Military Review

Pacific Front: Conflict in the South China Sea and the Korean Peninsula

32

While the whole world is following the focus of world war in the Middle East (Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Libya), the formation of another “front” - the Asia-Pacific, is proceeding at an accelerated pace. Beijing is building up its military grouping in the South China Sea, turning it into a “Chinese lake”; The United States, in response, provokes further militarization of the Middle Kingdom, sending its planes and ships to the disputed region; several meetings are canceled at the highest level between Beijing and Washington; Japan, Australia and India are moving towards the creation of a coalition directed against China, with all countries increasing their sea, air and expeditionary capabilities; DPRK's nuclear missile program adds fuel to the fire, leads to the militarization of South Korea, the possibility of the emergence of a US missile defense system in this country, which irritates China and worsens the military strategic position of the Russian Federation. Japan is demanding a solution to the “problem of the Kuril Islands” from Russia, is rapidly increasing its military capabilities, including offensive ones. At the same time, Japan has a conflict of interest with the DPRK and the PRC.


China without noise and dust continues to turn the South China Sea into the “Chinese lake”. The Chinese do not only create artificial islands in the disputed territory with the help of sand from the bottom of the sea, but also place them in the disputed territories of armaments. First came the information about the deployment of the anti-aircraft missile system: two batteries with 8 anti-aircraft installations HQ-9, missile attack radius up to 200 km. The Taiwan Defense Ministry said that the missiles were located on Woody Island, which has been under Chinese control for more than 40 years, but also claimed by Taiwan and Vietnam.

This information was later confirmed in Washington, and then in Beijing. “As for the limited and necessary self-defense efforts that China builds on islands and reefs where people are located, this fully corresponds to the right to self-defense, which China has in accordance with international law, so there shouldn't be any questions here,” сообщил Chinese Foreign Minister Wan I. At the same time, in China they denied the information about the appearance on the “islands and reefs” of the islands of new types of weapons, saying that weapon It has been there for several years, and the message itself has been called “duck”.

However, this did not please the neighbors of China. The most important maritime communications pass through the South China Sea and its transformation into a “Chinese lake” is very disturbing to the neighboring countries, as well as to the states that depend on the supply of resources through this sea or the transport of goods. For a number of states, these territories are a matter of national honor. In addition to China, which claims to be the majority of the South China Sea with the archipelagos of the Paracel Islands and the Spratly, there are also Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei and Taiwan. Australia, Japan and the United States also express a great interest in the situation. The commander of the US Navy Pacific Command, Admiral Harry Harris, stated that the United States does not intend to put up with the militarization of the South China Sea. “Over time, we intend to conduct more complex operations on the freedom of navigation in the South China Sea,” the admiral said. “We have no intention of stopping.” US Secretary of State John Kerry also spoke in favor of ending the militarization in the South China Sea.

After the scandal with rockets, a new stimulus appeared. A few days ago appeared newsthat the Chinese have placed several fighters on one of the Paracel islands in the South China Sea. This press reported the two US officials. Intelligence received information about the appearance on the island of Woody fighter Shenyang J-11 (licensed copy of the Soviet Su-27) and fighter-bomber Xian JH-7. In addition, Western media reported that China, apparently, is building on several islands of the Spratly archipelago infrastructure for radars that will allow it to control the entire South China Sea. New radar will allow to monitor the ships and aircraft.

Thus, weapons are placed on artificial islands, which brings the conflict to a new level. If earlier, Beijing categorically denied that it was building islands for military needs, insisting that all work was being done to facilitate navigation, observe the weather and carry out rescue operations, now the situation has changed radically. Indeed, lighthouses were built on new islands. However, Chinese officials prefer not to recall that, in addition to lighthouses, runways are also built on them, and the bay is quite able to accommodate warships.

In the Celestial Empire, they do not hide that they consider the entire South China Sea to be theirs, the area of ​​which is 3,5 million square meters. km And the Washington Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) did the forecast is that if events develop in the same vein as now, the sea will turn to 2030, in fact, in the “Chinese lake”.

