Military Review

New old enemies

The Western press seems to be fed up with the “eternal” theme of the Cold War with Russia. The theme of the "Islamic state" also became "dilapidated." Some analysts from the United States have identified geopolitical enemies that are much more dangerous than Russia and even more dangerous than IG. The American television channel CNN told about the terrible strength of the group “Dzhebhat an-Nusra”, which is building a scenario “against the United States.” Meanwhile, ordinary Americans who were interviewed by the Gallup Institute once again called the “worst enemy” of their homeland. It was not Russia, but North Korea. However, Russia ranked second.

Jennifer Cafarella, an employee of the Institute for the Study of War (Washington), mainly investigates the Syrian civil war and the actions of opposition groups. Online CNN there appeared its next material, in which the emphasis was placed not on the "Islamic State", but on the activities of the Dzhebhat al-Nusra group.

"Dzhebhat al-Nusra", the Syrian branch of "Al-Qaeda", the author notes, is much more dangerous than the "IG". Both groups have a common goal (the creation of a world caliphate), but they use various means to achieve it.

“IG” is now great for “headline generation” in the media. Indeed, the militants of this organization seized key Iraqi and Syrian cities. and also carried out ruthless attacks on Western targets. All this made the IG the center of attention of the American military forces.

Meanwhile, al-Qaeda was playing a long and quiet game, the author writes. It has all the possibilities for this: as long as the United States focuses on other goals, the group is preparing its return to the world stage. And it will happen, this return, - as soon as the “IG” is defeated, the expert believes.

While the militants of "IG" ruthlessly dominate the controlled territory, "Dzhebhat al-Nusra" develops local relations, thus creating the opportunities that it intends to use in the future against the United States.

“Dzhebhat al-Nusra” is able to effectively support the opposition’s struggle against the government of Bashar al-Assad, based on building relations with civil society, civilians and Syrian opposition groups operating alongside it. Then dzhebhatovtsy "manipulate" these relationships - "in order to achieve domination."

Over time, Dzhebhat al-Nusra uses the legitimacy earned locally from the fighting. The grouping is already creating management structures (courts, social services institutions) and has begun to apply new institutions to influence the religious views of Syrian opposition groups and the population.

In some part of the territory of Syria, “Dzhebhat an-Nusra” already governs by means of “religious law” (akin to what is used by “IG”). Women are forced to wear the veil, and the younger generation through military training and religious sermons in the camps for children learn the basics of a future war against the West.

"Dzhebhat an-Nusra" - much more flexible and adaptive structure than the "IG". He deliberately does not control the terrain in full: such an impossible task would make it difficult to achieve its goals. But she knows how to protect herself from tribal uprisings, negotiating local support.

Further, the author proceeds to the threat of "Dzhebhat an Nusra" for the United States.

Not only is the United States unable to recognize the grouping as a threat, but also the American “reckless” policy in Syria actually leads to the support of jabhatis and the recruitment of people for the organization.

As Jennifer Kafarella believes, the United States still has potential allies who are ready to fight against both Dzhebhat an-Nusra and against IG. However, the actions of Russia lead all these groups into the hands of Al-Qaida, simply because they have no one to turn to for help anymore.

American politicians must "act immediately," the expert said, in order to preserve those opposition groups whose actions will be crucial to ensuring the future of Syria. Syria should not become the “al-Qaeda Islamic Emirate”. How to do it? Simply: Washington should immediately recognize Dzhebhat an-Nusru as a great threat.

While Jennifer Kafarella was spreading on the topic of an unexpected new threat to the United States, ordinary Americans voted for the threats on the list.

February 22 Gallup website The results of a survey on the main threats to the United States were published.

The Gallup survey was conducted using 3-7 February 2016 telephone interviews (random sample, number of participants - 1021 people aged 18 and older, place of residence - all 50 states and DC). The sampling error is ± 4 percentage points at a confidence level of 95%. Fixed and mobile phone numbers were selected using the method of dialing random numbers.

