work. Although their FSB is cool and serious, they’re cooler than a *** horror in general, they deal with ordinary citizens and non-ordinary people feed them. Everything is for sale and everything is bought, the small people are not far behind in their affairs, there is someone to take an example from. By the way, in the USA the same is no better. But compared with the times of the USSR, we now have tin. There is no need to talk about any country's security. It's a shame for the power !!! PS I know that this site is monitored by the FSB and the like, good luck to you guys, bring the country further. Help bandits and other criminals as a matter of fact, you yourself became criminals a long time ago when you surrendered the country to the Americans in the 90s, you don’t even have to talk about the army, I watched this whole mess from the inside. E. Snowden, I think so, sits and starts comparing, comparing where he came from and where he got from the ship to the ball, so to speak.
        4. The comment was deleted.
        5. gladcu2
          gladcu2 22 March 2016 16: 08
          0
          Sensatus

          It is necessary to create such a state when there are fewer and fewer people making decisions.

          In fact, this is the idea of ​​market regulation. But in order to achieve this goal, more tools are needed.

          This is absolutely honest and correctly processed statistical data that can be used by everyone up to the janitor who is looking for work.

          As well as state management tools, planning.

          There is a state postal service. This means that there should be a state stat management that does not reorient its work to private stat offices, is itself engaged in its duties.

          And then you don’t have to blame the Western stat offices that are heated by information.
      2. Cap.Morgan
        Cap.Morgan 21 March 2016 18: 14
        +1
        Quote: USSR 1971
        Just do not again make a cult of the prices of a barrel, liter, cube, etc.
        The economy must be deployed from the sale of raw materials to production. If everything that needs to be produced in Russia, then almost sneezes on how much they want for fuel abroad, 1 / 5 buys part of the sushi pencils with flash drives in China, and fish in Norway and in China. The Kudrins already have enough with their programs, it's time to move away from the role of a raw materials appendage.

        Answer 2 questions.
        1 Where do you get the technology and if you are going to buy then what kind of bucks?
        2 To whom are you going to sell what you have produced (just don’t say that to your own poor people who can barely make ends meet).
        PS In order to recoup costs, products will cost more than in the West, this is an axiom.
    2. Ami du peuple
      Ami du peuple 21 March 2016 06: 44
      +5
      Quote: apro
      forgot where it is!
      This is probably the "gray" MGMlovskaya oil. The profitable business of Erdogan and the company, which has been severely damaged by the Russian Aerospace Forces. Another positive result of the Syrian air operation.
      1. midivan
        midivan 21 March 2016 20: 04
        +3
        Quote: Ami du peuple
        Quote: apro
        forgot where it is!
        This is probably the "gray" MGMlovskaya oil. The profitable business of Erdogan and the company, which has been severely damaged by the Russian Aerospace Forces. Another positive result of the Syrian air operation.

        even it seemed to me like that, damn it, they missed it out with the current technology and computers, and they can be seen turning a mile or two backwards, it seems like they blew up the wire, as it began to count the losses after ours worked out and the GDP smiles strangely and very interesting laughing
    3. Andrey Yuryevich
      Andrey Yuryevich 21 March 2016 06: 46
      +2
      The fact of the daily "loss" of 800.000 barrels of oil is very interesting
      China where is mentioned? he is not a member of OPEC and other oil communities, however he is the largest buyer. estimate the oil turnover and get lost barrels. China simply does not report to anyone ... bullshit statistics from The Wall Street Journal ... EMPTY! winked
      1. Cat man null
        Cat man null 21 March 2016 12: 25
        +1
        Quote: Andrey Yurievich
        bullshit statistics from The Wall Street Journal ... EMPTY!

        And read carefully - did not try? These are not their statistics, these are their statistics:

        The International Energy Agency (IEA) is an autonomous international body within the framework of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). It includes 29 participating countries. It was founded in Paris in 1974 after the oil crisis of 1973-1974. The main application goal of the organization is to promote international cooperation in the fields of improving the global structure of supply and demand of energy resources and energy services. In reality, defends the interests of energy importing countries

        This is the type of anti-OPEC wink

        So they lazhanulsya ..