China’s activities in the South China Sea intensified sharply when Xi Jinping came to power at the end of 2012. Over the past year and a half, the New York Times reported, citing sources at the Pentagon, the Chinese have increased the area of ​​atolls artificially by more than 12 km². The buildup of uninhabited islets, and then the active construction on them (including military facilities) caused sharp protests from neighbors and greatly aggravated relations with the United States. The States maintain tensions in the region, defiantly sending patrols of warships and airplanes to the disputed areas, as well as stepping up military cooperation with the Philippines and even Vietnam, consigning old insults to oblivion.

Beijing, on the other hand, responds to all protests in Washington as standard: the islands will be used for civilian purposes, and in any case, China has the right to do what it wants on the artificial islands in the South China Sea, because its rights to them are not negotiable. "The islands in the South China Sea since ancient times are the territory of China, and China has the right to independently defend its sovereignty," said Foreign Minister Wang Yi at a press conference in the United States. In fact, Americans are being offered not to stick their nose at it. In addition, the Chinese see the Americans' desire to establish "absolute sea hegemony" under the guise of talk about freedom of navigation.

In the United States, a few years ago, the strategic doctrine changed, with the result that the main sphere of American interest is now not the Atlantic, but the Pacific Ocean. It is worth remembering that the States have several strategic "defense belts" and strongholds in the Pacific at once. Firstly, it is the actual American bases and islands, including Hawaii and Guam.

Secondly, it is Australia and New Zealand (together with the USA they are members of the military bloc of ANZUS). In recent years, the United States has stepped up military cooperation with Australia. In turn, Australia is significantly increasing its military airborne, airborne and maritime capabilities. In addition, Australia is on the path of increasing political and military ties with Japan and India, who also fear the growth of the power of the Middle Kingdom in the Asia-Pacific region. So, in 2015, the first tripartite consultations were held in India. And in February 2016 of the year - the second. Diplomats of Japan, India and Australia expressed their concerned about the situation in the South China Sea and spoke in favor of the speedy adoption in the UN Security Council of a resolution with new tightened sanctions against North Korea after the new nuclear test conducted there this year and the launch of a high-powered missile in violation of existing international prohibitions.

Thirdly, the USA has a whole chain of allies on the borders of China - these are Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and the Philippines. At the same time, Washington is trying to attract Vietnam and India to the anti-Chinese camp, which have long-standing disputes with China.

Thus, we observe two main trends. China continues its expansion in the region, solving the tasks of its development, strengthening its strategic and economic positions and consolidating the nation (which is especially important in the context of the imminent socio-economic crisis). And the United States is knocking together an anti-Chinese coalition, among which stands out China’s traditional adversary, Japan, which is already almost openly building full-fledged armed forces that have the full range of offensive weapons. The neighbors of the Middle Kingdom are frightened by the “Chinese threat” and are driven into an alliance directed against China. So the US gets an "infantry", which can be set off from the Celestial Empire, staying somewhat away from the conflict, and getting the opportunity to leave the future conflict as the owner of the Pacific Ocean.

Korean "powder keg"

North Korea’s nuclear missile program adds fuel to the fire. In January and February 2016, North Korea conducted a nuclear weapon test and a launch vehicle with a satellite (in fact, this is a ballistic missile). In response, the United States and South Korea initiated military exercises. The Americans sent a strategic bomber, a nuclear submarine to South Korea, and conducted a demonstration flight of F-22 Raptor fighters. US President Barack Obama signed a law to toughen sanctions against North Korea. The United States and South Korea plan to hold large-scale Key Resolve and Foal Eagle exercises in March and April. Up to 15 thousand US troops will take part in them, as well as up to 290 thousand South Korean military. In addition, the United States plans to deploy a missile defense system (THAAD) in South Korea.