Survey data suggests that today the Americans hardly identify their biggest enemy. However, the four “hostile” states that head the list remain the same as in the Gallup polls conducted in the 2014 and 2015 years. These are: North Korea (16%), Russia (15%), Iran (14%) and China (12%). Thus, in the first place - the DPRK.

Sociologists noted "continuity" at the top of the list. North Korea, Iran and China invariably occupy leading positions in the list of “enemies” since the 2005 year. But Russia as a clear enemy in the United States had not been considered before: this country topped the list only last year.

Just four years ago, half of the American public viewed Russia as a partner for a profitable relationship, and only 2% considered it the “worst enemy” of the United States. But relations between the United States and Russia have deteriorated. And now only 30% of respondents have a favorable opinion about Russia. At the same time, 86% consider Russia's military might as either important (47%) or a critical threat (39%).

Over the past two years, according to surveys, the overwhelming majority of Americans regard all the above-mentioned states as threats to the vital interests of the United States. Americans fear the military might of Russia and North Korea, China’s military and economic might and the threat of nuclear weapons By Iran.

Nearly three-quarters (73%) of respondents believe that all four countries represent at least an "important threat" for the United States.

In addition, in fifth place, with a significant lag, the “enemy” of the USA was the “Islamic State” grouping (5%; in the 2015 year, the 4% of responses).

Thus, the list of "enemies" of the United States over the past two years does not change. Only the members change places. In 2015, Russia was at the head of the “worst” list: it was considered the central threat to 18% of Americans. In 2014, China was considered the worst enemy (20% of responses). Probably, with the frequent attention of the large press, instead of “IG” on “Dzhebhat al-Nusra” (Al-Qaida’s Syrian branch), the forgotten “Al-Qaeda” will also be included in the list.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
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  1. Andrey Yuryevich
    Andrey Yuryevich 1 March 2016 06: 22
    In 2015, Russia headed the list of the “worst”: 18% of Americans considered it the central threat. In 2014, China was considered the worst enemy (20% of the responses). It is likely that with the large press often focusing attention instead of “IG” on “Jebhat al-Nusra” (Al-Qaeda's Syrian branch), the forgotten Al-Qaeda will also be on the list.
    if the Americans drive into the head that the Mormons are to blame for everything, they will demand the bombing of Utah ... I mean that the image of the enemy is always molded by hand, he himself does not appear.
    1. Sid.74
      Sid.74 1 March 2016 08: 41
      Well matryoshka hedgehogs, again the second ... I don’t understand anything! request
      Obama called the global threats to Ebola, the actions of Russia and the IG terrorists

      We are in order to be the first ... the threat of the number one was cured and the threat of the number three just in case otpinali .... tried to understand ... and again the second, oh-heh-heh ... recourse
      It seems to me that the Koreans in the Pentagon blat ... laughing
  2. Great-grandfather of Zeus
    Great-grandfather of Zeus 1 March 2016 06: 25
    So I say, the United States and England, with their crazy creations like igil for the whole of humanity, the number one enemy until the end of time.
  3. c3r
    c3r 1 March 2016 06: 26
    America itself is the worst enemy of America and the whole world! And all the rest (except IS) are the fruits of the sick imagination of the government and the media. Yes, in general, the IG is not such a big enemy (only 4%), we can say that almost a friend!
  4. Alexander 3
    Alexander 3 1 March 2016 06: 36
    For the mattress, the enemies are all those who conduct their own politics independent of their opinions, plus the gangs they have created.
  5. ovod84
    ovod84 1 March 2016 06: 44
    We urgently need to destroy these terrorist organizations, the Yankees must have the number 1 enemy Russia. bully
    1. Delink
      Delink 1 March 2016 06: 53
      He also wanted to joke, removed from the tongue.
  6. aszzz888
    aszzz888 1 March 2016 06: 51
    Hello Oleg.
    Thank you for the article. And it more than convincingly shows that the meerkathos CANNOT EXIST without the EXTERNAL ENEMY. This is with them, already at the genetic level and in the subconscious. And supervising this subconscious, powerful clans both in the meritosia itself and beyond. Therefore, the conclusion is simple: as long as this country exists, it will ALWAYS have external enemies.
  7. Hooks
    Hooks 1 March 2016 06: 53
    The stars and stripes just have the mania to turn the show on. For them, the enemy is like a video game villain. But they will not sit behind cola and popcorn in their own puddle.
  8. parusnik
    parusnik 1 March 2016 07: 13
    Jebhat al-Nusra, the al-Qaeda-based Syrian branch, the author notes, is far more dangerous than IG. ..Yes somehow ... hell, radish is not sweeter ...
  9. Red_Hamer
    Red_Hamer 1 March 2016 07: 14
    Ordinary Americans interviewed by the Gallup Institute once again called the “worst enemy” of their homeland. It turned out to be not Russia, but North Korea
    Ordinary Americans, with virtual enemies, always have "happy ending", but real enemies from life, and can cut threads. They are not interested in fighting such people.
  10. Denis DV
    Denis DV 1 March 2016 07: 52
    Gee, and zombies, aliens, a meteorite and the gates of hell in what place? wassat
    1. PSih2097
      PSih2097 1 March 2016 09: 28
      Quote: Denis DV
      Gee, and zombies, aliens, a meteorite and the gates of hell in what place? wassat