        We crawl further:

        - Is a low oil price beneficial for importers? In a first approximation, yes ..
        - How can I reduce the price? Yes, for example, attributing to the production (supply) of a million barrels per day

        In general - the news, although yesterday, but cool yes
    4. Yura
      Yura 21 March 2016 09: 40
      +5
      Buying through futures (i.e. selling or buying a promise after some time to complete a deal at such a price), virtual purchase, virtual money, virtual oil.
    5. Sergey-8848
      Sergey-8848 21 March 2016 21: 40
      0
      Three saboteurs in small places - and here it is, the happiness expected by all. By all of us, complete idiots, who believed in all this.
  2. VNP1958PVN
    VNP1958PVN 21 March 2016 06: 30
    +18
    Already sick from the daily "news" about the oil price and the ruble exchange rate. I would like to stupidly go to the store and go nuts from the fall in food prices. For gasoline, the fall in prices would not be upset either! request
    1. Andrey Yuryevich
      Andrey Yuryevich 21 March 2016 07: 37
      +5
      Quote: VNP1958PVN
      Already sick from the daily "news" about the oil price and the ruble exchange rate. I would like to stupidly go to the store and go nuts from the fall in food prices. For gasoline, the fall in prices would not be upset either! request

      calm my friend! native government, knows what he is doing! wassat
      1. Corsair
        Corsair 21 March 2016 14: 56
        +1
        Quote: Andrey Yurievich
        native government, knows what he is doing!

        what they know that, but they have a persistent feeling that they live on some other planet, they have a book like "One Hundred and One Ways to Improve the Economy" - and every time they take it offhand they open a page they come across and try as it says.
  3. Enot-poloskun
    Enot-poloskun 21 March 2016 06: 30
    +9
    It would be better if oil did not rise in price. Then our government will be forced to move.

    By the way! Oil fell in price, the dollar and the euro are stable. And gasoline has risen in price. Oddities of the Russian economy.
    1. Andrey Yuryevich
      Andrey Yuryevich 21 March 2016 07: 39
      +6
      Quote: Enot-poloskun
      It would be better if oil did not rise in price. Then our government will be forced to move.

      Aha! yes they’ll come up with a dozen more taxes, and the Treasury will be replenished! But if you introduce a tax on air, you have to sew one nostril ....
      1. faridg7
        faridg7 21 March 2016 12: 45
        +2
        I don’t have to; I have chronic sinusitis (although it will probably be easier to sew than to collect certificates)
    2. Amurets
      Amurets 21 March 2016 10: 40
      +1
      Quote: Enot-poloskun
      It would be better if oil did not rise in price. Then our government will be forced to move.

      Well, you are a dreamer or a dreamer! To force someone who has never done anything in his entire life is too much to work. It is right to say: "Talking is not carrying bags, but thinking, this is not a lifting punishment."
      1. faridg7
        faridg7 21 March 2016 12: 51
        +1
        The surgeon reprimands me all the time for insufficient physical activity, saying "Well, of course, it is better to talk nonsense than carry a log. But in order to be able to talk nonsense, you have to work with your head."
        1. St Petrov
          St Petrov 21 March 2016 14: 10
          +4
          gasoline in the Russian Federation is slightly more expensive than that of the Saudis: P

          about $ 0,5
          1. Muvka
            Muvka 21 March 2016 17: 38
            +3
            And in Germany, gas is a little more expensive than one euro. But this does not shake anyone? And we have cheaper than half the euro.
    3. Cap.Morgan
      Cap.Morgan 21 March 2016 21: 08
      0
      Quote: Enot-poloskun
      It would be better if oil did not rise in price. Then our government will be forced to move.

      By the way! Oil fell in price, the dollar and the euro are stable. And gasoline has risen in price. Oddities of the Russian economy.

      Nothing strange.
      The price of gas is a way of collecting taxes. Alas, not everyone pays taxes.
  4. Jarilo
    Jarilo 21 March 2016 06: 33
    +8
    US rating agencies also do not take something into account when evaluating Russia. In general, this is their tool for imposing their will, obtaining a competitive advantage based on fraud.
    1. Iline
      Iline 21 March 2016 07: 48
      +7
      Quote: Jarilo
      In general, this is their tool for imposing their will, obtaining a competitive advantage based on fraud.

      Can't find 800 barrels a day? This is what! Modestly silent about trading on exchanges of paper allegedly selling gold. The volume of these pieces of paper has long exceeded the world reserves of real gold by several times. And nothing - they buy, even some courses are built for this metal. Then it suddenly rises in price, then suddenly it becomes cheaper. winked
      All this world-class financial pyramid called the exchange has long been rotten and does not reflect actual affairs in the global economy. Initially, exchanges were founded for speculative transactions.
      Something in the Philharmonic must be corrected ...
      1. Kenneth
        Kenneth 21 March 2016 09: 21
        +3
        Go to exchange trading.
      2. Nyrobsky
        Nyrobsky 21 March 2016 10: 59
        +5
        Quote: Iline
        Modestly silent about trading on exchanges of paper allegedly selling gold. The volume of these pieces of paper has long exceeded the world reserves of real gold by several times. And nothing - they buy, even some courses are built for this metal. Then it suddenly rises in price, then suddenly it becomes cheaper.