In response, Pyongyang promised to continue the satellite launch program and continue to develop its nuclear forces, despite the new sanctions imposed by the United States. In addition, Pyongyang has declared its readiness to deliver preemptive strikes on South Korea and the United States in the event that Seoul and Washington conduct a "operation to eliminate the leadership" of the DPRK during the upcoming military exercises in the region in March.

China is ambiguous about the situation on the Korean Peninsula. On the one hand, Beijing does not support Pyongyang in creating its own arsenal of nuclear weapons, which damages China’s strategic security. During a visit to the United States by the Minister of Foreign Affairs of China, Kerry and Wang Yi declared the non-recognition by the United States and China of the DPRK's right to possess nuclear weapons. Wang Yi said that the adoption of a UN resolution on this issue would help effectively contain the DPRK nuclear program. “We do not accept the DPRK’s nuclear program and do not view the DPRK as a nuclear weapon state,” the Chinese minister said. In addition, Beijing does not want an aggravation on the Korean Peninsula, at its side.

On the other hand, Beijing is dissatisfied with the militarization of South Korea and the increasing US military presence on the peninsula. The Chinese are also against excessive pressure on North Korea, offering to “return to dialogue and negotiations.” Beijing strongly opposes the emergence of elements of the American missile defense system in South Korea. It is obvious that strengthening the American military presence in South Korea does not lead to peace, but provokes the DPRK to respond, which creates the potential for war on the peninsula, and causes damage to the military-strategic security of China and the Russian Federation. Therefore, Beijing and Moscow expressed their concern about these plans, stating that they do not contribute to the normalization of the situation on the Korean Peninsula.

Thus, in the Asia-Pacific region, two pain points are activated at once, which in the future may cause a military conflict and the opening of a new “front” of the Fourth World War. The problem of the disputed territories of the South China Sea and the two Korean states (divided Korean people) concerns a rather wide range of countries, regional and great powers.

In addition, do not forget the question of the Kuril Islands, which Japan regularly raises. Taking into account the constant growth of Japan’s military potential and its internal problems, which they often try to hide with “small victorious wars”, as well as the “cold war” between Russia and the West, Russia's participation in conflicts in Ukraine and Syria, Tokyo may be tempted to hold fast recovery operations historical justice. " This is also evidenced by the increased political and diplomatic pressure of Tokyo on Moscow. The failure of diplomacy may make Japan want to solve the problem by military means, as in 1904. The attention of Russia is connected with the Cold War with the West, the war in Syria, the conflict with Ukraine and Turkey. Therefore, the aggravation of the situation in the Asia-Pacific region can seriously complicate the situation in Russia, which is also in the interests of the United States and the West as a whole.

Only one way out: to strengthen the armed forces, not forgetting the eastern strategic direction, and really begin the process of industrialization-2. Without a self-sufficient national economy they will crush us.

Pacific Front: Conflict in the South China Sea and the Korean Peninsula
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  1. Andrey Yuryevich
    Andrey Yuryevich 1 March 2016 06: 12
    12
    really start the process of industrialization-2. Without a self-sufficient national economy, they will crush us.
    it is already becoming rhetoric .... affairs are not visible.
    1. Dembel77
      Dembel77 1 March 2016 07: 56
      +2
      Homo sapiens is the most dangerous biological creature in the surveyed part of the Galaxy. Destroying his own kind is one of his most disgusting qualities. In this regard, the Chinese nation is no different from the entire earthly population. Unfortunately. They will get stronger, arm themselves properly and ... "the soul rushed to heaven!"
    2. ava09
      ava09 1 March 2016 08: 21
      10
      Quote: Andrey Yurievich
      Only one way out: to strengthen the armed forces, not forgetting the eastern strategic direction, and really begin the process of industrialization-2. Without a self-sufficient national economy they will crush us.