      exactly between ebola and spanish (flu) ...
  11. Sirocco
    Sirocco 1 March 2016 08: 28
    The group is already creating governance structures (courts, social service institutions) and has begun to use new institutions to influence the religious views of Syrian opposition groups and the public.

    In some part of the territory of Syria, “Dzhebhat an-Nusra” already governs by means of “religious law” (akin to what is used by “IG”). Women are forced to wear the veil, and the younger generation through military training and religious sermons in the camps for children learn the basics of a future war against the West.

    I don’t know how it is in the USA and the EU, but all this mouse fuss around Jebhat and Co., very much resembles the situation in Ukraine, the same thing happens as described above, the new government, new laws, new history, and new courts, new church and religion. And all this is in Ukraine, next to it.
    All this is very similar to one project but with different names. And the goal of this project is also one, we are with you.
  12. Pvi1206
    Pvi1206 1 March 2016 09: 31
    The US attitude to terrorist groups very accurately characterizes popular wisdom: do not dig a hole for another - you yourself will fall into it!
  13. Belousov
    Belousov 1 March 2016 09: 32
    Well, well, is a terrorist organization that feeds with tacit consent (and most likely directly from staff) are the main threat to the United States? laughing A maximum of several terrorist attacks aimed at maintaining the law on the possession of personal weapons (now the ban is actively promoted against the background of constant shootings, and the loss of such a market is billions of dollars for military companies) and additional amounts for the defense budget and the budget of special services. So do not flatter yourself, it's all mouse fuss.
  14. serezhasoldatow
    serezhasoldatow 1 March 2016 11: 38
    The first danger to the world is the USA, then IS, etc. Why is this scenario not considered?
  15. Kibl
    Kibl 1 March 2016 11: 48
    If there is an enemy, something will have to be fought off from him. So, we need weapons, then the state order to the defense industry, etc., etc.! The American idiocy cycle! They shut up completely! Enemies seem to be around him, okay USSR-Russia, China, everything is clear, nuclear weapons and missiles, although not these countries were the first to come up with them. Well, while the DPRK and Iran threaten them with something, the Americans have you ever looked at the Earth globe. Unwisdom and dropouts!
  16. Orionvit
    Orionvit 2 March 2016 00: 20
    And ordinary Americans were asked who is considered enemy number one in those countries that are not members of NATO? (excluding the former Soviet "brothers" who are sick in the head) Or will they again say that America is above all, and this is Kremlin propaganda?
  17. misterwulf
    misterwulf 2 March 2016 00: 33
    The worst enemy of the American continent is - "Gringo"! (i.e. immigrants of British origin). If they are cleaned out there, there will be world peace! I am telling you this! laughing