        There is such a thing.
        In the bank, anyone can open an impersonal metal account even in gold, even in silver, even in platinum BUT ... exclusively in paper and at the nominal value of the metal established on the day of sale. For gold, the difference between buying and selling (in gold) reaches 500 rubles per gram. That's all for a short time. The bank cuts 500 rubles on paper, but does not have gold. At the same time, this deposit is not insured, and if something happens, the bank can say to its metalworkers, "Thank you all, everyone is free."
        If there is paper gold, then why can not there be paper oil?)))
        In the days of high oil prices, the exchanges were eager to make money and probably signed contracts for future oil production. But the contract differs from the contribution in that it cannot be said, "Everyone is free" and the conditions must be met, and therefore, supplies are carried out due to the redistribution of the actually available oil.
        It's like checking property in a battalion. When someone does not have a pot or flask, he goes to the land in the neighboring company and takes what is needed for "hire". According to the results of the check, the entire battalion has 100% of its property, but in fact it turns out that one platoon, pots and flasks does not have.
  5. parusnik
    parusnik 21 March 2016 06: 34
    +4
    Conspiracy therapists have good food for thought...Where oil goes, it was yesterday ..
  6. VP
    VP 21 March 2016 06: 53
    +2
    Not really paper. There really is overstocking and the massive use of tankers for oil storage due to the filling of traditional ones is a fact.
    Sins in statistics, of course, also have a place, but their influence on prices should not be exaggerated, it is not significant.
    The price of oil is still jumping in the near future. For example, they write that in Nigeria they will soon restore the oil pipeline, in Iran they are also working hard to repair the oil pipeline ... In general, there are many factors.
    1. Senior manager
      Senior manager 21 March 2016 07: 19
      +4
      VP But the price of oil is formed all the same on the exchanges, on paper.
      1. VP
        VP 21 March 2016 08: 01
        +2
        Yeah, and the price of products is formed at the checkout.
        On exchanges, it’s as if not taken from the ceiling.
        I do not say that all prices are always adequate on exchanges, but the fact that price trends on exchanges reflect the situation + expectations for a change in the situation is true.
        True, with the proviso "mostly" as there are a lot of things mixed.
        You can influence the exchange. But oil has the largest monetary volume of all products traded on the markets and influence price trends ... well, unless someone has an extra trillion that he is ready to throw out for the sake of a significant impact on the price for some finite time.
        The price of such goods is affected in a different way, not through exchanges; exchanges merely work out the facts of such an influence.
  7. Senior manager
    Senior manager 21 March 2016 07: 16
    +5
    The oil price is an American instrument, and it is essentially purely paper-based. It is really needed for inter-clan war and pacification of strongly independent countries (Russia, Argentina, etc.). Global analysts take this into account and are not guided by these price jumps. I think the President has quality analysts. There is a prohibitive amount of influence of fakes in the world economy, it is depressing. The actual state of affairs in the oil industry influences the market to a much lesser extent than is announced. The system is quite inertial.
  8. sa-ag
    sa-ag 21 March 2016 07: 32
    +2
    easy way to raise oil prices :-)
  9. Pvi1206
    Pvi1206 21 March 2016 07: 34
    +6
    There is no doubt that the price of oil is artificially manipulated for political purposes.
    Market prices are fictitious. They are installed everywhere by specific people.
  10. Hooks
    Hooks 21 March 2016 07: 34
    +7
    What is conspiracy thesis here? Sell, including blistering.
    Reminded a joke:
    - Izya, how much will 18 multiply by 6?
    - Do we sell or buy?
  11. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 21 March 2016 07: 54
    +3
    statisticians "lost" 800.000 barrels of oil every day