      Since 1991, we have degraded for 20 years, how much behind? The enemies of Russia hate Stalin for this:
      (C) ... we must build our economy so that our country does not become an appendage of the world capitalist system, that it is not included in the general system of capitalist development as its subsidiary enterprise, so that our economy does not develop as an auxiliary enterprise of world capitalism, but how an independent economic unit, based mainly on the domestic market, based on the link between our industry and the peasant economy of our country (C)
      And for this:
      (C) We are 50-100 years behind advanced countries. We must make good this distance in ten years. Either we do it, or they crush us (C)
    3. siberalt
      siberalt 1 March 2016 10: 00
      +3
      The Japanese do not want to reckon with realities. As far back as the year before last, the UN recognized the entire water area of ​​the Sea of ​​Okhotsk along the Kuril Islands as the inland sea of ​​Russia. If the United States did not drop the nucleus into Japan in the forty-fifth, Hokkaido would be Russian. Would be happy. Let them master their islands, which thousands have taken to Australia. laughing
    4. South Ural
      South Ural 2 March 2016 14: 48
      0
      I agree - there are no cases!
  2. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 1 March 2016 06: 20
    +4
    "So do business, people do business!"
  3. Great-grandfather of Zeus
    Great-grandfather of Zeus 1 March 2016 06: 34
    +3
    The Chinese call the islands - how durable are these islands? Will a strong storm wash them out, or even an average earthquake will not destroy them? After all, sand is not the strongest rock at the base of the islands ...
    1. donavi49
      donavi49 1 March 2016 09: 39
      +4
      There were islands when the water level was lower. They were simply filled up. If the earthquake is right there, then no luck. If aside, then the tsunami maximum will pass, and nothing will be done to the island.

      Will wash, and the Chinese will strengthen the washed areas. This is a proven practice, if you do not give up supervision and work, then there will be nothing. If you score and wait, it will wash out and once a piece of the island with all its contents will sink.
  4. aszzz888
    aszzz888 1 March 2016 06: 38
    +3
    This is evidenced by the increased political and diplomatic pressure of Tokyo on Moscow. The failure of diplomacy may make Japan want to solve the problem by military means, as in 1904.

    I do not think that this option will use ipenia. Especially according to the results of the Second World War, the Kuril Islands passed to us. And for this, at a minimum, it is necessary for the UN and the whole world to recognize the results of the Second World War as invalid. It is also unlikely in the near future.
    1. Nehist
      Nehist 1 March 2016 08: 35
      +3
      Unfortunately, the results of WWII have long been revised. And Japan, oddly enough, is not the main enemy in the Far East, the main hepathetic opponent of the Russian Federation is just China
      1. Misha Honest
        Misha Honest 1 March 2016 12: 15
        +3
        Quote: Nehist
        Unfortunately, the results of WWII have long been revised.

        And there is.
        Quote: Nehist
        And Japan, oddly enough, is not the main enemy in the Far East, the main hepathetic opponent of the Russian Federation is just China

        But let me disagree with this. I do not argue that in 30-100 years it is China that can become our main headache. If we, of course, live together with the PRC until then, because now our common adversary is the United States and its puppet countries - and this is about 60 states ... request
        1. Talgat
          Talgat 1 March 2016 21: 09
          +1
          I agree with Misha Honest

          Russia has not yet signed a peace treaty with Japan - and Japan’s territorial claims are obvious - this is in fact a pre-war state

          If Russia did not have a nuclear deterrent - Japan (after the death of the USSR) would definitely begin to pressure - up to power actions

          In addition, Japan is an ally of the United States - a country that is definitely not "friendly" to Russia.

          China has not been noticed in anything like this - on the contrary - it acts in tandem on all foreign policy issues in Russia. Supports during the sanction period. Considers Russia and Kazakhstan at the same time as a friendly rear for supply - intending to confront the United States and Japan at sea

          How long is it another matter? But you must admit - while there is a worse evil - it pushes China and Russia into an alliance.
  5. sergeyzzz
    sergeyzzz 1 March 2016 07: 07
    +2
    Quote: Great-grandfather of Zeus
    The Chinese call the islands - how durable are these islands? Will a strong storm wash them out, or even an average earthquake will not destroy them? After all, sand is not the strongest rock at the base of the islands ...

