The analytical program of Mikhail Leontyev "However," 28 February 2016
The armistice agreement reached by Russia and the United States is the result of the disparate groups that fought with the Syrian government on the verge of a military catastrophe. However, hello!
French political scientist, journalist Thierry Maysan: "President Vladimir Putin bases his policy in Syria on fighting jihadists. Not on the support of the Syrian Arab Republic, not on the support of President Bashar al-Assad, and he intends to oppose jihadists, because he announced from 2012. that the Syrian problem is also an internal Russian problem. Because he, and only he understood the logic of this system. Russia today can recreate the situation that the world saw during the 1936-1939 period. In 1936, the British king was on the side of the Nazis. to England financed the Nazis in Germany .... And what Russia has done - it has changed the political line and the United States shifted to a position against the jihadists, even though it is the United States have created this system jihadists. "
Thierry Meyssan, a French orientalist, spoke about the possibility of a Russian-American agreement on Syria as early as 2012. An agreement in which no one believed, which was systematically disrupted by American hawks who oversaw Islamist groups, and which Obama himself believed only in the face of the threat of a military victory of the Russian-Syrian-Iranian coalition.
Syrian President’s Advisor on Political and Informational Issues, Bussein Shaaban: “As for the US’s statements on a certain Plan B, we don’t know what the US Secretary of State has in mind. Our Plan B is very clear - we will continue to fight terrorism.”
Translated into Russian - there is no plan "B". Failure to plan "A" means a return to the offensive of the Syrian army with the support of the allies. Thus, the commitment of the United States to Plan A is the only way to achieve peace in Syria on the minimum acceptable conditions for the United States. Thus, Plan A is not only Putin’s victory, it is also Obama’s victory over himself and over the ultra-influential group of American adventurers pushing America to a catastrophe.
A prelude to the current truce, not the consequence, as it seems to some, was a rejection of each other coalition members of the Saudi ideas from ground operations in Syria. Bahrain first, followed by Qatar, then Saudi Arabia, in the negotiation process involving all the relevant parties to the conflict, in addition to LIH, Dzhabhat-en-Nusra, outlawed. And Turkey!
Turkey is the only one left behind the process along with ISIL and a bunch of pro-Turkish groups that have refused an armistice.
French political analyst Thierry Maysan: “Turkey has not signed this agreement between Russia and the United States. This is a formality, but it demonstrates its position. What are they going to do? They are going to return to Syrian territory to attack the Kurds, who are allies of Moscow and Washington. Having done this, Turkey is just grossly violating the truce, violating the sovereignty of the Syrian Arab Republic and entering into an armed conflict with the allies of Moscow and Washington. I think this is a trap for Turkey, and that in the coming weeks or, at the latest, in the coming months we will see the collapse of Mr. Erdogan’s system. "
Well, as for "weeks and months", Maysan may be in a hurry, but the fact that Erdogan has driven himself into a corner and that the Russian-American local agreement in some way includes Erdogan is quite possible.
Regnum, referring to the Turkish Hurriyet, cites the statement of the Turkish military following the meeting with President Erdogan: "The Turkish army will not step on Syrian territory without a decision of the UN Security Council, and such a decision cannot be made, given the position of Russia."
This statement, in addition to the direct text, contains a rather obvious subtext: the Turkish army sends President Erdogan in the direction of international law. The keen desire of the Turkish army to do this is quite understandable - Erdogan not only shoved the Turkish army from the political pedestal, but also halted half of the generals. But it is completely impracticable without the consent of the Americans. And this is a very bad call for Erdogan, who has lost the opportunity to maneuver between the Americans and Russia.
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