    The events of recent years clearly show that the capitalist market is an ordinary "scam", playing with thimbles, etc. Where there are the organizers of the deception and those who are led to this deception and from whom the money is subsequently ripped off.
  12. olimpiada15
    olimpiada15 21 March 2016 08: 07
    +5
    Oil prices, as well as country ratings, are all instruments of pressure on the economies of countries to be contained,
    those. the world hegemon achieves its superiority by manipulating the economies of different countries of the world, causing damage through the manipulation of public opinion.
    Having created high objectivity ratings of pocket rating offices, it actually manipulates the mood on exchanges.
    And objectivity lies in the main postulate: the infallibility of the United States and the inferiority of all other economies.
  13. papuasimus
    papuasimus 21 March 2016 08: 23
    +4
    As my professor of economic analysis used to say: analysis is a creative thing. If you roll a glass, prices will give out as hotish.
    I do not believe in a stat error. Birzheveki take a figure from the computer, and a mistake (hee hee), this is a way to put a number on the computer .....
    And then according to the proven scheme .......
  14. atakan
    atakan 21 March 2016 08: 24
    +2
    Fake bids, fake bids, fake trillions of digital dollars, fake gold and currency rate charts, fake ratings.

    Around one continuous field of miracles.

    How to get out of this enchanted field of miracles?
    EXPLODE SERVERS WALLSTREY WITH EMPTY DEVICES AND LONDON EXCHANGE?
    No, this will not save the economy, everything is reserved (
  15. olimpiada15
    olimpiada15 21 March 2016 08: 38
    +3
    Instead of developing the country's economy, making it independent of the subjective assessments of international speculators, Russian economists are waiting for another increase in oil prices, and the population is horrified - both the increase and decrease in oil prices negatively affect the standard of living.
    In pursuing its policy, the Russian Federation must rely on its own strengths, for there is nothing worse than half measures: saying A does not work out and saying B, the West begins to nag on seemingly mutually beneficial ties, even to its own detriment.
    In order to defend their interests, you need to have a fairly independent economy. The most reasonable would be to add to the capitalist segment of the economy an unused segment of collective farms in rural areas: there is land, unused labor resources. The development of collective farms will provide the country primarily with domestic food, stimulate demand and supply.
    Why collective is the profit should be capitalized in the development of the enterprise, and not paid in the form of dividends to shareholders. A small number of such enterprises have survived from Soviet times — somehow they were able to defend their collective interests.
    Let all forms of ownership exist, this will give an impetus to the development of the economy. Collective enterprises do not have those contradictions between producers and owners, which today destroy the development of production.
    People need a stable economy, stable prices, stable incomes, and not forecasts for the price of oil, the change of which in any direction does not have the best effect on the life of the people.
  16. Ros 56
    Ros 56 21 March 2016 09: 39
    +7
    The liberal economy is the tales of the cat Basilio and Alice's fox, in other words, it is a global economic pyramid that has nothing to do with a practical economy, where you can feel the goods and money that paid for it and which is practically uncontrollable. All these inventions are proposed, I do not argue with very smart heads who wanted to get rich without producing anything and making money from the air. But the time will come and all this so-called world economy will collapse and bury all its creators and participants under it, nullifying all the so-called achievements of economic theory.
    1. Rivares
      Rivares 21 March 2016 14: 46
      +2
      A liberal economy is as much a reality as a liberal army. Either the state will subordinate the economy to itself, or the state will subordinate with the help of the economy.
  17. Bakht
    Bakht 21 March 2016 10: 07
    +1
    But God sent boobies on our heads!

  18. Bakht
    Bakht 21 March 2016 10: 15
    +2
    Today, oil prices fell amid a stronger dollar. The drop in quotes was affected by published data on the growth in the number of operating drilling rigs in the United States.

    Oilfield Services Company Baker Hughes Inc. reported Friday night that the number of US rigs grew by one and now is 387.

    http://finobzor.ru/show-8766-neft-letit-vniz-posle-dannyh-o-novyh-burovyh-ustano
    vkah-v-ssha.html

    Surely 1 drilling rig produces 800 barrels per day. Surrealism .... What a conspiracy thesis ... A whole DRILLING rig (not a half and a quarter) has affected the price of oil around the world.

    So what affects the price of oil? Lost barrels, one setup or the dollar?
    1. The comment was deleted.
      1. Bakht
        Bakht 21 March 2016 14: 04
        +1
        Thanks for the minus. Probably yours. Did you carefully read what I wrote?
    2. Cat man null
      Cat man null 21 March 2016 14: 14
      +2
      Quote: Bakht
      So what affects the price of oil? Lost barrels, one setup or the dollar?