    The base there is solid, the Chinese are not fools to fill in not coral reefs or semi-submerged islands.
  6. Ozhogin Dmitry
    Ozhogin Dmitry 1 March 2016 07: 22
    +2
    But will Japan conduct this quick operation against the second armed forces on the planet, moreover, possessing nuclear weapons? Considering the area of ​​Japan and population density, a couple of threesomes of bombs will be enough for them. For them, this does not go beyond election promises and the subsequent long whining.
    1. KaraBumer
      KaraBumer 1 March 2016 12: 37
      +1
      Grab and hold - "2 big differences" (c)
  7. tchoni
    tchoni 1 March 2016 08: 28
    +6
    Long live the apocalypse! -) We will all die. But seriously, the states took a good position in the fall, following the English tradition in this matter to rake the heat with the wrong hands.
  8. Zomanus
    Zomanus 1 March 2016 08: 33
    +5
    Look at the map where these disputed islands are located.
    Even the whales really messed up the borders of their territory.
    As for us, in that direction everything is very bad.
    There is practically no fleet, only to go in parades in vain.
    And the rest is poor ...
    1. Weyland
      Weyland 1 March 2016 20: 34
      +1
      Quote: Zomanus
      As for us, in that direction everything is very bad.


      Really? As far as I remember
      SF = "the very fleet"
      TF - "also a fleet",
      BF - "former fleet",
      "Black Sea Fleet -" Chi tse fleet, qi ne fleet? "
    2. Weyland
      Weyland 1 March 2016 20: 34
      0
      Quote: Zomanus
      As for us, in that direction everything is very bad.


      Really? As far as I remember
      SF = "the very fleet"
      TF - "also a fleet",
      BF - "former fleet",
      "Black Sea Fleet -" Chi tse fleet, qi ne fleet? "
  9. Arktidianets
    Arktidianets 1 March 2016 09: 20
    0
    As for the Japanese, I’m not sure they won’t decide on a small victorious war - the gut is thin, a hole for them from a donut, not the Kuril Islands.
  10. PSih2097
    PSih2097 1 March 2016 09: 22
    +3
    For some reason, it seems to me that it will explode not in the west (Europe) and not in the south (Middle East with Turkey), but precisely in the east (in the Asia-Pacific region), that there ALL started to spin somehow quickly, all the countries of the region already very quickly they began to arm themselves and make territorial claims, plus America and its allies are building up tension by increasing the size of their army and navy in the region.
    1. g1v2
      g1v2 1 March 2016 12: 05
      +3
      For mattresses, the Asia-Pacific region is a priority. In addition, it now has more than half the world's population and global GDP. Everyone predicts that the 21st century will be the century of Southeast Asia. We are also preparing for this - hence the projects of the Northern Sea Route, the development of the Far East and the Kuril Islands, etc. China again comes out on top in many respects, plus they have such debts as the United States, but rather have enough money. Yuan in the company against the dollar and the euro invades. Mattresses also proclaimed the idea of ​​American global hegemony. And for this we need to pit competitors, what they have been doing for 10 years already, AND WE HAVE THEM AS A TOOTH IN THE NOSE. Mattresses are trying to start a war between the blocks of the PRC-PAKISTAN-BANGLADESH-INDONESIA and India-Philippines-Vietnam-Taiwan-Malaysia. With the subsequent connection of American vassals of Japan and Australia with New Zealand. The mattresses themselves hope to come at the very end, when the PRC is already emptying its resources and arsenals and become the main winner. Well, we broke them all with our BRICS projects and especially the SCO, where we diligently reconcile India, Pakistan and China. And without a clash, 1,3 billion Indians and 1,5 billion Chinese will not be able to fully knead. Again, pipelines from the Russian Federation to the PRC, which cannot be bombed by mattresses, are being built, etc. In general, according to the State Department, it behaves very ugly and prevent them from stirring up a beautiful war. And the Chinese themselves do not want to fight. Why fight if they can buy them all? In general, it is difficult for the Yankees, but they try. lol
  11. TVM - 75
    TVM - 75 1 March 2016 10: 17
    +1
    It will explode where the mattresses think that everything will get away with them and where they will be sure of good dividends. How much this calculation will be true is another question. In the meantime, they are organizing provocations around the world and setting off on their other mongrel, in the hope that it can where it goes. But it will not work, so shit and weld.
  12. Berved
    Berved 1 March 2016 10: 39
    +1
    Thus, in the Asia-Pacific region, two pain points are immediately activated, which in the long term can cause a military conflict and the opening of a new “front” of the Fourth World War.


    Oh how! Fourth World War ?! And where can I read about the results of the Third World War, otherwise I probably went out to smoke at this time)
  13. Alex von Dorn
    Alex von Dorn 1 March 2016 12: 20
    +1
    There will be more problems with China, including Russia. In the meantime, it would be nice for the United States to have big problems with China.
  14. silver_roman
    silver_roman 1 March 2016 13: 34
    +2
    Definitely this card will be played by the Saxons. They understand that if they leave China alone, then in 20 years it will be a truly recognized leader. Now, although China’s GDP is higher, one cannot help but acknowledge China’s lag in many areas. Namely in technological. Also, the psychology and morality of the Chinese ethnos itself is not yet ready after the most difficult and extremely tragic for the Chinese of the 20th century.

    But on the account of Japan and the Kuriles, I would not worry too much. You definitely need to be prepared, but the probability is extremely small. True, as the admiral said in the Hollywood film "Pearl Harbor" precisely during the Japanese aggression: "the attack always follows unexpectedly" !!!
    The funny thing is that in order to prevent a repetition of the World War in the near future, you just need to moderate the ardor of one snickering country.
  15. Fantazer
    Fantazer 1 March 2016 14: 24
    0
    Compote is still interesting, can Americans hold double standards and spit on everyone with a high bell tower and the rest not?

    Beijing responds standardly to all Washington’s protests: the islands will be used for civilian purposes, and in any case, China has the right to do what it wants on the artificial islands in the South China Sea, because its rights to them are not subject to discussion. “Since ancient times, the islands in the South China Sea have been the territory of China, and China has the right to independently protect its sovereignty in the interests of the states to unleash another hot spot in order to remove strong players from their path and for this they are trying to push as many nations as possible with their foreheads or peoples according to the principle of divide and rule.

    And the United States is building an anti-Chinese coalition, among which stands out the traditional enemy of China - Japan, which is already almost openly building full-fledged armed forces with a full range of offensive weapons. The neighbors of the Middle Kingdom are frightened by the “Chinese threat” and driven into an alliance against China. So the United States gets the "infantry", which can be pitted against the Celestial Empire, remaining somewhat aloof from the conflict, and getting the opportunity to get out of the future conflict as the owner of the Pacific Ocean.