      Manipulation wink

      Sorry for the minus, I read it inattentively. I read it carefully. Minus returned hi
      1. Bakht
        Bakht 21 March 2016 14: 23
        +2
        Thanks for the return :-)

        Surrealism is a combination of sleep and reality.
  19. Andrew
    Andrew 21 March 2016 10: 50
    +2
    In order to understand that all these games with oil prices and the cries of "experts" about the end of the oil era are in fact a manipulation of consciousness that violates the basic logic. It is enough for a resident of any, even a small city, to look out the window and cast an enlightened gaze on the traffic flows, and then figure out what percentage of these wagons travel by using the energy of various oil derivatives, as the veil will subside.
  20. 1rl141
    1rl141 21 March 2016 11: 09
    0
    It seems that the number of "lost" barrels will become clear when the last drop of oil is pumped out of the ground. And there, either the emir dies or the donkey dies ... Khoja Nasreddin is resting with this oil scam.
  21. Damask
    Damask 21 March 2016 11: 31
    +1
    If you pay not specifically for the fact of availability and delivery, but for what is written on paper, and divide the money, then all this is real
  22. Alex von Dorn
    Alex von Dorn 21 March 2016 12: 17
    +1
    All this unaccounted for- the game of state mongrels for a fall. They wanted to extinguish Russia, like the USSR at one time. Did not work out. But for a long time you didn’t conceal the awl in the bag, so they started shuffling ...
  23. vladimirvn
    vladimirvn 21 March 2016 12: 29
    0
    Was there a boy? No.
  24. Cucumbers
    Cucumbers 21 March 2016 13: 59
    +1
    It turns out that the barrels were attributed, supposedly supposedly an excess of oil supply on the market, because of this the price is falling. In fact, there was no oil, they threw us. Look for whom it is beneficial, who is the largest oil consumer who does not have their own deposits (our great friend and neighbor). This is apparently not without the help of those who flew to the moon
  25. Rivares
    Rivares 21 March 2016 14: 43
    +2
    "The US Congress will not find the" missing "barrels of oil, market speculators can start an active bullish game
    The phrase pleased! The largest speculator on the market is the state. But at the same time, they bring down everything on mythical speculators, so that no one would think about the same USA))
  26. South Ural
    South Ural 21 March 2016 15: 03
    +1
    Interesting opinion. Only lost or not lost barrels will not restore our economy. She will be able to restore the correct course of leadership of the country.
  27. parafoiler
    parafoiler 21 March 2016 18: 52
    +1
    That's how they make a hunchback ... The whole world thinks for dolbyopes ...
  28. wervolf
    wervolf 21 March 2016 21: 38
    0
    Quote: Talgat
    In general, there is an opinion that "conspiracy theories" are spread by the "masters of the world" - the Fed and others like them

    Especially - so that the layman all mixed up and he did not see the unsightly truth

    There is a joke - one cow says - I suspect that we are bred for a reason - they steal our milk and kill for meat
    Another with skepticism: The whole herd is already laughing at your "conspiracy theories"

    In fact, in addition to printing out unsecured "FRS dollars" (which already gives full power over the world), there are other tools - this is total control of prices for oil, gold and all major strategic goods - no free market - all under dictate

    Gold is generally a brazen method - gold fixing has always been decades - they just set the price for everything here - now they have changed it for something - I strongly doubt that they lost control

    Oil preserves market visibility - such as supply and demand - complete deception as we all know or suspect

    The price in the world is determined by trading on 3 exchanges (London New York Singapore) where the volume is less than 1% of the world - comments are unnecessary. Add here a hunch to who owns or who influences brokers on exchanges - and generally the scam is clear

    So - the majority of transactions - these are futures - those are just intentions - are often not brought to the end. Therefore, their volume never coincides with real oil supplies.

    Exactly! Total control over production, transportation, sales volume, which means control over the exchange and consumer value, which means the ability to whip up political and social tension in any corner of the world; and all this not only with oil. ("the free market is a fairy tale for fools; the free market does not exist in principle (well, only in the theories of economic HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS and the fantasies of the theoreticians)) Under the control and management, analytical campaigns and individual analysts, news agencies and other types of media.
  29. gladcu2
    gladcu2 22 March 2016 16: 50
    0
    With a well-organized state, the apparatus of officials should be, like a group of specialists who know how the statistical algorithm of the entire state statistical computer system for the movement of financial flows and commodity mass is arranged. Ideally, when an error in such a system would be a hundredth of a percent.

    Then the president should have an office table on which there would be an equalizer slider with three positions.

    War. Peaceful life. Development with rising birth rates.

    That's where the president moves the slider at the beginning of the year, then in a week the people will feel in their own skin. So to speak, the annual budget has been adopted.