    Therefore, the aggravation of the situation in the Asia-Pacific region can seriously complicate the situation in Russia, which is also in the interests of the United States and the West as a whole.
  16. Grave of B. Cross2
    Grave of B. Cross2 1 March 2016 15: 59
    -2
    In the meantime, on our borders and China, everything is completely bad ...
    "Selected PLA motorized rifle units are conducting military exercises on the borders with Russia (translation of material from Chinese sources).
    The motorized rifle brigade of the 39th Army of the Shenyang Military District (which is deployed in the north of the country, near the border with Russia) conducted military exercises in winter conditions.
    With heavy snowfalls and low temperatures, motorized rifle formations of the ground forces continue to conduct military exercises to improve troops in "real combat conditions"
    It is noteworthy that it is the snowy terrain and severe frosts, according to the Ministry of Defense of China that are “real combat conditions”. A reasonable question arises, with what enemy is the Celestial Empire going to fight? Obviously not with Taiwan.
    In addition, facts such as the solid military budget of China, the continuous modernization and purchase of modern military equipment, and the conduct of exercises with the transfer of troops over long distances greatly displace the balance of forces with the northern neighbor. According to the Chinese themselves, the so-called "union" with Russia is nothing more than a temporary phenomenon and will be used to achieve economic and military superiority. And then, under the influence of sanctions, the Russian government will agree to any conditions with the Middle Kingdom. This is the real point of view of the Chinese, which for obvious reasons is not published by the official media.
    Original article from the website of the Ministry of Defense of China:
    高清: 第 39 集团军 机 步 旅 新兵 漫天 飞雪 中 训练
    2 月 22 日 , 辽 南 地区 普降 大雪 , 气温 骤降。 陆军 第 39 集团军 某 机 步 旅 充分 抓住 这 One 有利 时机 开展 实战 化 训练 , 不断 锤炼 部队 作战 能力。 (姜云峰 摄影 报道) "
    1. nikon7717
      nikon7717 1 March 2016 17: 55
      +1
      I agree. With a little clarification. Today Russian and Chinese are friends. Why - a common economic enemy that sucks resources and created a unipolar model of the world using the "Print" button = Dollar. The Russian Federation and China need to jointly leave this hegemony of the dollar and become financially and technologically independent, building new sales markets for their high-tech goods after the defeat of the United States. it will take 10-15 years. Don't forget that China needs to withdraw $ 1 trillion from US bonds before the dollar goes bankrupt. This is already a predetermined scenario. But then ... That's right, China will need new territories and where to get them? Yes, in the Far East of the Russian Federation. They already understand this and are preparing for the seizure.
    2. Phantom Revolution
      Phantom Revolution 1 March 2016 21: 48
      +2
      Quote: Grave of B. Cross2
      It is noteworthy that it is the snowy terrain and severe frosts, according to the Ministry of Defense of China that are “real combat conditions”. A reasonable question arises, with what enemy is the Celestial Empire going to fight?

      Alaska?)
    3. puffnutiy
      puffnutiy 29 March 2016 17: 22
      0
      In politics, all unions are nothing more than temporary. China holds a large group on the border with us for the same reasons that during the Second World War the USSR held a noticeable number of troops in the Far East. China fears that Russia will sing with the United States and be taken in ticks. There is an option that in the US-China conflict, Russia will be pressed and we will block China's supply of such raw materials needed in wartime. And then the border armies will be used to take this raw material from Russia by force.
  17. Nikolay71
    Nikolay71 1 March 2016 16: 50
    +1
    I have long been waiting for a new article by Alexander Samsonov on the situation in the Asia-Pacific region. In general, I agree with the assessment of the author. For us, really the most likely enemy in the Far East is Japan.
    As for China, there is a feeling that they will not have time to turn the South China Sea into "their lake." Until 2030 is far, during which time the Yankees will be able to provoke as many conflicts as they need.
  18. Former battalion commander
    Former battalion commander 1 March 2016 17: 50
    +2
    Smiled "it's time to start (!) Industrialization 2"! It is ridiculous to talk about industrialization for THIEFS ... for 25 years, thieves have been eating and s.o.s.t. resources from the country and then suddenly THEY SHOULD START industrialization! Did the author fall from the moon or even higher?
  19. puffnutiy
    puffnutiy 29 March 2016 17: 23
    0
    Unfortunately in the Far East we have extremely low transport accessibility. There are practically no roads, BAM goes almost along the border and there are no alternatives to it. The resource of transport aviation is low, and if there is a counteraction to it in the air, then it generally reduces to zero.

    And this situation is characteristic of both the conflict with Japan and the conflict with China. And Japan, which many forget, is also psychologically ready for the use of nuclear weapons. Japan, which has survived Hiroshima and Nagasaki, understands that even after nuclear strikes it is possible to recover. And here only the price of what is at stake begins to play a role.